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Understanding Local
Economic Resilience
Karen Chapple, PhD
Professor, City & Regional Planning
Notions of resilience
• Psychology
• Ecology
• Planning
• Regional economics
Source: Pendall, Foster, & Cowell 2009
The role
of time
Source: Foster 2010
Regional trajectories
Source: Foster 2010
Resilience =
f (assets and
endowments
+ response)
e.g., natural features,
human capital, industry
mix, political structure,
social capital, legal
context,
demographics…
e.g., actors, policies,
institutions, culture
Adding in governance…
Measurement issues
• Outcomes or capacity?
• Regional economic performance: employment,
earnings, income, upward mobility, inequality, or…?
• Governance: networks, institutions, culture, or…?
• Relative or absolute growth/change?
• Timeframe
Example from “The Resilient Regional Labour Market?”
Resilience in earnings: Achieving a new equilibrium
End status
Start
status
Below average Above average
Below average Stagnant Transformative
Above average Faltering Thriving
Source: Chapple and Lester 2010
Austin = +42%
Lubbock = -2%
• Immigration
• Patents
• Manufacturing
Resilience in earnings: Reversing path dependency
Change in
decade 2
Change
in decade 1
Below average Above average
Below average Stagnant Transformative
Above average Faltering Thriving
Source: Chapple and Lester 2010
1980s 1990s
Phoenix -5% +18%
Detroit -9% +14%
• Immigration
• Patents
For further reading:
• Chapple, Karen, and T. William Lester. "The resilient regional labour market?
The US case." Cambridge journal of regions, economy and society 3.1 (2010):
85-104.
• Foster, A. K. "Regional Resilience. How Do We Know It When We See It."
Unpublished paper (2010).
• Hill, Edward, Howard Wial, and Harold Wolman. Exploring regional economic
resilience. No. 2008, 04. Working Paper, Institute of Urban and Regional
Development, UC-Berkeley, 2008.
• Pendall, Rolf, Kathryn A. Foster, and Margaret Cowell. "Resilience and regions:
building understanding of the metaphor." Cambridge Journal of Regions,
Economy and Society (2009): 1-13.
• Simmie, James, and Ron Martin. "The economic resilience of regions: towards
an evolutionary approach." Cambridge journal of regions, economy and
society3.1 (2010): 27-43.

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Webinar1: karen chapple - Understanding Local Economic Resilience

  • 1. Understanding Local Economic Resilience Karen Chapple, PhD Professor, City & Regional Planning
  • 2. Notions of resilience • Psychology • Ecology • Planning • Regional economics
  • 3. Source: Pendall, Foster, & Cowell 2009
  • 6. Resilience = f (assets and endowments + response) e.g., natural features, human capital, industry mix, political structure, social capital, legal context, demographics… e.g., actors, policies, institutions, culture Adding in governance…
  • 7. Measurement issues • Outcomes or capacity? • Regional economic performance: employment, earnings, income, upward mobility, inequality, or…? • Governance: networks, institutions, culture, or…? • Relative or absolute growth/change? • Timeframe
  • 8. Example from “The Resilient Regional Labour Market?” Resilience in earnings: Achieving a new equilibrium End status Start status Below average Above average Below average Stagnant Transformative Above average Faltering Thriving Source: Chapple and Lester 2010
  • 9. Austin = +42% Lubbock = -2% • Immigration • Patents • Manufacturing
  • 10. Resilience in earnings: Reversing path dependency Change in decade 2 Change in decade 1 Below average Above average Below average Stagnant Transformative Above average Faltering Thriving Source: Chapple and Lester 2010
  • 11. 1980s 1990s Phoenix -5% +18% Detroit -9% +14% • Immigration • Patents
  • 12. For further reading: • Chapple, Karen, and T. William Lester. "The resilient regional labour market? The US case." Cambridge journal of regions, economy and society 3.1 (2010): 85-104. • Foster, A. K. "Regional Resilience. How Do We Know It When We See It." Unpublished paper (2010). • Hill, Edward, Howard Wial, and Harold Wolman. Exploring regional economic resilience. No. 2008, 04. Working Paper, Institute of Urban and Regional Development, UC-Berkeley, 2008. • Pendall, Rolf, Kathryn A. Foster, and Margaret Cowell. "Resilience and regions: building understanding of the metaphor." Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society (2009): 1-13. • Simmie, James, and Ron Martin. "The economic resilience of regions: towards an evolutionary approach." Cambridge journal of regions, economy and society3.1 (2010): 27-43.