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.Analytical epidemiology.pptx
1.
2. It can be determined that whether statistical
association exists between the suspected
factor and disease or not and if exists, then
what is the strength of the association.
5. RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES (CASE
CONTROL STUDY)
FEATURES
1. Before the initiation of study the disease has
occurred due to exposure of agents
2.The study proceeds backward.(Effect to cause)
3. The case control study has one control group. It
involves Two population
CASE
CONTROL
6. 2X2 TABLE OF CASE CONTROL
STUDY
Factors responsible for
disease
Case Control
PRESENT A B
ABSENT C
A+C
D
B+D
7. STEPS OF CASE CONTROLSTUDY
1.SELECTION OF CASES & CONTROL
2.MATCHING
3.MEASUREMENT OF EXPOSURE
4. ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATIONS
8. Selection of case
Criteria for Selecting a Case
1. Clear definition of Case
2. Case should meet Diagnostic & Eligibility Criteria
3.Diagnostic criteria &stage of disease must be
specified before conducting the study.
4. 3.Diagnostic criteria should be same throughout the
study.
9. Selection of control
Selection of control
1. The Person should be free from disease
2.Control should meet the criteria expect disease such
as age, Sex, Occupation etc. the same as case
10. Matching
Matching means a process of selection of control in
such a way that they are similar to cases with regard to
certain variables.
Group Matching
Pair Matching
15. EXPOSSURE RATE
IN CASES
Exposure rate=a
a+c
( The ratio of the no. of individuals who became case after
exposure to suspected etiological factors to the total no of
cases)
IN CONTROLS
Exposure rate= Controls with suspected factors
Total No. of Controls
Exposure rate=b
b+d
16. Smoking and Lung Cancer
Cases Control Total
Smokers 33(a) 55(b) 88(a+b)
Non Smokers 2(c) 27(d) 29 (c+d)
Total 35 (a+c) 82(b+d)
17. Exposure rate
Cases = a/(a+c)= 33/35=94.2 Per cent
Control= b/(b+d)= 55/82 =67.0 Per cent
Frequency of lung cancer was definitely higher among
non smokers
18. ESTIMATION OF RISK
Relative risk
Incidence among exposed
Incidence among non exposed
ODD Ratio
Cases with suspected factor
= Total no. of cases
19. Odd ratio Cross product Ratio
ad/bc
Disease No
exposed a b
Not exposed c d
21. COHORT STUDIES
It is an analytical study which provide additional
evidence to accept or reject the existing association
between suspected cause and disease.
22. Concept of Cohort
Cohort is a group of people who share common
characteristics. It can be a group of people who
experience common characteristics with in a defined
time period.
23. Types of cohort
Exposure cohort
It is a group of persons exposed to a common drug or
infection with in a defined period
Marriage Cohort
It is a group of males or females married on the same
day.
24. Occurrence of disease in relation to
TIME
1.Prospective Cohort Studies
2.Retrospective Cohort Studies
3. A combination of both
25. 1.Prospective Cohort Studies
Starts from present and continue in to future
Disease of the individual has not yet occurred at the
time of investigation starts. The disease result in the
future.
26. 2.Retrospective Cohort Studies
In which the outcome( disease) has occurred before
the start of investigations. It is the study of going back
in time.
27. Combination of both retrospective
and prospective studies
In this group is identified from past records and is
assessed up to present and is followed up into future
for assessment of outcome.
28. Steps of Cohort Study
1.Select study subjects
2.Collect data
3.Select Comparison group
4. Follow up
5.Analysis
29. 1.Select study subjects
Subject for cohort study can be selected either from
general population or special groups of population.
A.General population
Large samples
30. B. Special groups of population.
1. Select Groups –professional groups and are
homogenous in nature. –doctors, nurses, teachers
2. Exposure Groups
Cohort is selected because of special exposure to
physical, chemical another disease agents.
31. Collect Data
1.Personal interview
2.Mailed questionnaire
3.Review of records
4.Medical tests
5.Environmental surveys.
32. Select a comparison Group
In order to compare morbidity and mortality rates.
The comparison Group can be in built or the external
group or the general population.
Internal Comparison – based on the degree of
exposure of risk factors
.
34. B. External Comparison-
outside comparison group is required. When
information on degree of exposure is not available, it is
necessary to put up an external control, to evaluate the
experience of the exposed groups.
E.g., smokers and non smokers,
C. Compari son with general Population in the same
geographic area.
35. Follow Up
Periodic check up and investigations
Reviewing records
Routine surveillance mortality records
36. Analysis
Find out the risk rate and frequency of the new cases
in terms of incidence rate
Incidence rate = No of new cases of specific disease
during a given period x 1000
Population at risk during that period
37. Incidence rates
a) smokers 70/7000= 10 per 1000
b) Non Smokers 3/3000=1 per 1000
Cigarette
smoking
Developed lung
Cancer
Did not develop
lung Cancer
Total
Yes 70(a) 6930 7000
No 3(c) 2997 (d) 3000
39. Relative risk
Incidence among exposed
Incidence among non exposed
RR of Lung cancer 10/1=10
so It is a direct measure of the strength of the
association between suspected cause effect.
Relative risk of one indicates no association. Relative
risk greater suggests positive association.
40. Attributable Risk
It is calculated by subtracting the incidence of disease
rate among non exposed from incidence of exposed
and by dividing this by incidence rate of exposed and
multiplied by 100. in order to get the result in
percentage.
41. Attributable risk
Incidence of disease rate among exposed- incidence of
disease rate among non exposed x100
Incidence rate among exposed
10-1 x 100 90 per cent
10