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Mark Johnston King’s College, Auckland                                                          October 2012




Economic Insecurity and Obesity
There is no doubt that the social costs                Research
(private cost + external cost) associated              Research by Trent Smith (2012) of the University of
with food consumption have been well                   Otago, New Zealand, tested the theory that economic
documented. Rising obesity rates especially            insecurity is a reflection of weight gain. He focused
in those affluent developed nations have               on those who are on low incomes or are unemployed
                                                       and research in 2009, with 2,500 working-age males
caused authorities to consider the reasons
                                                       over a 12 year period, found that a 1% increase in the
behind this issue. It transpires that economic         probability of losing their job reflected a weight gain
insecurity plays a significant role in explaining      of around 0.27kg. The same research found that for
trends in obesity for many affluent countries.         every year that income decreased by 50% or more
                                                       the weight of participants increased by 2.27kg. Other
What is Economic Insecurity?                           research with women on low incomes found similar
In July 2010 the Economic Security Index (ESI)         statistics in that:
was developed by Yale Professor Jacob Hacker. It is      41.1% who were food secure were overweight
designed to provide a meaningful, succinct measure
                                                         48.3% who were mildly food insecure were
of Americans economic security. The three key            overweight
determinants of economic security it focuses on are:
                                                         51.5% who were moderately food insecure were
  1 Large losses in household income                     overweight
  2 Large spikes in house-hold medical spending
  3 The adequacy of household financial wealth to      On a more macro environment similar results were
    buffer these losses and spikes.                    prevalent in that countries that are perceived as being
Mark Johnston King’s College, Auckland




less secure also had high levels of obesity. Again            obesity worldwide. In the case of New Zealand and
research has shown that a one unit increase in an             Iceland these economies have under gone significant
‘economic security index’ transfers to a 0.28%                ideological change which included deregulation,
reduction in obesity rates.                                   reduction in labour laws, lower progressive income
                                                              tax and a greater focus on inflation rather than full
Efficiency Obesity trade-off                                  employment to name but a few.
Although last twenty years has seen countries move
to a more market based economic system but since              Final thought
the global financial crisis (GFC) there has been a U          Maybe people consume Big Macs or other fast foods
turn in some countries. Research has shown that the           because they have seen others do so, and have
population of those countries that have adopted a             copied their eating habits. This view might explain
more free market approach to running their economies,         some cross-cultural differences in food preferences,
have experienced personal economic insecurity                 such as why Americans tend to turn to all naturally
(unemployment etc.) which has given rise to weight            savoury foods into sweet desserts by adding
gain. The table below shows that the countries through        supplements. Our fast–food cravings for fat, salt,
to be free market have higher obesity rates than              sugar are inbred, developed choices. The theory
those that are more planned in nature. Countries with         is that because these nutrients were so rare and
free market policies have 4% higher obesity rates             valuable in prehistory, we inherited an uncontrollable
on average. Smith notes that countries that have              desire for them that is now ineffective, making us fat
deregulated state-owned industries have encountered           and sick.
significant increases in obesity rates. Therefore the
free market might improve efficiency but there is a           References:
cost – obesity.                                               T. Smith (2012), Does economic liberalisation cause
                                                              obesity? EcoNZ@Otago – Issue 29 – September
The table also shows that the USA has the highest             2012
obesity rate in the developed world. Other countries
like New Zealand and Iceland have experienced                 G. Miller (2012), Spent. Sex, Evolution, and Consumer
                                                              Behaviour. Penguin
significant increases whilst Japan and Switzerland
have been comparatively unchanged by the growing


                                 Obesity               Rate of Change -
                                 Rate %                % per year
Market-Liberal Economies         1990 2005
Australia 2005                   10.9 20.0             0.61
Canada 2007                      15.1 18.6             0.32
New Zealand 2007                 13.5 25.8             0.82
UK 2006                          13.8 22.7             0.59
USA 2006                         20.0 32.6             0.84

Social-Liberal Economies
Austria 2006                     10.0     14.8         0.34
Denmark 2005                     8.0      14.2         0.41
Finland 2007                     10.3     17.3         0.47
Japan 2006                       2.2      3.8          0.11
Netherlands 2007                 7.1      12.7         0.37
Sweden 2007                      7.2      13.2         0.40
Switzerland 2007                 6.7      9.9          0.25
Source: Smith 2012

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Economic Insecurity and Obesity

  • 1. Mark Johnston King’s College, Auckland October 2012 Economic Insecurity and Obesity There is no doubt that the social costs Research (private cost + external cost) associated Research by Trent Smith (2012) of the University of with food consumption have been well Otago, New Zealand, tested the theory that economic documented. Rising obesity rates especially insecurity is a reflection of weight gain. He focused in those affluent developed nations have on those who are on low incomes or are unemployed and research in 2009, with 2,500 working-age males caused authorities to consider the reasons over a 12 year period, found that a 1% increase in the behind this issue. It transpires that economic probability of losing their job reflected a weight gain insecurity plays a significant role in explaining of around 0.27kg. The same research found that for trends in obesity for many affluent countries. every year that income decreased by 50% or more the weight of participants increased by 2.27kg. Other What is Economic Insecurity? research with women on low incomes found similar In July 2010 the Economic Security Index (ESI) statistics in that: was developed by Yale Professor Jacob Hacker. It is 41.1% who were food secure were overweight designed to provide a meaningful, succinct measure 48.3% who were mildly food insecure were of Americans economic security. The three key overweight determinants of economic security it focuses on are: 51.5% who were moderately food insecure were 1 Large losses in household income overweight 2 Large spikes in house-hold medical spending 3 The adequacy of household financial wealth to On a more macro environment similar results were buffer these losses and spikes. prevalent in that countries that are perceived as being
  • 2. Mark Johnston King’s College, Auckland less secure also had high levels of obesity. Again obesity worldwide. In the case of New Zealand and research has shown that a one unit increase in an Iceland these economies have under gone significant ‘economic security index’ transfers to a 0.28% ideological change which included deregulation, reduction in obesity rates. reduction in labour laws, lower progressive income tax and a greater focus on inflation rather than full Efficiency Obesity trade-off employment to name but a few. Although last twenty years has seen countries move to a more market based economic system but since Final thought the global financial crisis (GFC) there has been a U Maybe people consume Big Macs or other fast foods turn in some countries. Research has shown that the because they have seen others do so, and have population of those countries that have adopted a copied their eating habits. This view might explain more free market approach to running their economies, some cross-cultural differences in food preferences, have experienced personal economic insecurity such as why Americans tend to turn to all naturally (unemployment etc.) which has given rise to weight savoury foods into sweet desserts by adding gain. The table below shows that the countries through supplements. Our fast–food cravings for fat, salt, to be free market have higher obesity rates than sugar are inbred, developed choices. The theory those that are more planned in nature. Countries with is that because these nutrients were so rare and free market policies have 4% higher obesity rates valuable in prehistory, we inherited an uncontrollable on average. Smith notes that countries that have desire for them that is now ineffective, making us fat deregulated state-owned industries have encountered and sick. significant increases in obesity rates. Therefore the free market might improve efficiency but there is a References: cost – obesity. T. Smith (2012), Does economic liberalisation cause obesity? EcoNZ@Otago – Issue 29 – September The table also shows that the USA has the highest 2012 obesity rate in the developed world. Other countries like New Zealand and Iceland have experienced G. Miller (2012), Spent. Sex, Evolution, and Consumer Behaviour. Penguin significant increases whilst Japan and Switzerland have been comparatively unchanged by the growing Obesity Rate of Change - Rate % % per year Market-Liberal Economies 1990 2005 Australia 2005 10.9 20.0 0.61 Canada 2007 15.1 18.6 0.32 New Zealand 2007 13.5 25.8 0.82 UK 2006 13.8 22.7 0.59 USA 2006 20.0 32.6 0.84 Social-Liberal Economies Austria 2006 10.0 14.8 0.34 Denmark 2005 8.0 14.2 0.41 Finland 2007 10.3 17.3 0.47 Japan 2006 2.2 3.8 0.11 Netherlands 2007 7.1 12.7 0.37 Sweden 2007 7.2 13.2 0.40 Switzerland 2007 6.7 9.9 0.25 Source: Smith 2012