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Ukrainian League of Industrialists and
Entrepreneurs - ULIE
€
November 14, 2016
Ukraine: open for business
About ULIE
Established in 1992
The biggest business association in
Ukraine - our members produce 80%
of the country’s GDP
Members: sectorial associations,
regional business organizations, major
national enterprises and SMEs
(13,000)
In Ukraine: 28 regional offices, 73
subsidiaries, 22 representative offices
and 34 sectorial commissions
Globally: offices in 22 countries,
including Representative Office in the
EU (in Brussels since 2015)
2
ULIE key priorities in the EU
3
Trade and investment: build viable B2B platform for the Ukrainian and
the European entrepreneurs
Policy and lobbying: represent the Ukrainian private sector with the
EU institutions and at the member-state level
PR: promote Ukraine as a reliable business partner and attractive
investment destination
4
Ukraine: geography
The largest country within Europe
Gateway to key markets of the
region: Europe, CIS, Asia, Middle
East
Multiple logistic solutions: max 2
truck days to EU border, developed
railways system, major seaports
Full energy mix: fossil fuels,
nuclear, renewables
40m+ consumer market
5
Ukraine: FTA agreements
EU (28 member-states, in force)
EFTA (CHE, ISL, NOR, LIE, in force)
CIS (in force, except Russia)
Montenegro (in force)
Canada (ratification)
Turkey (negotiations)
Israel (negotiations)
PAN-EURO-MED (42
countries, analisys)
Source:	Ministry	of	Economic	Development	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	2016	data
6
EU-Ukraine DCFTA
97% of duties abolished
Reduction of an average tariff on the Ukrainian exports from 7,6% to
0,5%
Trade liberalization for goods and services
Opening of public procurement market
Legislative approximation and economic integration with the EU
EU GSP to be applied for the Ukrainian goods until 2018
EUR.1 Certificate to be provided for free by the State Fiscal Service
of Ukraine - 38 000 certificates issued in Jan-Sep 2016
Source:	Ministry	of	Economic	Development	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	November	2016	data
7
Ukraine on the New Silk Road
8
Ukraine: GDP dynamics
GDPgrowth%
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
2
-9.9-6.8
00.2
5.2
4.1
-14.8
2.1
7.9
Source:	Ministry	of	Economic	Development	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	2016	data
9
Ukraine: GDP dynamics
Events behind Ukraine’s GDP fluctuations:
2009: Ukraine hit by the global financial crisis 2008
2012-2013: flat GDP growth as economy stifled by ineffective
governance system and continuous slide of global commodity prices
2014 - ‘Ideal Storm’: the Revolution of Dignity, annexation of Crimea,
war on Donbas, wiped-out sate budget, further decline of commodity
prices
2015: global trade demonstrated the sharpest contraction since
2009, which again affected commodity prices critical for the
Ukrainian economy: iron ore -45,6%, black metal roll -15,4% and
fertilisers -9,6%
	©Sources:		Netherlands	Bureau	for	Economic	Policy	Analysis,	CPB	World	Trade	Monitor
10
Ukraine: GDP dynamics
Events behind Ukraine’s GDP fluctuations:
Before 2014 Donbas accounted for 15% of GDP, 25% of export and
18% of industrial output
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economic	Development	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	DW,	Segodnya	newspaper
11
Ukraine: macroeconomics
Public finance deficit down from 10,1% in 2014 to 2,1% in 2015
$18bn of sovereign debt restructured
FDI growth from $-0,5bn in 2014 to $3,1bn in 2015
IMF 4-year EFF worth $17,5bn: $5bn forwarded in March 2015,
$1,7bn - August 2015, third tranche approved in Q3 2016
EU macro-financial assistance: €2,2bn approved in 2014 and
€1,6bn approved in 2015, €600m dispatched
EU grant to private sector development in Ukraine: around €260m
which is expected to generate €2-3bn of loans (credit lines opened
with EBRD and EIB)
IFIs, EFIs and EDFIs in Ukraine: IMF, WB/IFC, EIB, EBRD, KfW/DEG,
FMO, IFU. Also investment insurance mechanisms: MIGA, OPIC
Source:	Ministry	of	Economic	Development	and	Trade	of	Ukraine
12
Ukraine: trade geography
Ukraine’s top 10 trade partners in 2015, USD billion:
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economy	and	Trade	of	Ukraine
13
Ukraine: export geography
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economy	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	June	2016
Ukraine’s top 6 export destinations, as of Q2 2016, %:
14
Ukraine: export structure
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economy	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	June	2016
Metallurgy
Agro/food
Machinery/Equipment
Ukraine’s top 3 export categories, as of Q2 2016, %:
15
Ukraine: export to the EU
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Agrarian	Policy	and	Food	of	Ukraine,	October	2016
Increase in export quotas to the EU preliminary approved by the
Commission until 2020, thousand tonnes:
16
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Agrarian	Policy	and	Food	of	Ukraine,	October	2016
Main importers of agricultural and food products from Ukraine in the EU:
33,9%
EU share in
Ukraine’s
agro/food exports
3,1%
UK 14,6%
Netherlands
2,1%
Belgium
8,8%
France
16,6%
Spain
9,8%
Portugal
12,6%
Poland
9,4%
Germany
2,2%
Hungary
13,5%
Italy
2,4%
Romania
2,2%
Greece
Ukraine: export to the EU
17
Ukraine: import geography
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economy	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	June	2016
Top 6 importers to Ukraine, as of Q2 2016, %:
18
Ukraine: import structure
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economy	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	June	2016
Metallurgy
Chemical products
Mineral products
Ukraine’s top 3 import categories, as of Q2 2016, %:
19
Ukraine: cost efficiency
©Sources:	ULIE,	2016
Average hourly wages in manufacturing, USD:
20
Ukraine: cost efficiency
©Sources:	Ministry	of	Economy	and	Trade	of	Ukraine,	June	2016
Natural gas and electricity cost:
Country	 Natural	gas,	EUR/1000	m3	
Poland	 366	
Slovakia	 369	
Belarus	 165	
Romania	 317	
Hungary	 381	
Ukraine	 268	
Country	 Electricity,		EUR/kWh	
Poland	 0,08	
Slovakia	 0,11	
Belarus	 0,09	
Romania	 0,08	
Hungary	 0,08	
Ukraine	 0,05	
Natural	gas	
Electricity
2012 							2013 													2014																		2015	
21
Ukraine’s ranking rise in Ease of Doing Business:
Ukraine: open for business
open4business.com.ua
Fully in English
Daily economic news on Ukraine: trade statistics, market data, sectors
overview, M&As, corporate news, regulatory framework review and
analysis
Free biweekly e-digest in HTML and PDF
22
Ukraine: open for business
open4business.com.ua
23
Ukraine: open for business
open4business.com.ua
24
Ukraine: open for business
open4business.com.ua
25
Ukraine: open for business
Nicholas Tymoshchuk
Director
Avenue de Cortenbergh 168, 3rd F/L
B-1000 Brussels, Belgium
T: +32 2 736 72 13
F: +32 2 735 16 01
brussels@uspp.org.ua
uspp.ua/en
ULIE Representative Office in the EU

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