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Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
featuring
Amon
Twyman
and
David
Wood
How should politics change?
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
featuring
Amon
Twyman
and
David
Wood
How should politics change, so that the positive potential of technology can be
safely harnessed to most fully improve human society?
What are the topics that politicians generally tend to ignore, but which deserve much
more attention?
How should futurists and transhumanists regard the political process?
Which new political movements are most likely to catalyse these needed changes?
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
Tomorrow’s solutions to today’s
most pressing political problems
http://transpolitica.org/
Transpolitica
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
By David W. Wood, Executive Director
Opportunities
Threats
The set
of
possible
futures
Foresight…
… is hard
http://londonfuturists.com/
… but we can learn to do it better!
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
Tomorrow’s solutions to today’s
most pressing political problems
• Envisaging the positive qualities and characteristics of
future social structures (as enabled by better technology)
• Taking steps towards achieving these qualities and
characteristics, sooner and more reliably
• Identifying and managing risks of negative
characteristics of potential future social structures
Today’s most pressing political problems
https://yougov.co.uk – 4 Mar 2015
Which (of 13 issues) do you think
are the most important issues
facing the country at this time?
Which (of 13 issues) do you think
are the most important issues
facing you and your family?
1. Immigration (50%)
2. Economy (46%)
3. Healthcare (42%)
4. Welfare (30%)
1. Economy (43%)
2. Healthcare (38%)
3. Pensions (29%)
4. Tax (21%)
Party leader approvals? Doing badly: 50%, 66%, 70%
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ss0m2jmr6y/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-030315.pdf
Today’s most pressing political problems
Doing badly: 50%, 66%, 70%
How to afford healthcare, old age, other necessities of life?
• Especially when many new people are migrating into the country
• And when there are many pressures on the national health service
• And when politicians seem unable to make any real changes
1. Immigration (50%)
2. Economy (46%)
3. Healthcare (42%)
4. Welfare (30%)
1. Economy (43%)
2. Healthcare (38%)
3. Pensions (29%)
4. Tax (21%)
Party leader approvals?
http://transpolitica.org/
Today’s most pressing political problems
How to afford healthcare, old age, other necessities of life?
• Especially when many new people are migrating into the country
• And when there are many pressures on the national health service
• And when politicians seem unable to make any real changes
1. Overwhelmed by pace of change & uncertainty
2. Government often seems to be a hindrance (not enabler)
3. Politicians are caught up in their own systems (inertia)
4. Strong vested interests: finance, companies, politics(!)
5. Voting often ends up being tactical or ineffective
6. No compelling big vision for the future (just GDP++)
http://transpolitica.org/
The Transpolitica solution
http://transpolitica.org/
How to afford healthcare, old age, other necessities of life?
• Especially when many new people are migrating into the country
• And when there are many pressures on the national health service
• And when politicians seem unable to make any real changes
Technology
Electronics revolution
Computer revolution
Digital revolution
Automation revolution
+ Healthcare revolution
+ Brainscience revolution
+ Manufacturing revolution
+ Sustainability revolution
+ Governance revolution
 Abundance
The Transpolitica timescale
http://transpolitica.org/
There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years
than in any previous 10 year period…
Technology
Nanotechnology (atoms)
+ Healthcare revolution
+ Brainscience revolution
+ Manufacturing revolution
+ Sustainability revolution
+ Governance revolution
 Abundance
Biotechnology (genes…)
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics Greentech
The Transpolitica timescale
http://transpolitica.org/
There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years
than in any previous 10 year period…
Technology
 Abundance
Development
& Deployment
Politics
?
The Transpolitica timescale
http://transpolitica.org/
There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years
than in any previous 10 year period…
Technology
Nanotechnology (atoms)
+ Healthcare revolution
+ Brainscience revolution
+ Manufacturing revolution
+ Sustainability revolution
+ Governance revolution
 Abundance
Biotechnology (genes…)
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics Greentech
…providing these technologies receive sufficient funding,
focus, and regulatory support – a positive political climate
The Transpolitica manifesto headline
http://transpolitica.org/
There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years
than in any previous 10 year period…
…providing these technologies receive sufficient funding,
focus, and regulatory support – a positive political climate
Transpolitica calls upon politicians of all parties to help
define and support:
“Apollo-scale projects”
“Moonshot projects”
Bold, regenerative projects
to take full advantage of accelerating technology
Bold, visionary projects that will galvanize
huge collaborative endeavours,
via providing a new sense of profound
purpose and shared destiny “Manhattan projects”
“Marshall plans”
Mini regenerative projects (EU)
http://transpolitica.org/
Understanding the human brain is
one of the greatest challenges facing
21st century science. If we can rise to
the challenge, we can gain profound
insights into what makes us human,
develop new treatments for brain
disease and build revolutionary new
computing technologies. Today, for
the first time, modern ICT has
brought these goals within sight.
https://www.humanbrainproject.eu http://graphene-flagship.eu/
The Graphene Flagship’s overriding
goal is to take graphene, related
layered materials and hybrid systems
from a state of raw potential to a point
where they can revolutionize multiple
industries… and put Europe at the heart
of the process, with a manifold return
on the investment as technological
innovation, economic exploitation and
societal benefits.
Six Transpolitica regenerative projects
http://transpolitica.org/
Rejuvenation biotech  Longevity dividend
Clean tech  Sustainable growth  Abundance for all
Risk awareness & management  Avoid existential threats
Improved rationality  New democratic governance
Automation  New social contract  Universal income
Improved brain science  Super well-being for all
Building a positive feedback network
http://transpolitica.org/
Technology
Abundance
GovernanceEducation
Four Transpolitica regeneration enablers
http://transpolitica.org/
Education transformed in readiness for a radically different future
Proactionary regulatory system to fast-track innovative breakthroughs
A progressive transhumanist rights agenda
Risk awareness & management  Avoid existential threats
Improved rationality  New democratic governance
Automation  New social contract  Universal income
Improved brain science  Super well-being for all
Rejuvenation biotech  Longevity dividend
Clean tech  Sustainable growth  Abundance for all
How to fund and resource these projects
http://transpolitica.org/
1. Tap into the well-spring of positive motivation and discretionary (volunteer)
effort which these projects will unleash
2. Benefit from the longevity dividend, in which less budget will be consumed
by end-of-life healthcare (prevention is cheaper than cure)
3. Smarter forms of international cooperation, reducing costs from efforts
duplicated between different countries
4. When international cooperation enables it, divert funding from military
budgets to regenerative budgets (peace dividend)
5. Eliminate the loopholes which allow multinational companies to shuffle
revenues between countries and avoid paying due taxes
6. Apply the principle of “the polluter pays” with targeted new taxes such as
when greenhouse gases are emitted
7. Savings from applying principles of automation and Information Technology
wherever applicable (AI dividend)
Projects funded by smart positive feedback
http://transpolitica.org/
Sustainable
evolving
well-being
Green tech -> Material abundance
Rejuvenation biotech -> Super health
Brain tech -> Super mental health
Tech-savvy
proactive risk
management
New social contract alongside automation
Existential risk awareness and solutions
Better democracy via revived rationality
Enablers of
regeneration &
transcendence
Education for a radically different future
21st century regulatory framework
Progressive transhumanist rights agenda
Projects funded by positive feedback
++
-+
^^
Transpolitica influence & inspiration
http://transpolitica.org/
Publications
Videos
Memes
Research
Campaigns
 Existing politicians
 New political parties
 Apolitical activists
http://transpolitica.org/
Publications
Collection of ten essays
E-published Fri 20th March
US$ 3.50
First of intended series of books
Thanks to:
• Alberto Rizzoli (cover design)
• Alexander Karran (reviews)
• All authors & other reviewers…
Next volume published 21st June
Submit chapter proposals
by 21st April
http://transpolitica.org/
Contents:
1. An introduction to tomorrow’s politics (David Wood)
2. Democratic Intelligence (Stephen Oberauer)
3. The case for Universal Prosperity (Michael Hrenka)
4. Catalysing the development of AI tools (Roland Schiefer)
5. Anarchy beyond socialism and capitalism (Waldemar Ingdahl)
6. Political Transhumanism and the Transhumanist Party
(Amon Twyman)
7. The Vision Thing (René Milan)
8. The Zeitgeist of change (Stuart Mason Dambrot)
9. Mediated patent equities for accelerated biomedical research
(Maximo Ramallo)
10.Accelerating Politics (Sally Morem)
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
Tomorrow’s solutions to today’s
most pressing political problems
http://transpolitica.org/
Transpolitica
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
By David W. Wood, Executive Director
 New political parties…
Anticipating tomorrow’s politics
featuring
Amon
Twyman
and
David
Wood

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Anticipating tomorrow's politics - Introducing Transpolitica

  • 2. Anticipating tomorrow’s politics featuring Amon Twyman and David Wood How should politics change, so that the positive potential of technology can be safely harnessed to most fully improve human society? What are the topics that politicians generally tend to ignore, but which deserve much more attention? How should futurists and transhumanists regard the political process? Which new political movements are most likely to catalyse these needed changes?
  • 3. Anticipating tomorrow’s politics Tomorrow’s solutions to today’s most pressing political problems http://transpolitica.org/ Transpolitica Anticipating tomorrow’s politics By David W. Wood, Executive Director
  • 4. Opportunities Threats The set of possible futures Foresight… … is hard http://londonfuturists.com/ … but we can learn to do it better!
  • 5. Anticipating tomorrow’s politics Tomorrow’s solutions to today’s most pressing political problems • Envisaging the positive qualities and characteristics of future social structures (as enabled by better technology) • Taking steps towards achieving these qualities and characteristics, sooner and more reliably • Identifying and managing risks of negative characteristics of potential future social structures
  • 6. Today’s most pressing political problems https://yougov.co.uk – 4 Mar 2015 Which (of 13 issues) do you think are the most important issues facing the country at this time? Which (of 13 issues) do you think are the most important issues facing you and your family? 1. Immigration (50%) 2. Economy (46%) 3. Healthcare (42%) 4. Welfare (30%) 1. Economy (43%) 2. Healthcare (38%) 3. Pensions (29%) 4. Tax (21%) Party leader approvals? Doing badly: 50%, 66%, 70% https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ss0m2jmr6y/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-030315.pdf
  • 7. Today’s most pressing political problems Doing badly: 50%, 66%, 70% How to afford healthcare, old age, other necessities of life? • Especially when many new people are migrating into the country • And when there are many pressures on the national health service • And when politicians seem unable to make any real changes 1. Immigration (50%) 2. Economy (46%) 3. Healthcare (42%) 4. Welfare (30%) 1. Economy (43%) 2. Healthcare (38%) 3. Pensions (29%) 4. Tax (21%) Party leader approvals? http://transpolitica.org/
  • 8. Today’s most pressing political problems How to afford healthcare, old age, other necessities of life? • Especially when many new people are migrating into the country • And when there are many pressures on the national health service • And when politicians seem unable to make any real changes 1. Overwhelmed by pace of change & uncertainty 2. Government often seems to be a hindrance (not enabler) 3. Politicians are caught up in their own systems (inertia) 4. Strong vested interests: finance, companies, politics(!) 5. Voting often ends up being tactical or ineffective 6. No compelling big vision for the future (just GDP++) http://transpolitica.org/
  • 9. The Transpolitica solution http://transpolitica.org/ How to afford healthcare, old age, other necessities of life? • Especially when many new people are migrating into the country • And when there are many pressures on the national health service • And when politicians seem unable to make any real changes Technology Electronics revolution Computer revolution Digital revolution Automation revolution + Healthcare revolution + Brainscience revolution + Manufacturing revolution + Sustainability revolution + Governance revolution  Abundance
  • 10. The Transpolitica timescale http://transpolitica.org/ There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years than in any previous 10 year period… Technology Nanotechnology (atoms) + Healthcare revolution + Brainscience revolution + Manufacturing revolution + Sustainability revolution + Governance revolution  Abundance Biotechnology (genes…) Artificial Intelligence Robotics Greentech
  • 11. The Transpolitica timescale http://transpolitica.org/ There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years than in any previous 10 year period… Technology  Abundance Development & Deployment Politics ?
  • 12. The Transpolitica timescale http://transpolitica.org/ There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years than in any previous 10 year period… Technology Nanotechnology (atoms) + Healthcare revolution + Brainscience revolution + Manufacturing revolution + Sustainability revolution + Governance revolution  Abundance Biotechnology (genes…) Artificial Intelligence Robotics Greentech …providing these technologies receive sufficient funding, focus, and regulatory support – a positive political climate
  • 13. The Transpolitica manifesto headline http://transpolitica.org/ There could be bigger changes in the next 10 years than in any previous 10 year period… …providing these technologies receive sufficient funding, focus, and regulatory support – a positive political climate Transpolitica calls upon politicians of all parties to help define and support: “Apollo-scale projects” “Moonshot projects” Bold, regenerative projects to take full advantage of accelerating technology Bold, visionary projects that will galvanize huge collaborative endeavours, via providing a new sense of profound purpose and shared destiny “Manhattan projects” “Marshall plans”
  • 14. Mini regenerative projects (EU) http://transpolitica.org/ Understanding the human brain is one of the greatest challenges facing 21st century science. If we can rise to the challenge, we can gain profound insights into what makes us human, develop new treatments for brain disease and build revolutionary new computing technologies. Today, for the first time, modern ICT has brought these goals within sight. https://www.humanbrainproject.eu http://graphene-flagship.eu/ The Graphene Flagship’s overriding goal is to take graphene, related layered materials and hybrid systems from a state of raw potential to a point where they can revolutionize multiple industries… and put Europe at the heart of the process, with a manifold return on the investment as technological innovation, economic exploitation and societal benefits.
  • 15. Six Transpolitica regenerative projects http://transpolitica.org/ Rejuvenation biotech  Longevity dividend Clean tech  Sustainable growth  Abundance for all Risk awareness & management  Avoid existential threats Improved rationality  New democratic governance Automation  New social contract  Universal income Improved brain science  Super well-being for all
  • 16. Building a positive feedback network http://transpolitica.org/ Technology Abundance GovernanceEducation
  • 17. Four Transpolitica regeneration enablers http://transpolitica.org/ Education transformed in readiness for a radically different future Proactionary regulatory system to fast-track innovative breakthroughs A progressive transhumanist rights agenda Risk awareness & management  Avoid existential threats Improved rationality  New democratic governance Automation  New social contract  Universal income Improved brain science  Super well-being for all Rejuvenation biotech  Longevity dividend Clean tech  Sustainable growth  Abundance for all
  • 18. How to fund and resource these projects http://transpolitica.org/ 1. Tap into the well-spring of positive motivation and discretionary (volunteer) effort which these projects will unleash 2. Benefit from the longevity dividend, in which less budget will be consumed by end-of-life healthcare (prevention is cheaper than cure) 3. Smarter forms of international cooperation, reducing costs from efforts duplicated between different countries 4. When international cooperation enables it, divert funding from military budgets to regenerative budgets (peace dividend) 5. Eliminate the loopholes which allow multinational companies to shuffle revenues between countries and avoid paying due taxes 6. Apply the principle of “the polluter pays” with targeted new taxes such as when greenhouse gases are emitted 7. Savings from applying principles of automation and Information Technology wherever applicable (AI dividend) Projects funded by smart positive feedback
  • 19. http://transpolitica.org/ Sustainable evolving well-being Green tech -> Material abundance Rejuvenation biotech -> Super health Brain tech -> Super mental health Tech-savvy proactive risk management New social contract alongside automation Existential risk awareness and solutions Better democracy via revived rationality Enablers of regeneration & transcendence Education for a radically different future 21st century regulatory framework Progressive transhumanist rights agenda Projects funded by positive feedback ++ -+ ^^
  • 20. Transpolitica influence & inspiration http://transpolitica.org/ Publications Videos Memes Research Campaigns  Existing politicians  New political parties  Apolitical activists
  • 21. http://transpolitica.org/ Publications Collection of ten essays E-published Fri 20th March US$ 3.50 First of intended series of books Thanks to: • Alberto Rizzoli (cover design) • Alexander Karran (reviews) • All authors & other reviewers… Next volume published 21st June Submit chapter proposals by 21st April
  • 22. http://transpolitica.org/ Contents: 1. An introduction to tomorrow’s politics (David Wood) 2. Democratic Intelligence (Stephen Oberauer) 3. The case for Universal Prosperity (Michael Hrenka) 4. Catalysing the development of AI tools (Roland Schiefer) 5. Anarchy beyond socialism and capitalism (Waldemar Ingdahl) 6. Political Transhumanism and the Transhumanist Party (Amon Twyman) 7. The Vision Thing (René Milan) 8. The Zeitgeist of change (Stuart Mason Dambrot) 9. Mediated patent equities for accelerated biomedical research (Maximo Ramallo) 10.Accelerating Politics (Sally Morem)
  • 23. Anticipating tomorrow’s politics Tomorrow’s solutions to today’s most pressing political problems http://transpolitica.org/ Transpolitica Anticipating tomorrow’s politics By David W. Wood, Executive Director
  • 24.  New political parties… Anticipating tomorrow’s politics featuring Amon Twyman and David Wood