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WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
19 OCTOBER 2015
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Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
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Our Presence
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Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
OCT 11900 12455 11900 12080 -0.12 97800
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11835
SUPP. 2
11590
PIVOT
12145
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12390
RES. 2
12700
CASTORSEED
OCT 4151 4196 4090 4107 -0.80 284620
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4006
SUPP. 2
3905
PIVOT
4101
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
may continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4202
RES. 2
4297
TURMERIC
OCT 8080 8460 7962 8024 -0.12 82865
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7837
SUPP. 2
7651
PIVOT
8149
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8335
RES. 2
8647
GUARGUM
OCT 8950 9170 8410 8410 -5.82 73331
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8157
SUPP. 2
7903
PIVOT
8663
Guargum Short term
trend is bullish and
may continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8917
RES. 2
9423
Weekly Recommendations
3
BUY CORIANDER NOV ABOVE 12080 TARGET 12180 12280 SL BELOW 11930
SELL CORIANDER NOV BELOW 11900 TARGET 11800 11700 SL ABOVE 12050
BUY GUARGUM NOV ABOVE 8890 TARGET 9040 9190 SL BELOW 8690
SELL GUARGUM NOV BELOW 8450 TARGET 8300 8150 SL ABOVE 8650
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Prices of pulses have skyrocketed over the past 12 months, with tur dal
rates more than doubling to touch an all-time high. It is trading in
wholesale markets at Rs 190 per kg at the moment against Rs 90 in
October 2014; retail prices are another Rs 20-30 higher. Following close
on its heels is urad dal, which is going at a wholesale rate of Rs 160 per kg
(Rs 85 last year).Market watchers blame the price rise on a variety of
reasons—from erratic weather and a poor crop to hoarding by middlemen,
MNCs and the mega retail chains —and claim the situation has turned
worse in the festive season as the state government failed to react swiftly
to the Centre's warnings of a price spiral.Comparatively, the increase in
masoor dal price has been far more modest, from Rs 70 to Rs 90 in
wholesale. With tur and urad retailing at Rs 220 and Rs 180 per kg,
respectively, consumers' monthly budget has gone for a toss. Dal, a major
source of protein for the common man, particularly the vegetarians, is
proving to be a luxury."We will not be able to buy theamount of dal that
we need monthly due to the unwarranted price rise and that too during the
festive season. It's shocking that retailers are making a killing out of an
artificial shortage," said a housewife.This year crops were damaged in
pulses-producing areas like Jalna, Nagpur, Latur and Dhule due to
hailstorm, unseasonal rain and erratic monsoon, leading to curtailed
supply. "Apart from these natural factors, farmers have lost interest in
pulses due to high production cost that leads to less profit," said a
farmer.Long-time traders and market experts allege that domestic hoarders
seem to be the key players responsible for the rising prices, besides new
market entrants like MNCs and large firms which are into trading.
"Multinationals and retail chains have become the new market regulators
who enjoy enough liberty to singlehandedly control the market. They pour
huge money to buy the crops directly from farmers at cheaper rates and
pile up stocks to create artificial market demand," said Jayesh Vora."The
absence of an appropriate market monitoring mechanism by the
government has encouraged these new players to dominate the market and
monopolize it," said Kirti Rana, a member of the Navi Mumbai Merchant
Association.
Mustard Seed settled down on profit booking despite of speculation of
lower supply in international and domestic market. The rise in mustard oil
demand by major consuming region of eastern India during the festive
season is encouraging higher buying by crushing units. Downside seen
limited due to supply worries after Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)
reported that from the beginning of Oct Rajasthan has not received any
rainfall which is likely to affect rabi sowing of rm seed.According to MOPA,
the production of mustard for 2014-15 has been lowered to 49 lakh tonnes,
which was earlier forecasted at 57.4 lt. As per the latest SEA data, the
shipment of rapeseed meal exports increased m-o-m to 60,211 tonnes in Sep
compared to 49,788 tonnes in Aug.
Turmeric settled down by tracking weakness in spot demand amid heavy
arrivals from producing belts. Good rains in second part of September in
southern peninsula region may enhance the turmeric production and quality.
Turmeric sowing area reported high in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu state
during the current sowing period. As per dept of commerce data, turmeric
exports during April-Jul, 2015 pegged at 32,158 tonnes while the export for
the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in FY14.Turmeric
sowing In AP, is recorded at 15,664 hectares increase over last years’
acreage as well normal sowing area progress however in Telangana, the
sowing area is lower than the normal sowing area at 40,823 hac compared to
43,470 hac last year.
Ref Soya oil settled down tracking weakness in spot demand amid profit
booking. However downside seen limited after USDA in its WASDE report
trimmed Indian soyoil production by 5.5%. India soybean oil imports
climbed 99.39% in September after local demand of edible oils rose due to
lack of domestic crushing, data release from the Solvent Extractors
Association (SEA) of India showed.
5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Tur dal set new record at Rs 205/kg in wholesale.
 Government promotes hydroponic for growing fodder amid water scarcity.
Hybrid seed producers want government to move CCI against Mahyco Monsanto.
 Government trying hard to contain surge in pulses prices, plans to boost supply via imports.
 Indian drought: Bonanza for Canadian growers of pulses.
 Tamil Nadu sugar mills hope rising prices will settle farmers' arrears.
 Crop failure and below normal rains brings down farmers purchasing power.
 Government fixes sugar export quota to EU & US for this year.
 All paddy varieties must be under MSP mechanism: Minister Birender Singh.
 Wholesale onion prices fall below Rs 30/kg at Lasalgaon.
 Cotton output in Punjab, Haryana to dip 40% due to pest attack.
SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Mustardseed Jaipur 5107.15
Mustardseed Alwar 5088.4
Ref Soya Oil Nagpur 625.5
Ref Soya Oil Indore 632.8
Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 610
Soy Bean Kota 3875
Soy Bean Indore 3982
Soy Bean Nagpur 3950
Sugar M Grade Erode 2898
Sugar M Grade Muzaffar Nagar 2831.25
Sugar M Grade Delhi 2880
Sugar M Grade Kolkatta 2925
COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE
Barley Jaipur 1418.55
Castor Seed Deesa 4100
Chana Bikaner 5170
Chana Delhi 5376.5
Chana Indore 5244.8
Chana 2 MT Delhi 5376.5
Coriander Kota 12076.8
Cotton Kadi 15704.45
Guar Gum Jodhpur 8344.05
Guar Seed 10 MT Jodhpur 4065.3
GUAR SEED 2 MT Jodhpur 4065.3
Guarseed Bikaner 4073.15
Jeera Unjha 16688.55
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and
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Epic research weekly agri report 19 oct 2015

  • 1. WEEKLY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 19 OCTOBER 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Weekly Wrap Up 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL CORIANDER OCT 11900 12455 11900 12080 -0.12 97800 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 11835 SUPP. 2 11590 PIVOT 12145 Coriander short term trend is bullish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 12390 RES. 2 12700 CASTORSEED OCT 4151 4196 4090 4107 -0.80 284620 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4006 SUPP. 2 3905 PIVOT 4101 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4202 RES. 2 4297 TURMERIC OCT 8080 8460 7962 8024 -0.12 82865 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7837 SUPP. 2 7651 PIVOT 8149 Turmeric short term trend is bullish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8335 RES. 2 8647 GUARGUM OCT 8950 9170 8410 8410 -5.82 73331 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8157 SUPP. 2 7903 PIVOT 8663 Guargum Short term trend is bullish and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8917 RES. 2 9423
  • 3. Weekly Recommendations 3 BUY CORIANDER NOV ABOVE 12080 TARGET 12180 12280 SL BELOW 11930 SELL CORIANDER NOV BELOW 11900 TARGET 11800 11700 SL ABOVE 12050 BUY GUARGUM NOV ABOVE 8890 TARGET 9040 9190 SL BELOW 8690 SELL GUARGUM NOV BELOW 8450 TARGET 8300 8150 SL ABOVE 8650
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS Prices of pulses have skyrocketed over the past 12 months, with tur dal rates more than doubling to touch an all-time high. It is trading in wholesale markets at Rs 190 per kg at the moment against Rs 90 in October 2014; retail prices are another Rs 20-30 higher. Following close on its heels is urad dal, which is going at a wholesale rate of Rs 160 per kg (Rs 85 last year).Market watchers blame the price rise on a variety of reasons—from erratic weather and a poor crop to hoarding by middlemen, MNCs and the mega retail chains —and claim the situation has turned worse in the festive season as the state government failed to react swiftly to the Centre's warnings of a price spiral.Comparatively, the increase in masoor dal price has been far more modest, from Rs 70 to Rs 90 in wholesale. With tur and urad retailing at Rs 220 and Rs 180 per kg, respectively, consumers' monthly budget has gone for a toss. Dal, a major source of protein for the common man, particularly the vegetarians, is proving to be a luxury."We will not be able to buy theamount of dal that we need monthly due to the unwarranted price rise and that too during the festive season. It's shocking that retailers are making a killing out of an artificial shortage," said a housewife.This year crops were damaged in pulses-producing areas like Jalna, Nagpur, Latur and Dhule due to hailstorm, unseasonal rain and erratic monsoon, leading to curtailed supply. "Apart from these natural factors, farmers have lost interest in pulses due to high production cost that leads to less profit," said a farmer.Long-time traders and market experts allege that domestic hoarders seem to be the key players responsible for the rising prices, besides new market entrants like MNCs and large firms which are into trading. "Multinationals and retail chains have become the new market regulators who enjoy enough liberty to singlehandedly control the market. They pour huge money to buy the crops directly from farmers at cheaper rates and pile up stocks to create artificial market demand," said Jayesh Vora."The absence of an appropriate market monitoring mechanism by the government has encouraged these new players to dominate the market and monopolize it," said Kirti Rana, a member of the Navi Mumbai Merchant Association. Mustard Seed settled down on profit booking despite of speculation of lower supply in international and domestic market. The rise in mustard oil demand by major consuming region of eastern India during the festive season is encouraging higher buying by crushing units. Downside seen limited due to supply worries after Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) reported that from the beginning of Oct Rajasthan has not received any rainfall which is likely to affect rabi sowing of rm seed.According to MOPA, the production of mustard for 2014-15 has been lowered to 49 lakh tonnes, which was earlier forecasted at 57.4 lt. As per the latest SEA data, the shipment of rapeseed meal exports increased m-o-m to 60,211 tonnes in Sep compared to 49,788 tonnes in Aug. Turmeric settled down by tracking weakness in spot demand amid heavy arrivals from producing belts. Good rains in second part of September in southern peninsula region may enhance the turmeric production and quality. Turmeric sowing area reported high in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu state during the current sowing period. As per dept of commerce data, turmeric exports during April-Jul, 2015 pegged at 32,158 tonnes while the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in FY14.Turmeric sowing In AP, is recorded at 15,664 hectares increase over last years’ acreage as well normal sowing area progress however in Telangana, the sowing area is lower than the normal sowing area at 40,823 hac compared to 43,470 hac last year. Ref Soya oil settled down tracking weakness in spot demand amid profit booking. However downside seen limited after USDA in its WASDE report trimmed Indian soyoil production by 5.5%. India soybean oil imports climbed 99.39% in September after local demand of edible oils rose due to lack of domestic crushing, data release from the Solvent Extractors Association (SEA) of India showed.
  • 5. 5 NEWS RECAP COMMODITY HEADLINES Tur dal set new record at Rs 205/kg in wholesale.  Government promotes hydroponic for growing fodder amid water scarcity. Hybrid seed producers want government to move CCI against Mahyco Monsanto.  Government trying hard to contain surge in pulses prices, plans to boost supply via imports.  Indian drought: Bonanza for Canadian growers of pulses.  Tamil Nadu sugar mills hope rising prices will settle farmers' arrears.  Crop failure and below normal rains brings down farmers purchasing power.  Government fixes sugar export quota to EU & US for this year.  All paddy varieties must be under MSP mechanism: Minister Birender Singh.  Wholesale onion prices fall below Rs 30/kg at Lasalgaon.  Cotton output in Punjab, Haryana to dip 40% due to pest attack.
  • 6. SPOT QUOTES 6 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Mustardseed Jaipur 5107.15 Mustardseed Alwar 5088.4 Ref Soya Oil Nagpur 625.5 Ref Soya Oil Indore 632.8 Ref Soya Oil Mumbai 610 Soy Bean Kota 3875 Soy Bean Indore 3982 Soy Bean Nagpur 3950 Sugar M Grade Erode 2898 Sugar M Grade Muzaffar Nagar 2831.25 Sugar M Grade Delhi 2880 Sugar M Grade Kolkatta 2925 COMMODITY NAME LOCATION PRICE Barley Jaipur 1418.55 Castor Seed Deesa 4100 Chana Bikaner 5170 Chana Delhi 5376.5 Chana Indore 5244.8 Chana 2 MT Delhi 5376.5 Coriander Kota 12076.8 Cotton Kadi 15704.45 Guar Gum Jodhpur 8344.05 Guar Seed 10 MT Jodhpur 4065.3 GUAR SEED 2 MT Jodhpur 4065.3 Guarseed Bikaner 4073.15 Jeera Unjha 16688.55
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.