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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           27th February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28630. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (19 Mar-12)
                                                                 lower to touch an intraday low of 28629. However, it managed to
                                                                 move higher and touched an intra-day high of 28686. It ended the
 Open                    28,630        58,414         5,387      day flat to close at 28664.
 High                    28,686        58,487         5,410
                                                                 The Stochastic has slipped below its average and is placed in the
 Low                     28,629        58,364         5,387      over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular
 Close                   28,664        58,435         5,406      intervals. However, the RSI remains placed above its average,
                                                                 which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, -
 Prev. Close             28,669        58,404         5,372
                                                                 DI line are moving sideways, however, +DI line is placed above the
 % Change                -0.02%        0.05%          0.63%      30.63 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD
                                                                 faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are
Source – MCX
                                                                 placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 58414. It
                       23/2/2012    22/2/2012        % Chg.      moved lower to touch an intraday low of 58364. However, it
                                                                 managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 58487. It
 Gold (gms)              1,515.0     40,181.0       -96.23%
                                                                 ended the day flat to close at 58435.
 Silver (kgs)               52.2       2,883.3      -98.19%

 Crude (bbl)             1,177.2     14,880.0       -92.09%
                                                                 The RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to
                                                                 buying support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic has slipped
Source – MCX                                                     below its average and is placed in the over bought zone along with
                                                                 RSI, which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. The ADX
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                         line and -DI line are moving sideways, however, +DI line is placed
                                                                 at 34.89 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver
                       23/2/2012    22/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are
Gold                    43,414.1   1,158,188.4      -96.25%      placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Silver                  30,525.7   1,669,507.8      -98.17%      MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5387 level. It
Crude                   63,548.5    782,559.3       -91.88%      moved lower to touch an intraday low of 5387. However, it managed
                                                                 to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 5410. It ended the
Source – MCX                                                     day with moderate gains to close at 5406.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                     The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages,
                       24/2/2012    23/2/2012        % Chg.      which would lead to regular bouts of buying support at lower levels.
                                                                 However, both RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over bought
Gold (oz)               1,777.00     1,776.40         0.03%
                                                                 zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling
Silver (oz)                35.59        35.42         0.48%      pressure. The –DI line is moving sideways, but the ADX line, and
Crude (bbl)              109.46        109.77        -0.28%
                                                                 +DI line are placed above 30 level indicating buyers are gaining
                                                                 strength. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the
Dollar Index               78.44        78.40         0.05%      supports are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE MAR 12                          5406                    5401         5415          5424        5447          5392         5378        5355

 GOLD APR 12                          28664                 28660         28690          28717       28774        28633         28603       28546

 SILVER MAR 12                        58435                 58429         58493          58552       58675        58370         58306       58183


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US Economic Calendar:

      Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                      Monday
      Feb. 27                      Feb. 28                      Feb. 29                        Mar. 01                      Mar. 05
Pending Home Sales         Durable Goods Orders          GDP Data                     Jobless Claims                Factory Orders
Index
Dallas Fed Mfg Survey      Consumer Confidence           EIA Petroleum Status         Personal Income and           Non-Manufacturing
                                                         Report                       Outlays                       Index
4-Week Bill                S&P Case-Shiller HPI          Ben Bernanke Speech          Construction Spending         3-month, 6-month bill
Announcement                                                                                                        auction




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote commodity daily report 270212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 27th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28630. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Mar-12) lower to touch an intraday low of 28629. However, it managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 28686. It ended the Open 28,630 58,414 5,387 day flat to close at 28664. High 28,686 58,487 5,410 The Stochastic has slipped below its average and is placed in the Low 28,629 58,364 5,387 over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular Close 28,664 58,435 5,406 intervals. However, the RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, - Prev. Close 28,669 58,404 5,372 DI line are moving sideways, however, +DI line is placed above the % Change -0.02% 0.05% 0.63% 30.63 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are Source – MCX placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 58414. It 23/2/2012 22/2/2012 % Chg. moved lower to touch an intraday low of 58364. However, it managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 58487. It Gold (gms) 1,515.0 40,181.0 -96.23% ended the day flat to close at 58435. Silver (kgs) 52.2 2,883.3 -98.19% Crude (bbl) 1,177.2 14,880.0 -92.09% The RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic has slipped Source – MCX below its average and is placed in the over bought zone along with RSI, which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. The ADX Turnover (In Lacs) line and -DI line are moving sideways, however, +DI line is placed at 34.89 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver 23/2/2012 22/2/2012 % Chg. faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are Gold 43,414.1 1,158,188.4 -96.25% placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Silver 30,525.7 1,669,507.8 -98.17% MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5387 level. It Crude 63,548.5 782,559.3 -91.88% moved lower to touch an intraday low of 5387. However, it managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 5410. It ended the Source – MCX day with moderate gains to close at 5406. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, 24/2/2012 23/2/2012 % Chg. which would lead to regular bouts of buying support at lower levels. However, both RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over bought Gold (oz) 1,777.00 1,776.40 0.03% zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling Silver (oz) 35.59 35.42 0.48% pressure. The –DI line is moving sideways, but the ADX line, and Crude (bbl) 109.46 109.77 -0.28% +DI line are placed above 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the Dollar Index 78.44 78.40 0.05% supports are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5406 5401 5415 5424 5447 5392 5378 5355 GOLD APR 12 28664 28660 28690 28717 28774 28633 28603 28546 SILVER MAR 12 58435 58429 58493 58552 58675 58370 58306 58183 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Monday Feb. 27 Feb. 28 Feb. 29 Mar. 01 Mar. 05 Pending Home Sales Durable Goods Orders GDP Data Jobless Claims Factory Orders Index Dallas Fed Mfg Survey Consumer Confidence EIA Petroleum Status Personal Income and Non-Manufacturing Report Outlays Index 4-Week Bill S&P Case-Shiller HPI Ben Bernanke Speech Construction Spending 3-month, 6-month bill Announcement auction Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com