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The Chinese Car Industry




                           1
Is there something we can call
           «the chinese car industry model» ?




•   Less than 10 years ago, China's annual car production did
    not match the output of a single large auto company in a
    developed country.

•   China’s monthly vehicle sales surpassed those in the United
    States for the first time in January 2009, moving this
    country closer to becoming the world’s biggest auto
    market.


                                                  www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                 2
Is there something we can call
           «the chinese car industry model» ?




•   The Chinese government will spend 5 billion yuan (about
    $730 million) on subsidies to farmers to replace high-
    emission vehicles, three-wheelers or outdated trucks,

•   and another 10 billion yuan ($1.5 billion) to automakers to
    upgrade their technology and develop alternative energy
    vehicles.

•   Yet China is home to almost as many automakers as the
    United States, Japan and Europe combined.

                                                  www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                 3
Is there something we can call
«the chinese car industry model» ?




                   In this short survey we will
                   try to find out the key
                   differences between the way
                   cars are manufactured in
                   China compared to other key
                   countries.



                                 www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                4
Sourcing strategies




•   Compared to the Japanese automakers sourcing usually
    from two or three suppliers for each category of parts
    (multi-sourcing), the Chinese manufacturers buy a single part
    from two suppliers (double sourcing).

•   If, at the launch of a new car model, the Chinese
    manufacturer is not able to select two suppliers, they will
    source from a second supplier as soon as the new model
    enters in mass production.

                                                   www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                  5
Sourcing strategies




•   In Japan, the supply relationship will last as long as the
    production of the model continues (usually for 4 years).

•   In China, the relation between assembler and supplier last
    for one year.

•   A new bidding will be organised year by year (short term
    relation).



                                                     www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                    6
Sourcing strategies




‣ In some cases for cars which have been produced since
  several years, Euro-Sino assemblers use double sourcing
  qnd for new models single sourcing




                                             www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                            7
Development costs




•   In Japan, the cost of developing a new component is born by
    the assembler. The supplier recovers the cost on
    installments. This is done in 24 months by adding the
    development costs to the price of the component.

•   In case, the sales of the car fall short of the initial plan, the
    assembler compensate for the remaining development cost
    (risk sharing system).



                                                      www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                     8
Development costs



•   In China, the supplier will recover the development cost by
    adding it to the price of the component.

•   But the assembler will not take into consideration the cost
    in case it stops purchasing one-sidedly (High risk for the
    supplier).

•   In case the Chinese assembler buys from a foreign supplier,
    it may take care of the development costs by buying the
    tools or by guaranteeing a minimum amount of parts.


                                                  www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                 9
Development costs




•   European assemblers usually pay for the development costs
    (including the cost of making dies) right after the supplier
    has completed the parts development.

•   Some Euro-Sino joint ventures adopt this way of
    proceeding.




                                                  www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                 10
Development costs



•   Euro-Sino joint venture strategy stands in the middle of the
    two extremes.

•   Sometimes they buy from more than two suppliers.

•   They classify the suppliers in three groups : A, B and C.
    ‣ they buy 60 to 70 % from A,
    ‣ 30 to 40 percent from B
    ‣ and keep C as reserve in case the car model is a big sales
      success.
                                                    www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                   11
Why these differences ?

•   The Japanese model :
•   Early involvement of the suppliers during the
    development phase of a new car forces the suppliers to
    invest in making dies and specialized equipments and
    therefore a lot of man power and development costs
    before having a return on investment.
•   Without a clear guarantee from the assembler, very few
    suppliers would accept to enter in such deals.
•   Japanese-style sourcing give to car pricers the advantage
    of a great commitment from the suppliers to the
    development of new cars (they think long-term).
                                                www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                               12
Why these differences ?


•   The Chinese model :
•   Chinese car producers develop new cars by using existing
    components (with some modifications, if necessary)
•   Therefore supplier’s initial investment for developing new
    components may not be very expensive.
    When an assembler stops buying a specific part, there are
    great chances that the suppliers can find other
    assemblers who will buy the same components.
•   In this case, the risks of new development costs, are
    relatively low.
                                                www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                               13
Why these differences ?

•   The Chinese model (continued) :
•   In the case of light wagons, small trucks and motorcycles
    many assemblers produce very similar vehicles using
    same parts.
•   The Chine-style sourcing forces the suppliers to compete
    fiercely and reduces components buying prices.
•   The disadvantage is that it is difficult to expect suppliers
    to make big investments in R&D of new parts.
•   As a result, assemblers will buy common parts and their
    cars will also be «common».
                                                  www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                 14
The future



•   The Chinese procurement strategy is fine in the first
    stages of the development of the car industry in a
    developing country.
•   But this gives still large possibilities for Western and
    Japanese car manufacturers to sell great quantities of
    luxury and expensive cars in China.
•   This as a cost for the Chinese balance of payments and
    also for the future development of the market.


                                                  www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                 15
Car production in China
            (Local producers and JV’s)



Years     Number of cars produced    Change versus previous year
2000             2,069,000
2001             2,334,000                     + 12 %
2002             3,286,000                     + 41 %
2003             4,443,000                     + 35 %
2004             5,224,000                    + 17,5 %
2005             5,708,000                    + 9,3 %
2006             7,188,000                     + 26 %
2007             8,880,000                     + 25 %
2008             9,345,000                     +5%
2009




                                                 www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                16
Top world car producers in 2008
     (including light commercial vehicles)



  Country                 Nbr of cars produced (in 000 units)
   1. Japan                             11,564
 2. P.R. China                          9,345
   3. USA                               8,075
 4. Germany                             6,040
5. South Korea                          3,806
   6. Brazil                            3,220
  7. France                             2,568
   8. Spain                             2,541
   9. India                             2,314
 10. Canada                             2,077
 World total                            70,526


                                                 www.marketing-automotive.org

                                                                                17
Contact




      www.marketing-automotive.org

                      Bernhard Adriaensens

 International Consultant in Automotive Marketing and Management
Academic Director Executive Programme for the Automotive industry
                       (www.solvay.edu/auto)




                                                                    18

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Chinese Car Manufacturing

  • 1. The Chinese Car Industry 1
  • 2. Is there something we can call «the chinese car industry model» ? • Less than 10 years ago, China's annual car production did not match the output of a single large auto company in a developed country. • China’s monthly vehicle sales surpassed those in the United States for the first time in January 2009, moving this country closer to becoming the world’s biggest auto market. www.marketing-automotive.org 2
  • 3. Is there something we can call «the chinese car industry model» ? • The Chinese government will spend 5 billion yuan (about $730 million) on subsidies to farmers to replace high- emission vehicles, three-wheelers or outdated trucks, • and another 10 billion yuan ($1.5 billion) to automakers to upgrade their technology and develop alternative energy vehicles. • Yet China is home to almost as many automakers as the United States, Japan and Europe combined. www.marketing-automotive.org 3
  • 4. Is there something we can call «the chinese car industry model» ? In this short survey we will try to find out the key differences between the way cars are manufactured in China compared to other key countries. www.marketing-automotive.org 4
  • 5. Sourcing strategies • Compared to the Japanese automakers sourcing usually from two or three suppliers for each category of parts (multi-sourcing), the Chinese manufacturers buy a single part from two suppliers (double sourcing). • If, at the launch of a new car model, the Chinese manufacturer is not able to select two suppliers, they will source from a second supplier as soon as the new model enters in mass production. www.marketing-automotive.org 5
  • 6. Sourcing strategies • In Japan, the supply relationship will last as long as the production of the model continues (usually for 4 years). • In China, the relation between assembler and supplier last for one year. • A new bidding will be organised year by year (short term relation). www.marketing-automotive.org 6
  • 7. Sourcing strategies ‣ In some cases for cars which have been produced since several years, Euro-Sino assemblers use double sourcing qnd for new models single sourcing www.marketing-automotive.org 7
  • 8. Development costs • In Japan, the cost of developing a new component is born by the assembler. The supplier recovers the cost on installments. This is done in 24 months by adding the development costs to the price of the component. • In case, the sales of the car fall short of the initial plan, the assembler compensate for the remaining development cost (risk sharing system). www.marketing-automotive.org 8
  • 9. Development costs • In China, the supplier will recover the development cost by adding it to the price of the component. • But the assembler will not take into consideration the cost in case it stops purchasing one-sidedly (High risk for the supplier). • In case the Chinese assembler buys from a foreign supplier, it may take care of the development costs by buying the tools or by guaranteeing a minimum amount of parts. www.marketing-automotive.org 9
  • 10. Development costs • European assemblers usually pay for the development costs (including the cost of making dies) right after the supplier has completed the parts development. • Some Euro-Sino joint ventures adopt this way of proceeding. www.marketing-automotive.org 10
  • 11. Development costs • Euro-Sino joint venture strategy stands in the middle of the two extremes. • Sometimes they buy from more than two suppliers. • They classify the suppliers in three groups : A, B and C. ‣ they buy 60 to 70 % from A, ‣ 30 to 40 percent from B ‣ and keep C as reserve in case the car model is a big sales success. www.marketing-automotive.org 11
  • 12. Why these differences ? • The Japanese model : • Early involvement of the suppliers during the development phase of a new car forces the suppliers to invest in making dies and specialized equipments and therefore a lot of man power and development costs before having a return on investment. • Without a clear guarantee from the assembler, very few suppliers would accept to enter in such deals. • Japanese-style sourcing give to car pricers the advantage of a great commitment from the suppliers to the development of new cars (they think long-term). www.marketing-automotive.org 12
  • 13. Why these differences ? • The Chinese model : • Chinese car producers develop new cars by using existing components (with some modifications, if necessary) • Therefore supplier’s initial investment for developing new components may not be very expensive. When an assembler stops buying a specific part, there are great chances that the suppliers can find other assemblers who will buy the same components. • In this case, the risks of new development costs, are relatively low. www.marketing-automotive.org 13
  • 14. Why these differences ? • The Chinese model (continued) : • In the case of light wagons, small trucks and motorcycles many assemblers produce very similar vehicles using same parts. • The Chine-style sourcing forces the suppliers to compete fiercely and reduces components buying prices. • The disadvantage is that it is difficult to expect suppliers to make big investments in R&D of new parts. • As a result, assemblers will buy common parts and their cars will also be «common». www.marketing-automotive.org 14
  • 15. The future • The Chinese procurement strategy is fine in the first stages of the development of the car industry in a developing country. • But this gives still large possibilities for Western and Japanese car manufacturers to sell great quantities of luxury and expensive cars in China. • This as a cost for the Chinese balance of payments and also for the future development of the market. www.marketing-automotive.org 15
  • 16. Car production in China (Local producers and JV’s) Years Number of cars produced Change versus previous year 2000 2,069,000 2001 2,334,000 + 12 % 2002 3,286,000 + 41 % 2003 4,443,000 + 35 % 2004 5,224,000 + 17,5 % 2005 5,708,000 + 9,3 % 2006 7,188,000 + 26 % 2007 8,880,000 + 25 % 2008 9,345,000 +5% 2009 www.marketing-automotive.org 16
  • 17. Top world car producers in 2008 (including light commercial vehicles) Country Nbr of cars produced (in 000 units) 1. Japan 11,564 2. P.R. China 9,345 3. USA 8,075 4. Germany 6,040 5. South Korea 3,806 6. Brazil 3,220 7. France 2,568 8. Spain 2,541 9. India 2,314 10. Canada 2,077 World total 70,526 www.marketing-automotive.org 17
  • 18. Contact www.marketing-automotive.org Bernhard Adriaensens International Consultant in Automotive Marketing and Management Academic Director Executive Programme for the Automotive industry (www.solvay.edu/auto) 18