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WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
11 May 2015
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Cell: +1 704 249 2315
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1
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Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
MAY 10512 10635 10822 10199 -2.59 87700
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
10469
SUPP. 2
10739
PIVOT
Coriander short term
trend is down, further
more down side is
expected in comimg
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10282
RES. 2
10365
CASTORSEED
MAY 3715 3720 3817 3652 -0.14 272750
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3739.33
SUPP. 2
3826.67
PIVOT
3729
Castorseed short term
trend is down, Prices
expected to go down in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3642.33
RES. 2
3902
TURMERIC
MAY 8276 8360 8538 8092 -2.14 60905
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8508
SUPP. 2
8300
PIVOT
8330
Turmeric short term
trend is down and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8122
RES. 2
8152
GUARGUM
MAY 12110 13000 11450 11760 -0.51 34285
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
12350
SUPP. 2
12960
PIVOT
12290
Guargum Short term
trend is down,
Expecting price may go
up in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11680
RES. 2
11620
Weekly Recommendations
3
BUY CASTORSEED MAY ABOVE 3850 TARGET 3950 4050 SL BELOW 3700
SELL CASTORSEED MAY BELOW 3680 TARGET 3580 3480 SL ABOVE 3830
BUY GUARGUM MAY ABOVE 11750 TARGET 11900 12050 SL BELOW 11550
SELL GUARGUM MAY BELOW 11590 TARGET 11440 11290 SL ABOVE 11790
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 Haryana has achieved about 98 per cent wheat procurement target
with purchase reaching 63.85 lakh tonnes in the ongoing rabi marketing
season in the state.Haryana has set a target of procuring 65 lakh tonnes
for the current season.Wheat procurement so far is also 3 per cent more
than what was purchased in corresponding period last year.An official
spokesman said so far wheat procurement is 2,15,447 metric tonnes
higher as compared to the procurement made up to same day last year.out
of the total arrival of 63,85,629 metric tonnes this year, 63,85,364 metric
tonnes of crop has been procured by government procuring agencies at
Minimum Support Price and remaining 265 metric tonnes was lifted by
the traders.Giving details of the procurement, he said 18.93 lakh metric
tonnes of wheat had been procured by the Food and Supplies
Department, 27.71 lakh metric tonnes by Hafed, 6.63 lakh metric tonnes
by Haryana Agro, 10.50 lakh metric tonnes by Haryana Warehousing
Corporation and 5,800 metric tonnes of wheat was purchased by Confed.
Haryana Food and Supplies Minister Ram Bilas Sharma today said 96
per cent payment for wheat, amounting to Rs 8,586 crore has been
released to farmers by the department and state procurement agencies.
63,26,064 metric tonnes of wheat had been purchased by government
procurement agencies up to May 6 at minimum support price of Rs 1,450
per quintal.
Wheat futures have witnessed some selling from higher levels due to
fresh arrivals in local mandies along with restricted demand of millers at
local mandies. The NCDEX June futures declined by 0.24 percent
today.The market sources suggested that strong arrivals have been
reported in all the major mandies from the last two days due to
favourable conditions for wheat harvesting. The states such as Haryana
and Punjab have reported strong supplies. The market sources have
witnessed wheat arrivals of 18.75 lakh tonnes so far in the ongoing rabi
marketing season.
 Some recovery was seen in turmeric futures due to strong demand by
stockiest at lower levels coupled with limited supplies in local mandies. Traders
are expecting the total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the current
year, down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the same period. However, in the
long term, traders are expecting further decline in the coming days due to
possibility of new supplies from other producing states. The market traders are
avoiding any long positions at current levels. Demand for the commodity has
been increasing rapidly from the medicinal and cosmetic industry. For 2014/15
season, there are concerns over crop loss due to cyclone ‘Hudhud’ that hit
Andhra Pradesh in Oct 2014. Sowing of Turmeric in AP for the 2014-15 season
is reported at 0.13 lakh ha, as against 0.1 lakh ha last year. The area in
Telangana stood at 0.446 lakh ha against 0.431 lakh ha last year. Exports in
turmeric have increased by 8% to 65,000 tonnes during Apr-Dec 2014 as
compared to last year. The export target for the 2014-15 is 80,000 tonnes
according to Spice Board.
Firmness returned for Jeera prices as export demand started rising at the lower
levels. Firmness in Dollar vs Re too added to the Bullish sentiment as that is
beneficial for exporters. Low production, rising demand and firm Dollar are
however likely to keep sentiments firm for the commodity in medium to long
term. Jeera pric es at NCDEX touched all time high of 18700 last month on the
back of concerns over lower acreage. Rising export demand amidst falling
arrivals in the mandis and lower production reports kept supporting prices. An
expected 25-30% lower sowing area is already keeping prices firm. Exports are
rising and expected to rise further in coming weeks. Spot cumin seed prices
remained flat at Unjna and Rajkot market on Thursday. Arrivals were lower but
demand was also average. In Rajkot, European quality cumin seed was quoted
at Rs. 3,100-3,200/20kg, Singapore quality was quoted at Rs. 2,900-3,100.
Discolored cumin seed quoted at Rs. 2,500-2,800, old crop cumin seed traded at
Rs. 2,900-3,100, while Kirana quality was offered at Rs. 3,300-3,400.As per the
Agriculture department of the state, during 2014-15 sowing area was reduced
by 41%. As per third advanced estimate only 2.66 lakh hectare is sown for jeera
vs 2.82 lakh hectare estimate of second estimate. During 2013-14 jeera was
sown in around 4.55 lakh hectare area
5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINES
 Sugar production in India soars to 273.74Lt.
 Sugar output rises 14.27% to 27.37 million tonnes in October-April.
 India Cotton production to dip 3% to 6.4Mt in 2015-16.
 ISMA Forecasted India's Sugar ProductionTo 28 MT In 2014-15.
 Maharashtra lowers calamity-hit crop loss percentage to 33%.
 Haryana government bans farmers from burning wheat stubble.
 How poor monsoon is going to impact agriculture and seed business.
 Maize: What India should do as demand will rise to 45Mt by 2025-30.
 India to commit supply of bales of Cotton to Garments Industry.
 Oilmeal exports lose momentum, down 35% in April.
 Haryana meets 98% wheat procurement target this season.
SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Mustard Seed 2 MT Jaipur 3719.8
Mustardseed Jaipur 3719.8
Mustardseed Alwar 3710.5
Ref Soya Oil Nagpur 604.5
Ref Soya Oil Indore 595
Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 590
Soy Bean Kota 3868.75
Soy Bean Indore 4008
Soy Bean Nagpur 4080
Soybean 2 MT Indore 4008
Soymeal Indore 37250
Sugar M Grade Kolhapur 2556.5
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Barley Jaipur 1263.95
Castor Seed Deesa 3665.6
Castor Seed 2 MT Deesa 3665.6
Chana Bikaner 4100
Chana Delhi 4314.45
Chana Indore 4306.65
Chana 2 MT Delhi 4314.45
Coriander Kota 9701.05
Cotton Kadi 16409.6
Cotton Seed (Industrial
Grade)
Akola 2132
Cotton Seed Oilcake Akola 1800
Cotton Seed Oilcake Kadi 1879.15
Crude Palm Oil Kandla 433.6
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
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Epic research weekly agri report 11th to 15th may 2015

  • 1. WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 11 May 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Weekly Wrap Up 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL CORIANDER MAY 10512 10635 10822 10199 -2.59 87700 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 10469 SUPP. 2 10739 PIVOT Coriander short term trend is down, further more down side is expected in comimg days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 10282 RES. 2 10365 CASTORSEED MAY 3715 3720 3817 3652 -0.14 272750 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3739.33 SUPP. 2 3826.67 PIVOT 3729 Castorseed short term trend is down, Prices expected to go down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3642.33 RES. 2 3902 TURMERIC MAY 8276 8360 8538 8092 -2.14 60905 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8508 SUPP. 2 8300 PIVOT 8330 Turmeric short term trend is down and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8122 RES. 2 8152 GUARGUM MAY 12110 13000 11450 11760 -0.51 34285 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 12350 SUPP. 2 12960 PIVOT 12290 Guargum Short term trend is down, Expecting price may go up in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 11680 RES. 2 11620
  • 3. Weekly Recommendations 3 BUY CASTORSEED MAY ABOVE 3850 TARGET 3950 4050 SL BELOW 3700 SELL CASTORSEED MAY BELOW 3680 TARGET 3580 3480 SL ABOVE 3830 BUY GUARGUM MAY ABOVE 11750 TARGET 11900 12050 SL BELOW 11550 SELL GUARGUM MAY BELOW 11590 TARGET 11440 11290 SL ABOVE 11790
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  Haryana has achieved about 98 per cent wheat procurement target with purchase reaching 63.85 lakh tonnes in the ongoing rabi marketing season in the state.Haryana has set a target of procuring 65 lakh tonnes for the current season.Wheat procurement so far is also 3 per cent more than what was purchased in corresponding period last year.An official spokesman said so far wheat procurement is 2,15,447 metric tonnes higher as compared to the procurement made up to same day last year.out of the total arrival of 63,85,629 metric tonnes this year, 63,85,364 metric tonnes of crop has been procured by government procuring agencies at Minimum Support Price and remaining 265 metric tonnes was lifted by the traders.Giving details of the procurement, he said 18.93 lakh metric tonnes of wheat had been procured by the Food and Supplies Department, 27.71 lakh metric tonnes by Hafed, 6.63 lakh metric tonnes by Haryana Agro, 10.50 lakh metric tonnes by Haryana Warehousing Corporation and 5,800 metric tonnes of wheat was purchased by Confed. Haryana Food and Supplies Minister Ram Bilas Sharma today said 96 per cent payment for wheat, amounting to Rs 8,586 crore has been released to farmers by the department and state procurement agencies. 63,26,064 metric tonnes of wheat had been purchased by government procurement agencies up to May 6 at minimum support price of Rs 1,450 per quintal. Wheat futures have witnessed some selling from higher levels due to fresh arrivals in local mandies along with restricted demand of millers at local mandies. The NCDEX June futures declined by 0.24 percent today.The market sources suggested that strong arrivals have been reported in all the major mandies from the last two days due to favourable conditions for wheat harvesting. The states such as Haryana and Punjab have reported strong supplies. The market sources have witnessed wheat arrivals of 18.75 lakh tonnes so far in the ongoing rabi marketing season.  Some recovery was seen in turmeric futures due to strong demand by stockiest at lower levels coupled with limited supplies in local mandies. Traders are expecting the total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the current year, down 20 lakh bags from the last year in the same period. However, in the long term, traders are expecting further decline in the coming days due to possibility of new supplies from other producing states. The market traders are avoiding any long positions at current levels. Demand for the commodity has been increasing rapidly from the medicinal and cosmetic industry. For 2014/15 season, there are concerns over crop loss due to cyclone ‘Hudhud’ that hit Andhra Pradesh in Oct 2014. Sowing of Turmeric in AP for the 2014-15 season is reported at 0.13 lakh ha, as against 0.1 lakh ha last year. The area in Telangana stood at 0.446 lakh ha against 0.431 lakh ha last year. Exports in turmeric have increased by 8% to 65,000 tonnes during Apr-Dec 2014 as compared to last year. The export target for the 2014-15 is 80,000 tonnes according to Spice Board. Firmness returned for Jeera prices as export demand started rising at the lower levels. Firmness in Dollar vs Re too added to the Bullish sentiment as that is beneficial for exporters. Low production, rising demand and firm Dollar are however likely to keep sentiments firm for the commodity in medium to long term. Jeera pric es at NCDEX touched all time high of 18700 last month on the back of concerns over lower acreage. Rising export demand amidst falling arrivals in the mandis and lower production reports kept supporting prices. An expected 25-30% lower sowing area is already keeping prices firm. Exports are rising and expected to rise further in coming weeks. Spot cumin seed prices remained flat at Unjna and Rajkot market on Thursday. Arrivals were lower but demand was also average. In Rajkot, European quality cumin seed was quoted at Rs. 3,100-3,200/20kg, Singapore quality was quoted at Rs. 2,900-3,100. Discolored cumin seed quoted at Rs. 2,500-2,800, old crop cumin seed traded at Rs. 2,900-3,100, while Kirana quality was offered at Rs. 3,300-3,400.As per the Agriculture department of the state, during 2014-15 sowing area was reduced by 41%. As per third advanced estimate only 2.66 lakh hectare is sown for jeera vs 2.82 lakh hectare estimate of second estimate. During 2013-14 jeera was sown in around 4.55 lakh hectare area
  • 5. 5 NEWS RECAP COMMODITY HEADLINES  Sugar production in India soars to 273.74Lt.  Sugar output rises 14.27% to 27.37 million tonnes in October-April.  India Cotton production to dip 3% to 6.4Mt in 2015-16.  ISMA Forecasted India's Sugar ProductionTo 28 MT In 2014-15.  Maharashtra lowers calamity-hit crop loss percentage to 33%.  Haryana government bans farmers from burning wheat stubble.  How poor monsoon is going to impact agriculture and seed business.  Maize: What India should do as demand will rise to 45Mt by 2025-30.  India to commit supply of bales of Cotton to Garments Industry.  Oilmeal exports lose momentum, down 35% in April.  Haryana meets 98% wheat procurement target this season.
  • 6. SPOT QUOTES 6 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Mustard Seed 2 MT Jaipur 3719.8 Mustardseed Jaipur 3719.8 Mustardseed Alwar 3710.5 Ref Soya Oil Nagpur 604.5 Ref Soya Oil Indore 595 Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 590 Soy Bean Kota 3868.75 Soy Bean Indore 4008 Soy Bean Nagpur 4080 Soybean 2 MT Indore 4008 Soymeal Indore 37250 Sugar M Grade Kolhapur 2556.5 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Barley Jaipur 1263.95 Castor Seed Deesa 3665.6 Castor Seed 2 MT Deesa 3665.6 Chana Bikaner 4100 Chana Delhi 4314.45 Chana Indore 4306.65 Chana 2 MT Delhi 4314.45 Coriander Kota 9701.05 Cotton Kadi 16409.6 Cotton Seed (Industrial Grade) Akola 2132 Cotton Seed Oilcake Akola 1800 Cotton Seed Oilcake Kadi 1879.15 Crude Palm Oil Kandla 433.6
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.