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Background
Methods
Result & Discussion
Conclusion
Reommendation
Background
Background
Risk Factor of Stroke
Image Source: http://www.easierliving.com/blog/2013/05/14/know-how-to-prevent-recurrent-stroke/
STROKE
Risk Factor of Stroke
Image Source: http://www.easierliving.com/blog/2013/05/14/know-how-to-prevent-recurrent-stroke/
STROKE
Risk Factor of Stroke
Image Source: http://www.easierliving.com/blog/2013/05/14/know-how-to-prevent-recurrent-stroke/
STROKE
Controlled
Research Question
How do the prevalence of diabetes
influence the prevalence of stroke
in Indonesia’s province, given each
province has constant prevalence
of hypertension ?
Background
Methods
Result & Discussion
Conclusion
Recommendation
What is the study design?
Where is the study population?
Image Source: http://www.pksbalikpapantengah.org/2013/05/wujudkan-indonesia-sebagai-sepenggal.html
How is the data collected?
Data Resource:
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
Prevalence of
Stroke
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
Prevalence of
Diabetes
Prevalence of
Stroke
How is the data collected?
Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
Prevalence of
Diabetes
Prevalence of
Stroke
Prevalence of
Hypertension
How is the data analyzed?
Statistical Tool & Model
How is the data analyzed?
Y : prevalence of stroke
X : prevalence of diabetes
X : prevalence of hypertension
i
1i
2i
Statistical Tool & Model
How is the data analyzed?
Y : prevalence of stroke
X : prevalence of diabetes
X : prevalence of hypertension
i
1i
2i
Statistical Tool & Model
E(Y |X , X ) = βX + βX + α (constant) + ɛ (residual error)1i 2i 1i 2ii
How is the data analyzed?
Y : prevalence of stroke
X : prevalence of diabetes
X : prevalence of hypertension
i
1i
2i
Statistical Tool & Model
STATA ®12
E(Y |X , X ) = βX + βX + α (constant) + ɛ (residual error)1i 2i 1i 2ii
Background
Methods
Result & Discussion
Conclusion
Recommendation
Regression Assumption
Regression Assumption
1) Independent observation
Regression Assumption
1) Independent observation
2) Linear relationship
Regression Assumption
1) Independent observation
2) Linear relationship
3) Homoscedasticity (constant variance)
Regression Assumption
1) Independent observation
2) Linear relationship
3) Homoscedasticity (constant variance)
4) Y | X, is normaly distributed
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Peason’s correlation analysis
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000).
2
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000).
2
Adj-R = 0.35
2
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000).
Y : prevalence of strokei
2
Adj-R = 0.35
2
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000).
Y : prevalence of strokei
X : prevalence of diabetes1i
2
Adj-R = 0.35
2
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000).
Y : prevalence of strokei
X : prevalence of diabetes1i
X : prevalence of hypertension2i
2
Adj-R = 0.35
2
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
95% CI Regression fit
Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). The increase was estimated to be 4.45% (95% CI from 2.31% -
6.59%) per 1 % increased of prevalence of diabetes,
2
Adj-R = 0.35
2
5
101520
.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Prevalence of Diabetes
95% CI Regression fit
Prevalence of Stroke
Prevalenceofstroke
Prevalence of diabetes
r = 0.61 (p < 0.001)
Multivariate linear regression
E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii
Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes
(t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). The increase was estimated to be 4.45% (95% CI from 2.31% -
6.59%) per 1 % increased of prevalence of diabetes, given controlling prevalence of
hypertension (within province has constant prevalence of hypertension).
2
Adj-R = 0.35
2
Background
Methods
Result & Discussion
Conclusion
Recommendation
Thank you

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Province-level analysis using multivariate linear regression model for predicting the impact of diabetes on prevalence of stroke in Indonesia

  • 1.
  • 3.
  • 6. Risk Factor of Stroke Image Source: http://www.easierliving.com/blog/2013/05/14/know-how-to-prevent-recurrent-stroke/ STROKE
  • 7. Risk Factor of Stroke Image Source: http://www.easierliving.com/blog/2013/05/14/know-how-to-prevent-recurrent-stroke/ STROKE
  • 8. Risk Factor of Stroke Image Source: http://www.easierliving.com/blog/2013/05/14/know-how-to-prevent-recurrent-stroke/ STROKE Controlled
  • 9. Research Question How do the prevalence of diabetes influence the prevalence of stroke in Indonesia’s province, given each province has constant prevalence of hypertension ?
  • 11. What is the study design?
  • 12. Where is the study population? Image Source: http://www.pksbalikpapantengah.org/2013/05/wujudkan-indonesia-sebagai-sepenggal.html
  • 13. How is the data collected? Data Resource: Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
  • 14. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
  • 15. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
  • 16. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
  • 17. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/
  • 18. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/ Prevalence of Stroke
  • 19. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/ Prevalence of Diabetes Prevalence of Stroke
  • 20. How is the data collected? Data Resource: http://labmandat.litbang.depkes.go.id/ Prevalence of Diabetes Prevalence of Stroke Prevalence of Hypertension
  • 21. How is the data analyzed? Statistical Tool & Model
  • 22. How is the data analyzed? Y : prevalence of stroke X : prevalence of diabetes X : prevalence of hypertension i 1i 2i Statistical Tool & Model
  • 23. How is the data analyzed? Y : prevalence of stroke X : prevalence of diabetes X : prevalence of hypertension i 1i 2i Statistical Tool & Model E(Y |X , X ) = βX + βX + α (constant) + ɛ (residual error)1i 2i 1i 2ii
  • 24. How is the data analyzed? Y : prevalence of stroke X : prevalence of diabetes X : prevalence of hypertension i 1i 2i Statistical Tool & Model STATA ®12 E(Y |X , X ) = βX + βX + α (constant) + ɛ (residual error)1i 2i 1i 2ii
  • 28. Regression Assumption 1) Independent observation 2) Linear relationship
  • 29. Regression Assumption 1) Independent observation 2) Linear relationship 3) Homoscedasticity (constant variance)
  • 30. Regression Assumption 1) Independent observation 2) Linear relationship 3) Homoscedasticity (constant variance) 4) Y | X, is normaly distributed
  • 31. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Peason’s correlation analysis
  • 32. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). 2
  • 33. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). 2 Adj-R = 0.35 2
  • 34. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). Y : prevalence of strokei 2 Adj-R = 0.35 2
  • 35. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). Y : prevalence of strokei X : prevalence of diabetes1i 2 Adj-R = 0.35 2
  • 36. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). Y : prevalence of strokei X : prevalence of diabetes1i X : prevalence of hypertension2i 2 Adj-R = 0.35 2
  • 37. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes 95% CI Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). The increase was estimated to be 4.45% (95% CI from 2.31% - 6.59%) per 1 % increased of prevalence of diabetes, 2 Adj-R = 0.35 2
  • 38. 5 101520 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Prevalence of Diabetes 95% CI Regression fit Prevalence of Stroke Prevalenceofstroke Prevalence of diabetes r = 0.61 (p < 0.001) Multivariate linear regression E(Y | X ,X ) = 6.11 + 4.45 X - 0.083X + ɛ ~N (0, 2.5 )1i 2i1i 2ii Prevalence of stroke increased significantly with prevalence of diabetes (t(30) = 4.25 ,p=0.000). The increase was estimated to be 4.45% (95% CI from 2.31% - 6.59%) per 1 % increased of prevalence of diabetes, given controlling prevalence of hypertension (within province has constant prevalence of hypertension). 2 Adj-R = 0.35 2
  • 40.