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From Knowledge Stocks to Knowledge Flows:
Opportunities and Challenges Ahead



John Hagel
Co-Chairman, Center for the Edge
The Big Shift




Foundations     Flows         Exponential Learning




                        -2-
The Challenge

Return on Assets for the U.S. Economy (1965-2010)

                        6.00%


                        5.00%


                        4.00%
 Return on Assets (%)




                                  4.2%

                        3.00%


                        2.00%


                        1.00%
                                                                                                    0.6%
                        0.00%
                                1965     1970   1975   1980    1985     1990   1995   2000   2005   2010
                                                              Economy ROA
 Source: Deloitte Shift Index




                                                                      -3-
Where’s The Value?



Ecosystem




 Enterprise


              Knowledge         Knowledge
              Stocks            Flows




                          -4-
Explicit vs. Tacit Knowledge

            Explicit




Percent
of Total
Knowledge




            Tacit

                       New                10 Years
                       Experience         Later


                                    -5-
Rate of Knowledge Depreciation

        High



                                             20th Century

Value




                              21st Century
    Low
               Start              5 Years



                       -6-
Challenge




   Tacit Knowledge Doesn’t Flow –
            It Is Sticky




                -7-
What’s Required to Access Tacit Knowledge?




       Trust Based Relationships




                      -8-
Multiple Forms of Trust


                                Person




                     Skill




 Institution

                          -9-
The Foundation of Personal Trust

                    Shared
                    Purpose




                  Vulnerability




                    Passion

                       - 10 -
Scaling Access to Tacit Knowledge

                                    Team
                                    Collaboration



                  Reputation and
                  Relationships




Individual
Problem-solving



                        - 11 -
Enabling Knowledge Flows



                Learning




    Search                   Serendipity


                    - 12 -
Potential Implications for Knowledge Management

 1)   Knowledge                 People

 2)   Contribute                Capture

 3)   Objects                   Environments

 4)   Search                    Serendipity

 5)   Transfer                  Create

 6)   Firm                      Beyond

 7)   Leverage        Through   Passion

 8)   Stock Metrics             Flow Metrics




                                 - 13 -
Stay In Touch
jhagel@deloitte.com – email
     @jhagel - twitter




            - 14 -

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John Hagel: Knowledge stocks to flows