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Bus ine s s
 c yc le s




              Cindy&Jing
What is business cycles ?
• The term business cycle (or
  economic cycle) refers to a
  phenomenon that a cyclical
  economic expansion and
  economic contraction cycle in
  the economy.
What is business cycles ?
• These fluctuations are often measured
  using the growth rate of real Gross
  Domestic Product (GDP) .

• The business cycles consistent four
  stages.
Four stages
• S ta g e On e – S ta rt - up / Cre a tio n

• S ta g e Tw o – Gro w th

• S ta g e Thre e – Ma turity

• Fo ur – Re c e s s io n / De c lin e
Fo ur s ta g e s
Causes of business cycles

• External Causes

• Internal Causes
A. sunspot theory

 It is said that the
changes of cyclical
naturally sunspots will
affect the cycle of
climate change, which
would affect the
agricultural harvest,
and harvest the
abundance of
agriculture will impact
the whole economy.
B. the political cycle theory

              •    Political cycle theory
                  thought the business
                  cycles caused by the
                  government to the cyclical
                  nature of the decision-
                  making (mainly in order to
                  solve the cycle of inflation
                  and unemployment).
Causes of business cycles

• External Causes

• Internal Causes
A. a purely monetary theory

               • Pure monetary theory
                 that the money supply
                 and monetary flow
                 directly determines the
                 fluctuations of the
                 name of national
                 income,
B. over-investment theory

• Theory of over-
  investment thought
  the business cycles
  caused by excessive
  investment.
C. under-consumption theory
              • The under-consumption
                theory thought economic
                recession caused by the
                demand for consumer
                goods can not keep up
                with community growth of
                consumer goods
                production.
D. Psychological theory

          • The theory thought that the
            business cycles depend on
            the investment, and
            investment size depends
            mainly on the owners`
            expectations for the future.
Cu r e s       f o r
t h e   b u s i n e s s
      c y c l e s
           Cu
Liquidate labor,
                                     liquidate stocks,
                                        liquidate the
                                           farmers,
                                       liquidate real
                                            estate


Andrew William Mellon (March 24, 1855 – August 27, 1937)
America became
officially involved
 in World War II.
Did World War II
  really end the
       Great
   Depression,
     though?


             Wa r II
     Wo r ld
government
intervention
C o n c lu s io n




•External causes
•Internal causes
R e fe re n c e s
• Cures for the Great Depression.The Great Depression
  Online. From
  http://www.greatdepressiononline.com/cures-for-the-great-dep

• Causes and Cures. America’s Great Dpression.
  Statistics Retrieved on December 28, 2007 from
  http://www.amatecon.com/gd/gdcandc.html
• http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle
• http://www.buzzle.com/articles/four-stages-of-business-
  cycle.html

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causes and cures for business cycles

  • 1. Bus ine s s c yc le s Cindy&Jing
  • 2. What is business cycles ? • The term business cycle (or economic cycle) refers to a phenomenon that a cyclical economic expansion and economic contraction cycle in the economy.
  • 3. What is business cycles ? • These fluctuations are often measured using the growth rate of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) . • The business cycles consistent four stages.
  • 4. Four stages • S ta g e On e – S ta rt - up / Cre a tio n • S ta g e Tw o – Gro w th • S ta g e Thre e – Ma turity • Fo ur – Re c e s s io n / De c lin e
  • 5. Fo ur s ta g e s
  • 6. Causes of business cycles • External Causes • Internal Causes
  • 7. A. sunspot theory It is said that the changes of cyclical naturally sunspots will affect the cycle of climate change, which would affect the agricultural harvest, and harvest the abundance of agriculture will impact the whole economy.
  • 8. B. the political cycle theory • Political cycle theory thought the business cycles caused by the government to the cyclical nature of the decision- making (mainly in order to solve the cycle of inflation and unemployment).
  • 9. Causes of business cycles • External Causes • Internal Causes
  • 10. A. a purely monetary theory • Pure monetary theory that the money supply and monetary flow directly determines the fluctuations of the name of national income,
  • 11. B. over-investment theory • Theory of over- investment thought the business cycles caused by excessive investment.
  • 12. C. under-consumption theory • The under-consumption theory thought economic recession caused by the demand for consumer goods can not keep up with community growth of consumer goods production.
  • 13. D. Psychological theory • The theory thought that the business cycles depend on the investment, and investment size depends mainly on the owners` expectations for the future.
  • 14. Cu r e s f o r t h e b u s i n e s s c y c l e s Cu
  • 15. Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate Andrew William Mellon (March 24, 1855 – August 27, 1937)
  • 16. America became officially involved in World War II. Did World War II really end the Great Depression, though? Wa r II Wo r ld
  • 18.
  • 19. C o n c lu s io n •External causes •Internal causes
  • 20. R e fe re n c e s • Cures for the Great Depression.The Great Depression Online. From http://www.greatdepressiononline.com/cures-for-the-great-dep • Causes and Cures. America’s Great Dpression. Statistics Retrieved on December 28, 2007 from http://www.amatecon.com/gd/gdcandc.html • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle • http://www.buzzle.com/articles/four-stages-of-business- cycle.html