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16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
16 Sept 2019
Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity
Nifty Active Futures 11105.55 India VIX Index 14.12 INDEX FUTURES 300
Nifty Active Futures OI 16778250 Nifty ATM Call IV 12.45 INDEX OPTIONS 1180
Change in OI -377325 Nifty ATM Put IV 12.56 STOCK FUTURES 127
Premium / Discount 29.65 PCR Index Options 1.34 STOCK OPTIONS 4
Inference Short Covering PCR F&O Total 1.02 FII Net Activity 1612
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11105.55 on a positive
note with 2.20% decrease in open interest indicating Short
Covering. Futures closed at a premium of 30 points compared
to previous day premium of 14 points.
FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 300 crores
and were Buyers in Index Options to the tune of 1180 crores,
Stock Futures were Buyers to the tune of 127 crores. FII's
were Net Buyers in derivative segment to the tune of 1612
crores.
India VIX index is at 14.12, Nifty ATM call option IV is currently
at 12.45 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 12.56.
Index options PCR is at 1.34 and F&O Total PCR is at 1.02.
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII
Among stock futures BPCL, TORNTPHARMA, CONCOR &
ACC have witnessed long build up and may show strength in
coming session.
Stock which witnessed short build up are RAYMOND, PEL,
CHOLAFIN & IDFCFIRSTB and may remain weak in coming
session.
Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 10800 has highest
OI concentration followed by 11000 & 10600 which may act as
support for current expiry.
Nifty Call strike 11200 followed by 11300 witnessed significant
OI concentration which may act as resistance for current
expiry.
SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD::
NNIILL
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg Open Interest % Chg
BPCL 409.65 6.31% 17557200.00 22.63%
TORNTPHARM 1728.80 0.88% 329500.00 12.65%
CONCOR 531.95 2.16% 3165075.00 10.29%
ACC 1532.15 3.20% 2511200.00 9.99%
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg
Open
Interest
% Chg
RAYMOND 587.65 -1.16% 1579200.00 19.64%
CHOLAFIN 275.55 -0.67% 3640000.00 9.39%
PEL 1910.25 -3.06% 3943818.00 6.47%
IDFCFIRSTB 42.15 -1.98% 188892000.00 6.29%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
x10000
Call_oi Put_oi
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
x10000
Call_chg Put_chg
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Week ended 16 SEP 2019
NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::
 Nifty Futures has increased by 1.20% to close at 11,105 from previous week close of 10,974.
 Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has decreased to 14.12% from 16.27% down by 13.24%.
 The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 13,218cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 43,850cr.
 The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 16,720Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 90,223Cr.
Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI has come down from high of 1.41
making low of 1.27 and closed on weekly
basis at 1.34 levels.
 PCR OI currently is at 1.34 levels which is
well above the median line indicating that we
will see Nifty continue its ongoing
momentum with cautiousness.
OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss
 Options Built up Shows that for now
nifty has strong support at 11,000
followed by 10,800 and resistance at
11,200 levels followed by 11,300.
 11,200 & 11,300 strike call and 11,000 put
followed by 10,800 put has highest open
interest concentration which suggests
that Nifty is likely to remain &trade
between this levels.
CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
 This week major addition was seen on the Put
front with 10,900 and 11,000 strikes adding
5.13 and 9.45 lakh in OI respectively.
 On the Call front we have seen addition at
11,100 strike with increase in OI of 6.06 lakh
shares, while addition of 7.90 lakh shares was
witnessed in 11,300 strike.
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
29-
Aug
30-
Aug
3-Sep
4-Sep
5-Sep
6-Sep
9-Sep
11-Sep
12-Sep
13-Sep
PUTCALLRATIO
OIincr.
Call OI Put OI
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
10500
10600
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
OpenInterest
Open Interest Put OI Call OI
-1,000,000
-500,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
10500
10600
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
OpenInterest
Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss
 IV differential between call and put has
significantly increased from last week level,
which implies that nifty, will be cautious
may trade with negative bias.
 Call IV’s currently at 11.70%, while Put IV’s are
at 13.93%.
 Implied Volatility of option for the current series is
at 12.83% and have descended from higher level in
this week.
WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
Participant
FUT IDX
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT IDX
Short
(contracts)
Net Chg
Client 184,836 -2,687 150,090 -14,411
DII 61,088 -11,215 4,996 -4,162
FII 56,567 21,934 158,696 29,499
Pro 34,074 3,425 22,783 531
Participant
FUT STK
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT STK
Short
(contracts)
Net
Chg
Client 801,023 -6,809 221,700 9,485
DII 21,106 10,276 1,047,182 2,739
FII 943,198 -747 562,316 -3,001
Pro 169,955 14,960 104,084 8,457
FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in the index futures had been mostly
on the mixed side during this week.
 FII have been net sellers in Index future to the
tune of 135 crore during this week.
FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in Stock futures had been mostly on
the mixed side during last week.
 This week FII have been net sellers in stock future
segment to the tune of 3 crore.
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
29-
Aug-19
30-
Aug-19
3-Sep-
19
4-Sep-
19
5-Sep-
19
6-Sep-
19
9-Sep-
19
11-Sep-
19
12-Sep-
19
13-Sep-
19
Implied volatility(IV) IV Call
Iv Put Historic volatility
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000
175,000
200,000
225,000
250,000
06-Sep 09-Sep 11-Sep 12-Sep 13-Sep
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
1,470,000
1,485,000
1,500,000
1,515,000
06-Sep 09-Sep 11-Sep 12-Sep 13-Sep
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee
WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
APOLLOHOSP 1459.25 -1.87% 2259000 65.56%
CESC 827.4 5.32% 796000 54.74%
TATAGLOBAL 260.05 -1.51% 11739600 29.44%
INDIGO 1723.3 4.03% 3376200 26.53%
BPCL 409.65 7.65% 17557200 24.76%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
MCX 948.3 9.14% 1708000 -25.63%
RELINFRA 40.25 6.48% 10952000 -19.35%
RELCAPITAL 36.6 3.83% 10770000 -18.22%
ENGINERSIN 112.6 4.11% 5681000 -17.83%
SHREECEM 18864.7 5.24% 164300 -14.74%
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
JINDALSTEL 109.4 13.66% 36988800 -1.72%
YESBANK 68.75 13.26% 144931600 2.35%
DHFL 50.9 12.24% 12348000 -2.19%
ADANIPOWER 64.9 10.94% 94080000 -3.19%
TATAPOWER 64.4 10.84% 37575000 -10.89%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
GLENMARK 368.2 -5.58% 4938000 16.63%
ICICIPRULI 418.85 -4.36% 6547500 5.77%
OFSS 2947.3 -3.35% 150600 -5.73%
HCLTECH 1069.95 -3.23% 10863300 6.62%
ZEEL 351.8 -3.09% 17399200 2.48%
1.21%
-0.50%
3.25%
7.10%
-2.22%
4.58%
3.30%
3.20%
2.50%
5.56%
2.27%
-0.31%
0.63%
1.17%
2.93%
4.74%
1.66%
2.61%
3.79%
Wkly Price change
Textile
Fertilisers
Oil_Gas
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Media
FMCG
Pharma
Automobile
Infrastructure
Finance
Others
Power
Metals
Technology
Realty
Banking
Telecom
Index
5.41%
0.12%
2.74%
27.15%
0.06%
4.37%
0.29%
7.43%
2.14%
8.57%
4.15%
3.50%
3.63%
1.44%
3.69%
4.18%
2.84%
0.20%
9.02%
Wkly OI change
Textile
Fertilisers
Oil_Gas
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Media
FMCG
Pharma
Automobile
Infrastructure
Finance
Others
Power
Metals
Technology
Realty
Banking
Telecom
Index
1.78%
3.33%
2.32%
1.01%
1.03%
1.54%
1.32%
1.22%
1.86%
2.11%
1.12%
1.51%
0.93%
0.53%
2.34%
0.90%
2.35%
0.65%
0.53%
Wkly Roll Over change
Textile
Fertilisers
Oil_Gas
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Media
FMCG
Pharma
Automobile
Infrastructure
Finance
Others
Power
Metals
Technology
Realty
Banking
Telecom
Index
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn
SBIN, KOTAKBANK and ICICIBANK can see some POSITIVE move in this week.
Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 28,000 with 28,000 PE strike having highest OI concentration
followed by 27,500 and on the call front 28,500 CE strike has highest OI concentration indicating strong
resistance level followed by 29,000.
AXISBANK
BANKBARODA
BANKINDIA
CANBK
FEDERALBNK
HDFCBANK
ICICIBANK
IDBI
IDFCFIRSTB
INDUSINDBK, 1%
KOTAKBANK
PNB, 11%
RBLBANK
SBIN
UNIONBANK
YESBANK
44%
56%
Open Interest
Psu Bank Private Bank
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
27100
27200
27300
27400
27500
27600
27700
27800
27900
28000
28100
28200
28300
28400
28500
28600
28700
28800
28900
29000
29100
OpenInterest
Open Interest Call OI Put OI
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or
other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or
investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any
recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each
other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this
report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in
this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed,
directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is
inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of
the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located
in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia
International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID:
compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or
other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or
investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any
recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each
other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this
report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in
this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed,
directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is
inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of
the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located
in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia
International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID:
compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
16 September 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the
Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as
defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution
of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s
largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking,
Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities
and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a
corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was,
is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does
not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial
ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research
Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial
ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its
associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-
month period.
Research Team
Sr. No Name Designation E-mail
1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in
2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst hemang.gor@axissecurities.in
4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in
5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in
5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market
making activity for the subject company.
6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report,
ASL or any of its associates may have:
i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the
subject company of this research report and / or;
ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or;
iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services
from the subject company of this research report;
ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other
third-party in connection with this report
Term& Conditions:
This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information
contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any
other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on the facts, figures and
information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The
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Weekly Derivatives Report :16 September 2019

  • 1. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT 16 Sept 2019 Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity Nifty Active Futures 11105.55 India VIX Index 14.12 INDEX FUTURES 300 Nifty Active Futures OI 16778250 Nifty ATM Call IV 12.45 INDEX OPTIONS 1180 Change in OI -377325 Nifty ATM Put IV 12.56 STOCK FUTURES 127 Premium / Discount 29.65 PCR Index Options 1.34 STOCK OPTIONS 4 Inference Short Covering PCR F&O Total 1.02 FII Net Activity 1612 NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11105.55 on a positive note with 2.20% decrease in open interest indicating Short Covering. Futures closed at a premium of 30 points compared to previous day premium of 14 points. FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 300 crores and were Buyers in Index Options to the tune of 1180 crores, Stock Futures were Buyers to the tune of 127 crores. FII's were Net Buyers in derivative segment to the tune of 1612 crores. India VIX index is at 14.12, Nifty ATM call option IV is currently at 12.45 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 12.56. Index options PCR is at 1.34 and F&O Total PCR is at 1.02. NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII Among stock futures BPCL, TORNTPHARMA, CONCOR & ACC have witnessed long build up and may show strength in coming session. Stock which witnessed short build up are RAYMOND, PEL, CHOLAFIN & IDFCFIRSTB and may remain weak in coming session. Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 10800 has highest OI concentration followed by 11000 & 10600 which may act as support for current expiry. Nifty Call strike 11200 followed by 11300 witnessed significant OI concentration which may act as resistance for current expiry. SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD:: NNIILL __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg BPCL 409.65 6.31% 17557200.00 22.63% TORNTPHARM 1728.80 0.88% 329500.00 12.65% CONCOR 531.95 2.16% 3165075.00 10.29% ACC 1532.15 3.20% 2511200.00 9.99% Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg RAYMOND 587.65 -1.16% 1579200.00 19.64% CHOLAFIN 275.55 -0.67% 3640000.00 9.39% PEL 1910.25 -3.06% 3943818.00 6.47% IDFCFIRSTB 42.15 -1.98% 188892000.00 6.29% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 x10000 Call_oi Put_oi -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 x10000 Call_chg Put_chg
  • 2. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Week ended 16 SEP 2019 NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::  Nifty Futures has increased by 1.20% to close at 11,105 from previous week close of 10,974.  Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has decreased to 14.12% from 16.27% down by 13.24%.  The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 13,218cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 43,850cr.  The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 16,720Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 90,223Cr. Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI has come down from high of 1.41 making low of 1.27 and closed on weekly basis at 1.34 levels.  PCR OI currently is at 1.34 levels which is well above the median line indicating that we will see Nifty continue its ongoing momentum with cautiousness. OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss  Options Built up Shows that for now nifty has strong support at 11,000 followed by 10,800 and resistance at 11,200 levels followed by 11,300.  11,200 & 11,300 strike call and 11,000 put followed by 10,800 put has highest open interest concentration which suggests that Nifty is likely to remain &trade between this levels. CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt  This week major addition was seen on the Put front with 10,900 and 11,000 strikes adding 5.13 and 9.45 lakh in OI respectively.  On the Call front we have seen addition at 11,100 strike with increase in OI of 6.06 lakh shares, while addition of 7.90 lakh shares was witnessed in 11,300 strike. 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 29- Aug 30- Aug 3-Sep 4-Sep 5-Sep 6-Sep 9-Sep 11-Sep 12-Sep 13-Sep PUTCALLRATIO OIincr. Call OI Put OI 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 10500 10600 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 OpenInterest Open Interest Put OI Call OI -1,000,000 -500,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 10500 10600 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 OpenInterest Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 3. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss  IV differential between call and put has significantly increased from last week level, which implies that nifty, will be cautious may trade with negative bias.  Call IV’s currently at 11.70%, while Put IV’s are at 13.93%.  Implied Volatility of option for the current series is at 12.83% and have descended from higher level in this week. WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt Participant FUT IDX Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT IDX Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 184,836 -2,687 150,090 -14,411 DII 61,088 -11,215 4,996 -4,162 FII 56,567 21,934 158,696 29,499 Pro 34,074 3,425 22,783 531 Participant FUT STK Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT STK Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 801,023 -6,809 221,700 9,485 DII 21,106 10,276 1,047,182 2,739 FII 943,198 -747 562,316 -3,001 Pro 169,955 14,960 104,084 8,457 FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in the index futures had been mostly on the mixed side during this week.  FII have been net sellers in Index future to the tune of 135 crore during this week. FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in Stock futures had been mostly on the mixed side during last week.  This week FII have been net sellers in stock future segment to the tune of 3 crore. 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 22.00 29- Aug-19 30- Aug-19 3-Sep- 19 4-Sep- 19 5-Sep- 19 6-Sep- 19 9-Sep- 19 11-Sep- 19 12-Sep- 19 13-Sep- 19 Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility 0 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 125,000 150,000 175,000 200,000 225,000 250,000 06-Sep 09-Sep 11-Sep 12-Sep 13-Sep -1,200 -1,000 -800 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT 1,470,000 1,485,000 1,500,000 1,515,000 06-Sep 09-Sep 11-Sep 12-Sep 13-Sep -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
  • 4. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg APOLLOHOSP 1459.25 -1.87% 2259000 65.56% CESC 827.4 5.32% 796000 54.74% TATAGLOBAL 260.05 -1.51% 11739600 29.44% INDIGO 1723.3 4.03% 3376200 26.53% BPCL 409.65 7.65% 17557200 24.76% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg MCX 948.3 9.14% 1708000 -25.63% RELINFRA 40.25 6.48% 10952000 -19.35% RELCAPITAL 36.6 3.83% 10770000 -18.22% ENGINERSIN 112.6 4.11% 5681000 -17.83% SHREECEM 18864.7 5.24% 164300 -14.74% WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg JINDALSTEL 109.4 13.66% 36988800 -1.72% YESBANK 68.75 13.26% 144931600 2.35% DHFL 50.9 12.24% 12348000 -2.19% ADANIPOWER 64.9 10.94% 94080000 -3.19% TATAPOWER 64.4 10.84% 37575000 -10.89% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg GLENMARK 368.2 -5.58% 4938000 16.63% ICICIPRULI 418.85 -4.36% 6547500 5.77% OFSS 2947.3 -3.35% 150600 -5.73% HCLTECH 1069.95 -3.23% 10863300 6.62% ZEEL 351.8 -3.09% 17399200 2.48% 1.21% -0.50% 3.25% 7.10% -2.22% 4.58% 3.30% 3.20% 2.50% 5.56% 2.27% -0.31% 0.63% 1.17% 2.93% 4.74% 1.66% 2.61% 3.79% Wkly Price change Textile Fertilisers Oil_Gas Cement Capital_Good s Media FMCG Pharma Automobile Infrastructure Finance Others Power Metals Technology Realty Banking Telecom Index 5.41% 0.12% 2.74% 27.15% 0.06% 4.37% 0.29% 7.43% 2.14% 8.57% 4.15% 3.50% 3.63% 1.44% 3.69% 4.18% 2.84% 0.20% 9.02% Wkly OI change Textile Fertilisers Oil_Gas Cement Capital_Good s Media FMCG Pharma Automobile Infrastructure Finance Others Power Metals Technology Realty Banking Telecom Index 1.78% 3.33% 2.32% 1.01% 1.03% 1.54% 1.32% 1.22% 1.86% 2.11% 1.12% 1.51% 0.93% 0.53% 2.34% 0.90% 2.35% 0.65% 0.53% Wkly Roll Over change Textile Fertilisers Oil_Gas Cement Capital_Good s Media FMCG Pharma Automobile Infrastructure Finance Others Power Metals Technology Realty Banking Telecom Index
  • 5. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn SBIN, KOTAKBANK and ICICIBANK can see some POSITIVE move in this week. Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 28,000 with 28,000 PE strike having highest OI concentration followed by 27,500 and on the call front 28,500 CE strike has highest OI concentration indicating strong resistance level followed by 29,000. AXISBANK BANKBARODA BANKINDIA CANBK FEDERALBNK HDFCBANK ICICIBANK IDBI IDFCFIRSTB INDUSINDBK, 1% KOTAKBANK PNB, 11% RBLBANK SBIN UNIONBANK YESBANK 44% 56% Open Interest Psu Bank Private Bank 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 27100 27200 27300 27400 27500 27600 27700 27800 27900 28000 28100 28200 28300 28400 28500 28600 28700 28800 28900 29000 29100 OpenInterest Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 6. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
  • 7. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
  • 8. 16 September 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclosures: The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations). 1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com. 2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business activity. 3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report. 4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12- month period. Research Team Sr. No Name Designation E-mail 1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in 2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in 3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst hemang.gor@axissecurities.in 4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in 5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in 5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. 6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report, ASL or any of its associates may have: i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research report and / or; ii. 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