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ENERGY
OIL STEADIES AS U.S. CRUDE STOCKS DRAW BUT FUEL INVENTORIES RISE
Oil futures steadied on Wednesday after U.S. government data showed a drawdown in
domestic crude stocks but rises in refined product inventories, while lingering worries
about the global economy weighed on the market.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 27 cents to settle at $60.30 a barrel, down from a
session high of $61.41.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 fell 45 cents to settle at $55.68 a
barrel, after hitting $57.13 a barrel.
Prices pared gains after data from the Energy Information Administration showed
bigger-than-expected builds in U.S. fuel inventories last week. Gasoline stocks
USOILG=ECI rose by 312,000 barrels, while distillate supplies USOILD=ECI grew by 2.6
million barrels.
Crude stockpiles USOILC=ECI decreased 2.7 million barrels, a bigger drawdown than
the 1.9 million barrels that analysts had forecast.
β€œBoth gasoline and distillate apparent demand remains anaemic with little
improvement expected before years end,” said Jim Ritterbusch, president of
Ritterbusch and Associates.
Tensions between the United States and Iran remained in focus. Iranian President
Hassan Rouhani said that if Iran’s oil exports are cut to zero, international waterways
would not have the same security as before, cautioning Washington against tightening
pressure on Tehran.
The comment coincided with a remark by Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad
Zarif that Tehran might act β€œunpredictably” in response to U.S. policies under
President Donald Trump.
Uncertainty over the global economic outlook amid the U.S.-China trade war weighed
on the market.
β€œCrude oil remains stuck, with the relief rally in recent days not removing the fear that
recession risks could still send the market lower again,” said Ole Hansen, head of
commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
2
PRECIOUS METAL
'PRECIOUS METALS CONTINUE TO SHINE AMID TRADE
WAR ESCALATION'
In recent times, there has been a significant rise in the prices of bullions. Gold and
silver prices have been on a rise since August 1 in a consistent manner. The current
increase, in the prices of these metals, is a record increase of past two years; and such
a strong sentiment was witnessed last time in 2017.
This hike in prices has made these metals less popular among the local buyers.
Customers have either postponed buying gold jewellery or have limited it to
exchanging their old jewellery for new. The Indian government had raised the import
duty of gold from 10 percent to 12.5 percent in the recently announced budget, which
further shook the spirit of gold buyers.
The increasing trend in gold prices has prompted customers to sell old jewellery
purchased at lower costs to earn profit resulting in a limited purchase of fresh stock
by jewellers. Fresh purchases by customers have dipped 30-40 percent.
Supply of scrap gold has increased in the local market and is likely to jump further in
the coming days with the rising gold prices. According to the jewellers, old traditional
heavyweight jewellery is mostly coming in for sale in the market.
However, the current situations have brought a boost for investors who are planning to
invest in these precious metals.
President Trump in his recent announcement indicated that he would be imposing
penal import duties on Chinese imports to the US, which brought the stock markets
tumbling down, resulting in the investors choosing gold and silver to trust with their
funds as a safe haven. This action can be referred to as β€˜asset safety’ - where the
investors believe that their funds are safely locked up in these precious metals than in
the volatile stocks and shares.
The direct impact of this action is on the prices of these metals which will shoot up on
aggressive buying. Due to the weak investment sentiment and trade war escalation,
gold has become a safe haven.
3
BASE METAL
BASE METALS: COPPER, LEAD, NICKEL FUTURES EASE ON
PROFIT-BOOKING
Copper futures traded 0.31 per cent lower on Thursday as speculators cut down their
positions at prevailing levels to book profits amid muted spot demand.
On the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in August contracts fell by Rs 1.40, or
0.31 per cent, to Rs 444.50 per kg with a business turnover of 2,318 lots.
Copper contracts for September delivery fell by Rs 1.30, or 0.29 per cent, to Rs 443.80 per kg
in a business turnover of 107 lots.
Traders said, the fhe fall in copper prices at futures trade was mostly due to profit-booking by
speculators amid subdued demand at spot market.
Lead
Lead prices were trading lower at Rs 154.50 per kg in futures trade on Thursday after
participants booked profits amid subdued demand at the spot market. On the Multi
commodity Exchange, lead for most-traded August delivery traded lower by 60 paise, or 0.39
per cent, at Rs 154.50 per kg in a business turnover of 1,104 lots.
Analysts attributed the fall in lead prices to profit-booking by players at current levels coupled
with low demand at the spot market.
Besides, lead contracts for September delivery edged lower by 55 paise, or 0.35 per cent, to Rs
155 per kg in a business turnover of 61 lots.
Nickel
Nickel prices eased 0.52 per cent to Rs 1,113.40 per kg in futures trade Thursday as
speculators trimmed their positions amid low demand at the spot market.
On the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in August declined by Rs 5.80, or 0.52
per cent, to Rs 1,113.40 per kg in a business turnover of 8,201 lots.
Likewise, the metal for delivery in September contracts traded lower by Rs 5.70, or 0.51 per
cent, to Rs 1,116.60 per kg in 544 lots.
Analysts said profit-booking by speculators amid low demand from alloy-makers mainly
weighed on nickel futures here.
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Commodity newsletter

  • 1.
  • 2. 1 ENERGY OIL STEADIES AS U.S. CRUDE STOCKS DRAW BUT FUEL INVENTORIES RISE Oil futures steadied on Wednesday after U.S. government data showed a drawdown in domestic crude stocks but rises in refined product inventories, while lingering worries about the global economy weighed on the market. Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 27 cents to settle at $60.30 a barrel, down from a session high of $61.41. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 fell 45 cents to settle at $55.68 a barrel, after hitting $57.13 a barrel. Prices pared gains after data from the Energy Information Administration showed bigger-than-expected builds in U.S. fuel inventories last week. Gasoline stocks USOILG=ECI rose by 312,000 barrels, while distillate supplies USOILD=ECI grew by 2.6 million barrels. Crude stockpiles USOILC=ECI decreased 2.7 million barrels, a bigger drawdown than the 1.9 million barrels that analysts had forecast. β€œBoth gasoline and distillate apparent demand remains anaemic with little improvement expected before years end,” said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates. Tensions between the United States and Iran remained in focus. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said that if Iran’s oil exports are cut to zero, international waterways would not have the same security as before, cautioning Washington against tightening pressure on Tehran. The comment coincided with a remark by Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif that Tehran might act β€œunpredictably” in response to U.S. policies under President Donald Trump. Uncertainty over the global economic outlook amid the U.S.-China trade war weighed on the market. β€œCrude oil remains stuck, with the relief rally in recent days not removing the fear that recession risks could still send the market lower again,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
  • 3. 2 PRECIOUS METAL 'PRECIOUS METALS CONTINUE TO SHINE AMID TRADE WAR ESCALATION' In recent times, there has been a significant rise in the prices of bullions. Gold and silver prices have been on a rise since August 1 in a consistent manner. The current increase, in the prices of these metals, is a record increase of past two years; and such a strong sentiment was witnessed last time in 2017. This hike in prices has made these metals less popular among the local buyers. Customers have either postponed buying gold jewellery or have limited it to exchanging their old jewellery for new. The Indian government had raised the import duty of gold from 10 percent to 12.5 percent in the recently announced budget, which further shook the spirit of gold buyers. The increasing trend in gold prices has prompted customers to sell old jewellery purchased at lower costs to earn profit resulting in a limited purchase of fresh stock by jewellers. Fresh purchases by customers have dipped 30-40 percent. Supply of scrap gold has increased in the local market and is likely to jump further in the coming days with the rising gold prices. According to the jewellers, old traditional heavyweight jewellery is mostly coming in for sale in the market. However, the current situations have brought a boost for investors who are planning to invest in these precious metals. President Trump in his recent announcement indicated that he would be imposing penal import duties on Chinese imports to the US, which brought the stock markets tumbling down, resulting in the investors choosing gold and silver to trust with their funds as a safe haven. This action can be referred to as β€˜asset safety’ - where the investors believe that their funds are safely locked up in these precious metals than in the volatile stocks and shares. The direct impact of this action is on the prices of these metals which will shoot up on aggressive buying. Due to the weak investment sentiment and trade war escalation, gold has become a safe haven.
  • 4. 3 BASE METAL BASE METALS: COPPER, LEAD, NICKEL FUTURES EASE ON PROFIT-BOOKING Copper futures traded 0.31 per cent lower on Thursday as speculators cut down their positions at prevailing levels to book profits amid muted spot demand. On the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in August contracts fell by Rs 1.40, or 0.31 per cent, to Rs 444.50 per kg with a business turnover of 2,318 lots. Copper contracts for September delivery fell by Rs 1.30, or 0.29 per cent, to Rs 443.80 per kg in a business turnover of 107 lots. Traders said, the fhe fall in copper prices at futures trade was mostly due to profit-booking by speculators amid subdued demand at spot market. Lead Lead prices were trading lower at Rs 154.50 per kg in futures trade on Thursday after participants booked profits amid subdued demand at the spot market. On the Multi commodity Exchange, lead for most-traded August delivery traded lower by 60 paise, or 0.39 per cent, at Rs 154.50 per kg in a business turnover of 1,104 lots. Analysts attributed the fall in lead prices to profit-booking by players at current levels coupled with low demand at the spot market. Besides, lead contracts for September delivery edged lower by 55 paise, or 0.35 per cent, to Rs 155 per kg in a business turnover of 61 lots. Nickel Nickel prices eased 0.52 per cent to Rs 1,113.40 per kg in futures trade Thursday as speculators trimmed their positions amid low demand at the spot market. On the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in August declined by Rs 5.80, or 0.52 per cent, to Rs 1,113.40 per kg in a business turnover of 8,201 lots. Likewise, the metal for delivery in September contracts traded lower by Rs 5.70, or 0.51 per cent, to Rs 1,116.60 per kg in 544 lots. Analysts said profit-booking by speculators amid low demand from alloy-makers mainly weighed on nickel futures here.
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