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Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Sponsored by
The Current State of America’s
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Market
MASHBURN REPORT
January 2015
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report 1
About the Author
Lee Mashburn is an accomplished business-to-business marketing and
product management executive who has helped companies like SAP, SSA
Global, and Honeywell to transform and grow into market leadership
positions.
Currently, Lee is Vice president of Global Marketing for Spinnaker Support, a
leading provider of third-party maintenance and managed services for SAP
and Oracle software applications.
Lee has captained numerous corporate-wide strategic and marketing
planning processes. Leveraging available market research data, Lee and his
teams have astutely analyzed to uncover the optimal market targets to
attack.
Lee has developed his “Mashburn Report” series in order to provide a more
insightful and cost-effective product for business professionals and
investors who wish to supplement the market data they have traditionally
used - in order to make more informed, confident, and timely business
decisions.
The Mashburn Reports are available for:
‣ Durable Goods Manufacturing Overview Report
‣ Primary Metals Manufacturing
‣ Fabricated Metals Manufacturing
‣ Machinery Manufacturing
‣ Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
‣ Electrical Equipment Manufacturing
‣ Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
‣ Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Overview Report
‣ Food Product Manufacturing
‣ Beverage & Tobacco Product Manufacturing
‣ Paper Product Manufacturing
‣ Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing
‣ Chemical Product Manufacturing
‣ Plastics & Rubber Product Manufacturing
2Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
3
Introduction
This report addresses questions like:
‣ What is the current state of America’s computer &
electronic product manufacturing industry?
‣ How does the computer & electronic product
manufacturing sector rank against other durable
and nondurable goods manufacturing industries?
‣ Which key financial and performance metrics are
important to track? Why? What are the current
states of those key metrics? How have they
trended over the past decade - and particularly in
2014?
‣ What data sources have been leveraged to support
the information contained in this Mashburn Report?
‣ What is the MASHBURN RATING? How is it used to
monitor and compare the current health of various
manufacturing industry segments?
Mashburn Reports empower those
involved with manufacturing markets:
‣ Finance, procurement, and IT executives
‣ Marketers and product managers
‣ Business analysts
‣ Strategic and operational planners
‣ Industry consultants
‣ Venture capitalists
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
4
WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL TRADEMANUFACTURING
Merchant, Durable Goods
•Motor Vehicles, Parts, & Supplies
•Furniture & Home Furnishing
•Lumber & Construction Materials
•Pro & Commercial Equipment
•Metal & Mineral
•Household Appliances & Electronics
•Hardware, Plumbing, & Heating
•Machinery Equipment & Supplies
•Miscellaneous
Merchant, Nondurable Goods
• Paper & Paper Products
• Drugs, Druggists, Sundries
• Apparel, Piece Goods, Notions
• Grocery & Related Products
• Farm Product Raw Material
• Chemical & Allied Products
• Petroleum, Petroleum Products
• Alcoholic Beverage
• Miscellaneous
Wholesale, Electronic Market
•Business-to-Business
•Trade Agents & Brokers
Durable Goods
•Wood
•Nonmetallic Mineral
•Primary Metals
•Fabricated Metals
•Machinery
•Computer & Electronics
•Electric Equipment, Appliances
•Transportation
•Furniture
•Miscellaneous
In-Store
•Motor Vehicles, Parts, & Supplies
•Furniture & Home Furnishing
•Electronics & Appliances
•Building & Garden Equipment
•Food & Beverage
•Health & Personal Care
•Gasoline Stations
•Clothing & Clothing Accessories
•Sporting Goods, Hobbies, Games
•General Merchandise
•Miscellaneous
Non-Store
•Electronic Shopping
•Mail Order Houses
•Vending Machine Operators
•Direct Selling Fuel Dealers
Nondurable Goods
•Food
•Beverage & Tobacco
•Textile Mills & Products
•Apparel
•Leather
•Paper
•Printing
•Petroleum & Coal
•Chemical
•Plastics & Rubber
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Sample of Data Sources
‣Manufacturers’ Shipments,
Inventories, and Orders (M3)
‣Quarterly Financial Report
(QFR)
‣Employment Situation
Report
‣Job Openings and Labor
Turnover
‣Producer Price Index
‣Consumer Price Index
‣Labor Productivity and
Cost
‣Import/Export Price Index
‣Gross Domestic Product
‣Personal income
‣Industrial Production
‣Capacity Utilization
5Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Performance Indicators Tracked
6
Mashburn Reports analyze and chart dozens of key financial and operational performance indicators,
including:
Employment Situation
‣Employment level
‣Average hours worked
‣Average earnings
‣Job openings
‣Labor turnover
Consumer Spend
‣Personal consumption
expenditures
‣Personal income
Output & Inventories
‣New & unfilled orders
‣Value of shipments
‣Inventory levels
‣Industrial productivity
‣Capacity utilization
Financial Statements
‣Net sales
‣Cost of sales & operations
‣Operating & net income
‣Assets & liabilities
‣Shareholders’ equity
‣Net working capital
Price & Cost Indexes
‣Consumer price
‣Producer price
‣Labor productivity & cost
‣Import/export price
Misc. Metrics
‣Cash-to-cash cycle
‣Current ratio
‣Quick ratio
‣Return on assets
‣Return on sales
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Sponsored by
Brief Overview of America’s
Manufacturing Market
MASHBURN REPORT
January 2015
7Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
America’s Manufacturing Market Size, 2014
8
Durable
Goods
48.3%
Nondurable
Goods
48.3%
By Value of Shipments
per the M3 report
$5.98 trillion
2.5% y-o-y growth
Durable
Goods
47.8%
Nondurable
Goods
52.2%
By Total Sales
per the QFR report
$6.90 trillion
2.7% y-o-y growth
By Employee Level
per the BLS employment report
12.24 million
1.5% y-o-y growth
Durable
Goods
63.4%
Nondurable
Goods
36.6%
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Sub-market NAICS
2014 Share
per value of
shipments
Key words
Wood Products 321 3.3% sawmills, veneer, truss, wood containers, pre-fab
Nonmetallic Mineral Products 327 3.7% clay, pottery, glass, cement, gypsum
Primary Metals 331 11.2% iron and steel mills, aluminum, foundries
Fabricated Metal Products 332 12.4% forging, stamping, cutlery, hand tools, boilers, tanks
Machinery 333 15.0% agriculture, mining, industrial
Computer & Electronic Products 334 12.0% computer, peripheral, communications, audio, video
Electrical Equipment & Appliances 335 4.3% lighting, household appliance, electrical equipment
Transportation 336 29.5% motor vehicle and parts, aerospace, railroad, ships
Furniture & Related Products 337 2.4% household and office furniture, kitchen cabinets, window treatments
Miscellaneous 339 6.1% medical equipment and supplies, jewelry, silverware, sporting goods
Durable Goods Manufacturing Market
9
Durable goods are products designed to last at least three years; bigger ticket items like automobiles,
televisions, and refrigerators. These products account for roughly 15% of consumer spending.
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Market
10
Soft drinks, vegetables, shoes, paper bags, soap, and motor vehicle tires. These are examples of manufactured nondurable
goods. These goods are typically designed to last less then three years. Nondurables account for about 25% of all personal
spending. In contrast to the volatility found in durable goods sales, nondurables orders grow at a more stable rate during
both good and bad economic times.
Sub-market NAICS
2014 Share per
Value of Shipments
Key Terms
Food Products 311 25.6% animal food, grain, sugar, vegetable, dairy, seafood
Beverage & Tobacco Products 312 4.6% soft drinks, bottled water, brewery, tobacco
Textile Mills 313 1.0% fiber, yarn, fabric, thread
Textile Products 314 0.8% carpet, rugs, linen, rope
Apparel Manufacturing 315 0.5% hosiery, socks, cut and sew
Leather & Allied Products 316 0.2% leather, hide, footwear, handbag, purse
Paper Manufacturing 322 5.6% pulp, paper, paper bags, stationary, sanitary
Printing & Related Activities 323 2.5% commercial printing, books
Petroleum & Coal Products 324 27.3% refineries, asphalt paving, roofing, lubricants
Chemical Manufacturing 325 24.5% petrochemical, resin, pharmaceutical, paint, soap, ink
Plastics & Rubber Products 326 7.4% plastics, pipe, foam, plastic bottles, tires, hoses
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
11
Transportation
B
Machinery
B
Primary Metals
C+
Plastics & Rubber
B-
Food Products
C+
Fabricated Metals
C
Computer & Electronics
C-
Paper
D+
Chemical
D
Electrical
D
Petroleum & Coal
F
Beverage & Tobacco
D-
Industry Health Ratings
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
12
Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
NAICS 334
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
WORLDWIDE OVERVIEW
Companies in this industry manufacture computers, computer peripherals, telecommunications, audio and
video, semiconductor, measurement and control, and other related equipment. The global computer &
electronic product (C&EP) manufacturing industry generates more than $2 trillion in annual revenue. Top
producers include China, USA, and Germany. Industry experts are forecasting moderate growth over the
next two years.
Demand across the broad CP&E manufacturing sector depends on technological advancement, level of
consumer spending, and ever-expanding data storage requirements of both businesses and consumers.
SOURCE: Hoovers
$2 trillion
Annual revenue generated
by all global C&EP
manufacturers
16%
Approximate United States
share of worldwide C&EP
manufacturing market
12,500
Number of United States
C&EP manufacturing
companies
13
2.8%
$264b
USA 2014
9.0%
2014 share of durable goods
manufacturing market
2014 vs. 2013
new orders
New Orders
Market Share
Growth Rate
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
NAICS 334
Navigational, Measurement & Control
Instruments, and Electromedial
‣ Electromedial & electrotherapeutic
apparatus
‣ Search, detection, navigational,
aeronautical, & nautical systems
‣ Automatic environmental control
‣ Industrial process control
instrumentation
‣ Laboratory instruments
‣ Fluid meters & electricity testing
devices
Magnetic & Optical Media
‣ Optical recording
‣ Software, compact discs, tapes,
etc.
Computer & Peripherals
‣ Electronic computer
‣ Computer storage devices
‣ Computer terminals
Communications Equipment
‣ Telephone Apparatus
‣ Radio & TV broadcasting
‣ Wireless communications
equipment
Audio & Video Equipment
Semiconductor & Other
Electronic Components
‣ Semiconductor
‣ Printed circuit boards
‣ Capacitors, resistors, &
connectors
14Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
NAICS 334
Electronic Instruments
35%
Semiconductors &
Electronic Components
35%
Computer &
Peripherals
15%
Comms
Equipment
10%
Magnetic
Media
3%
Audio & Video
Equipment
2%
Market share by employee level
15
Industry Health Dashboard Key
-18.7% 10.1%
Operating Profit Growth Rate
Performance Metric
Current Health Status
Trend Indicator and
Last Reported Value
10-year High
10-year Low
Grade F D C B A
recent trend is neutral
recent trend is positive
recent trend is negative
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
16
Computer & Electronic Products
Mashburn Ranking: 7/12
C- 70%
1.8% 11.6%
Operating Profit Growth Rate
0.76 1.86
Net Working Capital Ratio
0.48 1.57
Quick Ratio
-1.8% 24.2%
Return on Sales
59.1 37.5
Cash Conversion Cycle
0.0% 8.2%
Return on Assets
58 151
Industrial Production
63% 79%
Capacity Utilization
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
17
$266k $328k
Value of Shipment per Employee
$56.6k $68.4k
Average Annual Employee Earnings
1.00 1.10
Export/Import Ratio
$336k $580k
Total Sales per Employee
1.71 1.27
Inventory to Shipment Ratio
89 100
Producer Price Index
1,051m 1,409m
Employment Level
Unfilled Order to Shipment Ratio
4.58 7.69
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Computer & Electronic Products
Mashburn Ranking: 7/12
C- 70%
18
Raw data extracted from the Sept 2014 Quarterly
Financial Report, produced by the U.S. Census Bureau
Computers & Electronics USA
Financial Statements
Key Takeaways
The U.S. Census Bureau collects and publishes quarterly
aggregate statistics on the financial results and position of
U.S. computer & electronic product manufacturers - via a
report entitled Quarterly Financial Report (QFR). The QFR
provides insight into industry health and exposes trends that
are useful for benchmarking the performance of individual
manufacturers.
The U.S. computer & electronic product manufacturing
industry grew sales by 3.4% in 2014 and delivered 11.1%
operating profit. Net profit margin jumped 3 percentage
points primarily due to a significant increase in non-operating
income.
From a balance sheet perspective, total cash and securities
on hand have decreased by 21% from 2013. Inventory
expanded, which negatively impacted the quick ratio.
Stockholder equity was essentially flat year-over-year.
From 2013, the net working capital ratio is stronger, debt
has been reduced, and return on assets are improving.
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
19
Employment Situation, Index Comparison
Jan 2006 to Dec 2014
+1.8%
-2.1%
CAGR since Dec ’05
+0.3%
Employee Level
Weekly Hours
Hourly Earnings
CAGR since Dec ’05
CAGR since Dec ’05
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Emp Level! Weekly Hours! Hourly Earnings!
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing
20
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing
M3 Report, Indexes
Jan 2006 to Sep 2014
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
New Orders! Value of Shipments! Unfilled Orders! Total Inventories!
-17%
Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06
New Orders
-10%
Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06
Value of Shipments
+30%
Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06
Unfilled Orders
+7%
Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06
Total Inventories
21
Income State, Index Comparison
+6.9%
+1.3%
CAGR since Dec ’05
+40.2%
Net Sales
Op Income
Net Income
CAGR since Dec ’05
CAGR since Dec ’05
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing
Mar 2006 to Sep 2014
Indexes!
Net Sales! Op Income! Net Income!
22
Key Performance Indicators
Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014
Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing
0%!
5%!
10%!
15%!
20%!
25%!
Operating Margin! Net Margin!
0%!
5%!
10%!
15%!
20%!
25%!
Return on Sales!
35!
40!
45!
50!
55!
Cash-to-Cash Cycle!
0%!
1%!
2%!
3%!
4%!
5%!
6%!
7%!
8%!
9%!
Return on Assets!
23
Key Performance Indicators
Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014
Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing
$200!
$250!
$300!
$350!
$400!
$450!
$500!
$550!
$600!
USD,inmillions!
Value of Shipments per Employee! Total Sales per Employee!
!"#
!$#
%"#
%$#
&"#
&$#
'""#
Export Index! Import Index!
84!
86!
88!
90!
92!
94!
96!
98!
Producer Price Index!
0!
20!
40!
60!
80!
100!
120!
140!
160!
Industrial Production! Capacity Utilization!
ABOUT SPINNAKER SUPPORT
Spinnaker Support delivers third-party maintenance, managed
services, and consulting for organizations that use SAP and/or
Oracle enterprise software applications. Over 400 global clients
depend on Spinnaker Support services to help reduce IT and other
costs, boost operational and financial performance, and to ensure
productive enterprise software applications that stay aligned with
business objectives. A small sampling of our computer & electronic
product manufacturing clients is displayed below.
24Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
APPENDIX
Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report 25
26Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
Metric Definitions
Operating income: equals sales (or revenue) minus cost of goods
sold, labor, and other day-to-day expenses.
Operating margin: a measure of profitability. It indicates how much
of each dollar of revenues is left over after both costs of goods sold and
operating expenses are considered. Calculated as, Operating Margin =
Operating income / Sales
Return on sales: a metric used to evaluate a company’s operational
efficiency; provides insight into how much profit is being produced per
dollar of sales. Calculated as Net Income before Taxes divided by Net
Sales.
Working capital: a measure of both a company’s efficiency and its
short-term financial health. Calculated as Current Assets minus Current
Liabilities.
Working capital ratio : indicates whether a company has enough
short-term assets to cover its short-term debt. Calculated as Current
Assets divided by Current Liabilities. Anything below 1 indicates negative
W/C (working capital). While anything over 2 means that the company is
not investing excess assets. Most believe that a ratio between 1.2 and
2.0 is sufficient.
Quick ratio: measures a company’s ability to meet its short-
term obligations with its most liquid assets. The higher the quick
ratio, the better the company's liquidity position. Calculated as
(Current Assets minus Inventories) divided by Current Liabilities.
Cash conversion cycle: a financial metric that measures
the length of time required for a company to convert cash invested
in its operations to cash received as a result of its operations.
Calculated as (Average inventory processing period plus average
receivables collection period) minus average payables payment
period.
Inventory to shipment ratio: a key measure of the time, in
months, that would be required to exhaust inventories if shipments were to
remain at their current level.
Return on assets: the ratio of annual net income to average
total assets of a business during a financial year. It is a
profitability ratio.
Industrial production index: measures the amount of
output from the manufacturing, mining, electric and gas
industries. The reference year for the index is 2002 and a level of
100. If the IPI is growing month-over-month for a particular
industry, this is a sign that the companies in the industry are
performing well.
Capacity utilization: Extent or level to which the
productive capacity of a plant, firm, or country is being used in
generation of goods and services.
Producer price index: measures the average change over
time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their
output.
Export and Import Price Index: Indexes that monitor the prices
of goods purchased out of the country but produced in the U.S. (exports)
and the prices of goods purchased in the U.S. but produced outside of
U.S. (imports).
The purpose of the Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) survey is to provide broad-based monthly statistical data
on current economic conditions and indications of future production commitments in the manufacturing sector. The Manufacturers’
Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) Report is released in two stages each month. An advance report, for just durable goods
manufacturing, is available about 18 working days after each reporting month. Durable goods, by definition, are products that last
for three or more years such as aircraft, automobiles, machinery, and computers. The full M3 report follows about 5 working days
later.
The M3 is among the most anticipated reports released each month, particularly the advance durable goods portion. It contains
nuggets (like new orders for factory goods figures) that provide clues about what might occur in the future. An increase in new
orders signals production that will take place in the months ahead, keeping factories and employees busy to satisfy customer
demand. A persistent decline in new orders can lead to factory slowdowns, possible employee layoffs, or even build-up of excess
inventory.
The M3 is based upon data reported from manufacturing establishments with $500 million or more in annual shipments. Units may be
divisions of diversified large companies, large homogenous companies, or single-unit manufacturers in 89 industry categories.
Survey respondents report four different data sets:
• Value of shipments - Products that have been ordered that are now being delivered. Shipments are a good measure of what’s
going on in the economy right now, and this figure is used to help calculate GDP. Calculated after factoring out discounts and
before freight charges and excise taxes are added.
• New orders - Qualifies for M3 report if the new order comes with a legally binding agreement to purchase a product for
immediate or future delivery.
• Unfilled orders - A favorite measure for economists in that a backlog of unfilled orders typically means that factories will stay
busy going forward and can suggest an increase in new jobs and greater spending on capital equipment that factories need to
boost output. However, there can be negative consequences to a backlog of unfilled orders as well.
• Total inventories - The M3 report considers all stages of inventory at current cost or market value.
New durable goods orders reflect the very latest demand for U.S.-made products across the world. The volume of new orders can
swing dramatically from month to month, primarily due to large transportation or defense orders. A single large military or aircraft
order can inflate total new orders and can mislead analysts about the economy’s underlying strength. This is precisely why the
Census Bureau reports new orders in total, total excluding transportation orders, and total excluding defense orders.
27Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
What is the M3 Report?
28Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
BLS Reports
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is the principal fact-finding agency for the
Federal Government in the broad field of labor economics and statistics. The BLS
is an independent national statistical agency that collects, processes, analyzes,
and disseminates essential statistical data to the American public, the U.S.
Congress, other Federal agencies, State and local governments, business, and
labor. The BLS also serves as a statistical resource to the Department of Labor.
Each month the Current Employment
Statistics (CES) program surveys
approximately 144,000 businesses and
government agencies, representing
approximately 554,000 individual
worksites, in order to provide detailed
industry data on employment, hours, and
earnings of workers on nonfarm payrolls.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) program
measures the average change over time
in the selling prices received by
domestic producers for their output.
The prices included in the PPI are from
the first commercial transaction for
many products and some services.
The International Price Program (IPP)
produces Import/Export Price Indexes
(MXP) containing data on changes in
the prices of nonmilitary goods and
services traded between the U.S. and
the rest of the world.

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Current State of America's Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing Market 2015

  • 1. Sponsored by Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 2. Sponsored by The Current State of America’s Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Market MASHBURN REPORT January 2015 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report 1
  • 3. About the Author Lee Mashburn is an accomplished business-to-business marketing and product management executive who has helped companies like SAP, SSA Global, and Honeywell to transform and grow into market leadership positions. Currently, Lee is Vice president of Global Marketing for Spinnaker Support, a leading provider of third-party maintenance and managed services for SAP and Oracle software applications. Lee has captained numerous corporate-wide strategic and marketing planning processes. Leveraging available market research data, Lee and his teams have astutely analyzed to uncover the optimal market targets to attack. Lee has developed his “Mashburn Report” series in order to provide a more insightful and cost-effective product for business professionals and investors who wish to supplement the market data they have traditionally used - in order to make more informed, confident, and timely business decisions. The Mashburn Reports are available for: ‣ Durable Goods Manufacturing Overview Report ‣ Primary Metals Manufacturing ‣ Fabricated Metals Manufacturing ‣ Machinery Manufacturing ‣ Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing ‣ Electrical Equipment Manufacturing ‣ Transportation Equipment Manufacturing ‣ Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Overview Report ‣ Food Product Manufacturing ‣ Beverage & Tobacco Product Manufacturing ‣ Paper Product Manufacturing ‣ Petroleum & Coal Product Manufacturing ‣ Chemical Product Manufacturing ‣ Plastics & Rubber Product Manufacturing 2Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 4. 3 Introduction This report addresses questions like: ‣ What is the current state of America’s computer & electronic product manufacturing industry? ‣ How does the computer & electronic product manufacturing sector rank against other durable and nondurable goods manufacturing industries? ‣ Which key financial and performance metrics are important to track? Why? What are the current states of those key metrics? How have they trended over the past decade - and particularly in 2014? ‣ What data sources have been leveraged to support the information contained in this Mashburn Report? ‣ What is the MASHBURN RATING? How is it used to monitor and compare the current health of various manufacturing industry segments? Mashburn Reports empower those involved with manufacturing markets: ‣ Finance, procurement, and IT executives ‣ Marketers and product managers ‣ Business analysts ‣ Strategic and operational planners ‣ Industry consultants ‣ Venture capitalists Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 5. 4 WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL TRADEMANUFACTURING Merchant, Durable Goods •Motor Vehicles, Parts, & Supplies •Furniture & Home Furnishing •Lumber & Construction Materials •Pro & Commercial Equipment •Metal & Mineral •Household Appliances & Electronics •Hardware, Plumbing, & Heating •Machinery Equipment & Supplies •Miscellaneous Merchant, Nondurable Goods • Paper & Paper Products • Drugs, Druggists, Sundries • Apparel, Piece Goods, Notions • Grocery & Related Products • Farm Product Raw Material • Chemical & Allied Products • Petroleum, Petroleum Products • Alcoholic Beverage • Miscellaneous Wholesale, Electronic Market •Business-to-Business •Trade Agents & Brokers Durable Goods •Wood •Nonmetallic Mineral •Primary Metals •Fabricated Metals •Machinery •Computer & Electronics •Electric Equipment, Appliances •Transportation •Furniture •Miscellaneous In-Store •Motor Vehicles, Parts, & Supplies •Furniture & Home Furnishing •Electronics & Appliances •Building & Garden Equipment •Food & Beverage •Health & Personal Care •Gasoline Stations •Clothing & Clothing Accessories •Sporting Goods, Hobbies, Games •General Merchandise •Miscellaneous Non-Store •Electronic Shopping •Mail Order Houses •Vending Machine Operators •Direct Selling Fuel Dealers Nondurable Goods •Food •Beverage & Tobacco •Textile Mills & Products •Apparel •Leather •Paper •Printing •Petroleum & Coal •Chemical •Plastics & Rubber Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 6. Sample of Data Sources ‣Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) ‣Quarterly Financial Report (QFR) ‣Employment Situation Report ‣Job Openings and Labor Turnover ‣Producer Price Index ‣Consumer Price Index ‣Labor Productivity and Cost ‣Import/Export Price Index ‣Gross Domestic Product ‣Personal income ‣Industrial Production ‣Capacity Utilization 5Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 7. Performance Indicators Tracked 6 Mashburn Reports analyze and chart dozens of key financial and operational performance indicators, including: Employment Situation ‣Employment level ‣Average hours worked ‣Average earnings ‣Job openings ‣Labor turnover Consumer Spend ‣Personal consumption expenditures ‣Personal income Output & Inventories ‣New & unfilled orders ‣Value of shipments ‣Inventory levels ‣Industrial productivity ‣Capacity utilization Financial Statements ‣Net sales ‣Cost of sales & operations ‣Operating & net income ‣Assets & liabilities ‣Shareholders’ equity ‣Net working capital Price & Cost Indexes ‣Consumer price ‣Producer price ‣Labor productivity & cost ‣Import/export price Misc. Metrics ‣Cash-to-cash cycle ‣Current ratio ‣Quick ratio ‣Return on assets ‣Return on sales Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 8. Sponsored by Brief Overview of America’s Manufacturing Market MASHBURN REPORT January 2015 7Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 9. America’s Manufacturing Market Size, 2014 8 Durable Goods 48.3% Nondurable Goods 48.3% By Value of Shipments per the M3 report $5.98 trillion 2.5% y-o-y growth Durable Goods 47.8% Nondurable Goods 52.2% By Total Sales per the QFR report $6.90 trillion 2.7% y-o-y growth By Employee Level per the BLS employment report 12.24 million 1.5% y-o-y growth Durable Goods 63.4% Nondurable Goods 36.6% Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 10. Sub-market NAICS 2014 Share per value of shipments Key words Wood Products 321 3.3% sawmills, veneer, truss, wood containers, pre-fab Nonmetallic Mineral Products 327 3.7% clay, pottery, glass, cement, gypsum Primary Metals 331 11.2% iron and steel mills, aluminum, foundries Fabricated Metal Products 332 12.4% forging, stamping, cutlery, hand tools, boilers, tanks Machinery 333 15.0% agriculture, mining, industrial Computer & Electronic Products 334 12.0% computer, peripheral, communications, audio, video Electrical Equipment & Appliances 335 4.3% lighting, household appliance, electrical equipment Transportation 336 29.5% motor vehicle and parts, aerospace, railroad, ships Furniture & Related Products 337 2.4% household and office furniture, kitchen cabinets, window treatments Miscellaneous 339 6.1% medical equipment and supplies, jewelry, silverware, sporting goods Durable Goods Manufacturing Market 9 Durable goods are products designed to last at least three years; bigger ticket items like automobiles, televisions, and refrigerators. These products account for roughly 15% of consumer spending. Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 11. Nondurable Goods Manufacturing Market 10 Soft drinks, vegetables, shoes, paper bags, soap, and motor vehicle tires. These are examples of manufactured nondurable goods. These goods are typically designed to last less then three years. Nondurables account for about 25% of all personal spending. In contrast to the volatility found in durable goods sales, nondurables orders grow at a more stable rate during both good and bad economic times. Sub-market NAICS 2014 Share per Value of Shipments Key Terms Food Products 311 25.6% animal food, grain, sugar, vegetable, dairy, seafood Beverage & Tobacco Products 312 4.6% soft drinks, bottled water, brewery, tobacco Textile Mills 313 1.0% fiber, yarn, fabric, thread Textile Products 314 0.8% carpet, rugs, linen, rope Apparel Manufacturing 315 0.5% hosiery, socks, cut and sew Leather & Allied Products 316 0.2% leather, hide, footwear, handbag, purse Paper Manufacturing 322 5.6% pulp, paper, paper bags, stationary, sanitary Printing & Related Activities 323 2.5% commercial printing, books Petroleum & Coal Products 324 27.3% refineries, asphalt paving, roofing, lubricants Chemical Manufacturing 325 24.5% petrochemical, resin, pharmaceutical, paint, soap, ink Plastics & Rubber Products 326 7.4% plastics, pipe, foam, plastic bottles, tires, hoses Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 12. 11 Transportation B Machinery B Primary Metals C+ Plastics & Rubber B- Food Products C+ Fabricated Metals C Computer & Electronics C- Paper D+ Chemical D Electrical D Petroleum & Coal F Beverage & Tobacco D- Industry Health Ratings Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 13. 12 Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing NAICS 334 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report WORLDWIDE OVERVIEW Companies in this industry manufacture computers, computer peripherals, telecommunications, audio and video, semiconductor, measurement and control, and other related equipment. The global computer & electronic product (C&EP) manufacturing industry generates more than $2 trillion in annual revenue. Top producers include China, USA, and Germany. Industry experts are forecasting moderate growth over the next two years. Demand across the broad CP&E manufacturing sector depends on technological advancement, level of consumer spending, and ever-expanding data storage requirements of both businesses and consumers. SOURCE: Hoovers $2 trillion Annual revenue generated by all global C&EP manufacturers 16% Approximate United States share of worldwide C&EP manufacturing market 12,500 Number of United States C&EP manufacturing companies
  • 14. 13 2.8% $264b USA 2014 9.0% 2014 share of durable goods manufacturing market 2014 vs. 2013 new orders New Orders Market Share Growth Rate Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing NAICS 334 Navigational, Measurement & Control Instruments, and Electromedial ‣ Electromedial & electrotherapeutic apparatus ‣ Search, detection, navigational, aeronautical, & nautical systems ‣ Automatic environmental control ‣ Industrial process control instrumentation ‣ Laboratory instruments ‣ Fluid meters & electricity testing devices Magnetic & Optical Media ‣ Optical recording ‣ Software, compact discs, tapes, etc. Computer & Peripherals ‣ Electronic computer ‣ Computer storage devices ‣ Computer terminals Communications Equipment ‣ Telephone Apparatus ‣ Radio & TV broadcasting ‣ Wireless communications equipment Audio & Video Equipment Semiconductor & Other Electronic Components ‣ Semiconductor ‣ Printed circuit boards ‣ Capacitors, resistors, & connectors
  • 15. 14Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing NAICS 334 Electronic Instruments 35% Semiconductors & Electronic Components 35% Computer & Peripherals 15% Comms Equipment 10% Magnetic Media 3% Audio & Video Equipment 2% Market share by employee level
  • 16. 15 Industry Health Dashboard Key -18.7% 10.1% Operating Profit Growth Rate Performance Metric Current Health Status Trend Indicator and Last Reported Value 10-year High 10-year Low Grade F D C B A recent trend is neutral recent trend is positive recent trend is negative Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 17. 16 Computer & Electronic Products Mashburn Ranking: 7/12 C- 70% 1.8% 11.6% Operating Profit Growth Rate 0.76 1.86 Net Working Capital Ratio 0.48 1.57 Quick Ratio -1.8% 24.2% Return on Sales 59.1 37.5 Cash Conversion Cycle 0.0% 8.2% Return on Assets 58 151 Industrial Production 63% 79% Capacity Utilization Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 18. 17 $266k $328k Value of Shipment per Employee $56.6k $68.4k Average Annual Employee Earnings 1.00 1.10 Export/Import Ratio $336k $580k Total Sales per Employee 1.71 1.27 Inventory to Shipment Ratio 89 100 Producer Price Index 1,051m 1,409m Employment Level Unfilled Order to Shipment Ratio 4.58 7.69 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Computer & Electronic Products Mashburn Ranking: 7/12 C- 70%
  • 19. 18 Raw data extracted from the Sept 2014 Quarterly Financial Report, produced by the U.S. Census Bureau Computers & Electronics USA Financial Statements Key Takeaways The U.S. Census Bureau collects and publishes quarterly aggregate statistics on the financial results and position of U.S. computer & electronic product manufacturers - via a report entitled Quarterly Financial Report (QFR). The QFR provides insight into industry health and exposes trends that are useful for benchmarking the performance of individual manufacturers. The U.S. computer & electronic product manufacturing industry grew sales by 3.4% in 2014 and delivered 11.1% operating profit. Net profit margin jumped 3 percentage points primarily due to a significant increase in non-operating income. From a balance sheet perspective, total cash and securities on hand have decreased by 21% from 2013. Inventory expanded, which negatively impacted the quick ratio. Stockholder equity was essentially flat year-over-year. From 2013, the net working capital ratio is stronger, debt has been reduced, and return on assets are improving. Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 20. 19 Employment Situation, Index Comparison Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 +1.8% -2.1% CAGR since Dec ’05 +0.3% Employee Level Weekly Hours Hourly Earnings CAGR since Dec ’05 CAGR since Dec ’05 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Emp Level! Weekly Hours! Hourly Earnings! Computer & Electronic Manufacturing
  • 21. 20 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing M3 Report, Indexes Jan 2006 to Sep 2014 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report New Orders! Value of Shipments! Unfilled Orders! Total Inventories! -17% Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06 New Orders -10% Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06 Value of Shipments +30% Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06 Unfilled Orders +7% Q3 ’14 vs. Q1 ’06 Total Inventories
  • 22. 21 Income State, Index Comparison +6.9% +1.3% CAGR since Dec ’05 +40.2% Net Sales Op Income Net Income CAGR since Dec ’05 CAGR since Dec ’05 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Mar 2006 to Sep 2014 Indexes! Net Sales! Op Income! Net Income!
  • 23. 22 Key Performance Indicators Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Computer & Electronic Manufacturing 0%! 5%! 10%! 15%! 20%! 25%! Operating Margin! Net Margin! 0%! 5%! 10%! 15%! 20%! 25%! Return on Sales! 35! 40! 45! 50! 55! Cash-to-Cash Cycle! 0%! 1%! 2%! 3%! 4%! 5%! 6%! 7%! 8%! 9%! Return on Assets!
  • 24. 23 Key Performance Indicators Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Jan 2006 to Dec 2014 Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Computer & Electronic Manufacturing $200! $250! $300! $350! $400! $450! $500! $550! $600! USD,inmillions! Value of Shipments per Employee! Total Sales per Employee! !"# !$# %"# %$# &"# &$# '""# Export Index! Import Index! 84! 86! 88! 90! 92! 94! 96! 98! Producer Price Index! 0! 20! 40! 60! 80! 100! 120! 140! 160! Industrial Production! Capacity Utilization!
  • 25. ABOUT SPINNAKER SUPPORT Spinnaker Support delivers third-party maintenance, managed services, and consulting for organizations that use SAP and/or Oracle enterprise software applications. Over 400 global clients depend on Spinnaker Support services to help reduce IT and other costs, boost operational and financial performance, and to ensure productive enterprise software applications that stay aligned with business objectives. A small sampling of our computer & electronic product manufacturing clients is displayed below. 24Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report
  • 26. APPENDIX Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report 25
  • 27. 26Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report Metric Definitions Operating income: equals sales (or revenue) minus cost of goods sold, labor, and other day-to-day expenses. Operating margin: a measure of profitability. It indicates how much of each dollar of revenues is left over after both costs of goods sold and operating expenses are considered. Calculated as, Operating Margin = Operating income / Sales Return on sales: a metric used to evaluate a company’s operational efficiency; provides insight into how much profit is being produced per dollar of sales. Calculated as Net Income before Taxes divided by Net Sales. Working capital: a measure of both a company’s efficiency and its short-term financial health. Calculated as Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Working capital ratio : indicates whether a company has enough short-term assets to cover its short-term debt. Calculated as Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities. Anything below 1 indicates negative W/C (working capital). While anything over 2 means that the company is not investing excess assets. Most believe that a ratio between 1.2 and 2.0 is sufficient. Quick ratio: measures a company’s ability to meet its short- term obligations with its most liquid assets. The higher the quick ratio, the better the company's liquidity position. Calculated as (Current Assets minus Inventories) divided by Current Liabilities. Cash conversion cycle: a financial metric that measures the length of time required for a company to convert cash invested in its operations to cash received as a result of its operations. Calculated as (Average inventory processing period plus average receivables collection period) minus average payables payment period. Inventory to shipment ratio: a key measure of the time, in months, that would be required to exhaust inventories if shipments were to remain at their current level. Return on assets: the ratio of annual net income to average total assets of a business during a financial year. It is a profitability ratio. Industrial production index: measures the amount of output from the manufacturing, mining, electric and gas industries. The reference year for the index is 2002 and a level of 100. If the IPI is growing month-over-month for a particular industry, this is a sign that the companies in the industry are performing well. Capacity utilization: Extent or level to which the productive capacity of a plant, firm, or country is being used in generation of goods and services. Producer price index: measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. Export and Import Price Index: Indexes that monitor the prices of goods purchased out of the country but produced in the U.S. (exports) and the prices of goods purchased in the U.S. but produced outside of U.S. (imports).
  • 28. The purpose of the Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) survey is to provide broad-based monthly statistical data on current economic conditions and indications of future production commitments in the manufacturing sector. The Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) Report is released in two stages each month. An advance report, for just durable goods manufacturing, is available about 18 working days after each reporting month. Durable goods, by definition, are products that last for three or more years such as aircraft, automobiles, machinery, and computers. The full M3 report follows about 5 working days later. The M3 is among the most anticipated reports released each month, particularly the advance durable goods portion. It contains nuggets (like new orders for factory goods figures) that provide clues about what might occur in the future. An increase in new orders signals production that will take place in the months ahead, keeping factories and employees busy to satisfy customer demand. A persistent decline in new orders can lead to factory slowdowns, possible employee layoffs, or even build-up of excess inventory. The M3 is based upon data reported from manufacturing establishments with $500 million or more in annual shipments. Units may be divisions of diversified large companies, large homogenous companies, or single-unit manufacturers in 89 industry categories. Survey respondents report four different data sets: • Value of shipments - Products that have been ordered that are now being delivered. Shipments are a good measure of what’s going on in the economy right now, and this figure is used to help calculate GDP. Calculated after factoring out discounts and before freight charges and excise taxes are added. • New orders - Qualifies for M3 report if the new order comes with a legally binding agreement to purchase a product for immediate or future delivery. • Unfilled orders - A favorite measure for economists in that a backlog of unfilled orders typically means that factories will stay busy going forward and can suggest an increase in new jobs and greater spending on capital equipment that factories need to boost output. However, there can be negative consequences to a backlog of unfilled orders as well. • Total inventories - The M3 report considers all stages of inventory at current cost or market value. New durable goods orders reflect the very latest demand for U.S.-made products across the world. The volume of new orders can swing dramatically from month to month, primarily due to large transportation or defense orders. A single large military or aircraft order can inflate total new orders and can mislead analysts about the economy’s underlying strength. This is precisely why the Census Bureau reports new orders in total, total excluding transportation orders, and total excluding defense orders. 27Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report What is the M3 Report?
  • 29. 28Computer & Electronic Manufacturing Research Report BLS Reports The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is the principal fact-finding agency for the Federal Government in the broad field of labor economics and statistics. The BLS is an independent national statistical agency that collects, processes, analyzes, and disseminates essential statistical data to the American public, the U.S. Congress, other Federal agencies, State and local governments, business, and labor. The BLS also serves as a statistical resource to the Department of Labor. Each month the Current Employment Statistics (CES) program surveys approximately 144,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 554,000 individual worksites, in order to provide detailed industry data on employment, hours, and earnings of workers on nonfarm payrolls. The Producer Price Index (PPI) program measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. The prices included in the PPI are from the first commercial transaction for many products and some services. The International Price Program (IPP) produces Import/Export Price Indexes (MXP) containing data on changes in the prices of nonmilitary goods and services traded between the U.S. and the rest of the world.