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Over A Year Of War
Internet in Ukraine
emile.aben@ripenet | 2023-04-05 | SURF
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Expectation vs Reality
• Expectation: Rapid destruction of Ukrainian Internet
• Reality: Remarkable resilience
• Why?
• Elements of resilience
- Distributed/decentralised Internet at multiple levels
- Humans!
2
Elements Of
Resiliency
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Ukrainian End-User Market Overview
• One of the least concentrated markets worldwide
- Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) based on users per ASN
- Correlates with Huawei Cloud HHI calculation (2019)
• No dominant players in the market
- If an individual network goes down, this has a relatively small effect
on the whole network
• Update 2023-01-01 : Ukraine at 0.074
4
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Ukrainian Internet Exchanges (IXPs)
• w
5
13/17 are active between the RIPE Atlas probes
in the country
• Mesh between Atlas probes in Ukraine
- What is between them?
• The majority of these paths are
mediated by IXPs (the total of
coloured cells)
• Many different IXPs are used,
indicating diversity in IXPs
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
People!
6
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Free Internet Access in Bomb Shelters
Despite the
drop in
revenue,
operators
have taken on
additional
social
functions
7
What Network
Measurement Data Shows
For Ukraine
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Our Observation Systems
• RIS
- Monitors inter-network routing system (BGP)
• RIPE Atlas
- > 10,000 devices worldwide that monitor local
Internet conditions (latency, loss)
• For community, by community
9
Atlas up/down
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Online RIPE Atlas probes in UA
11
https://observablehq.com/@ripencc/internet-outages-as-seen-by-ripe-atlas
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Online RIPE Atlas probes in UA
12
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Online RIPE Atlas probes in UA
13
• 2022-10: Russia starts bombing critical infrastructure
• No power, no Internet
Kinetic warfare and
effects on the network
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Effects of kinetic warfare
• Notable event: Kerch Bridge Explosion (2022-10-08 03:00 UTC)
• BGP data for Miranda Media (from the Internet Health Report)
15
https://ihr.iijlab.net/ihr/en-us/
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Effects of kinetic warfare
• Notable event: Kerch Bridge Explosion (2022-10-08 03:00 UTC)
• BGP data for UMLC
16
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Effects of kinetic warfare
• Notable event: Kerch Bridge Explosion (2022-10-08 03:00 UTC)
• RIPE Atlas traceroutes from Crimea via UMLC
17
Occupation/
Deoccupation
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Online probes around Kherson
• Probes 50km around Kherson
• Russia-occupied 2 March - 11 Nov
19
Source:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_occupation_of_Kherson_Oblast
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Latencies from Kherson to Internet
• Very different RTT profiles during the occupation
• Lower RTTs to Miranda Media, Rostelecom and China Telecom
• Higher RTTs to Cogent, RETN, Google
20
Country Internet
Graph Effects
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Complexity Of Internet Transit Graph
22
Which country is which?
Choices: UA,DE,TR
• Size: in-degree
• Color:
- Domestic (grey)
- Intl. (pink)
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
How Is the Ukrainian Internet different now?
• Decrease in ASNs / transit links
• Decrease in international
upstream ASNs
- Primarily Russia
- almost exclusively connecting
occupied territories (Donbas, Crimea)
- Transits that play an important role
- Hurricane Electric (AS6939)
- Cogent (AS174)
- WNET (AS1820)
- RETN (AS9002)
23
2022-01-01 2023-04-01 Di
f
Number of
UA ASNs
1781 1677
-110
(-6.2%)
Foreign
upstream
ASNs
112 99
-13
(-12%)
Country of
Registration
for Foreign
upstream
ASNs
(Top 5)
RU 48
US 10
NL 8
GB 8
PL 6
RU 21
US 13
PL 10
NL 9
DE 7
Domestic
links
2055 1936
-119
(-5.8%)
Intl. upstream
links
662 600
-62
(-9.4%)
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01
24
Gone
New
• UA (grey)
• RU (pink)
• Other (magenta)
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Poland (for comparison)
25
UA 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 Di
f
Number of UA
ASNs
1781 1677
-104
(-5.8%)
Foreign
upstream
ASNs
112 93
-19
(-17%)
Country of
Registration
for Foreign
upstream
ASNs
(Top 5)
RU 48
US 10
NL 8
GB 8
PL 6
RU 23
US 13
PL 10
DE 7
NL 7
Domestic
links
2055 1887
-168
(-8.2%)
Intl. upstream
links
662 599
-63
(-9.5%)
PL 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 Di
f
Number of UA
ASNs
2140 2115
-25
(-1.1%)
Foreign
upstream
ASNs
59 52
-7
(-12%)
Country of
Registration
for Foreign
upstream
ASNs
(Top 5)
US 17
DE 7
GB 6
UA 4
RU 4
US 18
GB 5
RO 4
UA 4
DE 4
Domestic
links
2753 2795
+42
(+1.5%)
Intl. upstream
links
699 544
-155
(-22%)
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Ukraine 2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01
26
• Edges
- grey (both)
- red (gone)
- green (new)
Crimea
Donbas
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01: Miranda Media
27
Enerhodar
Berdyansk
Nova Kakhova
Berdyansk
Enerhodar
Oleshky
Berdyansk
• AS201776 (Miranda
Media)
• Provide connectivity to
occupied territories north
of Crimea (Kherson and
Zhaporizhzhia oblast)
• Routes via Crimea
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01: Mariupol
28
• Networks in Mariupol
disconnected from main
Ukraine Internet
• Moved to Donbass
transit IPSvyaz
Mariupol
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01: Donbas
• Russian upstreams
- IPSvyaz
- Level-MSK
• Not connected to “main
UA” for transit
29
emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05
Conclusion
• Internet in Ukraine is remarkably resilient
- Distributed/decentralised at multiple levels
- Heroism
• Observations
- Slow - not rapid - decline of connectivity
- Power infrastructure attacks and other kinetic warfare having its effects
- International connectivity changes
• Concerns
- Electricity
- Equipment
- Humans
30
Questions ?
emile.aben@ripe.net
https://vis.social/@meileaben
https://twitter.com/meileaben

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Utrecht: Internet Measurements and Analysis Workshop

  • 1. Over A Year Of War Internet in Ukraine emile.aben@ripenet | 2023-04-05 | SURF
  • 2. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Expectation vs Reality • Expectation: Rapid destruction of Ukrainian Internet • Reality: Remarkable resilience • Why? • Elements of resilience - Distributed/decentralised Internet at multiple levels - Humans! 2
  • 4. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Ukrainian End-User Market Overview • One of the least concentrated markets worldwide - Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) based on users per ASN - Correlates with Huawei Cloud HHI calculation (2019) • No dominant players in the market - If an individual network goes down, this has a relatively small effect on the whole network • Update 2023-01-01 : Ukraine at 0.074 4
  • 5. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Ukrainian Internet Exchanges (IXPs) • w 5 13/17 are active between the RIPE Atlas probes in the country • Mesh between Atlas probes in Ukraine - What is between them? • The majority of these paths are mediated by IXPs (the total of coloured cells) • Many different IXPs are used, indicating diversity in IXPs
  • 6. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 People! 6
  • 7. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Free Internet Access in Bomb Shelters Despite the drop in revenue, operators have taken on additional social functions 7
  • 8. What Network Measurement Data Shows For Ukraine
  • 9. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Our Observation Systems • RIS - Monitors inter-network routing system (BGP) • RIPE Atlas - > 10,000 devices worldwide that monitor local Internet conditions (latency, loss) • For community, by community 9
  • 11. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Online RIPE Atlas probes in UA 11 https://observablehq.com/@ripencc/internet-outages-as-seen-by-ripe-atlas
  • 12. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Online RIPE Atlas probes in UA 12
  • 13. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Online RIPE Atlas probes in UA 13 • 2022-10: Russia starts bombing critical infrastructure • No power, no Internet
  • 14. Kinetic warfare and effects on the network
  • 15. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Effects of kinetic warfare • Notable event: Kerch Bridge Explosion (2022-10-08 03:00 UTC) • BGP data for Miranda Media (from the Internet Health Report) 15 https://ihr.iijlab.net/ihr/en-us/
  • 16. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Effects of kinetic warfare • Notable event: Kerch Bridge Explosion (2022-10-08 03:00 UTC) • BGP data for UMLC 16
  • 17. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Effects of kinetic warfare • Notable event: Kerch Bridge Explosion (2022-10-08 03:00 UTC) • RIPE Atlas traceroutes from Crimea via UMLC 17
  • 19. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Online probes around Kherson • Probes 50km around Kherson • Russia-occupied 2 March - 11 Nov 19 Source:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_occupation_of_Kherson_Oblast
  • 20. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Latencies from Kherson to Internet • Very different RTT profiles during the occupation • Lower RTTs to Miranda Media, Rostelecom and China Telecom • Higher RTTs to Cogent, RETN, Google 20
  • 22. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Complexity Of Internet Transit Graph 22 Which country is which? Choices: UA,DE,TR • Size: in-degree • Color: - Domestic (grey) - Intl. (pink)
  • 23. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 How Is the Ukrainian Internet different now? • Decrease in ASNs / transit links • Decrease in international upstream ASNs - Primarily Russia - almost exclusively connecting occupied territories (Donbas, Crimea) - Transits that play an important role - Hurricane Electric (AS6939) - Cogent (AS174) - WNET (AS1820) - RETN (AS9002) 23 2022-01-01 2023-04-01 Di f Number of UA ASNs 1781 1677 -110 (-6.2%) Foreign upstream ASNs 112 99 -13 (-12%) Country of Registration for Foreign upstream ASNs (Top 5) RU 48 US 10 NL 8 GB 8 PL 6 RU 21 US 13 PL 10 NL 9 DE 7 Domestic links 2055 1936 -119 (-5.8%) Intl. upstream links 662 600 -62 (-9.4%)
  • 24. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01 24 Gone New • UA (grey) • RU (pink) • Other (magenta)
  • 25. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Poland (for comparison) 25 UA 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 Di f Number of UA ASNs 1781 1677 -104 (-5.8%) Foreign upstream ASNs 112 93 -19 (-17%) Country of Registration for Foreign upstream ASNs (Top 5) RU 48 US 10 NL 8 GB 8 PL 6 RU 23 US 13 PL 10 DE 7 NL 7 Domestic links 2055 1887 -168 (-8.2%) Intl. upstream links 662 599 -63 (-9.5%) PL 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 Di f Number of UA ASNs 2140 2115 -25 (-1.1%) Foreign upstream ASNs 59 52 -7 (-12%) Country of Registration for Foreign upstream ASNs (Top 5) US 17 DE 7 GB 6 UA 4 RU 4 US 18 GB 5 RO 4 UA 4 DE 4 Domestic links 2753 2795 +42 (+1.5%) Intl. upstream links 699 544 -155 (-22%)
  • 26. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Ukraine 2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01 26 • Edges - grey (both) - red (gone) - green (new) Crimea Donbas
  • 27. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01: Miranda Media 27 Enerhodar Berdyansk Nova Kakhova Berdyansk Enerhodar Oleshky Berdyansk • AS201776 (Miranda Media) • Provide connectivity to occupied territories north of Crimea (Kherson and Zhaporizhzhia oblast) • Routes via Crimea
  • 28. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01: Mariupol 28 • Networks in Mariupol disconnected from main Ukraine Internet • Moved to Donbass transit IPSvyaz Mariupol
  • 29. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 2022-01-01 vs 2023-04-01: Donbas • Russian upstreams - IPSvyaz - Level-MSK • Not connected to “main UA” for transit 29
  • 30. emile.aben@ripe.net | SURF Workshop | 2022-04-05 Conclusion • Internet in Ukraine is remarkably resilient - Distributed/decentralised at multiple levels - Heroism • Observations - Slow - not rapid - decline of connectivity - Power infrastructure attacks and other kinetic warfare having its effects - International connectivity changes • Concerns - Electricity - Equipment - Humans 30