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Li   ~~            ~             ~                ~    ~           Ag




         9Samuel A.ThernstromPM
                    06:03:41
                06106/2002

Record Type:         Record

To:       letters~nytimes.com ~ inet
cc:       James ConnaughtonlCEQ/EOP@EOP
Subject: Letter to the Editor re: US Climate Action Report

                                                                                                  Council
Attached below is a letter to the editor from James Connaughtori, Chairman of the White House
on Environmental Quality, responding to your recent coverage (Andy Revkin story   and editorial, 6/3, and
today's Bob Herbert column) of the US Climate Action Report.
                                                                                                  -- I am
Please contact me by email or phone (202.395.7419) if you have any questions about this letter
CEO's communications director. If you send     me a fax number, I would be happy to also fax you a signed
                                                                                                   about
hard copy of the letter. I would also, of course, appreciate hearing from you as soon as possible
your plans for publishing this.

Thanks



 JLC NYT letter 6-6-02.do


To the Editor:

          Andrew Revkin's recent article ("Climate Changing, US Says in Report") and your
 accompanying editorial claim that the U.S. Climate Action Report 2002 provides "predictions
 [that] present a sharp contrast to previous statements on climate change by the Administration."
 The reality is quite the opposite. The Bush Administration has consistently talked about both the
 seriousness of potential global climate change and the enormous complexity and uncertainty in
 the current state of our scientific knowledge.
          Last year, President Bush noted the natural greenhouse effect, and the rise in both surface
 temperatures and atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. He noted that "the National
 Academy of Sciences indicate that the increase is due in large part to human activity." These
 concerns justify a strong national policy to address the scientific and technological issues related
 to climate change - which the President is implementing.
          At the same time, however, the President cautioned that "we do not know how much our
  climate could, or will change in the future... or even how some of our actions could impact it....".
  This is precisely the uncertainty that policyrnakers face: "No one can say with any certainty what
  constitutes a dangerous level of warming and therefore what level must be avoided."
          Contrary to Mr. Revkin's assertions, the Report is consistent with both the Presidents
  statements and the state of scientific knowledge. It notes the "considerable uncertainty" about the
  science and the role of natural variations in the climate cycle, and says that its studies "recognize
that definitive prediction of potential outcomes is not yet feasible." The lieport does not identify
new risks, but rather provides a complete review of the numerous, often conflicting "what if'
 scenarios of potential impacts of climate change, both dire and beneficial. This account makes
 clear that complex computer models, of the sort used by the Clinton Administration's 2000
National Assessment, cannot make "accurate predictions of the specific changes in climate that
 will occur over the next hundred years."
         The Report reflects the current state of climate change science, and the President's
 policies are appropriately based upon that knowledge. President Bush's climate change programs
 will advance our scientific understanding while reducing emissions of greenhouse gases. The
 President's FY '03 budget proposal requested over $4.5 billion - a $700 million increase - to
 fund climate change-related research and to advance the development and deployment of related
 energy and sequestration technologies.


                                               Sincerely,

                                               James L. Conniaughton
                                               Chairman
                                               White House Council on Envirbnmental Quality

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CAR Email 6.6.02 (b)

  • 1. Li ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Ag 9Samuel A.ThernstromPM 06:03:41 06106/2002 Record Type: Record To: letters~nytimes.com ~ inet cc: James ConnaughtonlCEQ/EOP@EOP Subject: Letter to the Editor re: US Climate Action Report Council Attached below is a letter to the editor from James Connaughtori, Chairman of the White House on Environmental Quality, responding to your recent coverage (Andy Revkin story and editorial, 6/3, and today's Bob Herbert column) of the US Climate Action Report. -- I am Please contact me by email or phone (202.395.7419) if you have any questions about this letter CEO's communications director. If you send me a fax number, I would be happy to also fax you a signed about hard copy of the letter. I would also, of course, appreciate hearing from you as soon as possible your plans for publishing this. Thanks JLC NYT letter 6-6-02.do To the Editor: Andrew Revkin's recent article ("Climate Changing, US Says in Report") and your accompanying editorial claim that the U.S. Climate Action Report 2002 provides "predictions [that] present a sharp contrast to previous statements on climate change by the Administration." The reality is quite the opposite. The Bush Administration has consistently talked about both the seriousness of potential global climate change and the enormous complexity and uncertainty in the current state of our scientific knowledge. Last year, President Bush noted the natural greenhouse effect, and the rise in both surface temperatures and atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. He noted that "the National Academy of Sciences indicate that the increase is due in large part to human activity." These concerns justify a strong national policy to address the scientific and technological issues related to climate change - which the President is implementing. At the same time, however, the President cautioned that "we do not know how much our climate could, or will change in the future... or even how some of our actions could impact it....". This is precisely the uncertainty that policyrnakers face: "No one can say with any certainty what constitutes a dangerous level of warming and therefore what level must be avoided." Contrary to Mr. Revkin's assertions, the Report is consistent with both the Presidents statements and the state of scientific knowledge. It notes the "considerable uncertainty" about the science and the role of natural variations in the climate cycle, and says that its studies "recognize
  • 2. that definitive prediction of potential outcomes is not yet feasible." The lieport does not identify new risks, but rather provides a complete review of the numerous, often conflicting "what if' scenarios of potential impacts of climate change, both dire and beneficial. This account makes clear that complex computer models, of the sort used by the Clinton Administration's 2000 National Assessment, cannot make "accurate predictions of the specific changes in climate that will occur over the next hundred years." The Report reflects the current state of climate change science, and the President's policies are appropriately based upon that knowledge. President Bush's climate change programs will advance our scientific understanding while reducing emissions of greenhouse gases. The President's FY '03 budget proposal requested over $4.5 billion - a $700 million increase - to fund climate change-related research and to advance the development and deployment of related energy and sequestration technologies. Sincerely, James L. Conniaughton Chairman White House Council on Envirbnmental Quality