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Webinar in partnership with within the Energy Evaluation Academy
30 May 2018
Evaluating energy efficiency policies:
new online resources
to share knowledge and experience
Jean-Sébastien BrocBarbara Schlomann, Barbara Breitschopf
Next webinar will be on Wed. 20 June (about energy poverty):
http://go.leonardo-energy.org/180620IEPPEC08_Join.html
And don’t miss IEPPEC 2018 in Vienna (25-27 June): www.ieppec.org
This project has received funding from the
European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and
innovation programme under grant agreement No 746265.
Webinar – 30 May 2018 2
The EPATEE project
OBJECTIVE: creating favourable conditions for improving the number,
quality/performance and effective use of ex-post impact evaluations of
energy efficiency policies.
CONCEPT: improving key stakeholders’ evaluation practices can lead to a
better understanding/knowledge of impacts and how policies work, and
thereby to increasing effectiveness of policies
Webinar – 30 May 2018 3
EPATEE consortium
10 partners from 8 EU countries:
 3 public agencies
 2 professional associations
 5 research institutes
See:
https://epatee.eu/
coordination
Webinar – 30 May 2018 4
Stakeholder involvement
• Stakeholders’ interviews and surveys
 Needs & Priorities
 Current practices & barriers
 Practical feedbacks & examples
• European & national peer-learning
workshops
• Webinars
Webinar – 30 May 2018 5
Building resources based
on up-to-date knowledge and
concrete experience feedback
Knowledge Base
(user-oriented
database of references)
Case studies
(about ex-post
evaluations)
Guidance and
support
Online toolbox
making resources easy
to use
Experience
sharing
targeted workshops,
webinars, etc.
Dissemination
of results
Creating the conditions for
an effective use of these
resources
EPATEE outputs
Webinar – 30 May 2018 6
Part 1:
EPATEE’s Knowledge Base
Knowledge Base
(user-oriented
database of references)
Guidance and
support
Webinar – 30 May 2018 7
What is the Knowledge
Base?
Description
Benefit
How to use it?
Search
Results
Knowledge Base - Outline
Webinar – 30 May 2018 8
What is the Knowledge Base
• Collection of evaluation
studies:
– evaluation reports
– evaluation papers
– evaluation guidelines
– meta evaluations
– methodological paper
• Goal:
– facilitate access to evaluation
studies
– provide concrete materials and
information
– online access through EPATEE
website
• Features:
– bibliographic information
– scope of the study
• sector, country,
• type of policy, study
– methodological aspects:
• data collection
• calculation methods
• adjustment factors
• energy savings & additional
benefits
• Search:
– search by category
– advanced search
Webinar – 30 May 2018 9
What is the Knowledge Base
• content:
– about 170 studies
– bias towards
residential sector
– mostly expost
evaluations
– empirical papers:
evaluation reports
and papers
– analytical papers
0
10
20
30
40
Number of evaluation studies by types of
studies and effects
Practical papers Theoretical Papersempirical
papers
analytical
papers
Webinar – 30 May 2018 10
How to use the Knowledge Base?
• Go to EPATEE website
• Go to RESULTS
• Click on „Knowledge
Base“  Knowledg Base
search site opens
• Select search by
categories
• Select by
indicated criteria
• Click on „SEARCH“
https://epatee.eu/main-results
Webinar – 30 May 2018 11
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Part 2: EPATEE’s Case Studies
Webinar – 30 May 2018 16
 Making information easily accessible & providing data as
transparent as possible
 Analysing concrete examples about
NO INTENTION TO BE EXHAUSTIVE OR REPRESENTATIVE
Objective = covering a diversity of situations to produce materials
for experience sharing
Objectives of EPATEE case studies
• why evaluation is used
• how it is performed
Webinar – 30 May 2018 17
Content of the case studies
Short description of
the measure
Key data about
means and outputs
Data on energy
savings
Details about the
evaluation
method(s)
Insights about other
aspects monitored
or evaluated
Focus on key
evaluation issue(s)
or practice(s)
+ interview(s) with the evaluation customer and/or evaluator
 direct experience feedback
+ references
15 cases already available at: https://epatee.eu/case-studies
(more coming soon)
Webinar – 30 May 2018 18
Spain
Finland
> EE agreements in
Industries
> Energy audits in
municipalities
Lithuania
> Renovation
programme for
apartment blocks
Croatia
> Energy renovation programme
for public sector buildings
> Individual heat metering in
multifamily buildings
Austria
> Environmental Support
Programme for companies
> City EE Programmes of Vienna
Germany
> Energy Efficiency Fund
> Energy Efficiency Networks Initiative
Italy
> White Certificates scheme
> Tax credit scheme
France
> "Future Investments"
programme
> Voluntary agreement
for freight companies
Ireland
> Better Energy
Homes
Belgium (Wallonia)
> Primes Energie
Denmark
> EEO scheme
Netherlands (Amsterdam)
> Subsidy scheme for
housing corporations
> Multi-year agreements in
the industry
US
> New England
Capacity Market
> Weatherization
Assistance
Program
Nordic
Countries
> Nordsyn
(market
surveillance)
Overview of EPATEE case studies
UK
> Supplier Obligation
> Warm Front
Webinar – 30 May 2018 19
Key message (1)
Examples of outputs/outcomes from the evaluation Cases
Improving data collection and verification processes EEO scheme (UK)
Updating the list of eligible actions Primes Energie (BE), EEO scheme
(DK)
Improved technical recommendations/requirements Warm Front (England)
Improving the application process Primes Energie (BE)
Redesign of the incentives Energy renovation of public sector
buildings (CR)
Reinforcing support from policymakers and other
stakeholders
Better Energy Homes (IE),
Voluntary agreements (FI)
Evidences/accountability for decision-making
(particularly about funding)
Better Energy Homes (IE), Energy
Efficiency Fund (DE)
Evaluation is not a burden, but an opportunity
“One may have fear to do an ex-post impact evaluation, because it may show
smaller results than based on the engineering estimates. However this increases
the robustness of the results and therefore the confidence funders can have in
them” (quote from the Irish case)
Webinar – 30 May 2018 20
Key message (2)
Good data is well-documented data
“In reality, if two persons carry out impact evaluation of the same policy
measure, they get different results. Even if I make the same calculation in
successive years without proper documentation of the calculation method
and definitions, the calculation can be different. This highlights the needs
for good logic and documentation.”
(quote from the case on Energy Efficiency Agreements in Finland)
Guiding questions:
 Is the documentation sufficient for all readers to understand the figures
in the same way?
 Is the documentation sufficient to keep the memory of the results?
“The policy made possible to save 10 PJ”  final/primary energy? annual/lifetime
savings? from actions implemented over which period?
“From its start, the policy triggered 100 M€ of investments.”  up to when? VAT
included? total/marginal costs?
Webinar – 30 May 2018 21
Example 1: objective = providing visibility
to actors about how energy savings will be
accounted for
Key message (3)
Engineering calculations
easier to
implement/monitor
Example 2: objective = assessing net
impacts (is the policy efficient?)
Statistical methods or
surveys often needed
+ practical factors/constraints : data availability, timeline,
budget, expertise & experience of the evaluators, …
Evaluation method = f(evaluation objectives ; constraints)
Statistical methods (e.g., comparing participants and control group) often
recommended as best practices, but not frequently used
 many difficulties encountered (data access & quality, sample size,
matching samples, …)
Webinar – 30 May 2018 22
Quotes from the case on the Danish EEO scheme
“Our experience is that when preparing a tender for an evaluation, the
specifications for the evaluation should be focused on defining clear
evaluation questions. The choice of the evaluation methods to answer
these questions should be up to the bidders. This makes possible to
compare offers with different methodologies.”
“The call for tenders for an
evaluation has a major
influence on what can be
done in the evaluation. A
good call for tenders can
pave the way for a good
evaluation and vice versa.”
“It is important to distinguish M&V and
evaluation. M&V provides data and
feedback as a regular basis for
managing the scheme. Evaluation
provides an independent and in-depth
analysis of the scheme and its impacts,
in order to draw recommendations.”
Key message (3)
Evaluation method = f(evaluation objectives ; constraints)
Webinar – 30 May 2018 23
Other lessons learnt / issues
 “Reliable” does not mean 100% accurate, but clear and accurate
enough to set the basis for decision making / stakeholders’ confidence
 Identifying the most relevant data for collection is a continuous process
 Regular monitoring and ex-post evaluations are complementary
 No method is the silver bullet or gold standard: compare to validate
 Assessing net impacts (when appropriate) can be challenging
 Communication about evaluation results/conclusions can be as
important as the evaluation itself
 Key messages to be further refined and complemented with the
upcoming case studies, then summarized in a report
Comments and suggestions are welcome !
Webinar – 30 May 2018 24
Next steps of EPATEE
+ guidance on how to integrate
evaluation into the policy cycle
 from early planning to evaluation use
Online toolbox
making resources easy
to use
Experience
sharing
targeted workshops,
webinars, etc.
Direct support
See: https://epatee.eu/
then “events” tab
bilateral exchanges with public authorities/agencies
having specific needs or questions related to evaluation
 contact@epatee.eu
+ create or improve conditions for a
community of experience/knowledge sharing
Webinar – 30 May 2018 25
User characteristics (policy
officers, evaluators, etc.)
“ambition”/constraints
(simple, timely results,
reliability, etc.)
Advice on
methodology
and how to
apply
Summary on key
issues (baseline,
gross/net, etc.)
based on
Knowledge Base
Examples based
on EPATEE case
studies
General resources
(ISO standards,
IPMVP, other
evaluation
guidebooks and
protocols, etc.)
 What evaluation
objectives to consider
 What method(s) to
choose
 What corresponding
data requirements
 Etc.
Evaluation situation (new or
existing policy, etc.)
Policy (type) and sector to
be evaluated
Results needed (impact,
gross/net, non-energy
impacts, etc.
EPATEE’s Toolbox set-up
Webinar – 30 May 2018 26
• To search the Knowledge Base or see the reports about the
surveys and interviews:
https://epatee.eu/main-results
THANK YOU !
• Stay tuned with EPATEE activities and results:
 Newsletter : https://epatee.eu/subscribe-our-newsletter
 Twitter : @epatee_eu ; https://twitter.com/epatee_eu
• To look at the case studies:
https://epatee.eu/case-studies
For any comment, suggestion or question:
contact@epatee.eu
27
Additional slides
How to use the Knowledge Base?
28
Instruments per type of policy:
 legislative/normative (mandatory standards, mandatory DSM, regulations on
buildings, heating systems, vehicles, others)
 legislative/information (mandatory audits, mandatory energy managers or
management systems, building certificates, mandatory labelling, others)
 financial (grants, subsidized loans, others)
 fiscal/tariffs (eco- or energy tax, CO2 tax, tax exemption, tax reduction, special
depreciation, others)
 information/education (energy billing, information campaigns, voluntary energy
audits, regional or local information centres, voluntary labelling, others)
 cooperative (technology procurement, voluntary agreements, voluntary DSM
measures, green procurement, ESCOs, others)
 market-based instruments (energy efficiency obligations (EEO), energy efficiency
auctions/tender systems (EEA), emission trading systems (ETS), JI or CDM)
How to use the Knowledge Base?
29
Bottom-up methods
 Method 1: Direct measurement of unitary energy savings (unit usually participant)
 Method 2: Unitary energy savings are established on the basis of billing analysis (unit usually participant)
 Method 3: Deemed estimate of unitary energy savings (unit usually equipment; could be participant if end-use
actions are uniform)
 Method 4: Mixed deemed and ex-post estimate; unitary energy savings based on equipment sales data,
inspection of samples, monitoring of equipment (unit usually equipment; could be participant if end-use actions
are uniform)
 Method 5: Detailed engineering estimates (e.g. calibrated simulation); implying more or less complex modelling
of the individual unit (e.g. by calculating an energy balance of an individual building or company in the dataset -
hence unit usually participant)
 Mix bottom-up/top-down methods
 Method 6: Modelling (e.g. stock-modelling, simulation)
 Method 7: Based on share of specific equipment or practice in the market (diffusion indicators)
Top-down methods
 Method 8: Monitoring of energy consumption indicators (either energy consumption for whole sectors or sub-
sectors, or specific energy consumption indicators for specific end use equipment).
 Method 9: Top-down modelling (e.g. econometric methods, simulation at aggregated level)
Others
 Method 10: Diverse methods (e.g. combinations of methods, guidelines or meta-evaluations that consider
several types of methods)
Webinar – 30 May 2018 30
Webinar – 30 May 2018 31
Webinar – 30 May 2018 32
Sharing concrete examples
Ireland
Better Energy Homes
 The Finance Ministry was willing to
increase the budget of the scheme
after seeing the results of the cost-
benefit analysis.
Denmark
Energy Efficiency Obligation
 The ex-post evaluations provide a
basis to discuss further improvements
of the scheme (e.g., list of eligible
actions, prioritisation factors,
additionality criteria)“One may have fear to do an ex-post
impact evaluation, because it may
show smaller results than based on
the engineering estimates. However
this increases the robustness of the
results and therefore the confidence
funders can have in them”
“It is important to distinguish M&V and
evaluation. M&V provides data and
feedback as a regular basis for
managing the scheme. Evaluation
provides an independent and in-depth
analysis of the scheme and its impacts,
in order to draw recommendations.”
Webinar – 30 May 2018 33
Sharing concrete examples
Finland
Voluntary agreements
 Regular monitoring & evaluation
enables a feedback loop with
participants, that is critical for
continuous improvements (e.g.,
optimizing data collection and
reporting requirements) and
participants’ involvement.
Croatia
Individual heat metering in
multi-family buildings
 Ex-post studies provided the basis to
discuss under which conditions
individual metering can be cost-
effective for end-users
“The success factors of this well-
working policy measure have been
good monitoring and evaluation,
strong results and communication of
results”
Austria
UFI (Federal aids for
environmental protection
measures)
 Results used to fine-tune the incentives,
adapt requirements for specific
projects, …
 Summary evaluation report
communicated to the Parliament

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Evaluating energy efficiency policies: new online resources to share knowledge and experience

  • 1. Webinar in partnership with within the Energy Evaluation Academy 30 May 2018 Evaluating energy efficiency policies: new online resources to share knowledge and experience Jean-Sébastien BrocBarbara Schlomann, Barbara Breitschopf Next webinar will be on Wed. 20 June (about energy poverty): http://go.leonardo-energy.org/180620IEPPEC08_Join.html And don’t miss IEPPEC 2018 in Vienna (25-27 June): www.ieppec.org This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 746265.
  • 2. Webinar – 30 May 2018 2 The EPATEE project OBJECTIVE: creating favourable conditions for improving the number, quality/performance and effective use of ex-post impact evaluations of energy efficiency policies. CONCEPT: improving key stakeholders’ evaluation practices can lead to a better understanding/knowledge of impacts and how policies work, and thereby to increasing effectiveness of policies
  • 3. Webinar – 30 May 2018 3 EPATEE consortium 10 partners from 8 EU countries:  3 public agencies  2 professional associations  5 research institutes See: https://epatee.eu/ coordination
  • 4. Webinar – 30 May 2018 4 Stakeholder involvement • Stakeholders’ interviews and surveys  Needs & Priorities  Current practices & barriers  Practical feedbacks & examples • European & national peer-learning workshops • Webinars
  • 5. Webinar – 30 May 2018 5 Building resources based on up-to-date knowledge and concrete experience feedback Knowledge Base (user-oriented database of references) Case studies (about ex-post evaluations) Guidance and support Online toolbox making resources easy to use Experience sharing targeted workshops, webinars, etc. Dissemination of results Creating the conditions for an effective use of these resources EPATEE outputs
  • 6. Webinar – 30 May 2018 6 Part 1: EPATEE’s Knowledge Base Knowledge Base (user-oriented database of references) Guidance and support
  • 7. Webinar – 30 May 2018 7 What is the Knowledge Base? Description Benefit How to use it? Search Results Knowledge Base - Outline
  • 8. Webinar – 30 May 2018 8 What is the Knowledge Base • Collection of evaluation studies: – evaluation reports – evaluation papers – evaluation guidelines – meta evaluations – methodological paper • Goal: – facilitate access to evaluation studies – provide concrete materials and information – online access through EPATEE website • Features: – bibliographic information – scope of the study • sector, country, • type of policy, study – methodological aspects: • data collection • calculation methods • adjustment factors • energy savings & additional benefits • Search: – search by category – advanced search
  • 9. Webinar – 30 May 2018 9 What is the Knowledge Base • content: – about 170 studies – bias towards residential sector – mostly expost evaluations – empirical papers: evaluation reports and papers – analytical papers 0 10 20 30 40 Number of evaluation studies by types of studies and effects Practical papers Theoretical Papersempirical papers analytical papers
  • 10. Webinar – 30 May 2018 10 How to use the Knowledge Base? • Go to EPATEE website • Go to RESULTS • Click on „Knowledge Base“  Knowledg Base search site opens • Select search by categories • Select by indicated criteria • Click on „SEARCH“ https://epatee.eu/main-results
  • 11. Webinar – 30 May 2018 11
  • 12. Webinar – 30 May 2018 12
  • 13. Webinar – 30 May 2018 13
  • 14. Webinar – 30 May 2018 14
  • 15. Webinar – 30 May 2018 15 Part 2: EPATEE’s Case Studies
  • 16. Webinar – 30 May 2018 16  Making information easily accessible & providing data as transparent as possible  Analysing concrete examples about NO INTENTION TO BE EXHAUSTIVE OR REPRESENTATIVE Objective = covering a diversity of situations to produce materials for experience sharing Objectives of EPATEE case studies • why evaluation is used • how it is performed
  • 17. Webinar – 30 May 2018 17 Content of the case studies Short description of the measure Key data about means and outputs Data on energy savings Details about the evaluation method(s) Insights about other aspects monitored or evaluated Focus on key evaluation issue(s) or practice(s) + interview(s) with the evaluation customer and/or evaluator  direct experience feedback + references 15 cases already available at: https://epatee.eu/case-studies (more coming soon)
  • 18. Webinar – 30 May 2018 18 Spain Finland > EE agreements in Industries > Energy audits in municipalities Lithuania > Renovation programme for apartment blocks Croatia > Energy renovation programme for public sector buildings > Individual heat metering in multifamily buildings Austria > Environmental Support Programme for companies > City EE Programmes of Vienna Germany > Energy Efficiency Fund > Energy Efficiency Networks Initiative Italy > White Certificates scheme > Tax credit scheme France > "Future Investments" programme > Voluntary agreement for freight companies Ireland > Better Energy Homes Belgium (Wallonia) > Primes Energie Denmark > EEO scheme Netherlands (Amsterdam) > Subsidy scheme for housing corporations > Multi-year agreements in the industry US > New England Capacity Market > Weatherization Assistance Program Nordic Countries > Nordsyn (market surveillance) Overview of EPATEE case studies UK > Supplier Obligation > Warm Front
  • 19. Webinar – 30 May 2018 19 Key message (1) Examples of outputs/outcomes from the evaluation Cases Improving data collection and verification processes EEO scheme (UK) Updating the list of eligible actions Primes Energie (BE), EEO scheme (DK) Improved technical recommendations/requirements Warm Front (England) Improving the application process Primes Energie (BE) Redesign of the incentives Energy renovation of public sector buildings (CR) Reinforcing support from policymakers and other stakeholders Better Energy Homes (IE), Voluntary agreements (FI) Evidences/accountability for decision-making (particularly about funding) Better Energy Homes (IE), Energy Efficiency Fund (DE) Evaluation is not a burden, but an opportunity “One may have fear to do an ex-post impact evaluation, because it may show smaller results than based on the engineering estimates. However this increases the robustness of the results and therefore the confidence funders can have in them” (quote from the Irish case)
  • 20. Webinar – 30 May 2018 20 Key message (2) Good data is well-documented data “In reality, if two persons carry out impact evaluation of the same policy measure, they get different results. Even if I make the same calculation in successive years without proper documentation of the calculation method and definitions, the calculation can be different. This highlights the needs for good logic and documentation.” (quote from the case on Energy Efficiency Agreements in Finland) Guiding questions:  Is the documentation sufficient for all readers to understand the figures in the same way?  Is the documentation sufficient to keep the memory of the results? “The policy made possible to save 10 PJ”  final/primary energy? annual/lifetime savings? from actions implemented over which period? “From its start, the policy triggered 100 M€ of investments.”  up to when? VAT included? total/marginal costs?
  • 21. Webinar – 30 May 2018 21 Example 1: objective = providing visibility to actors about how energy savings will be accounted for Key message (3) Engineering calculations easier to implement/monitor Example 2: objective = assessing net impacts (is the policy efficient?) Statistical methods or surveys often needed + practical factors/constraints : data availability, timeline, budget, expertise & experience of the evaluators, … Evaluation method = f(evaluation objectives ; constraints) Statistical methods (e.g., comparing participants and control group) often recommended as best practices, but not frequently used  many difficulties encountered (data access & quality, sample size, matching samples, …)
  • 22. Webinar – 30 May 2018 22 Quotes from the case on the Danish EEO scheme “Our experience is that when preparing a tender for an evaluation, the specifications for the evaluation should be focused on defining clear evaluation questions. The choice of the evaluation methods to answer these questions should be up to the bidders. This makes possible to compare offers with different methodologies.” “The call for tenders for an evaluation has a major influence on what can be done in the evaluation. A good call for tenders can pave the way for a good evaluation and vice versa.” “It is important to distinguish M&V and evaluation. M&V provides data and feedback as a regular basis for managing the scheme. Evaluation provides an independent and in-depth analysis of the scheme and its impacts, in order to draw recommendations.” Key message (3) Evaluation method = f(evaluation objectives ; constraints)
  • 23. Webinar – 30 May 2018 23 Other lessons learnt / issues  “Reliable” does not mean 100% accurate, but clear and accurate enough to set the basis for decision making / stakeholders’ confidence  Identifying the most relevant data for collection is a continuous process  Regular monitoring and ex-post evaluations are complementary  No method is the silver bullet or gold standard: compare to validate  Assessing net impacts (when appropriate) can be challenging  Communication about evaluation results/conclusions can be as important as the evaluation itself  Key messages to be further refined and complemented with the upcoming case studies, then summarized in a report Comments and suggestions are welcome !
  • 24. Webinar – 30 May 2018 24 Next steps of EPATEE + guidance on how to integrate evaluation into the policy cycle  from early planning to evaluation use Online toolbox making resources easy to use Experience sharing targeted workshops, webinars, etc. Direct support See: https://epatee.eu/ then “events” tab bilateral exchanges with public authorities/agencies having specific needs or questions related to evaluation  contact@epatee.eu + create or improve conditions for a community of experience/knowledge sharing
  • 25. Webinar – 30 May 2018 25 User characteristics (policy officers, evaluators, etc.) “ambition”/constraints (simple, timely results, reliability, etc.) Advice on methodology and how to apply Summary on key issues (baseline, gross/net, etc.) based on Knowledge Base Examples based on EPATEE case studies General resources (ISO standards, IPMVP, other evaluation guidebooks and protocols, etc.)  What evaluation objectives to consider  What method(s) to choose  What corresponding data requirements  Etc. Evaluation situation (new or existing policy, etc.) Policy (type) and sector to be evaluated Results needed (impact, gross/net, non-energy impacts, etc. EPATEE’s Toolbox set-up
  • 26. Webinar – 30 May 2018 26 • To search the Knowledge Base or see the reports about the surveys and interviews: https://epatee.eu/main-results THANK YOU ! • Stay tuned with EPATEE activities and results:  Newsletter : https://epatee.eu/subscribe-our-newsletter  Twitter : @epatee_eu ; https://twitter.com/epatee_eu • To look at the case studies: https://epatee.eu/case-studies For any comment, suggestion or question: contact@epatee.eu
  • 28. How to use the Knowledge Base? 28 Instruments per type of policy:  legislative/normative (mandatory standards, mandatory DSM, regulations on buildings, heating systems, vehicles, others)  legislative/information (mandatory audits, mandatory energy managers or management systems, building certificates, mandatory labelling, others)  financial (grants, subsidized loans, others)  fiscal/tariffs (eco- or energy tax, CO2 tax, tax exemption, tax reduction, special depreciation, others)  information/education (energy billing, information campaigns, voluntary energy audits, regional or local information centres, voluntary labelling, others)  cooperative (technology procurement, voluntary agreements, voluntary DSM measures, green procurement, ESCOs, others)  market-based instruments (energy efficiency obligations (EEO), energy efficiency auctions/tender systems (EEA), emission trading systems (ETS), JI or CDM)
  • 29. How to use the Knowledge Base? 29 Bottom-up methods  Method 1: Direct measurement of unitary energy savings (unit usually participant)  Method 2: Unitary energy savings are established on the basis of billing analysis (unit usually participant)  Method 3: Deemed estimate of unitary energy savings (unit usually equipment; could be participant if end-use actions are uniform)  Method 4: Mixed deemed and ex-post estimate; unitary energy savings based on equipment sales data, inspection of samples, monitoring of equipment (unit usually equipment; could be participant if end-use actions are uniform)  Method 5: Detailed engineering estimates (e.g. calibrated simulation); implying more or less complex modelling of the individual unit (e.g. by calculating an energy balance of an individual building or company in the dataset - hence unit usually participant)  Mix bottom-up/top-down methods  Method 6: Modelling (e.g. stock-modelling, simulation)  Method 7: Based on share of specific equipment or practice in the market (diffusion indicators) Top-down methods  Method 8: Monitoring of energy consumption indicators (either energy consumption for whole sectors or sub- sectors, or specific energy consumption indicators for specific end use equipment).  Method 9: Top-down modelling (e.g. econometric methods, simulation at aggregated level) Others  Method 10: Diverse methods (e.g. combinations of methods, guidelines or meta-evaluations that consider several types of methods)
  • 30. Webinar – 30 May 2018 30
  • 31. Webinar – 30 May 2018 31
  • 32. Webinar – 30 May 2018 32 Sharing concrete examples Ireland Better Energy Homes  The Finance Ministry was willing to increase the budget of the scheme after seeing the results of the cost- benefit analysis. Denmark Energy Efficiency Obligation  The ex-post evaluations provide a basis to discuss further improvements of the scheme (e.g., list of eligible actions, prioritisation factors, additionality criteria)“One may have fear to do an ex-post impact evaluation, because it may show smaller results than based on the engineering estimates. However this increases the robustness of the results and therefore the confidence funders can have in them” “It is important to distinguish M&V and evaluation. M&V provides data and feedback as a regular basis for managing the scheme. Evaluation provides an independent and in-depth analysis of the scheme and its impacts, in order to draw recommendations.”
  • 33. Webinar – 30 May 2018 33 Sharing concrete examples Finland Voluntary agreements  Regular monitoring & evaluation enables a feedback loop with participants, that is critical for continuous improvements (e.g., optimizing data collection and reporting requirements) and participants’ involvement. Croatia Individual heat metering in multi-family buildings  Ex-post studies provided the basis to discuss under which conditions individual metering can be cost- effective for end-users “The success factors of this well- working policy measure have been good monitoring and evaluation, strong results and communication of results” Austria UFI (Federal aids for environmental protection measures)  Results used to fine-tune the incentives, adapt requirements for specific projects, …  Summary evaluation report communicated to the Parliament