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by
Strada IQ
October 2016
CANADIAN SALES
THIRD QUARTER 2016
Still Ahead
Last year was a record, and
this year is ahead by 3%
YTD.
Yes…the 3rd quarter was
challenging.
July: – 2.5%
August: – 2.0%
September: – 0.5%
But…still ahead by 3 points.
Peak Auto
Is it peak auto time in
Canada?
It would be remarkable to hit
the 2 Million mark.
Yes…it is hovering infinitely
close to peak auto for the
Canadian market.
Money
All forms of free flowing
money continues to power
the Canadian market.
Finance, longer terms,
leasing, rolling over
deficiencies.
Its all good to move iron, and
reinforce the mobility model.
Sky Is The Limit
A bunch of folks on the
journey to “peak auto” remain
on the vector that the sky is
the limit.
Is it wiser to move more iron
or to make more money?
In the meantime reaching the
sky in 2016 is on everyone’s
radar.
Who Is Ahead
Jaguar: + 95%
Volvo: + 32%
Land Rover: + 29%
Audi: + 16%
Ford: + 10%
BMW: + 7%
Honda: + 7%
Porsche: + 7%
Subaru: + 6%
Mercedes-Benz: + 6%
Nissan: + 5%
Who Is Behind
VW: - 14%
Acura: - 6%
Mazda: - 5%
FCA: - 4%
At the three quarter point the
market is up by 3%.
FCA is a surprise.
Plateau
Nearing the plateau with
smaller gains this year.
Or is it the plateau?
Do you continue reaching for
the sky, or acknowledge the
plateau?
Recalibrate the strategies?
• Jetta……………….17,108
• Toyota Camry……..13,140
• Honda Accord.........10,825
• Ford Fusion… …..10,657
• Chevy Malibu……..9,131
• Hyundai Sonata..…7,079
• Nissan Altima…..….6,481
• Chrysler 200…..…..5,693
The Jetta persists, Accord and Fusion are
trading paint. Watch the Malibu.
• Honda Civic……..50,386
• Hyundai Elantra…40,418
• Toyota Corolla…..36,268
• Mazda 3……........21,255
The Elantra is winning the dog fight with
the Corolla.
The Civic is a given at # 1
Click on Corolla to see a review/photo gallery
All Figures from Automotive News
SOME NUMBERS
THREE QUARTER 2015
Compact Mid Size Sedans
• Ford F Series…..…..115,674
• Ram…………….……70,865
• GMC Sierra…..……..39,486
• Chevy Silverado……34,947
The F Series is on fire!
Click on F Series, Ram, Silverado to see a review/photo
gallery
• Toyota RAV4……….38,276
• Ford Escape……….35,123
• Honda CR-V……….33,931
• Hyundai Santa Fe…25,681
• Chevy Equinox….....13,748
• Chrysler Journey…..12,759
The RAV4 has displaced the Escape as
the segment leader.
SOME NUMBERS – 1
THREE QUARTER 2015
CUV/SUV Pick Up
• Audi Q5……………………6,089
• Lexus RX…………………5,945
• M-B M Class………….…..5,922
• Acura RDX………..…..….5,882
• BMW X5…………………..5,105
• BMW X3………....…….…4,105
• Acura MDX…….……....…3,989
• BMW X1……………..……3,690
• M-B GLK…………....……3,123
• Infiniti QX60………......…3,055
• Cadillac SRX……........…2,993
• Lincoln MKX……………..2,791
• Buick Enclave……………2,492
• Range Rover Sport…..…2,220
• M-B C Class……..…7,208
• BMW 3 Series………5,262
• Audi A4………......…4,395
• Acura TLX.……….…3,125
• Lexus IS…….…..…..2,337
• Infiniti Q50………..…2,138
• Cadillac ATS……..…1,871
• Lincoln MKZ……….….816
• Cadillac CTS……….…648
The C Class leading with the TLX, IS, and
Q50 still disrupting.
Click on TLX-Q50-CTS to see a review/photo gallery
SOME NUMBERS – 2
THREE QUARTER 2015
Entry Luxury Luxury SUV/CUV
• Lamborghini…...………..130
• Maserati………….….….391
• Ferrari…………...….…..162
• Panamera…..…….…….228
• GT-R…………………..…128
• R8………….…….…..…..128
• Rolls-Royce……………..63
• Bentley…………...…..….94
• Tesla ………..………..1,620
• Volt…………..…..…....2,544
• Leaf…………..….…….1,085
• Lexus NX…………….4,484
• M-B GLA…………….3,445
• Audi Q3……….……..3,047
• Lincoln MKC…………2,071
• Porsche Macan……..2,000
• Cadillac XT5…………1,456
• BMW X4……….………975
The NX continues, while keeping an eye on
the XT5.
Click on NX and MKC to see a review/photo gallery
SOME NUMBERS – 3
THREE QUARTER 2015
New Entrants Did You Know
OUR THOUGHTS
AT THE THREE QUARTER OF 2016
• 2 Million would be cool, overly ambitious, an increase after a record breaking 2015 is
remarkable.
• Free flowing money, be it finance or lease continues to power sales. Its an appreciable
profit opportunity for the providers of financial services.
• Ford what can you say about the F150…WOW.
• Utilities by now we all know the story, gaining more share.
• Will the new Canadian mortgage rules impact auto sales?
• Huge numbers especially with Alberta in the doldrums.
• Mobility continues to be the Canadian model.
• The 4th Quarter will be fascinating, revealing, momentous.
Thank You

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Canadian Auto Sales Remain Strong Despite Economic Headwinds

  • 1. by Strada IQ October 2016 CANADIAN SALES THIRD QUARTER 2016
  • 2. Still Ahead Last year was a record, and this year is ahead by 3% YTD. Yes…the 3rd quarter was challenging. July: – 2.5% August: – 2.0% September: – 0.5% But…still ahead by 3 points.
  • 3. Peak Auto Is it peak auto time in Canada? It would be remarkable to hit the 2 Million mark. Yes…it is hovering infinitely close to peak auto for the Canadian market.
  • 4. Money All forms of free flowing money continues to power the Canadian market. Finance, longer terms, leasing, rolling over deficiencies. Its all good to move iron, and reinforce the mobility model.
  • 5. Sky Is The Limit A bunch of folks on the journey to “peak auto” remain on the vector that the sky is the limit. Is it wiser to move more iron or to make more money? In the meantime reaching the sky in 2016 is on everyone’s radar.
  • 6. Who Is Ahead Jaguar: + 95% Volvo: + 32% Land Rover: + 29% Audi: + 16% Ford: + 10% BMW: + 7% Honda: + 7% Porsche: + 7% Subaru: + 6% Mercedes-Benz: + 6% Nissan: + 5%
  • 7. Who Is Behind VW: - 14% Acura: - 6% Mazda: - 5% FCA: - 4% At the three quarter point the market is up by 3%. FCA is a surprise.
  • 8. Plateau Nearing the plateau with smaller gains this year. Or is it the plateau? Do you continue reaching for the sky, or acknowledge the plateau? Recalibrate the strategies?
  • 9. • Jetta……………….17,108 • Toyota Camry……..13,140 • Honda Accord.........10,825 • Ford Fusion… …..10,657 • Chevy Malibu……..9,131 • Hyundai Sonata..…7,079 • Nissan Altima…..….6,481 • Chrysler 200…..…..5,693 The Jetta persists, Accord and Fusion are trading paint. Watch the Malibu. • Honda Civic……..50,386 • Hyundai Elantra…40,418 • Toyota Corolla…..36,268 • Mazda 3……........21,255 The Elantra is winning the dog fight with the Corolla. The Civic is a given at # 1 Click on Corolla to see a review/photo gallery All Figures from Automotive News SOME NUMBERS THREE QUARTER 2015 Compact Mid Size Sedans
  • 10. • Ford F Series…..…..115,674 • Ram…………….……70,865 • GMC Sierra…..……..39,486 • Chevy Silverado……34,947 The F Series is on fire! Click on F Series, Ram, Silverado to see a review/photo gallery • Toyota RAV4……….38,276 • Ford Escape……….35,123 • Honda CR-V……….33,931 • Hyundai Santa Fe…25,681 • Chevy Equinox….....13,748 • Chrysler Journey…..12,759 The RAV4 has displaced the Escape as the segment leader. SOME NUMBERS – 1 THREE QUARTER 2015 CUV/SUV Pick Up
  • 11. • Audi Q5……………………6,089 • Lexus RX…………………5,945 • M-B M Class………….…..5,922 • Acura RDX………..…..….5,882 • BMW X5…………………..5,105 • BMW X3………....…….…4,105 • Acura MDX…….……....…3,989 • BMW X1……………..……3,690 • M-B GLK…………....……3,123 • Infiniti QX60………......…3,055 • Cadillac SRX……........…2,993 • Lincoln MKX……………..2,791 • Buick Enclave……………2,492 • Range Rover Sport…..…2,220 • M-B C Class……..…7,208 • BMW 3 Series………5,262 • Audi A4………......…4,395 • Acura TLX.……….…3,125 • Lexus IS…….…..…..2,337 • Infiniti Q50………..…2,138 • Cadillac ATS……..…1,871 • Lincoln MKZ……….….816 • Cadillac CTS……….…648 The C Class leading with the TLX, IS, and Q50 still disrupting. Click on TLX-Q50-CTS to see a review/photo gallery SOME NUMBERS – 2 THREE QUARTER 2015 Entry Luxury Luxury SUV/CUV
  • 12. • Lamborghini…...………..130 • Maserati………….….….391 • Ferrari…………...….…..162 • Panamera…..…….…….228 • GT-R…………………..…128 • R8………….…….…..…..128 • Rolls-Royce……………..63 • Bentley…………...…..….94 • Tesla ………..………..1,620 • Volt…………..…..…....2,544 • Leaf…………..….…….1,085 • Lexus NX…………….4,484 • M-B GLA…………….3,445 • Audi Q3……….……..3,047 • Lincoln MKC…………2,071 • Porsche Macan……..2,000 • Cadillac XT5…………1,456 • BMW X4……….………975 The NX continues, while keeping an eye on the XT5. Click on NX and MKC to see a review/photo gallery SOME NUMBERS – 3 THREE QUARTER 2015 New Entrants Did You Know
  • 13. OUR THOUGHTS AT THE THREE QUARTER OF 2016 • 2 Million would be cool, overly ambitious, an increase after a record breaking 2015 is remarkable. • Free flowing money, be it finance or lease continues to power sales. Its an appreciable profit opportunity for the providers of financial services. • Ford what can you say about the F150…WOW. • Utilities by now we all know the story, gaining more share. • Will the new Canadian mortgage rules impact auto sales? • Huge numbers especially with Alberta in the doldrums. • Mobility continues to be the Canadian model. • The 4th Quarter will be fascinating, revealing, momentous. Thank You