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SolvInnov.com
We are Shifting to Service Economies
SolvInnov.comSolvInnov.com
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
Goods
Agriculture
It is predicted we are shifting to Service Dominant Economies
Services
Adapted from Chesbrough (2013) Open Innovation
SolvInnov.comSolvInnov.com
It’s already happening: UK Economy in 2017
1%
6%
14%
79%
Agriculture
Construction
Products
Services
UK Commons Briefing Paper: Components of GDP: Key Economic Indicators, 2019
SolvInnov.com
What do we mean by the Shift to Service Economies?
SolvInnov.com
Tangible
Dominant
Intabgible
Dominant
Complete
tangible
products
Tangible products
with
supporting services
Hybrid
Offers
Major service
with
supporting products
Pure
services
The Shift to Services-dominant Economy
The Shift
SolvInnov.com
But why are we Shifting to Service Economies?
SolvInnov.com
Reasons for the Shift to Services-dominant Economy
Economic
Asset Usage
Leverage Data
User Behaviour
SolvInnov.com
Reasons for the Shift to Services-dominant Economy
Hierarchy of Needs
De-industrialisation
Exogenous Demand Shock
Cost Disease
Changing Notion of
ownership
Using underutilised assets
Data
Increases in wealth => higher desire to use and usage of services
Manufacturing moves abroad + trade => Services increase to fill gap in economy
Structural changes in economy, e.g. from households with 1 to 2 breadwinners
=> increase service demand
Productivity increase in manufacturing leads to wage increases in manufacturing;
which leads to wage increases in services => increase desire to work in services
Less desire to own products => increase opportunities for services
Opportunities to share underutilised assets => growth of sharing economy (which
is service oriented)
Getting data beyond number of sales, such as usage, is very valuable
EconomicAsset
Differentiating products Adding services to products helps differentiate the offering
Leve
rage
Data
UserBehaviour
SolvInnov.com
The Shift to Service Economies
Passive Hypotheses Active Hypotheses
Cost Disease Hypothesis
Increased productivity and wages in
manufacturing sector leads to increased service
costs (attracting people to, and growth in, the
service segment)
Baumol (1967) and Baumol et al. (1985)
Hierarchy of Needs Hypothesis
As incomes grow in advanced economies so does
the need for services
Fisher (1935) and Clark (1940)
De-industrialisation Hypothesis
Service sector grows in advanced economies as
manufacturing is moved to lower cost locations
and trade takes place
(Wood 1995, Freeman 1995)
Exogenous Demand Shock Hypothesis
Structural changes in an economy moves the
services demand curve outwards; e.g. one-
income households becoming two-income
households...leads to reduced time to do things
themselves and greater need for services.
(Raa and Wolff 1996, Fixler and Siegel 1999)
Source: Kim (2006)
SolvInnov.com
Any examples showing this?
SolvInnov.com
Examples of the Shift to Services-dominant Economy
Hierarchy of Needs
De-industrialisation
Exogenous Demand Shock
Cost Disease
Changing Notion of ownership
Using underutilised assets
Data
EconomicReasonsAssetReasons
✅
Cook at Home
Eat out
✅
Sales
Differentiating products
✅
Eat out
✅
✅
✅
✅
🚘
✅
✅
✅
✅
✅
✅
Vacuum Robot
Vacuum Robot
As a service
SolvInnov.comSolvInnov.com
Product Service
The Shift...

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We are shifting to service economies - why and how?

  • 1. SolvInnov.com We are Shifting to Service Economies
  • 2. SolvInnov.comSolvInnov.com 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Goods Agriculture It is predicted we are shifting to Service Dominant Economies Services Adapted from Chesbrough (2013) Open Innovation
  • 3. SolvInnov.comSolvInnov.com It’s already happening: UK Economy in 2017 1% 6% 14% 79% Agriculture Construction Products Services UK Commons Briefing Paper: Components of GDP: Key Economic Indicators, 2019
  • 4. SolvInnov.com What do we mean by the Shift to Service Economies?
  • 5. SolvInnov.com Tangible Dominant Intabgible Dominant Complete tangible products Tangible products with supporting services Hybrid Offers Major service with supporting products Pure services The Shift to Services-dominant Economy The Shift
  • 6. SolvInnov.com But why are we Shifting to Service Economies?
  • 7. SolvInnov.com Reasons for the Shift to Services-dominant Economy Economic Asset Usage Leverage Data User Behaviour
  • 8. SolvInnov.com Reasons for the Shift to Services-dominant Economy Hierarchy of Needs De-industrialisation Exogenous Demand Shock Cost Disease Changing Notion of ownership Using underutilised assets Data Increases in wealth => higher desire to use and usage of services Manufacturing moves abroad + trade => Services increase to fill gap in economy Structural changes in economy, e.g. from households with 1 to 2 breadwinners => increase service demand Productivity increase in manufacturing leads to wage increases in manufacturing; which leads to wage increases in services => increase desire to work in services Less desire to own products => increase opportunities for services Opportunities to share underutilised assets => growth of sharing economy (which is service oriented) Getting data beyond number of sales, such as usage, is very valuable EconomicAsset Differentiating products Adding services to products helps differentiate the offering Leve rage Data UserBehaviour
  • 9. SolvInnov.com The Shift to Service Economies Passive Hypotheses Active Hypotheses Cost Disease Hypothesis Increased productivity and wages in manufacturing sector leads to increased service costs (attracting people to, and growth in, the service segment) Baumol (1967) and Baumol et al. (1985) Hierarchy of Needs Hypothesis As incomes grow in advanced economies so does the need for services Fisher (1935) and Clark (1940) De-industrialisation Hypothesis Service sector grows in advanced economies as manufacturing is moved to lower cost locations and trade takes place (Wood 1995, Freeman 1995) Exogenous Demand Shock Hypothesis Structural changes in an economy moves the services demand curve outwards; e.g. one- income households becoming two-income households...leads to reduced time to do things themselves and greater need for services. (Raa and Wolff 1996, Fixler and Siegel 1999) Source: Kim (2006)
  • 11. SolvInnov.com Examples of the Shift to Services-dominant Economy Hierarchy of Needs De-industrialisation Exogenous Demand Shock Cost Disease Changing Notion of ownership Using underutilised assets Data EconomicReasonsAssetReasons ✅ Cook at Home Eat out ✅ Sales Differentiating products ✅ Eat out ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ 🚘 ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ Vacuum Robot Vacuum Robot As a service