SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Transforming your
business with ML
The way we cook it.
Nice to e-meet you!
Vitalii
Diatlenko
Co-founder & CTO
vitaliy.diatlenko
UKLON007
Uklon 2009
4
Uklon 2009
27
cities
10,5mln
app installations
200k
drivers
>3mln
monthly rides
Uklon in Numbers
100 Employees in IT
8 Cross-functional teams
> 400 Employees in company
Uklon Team
Rider Freedom
• Fixed rates
• Variety of products
• Variety of additional options
• Price control
Driver Freedom
• Low commission
• Suitable for day2day rides
• Suitable for professional drivers
• Filters
Driver
Rider
Driver
Rider
Unique competitive advantages
lead to HIGH EXPECTATIONS
FROM THE PRODUCT
3 1
2
Driver
Driver
Driver
Driver
Dispatching office
1
# NPS falls
riders simply do not understand
what price is required
#
1
Not enough drivers
during rush hours
#
2
Waiting time has increased
due to high price expectations by drivers
Scaling issues
We should offer the
most suitable price
right here and right now
"
"
SURGE PRICING Factors to take into account:
• reconfigurable filters
• different classes of products, change of cost
• acceptance of rides by drivers
• ride requests from distant locations
• lack of drivers for proper dispatching
AI & ML Challenge for Uklon
> 90%
Completion rate
<7min
Waiting time
per hour
Driver earnings
Microsoft AI
2017–2018
• +5-7% p2c
• multifactor analysis
Attempts to build Surge Pricing model
• simple math only
• p2c up 80%
• geometry issues
• price guessing
KISS
2016–2017
SurgeML
2018–now
• time lags
• driver’s filters
• ride acceptance rate
• historical data
• predictions
1. historical datasets
2. switched from S2 polygons to H3
3. short and long-term forecasts
4. market expectations — filters
5. drop-off forecasts
6. weather conditions
7. traffic conditions
h3_7_p2a_15min_30_sec
placed_roll_sum_10_h3_6
drivers_filter_offer_h3_6
placed_roll_sum_15
h3_7_p2a_10min_30_sec
placed_roll_sum_5_h3_7
H3_6_p2a_5min
H3_6_p2a_10min
Ewm_drivers_filter_offer_0.9_h3_7
Ewm_drivers_filter_fast_search_0.9_h3_7
placed120s_roll_sum_15
Ewm_completed_0_5_0.1
Drivers_filter_fast_search_h3_6
H3_7_p2a_15min_120_sec
Drivers_filter_offer_h3_7
placed30s
0 2 4 6 8 10
Uklon SurgeML iterations
• MAE 11%
• <30sec to accept 75% of rides
• normal surge distribution
• average check +10%
• resource consumption -20%
• NPS = 74%
rides are completed
93%
Uklon SurgeML Results
Lviv
24/7 rider care
Driver care
Quality control
Customer service departments
FeedBacks dilemma
• 10min per feedback processing
• business hours only
• max 100 feedbacks per day
• operator is a subjective human
"
1
2 of 10 rides rated
human operator
efficiency:
Dilemma arises when we need
to process 1 mln rides =
=90operators
x10
Anything that can be
automated must be automated.
"
ES
DATA SOURCES
Ride rating Predefined options Frequency Ticket numbers
70%
well classified data
Ride rating Predefined options Frequency Ticket numbers
• +3mln rides are processed
• Automated promotions
• Accounts blocking
• Cross-department
notifications
• Police notifications in
emergency situations
• Ride rating
• Predefined options
• Frequency
• Ticket numbers
Not only to count but to understand.
Supervised
learning
NLP
Retrain
and Adopt
90%
automated
scenarios
Data
sources
Finance & Marketing: Risk modeling
Weak elements exposed to fraud:
• Multiple payment providers
• Google pay
• Apple pay
• Instant payments for drivers
• Free rides for riders
• Promotion campaigns with discounts
5%
of revenue
worldwide organizations
lose due to the fraud*
*https://www.accountingtoday.com/news/organizations-lose-5-of-revenue-to-fraud-every-year
Finance & Marketing: Risk modeling
$10k+
overnight
Uklon lost because of the fraud
5%
of revenue
worldwide organizations
lose due to the fraud*
*https://www.accountingtoday.com/news/organizations-lose-5-of-revenue-to-fraud-every-year
Weak elements exposed to fraud:
• Multiple payment providers
• Google pay
• Apple pay
• Instant payments for drivers
• Free rides for riders
• Promotion campaigns with discounts
Uklon Antifraud system results
10
25
51
38
56 57
106
58
76
126
159
177
155
184
121
106 100
118
64 69
106
135
168
124 128 119
193
141 145 141
171
73
127
141
173
156
139 129 125
287
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Antifraud preventions for small city — 2021 (weekly)
80%
of fraud operations blocked
90%
of chargebacks prevented
ML in
MARKETING
with 80% probability we know
if the rider will continue to use Uklon
Rider & Driver:
Pickup points
Rider & Driver:
Pickup points
Rider:
Drop Off
Recommendations
Rider:
Drop Off
Recommendations
up to 128%
the performance of the product
analytics could be improved
by implementing AI & ML*
product improvements
process automation
detect anomalies
discover patterns
and connections
ML or just hype
* McKinsey Global Institute Analysis
Lessons learned
KISS
Do not reinvent
wheels
Data
Fuel for
modeling
SaaS
Prefer a service
where possible
Team
Start with people
not models
Costs
Be ready
to invest
CTO and co-founder of Uklon
Vitalii Diatlenko

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Vitaliy Diatlenko, Uklon. Transforming your business with machine learning. The way we cook it

  • 1. Transforming your business with ML The way we cook it.
  • 2.
  • 3. Nice to e-meet you! Vitalii Diatlenko Co-founder & CTO vitaliy.diatlenko UKLON007
  • 7. 100 Employees in IT 8 Cross-functional teams > 400 Employees in company Uklon Team
  • 8. Rider Freedom • Fixed rates • Variety of products • Variety of additional options • Price control
  • 9. Driver Freedom • Low commission • Suitable for day2day rides • Suitable for professional drivers • Filters
  • 12. Unique competitive advantages lead to HIGH EXPECTATIONS FROM THE PRODUCT 3 1 2
  • 14. # NPS falls riders simply do not understand what price is required # 1 Not enough drivers during rush hours # 2 Waiting time has increased due to high price expectations by drivers Scaling issues
  • 15. We should offer the most suitable price right here and right now " " SURGE PRICING Factors to take into account: • reconfigurable filters • different classes of products, change of cost • acceptance of rides by drivers • ride requests from distant locations • lack of drivers for proper dispatching AI & ML Challenge for Uklon > 90% Completion rate <7min Waiting time per hour Driver earnings
  • 16. Microsoft AI 2017–2018 • +5-7% p2c • multifactor analysis Attempts to build Surge Pricing model • simple math only • p2c up 80% • geometry issues • price guessing KISS 2016–2017 SurgeML 2018–now • time lags • driver’s filters • ride acceptance rate • historical data • predictions
  • 17. 1. historical datasets 2. switched from S2 polygons to H3 3. short and long-term forecasts 4. market expectations — filters 5. drop-off forecasts 6. weather conditions 7. traffic conditions h3_7_p2a_15min_30_sec placed_roll_sum_10_h3_6 drivers_filter_offer_h3_6 placed_roll_sum_15 h3_7_p2a_10min_30_sec placed_roll_sum_5_h3_7 H3_6_p2a_5min H3_6_p2a_10min Ewm_drivers_filter_offer_0.9_h3_7 Ewm_drivers_filter_fast_search_0.9_h3_7 placed120s_roll_sum_15 Ewm_completed_0_5_0.1 Drivers_filter_fast_search_h3_6 H3_7_p2a_15min_120_sec Drivers_filter_offer_h3_7 placed30s 0 2 4 6 8 10 Uklon SurgeML iterations
  • 18. • MAE 11% • <30sec to accept 75% of rides • normal surge distribution • average check +10% • resource consumption -20% • NPS = 74% rides are completed 93% Uklon SurgeML Results Lviv
  • 19. 24/7 rider care Driver care Quality control Customer service departments
  • 20. FeedBacks dilemma • 10min per feedback processing • business hours only • max 100 feedbacks per day • operator is a subjective human " 1 2 of 10 rides rated human operator efficiency: Dilemma arises when we need to process 1 mln rides = =90operators x10
  • 21. Anything that can be automated must be automated. " ES
  • 22. DATA SOURCES Ride rating Predefined options Frequency Ticket numbers
  • 23. 70% well classified data Ride rating Predefined options Frequency Ticket numbers
  • 24. • +3mln rides are processed • Automated promotions • Accounts blocking • Cross-department notifications • Police notifications in emergency situations • Ride rating • Predefined options • Frequency • Ticket numbers Not only to count but to understand. Supervised learning NLP Retrain and Adopt 90% automated scenarios Data sources
  • 25. Finance & Marketing: Risk modeling Weak elements exposed to fraud: • Multiple payment providers • Google pay • Apple pay • Instant payments for drivers • Free rides for riders • Promotion campaigns with discounts 5% of revenue worldwide organizations lose due to the fraud* *https://www.accountingtoday.com/news/organizations-lose-5-of-revenue-to-fraud-every-year
  • 26. Finance & Marketing: Risk modeling $10k+ overnight Uklon lost because of the fraud 5% of revenue worldwide organizations lose due to the fraud* *https://www.accountingtoday.com/news/organizations-lose-5-of-revenue-to-fraud-every-year Weak elements exposed to fraud: • Multiple payment providers • Google pay • Apple pay • Instant payments for drivers • Free rides for riders • Promotion campaigns with discounts
  • 27. Uklon Antifraud system results 10 25 51 38 56 57 106 58 76 126 159 177 155 184 121 106 100 118 64 69 106 135 168 124 128 119 193 141 145 141 171 73 127 141 173 156 139 129 125 287 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Antifraud preventions for small city — 2021 (weekly) 80% of fraud operations blocked 90% of chargebacks prevented
  • 28. ML in MARKETING with 80% probability we know if the rider will continue to use Uklon
  • 33. up to 128% the performance of the product analytics could be improved by implementing AI & ML* product improvements process automation detect anomalies discover patterns and connections ML or just hype * McKinsey Global Institute Analysis
  • 34. Lessons learned KISS Do not reinvent wheels Data Fuel for modeling SaaS Prefer a service where possible Team Start with people not models Costs Be ready to invest
  • 35. CTO and co-founder of Uklon Vitalii Diatlenko