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  1	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  :	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Economic	
  situation	
  
2	
  	
  	
  :	
  	
  Source	
  	
  of	
  	
  Finance	
                                       Financial	
  Crisis	
                                              Credit	
  Crunch	
  

       Reduced	
  Broadcasters	
  
        advertising	
  revenue	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                  3	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  :	
  	
  	
  	
  Second	
  
       Reduced	
  Broadcasters	
                                                                                                                                                Digital	
  Revolution	
  
      Contribution	
  to	
  Cinema	
                                                                                                                                                                                 	
  
                                                                                                 New	
  market	
                                                                                                     	
  
     Reduced	
  Investisment	
  in	
                                                                                                                                              New	
  technologies	
  	
  
          new	
  content	
                                                                      context	
  for	
  	
  EI	
                                                        New	
  opportunities	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                New	
  Financing	
  sources	
  
      Public	
  Money	
  is	
  getting	
  
                 Scarcer	
  

      Traditional	
  markets	
  are	
  
             saturated	
  

            MG’s	
  have	
  nearly	
                                               New	
  digital	
  services	
                             New	
  ways	
  of	
  producing	
  
             desappeared	
                                                           are	
  booming	
                                       &	
  consuming	
  content	
  
                                                                                                 Distribution	
  &	
  Consumption	
  
09.07.11	
                                         T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
-­‐ FF	
  independant	
  	
  
       q 	
  2	
  worlds	
  :	
  	
  	
  
                  -­‐ a)	
  5	
  big	
  countries	
  able	
  to	
  «	
  auto	
  finance	
  »	
  films	
  &	
  invest	
  in	
  productions	
  	
  

                  -­‐ 	
  b)	
  More	
  than	
  30	
  countries	
  needing	
  coproduction	
  to	
  finance	
  their	
  local	
  filmmakers.	
  

       q 	
  #	
  of	
  financing	
  	
  sources	
  :	
  	
  15	
  to	
  25	
  	
  is	
  now	
  common.	
  




   09.07.11	
                                   T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
As	
  a	
  consecquence	
  
Now	
  is	
  all	
  about	
  Loca.on,	
  loca.on,	
  loca.on	
  
     Ø  Tax	
  and	
  rebate	
  incen-ves	
  abound	
  
     Ø  Chasing	
  lower	
  produc-on	
  costs	
  
     Ø  Post	
  forced	
  to	
  chase	
  produc-ons        	
  




              40% of FF are Co-produced in EU
-­‐ FF	
  independant	
  	
  
       q 	
  2	
  worlds	
  :	
  	
  	
  
                  -­‐ a)	
  5	
  big	
  countries	
  able	
  to	
  «	
  auto	
  finance	
  »	
  films	
  &	
  invest	
  in	
  productions	
  	
  

                  -­‐ 	
  b)	
  More	
  than	
  30	
  countries	
  needing	
  coproduction	
  to	
  finance	
  their	
  local	
  filmmakers.	
  

       q 	
  #	
  of	
  financing	
  	
  sources	
  :	
  	
  15	
  to	
  25	
  	
  is	
  now	
  common.	
  
       q 	
  Much	
  more	
  difficulties	
  to	
  build	
  the	
  budget	
  
       q 	
  Less	
  #	
  of	
  projects	
  
       q 	
  Price	
  pressure	
  stronger	
  than	
  ever	
  
       q 	
  Digital	
  more	
  and	
  more	
  considered	
  as	
  a	
  viable	
  option.	
  
       q 	
  Distributors	
  want	
  to	
  see	
  films	
  finished	
  before	
  buying.	
  
       q 	
  National	
  MG	
  are	
  decreasing	
  
       q 	
  Int’l	
  presales	
  dropping	
  to	
  almost	
  0	
  
       q 	
  Technicians	
  more	
  negociable	
  &	
  Producers	
  are	
  taking	
  the	
  power.	
  


   09.07.11	
                                   T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
Dramatic	
  changes	
  in	
  Film	
  Financing	
  	
  Structures	
  (The	
  French	
  example)	
  

   Financing	
  source	
                     Vol	
  	
  	
  2008	
  	
  	
  M€	
     Vol	
  	
  	
  2009	
  	
  	
  M€	
     Compare	
  %	
  
   Broadcasters	
                                             349	
                                   300	
                          -­‐13.8	
  
   Producer	
                                                 336	
                                   267	
                          -­‐20.6	
  
   Distributor	
                                               152	
                                   121	
                         -­‐20.9	
  
   Equity	
  /	
  Sofica	
                                       35	
                                   34	
                           -­‐1.2	
  
   Video	
  (law	
  2%	
  net	
  rev)	
                       21.5	
                                  5.6	
                           -­‐74	
  
   Public	
  funds	
  subsid.	
                              96.2	
                                    92	
                           -­‐4.5	
  
   Regional	
  subsid.	
                                        32	
                                 18.8	
                          -­‐18.4	
  
   Foreign	
  Co-­‐Prod	
                                      85	
                                    75	
                           -­‐11.3	
  
   Pre	
  sales	
  ext.	
                                      161	
                                  13.1	
                         -­‐91.9	
  


   Total	
                                                   1260	
                                   928	
                          -­‐26.3	
  

09.07.11	
                                  T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
Dramatic	
  changes	
  in	
  Film	
  Financing	
  	
  Structures	
  (The	
  French	
  example)	
  

   Budgets	
  of	
               Number	
  of	
  FF	
  08	
   Number	
  of	
  FF	
  in	
  09	
   Compare	
  in	
  %	
  
   films	
  in	
  M€	
  
   Above	
  15	
                                 18	
                          11	
                        -­‐39	
  
   10-­‐15	
                                     17	
                          14	
                       -­‐17.6	
  
   7-­‐10	
                                      25	
                          21	
                        -­‐16	
  
   5-­‐7	
                                        11	
                         18	
                      +63.6	
  
   4-­‐5	
  	
                                   17	
                          9	
                         -­‐47	
  
   2-­‐4	
                                       41	
                         45	
                        +9.7	
  
   1-­‐2	
                                       23	
                         36	
                       +56.5	
  
   Below	
  1	
                                 44	
                          28	
                       -­‐36.3	
  
   total	
                                     196	
                          183	
                        -­‐7.1	
  


   Of	
  which	
  co-­‐pro	
                     51	
                         45	
                        -­‐11.7	
  
09.07.11	
                            T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
- If we are very much depending from US releases for prints, US production
   content « only » represents 20% of EAMER activity.(even less in 08-09)

               - 1 exception : US productions are impacting our emerging territories ( 30 to 40 % of
               FF neg sales ) & our services strategy ( Kodak Cinélabs strategy).

09.07.11	
                       T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
-­‐ TVC	
  	
  :	
  A	
  soft	
  economy	
  recovery	
  ?	
  	
  Not	
  yet	
  there	
  .	
  
      q 	
  storyboard	
  seem	
  to	
  re	
  start	
  to	
  circulate	
  a	
  little	
  bit	
  .	
  	
  	
  
      q 	
  Red	
  Hype	
  very	
  slightly	
  slowing	
  down	
  	
  (	
  -­‐>	
  after	
  NAB?)	
  
      q 	
  Communication	
  agencies	
  might	
  integrate	
  TVC	
  producers	
  in	
  the	
  future	
  
      q 	
  Canon	
  &	
  red	
  are	
  approaching	
  Com	
  agencies	
  directly	
  to	
  sell	
  their	
  cameras	
  
      	
  




  09.07.11	
                           T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
-­‐ TV	
  Drama	
  :	
  National	
  content	
  &	
  US	
  content	
  
      q 	
  S16mm	
  will	
  probably	
  disappeared	
  within	
  3	
  years	
  .	
  
      q 	
  35	
  2	
  perf	
  	
  is	
  taking	
  relay	
  	
  in	
  some	
  countries	
  (	
  FR,	
  UK)	
  
      q 	
  Fuji	
  re	
  attacking	
  this	
  segment	
  	
  since	
  2010(	
  after	
  having	
  given	
  up	
  in	
  08	
  &	
  09	
  ,	
  our	
  
      mkt	
  share	
  was	
  above	
  90%)	
  
      q 	
  Still	
  a	
  reasonable	
  year	
  	
  in	
  2010	
  before	
  the	
  arrival	
  of	
  Alexa	
  and	
  Penelope-­‐D.	
  
      q 	
  Degraining	
  solutions,	
  package	
  deals	
  &	
  35	
  2	
  perf	
  are	
  the	
  only	
  solutions	
  to	
  defend	
  	
  
      film	
  TV	
  market.	
  
      	
  




  09.07.11	
                                T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
European Kodak TV Market trend S16mm + 35mm Val ($)
               (35 2 or 3 perf is the total EU market)

 19.5     18         15.6         17          14.8       10.8 +1.1 8.9 + 2.5
Origin of fiction by principal tv channels in EU :
   American programmes still make up the majority in the case of series & films.




09.07.11	
               T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
 
	
  




-­‐ End	
  2010	
  /	
  2011	
  :	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  No	
  more	
  true	
  allies	
  on	
  the	
  industrial	
  market	
  

                1.  100%	
  of	
  camera	
  manufacturers	
  will	
  have	
  a	
  strong	
  digital	
  offer.	
  
                2.  Post	
  have	
  established	
  a	
  good	
  digital	
  workflow	
  for	
  digital	
  Images	
  
                     Acquisition	
  and	
  are	
  able	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  various	
  systems	
  …	
  
                3.  Gvts	
  are	
  taking	
  the	
  relay	
  of	
  private	
  investors	
  to	
  finance	
  digital	
  
                     distribution	
  (	
  Fr,	
  GE)	
  
                4.  Gvts	
  are	
  financing	
  digital	
  re	
  conversion	
  for	
  film	
  industry	
  (labs)	
  	
  via	
  
                     training	
  programs	
  (reconversion	
  programs)	
  &	
  financial	
  tax	
  systems	
  
                     to	
  convert	
  	
  these	
  companies	
  to	
  the	
  future.	
  	
  	
  




       09.07.11	
                       T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
Nevertheless	
  	
  
	
  
-­‐ In	
  all	
  ,	
  EU	
  states	
  still	
  spend	
  €1.6	
  Billion	
  a	
  year	
  to	
  support	
  their	
  national	
  film	
  
industries	
  ,	
  mostly	
  in	
  the	
  form	
  of	
  direct	
  grants	
  or	
  tax	
  incentives	
  

-­‐ 	
  3D	
  hype	
  is	
  everywhere	
  with	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  confusion	
  	
  (	
  how	
  to	
  do	
  it	
  ?	
  Extra	
  cost	
  
for	
  	
  a	
  	
  3D	
  release	
  ?	
  3D	
  means	
  automatically	
  digital	
  ,3D	
  TV….)	
  

	
  
	
  




 09.07.11	
                          T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  
The	
  digital	
  revolution	
  will	
  of	
  course	
  mean	
  profound	
  changes	
  for	
  the	
  Cinema	
  industry	
  :	
  	
  
               	
  =>	
  Mutations	
  in	
  distribution,	
  exhibition	
  &	
  productions	
  sectors	
  
	
  
But	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  adaption	
  &	
  economical	
  crisis	
  	
  should	
  play	
  in	
  	
  favour	
  of	
  some	
  technical	
  
suppliers	
  	
  on	
  a	
  short	
  term	
  point	
  of	
  view	
  (	
  24	
  months	
  ).	
  
	
  
2	
  majors	
  points	
  to	
  consider	
  
               	
  -­‐>	
  These	
  important	
  	
  transformations	
  have	
  a	
  high	
  cost	
  in	
  term	
  of	
  new	
  
               	
  equipment,	
  dev	
  of	
  new	
  business	
  models,	
  development	
  of	
  new	
  ways	
  of	
  
               	
  producing	
  &	
  distributing.	
  	
  
               	
  -­‐>	
  On	
  the	
  same	
  time,	
  the	
  economic	
  situation	
  makes	
  it	
  difficult	
  for	
  the	
  
               	
  European	
  industry	
  to	
  meet	
  these	
  costs.	
  	
  
                      	
  (	
  private	
  companies	
  will	
  have	
  difficulties	
  to	
  follow	
  the	
  necessary	
  investisment	
  in	
  capital	
  &	
  	
  Gvts	
  (	
  
                      	
  local	
  +	
  EU	
  deficits)	
  might	
  also	
  have	
  difficulties	
  to	
  substitute	
  themselves	
  to	
  private	
  Investors	
  for	
  a	
  
                      	
  while	
  .	
  
	
  
=>	
  	
  A	
  slow	
  down	
  in	
  the	
  decrease	
  trends	
  but	
  probably	
  not	
  an	
  increase	
  in	
  volume	
  	
  in	
  2010	
  



       09.07.11	
                                  T.	
  Perronnet	
  /	
  Eamer	
  	
  

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European entertainment imaging industry the new context after the economical crunh - thierry perronnet 2009

  • 1.            1              :          Economic  situation   2      :    Source    of    Finance   Financial  Crisis   Credit  Crunch   Reduced  Broadcasters   advertising  revenue   3          :        Second   Reduced  Broadcasters   Digital  Revolution   Contribution  to  Cinema     New  market     Reduced  Investisment  in   New  technologies     new  content   context  for    EI   New  opportunities   New  Financing  sources   Public  Money  is  getting   Scarcer   Traditional  markets  are   saturated   MG’s  have  nearly   New  digital  services   New  ways  of  producing   desappeared   are  booming   &  consuming  content   Distribution  &  Consumption   09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 2. -­‐ FF  independant     q   2  worlds  :       -­‐ a)  5  big  countries  able  to  «  auto  finance  »  films  &  invest  in  productions     -­‐   b)  More  than  30  countries  needing  coproduction  to  finance  their  local  filmmakers.   q   #  of  financing    sources  :    15  to  25    is  now  common.   09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 3. As  a  consecquence   Now  is  all  about  Loca.on,  loca.on,  loca.on   Ø  Tax  and  rebate  incen-ves  abound   Ø  Chasing  lower  produc-on  costs   Ø  Post  forced  to  chase  produc-ons   40% of FF are Co-produced in EU
  • 4. -­‐ FF  independant     q   2  worlds  :       -­‐ a)  5  big  countries  able  to  «  auto  finance  »  films  &  invest  in  productions     -­‐   b)  More  than  30  countries  needing  coproduction  to  finance  their  local  filmmakers.   q   #  of  financing    sources  :    15  to  25    is  now  common.   q   Much  more  difficulties  to  build  the  budget   q   Less  #  of  projects   q   Price  pressure  stronger  than  ever   q   Digital  more  and  more  considered  as  a  viable  option.   q   Distributors  want  to  see  films  finished  before  buying.   q   National  MG  are  decreasing   q   Int’l  presales  dropping  to  almost  0   q   Technicians  more  negociable  &  Producers  are  taking  the  power.   09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 5. Dramatic  changes  in  Film  Financing    Structures  (The  French  example)   Financing  source   Vol      2008      M€   Vol      2009      M€   Compare  %   Broadcasters   349   300   -­‐13.8   Producer   336   267   -­‐20.6   Distributor   152   121   -­‐20.9   Equity  /  Sofica   35   34   -­‐1.2   Video  (law  2%  net  rev)   21.5   5.6   -­‐74   Public  funds  subsid.   96.2   92   -­‐4.5   Regional  subsid.   32   18.8   -­‐18.4   Foreign  Co-­‐Prod   85   75   -­‐11.3   Pre  sales  ext.   161   13.1   -­‐91.9   Total   1260   928   -­‐26.3   09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 6. Dramatic  changes  in  Film  Financing    Structures  (The  French  example)   Budgets  of   Number  of  FF  08   Number  of  FF  in  09   Compare  in  %   films  in  M€   Above  15   18   11   -­‐39   10-­‐15   17   14   -­‐17.6   7-­‐10   25   21   -­‐16   5-­‐7   11   18   +63.6   4-­‐5     17   9   -­‐47   2-­‐4   41   45   +9.7   1-­‐2   23   36   +56.5   Below  1   44   28   -­‐36.3   total   196   183   -­‐7.1   Of  which  co-­‐pro   51   45   -­‐11.7   09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 7. - If we are very much depending from US releases for prints, US production content « only » represents 20% of EAMER activity.(even less in 08-09) - 1 exception : US productions are impacting our emerging territories ( 30 to 40 % of FF neg sales ) & our services strategy ( Kodak Cinélabs strategy). 09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 8. -­‐ TVC    :  A  soft  economy  recovery  ?    Not  yet  there  .   q   storyboard  seem  to  re  start  to  circulate  a  little  bit  .       q   Red  Hype  very  slightly  slowing  down    (  -­‐>  after  NAB?)   q   Communication  agencies  might  integrate  TVC  producers  in  the  future   q   Canon  &  red  are  approaching  Com  agencies  directly  to  sell  their  cameras     09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 9. -­‐ TV  Drama  :  National  content  &  US  content   q   S16mm  will  probably  disappeared  within  3  years  .   q   35  2  perf    is  taking  relay    in  some  countries  (  FR,  UK)   q   Fuji  re  attacking  this  segment    since  2010(  after  having  given  up  in  08  &  09  ,  our   mkt  share  was  above  90%)   q   Still  a  reasonable  year    in  2010  before  the  arrival  of  Alexa  and  Penelope-­‐D.   q   Degraining  solutions,  package  deals  &  35  2  perf  are  the  only  solutions  to  defend     film  TV  market.     09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 10. European Kodak TV Market trend S16mm + 35mm Val ($) (35 2 or 3 perf is the total EU market) 19.5 18 15.6 17 14.8 10.8 +1.1 8.9 + 2.5
  • 11. Origin of fiction by principal tv channels in EU : American programmes still make up the majority in the case of series & films. 09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 12.     -­‐ End  2010  /  2011  :          No  more  true  allies  on  the  industrial  market   1.  100%  of  camera  manufacturers  will  have  a  strong  digital  offer.   2.  Post  have  established  a  good  digital  workflow  for  digital  Images   Acquisition  and  are  able  to  deal  with  various  systems  …   3.  Gvts  are  taking  the  relay  of  private  investors  to  finance  digital   distribution  (  Fr,  GE)   4.  Gvts  are  financing  digital  re  conversion  for  film  industry  (labs)    via   training  programs  (reconversion  programs)  &  financial  tax  systems   to  convert    these  companies  to  the  future.       09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 13. Nevertheless       -­‐ In  all  ,  EU  states  still  spend  €1.6  Billion  a  year  to  support  their  national  film   industries  ,  mostly  in  the  form  of  direct  grants  or  tax  incentives   -­‐   3D  hype  is  everywhere  with  a  lot  of  confusion    (  how  to  do  it  ?  Extra  cost   for    a    3D  release  ?  3D  means  automatically  digital  ,3D  TV….)       09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer    
  • 14. The  digital  revolution  will  of  course  mean  profound  changes  for  the  Cinema  industry  :      =>  Mutations  in  distribution,  exhibition  &  productions  sectors     But  the  cost  of  adaption  &  economical  crisis    should  play  in    favour  of  some  technical   suppliers    on  a  short  term  point  of  view  (  24  months  ).     2  majors  points  to  consider    -­‐>  These  important    transformations  have  a  high  cost  in  term  of  new    equipment,  dev  of  new  business  models,  development  of  new  ways  of    producing  &  distributing.      -­‐>  On  the  same  time,  the  economic  situation  makes  it  difficult  for  the    European  industry  to  meet  these  costs.      (  private  companies  will  have  difficulties  to  follow  the  necessary  investisment  in  capital  &    Gvts  (    local  +  EU  deficits)  might  also  have  difficulties  to  substitute  themselves  to  private  Investors  for  a    while  .     =>    A  slow  down  in  the  decrease  trends  but  probably  not  an  increase  in  volume    in  2010   09.07.11   T.  Perronnet  /  Eamer