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The Millennium Development Goals Report


                                               2010
       U N I T E D N AT I O N S




MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd 1    6/15/2010 12:51:26 PM
UNITED NATIONS



               This report is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert
               Group on MDG Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United
               Nations Secretariat, in response to the wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of
               progress towards the MDGs. The Group comprises representatives of the international organizations
               whose activities include the preparation of one or more of the series of statistical indicators that were
               identified as appropriate for monitoring progress towards the MDGs, as reflected in the list below. A
               number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers also contributed.




               INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION

               FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

               UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION

                                                    Cover Inside
               UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION

               WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

               THE WORLD BANK

               INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

               INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION

               ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA

               ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE

               ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

               ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

               ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTERN ASIA

               JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS

               UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN’S FUND

               UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT

               UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT FUND FOR WOMEN

               UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

               UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME

               UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE

               UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES

               UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME

               UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND

               INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE

               INTER-PARLIAMENTARY UNION

               ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

               WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION




               2



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd 2                                                                         6/15/2010 12:51:29 PM
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




                 The Millennium
                 Development Goals
                 Report 2010




                 U N I T E D N AT I O N S




                  N E W Y O R K , 2010




                                                                                               3



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec1:3                                           6/15/2010 12:51:29 PM
UNITED NATIONS




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MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec1:4   6/15/2010 12:51:29 PM
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               Foreword
               The Millennium Declaration in 2000 was a milestone        the Goals are achievable when nationally owned
               in international cooperation, inspiring development       development strategies, policies and programmes
               efforts that have improved the lives of hundreds of       are supported by international development partners.
               millions of people around the world. Ten years later,     At the same time, it is clear that improvements in
               world leaders will gather again at the United Nations     the lives of the poor have been unacceptably slow,
               in New York to review progress, assess obstacles          and some hard-won gains are being eroded by the
               and gaps, and agree on concrete strategies and            climate, food and economic crises.
               actions to meet the eight Millennium Development
               Goals by 2015.                                            The world possesses the resources and knowledge
                                                                         to ensure that even the poorest countries, and others
               The Goals represent human needs and basic rights          held back by disease, geographic isolation or civil
               that every individual around the world should be          strife, can be empowered to achieve the MDGs.
               able to enjoy—freedom from extreme poverty and
               hunger; quality education, productive and decent          Meeting the goals is everyone’s business. Falling
               employment, good health and shelter; the right of         short would multiply the dangers of our world – from
               women to give birth without risking their lives; and a    instability to epidemic diseases to environmental
               world where environmental sustainability is a priority,   degradation. But achieving the goals will put us on
               and women and men live in equality. Leaders also          a fast track to a world that is more stable, more just,
               pledged to forge a wide-ranging global partnership        and more secure.
               for development to achieve these universal
               objectives.                                               Billions of people are looking to the international
                                                                         community to realize the great vision embodied in the
               This report shows how much progress has been              Millennium Declaration. Let us keep that promise.
               made. Perhaps most important, it shows that




                                                                         Ban Ki-moon
                                                                         Secretary-General, United Nations




                                                                                                                                   3



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:3                                                                            6/15/2010 12:51:31 PM
UNITED NATIONS




               Overview
                                                                                  • Major increases in funding and a stronger commitment
               Keeping the promise                                                  to control malaria have accelerated delivery of malaria
                                                                                    interventions. Across Africa, more communities are
               Five years from the target date for the Millennium
                                                                                    benefiting from bed net protection and more children
               Development Goals, leaders from around the world
                                                                                    are being treated with effective drugs.
               will be gathering at the United Nations to undertake a
               comprehensive review of progress and together chart a
                                                                                  • The rate of deforestation, though still alarmingly high,
               course for accelerated action on the MDGs between now
                                                                                    appears to have slowed, due to tree-planting schemes
               and 2015.
                                                                                    combined with the natural expansion of forests.
               Many countries are moving forward, including some of the
                                                                                  • Increased use of improved water sources in rural
               poorest, demonstrating that setting bold, collective goals
                                                                                    areas has narrowed the large gap with urban areas,
               in the fight against poverty yields results. For every life that
                                                                                    where coverage has remained at 94 per cent—almost
               has benefited from the establishment of a quantitative,
                                                                                    unchanged since 1990. However, the safety of water
               time-bound framework of accountability, the MDGs have
                                                                                    supplies remains a challenge and urgently needs to be
               made a real difference.
                                                                                    addressed.
               But unmet commitments, inadequate resources, lack of
                                                                                  • Mobile telephony continues to expand in the developing
               focus and accountability, and insufficient dedication to
                                                                                    world and is increasingly being used for m-banking,
               sustainable development have created shortfalls in many
                                                                                    disaster management and other non-voice applications
               areas. Some of these shortfalls were aggravated by the
                                                                                    for development. By the end of 2009, cellular
               global food and economic and financial crises.
                                                                                    subscriptions per 100 people had reached the 50 per
                                                                                    cent mark.
               Nevertheless, the data and analysis on the following
               pages provide clear evidence that targeted interventions,
               sustained by adequate funding and political commitment,
               have resulted in rapid progress in some areas. In others, the
                                                                                  Bridging the gaps
               poorest groups, those without education or living in more          Though progress has been made, it is uneven. And without
               remote areas, have been neglected and not provided the             a major push forward, many of the MDG targets are likely
               conditions to improve their lives.                                 to be missed in most regions. Old and new challenges
                                                                                  threaten to further slow progress in some areas or even
               Building on successes                                              undo successes achieved so far.

                                                                                  The most severe impact of climate change is being felt
               The collective efforts towards achievement of the MDGs
                                                                                  by vulnerable populations who have contributed least to
               have made inroads in many areas. Encouraging trends
                                                                                  the problem. The risk of death or disability and economic
               before 2008 had put many regions on track to achieve at
                                                                                  loss due to natural disasters is increasing globally and is
               least some of the goals. The economic growth momentum
                                                                                  concentrated in poorer countries. Armed conflict remains
               in developing regions remains strong and, learning from the
                                                                                  a major threat to human security and to hard-won MDG
               many successes of even the most challenged countries,
                                                                                  gains. Large populations of refugees remain in camps
               achieving the MDGs is still within our grasp:
                                                                                  with limited opportunities to improve their lives. In 2009,
                                                                                  42 million people had been displaced by conflict or
                • Progress on poverty reduction is still being made,
                                                                                  persecution, four fifths of them in developing countries.
                  despite significant setbacks due to the 2008-2009
                  economic downturn, and food and energy crises. The
                                                                                  The number of people who are undernourished has
                  developing world as a whole remains on track to achieve
                                                                                  continued to grow, while slow progress in reducing the
                  the poverty reduction target by 2015. The overall poverty
                                                                                  prevalence of hunger stalled—or even reversed itself—in
                  rate is still expected to fall to 15 per cent by 2015, which
                                                                                  some regions between 2000-2002 and 2005-2007. About
                  translates to around 920 million people living under the
                                                                                  one in four children under the age of five are underweight,
                  international poverty line—half the number in 1990.
                                                                                  mainly due to lack of food and quality food, inadequate
                                                                                  water, sanitation and health services, and poor care and
                • Major advances have been made in getting children into
                                                                                  feeding practices.
                  school in many of the poorest countries, most of them in
                  sub-Saharan Africa.
                                                                                  An estimated 1.4 billion people were still living in extreme
                                                                                  poverty in 2005. Moreover, the effects of the global financial
                • Remarkable improvements in key interventions—for
                                                                                  crisis are likely to persist: poverty rates will be slightly
                  malaria and HIV control, and measles immunization,
                                                                                  higher in 2015 and even beyond, to 2020, than they would
                  for example—have cut child deaths from 12.5 million in
                                                                                  have been had the world economy grown steadily at its
                  1990 to 8.8 million in 2008.
                                                                                  pre-crisis pace.
                • Between 2003 and 2008, the number of people
                                                                                  Gender equality and the empowerment of women are at the
                  receiving antiretroviral therapy increased tenfold—from
                                                                                  heart of the MDGs and are preconditions for overcoming
                  400,000 to 4 million—corresponding to 42 per cent of
                                                                                  poverty, hunger and disease. But progress has been
                  the 8.8 million people who needed treatment for HIV.
                                                                                  sluggish on all fronts—from education to access to political
                                                                                  decision-making.



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THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               Achieving the MDGs will also require increased attention
                                                                               Towards 2015
               to those most vulnerable. Policies and interventions will
                                                                               The Millennium Declaration represents the most important
               be needed to eliminate the persistent or even increasing
                                                                               promise ever made to the world’s most vulnerable people.
               inequalities between the rich and the poor, between those
                                                                               The MDG framework for accountability derived from the
               living in rural or remote areas or in slums versus better-off
                                                                               Declaration has generated an unprecedented level of
               urban populations, and those disadvantaged by geographic
                                                                               commitment and partnership in building decent, healthier
               location, sex, age, disability or ethnicity:
                                                                               lives for billions of people and in creating an environment
                                                                               that contributes to peace and security.
                • In all developing regions, children in rural areas are
                  more likely to be underweight than urban children. In
                                                                               The Millennium Development Goals are still attainable.
                  Latin America and the Caribbean and parts of Asia, this
                                                                               The critical question today is how to transform the pace of
                  disparity increased between 1990 and 2008.
                                                                               change from what we have seen over the last decade into
                                                                               dramatically faster progress. The experience of these last
                • The gap between the richest and the poorest
                                                                               ten years offers ample evidence of what works and has
                  households remains enormous. In Southern Asia, 60 per
                                                                               provided tools that can help us achieve the MDGs by 2015.
                  cent of children in the poorest areas are underweight
                                                                               The Millennium Development Goals summit in September
                  compared to 25 per cent of children in the richest
                                                                               will be an opportunity for world leaders to translate this
                  households.
                                                                               evidence into a concrete agenda for action.
                • In developing regions overall, girls in the poorest 20 per
                  cent of households are 3.5 times more likely to be out
                  of school than girls in the richest households and four
                  times more likely to be out of school than boys from the
                  richest households.

                • Even in countries close to achieving universal primary
                  education, children with disabilities are the majority of
                  those excluded.

                • Maternal health is one of the areas in which the gap
                  between rich and poor is most conspicuous. While
                  almost all births are attended by skilled health personnel   SHA ZUKANG
                  in the developed countries, less than half of women          Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs
                  receive such care when giving birth in parts of the
                  developing world.

                • Disparities in access to care during pregnancy are also
                  striking, with women in the richest households 1.7 times
                  more likely to visit a skilled health worker at least once
                  before birth than the poorest women.

                • Lack of education is another major obstacle to
                  accessing tools that could improve people’s lives. For
                  instance, poverty and unequal access to schooling
                  perpetuate high adolescent birth rates, jeopardizing the
                  health of girls and diminishing their opportunities for
                  social and economic advancement.

                • Contraceptive use is four times higher among women
                  with a secondary education than among those with no
                  education. For women in the poorest households and
                  among those with no education, negligible progress was
                  seen over the last decade.

                • Only about half of the developing world’s population
                  are using improved sanitation, and addressing
                  this inequality will have a major impact on several
                  of the MDGs. Disparities between rural and urban
                  areas remain daunting, with only 40 per cent of rural
                  populations covered. And while 77 per cent of the
                  population in the richest 20 per cent of households use
                  improved sanitation facilities, the share is only 16 per
                  cent of those in the poorest households.




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UNITED NATIONS




                                                     TARGET

                      Goal 1                         Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people
                                                     whose income is less than $1 a day


                                                    The global economic crisis has slowed
                      Eradicate                     progress, but the world is still on track to
                                                    meet the poverty reduction target
                      extreme
                      poverty and                     Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day,
                                                      1990 and 2005 (Percentage)

                      hunger                          Sub-Saharan Africa

                                                                                                                 51
                                                                                                                          58


                                                      Southern Asia
                                                                                                                49
                                                                                                 39                            1990
                                                      Southern Asia, excluding India                                           2005
                                                                                                           45
                                                                                                                               2015 Target
                                                                                            31
                                                      CIS, Asia
                                                            6
                                                                             19
                                                      South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                 39
                                                                             19
                                                      Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                           60
                                                                        16
                                                      Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                               11
                                                             8
                                                      Western Asia
                                                        2
                                                          6
                                                      Northern Africa
                                                          5
                                                       3
                                                      Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                                                      0.1
                                                        1
                                                      CIS, Europe
                                                         2
                                                       0.3
                                                      Developing regions
                                                                                                           46
                                                                                       27

                                                      0           10              20        30        40             50        60       70


                                                    Robust growth in the first half of the decade reduced the
                                                    number of people in developing regions living on less than
                                                    $1.25 a day from 1.8 billion in 1990 to 1.4 billion in 2005,
                                                    while the poverty rate dropped from 46 per cent to 27 per
                                                    cent. The global economic and financial crisis, which began
                                                    in the advanced economies of North America and Europe
                                                    in 2008, sparked abrupt declines in exports and commodity
                                                    prices and reduced trade and investment, slowing growth
                                                    in developing countries. Nevertheless, the momentum of
                                                    economic growth in developing countries is strong enough
                                                    to sustain progress on the poverty reduction target. The
                                                    overall poverty rate is still expected to fall to 15 per cent by



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THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               2015, indicating that the Millennium Development      Prior to the crisis, the depth of poverty
               Goal (MDG) target can be met. This translates         had diminished in almost every region
               into around 920 million people living under the
               international poverty line—half the number in 1990.
                                                                      Poverty gap ratio at $1.25 a day, 1990 and 2005
               Newly updated estimates from the World Bank            (Percentage)
               suggest that the crisis will leave an additional       Sub-Saharan Africa
               50 million people in extreme poverty in 2009                                                                 26
               and some 64 million by the end of 2010 relative                                                       21

               to a no-crisis scenario, principally in sub-           Southern Asia
                                                                                                         14
               Saharan Africa and Eastern and South-Eastern                                    10                                1990
               Asia. Moreover, the effects of the crisis are                                                                     2005
                                                                      Southern Asia, excluding India
               likely to persist: poverty rates will be slightly                                         14
                                                                                           8
               higher in 2015 and even beyond, to 2020, than
                                                                      CIS, Asia
               they would have been had the world economy                 2
               grown steadily at its pre-crisis pace.                                 5
                                                                      South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                    11
               The fastest growth and sharpest reductions                         4
               in poverty continue to be recorded in Eastern          Eastern Asia
               Asia. Poverty rates in China are expected to                                                          21
               fall to around 5 per cent by 2015. India, too,                     4
               has contributed to the large reduction in global       Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                               4
               poverty. Measured at the $1.25 a day poverty                  3
               line, poverty rates there are expected to fall         Western Asia
               from 51 per cent in 1990 to 24 per cent in 2015,        1
                                                                         2
               and the number of people living in extreme
                                                                      Northern Africa
               poverty will likely decrease by 188 million. All        1
               developing regions except sub-Saharan Africa,           1
               Western Asia and parts of Eastern Europe and           Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                                                                       <0.1
               Central Asia are expected to achieve the MDG
                                                                       0.2
               target. These shortfalls reflect slow growth
                                                                      CIS, Europe
               in sub-Saharan Africa in the 1990s and the              1
               transition from planned to market economies             0.1
               that saw poverty increase, albeit from very low        Developing regions
                                                                                                              16
               levels, in some countries of Eastern Europe                                 8
               and the former Soviet Union.
                                                                      0                         10                   20                 30

               The lack of good quality surveys carried out
               at regular intervals and delays in reporting          The poverty gap measures the shortfall in incomes of
               survey results continue to hamper the                 people living below the poverty line. While the international
               monitoring of poverty. Gaps are particularly          poverty line is set at a level typical of very poor countries,
               acute in sub-Saharan Africa, where more               many people live on even less than that amount. Economic
               than half of countries lack sufficient data           growth and improvements in the distribution of income or
               to make comparisons over the full range of            consumption reduce the depth of poverty. Since 1990, the
               the MDGs, and among small island states               depth of poverty has decreased in all regions except Western
               in the Pacific and the Caribbean. Surveys             Asia. In 2005, the average income of people living below
               deliver important information—not just in the         the poverty line stood at $0.88. The depth of poverty was
               change in average income or consumption,              greatest in sub-Saharan Africa, but has fallen since 1999 to
               but also in its distribution. This year’s poverty     reach the level of Eastern Asia in 1990.
               estimates integrate 31 new household surveys.
               Combining these new surveys with last year’s
               growth forecast suggests a 0.5 percentage
               point decline (after taking into account the
               effect of the financial crisis) in the aggregate
               poverty headcount index in 2015—from 15.5
               per cent to 15.0 per cent. Only with more timely
               data can accurate reports on progress towards
               the MDGs be provided.

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MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:7                                                                                            6/15/2010 12:51:33 PM
UNITED NATIONS




                   Investments in disaster risk                      TARGET
                                                                     Achieve, full and productive employment and decent
                   reduction can yield long-term                     work for all, including women and young people
                   benefits, including progress
                   on the MDGs
                                                                    Deterioration of the labour market,
                                                                    triggered by the economic crisis, has
                   The risk of death or disability and
                   economic loss resulting from natural             resulted in a decline in employment
                   disasters is increasing globally and is
                   concentrated in poorer countries. Reducing
                   such risk can have multiplier effects that         Employment-to-population ratio, 1998, 2008 and
                   can accelerate achievement of the MDGs.            2009 preliminary estimates
                   The horrific loss of life from earthquakes         Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                                                          74
                   in Haiti, Chile and China, and floods in                                                                                         70
                   Brazil, underscore the need to make the                                                                                          70
                                                                      Oceania
                   built environment more resilient in the face                                                                               66               1998
                                                                                                                                              66               2008
                   of potential hazards—both seismic and                                                                                       67              2009*
                   climatic (or weather-related).                     South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                                              66
                                                                                                                                              66
                   Urbanization, climate change and                                                                                           66
                   ecosystem degradation are increasing the           Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                                             64
                   toll of natural disasters, and countries least                                                                             65
                                                                                                                                              65
                   able to reduce their risk are suffering the
                                                                      Latin America & the Caribbean
                   most. An estimated 97 per cent of global                                                                       58
                   mortality risk from natural disasters is                                                                             61
                                                                                                                                       60
                   faced by populations in low- and lower-            CIS
                   middle-income countries, which also                                                                      53
                                                                                                                                  58
                   experience higher economic losses relative                                                                    57
                   to the size of their economies. From the           Southern Asia
                                                                                                                                  57
                   start of 2008 through March 2010, 470,000                                                                     56
                                                                                                                                55
                   people were reportedly killed as a result of
                                                                      Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                   natural disasters; economic losses were                                                                  53
                                                                                                                      49
                   estimated to be more than $262 billion (not                                                       48
                   including 2010). Small island developing           Northern Africa
                   states and landlocked developing countries                                                     44
                                                                                                                    46
                   together constitute 60 per cent and 67                                                           46
                   per cent, respectively, of the countries           Western Asia
                                                                                                                     47
                   considered to have a high or very high                                                           46
                                                                                                                  44
                   economic vulnerability to natural hazards.
                                                                      Developed regions
                                                                                                                                 56
                                                                                                                                  57
                   Experience from countries has shown                                                                          55
                   that investments in disaster risk reduction        Developing regions
                   produce long-term benefits—from reduced                                                                               63
                                                                                                                                        62
                   future losses and avoided reconstruction                                                                             62
                   to co-benefits such as more robust                 0         10         20      30        40            50           60           70          80
                   livelihoods, resilient communities, and
                                                                      * Data for 2009 are preliminary.
                   protective and productive ecosystems.
                   In Peru, incorporation of risk reduction
                   into development has led to benefits that        The bursting of the housing bubble in the United States in
                   exceeded costs by as much as 37 times.           2007 and subsequent paralysis of the global financial system
                   When China spent $3.15 billion on reducing       became an economic and labour market crisis that plagued
                   the impact of floods between 1960 and            the world throughout 2009. The cascading crisis crippled
                   2000, it averted losses estimated at $12         economies, reduced enterprise capacities and forced millions
                   billion.                                         of people out of work. Many workers resorted to vulnerable
                                                                    forms of employment as the ranks of the working poor swell.



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THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               As the crisis deepened, government              As jobs were lost, more workers have
               stimulus measures began to curb the slide       been forced into vulnerable employment
               in economic activity and lessen the impact
               of global job losses. The coordinated efforts
               of countries responding to the crisis have         Proportion of own-account and contributing family
               been instrumental in averting even greater         workers in total employment, 1998, 2008 and
               social and economic hardships. However,
                                                                  2009 second scenario (Percentage)
               labour market conditions have continued to
               deteriorate in many countries and will likely      Oceania
                                                                                                                                       74
               threaten much of the progress made over the                                                                                  78
                                                                                                                                             79
               last decade towards decent work.                   Southern Asia
                                                                                                                                                 80
                                                                                                                                           76
               The economic deterioration resulted in a                                                                                     77
               sharp drop in employment-to-population             Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                                                  82
               ratios. In addition, labour productivity                                                                                    75
                                                                                                                                            77
               declined in 2009. In most regions, the             South-Eastern Asia
               decrease in gross domestic product was                                                                       63                         1998
                                                                                                                           61                          2008
               even greater than the decline in employment,                                                                61
                                                                                                                                                       2009*
                                                                  Eastern Asia
               resulting in diminishing output per worker.                                                                  62
               Preliminary estimates indicate a negative                                                             53
                                                                                                                     53
               growth in output per worker in all regions         CIS, Asia
                                                                                                                47
               except Northern Africa, Eastern Asia and                                               41
               Southern Asia. The largest fall in output per                                               44
                                                                  Northern Africa
               worker was in CIS countries in Europe, the                                        35
                                                                                           31
               transition countries of South-Eastern Europe                                     34
               and in Latin America and the Caribbean.            Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                                 35
               Declining labour output contributes to poorer                                 31
                                                                                              32
               working conditions, worsening the plight of
                                                                  Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
               workers in regions where labour productivity                                   32
                                                                                      24
               was already low before the economic crisis,                                 29
               as in sub-Saharan Africa.                          Western Asia
                                                                                                    39
                                                                                         27
                                                                                          28
                                                                  CIS, Europe
                                                                        8
                                                                         9
                                                                         10
                                                                  Developed regions
                                                                          11
                                                                         10
                                                                          11
                                                                  Developing regions
                                                                                                                                 65
                                                                                                                          59
                                                                                                                           60

                                                                 0        10        20      30        40             50     60        70          80      90
                                                                 *Forecasts for 2009 are based on the International Labour Organization’s
                                                                 second scenario. Details are available at mdgs.un.org




                                                               The positive downward trend in vulnerable employment was
                                                               interrupted by deteriorating conditions on the labour market
                                                               following the financial crisis. For many wage and salaried
                                                               workers who lost their jobs, as well as first-time job seekers
                                                               who entered the labour market in the midst of the crisis, own-
                                                               account and unpaid family work are options of last resort.

                                                               Those engaged in ‘vulnerable employment’, defined as the
                                                               sum of own-account workers and contributing family workers,
                                                               are not typically bound by formal work arrangements. They
                                                               are therefore more likely to lack benefits associated with
                                                               decent employment, such as adequate social security



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               and recourse to effective mechanisms for         Since the economic crisis, more workers
               social dialogue. Vulnerable employment is        find themselves and their families living
               often characterized by inadequate earnings,
               low productivity and substandard working         in extreme poverty
               conditions that undermine fundamental labour
               rights.
                                                                  Proportion of employed people living below
               Prior to the economic crisis, over three           $1.25 a day, 1998, 2008 and 2009 second
               quarters of workers in Oceania, Southern           scenario (Percentage)
               Asia and sub-Saharan Africa were without the       Sub-Saharan Africa
               security that wage and salaried jobs could                                                                                    67
                                                                                                                                  58
               provide. The crisis is likely to have further                                                                            64
               increased the number of workers engaged            Southern Asia
                                                                                                                             55
               in vulnerable employment in these regions in                                                44
                                                                                                                        51
               2009. The International Labour Organization
                                                                  Oceania
               (ILO) estimates* the global vulnerable                                                         45                                  1998
                                                                                                               46                                 2008
               employment rate in 2009 to be between 49                                                             50                            2009*
               per cent and 53 per cent, which translates         South-Eastern Asia
               into 1.5 billion to 1.6 billion people who are                                                 45
                                                                                        23
               working on their own or as unpaid family                                       28
               workers worldwide.                                 CIS, Asia
                                                                                             26
               * Details are available at http://mdgs.un.org                         19
                                                                                       21
                                                                  Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                        52
                                                                              11
                                                                                13
                                                                  Western Asia
                                                                        8
                                                                        8
                                                                           12
                                                                  Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                           13
                                                                        7
                                                                         8
                                                                  Northern Africa
                                                                      6
                                                                   3
                                                                    4
                                                                  Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                                                                   1
                                                                   0.4
                                                                   0.6
                                                                  CIS, Europe
                                                                     4
                                                                  0.1
                                                                  0.2
                                                                  Developing regions
                                                                                                                   48
                                                                                             26
                                                                                                   31

                                                                 0            10       20          30    40             50             60         70      80
                                                                 *Data for 2009 are based on the ILO’s second scenario.
                                                                 Details are available at mdgs.un.org



                                                                The ‘working poor’ are defined as those who are employed
                                                                but live in households where individual members subsist on
                                                                less than $1.25 a day. Most of these workers are engaged
                                                                in jobs that lack the social protection and safety nets that
                                                                guard against times of low economic demand, and they are
                                                                often unable to generate sufficient savings to offset hard
                                                                times. Since vulnerable employment is often characterized
                                                                by low productivity work, and the global financial crisis has
                                                                resulted in declining output per worker, working poverty is
                                                                likely to have increased as well. The small decreases in the
                                                                percentage of working poor in 2009 that would result from a



               10



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:10                                                                                                             6/15/2010 12:51:34 PM
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               continuation of historical trends (scenario 1)
               are therefore not likely to have materialized.        TARGET
               Rather, it is estimated that an additional 3.6        Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people
               per cent of the world’s workers were at risk          who suffer from hunger
               of falling into poverty between 2008 and
               2009 (scenario 2), an alarming increase and a
               setback of many years of steady progress.           Hunger may have spiked in 2009, one of
                                                                   the many dire consequences of the global
               The largest negative impact is most likely
               to be seen in sub-Saharan Africa, Southern          food and financial crises
               Asia, South-Eastern Asia and Oceania, where
               extreme poverty among the employed may
               have increased by four percentage points or              Proportion of people who are undernourished in the
               more in the second scenario. These estimates             developing regions (Percentage) and number of
               reflect the fact that, prior to the crisis, many         undernourished people (Millions), 1990-1992,
               workers in these regions were only slightly              1995-1997, 2000-2002 and 2005-2007
               above the poverty line. In the case of sub-                     1500                                                                 25
                                                                                                  Number of undernourished people
               Saharan Africa, the large majority of workers
                                                                                                  Percentage of undernourished people
               (63.5 per cent) were at risk of falling below the
                                                                               1200                                                                 20
               extreme poverty line in this scenario.




                                                                                                                                                         Percentage
                                                                                900                                                                 15
                                                                    Millions




                                                                                         817             797             805               830

                                                                                600                                                                 10



                                                                                300                                                                 5



                                                                                  0                                                                 0
                                                                                      1990-1992       1995-1997      2000-2002          2005-2007


                                                                   Since 1990, developing regions have made some progress
                                                                   towards the MDG target of halving the proportion of
                                                                   people suffering from hunger. The share of undernourished
                                                                   populations decreased from 20 per cent in 1990-1992 to 16
                                                                   per cent in 2005-2007, the latest period with available data.
                                                                   However, progress has stalled since 2000-2002. Overall
                                                                   progress in reducing the prevalence of hunger has not been
                                                                   sufficient to reduce the number of undernourished people. In
                                                                   2005-2007, the last period assessed, 830 million people were
                                                                   still undernourished, an increase from 817 million in 1990-
                                                                   1992.

                                                                   Food prices spiked in 2008 and falling income due to the
                                                                   financial crisis further worsened the situation. The Food and
                                                                   Agricultural Organization of the United Nations estimates that
                                                                   the number of people who were undernourished in 2008 may
                                                                   be as high as 915 million and exceed 1 billion in 2009.




                                                                                                                                                          11



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:11                                                                                                      6/15/2010 12:51:34 PM
UNITED NATIONS




               Progress to end hunger has                                               Prices of staple foods remained high in 2009, after the initial
               been stymied in most regions                                             food crisis of 2008. At the same time, the incomes of poor
                                                                                        households diminished because of higher unemployment
                                                                                        following the economic downturn. Both crises contributed to
                  Proportion of undernourished population,                              a considerable reduction in the effective purchasing power
                                                                                        of poor consumers, who spend a substantial share of their
                  1990-1992, 2000-2002 and 2005-2007
                                                                                        income on basic foodstuffs.
                  (Percentage)
                  Sub-Saharan Africa                                                    Though international food prices continued to decline in
                                                                     31
                                                                    30                  the second half of 2008, consumer food price indexes rose.
                                                               26                       International food prices have not yet stabilized and threats of
                  Southern Asia, excluding India
                                                               26                       new food crises loom.
                                                         23
                                                         23
                  Southern Asia                                           1990-92       Aggregate food availability globally was relatively good
                                                    21                    2000-02       in 2008 and 2009, but higher food prices and reduced
                                                   20                     2005-07
                                                    21                                  employment and incomes meant that the poor had less
                  South-Eastern Asia                                      2015 Target
                                                          24
                                                                                        access to that food.
                                              17
                                        14
                  Oceania
                                   12
                                          16
                                     13
                  Eastern Asia, excluding China
                              8
                                     13
                                    12
                  Eastern Asia
                                             18
                                    10
                                    10
                  Latin America & the Caribbean
                                    12
                                10
                                9
                  Western Asia
                         5
                              8
                            7
                  Northern Africa
                   <5
                   <5
                   <5
                  Developing regions
                                                20
                                          16
                                          16

                  0       5       10         15     20         25    30       35



               Before the onset of the food and financial
               crises, a number of regions were well on their
               way to halving, by 2015, the proportion of their
               population that were undernourished. South-
               Eastern Asia, which was already close to the
               target in 2005-2007 made additional progress,
               as did Latin America and the Caribbean and
               Eastern Asia. Progress in the latter region was
               largely due to reductions in hunger in China.
               The prevalence of hunger also declined in
               sub-Saharan Africa, although not at a pace
               that was sufficiently fast to compensate for
               population growth and to put the region on
               track to meet the MDG target.




               12



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:12                                                                                                  6/15/2010 12:51:36 PM
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               Despite some progress, one in                               Halving the prevalence of underweight children by 2015
               four children in the developing                             (from a 1990 baseline) will require accelerated and concerted
                                                                           action to scale up interventions that effectively combat
               world are still underweight                                 undernutrition. A number of simple and cost-effective
                                                                           interventions at key stages in a child’s life could go a long way
                                                                           in reducing undernutrition, such as breastfeeding within one
                  Proportion of children under age five who                 hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the first six months
                  are underweight, 1990 and 2008                           of life, adequate complementary feeding and micronutrient
                  (Percentage)                                             supplementation between six and 24 months of age.
                  Southern Asia
                                                               51          Undernutrition among children under five continues to be
                                                          46               widely prevalent, due to both a lack of food and lack of
                  Sub-Saharan Africa                                       quality food, inadequate water, sanitation and health services
                                             31                     1990   as well as less than optimal caring and feeding practices.
                                        27                          2008
                                                                           Until improvements are made in all these areas, progress will
                  South-Eastern Asia
                                                     37                    be limited. In Southern Asia, for example, feeding practices
                                       25                                  are often poor and shortages of quality food are common.
                  Western Asia                                             But in addition, nearly two thirds of the population are without
                           14                                              improved sanitation and nearly half practise open defecation,
                            14
                                                                           resulting in repeated episodes of diarrheal diseases in
                  Eastern Asia
                                 17
                                                                           children. Moreover, more than 25 per cent of infants are
                       7                                                   underweight at birth. Many of these children are never able
                  Northern Africa                                          to catch up in terms of their nutritional status. All of these
                         11                                                factors have made underweight prevalence in Southern
                       7                                                   Asia—at 46 per cent—the highest in the world.
                  Latin America & the Caribbean
                         11
                      6
                  Developing regions
                                             31
                                       26

                 0      10      20        30       40       50       60
                 Note: Prevalence of underweight children is estimated
                 based on the NCHS/WHO/CDC reference population.
                 The United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) is in the
                 process of converting its entire child undernutrition
                 database according to the new World Health Organization
                 (WHO) Child Growth Standards.



               From 1990 to 2008, the proportion of children
               under five in the developing regions who are
               underweight declined from 31 per cent to 26
               per cent. Progress in reducing underweight
               prevalence among children has been made
               in all regions except Western Asia. Eastern
               Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and
               CIS countries in Asia have reached or nearly
               reached the MDG target, and South-Eastern
               Asia and Northern Africa are on track.

               Progress is being made, but not fast enough
               to reach the MDG target. Data are not yet
               available to fully understand the impact of
               the food and financial crises on underweight
               prevalence, but the achievement of the MDG
               target may be further threatened by them.




                                                                                                                                          13



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:13                                                                                      6/15/2010 12:51:38 PM
UNITED NATIONS




               Children in rural areas are                                     In some regions, the prevalence of
               nearly twice as likely to be                                    underweight children is dramatically
               underweight as those in urban                                   higher among the poor
               areas
                                                                               Proportion of under-five children who are underweight,
                  Ratio between the proportion of under-five                    by household wealth, around 2008 (Percentage)
                  children who are underweight in rural                        70

                  areas and urban areas, 1990 and 2008                                                                           Southern Asia
                                                                                                                                 Developing regions
                  Southern Asia                                                60
                              1.3                                                                                                Sub-Saharan Africa
                               1.4                                                                                               Northern Africa
                                                           Around 1990
                  South-Eastern Asia                                                                                             CIS, Asia
                               1.4                         Around 2008         50
                            1.2                            Parity
                  Sub-Saharan Africa
                                1.5                                            40
                               1.4
                  Northern Africa
                                   1.7
                                1.5                                            30
                  Latin America & the Caribbean
                                       2.0
                                            2.4
                                                                               20
                  Western Asia
                                        2.1
                                             2.5
                  Eastern Asia                                                 10
                                        2.1
                                                                   4.8
                  Developing regions
                                 1.7                                            0
                                   1.9                                              Poorest 20%   Poorer 20%   Middle 20%   Richer 20%   Richest 20%

                0.0        1.0           2.0         3.0     4.0         5.0
                             Rural children disadvantaged                      Across the developing world, children from the poorest
                                                                               households are twice as likely to be underweight as children
                                                                               from the richest households. The disparity is most dramatic
               In all developing regions, children in rural                    in regions with a high prevalence of underweight children.
               areas are more likely to be underweight than                    This is the situation in Southern Asia, where as many as 60
               children living in cities and towns. In parts of                per cent of children in the poorest families are underweight,
               Asia and in Latin America and the Caribbean,                    compared to about 25 per cent in the richest households.
               the relative disparity actually increased
               between 1990 and 2008. In Eastern Asia,
               there was a striking increase in the rural/
               urban ratio (from 2.1 to 4.8), indicating that, in
               2008, children in rural areas were almost five
               times as likely to be underweight as children
               in urban areas. This region, however, has
               already achieved the target—in both rural and
               urban areas—of halving the 1990 underweight
               prevalence: only 2 per cent of children in
               urban areas are underweight, versus 9 per
               cent of rural children.

               South-Eastern Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and
               Northern Africa have succeeded in reducing
               child malnutrition more rapidly in rural areas
               and in narrowing the gap with the urban
               population, demonstrating that more equitable
               progress is indeed possible.




               14



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:14                                                                                                    6/15/2010 12:51:39 PM
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               Over 42 million people have been
               uprooted by conflict or persecution

                 Number of refugees and internally displaced
                 persons, 2000-2009 (Millions)
                40


                                                                               16.0            15.2
                              16.0                                                      15.2
                                       14.6    13.7   13.8            14.3
                30    15.9
                                                             13.0




                20


                                                      25.3                     26.0     26.0   27.1
                              25.0     25.0    24.6          23.7     24.4
                10    21.2




                  0
                      2000    2001    2002     2003   2004   2005     2006     2007     2008   2009
                                       Internally displaced persons          Refugees


               Conflicts are a major threat to human security and to
               hard-won MDG gains. Years after a conflict has ended,
               large populations of refugees remain in camps with limited
               employment and education opportunities and inadequate
               health services. Not surprisingly, refugees often become
               dependent on subsistence-level assistance and lead lives of
               poverty and unrealized potential.

               More than 42 million people are currently displaced by
               conflict or persecution. Of these, 15.2 million are refugees
               (residing outside their countries of origin) and 27.1 million
               people have been uprooted but remain within the borders of
               their own countries. Developing countries hosted four fifths
               of the global refugee population in 2009. They included 10.4
               million people who fall under the aegis of the United Nations
               High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and 4.8 million
               Palestinian refugees, who are the responsibility of the United
               Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in
               the Near East (UNRWA).

               The number of refugees has remained relatively stable over
               the past two years—about 15 million—in part because of the
               lack of durable solutions. In 2009, some 250,000 refugees
               were able to return to their homes voluntarily, the lowest level
               in 20 years. Afghans and Iraqis continue to be the largest
               refugee populations under the UNHCR mandate, totalling
               2.9 million and 1.8 million people, respectively, at the end of
               2009. Together they account for nearly half of all refugees
               under UNHCR care.




                                                                                                                                                15



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:15                                                                                            6/15/2010 12:51:40 PM
UNITED NATIONS




                                                      TARGET

                      Goal 2                          Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls
                                                      alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary
                                                      schooling



                      Achieve                        Hope dims for universal education by
                                                     2015, even as many poor countries make
                      universal                      tremendous strides
                      primary                          Adjusted net enrolment ratio in primary education,*

                      education                        1998/1999 and 2007/2008 (Percentage)
                                                       Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                   58                                   1999
                                                                                                             76                         2008
                                                       CIS, Europe
                                                                                                                         89
                                                                                                                              93
                                                       Western Asia
                                                                                                                    83
                                                                                                                         88
                                                       Southern Asia
                                                                                                               79
                                                                                                                            90
                                                       CIS, Asia
                                                                                                                                  95
                                                                                                                                 94
                                                       Northern Africa
                                                                                                                       86
                                                                                                                                 94
                                                       South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                              93
                                                                                                                               95
                                                       Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                                                                 94
                                                                                                                                  95
                                                       Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                                 95
                                                                                                                                  96
                                                       Developing regions
                                                                                                                  82
                                                                                                                         89
                                                       Developed regions
                                                                                                                                   97
                                                                                                                                  96
                                                       World
                                                                                                                    84
                                                                                                                            90

                                                       0               20              40               60        80                    100
                                                       * Defined as the number of pupils of the theoretical school age for primary
                                                       education enrolled in either primary or secondary school, expressed as a
                                                       percentage of the total population in that age group.

                                                       Note: Data for Oceania are not available.



                                                     Enrolment in primary education has continued to rise,
                                                     reaching 89 per cent in the developing world. But the pace of
                                                     progress is insufficient to ensure that, by 2015, all girls and
                                                     boys complete a full course of primary schooling.




               16



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:16                                                                                        6/15/2010 12:51:41 PM
THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010




               To achieve the goal by the target date, all           Sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia
               children at the official entry age for primary        are home to the vast majority of children
               school would have had to be attending
               classes by 2009 or so, depending on the               out of school
               duration of the primary level and how well
               schools retain pupils to the end of the
                                                                      Distribution of out-of-school children by region,
               cycle. But in half of the sub-Saharan African
                                                                      1999 and 2008 (Percentage)
               countries with available data, at least one in
                                                                     100
               four children of primary-school age were out                                                       Sub-Saharan Africa
               of school in 2008.                                                                                 Southern Asia
                                                                                                                  Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                  South-Eastern Asia
               To meet the goal, countries will also need to
                                                                      80                                          Latin America
               ensure that there are enough teachers and
                                                                                                                  & the Caribbean
               classrooms to meet the demand. Between                                                             Western Asia
               now and 2015, the number of new teachers                                                           Developed regions
               needed in sub-Saharan Africa alone equals                                                          CIS
               the current teaching force in the region.              60          43                              Northern Africa
                                                                                                    46
                                                                                                                  Rest of the world
               Despite these challenges, a good deal has
               been accomplished in many regions. Though
               enrolment in sub-Saharan Africa remains the            40
               lowest of all regions, it still increased by 18
               percentage points—from 58 per cent to 76                                             27
               per cent—between 1999 and 2008. Progress                           34
                                                                                                    6
               was also made in Southern Asia and Northern            20          6                 5
               Africa, where enrolment increased by 11 and 8                      4                 4
               percentage points, respectively, over the last                     3                 4
                                                                                  4                 4
               decade.                                                       2
                                                                             1                              2
                                                                             3                              2
                                                                       0                                    0.7
                                                                           0.2
                                                                                 1999              2008
               Major advances have been made even in
               some of the poorest countries, most of
               them in sub-Saharan Africa. The abolition
               of primary school fees in Burundi resulted            Even as the number of school-age children continues to rise,
               in a threefold increase in primary-school             the total number of children out of school is decreasing—from
               enrolment since 1999, reaching 99 per cent            106 million in 1999 to 69 million in 2008. Almost half of these
               in 2008. Similarly, the United Republic of            children (31 million) are in sub-Saharan Africa, and more than
               Tanzania doubled its enrolment ratio over             a quarter (18 million) are in Southern Asia.
               the same period. Guatemala, Nicaragua and
               Zambia also broke through the 90 per cent             The gender gap in the out-of-school population has also
               threshold towards greater access to primary           narrowed: the share of girls in this group decreased from 57
               education.                                            per cent to 53 per cent globally between 1999 and 2008. In
                                                                     some regions, however, the share is much larger; in Northern
               Getting children into school is a vital first step.   Africa, 66 per cent of out-of-school children are girls.
               But to receive the full benefits of education,
               they must continue to attend classes. In
               half the countries in sub-Saharan Africa
               with available data, more than 30 per cent
               of primary-school students drop out before
               reaching the final grade.




                                                                                                                                         17



MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:17                                                                                     6/15/2010 12:51:42 PM
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
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UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
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UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
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UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
UN Millennium Development Goals 2010
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UN Millennium Development Goals 2010

  • 1. The Millennium Development Goals Report 2010 U N I T E D N AT I O N S MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd 1 6/15/2010 12:51:26 PM
  • 2. UNITED NATIONS This report is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert Group on MDG Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, in response to the wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of progress towards the MDGs. The Group comprises representatives of the international organizations whose activities include the preparation of one or more of the series of statistical indicators that were identified as appropriate for monitoring progress towards the MDGs, as reflected in the list below. A number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers also contributed. INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION Cover Inside UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION THE WORLD BANK INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTERN ASIA JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN’S FUND UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT FUND FOR WOMEN UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE INTER-PARLIAMENTARY UNION ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION 2 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd 2 6/15/2010 12:51:29 PM
  • 3. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 The Millennium Development Goals Report 2010 U N I T E D N AT I O N S N E W Y O R K , 2010 3 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec1:3 6/15/2010 12:51:29 PM
  • 4. UNITED NATIONS 4 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec1:4 6/15/2010 12:51:29 PM
  • 5. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 Foreword The Millennium Declaration in 2000 was a milestone the Goals are achievable when nationally owned in international cooperation, inspiring development development strategies, policies and programmes efforts that have improved the lives of hundreds of are supported by international development partners. millions of people around the world. Ten years later, At the same time, it is clear that improvements in world leaders will gather again at the United Nations the lives of the poor have been unacceptably slow, in New York to review progress, assess obstacles and some hard-won gains are being eroded by the and gaps, and agree on concrete strategies and climate, food and economic crises. actions to meet the eight Millennium Development Goals by 2015. The world possesses the resources and knowledge to ensure that even the poorest countries, and others The Goals represent human needs and basic rights held back by disease, geographic isolation or civil that every individual around the world should be strife, can be empowered to achieve the MDGs. able to enjoy—freedom from extreme poverty and hunger; quality education, productive and decent Meeting the goals is everyone’s business. Falling employment, good health and shelter; the right of short would multiply the dangers of our world – from women to give birth without risking their lives; and a instability to epidemic diseases to environmental world where environmental sustainability is a priority, degradation. But achieving the goals will put us on and women and men live in equality. Leaders also a fast track to a world that is more stable, more just, pledged to forge a wide-ranging global partnership and more secure. for development to achieve these universal objectives. Billions of people are looking to the international community to realize the great vision embodied in the This report shows how much progress has been Millennium Declaration. Let us keep that promise. made. Perhaps most important, it shows that Ban Ki-moon Secretary-General, United Nations 3 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:3 6/15/2010 12:51:31 PM
  • 6. UNITED NATIONS Overview • Major increases in funding and a stronger commitment Keeping the promise to control malaria have accelerated delivery of malaria interventions. Across Africa, more communities are Five years from the target date for the Millennium benefiting from bed net protection and more children Development Goals, leaders from around the world are being treated with effective drugs. will be gathering at the United Nations to undertake a comprehensive review of progress and together chart a • The rate of deforestation, though still alarmingly high, course for accelerated action on the MDGs between now appears to have slowed, due to tree-planting schemes and 2015. combined with the natural expansion of forests. Many countries are moving forward, including some of the • Increased use of improved water sources in rural poorest, demonstrating that setting bold, collective goals areas has narrowed the large gap with urban areas, in the fight against poverty yields results. For every life that where coverage has remained at 94 per cent—almost has benefited from the establishment of a quantitative, unchanged since 1990. However, the safety of water time-bound framework of accountability, the MDGs have supplies remains a challenge and urgently needs to be made a real difference. addressed. But unmet commitments, inadequate resources, lack of • Mobile telephony continues to expand in the developing focus and accountability, and insufficient dedication to world and is increasingly being used for m-banking, sustainable development have created shortfalls in many disaster management and other non-voice applications areas. Some of these shortfalls were aggravated by the for development. By the end of 2009, cellular global food and economic and financial crises. subscriptions per 100 people had reached the 50 per cent mark. Nevertheless, the data and analysis on the following pages provide clear evidence that targeted interventions, sustained by adequate funding and political commitment, have resulted in rapid progress in some areas. In others, the Bridging the gaps poorest groups, those without education or living in more Though progress has been made, it is uneven. And without remote areas, have been neglected and not provided the a major push forward, many of the MDG targets are likely conditions to improve their lives. to be missed in most regions. Old and new challenges threaten to further slow progress in some areas or even Building on successes undo successes achieved so far. The most severe impact of climate change is being felt The collective efforts towards achievement of the MDGs by vulnerable populations who have contributed least to have made inroads in many areas. Encouraging trends the problem. The risk of death or disability and economic before 2008 had put many regions on track to achieve at loss due to natural disasters is increasing globally and is least some of the goals. The economic growth momentum concentrated in poorer countries. Armed conflict remains in developing regions remains strong and, learning from the a major threat to human security and to hard-won MDG many successes of even the most challenged countries, gains. Large populations of refugees remain in camps achieving the MDGs is still within our grasp: with limited opportunities to improve their lives. In 2009, 42 million people had been displaced by conflict or • Progress on poverty reduction is still being made, persecution, four fifths of them in developing countries. despite significant setbacks due to the 2008-2009 economic downturn, and food and energy crises. The The number of people who are undernourished has developing world as a whole remains on track to achieve continued to grow, while slow progress in reducing the the poverty reduction target by 2015. The overall poverty prevalence of hunger stalled—or even reversed itself—in rate is still expected to fall to 15 per cent by 2015, which some regions between 2000-2002 and 2005-2007. About translates to around 920 million people living under the one in four children under the age of five are underweight, international poverty line—half the number in 1990. mainly due to lack of food and quality food, inadequate water, sanitation and health services, and poor care and • Major advances have been made in getting children into feeding practices. school in many of the poorest countries, most of them in sub-Saharan Africa. An estimated 1.4 billion people were still living in extreme poverty in 2005. Moreover, the effects of the global financial • Remarkable improvements in key interventions—for crisis are likely to persist: poverty rates will be slightly malaria and HIV control, and measles immunization, higher in 2015 and even beyond, to 2020, than they would for example—have cut child deaths from 12.5 million in have been had the world economy grown steadily at its 1990 to 8.8 million in 2008. pre-crisis pace. • Between 2003 and 2008, the number of people Gender equality and the empowerment of women are at the receiving antiretroviral therapy increased tenfold—from heart of the MDGs and are preconditions for overcoming 400,000 to 4 million—corresponding to 42 per cent of poverty, hunger and disease. But progress has been the 8.8 million people who needed treatment for HIV. sluggish on all fronts—from education to access to political decision-making. 4 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:4 6/15/2010 12:51:31 PM
  • 7. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 Achieving the MDGs will also require increased attention Towards 2015 to those most vulnerable. Policies and interventions will The Millennium Declaration represents the most important be needed to eliminate the persistent or even increasing promise ever made to the world’s most vulnerable people. inequalities between the rich and the poor, between those The MDG framework for accountability derived from the living in rural or remote areas or in slums versus better-off Declaration has generated an unprecedented level of urban populations, and those disadvantaged by geographic commitment and partnership in building decent, healthier location, sex, age, disability or ethnicity: lives for billions of people and in creating an environment that contributes to peace and security. • In all developing regions, children in rural areas are more likely to be underweight than urban children. In The Millennium Development Goals are still attainable. Latin America and the Caribbean and parts of Asia, this The critical question today is how to transform the pace of disparity increased between 1990 and 2008. change from what we have seen over the last decade into dramatically faster progress. The experience of these last • The gap between the richest and the poorest ten years offers ample evidence of what works and has households remains enormous. In Southern Asia, 60 per provided tools that can help us achieve the MDGs by 2015. cent of children in the poorest areas are underweight The Millennium Development Goals summit in September compared to 25 per cent of children in the richest will be an opportunity for world leaders to translate this households. evidence into a concrete agenda for action. • In developing regions overall, girls in the poorest 20 per cent of households are 3.5 times more likely to be out of school than girls in the richest households and four times more likely to be out of school than boys from the richest households. • Even in countries close to achieving universal primary education, children with disabilities are the majority of those excluded. • Maternal health is one of the areas in which the gap between rich and poor is most conspicuous. While almost all births are attended by skilled health personnel SHA ZUKANG in the developed countries, less than half of women Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs receive such care when giving birth in parts of the developing world. • Disparities in access to care during pregnancy are also striking, with women in the richest households 1.7 times more likely to visit a skilled health worker at least once before birth than the poorest women. • Lack of education is another major obstacle to accessing tools that could improve people’s lives. For instance, poverty and unequal access to schooling perpetuate high adolescent birth rates, jeopardizing the health of girls and diminishing their opportunities for social and economic advancement. • Contraceptive use is four times higher among women with a secondary education than among those with no education. For women in the poorest households and among those with no education, negligible progress was seen over the last decade. • Only about half of the developing world’s population are using improved sanitation, and addressing this inequality will have a major impact on several of the MDGs. Disparities between rural and urban areas remain daunting, with only 40 per cent of rural populations covered. And while 77 per cent of the population in the richest 20 per cent of households use improved sanitation facilities, the share is only 16 per cent of those in the poorest households. 5 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:5 6/15/2010 12:51:31 PM
  • 8. UNITED NATIONS TARGET Goal 1 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day The global economic crisis has slowed Eradicate progress, but the world is still on track to meet the poverty reduction target extreme poverty and Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, 1990 and 2005 (Percentage) hunger Sub-Saharan Africa 51 58 Southern Asia 49 39 1990 Southern Asia, excluding India 2005 45 2015 Target 31 CIS, Asia 6 19 South-Eastern Asia 39 19 Eastern Asia 60 16 Latin America & the Caribbean 11 8 Western Asia 2 6 Northern Africa 5 3 Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 0.1 1 CIS, Europe 2 0.3 Developing regions 46 27 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Robust growth in the first half of the decade reduced the number of people in developing regions living on less than $1.25 a day from 1.8 billion in 1990 to 1.4 billion in 2005, while the poverty rate dropped from 46 per cent to 27 per cent. The global economic and financial crisis, which began in the advanced economies of North America and Europe in 2008, sparked abrupt declines in exports and commodity prices and reduced trade and investment, slowing growth in developing countries. Nevertheless, the momentum of economic growth in developing countries is strong enough to sustain progress on the poverty reduction target. The overall poverty rate is still expected to fall to 15 per cent by 6 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:6 6/15/2010 12:51:31 PM
  • 9. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 2015, indicating that the Millennium Development Prior to the crisis, the depth of poverty Goal (MDG) target can be met. This translates had diminished in almost every region into around 920 million people living under the international poverty line—half the number in 1990. Poverty gap ratio at $1.25 a day, 1990 and 2005 Newly updated estimates from the World Bank (Percentage) suggest that the crisis will leave an additional Sub-Saharan Africa 50 million people in extreme poverty in 2009 26 and some 64 million by the end of 2010 relative 21 to a no-crisis scenario, principally in sub- Southern Asia 14 Saharan Africa and Eastern and South-Eastern 10 1990 Asia. Moreover, the effects of the crisis are 2005 Southern Asia, excluding India likely to persist: poverty rates will be slightly 14 8 higher in 2015 and even beyond, to 2020, than CIS, Asia they would have been had the world economy 2 grown steadily at its pre-crisis pace. 5 South-Eastern Asia 11 The fastest growth and sharpest reductions 4 in poverty continue to be recorded in Eastern Eastern Asia Asia. Poverty rates in China are expected to 21 fall to around 5 per cent by 2015. India, too, 4 has contributed to the large reduction in global Latin America & the Caribbean 4 poverty. Measured at the $1.25 a day poverty 3 line, poverty rates there are expected to fall Western Asia from 51 per cent in 1990 to 24 per cent in 2015, 1 2 and the number of people living in extreme Northern Africa poverty will likely decrease by 188 million. All 1 developing regions except sub-Saharan Africa, 1 Western Asia and parts of Eastern Europe and Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe <0.1 Central Asia are expected to achieve the MDG 0.2 target. These shortfalls reflect slow growth CIS, Europe in sub-Saharan Africa in the 1990s and the 1 transition from planned to market economies 0.1 that saw poverty increase, albeit from very low Developing regions 16 levels, in some countries of Eastern Europe 8 and the former Soviet Union. 0 10 20 30 The lack of good quality surveys carried out at regular intervals and delays in reporting The poverty gap measures the shortfall in incomes of survey results continue to hamper the people living below the poverty line. While the international monitoring of poverty. Gaps are particularly poverty line is set at a level typical of very poor countries, acute in sub-Saharan Africa, where more many people live on even less than that amount. Economic than half of countries lack sufficient data growth and improvements in the distribution of income or to make comparisons over the full range of consumption reduce the depth of poverty. Since 1990, the the MDGs, and among small island states depth of poverty has decreased in all regions except Western in the Pacific and the Caribbean. Surveys Asia. In 2005, the average income of people living below deliver important information—not just in the the poverty line stood at $0.88. The depth of poverty was change in average income or consumption, greatest in sub-Saharan Africa, but has fallen since 1999 to but also in its distribution. This year’s poverty reach the level of Eastern Asia in 1990. estimates integrate 31 new household surveys. Combining these new surveys with last year’s growth forecast suggests a 0.5 percentage point decline (after taking into account the effect of the financial crisis) in the aggregate poverty headcount index in 2015—from 15.5 per cent to 15.0 per cent. Only with more timely data can accurate reports on progress towards the MDGs be provided. 7 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:7 6/15/2010 12:51:33 PM
  • 10. UNITED NATIONS Investments in disaster risk TARGET Achieve, full and productive employment and decent reduction can yield long-term work for all, including women and young people benefits, including progress on the MDGs Deterioration of the labour market, triggered by the economic crisis, has The risk of death or disability and economic loss resulting from natural resulted in a decline in employment disasters is increasing globally and is concentrated in poorer countries. Reducing such risk can have multiplier effects that Employment-to-population ratio, 1998, 2008 and can accelerate achievement of the MDGs. 2009 preliminary estimates The horrific loss of life from earthquakes Eastern Asia 74 in Haiti, Chile and China, and floods in 70 Brazil, underscore the need to make the 70 Oceania built environment more resilient in the face 66 1998 66 2008 of potential hazards—both seismic and 67 2009* climatic (or weather-related). South-Eastern Asia 66 66 Urbanization, climate change and 66 ecosystem degradation are increasing the Sub-Saharan Africa 64 toll of natural disasters, and countries least 65 65 able to reduce their risk are suffering the Latin America & the Caribbean most. An estimated 97 per cent of global 58 mortality risk from natural disasters is 61 60 faced by populations in low- and lower- CIS middle-income countries, which also 53 58 experience higher economic losses relative 57 to the size of their economies. From the Southern Asia 57 start of 2008 through March 2010, 470,000 56 55 people were reportedly killed as a result of Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe natural disasters; economic losses were 53 49 estimated to be more than $262 billion (not 48 including 2010). Small island developing Northern Africa states and landlocked developing countries 44 46 together constitute 60 per cent and 67 46 per cent, respectively, of the countries Western Asia 47 considered to have a high or very high 46 44 economic vulnerability to natural hazards. Developed regions 56 57 Experience from countries has shown 55 that investments in disaster risk reduction Developing regions produce long-term benefits—from reduced 63 62 future losses and avoided reconstruction 62 to co-benefits such as more robust 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 livelihoods, resilient communities, and * Data for 2009 are preliminary. protective and productive ecosystems. In Peru, incorporation of risk reduction into development has led to benefits that The bursting of the housing bubble in the United States in exceeded costs by as much as 37 times. 2007 and subsequent paralysis of the global financial system When China spent $3.15 billion on reducing became an economic and labour market crisis that plagued the impact of floods between 1960 and the world throughout 2009. The cascading crisis crippled 2000, it averted losses estimated at $12 economies, reduced enterprise capacities and forced millions billion. of people out of work. Many workers resorted to vulnerable forms of employment as the ranks of the working poor swell. 8 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:8 6/15/2010 12:51:33 PM
  • 11. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 As the crisis deepened, government As jobs were lost, more workers have stimulus measures began to curb the slide been forced into vulnerable employment in economic activity and lessen the impact of global job losses. The coordinated efforts of countries responding to the crisis have Proportion of own-account and contributing family been instrumental in averting even greater workers in total employment, 1998, 2008 and social and economic hardships. However, 2009 second scenario (Percentage) labour market conditions have continued to deteriorate in many countries and will likely Oceania 74 threaten much of the progress made over the 78 79 last decade towards decent work. Southern Asia 80 76 The economic deterioration resulted in a 77 sharp drop in employment-to-population Sub-Saharan Africa 82 ratios. In addition, labour productivity 75 77 declined in 2009. In most regions, the South-Eastern Asia decrease in gross domestic product was 63 1998 61 2008 even greater than the decline in employment, 61 2009* Eastern Asia resulting in diminishing output per worker. 62 Preliminary estimates indicate a negative 53 53 growth in output per worker in all regions CIS, Asia 47 except Northern Africa, Eastern Asia and 41 Southern Asia. The largest fall in output per 44 Northern Africa worker was in CIS countries in Europe, the 35 31 transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 34 and in Latin America and the Caribbean. Latin America & the Caribbean 35 Declining labour output contributes to poorer 31 32 working conditions, worsening the plight of Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe workers in regions where labour productivity 32 24 was already low before the economic crisis, 29 as in sub-Saharan Africa. Western Asia 39 27 28 CIS, Europe 8 9 10 Developed regions 11 10 11 Developing regions 65 59 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 *Forecasts for 2009 are based on the International Labour Organization’s second scenario. Details are available at mdgs.un.org The positive downward trend in vulnerable employment was interrupted by deteriorating conditions on the labour market following the financial crisis. For many wage and salaried workers who lost their jobs, as well as first-time job seekers who entered the labour market in the midst of the crisis, own- account and unpaid family work are options of last resort. Those engaged in ‘vulnerable employment’, defined as the sum of own-account workers and contributing family workers, are not typically bound by formal work arrangements. They are therefore more likely to lack benefits associated with decent employment, such as adequate social security 9 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:9 6/15/2010 12:51:34 PM
  • 12. UNITED NATIONS and recourse to effective mechanisms for Since the economic crisis, more workers social dialogue. Vulnerable employment is find themselves and their families living often characterized by inadequate earnings, low productivity and substandard working in extreme poverty conditions that undermine fundamental labour rights. Proportion of employed people living below Prior to the economic crisis, over three $1.25 a day, 1998, 2008 and 2009 second quarters of workers in Oceania, Southern scenario (Percentage) Asia and sub-Saharan Africa were without the Sub-Saharan Africa security that wage and salaried jobs could 67 58 provide. The crisis is likely to have further 64 increased the number of workers engaged Southern Asia 55 in vulnerable employment in these regions in 44 51 2009. The International Labour Organization Oceania (ILO) estimates* the global vulnerable 45 1998 46 2008 employment rate in 2009 to be between 49 50 2009* per cent and 53 per cent, which translates South-Eastern Asia into 1.5 billion to 1.6 billion people who are 45 23 working on their own or as unpaid family 28 workers worldwide. CIS, Asia 26 * Details are available at http://mdgs.un.org 19 21 Eastern Asia 52 11 13 Western Asia 8 8 12 Latin America & the Caribbean 13 7 8 Northern Africa 6 3 4 Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 1 0.4 0.6 CIS, Europe 4 0.1 0.2 Developing regions 48 26 31 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 *Data for 2009 are based on the ILO’s second scenario. Details are available at mdgs.un.org The ‘working poor’ are defined as those who are employed but live in households where individual members subsist on less than $1.25 a day. Most of these workers are engaged in jobs that lack the social protection and safety nets that guard against times of low economic demand, and they are often unable to generate sufficient savings to offset hard times. Since vulnerable employment is often characterized by low productivity work, and the global financial crisis has resulted in declining output per worker, working poverty is likely to have increased as well. The small decreases in the percentage of working poor in 2009 that would result from a 10 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:10 6/15/2010 12:51:34 PM
  • 13. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 continuation of historical trends (scenario 1) are therefore not likely to have materialized. TARGET Rather, it is estimated that an additional 3.6 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people per cent of the world’s workers were at risk who suffer from hunger of falling into poverty between 2008 and 2009 (scenario 2), an alarming increase and a setback of many years of steady progress. Hunger may have spiked in 2009, one of the many dire consequences of the global The largest negative impact is most likely to be seen in sub-Saharan Africa, Southern food and financial crises Asia, South-Eastern Asia and Oceania, where extreme poverty among the employed may have increased by four percentage points or Proportion of people who are undernourished in the more in the second scenario. These estimates developing regions (Percentage) and number of reflect the fact that, prior to the crisis, many undernourished people (Millions), 1990-1992, workers in these regions were only slightly 1995-1997, 2000-2002 and 2005-2007 above the poverty line. In the case of sub- 1500 25 Number of undernourished people Saharan Africa, the large majority of workers Percentage of undernourished people (63.5 per cent) were at risk of falling below the 1200 20 extreme poverty line in this scenario. Percentage 900 15 Millions 817 797 805 830 600 10 300 5 0 0 1990-1992 1995-1997 2000-2002 2005-2007 Since 1990, developing regions have made some progress towards the MDG target of halving the proportion of people suffering from hunger. The share of undernourished populations decreased from 20 per cent in 1990-1992 to 16 per cent in 2005-2007, the latest period with available data. However, progress has stalled since 2000-2002. Overall progress in reducing the prevalence of hunger has not been sufficient to reduce the number of undernourished people. In 2005-2007, the last period assessed, 830 million people were still undernourished, an increase from 817 million in 1990- 1992. Food prices spiked in 2008 and falling income due to the financial crisis further worsened the situation. The Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations estimates that the number of people who were undernourished in 2008 may be as high as 915 million and exceed 1 billion in 2009. 11 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:11 6/15/2010 12:51:34 PM
  • 14. UNITED NATIONS Progress to end hunger has Prices of staple foods remained high in 2009, after the initial been stymied in most regions food crisis of 2008. At the same time, the incomes of poor households diminished because of higher unemployment following the economic downturn. Both crises contributed to Proportion of undernourished population, a considerable reduction in the effective purchasing power of poor consumers, who spend a substantial share of their 1990-1992, 2000-2002 and 2005-2007 income on basic foodstuffs. (Percentage) Sub-Saharan Africa Though international food prices continued to decline in 31 30 the second half of 2008, consumer food price indexes rose. 26 International food prices have not yet stabilized and threats of Southern Asia, excluding India 26 new food crises loom. 23 23 Southern Asia 1990-92 Aggregate food availability globally was relatively good 21 2000-02 in 2008 and 2009, but higher food prices and reduced 20 2005-07 21 employment and incomes meant that the poor had less South-Eastern Asia 2015 Target 24 access to that food. 17 14 Oceania 12 16 13 Eastern Asia, excluding China 8 13 12 Eastern Asia 18 10 10 Latin America & the Caribbean 12 10 9 Western Asia 5 8 7 Northern Africa <5 <5 <5 Developing regions 20 16 16 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Before the onset of the food and financial crises, a number of regions were well on their way to halving, by 2015, the proportion of their population that were undernourished. South- Eastern Asia, which was already close to the target in 2005-2007 made additional progress, as did Latin America and the Caribbean and Eastern Asia. Progress in the latter region was largely due to reductions in hunger in China. The prevalence of hunger also declined in sub-Saharan Africa, although not at a pace that was sufficiently fast to compensate for population growth and to put the region on track to meet the MDG target. 12 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:12 6/15/2010 12:51:36 PM
  • 15. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 Despite some progress, one in Halving the prevalence of underweight children by 2015 four children in the developing (from a 1990 baseline) will require accelerated and concerted action to scale up interventions that effectively combat world are still underweight undernutrition. A number of simple and cost-effective interventions at key stages in a child’s life could go a long way in reducing undernutrition, such as breastfeeding within one Proportion of children under age five who hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the first six months are underweight, 1990 and 2008 of life, adequate complementary feeding and micronutrient (Percentage) supplementation between six and 24 months of age. Southern Asia 51 Undernutrition among children under five continues to be 46 widely prevalent, due to both a lack of food and lack of Sub-Saharan Africa quality food, inadequate water, sanitation and health services 31 1990 as well as less than optimal caring and feeding practices. 27 2008 Until improvements are made in all these areas, progress will South-Eastern Asia 37 be limited. In Southern Asia, for example, feeding practices 25 are often poor and shortages of quality food are common. Western Asia But in addition, nearly two thirds of the population are without 14 improved sanitation and nearly half practise open defecation, 14 resulting in repeated episodes of diarrheal diseases in Eastern Asia 17 children. Moreover, more than 25 per cent of infants are 7 underweight at birth. Many of these children are never able Northern Africa to catch up in terms of their nutritional status. All of these 11 factors have made underweight prevalence in Southern 7 Asia—at 46 per cent—the highest in the world. Latin America & the Caribbean 11 6 Developing regions 31 26 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Note: Prevalence of underweight children is estimated based on the NCHS/WHO/CDC reference population. The United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) is in the process of converting its entire child undernutrition database according to the new World Health Organization (WHO) Child Growth Standards. From 1990 to 2008, the proportion of children under five in the developing regions who are underweight declined from 31 per cent to 26 per cent. Progress in reducing underweight prevalence among children has been made in all regions except Western Asia. Eastern Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and CIS countries in Asia have reached or nearly reached the MDG target, and South-Eastern Asia and Northern Africa are on track. Progress is being made, but not fast enough to reach the MDG target. Data are not yet available to fully understand the impact of the food and financial crises on underweight prevalence, but the achievement of the MDG target may be further threatened by them. 13 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:13 6/15/2010 12:51:38 PM
  • 16. UNITED NATIONS Children in rural areas are In some regions, the prevalence of nearly twice as likely to be underweight children is dramatically underweight as those in urban higher among the poor areas Proportion of under-five children who are underweight, Ratio between the proportion of under-five by household wealth, around 2008 (Percentage) children who are underweight in rural 70 areas and urban areas, 1990 and 2008 Southern Asia Developing regions Southern Asia 60 1.3 Sub-Saharan Africa 1.4 Northern Africa Around 1990 South-Eastern Asia CIS, Asia 1.4 Around 2008 50 1.2 Parity Sub-Saharan Africa 1.5 40 1.4 Northern Africa 1.7 1.5 30 Latin America & the Caribbean 2.0 2.4 20 Western Asia 2.1 2.5 Eastern Asia 10 2.1 4.8 Developing regions 1.7 0 1.9 Poorest 20% Poorer 20% Middle 20% Richer 20% Richest 20% 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Rural children disadvantaged Across the developing world, children from the poorest households are twice as likely to be underweight as children from the richest households. The disparity is most dramatic In all developing regions, children in rural in regions with a high prevalence of underweight children. areas are more likely to be underweight than This is the situation in Southern Asia, where as many as 60 children living in cities and towns. In parts of per cent of children in the poorest families are underweight, Asia and in Latin America and the Caribbean, compared to about 25 per cent in the richest households. the relative disparity actually increased between 1990 and 2008. In Eastern Asia, there was a striking increase in the rural/ urban ratio (from 2.1 to 4.8), indicating that, in 2008, children in rural areas were almost five times as likely to be underweight as children in urban areas. This region, however, has already achieved the target—in both rural and urban areas—of halving the 1990 underweight prevalence: only 2 per cent of children in urban areas are underweight, versus 9 per cent of rural children. South-Eastern Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and Northern Africa have succeeded in reducing child malnutrition more rapidly in rural areas and in narrowing the gap with the urban population, demonstrating that more equitable progress is indeed possible. 14 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:14 6/15/2010 12:51:39 PM
  • 17. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 Over 42 million people have been uprooted by conflict or persecution Number of refugees and internally displaced persons, 2000-2009 (Millions) 40 16.0 15.2 16.0 15.2 14.6 13.7 13.8 14.3 30 15.9 13.0 20 25.3 26.0 26.0 27.1 25.0 25.0 24.6 23.7 24.4 10 21.2 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Internally displaced persons Refugees Conflicts are a major threat to human security and to hard-won MDG gains. Years after a conflict has ended, large populations of refugees remain in camps with limited employment and education opportunities and inadequate health services. Not surprisingly, refugees often become dependent on subsistence-level assistance and lead lives of poverty and unrealized potential. More than 42 million people are currently displaced by conflict or persecution. Of these, 15.2 million are refugees (residing outside their countries of origin) and 27.1 million people have been uprooted but remain within the borders of their own countries. Developing countries hosted four fifths of the global refugee population in 2009. They included 10.4 million people who fall under the aegis of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and 4.8 million Palestinian refugees, who are the responsibility of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA). The number of refugees has remained relatively stable over the past two years—about 15 million—in part because of the lack of durable solutions. In 2009, some 250,000 refugees were able to return to their homes voluntarily, the lowest level in 20 years. Afghans and Iraqis continue to be the largest refugee populations under the UNHCR mandate, totalling 2.9 million and 1.8 million people, respectively, at the end of 2009. Together they account for nearly half of all refugees under UNHCR care. 15 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:15 6/15/2010 12:51:40 PM
  • 18. UNITED NATIONS TARGET Goal 2 Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Achieve Hope dims for universal education by 2015, even as many poor countries make universal tremendous strides primary Adjusted net enrolment ratio in primary education,* education 1998/1999 and 2007/2008 (Percentage) Sub-Saharan Africa 58 1999 76 2008 CIS, Europe 89 93 Western Asia 83 88 Southern Asia 79 90 CIS, Asia 95 94 Northern Africa 86 94 South-Eastern Asia 93 95 Latin America & the Caribbean 94 95 Eastern Asia 95 96 Developing regions 82 89 Developed regions 97 96 World 84 90 0 20 40 60 80 100 * Defined as the number of pupils of the theoretical school age for primary education enrolled in either primary or secondary school, expressed as a percentage of the total population in that age group. Note: Data for Oceania are not available. Enrolment in primary education has continued to rise, reaching 89 per cent in the developing world. But the pace of progress is insufficient to ensure that, by 2015, all girls and boys complete a full course of primary schooling. 16 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:16 6/15/2010 12:51:41 PM
  • 19. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS REPORT 2010 To achieve the goal by the target date, all Sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia children at the official entry age for primary are home to the vast majority of children school would have had to be attending classes by 2009 or so, depending on the out of school duration of the primary level and how well schools retain pupils to the end of the Distribution of out-of-school children by region, cycle. But in half of the sub-Saharan African 1999 and 2008 (Percentage) countries with available data, at least one in 100 four children of primary-school age were out Sub-Saharan Africa of school in 2008. Southern Asia Eastern Asia South-Eastern Asia To meet the goal, countries will also need to 80 Latin America ensure that there are enough teachers and & the Caribbean classrooms to meet the demand. Between Western Asia now and 2015, the number of new teachers Developed regions needed in sub-Saharan Africa alone equals CIS the current teaching force in the region. 60 43 Northern Africa 46 Rest of the world Despite these challenges, a good deal has been accomplished in many regions. Though enrolment in sub-Saharan Africa remains the 40 lowest of all regions, it still increased by 18 percentage points—from 58 per cent to 76 27 per cent—between 1999 and 2008. Progress 34 6 was also made in Southern Asia and Northern 20 6 5 Africa, where enrolment increased by 11 and 8 4 4 percentage points, respectively, over the last 3 4 4 4 decade. 2 1 2 3 2 0 0.7 0.2 1999 2008 Major advances have been made even in some of the poorest countries, most of them in sub-Saharan Africa. The abolition of primary school fees in Burundi resulted Even as the number of school-age children continues to rise, in a threefold increase in primary-school the total number of children out of school is decreasing—from enrolment since 1999, reaching 99 per cent 106 million in 1999 to 69 million in 2008. Almost half of these in 2008. Similarly, the United Republic of children (31 million) are in sub-Saharan Africa, and more than Tanzania doubled its enrolment ratio over a quarter (18 million) are in Southern Asia. the same period. Guatemala, Nicaragua and Zambia also broke through the 90 per cent The gender gap in the out-of-school population has also threshold towards greater access to primary narrowed: the share of girls in this group decreased from 57 education. per cent to 53 per cent globally between 1999 and 2008. In some regions, however, the share is much larger; in Northern Getting children into school is a vital first step. Africa, 66 per cent of out-of-school children are girls. But to receive the full benefits of education, they must continue to attend classes. In half the countries in sub-Saharan Africa with available data, more than 30 per cent of primary-school students drop out before reaching the final grade. 17 MDG Report 2010 En 20100604 r14 Final.indd Sec2:17 6/15/2010 12:51:42 PM