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Juhtimise tulevikusuunad. Valikute aeg. Veigo Kell Pärnu Juhtimiskonverents 2009
Millest räägin? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pärnu Juhtimiskonverents 2009
Assembly $7
Industrial Economy  was based on  physical capital  Information Economy  was based on  information  Creative   Economy   is based on  ideas
Traditsioonilise majanduse  alumise niši   valikud Pakkuda a) rohkem väärtust  vähema raha eest b) pisut vähem väärtust  tunduvalt väiksema raha eest Idee: Ridderstrǻle & Nordström
bitid? Aatomid või emotsioonid Explicit knowledge Tacit knowledge
20-25%   pühendunud
 
Komplekssus Going faster – but where? 1900    2000    2100 Adapteeritud  ©  GDI põhjal Progress Prosperity Globalization Unforeseen additional costs
Komplekssusega kaasnevad probleemid ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lineaarne versus mittelineaarne Ref: Dirk Helbing, Stefan Lämmer
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FRAGMENTEERUMINE
MÄÄRAMATUSE  KASV
 
T ulemuseks traditsioonilise juhtimismõtte   aina suurem võimetus  pakkuda adekvaatseid tegevusjuhiseid  muutunud tingimustes .
II Arutelu
TRENDID TRENDID TRENDID TRENDID
VÕRGUSTIKUD ,[object Object],Yet, the way  our enterprises  have been designed are predominantly  hierarchical.  Further, knowledge and information work has taken a central position in various businesses.  The new world is being re-engineered at such a frantic pace that the organizations  are failing  to learn, adapt and leverage their expertise.
Joonis: David Armano
[object Object],[object Object]
Joonis: David Armano
In a market with near infinite supply (huge variety of products), a demand will exist for even the most obscure products. The tail are the  niche products , individually unimportant, but collectively significant.
Kasutamata potentsiaal  ideede kogumiseks
Muutunud majandusloogika OUTSUCCEEDING    OUTFAILING
Failure becomes competitive advantage
[object Object],[object Object],Ref: Dave Snowden
Muutunud majandusloogika II PUSH PULL Rajaneb mastaabiefektil (toota ühesuguseid tooteid võimalikult efektiivselt, mida "turustatakse" klientidele, sõltumata sellest, kas need rahuldavad kliendi vajadusi või mitte).  Pakutakse seda, mida arvatakse kliendile vajalik olevat ja mis toob võimalikult palju kasu pakkujale. Rajaneb ülekandekulude vähenemisel. Pakutakse seda, mis kliendile  tegelikku väärtust  pakub.
Muutunud majandusloogika III Tekivad ettevõtted,  mida strateegiate asemel  juhivad  ideaalid .   (U. Haque)
Muutunud majandusloogika IV Ref: Chris Anderson SCARCITY ABUNDANCE Rules Everything is forbidden unless it is permitted. Everything is permitted unless it is forbidden. Social model Paternalism ("We know what's best") Egalitarianism ("You know what's best") Profit plan Business model We’ll figure  it out Decision process Top-down Bottoms-up Expertice Expertise triumphs Diversity trumps expertise Management style Command and Control  Out of Control
Muutunud märksõnad
 
Connectedness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Ideed:   Mark Earls,  Ross Dawson
UUED  ÄRIMUDELID Oluline tõsiasi: strateegia asemel peaks juurdlema hoopis oma ärimudeli üle.
“ PARIMAD PRAKTIKAD” ON   KAOTANUD  MÕTTE †  1930 - 2009
Mitmekesisuse  otsingul ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Võime luua, jagada ja kasutada ideid
Globaalne  nõudlus  ideede järgi kasvab
When you step into an  intersection  of fields, disciplines, or cultures, you can combine existing concepts into a large number of extraordinary  new ideas .
Neuroteadus   +   juhtimine
 
Kuidas edasi ?
Paindlikumad  organisatsioonimudelid Businesses and other organizations are changing their  shape, structure and boundaries  through processes of decentralization, empowerment, alliances, outsourcing, networking and virtualization, becoming more nimble and flexible — and  less predictable . Ref: Global Business Network
Kontrolli vähenemine Once you accept the inevitability of perpetual change,  you can abandon your quest to gain control, and instead, go with the flow.  Jeremy Gutsche
Within a rigid culture, chaos will make your organization round and dull.  Within an adaptive culture, your company will navigate through chaos and evolve into something spectacular. Ref: Jeremy Gutsche
Iseorganiseerumise   ja  enesejuhtimise   tähtsuse kasv
Käsuta  ja   kontrolli! Loo võimalusi  ja  koordineeri!
Command & Control Hierarchy Empowered  Networks Relative Certainty  Predictability Uncertainty Complexity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Citadels”  “ Webs”  Ref: Global Business Network ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Kokkuvõte ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pärnu Juhtimiskonverents 2009
    Foto: Flickr, iguana Jo VALIKUTE AEG! Vaata ka: juhtimine.ee

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Juhtimise tulevikusuunad

Editor's Notes

  1. Dilbert by Scott Adams is the most photocopied, pinned-up, downloaded, faxed and e-mailed comic strip in the world. Dilbert has been syndicated since 1989 and now appears in 2,000 newspapers in 65 countries and 25 languages. Adams receives hundreds of ideas each day from fans sharing their stories of absurd work situations and unbelievable bosses. Many readers are convinced that Adams works at their companies, since he conveys corporate inanities so perfectly. More than 20 million Dilbert books and calendars have been sold to date, and more than half of Adams' books have made The New York Times best-seller list. Adams' first full-length hardcover book has sold more than 1.5 million copies, making it categorically the best-selling business book of all time.
  2. A schematic history of human civilization reflects a growing complexity of the collective behavior of human organizations. The internal structure of organizations changed from the large branching ratio hierarchies of ancient civilizations, through decreasing branching ratios of massive hierarchical bureaucracies, to hybrid systems where lateral connections appear to be more important than the hierarchy. As the importance of lateral interactions increases, the boundaries between subsystems become porous. The increasing collective complexity also is manifest in the increaseing specialization and diversity of professions. Among the possible future organizational structures are fully networked systems where hierarchical structures are unimportant." - The New England Complex Systems Institute (NECSI) by Yaneer Bar-Yam
  3. Familiar and comfortable Experts, right answers, closure linear Clarity of structures/roles Obvious metrics Separation of knowledge - decision - action Advocacy; directives; power; control Massification /standardisation; efficiency Value chains; asset-oriented