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Why Investors Might Think Twice
About Chasing the Biggest Stocks
AVERAGE ANNUALIZED OUTPERFORMANCE OF COMPANIES BEFORE
AND AFTER THE FIRST YEAR THEY BECAME ONE OF 10 LARGEST IN US
Compared to Fama/French Total US Market Research Index ,1927–2019
3 Years Before 3 Years After 10 Years After5 Years After5 Years Before10 Years Before
10.0%
19.3%
24.3%
0.7%
–1.1% –1.5%
As companies grow to become some of the largest firms trading on
theUSstockmarket,thereturnsthatpushthemtherecanbeimpressive.
But not long after joining the Top 10 largest by market cap, these
stocks, on average, lagged the market.
•	 From 1927 to 2019, the average annualized return for these
stocks over the three years prior to joining the Top10 was nearly
25% higher than the market.In the three years after,the edge was
less than 1%.2
•	 Five years after joining the Top 10, these stocks were, on average,
underperforming the market—­a stark turnaround from their earlier
advantage.The gap was even wider 10 years out.
•	 Intel is an illustrative example.The technology giant posted average
annualized excess returns of 29% in the 10 years before the year
it ascended to the Top10 but,in the next decade,underperformed
the broad market by nearly 6% per year. Similarly, the annualized
excess return of Google five years before it hit the Top10 dropped
by about half in the five years after it joined the list.
Expectations about a firm’s prospects are reflected in its
current stock price. Positive news might lead to additional
price appreciation, but those unexpected changes are
not predictable.
BEFORE joining
the 10 largest
AFTER joining
the 10 largestStart of
first calendar
year in the
TOP 101
1.	 Ten largest companies by market capitalization.
2.	 Returns are measured as of start of first calendar year after a stock joins Top 10.
AMERICAS
Austin, Charlotte, Santa Monica, Toronto, Vancouver
EUROPE
London, Amsterdam, Berlin
ASIA PACIFIC
Sydney, Melbourne, Singapore, Hong Kong, Tokyo
MKT-11398 09/20 1827738
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
This information is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell a particular security. Named securities may be held in accounts managed by Dimensional.
In USD. Source: Dimensional, using data from CRSP. Includes all US common stocks excluding REITs. Largest stocks identified at the end of each calendar year by sorting eligible US stocks on market capitalization. Market is
represented by the Fama/French Total US Market Research Index.Annualized Excess Return is the difference in annualized compound returns between the stock and the market over the 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods, before and
after each stocks’ initial year-end classification in the top 10. 3-, 5-, and 10-annualized returns are computed for companies with return data available for the entire 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods respectively.The number of firms
included in measuring excess returns prior (subsequent) to becoming a top 10 stock consists of 38 (53) for 3-year, 37 (52) for 5-year, and 29 (47) for 10-year.
Fama/French Total US Market Research Index: The value-weighed US market index is constructed every month, using all issues listed on the NYSE,AMEX, or Nasdaq with available outstanding shares and valid prices for that
month and the month before.Exclusions: American Depositary Receipts.Sources: CRSP for value-weighted US market return.Rebalancing: Monthly.Dividends: Reinvested in the paying company until the portfolio is rebalanced.
Eugene Fama and Ken French are members of the Board of Directors of the general partner of, and provide consulting services to, Dimensional Fund Advisors LP.
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Why investors might think twice about chasing the biggest stocks

  • 1. Why Investors Might Think Twice About Chasing the Biggest Stocks AVERAGE ANNUALIZED OUTPERFORMANCE OF COMPANIES BEFORE AND AFTER THE FIRST YEAR THEY BECAME ONE OF 10 LARGEST IN US Compared to Fama/French Total US Market Research Index ,1927–2019 3 Years Before 3 Years After 10 Years After5 Years After5 Years Before10 Years Before 10.0% 19.3% 24.3% 0.7% –1.1% –1.5% As companies grow to become some of the largest firms trading on theUSstockmarket,thereturnsthatpushthemtherecanbeimpressive. But not long after joining the Top 10 largest by market cap, these stocks, on average, lagged the market. • From 1927 to 2019, the average annualized return for these stocks over the three years prior to joining the Top10 was nearly 25% higher than the market.In the three years after,the edge was less than 1%.2 • Five years after joining the Top 10, these stocks were, on average, underperforming the market—­a stark turnaround from their earlier advantage.The gap was even wider 10 years out. • Intel is an illustrative example.The technology giant posted average annualized excess returns of 29% in the 10 years before the year it ascended to the Top10 but,in the next decade,underperformed the broad market by nearly 6% per year. Similarly, the annualized excess return of Google five years before it hit the Top10 dropped by about half in the five years after it joined the list. Expectations about a firm’s prospects are reflected in its current stock price. Positive news might lead to additional price appreciation, but those unexpected changes are not predictable. BEFORE joining the 10 largest AFTER joining the 10 largestStart of first calendar year in the TOP 101 1. Ten largest companies by market capitalization. 2. Returns are measured as of start of first calendar year after a stock joins Top 10.
  • 2. AMERICAS Austin, Charlotte, Santa Monica, Toronto, Vancouver EUROPE London, Amsterdam, Berlin ASIA PACIFIC Sydney, Melbourne, Singapore, Hong Kong, Tokyo MKT-11398 09/20 1827738 Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. This information is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell a particular security. Named securities may be held in accounts managed by Dimensional. In USD. Source: Dimensional, using data from CRSP. Includes all US common stocks excluding REITs. Largest stocks identified at the end of each calendar year by sorting eligible US stocks on market capitalization. Market is represented by the Fama/French Total US Market Research Index.Annualized Excess Return is the difference in annualized compound returns between the stock and the market over the 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods, before and after each stocks’ initial year-end classification in the top 10. 3-, 5-, and 10-annualized returns are computed for companies with return data available for the entire 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods respectively.The number of firms included in measuring excess returns prior (subsequent) to becoming a top 10 stock consists of 38 (53) for 3-year, 37 (52) for 5-year, and 29 (47) for 10-year. Fama/French Total US Market Research Index: The value-weighed US market index is constructed every month, using all issues listed on the NYSE,AMEX, or Nasdaq with available outstanding shares and valid prices for that month and the month before.Exclusions: American Depositary Receipts.Sources: CRSP for value-weighted US market return.Rebalancing: Monthly.Dividends: Reinvested in the paying company until the portfolio is rebalanced. Eugene Fama and Ken French are members of the Board of Directors of the general partner of, and provide consulting services to, Dimensional Fund Advisors LP. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission.