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Exploring the top European corporate treasury

decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                 ANTONIO SANCHEZ




         MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
                   DISSERTATION




                       2008
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                              UNIVERSITY OF LONDON



                        - The School of Management and Organizational Psychology -




                           MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
                                                - DISSERTATION -




     Exploring the top European corporate treasury
     decisions on short-term investment alternatives.



MBA Candidate - Dissertation Author: Antonio Sanchez
Student ID: 079089849
Module Code: ITG M02
Program: University of London and University of Sunderland - MBA 2008
Approximate Word Count: 21, 201




                                               London, United Kingdom
                                                    September, 2008




                                                           -2-
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                                “The rational man adapts himself to the world; the irrational man persists in trying

                                to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all progress depends on the irrational

                                man” George Bernard Shaw




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                                   UNIVERSITY OF LONDON - BUSINESS SCHOOL


                                          DISSERTATION DECLARATION. MBA




                                        Statement of Originality and Authenticity

          I confirm that the dissertation I am submitting is an original and authentic piece of work
          written by myself that satisfies the University rules and regulations with respect to
          Plagiarism and Collusion. I further confirm that I have fully referenced and acknowledged
          all material incorporated as secondary resources in accordance with the Harvard system.


          I also certify that I have taken a copy of the dissertation, which I will retain until after the
          Board of Examiners has published the results, and which I will make available on request
          in pursuance of any appropriate aspect of the marking and moderation of the work within
          the University Regulations.




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          Signed ………………………………..


          Please note that Dissertations will not be assessed without the inclusion of this
          declaration by the student.




          Supervisors Signature: …………………………………. Date: ……………………………




                                                           -4-
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Abstract


                     Globally funds available to corporate treasurers have increased vastly over the

                     past two decades as one of the most obvious trends in decisions made by the top

                     UK corporate treasurers has been an increased investment in money market

                     funds as there has been a rapid increase in sums allocated to these short term

                     investments in Europe and the UK. Indeed by far the largest percentage of

                     pooled investments in the UK is allocated to money market funds according to

                     the latest JPMorgan Global Cash Management Survey


                     There are a number of potential reasons for this increase in investments in

                     money market funds. One answer is that money market funds provide the best

                     possible yield of any short term investment and indeed according to Ellerback

                     (2003) “when it comes to cash balances with a time horizon of less than three

                     months, there is little to rival money market funds”.


                     In addition to this, one of the most important recent pieces of legislation in the

                     field of corporate treasury has been Basel II. The Basel Accords are a set of

                     agreements, providing recommendations with regards to banking regulations with

                     regards to capital, market and operational risk. These new set of regulations

                     have definitely favoured these kind of low risk and competitive yield investments

                     for UK corporate treasury.



                     Basel II along with the Capital Requirements Directive and the Markets in

                     Financial Instruments Directive new legislations are and will make investments in

                     money market funds considerably more appealing taking in account that the

                     amount of investment in money market funds in the US is considerably greater

                     than in the UK and thus it is the case that there is large room for growth in money

                     market funds in the UK.



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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     However not all money market funds have been successful, partly due to the fact

                     there are funds which are not completely free of risk, despite a Triple A rating.

                     Therefore a lesson of the sub prime mortgage crisis is that still some money

                     market funds may offer risk which treasurers should avoid. In fact one of the

                     more striking trends in recent decisions made by UK corporate treasurers with

                     regards to short term investments has been the continuing increase in

                     investments in money market funds, despite the current economic climate.

                     Indeed the Institutional Money Market Fund Association reported in May 2008

                     that funds under management in Europe rose to new levels to over £317 billion,

                     an increase of 35% over the last year (http://www.immfa.org).


                     This is perhaps especially true in light of the subprime mortgage crisis, since

                     liquidity issues may encourage cash managers to avoid making riskier

                     investments. However, Poole (2008) warns corporate treasurers of the risks of

                     money market funds, and that simply because it has a Triple A rating it does not

                     follow that it is immune from risk.


                     Finally there appears to be two separate trends in the financial decision making

                     of corporate treasurers in light of the recent liquidity issues in the banking sector.

                     One is the increased investment in money market funds occurred due to the

                     liquidity and security that such investments provide. However it is not the case

                     that investment has increased in all money market instruments. Indeed it seems

                     to be the case that the asset backed commercial paper market has suffered, with

                     those issuing such papers not matching investor’s demands. This has resulted in

                     decreased investment in asset backed commercial paper and it appears to be the

                     case that corporate treasurers did not originally realise the risk involved with

                     investing in this market which could have indeed exacerbated the latest credit

                     crisis.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Table of Contents


                     Abstract ……………………………………………………………… Page 5


                     Chapter 1: Introduction & Summary
                     -    1.1 Introduction to Dissertation .….….………………………… Page 9
                     -    1.2 Aims and Objectives ...…………………………………….. Page 12
                     -    1.3 Chapter Summary……………………………………………Page 12


                     Chapter 2: Literature Review
                     -    2.1 Short Term financial decision making …………………….. Page 14
                     -    2.2 Attainment of Objectives ……………………………………. Page 28
                     -    2.3 Summary and Conclusion….……………………………….. Page 29


                     Chapter 3: Methodology
                     -    3.1 Personal Development Review ……………………………. Page 31
                     -    3.2 Introduction to Research …………………………………… Page 33
                     -    3.3 Data Collection Methods & Sampling .………………….… Page 34
                     -    3.4 Analysis of Data ………………….………………………….. Page 39


                     Chapter 4: Background
                     -    4.1 Industry Background......................................................... Page 41


                     Chapter 5: Findings & Discussion
                     -    5.1 Introduction to Findings………………………………………Page 44
                     -    5.2 Key Findings on Primary Research ……………………….. Page 44
                     -    5.3 Key Findings on Documentary Analysis ………………….. Page 57
                     -    5.4 Description and Discussion……………………………….…Page 63


                     Chapter 6: Conclusions
                     -    6.1 Dissertation Conclusions…………………………………… Page 66
                     -    6.2 Future and Recommendations…………………………….. Page 68


                     References & Bibliography…………………………………….. Page 70
                     Appendices……………………………………………….…… Page 72



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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Table of Figures



                     Figure 1. Calculation of the regulatory capital before Basel II...... Page 21


                     Figure 2. Credit rating and risk weighting criteria….………......... Page 21


                     Figure 3. Project development and task time scales.................... Page 39


                     Figure 4. European money market fund growth chart…………….Page 57


                     Figure 5. Variety of pooled investments used by location………..Page 58


                     Figure 6. Criteria for investment instrument selection...................Page 60


                     Figure 7. Criteria for rejection of pooled investments………… …Page 61


                     Figure 8. Growth in money market fund investments - 2007…….Page 63




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Chapter 1: Introduction & Summary



                     1.1        INTRODUCTION


                     This dissertation will revolve around short term investment alternatives available

                     to UK corporate treasurers, and will discuss and analyse the decisions made by

                     treasury management with regards to these options. Treasury in a company is

                     responsible for ensuring that there is the necessary cash and liquidity available to

                     meet the company’s requirements. In particular treasury gives advice on

                     businesses to be invested in, organises funding for such investments and

                     manages risk within an organisation.


                     UK corporate treasurers have a range of potential options in which to make short

                     term investments. Globally funds available to corporate treasurers have

                     increased vastly over the past two decades, with the cash on Standard and

                     Poor’s company balance sheet growing six fold between 1996 and 2006 (Cited in

                     Ellerbeck, 2008), rising to £600 billion. With these considerable surplus funds it is

                     important to understand the trends that underlie the industry, which can aid

                     analysis of decisions corporate treasurers have made and can inform future

                     investments and risk management.


                     The types of investments made by UK corporate treasurers can broadly be

                     divided into two categories, namely bank deposits and pooled investments. A

                     pooled investment is one which involves a variety of investors placing their

                     placing money in a fund in order to make investments. A third category of

                     investment, direct investments, consisted of only 2% of investments made by

                     corporate treasurers in the UK in 2007 (JP Morgan Global Cash Management

                     Survey 2007), and for this reason will be largely ignored in what follows.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     By far the largest percentage of pooled investments in the UK is allocated to

                     money market funds (71% in 2007, JP Morgan Global Cash Management Survey

                     2007). A money market fund is intended to provide short term, low risk

                     investments which provides easily accessible cash funds. The fact that money

                     market paper can be bought or sold at any time, and that yields provided are

                     generally seen to be competitive and secure encourage investment in them.


                     These funds pool their resources in order to obtain money market securities. The

                     money market involves borrowing and lending periods which are generally a year

                     or less (Cook and Laroche, 1993)


                     There are a variety of money market securities issued by governmental

                     departments, financial institutions and also by large corporations. There are a

                     range of possible securities in which investments can be made. The most

                     prevalent possible money market instruments which can be used for investment

                     are as follows:


                          Commercial paper – A short-term unsecured promissory note issued by

                          companies and by governments. Maturity can occur any time from the day

                          after being issued to 270 days after issuance. (Hahn, 1993)

                          Asset-backed commercial paper – Commercial paper issued by a company

                          backed with assets, which are usually some form of receivable. (Hahn, 1993)

                          Certificates of Deposit (Time Deposit) – Fixed term bank deposits, which

                          normally pay a fixed amount upon maturity. (Morris and Walter in Cook and

                          Laroche 1993)

                          Government paper (also known as treasury bills) - Short term securities

                          issued by governments, sold at auctions to finance governmental deficits

                          (Cook and Laroche 1993)




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                          Repurchase agreements – “A type of transaction in which a money market

                          participant acquires immediately available funds by selling securities and

                          simultaneously agreeing to the same or similar securities after a specified

                          time at a specific price” (Lumpkin in Cook and Laroche, 1993 p59)

                          Floating rate notes - Notes with variable interest rates, which also offer a

                          return of their face value at maturity. They are issued by banks and

                          corporations.


                     The importance of money market funds for corporate treasurers and the fact that

                     such a large percentage of pooled investments in the UK are allocated to this

                     instrument are central factors in my focusing on them in this dissertation.


                     A further motivation comes from my work in the asset management division of

                     the ICAP plc Group, through which I have seen the importance of short term

                     investments in ensuring sufficient liquidity in running a company’s everyday

                     operations.


                     Short term investments are also of particular interest due to the notable changes

                     in decisions made by corporate treasurers. This includes the general trend

                     towards allocating funds to pooled investments, and I will discuss the extent to

                     which this is the result of the appeal of low risk funds, as opposed to decreasing

                     quality of bank deposits. In the shorter term other factors have altered general

                     trends, notably the introduction of Basel II and recent liquidity issues in the global

                     banking system, as a result of the subprime mortgage crisis.


                     I will discuss the extent to which these features have determined recent decision

                     making by corporate treasurers and the extent to which these decisions have

                     been successful. This will be used to assist analysis of the potential future trends

                     in short term investments by corporate treasurers.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     1.2        AIMS & OBJECTIVES


                     The aim of this project is to explore and analyse decisions made by FTSE 100

                     firms with regards to short term investments, focused in particular on money

                     market funds and the money market securities which can be invested in. I will

                     attempt to provide reasons for and analyse the success of general and short term

                     trends in investments. I will also look to discuss the circumstances under which

                     certain securities are appealing investments, and use this to assist the analysis of

                     the decisions made by corporate treasurers.


                     With these aims in mind I have established a range of objectives:


                                To understand the alternatives available to corporate treasurers, and the

                                circumstances and economic climates in which an alternative is

                                preferable to another, and how these factors have determined decisions

                                made by UK corporate treasurers.

                                Be able to point to future trends in short-term investments and how these

                                trends could and will affect further treasury decision making.

                                Be able to appreciate the role of cash managers or corporate treasures

                                in a company and to understand their role in guaranteeing that there is

                                sufficient cash to ensure the successful operation of the company.




                     1.3        CHAPTER SUMMARY


                     In the next chapter I will conduct a literature review, focussed on the reasons that

                     decisions might be made by corporate treasurers. I will highlight the general trend

                     towards increased short term investment in the money markets by UK treasury

                     departments, and will also assess the reasons that certain money market

                     securities are seen as preferable to others.



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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     I will also discuss views on the relative importance of Basel II in making recent

                     corporate treasury decisions and assess the extent to which corporate treasurers

                     did not take sufficient account of risk in light of recent liquidity problems facing

                     companies listed in the FTSE 100 index.




                     Chapter 3 will involve outlining my methodology in conducting the research. This

                     will be followed by an outline of the industry background against which the

                     research can be assessed. I will start this chapter by discussing my personal

                     development review and following; I will outline the data collection methods and

                     will also present the primary research design and secondary research sources.




                     Chapter 4 will involve a brief outline of the industry background and the key roles

                     involved in the industry such as cash managers and indeed discussing briefly the

                     background and responsibilities of a treasurer in an organisation.




                     On chapter 5 I will present and analyse my findings, attempting to relate this to

                     the views and academic thinking presented in the literature review. On this

                     section I will outline the key findings for both the primary and secondary

                     investigation.




                     On the final chapter of this dissertation I will conclude on the trends discovered in

                     my research, and will point to potential future trends and suggest which decisions

                     that should be taken by corporate treasurers.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Chapter 2: Literature Review



                     2.1        SHORT TERM FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING


                     The literature review will be conducted as follows. At first I will discuss the longer

                     term trends in decisions made by corporate treasurers with regards to short term

                     investment alternatives and decision making. This will be focused on the increase

                     in investment in money markets and will discuss trends in investments in certain

                     money market securities. In particular I will highlight the increased commercial

                     paper market, and also the more recent increased investment in asset backed

                     commercial paper and floating rate notes. I will then proceed to investigate two

                     more recent circumstances which may have affected corporate treasurer’s

                     decision making, Basel II and recent liquidity problems following the subprime

                     mortgage crisis.


                     The increase in investments in money market funds


                     One of the more notable general trends in short term investments has been the

                     rapid increase in sums allocated to money market funds. One way to illustrate

                     this would be to point to the fact that European offshore funds have grown from

                     US$70 billion in 2000 to US$496 billion dollars in 2007 (Offshore Money Fund

                     Report™ May 2007, see http://www.immfa.org). The trend is also highlighted by

                     pointing out that European money market assets increased from US$7 billion in

                     1997 to US$153 billion in 2003 (Moneyfund Vision 1998 and ICI statistical

                     release as of 27/03/2003, cited in Ellerbeck 2003). There are a number of

                     potential reasons for this increase in investment. One possible answer is that

                     money market funds provide the best possible yield of any short term investment.


                     Indeed Ellerback (2003) has claimed that when it “comes to cash balances with a

                     time horizon of less than three months, there is little to rival money market funds.”


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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Clearly assessing the potential yield is an important process when a corporate

                     treasurer is deciding whether to make a certain short term investment. This is

                     highlighted by the fact that yield was perceived in the JP Morgan Global Cash

                     Management Survey as the second most important factor in determining which

                     AAA-rated money market fund a corporate treasurer or cash manager chooses to

                     invest in (JP Morgan Global Cash Survey 2007, p17).


                     Note that money market instruments are rated by firms such as Standard and

                     Poor’s or Moody, with a AAA rating requiring the average weighted maturity of

                     instruments not to exceed 60 days (Ellerback 2003). The fact that money market

                     allows corporate treasurers to pool investments means that a greater range of

                     instruments can be invested in, and those with the highest potential yields can be

                     added to the portfolio.


                     It is perhaps not surprising that yield should be seen as such an important factor

                     in encouraging investment in money market funds. The yield that such returns

                     provide are undoubtedly essential to providing the cash needed for the

                     successful running of a company, and Pike and Neale have described such cash

                     as “the lifeblood of the business” (2006, p7). High yields enable corporate

                     treasurers to be able to optimise liquidity, which allows the treasurer to mobilise

                     funds as necessary.


                     Yet yield is not the only determining factor in the increased investment in money

                     market mutual funds. Cook and Laroche (1993, p1) call attention to the fact that

                     money market instruments are “characterised by a high degree of safety of

                     principal.” It is this security provided by money market mutual funds which is

                     essential to its appeal to corporate treasurers. Indeed Ellerback (2003) claims

                     that “security within a fund is also enhanced through robust credit research

                     ability, efficient administration and custody.”




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Mackenzie (2000) highlights the fact that money market funds are frequently

                     assigned a Triple A rating, whereas banks in Europe often only achieve a rating

                     of AA. The large sums of cash involved in money market funds allow investors

                     the opportunity in diversifying into a number of money market instruments, which

                     should increase the security of these investments.


                     It is difficult to emphasise one factor over the other. In fact it is likely to be the

                     case that it is a combination of the two aspects of a money market mutual fund

                     that have made them such appealing investments for UK corporate treasurers.

                     This is the view of Mackenzie (2000), who claims that the appeal of money

                     market mutual funds derives from the fact that they offer “a better mixture of

                     security and return than a bank may be able to offer, but without compromising

                     liquidity.”


                     Trends in investment in differing money market instruments and reasons

                     for investment in differing money market securities


                     In exploring the UK corporate treasurer’s choices of short term investments it is

                     important to understand the variety of potential money market instruments that

                     can be invested in. It may be the case that investments in money market funds

                     increase, and yet the portfolio of such instruments change. For instance money

                     market funds with a higher percentage of assets in bank deposits may become

                     more attractive, whilst funds with a high proportion of assets in commercial paper

                     are less appealing. In this section I will discuss trends in investments in certain

                     money market instruments.



                     The largest percentage of short term investments made by UK corporate

                     treasurers is in bank deposits.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     This involves the market arranging a deposit for some period of time, allowing a

                     bank which is short of funds to borrow funds in from a bank which has a surplus

                     amount of funds. These have continued to be attractive, along with certificates of

                     deposit, which have been issued by banks since 1968. Ellerbeck (2008) argues

                     that since certificates of deposits are issued by both banks and building societies,

                     they can appear more secure than commercial paper, which might well be issued

                     by a company which comes under less regulatory scrutiny.



                     However since the late 1980s the removal of regulatory barriers allowed

                     participants to deal with each other using financial institutions such as banks as

                     traders (as opposed to deposit traders). This along with the decline in quality of

                     banks’ credit has led to it being possible for reputable companies to obtain

                     cheaper finance in capital markets. Because of this there has been a vast

                     increase in the amount of commercial paper issued. Commercial paper is a

                     promissory note that must mature in less than 270 days, with the majority of

                     paper issued maturing in less than 40 days. The investor will purchase notes at

                     less than the face value and receive the face value on maturity. Hahn (1993) has

                     highlighted the importance of high interest rates and security of commercial

                     paper in encouraging the growth of the commercial paper market in the US in the

                     latter part of the last century.



                     The commercial paper market in the US experienced rapid growth, with the

                     amount of commercial paper outstanding increasing from US$47.7 billion to

                     US$528.1 billion. Commercial paper became a more significant part of money

                     market fund assets, having been 11% in 1975 to 42% in 1991 (Board of

                     Governors of the Federal Reserve System, cited in Hahn 1993).




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     This growth was not immediately mirrored in Europe, with growth not appearing

                     until the late 1980s (a German commercial paper market only appeared in 1991).

                     Nonetheless the commercial paper market has responded in Europe. The growth

                     has continued into this decade, with the European commercial paper market

                     growing by 68% in the two year period ending in June 2003 (Euroclear, cited in

                     Bedford 2003). The reasons emphasised by Hahn are undoubtedly important

                     factors in encouraging growth in Europe. Bedford (2003) agrees with Hahn,

                     claiming that investor’s interest in commercial paper is driven by “appetite for

                     fairly priced, good quality paper.” Ellerbeck (2008) also argues that one of the

                     major advantages of investing in commercial paper is the fact that the markets

                     are highly developed in Europe and in the US, which allows for geographic

                     diversification.



                     More recently there has been UK corporate treasurers have increasingly invested

                     in money market funds with a larger percentage of asset backed commercial

                     paper constituting their portfolio mix.                The risk of commercial paper is tied

                     exclusively to the issuing firms commercial and operational risk, whereas “with

                     asset backed commercial paper the paper's risk is instead tied directly to the

                     creditworthiness of specific financial assets” (Hahn in Cook and Laroche 1993,

                     p121). Ellerbeck (2008) argues that these instruments offer more security than

                     standard commercial paper, being protected by a form of credit enhancement.

                     This advantage of asset backed commercial paper can be added to the

                     advantages of commercial paper mentioned above, namely the flexibility and

                     liquidity of these money market instruments. Note however that asset backed

                     commercial paper have a more complex structure, and which in times of liquidity

                     uncertainty may mean that the amount of investment in asset backed commercial

                     paper may decrease.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     It is also worth noting that asset backed commercial paper has some distinct

                     advantages over other money market instruments which corporate treasurers

                     may choose to invest in. Negotiating repurchase agreements will incur costs, and

                     require considerable work to obtain a fair price. Ellerbeck (2008) points out that

                     Floating Rate Notes take over a year to mature (and thus do not provide the

                     same flexibility as asset backed commercial paper), and also require

                     considerable minimum denominations in order for a corporate treasurer to make

                     an investment. Despite this it is worth noting that growth may occur in these

                     money market securities also. This is particularly true of repurchase agreements,

                     where the pre-budget report of 2007 attempted to simplify the corporation tax

                     treatment of repurchase agreements (Deloitte industry release on the pre-Budget

                     Report, 2007).



                     Hence there are two notable trends in the decisions UK corporate treasurers

                     have made in particular money market instruments. One is the increased

                     investment in commercial paper, which despite happening later than in the US

                     has occurred because of the security and liquidity offered by such investments.

                     More recently there has been increased investment in asset backed commercial

                     paper, in part a result of the increased security such instruments are supposed to

                     provide. However, below I will discuss the extent to which the complexity of these

                     instruments has obscured some of the risk involved.


                     The effect of Basel II and other regulations


                     One of the most important recent pieces of legislation in the field of corporate

                     treasury has been Basel II. The Basel Accords are a set of agreements, providing

                     recommendations with regards to banking regulations with regards to capital,

                     market and operational risk.




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Basel II focuses on three aspects of that affect the success of regulations in

                     ensuring financial institutions have sufficient resources to reach obligations,

                     namely market discipline, supervisory review and minimum capital requirements.

                     In Europe it was implemented by the European Union through the Capital

                     Requirements Directive, approved by both the European Council and the
                                                                                                st
                     European Parliament. It came into effect on the January 1 2007. Note however

                     that its implementation is a gradual process. As an example 100% capital floor

                     for the Internal Ratings Based (IRB) Advanced Approach will not come into effect

                     until 2010 (Rose, 2007).


                     It is worth noting that Basel II initially faced a certain amount of criticism. In

                     Danielsson et al (2001), written by a selection of noted academics at the London

                     School of Economics, it was argued that Basel II argued that Basel II left for

                     “considerable scope for underestimation of financial risk” (2001, p3), which could

                     lead to “complacency on the part of policy makers and insufficient understanding

                     of the likelihood of a systematic crisis” (2001, p3). They also argue that the fact

                     Basel II encourages an ‘internal ratings based approach’ to credit risk, which

                     forces homogeneity amongst market participants that can deepen a crisis. They

                     claim that if a banking system is overly homogeneous then there may not be

                     sufficient variety in the system to cope with liquidity issues. The implementation

                     of Basel II could have a number of consequences for the amount of investment

                     by corporate treasurers in money market funds.


                     Before Basel II the capital adequacy rules made money market funds relatively

                     expensive to hold. For instance 100% risk weighting was assigned to money

                     market funds when making regulatory capital calculations, in comparison to risk

                     weighting for traditional bank deposits and repurchase agreements, at about 20%

                     (Parry-Wingfield, 2006).




                                                           - 20 -
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Instead the regulatory capital required before Basel II can be calculated as

                     follows:


                                Figure 1. Calculation of the regulatory capital before Basel II:


                                                  Capital = exposure × risk weight × 8%.


                     Thus an investment of US$100 million in an AAA-rated money market mutual

                     fund (having a risk weight of 100%) will require a capital of US$8 million before

                     the Capital Requirements Directive. This can be compared with an identical

                     amount invested directly in a money market security (such as a bank deposit or

                     repurchase agreements) will require a capital of US$1.6 million (at 20%). Thus an

                     investment in a money market fund could require five times as much capital as

                     that needed for direct investment in a bank (Parry- Wingfield, 2006).


                     With Basel II, the weightings that are applied by a bank are decided by whether is

                     the rating used is the standardised approach or the internal ratings based

                     approach, which was criticised as shown above by Danielsson et al (2001).

                     Some indicative ratings are given in the table below:


                                Figure 2. Credit rating and risk weighting criteria:


                               Credit
                              quality            1              2             3             4      5          6
                                step

                             Possible        AAA to                     BBB+ to        BB+ to   Below
                                                          A+ to A-                                       Unrated
                              criteria         AA-                        BBB-           BB-     BB-

                           Risk weight         20%           50%          100%          100%           150%


                                Basel Committee on Banking Supervision convergence of Capital Measurement and
                                Capital Standards June 2004 (Parry-Wingfield, 2006)




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Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Using an internal ratings based approach the risk weighting percentage attached

                     to an investment may be even lower. Thus the capital required in order to make

                     investments in a money market fund would be no greater than that required to

                     make direct investments in bank deposits or in money market securities. It seems

                     clear that these regulatory changes would encourage increased investment in

                     AAA-rated money market funds as opposed to bank deposits and repurchase

                     agreements, due to the decreased capital required to make such investments.


                     Thompson (2006) also argues that the new regulations introduced by the Capital

                     Requirements Directive should also be placed alongside ‘the new breed of Triple

                     A funds’ which he claims are now emerging. These are money market funds

                     which maintain their Triple A rating but adopt more market risk in order to be able

                     to offer increased returns.


                     However two points should be taken into account in assessing the relative impact

                     of the Capital Requirements Directive. The first is the comparatively recent

                     introduction of the legislation, and the fact the implementation is not yet fully

                     complete. Thus it is unlikely that Basel II has had its full impact of yet.


                     Indeed Rose (2007) claims that banks are “starting to investigate money market

                     funds, but it will require a change of investment behaviour driven by the balance

                     sheet management area before funds can expect to see significant inflows from

                     Banks.” Nonetheless it could well be argued that the decreased capital required

                     in order to invest in money market funds following the Capital Requirements

                     Directive will have a considerable impact in investment by UK corporate

                     treasurers in money market funds in years to come.


                     The second point to consider can be placed in context by the complaints of

                     Danielsson et al, especially in light of recent liquidity issues amongst companies

                     listed in the FTSE 100 index.


                                                           - 22 -
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     If they are correct in claiming that the Basel recommendations had “chosen poor

                     quality measures of risk when better measures are available” (2001, p4), and that

                     the mechanisms used to measure risk do not sufficiently emphasise the extent to

                     which investment in money market funds are risky, then it is possible that

                     corporate treasurers would shy away from allocating funds to pooled

                     investments. This is perhaps especially true in light the subprime mortgage crisis,

                     since liquidity issues may encourage cash managers to avoid making riskier

                     investments. Poole (2008) similarly warns corporate treasurers of the risks of

                     money market funds, and that simply because it has a Triple A rating it does not

                     follow that it is immune from risk.


                     Indeed this point can be used to explain the fact that UK corporate treasurers

                     allocate a far lower percentage of funds to pooled investments than that allocated

                     by US corporate treasurers. Indeed the JP Morgan Global Cash Survey 2007

                     shows that treasurers in the US allocate 63% of their surplus cash to pooled

                     investments, compared to the 33% allocated by UK corporate treasurers (JP

                     Morgan Global Cash Survey 2007). Yet this is perhaps explained more effectively

                     by the comparatively recent introduction of money market funds in Europe, and

                     the fact that the Basel II legislation has only recently been implemented. This

                     point can be reinforced by pointing to the increased investments in money market

                     funds since the subprime mortgage crisis. Indeed iMoneynet, the leading provider

                     of money market mutual fund information and analysis, reported in December

                     2007 an increase of 23.1% in reported investments in money market mutual

                     funds from the end of June 2007 (Money Fund Report, available at

                     http://www.imoneynet.com). Thus it does not seem to be the case that corporate

                     treasurers have avoided allocating funds to pooled investments as the risk in

                     such investments is not properly weighted, contra Danielsson et al.




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                     The regulatory climate beyond Basel II may also explain why there is greater

                     investment in pooled funds by US corporate treasurers than UK corporate

                     treasurers. In the US, Rule 2a-7 of the Investment Company Act of 1940 offers a

                     “clear guiding regulatory framework” (Rose, 2007).


                     In Europe investment in money market funds is governed by self-regulation,

                     developing its own Code of Practice in February 2003 using the Institutional

                     Money Market Fund Association (IMMFA). Rose argues that for the European

                     money market fund to equal the success of the US money market fund it is

                     necessary to “continue to work for a European Rule 2a-7 equivalent regulatory

                     framework.” (Rose, 2007) This can help to explain why the impact of the Capital

                     Requirements Directive may have been limited, and yet it does seem to be the

                     case that the implementation of this legislation will encourage increased

                     allocation of cash to money market funds.


                     It is also worth noting one other regulatory change that may have a considerable

                     impact on investment in money market funds. The European Commission

                     published the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) in 2004

                     (directive 2004/39/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council). It was

                     incorporated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority’s (FSA) handbook of

                     rules and guidance and implemented in November 2007 (Traversa, 2008). MiFID

                     allows banks to invest client money into Triple A rated funds, offering higher

                     returns than typical bank deposits. Ellerbeck (2008) argues that MiFID will allow

                     “institutions greater scope to use AAA-rated liquidity funds instead of deposits.” If

                     this is the case then there is a further incentive for UK corporate treasurers to

                     invest in money market funds with a high percentage of assets in money market

                     instruments.




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                     The effect of recent liquidity issues in the banking system following the

                     subprime mortgage crisis


                     One of the more striking trends in recent decisions made by UK corporate

                     treasurers with regards to short term investments has been the continuing

                     increase in investments in money market funds, despite the current economic

                     climate. Indeed the Institutional Money Market Fund Association reported in May

                     2008 that funds under management in Europe rose to new levels to over £317

                     billion, an increase of 35% over the last year (http://www.immfa.org).


                     Poole (2008) has argued that the popularity of money market funds has

                     increased because of the liquidity they offer, clearly very important when there

                     are liquidity issues in the banking sector, such as that caused by the subprime

                     mortgage crisis. Indeed the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision chose to

                     highlight ‘the crucial importance of market liquidity to the banking sector’ (2008,

                     p7). This is coupled with the fact that money market funds are largely perceived

                     as secure investments, as emphasised earlier. This security of money market

                     funds, along with the liquidity they offer appear to make them ideal investments

                     at a time when corporate treasurers place investment security as a high priority.

                     In this way they represent a cautious investment when the outlook is hazardous.


                     Despite the success of increased investments in money market funds, it is worth

                     noting that some cash funds have been hit hard in the crisis. Furthermore there

                     have been changes in the composition of portfolios offered by money market

                     funds, with bank deposits increasing from 15% to 31% in the portfolio mix

                     (http://www.immfa.org). This contradicts the predictions made by Thompson in

                     2006, that there would be an increased number of investors looking for

                     alternative pooled investments. In particular he claimed that there would be

                     increased investment in asset backed commercial paper.




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                     However asset backed commercial paper market has been one of the hardest hit

                     following the subprime mortgage crisis. In August 2007 the commercial paper

                     market in Europe was worth US$840 billion, with US$300 billion of that asset

                     backed commercial paper. The Times reported that in August 2007 HBOS was

                     forced to offer facilities to its Grampian intermediary in order to repay maturing
                                                                               nd
                     commercial paper (The Times, August 22                         2007). HBOS refused to pay the

                     higher costs demanded by investors, and instead chose to take the paper on its

                     own balance sheet. This decline was mirrored globally, with the total amount of

                     asset backed commercial paper in the US declining falling from almost US$1200

                     billion in June 2007 to below $800 billion in February 2008 (Financial Times,

                     February 2008)


                     To some extent this may appear surprising. Kashap et al (1993, cited in

                     Atanasova and Wilson 2004) found that following a monetary shock the amount

                     of US commercial paper issued increased, whereas bank deposits appeared to

                     remain flat. Gertler and Gilchrist (1993, cited in Atanasova and Wilson 2004)

                     suggested that this is because high grade borrowers (i.e. those with access to

                     the commercial paper market) can obtain funds more easily. Thus the

                     commercial paper outstanding would increase in relation to bank loans following

                     a monetary shock.


                     This clearly does not fit with the current trend, where the amount of commercial

                     paper and asset backed commercial paper issued has decreased as a result of

                     liquidity issues. The particular problem that asset backed commercial paper

                     appears to provide is that increases the chances that a firm will be required to

                     provide liquidity immediately (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, 2008).

                     As an example, an agreement may exist whereupon firms agree to provide

                     funding if certain pre-occurred conditions occur.




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                     Therefore it appears that investment in asset backed commercial paper is more

                     risky than it had originally been perceived to be, and thus there is an extent to

                     which corporate treasurers did not fully take into account the risks associated

                     with investment in such money market securities.


                     It could be argued that corporate treasurers presumed that since asset back

                     commercial paper are sponsored by banks they are secure, but due to their off-

                     balance nature banks had not taken into account the possibility of needing to

                     refund these vehicles.


                      This is in fact suggested by Richards (2007), who claims that asset backed

                     securities “have proved not to be as sound, or as liquid, as they appeared.” He

                     claims that the withdrawal of liquidity has led to some money market funds

                     invested in asset backed securities have struggled to price their net asset values.

                     Richards (2007) also highlights the fact that corporate treasurers have spread

                     their resources more widely (as a result of securitisation). This has led to a

                     decrease in transparency in the market, increasing uncertainty about losses and

                     speculation in the market.


                     Thus there appears to be two separate trends in the decision making of corporate

                     treasurers in light of recent liquidity issues in the banking sector. One is the

                     increased investment in money market funds. This has occurred due to the

                     liquidity and security that such investments provide. However it is not the case

                     that investment has increased in all money market instruments. Indeed it seems

                     to be the case that the asset backed commercial paper market has suffered, with

                     those issuing such papers not matching investor’s demands. This has resulted in

                     decreased investment in asset backed commercial paper, as corporate

                     treasurers have become aware of the risks such instruments provide.




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                     Indeed it is important to emphasise the fact that not all money market funds have

                     been successful, partly due to the fact there are funds which are not free of risk,

                     despite a Triple A rating. Therefore a lesson of the subprime mortgage crisis is

                     that money market funds may offer risk which treasurers should avoid, and

                     research is necessary to assess the risk in a portfolio. Furthermore there are

                     some suggestions that the rating system for money market securities should be

                     adjusted.


                     Rating agencies such as Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch are all paid for

                     awarding high credit ratings to the very debt obligations that they themselves

                     helped to structure, suggesting conflict of interest (Richards, 2007). Furthermore,

                     even if there is no conflict of interest it may be the case that the rating money

                     market securities from AAA to BBB do not make clear all aspects of risk. This

                     could be used to explain the failure of certain money market funds, and also the

                     asset back commercial paper market.




                     2.2        ATTAINMENT OF OBJECTIVES


                     In the introduction I set a number of objectives that I was attempting to achieve in

                     the course of this project. Here I outline the extent to which they have been

                     successfully realised in the course of my literature review.


                     Firstly I have clear gained an understanding of the alternatives available to

                     corporate treasurers. The literature review has required me to detail a number of

                     the money market securities in which corporate treasurers can make short term

                     investments, including commercial paper, asset backed commercial paper and

                     repurchase agreements. I have also discussed the attractions of pooled

                     investments, and in particular the role and appeal of money market funds.




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                     I have also highlighted some of future trends that may exist in investment in

                     money market funds. In particular I have emphasised the effect that regulatory

                     changes may have in corporate treasurer’s decision making, especially the role

                     of Basle II and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive. Achieving these

                     two objectives has also allowed me to achieve the third, since throughout these

                     discussions I have highlighted certain factors that a corporate treasurer must take

                     into account in order to be successful.


                     2.3        SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS


                     One of the most obvious trends in decisions made by UK corporate treasurers

                     has been an increased investment in money market funds. The academic

                     literature appears to highlight two particular factors which have been essential in

                     allowing this growth to occur. The first is the high yield offered by such money

                     market instruments, which is often greater than that provided by a bank deposit.

                     The second is the security such investments provide. The combination of these

                     two features of money market funds, without compromising liquidity, have made

                     them appealing investments for UK corporate treasurers.


                     There are also trends in investment in particular money market securities. The

                     commercial paper market has expanded massively in the last decade and a half,

                     mirroring the growth that occurred in the US in the 1970s and 1980s. Again the

                     crucial factors for this growth appear to be the security and yield that such

                     investments provide. It has also been stressed that the comparatively late growth

                     in Europe in this market is a result of the slow development of regulatory aspects

                     of the market.


                     More recently there has been increase in the amount of asset back commercial

                     paper issued, largely a result of the perceived security of these money market

                     instruments.



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                     One of the major factors that could influence corporate treasurers’ decisions in

                     coming years is the introduction of new legislation affecting money market

                     instruments. One of the most important of these is Basel II. This imposes

                     changes in the ratings system which should mean that less capital is required in

                     order to make investments in money market funds, due to the lower risk

                     weighting because of different rating systems. The Markets in Financial

                     Instruments Directive also appears likely to encourage investment in money

                     market funds, as it allows banks to invest client money in AAA rated funds. It is

                     important to note that investment by UK corporate treasurers in money market

                     funds still lags considerably behind investment by US cash managers.


                     It seems unlikely that this is a result of the risks measures chosen by the Basel

                     committee, since the same regulations have been implemented in the US.

                     Instead it seems to be a result of the slow implementation of these regulations,

                     which means that they have yet to have their full impact. Therefore Basel II,

                     along with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive appears likely to

                     encourage investment in money market funds in the long term. In the short term

                     money market funds have grown despite liquidity issues in the banking sector.

                     The academic literature appears to highlight the fact that this is a result of the

                     security and liquidity of the market. However it is important to note that this

                     success has not been uniform across the money market. The asset backed

                     commercial paper market has particularly suffered, and this seems to be a result

                     of treasurers becoming aware of the risk that such securities provide. Indeed it is

                     likely that corporate treasurers did not sufficiently heed the risk of these

                     securities. It has been argued that this is a result of the complexity of these

                     instruments, along with the granular nature of the rating system, which does not

                     take sufficiently into account all different risks that a money market security may

                     provide.




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                     Chapter 3: Methodology



                     3.1        PERSONAL DEVELOPMENT REVIEW


                     In this section I will reflect upon the development of my skills and competences

                     derived from the experience of undertaking the dissertation and the entire Master

                     of Business Administration program experience. I will begin by making a short

                     critical review of my role and professional experience in the company and

                     industry I am involved with and my overall knowledge prior to entering the

                     Masters program, after that I will continue by assessing and discussing my

                     experience throughout the program and dissertation. Finally I will discuss the

                     extent to which my personal development objectives have been achieved and

                     mention the skills acquired in achieving those objectives. I will then conclude by,

                     briefly, mentioning the planning and implementation process for my own

                     professional development after the MBA program and indeed steps to follow to

                     be able to implement the knowledge and experience gained from this research

                     project.



                     As a short term investment solutions executive & junior broker within the asset

                     management of ICAP Plc group I have been exposed to the many recent

                     changes in the markets and indeed the impact on the ways to conduct business

                     for both investment execution and risk management in the UK and European

                     short term investment solutions market, as part of my experience I have been

                     closely related to liquidity funds and global corporate cash solutions for the main

                     UK and European corporate treasuries.                    It is noteworthy that my role in this

                     company and industry began in November 2007 via the postgraduate student

                     scheme and therefore it was of my particular interest to focus this final stage of

                     the Masters program on the subject of exploring and short term options.




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                     Since I started working and analyzing funds in this industry in late 2007 my

                     overall knowledge in financial decision making prior to entering ICAP Plc and

                     concluding this dissertation was understandably limited in the sense that I

                     needed to acquire skills and practical knowledge in terms of the diverse

                     investment options, risks and market preferences and arrive to logical

                     conclusions and recommendations which will let me gain enough industry

                     knowledge and experience to act as advisor to investors and point them to the

                     appropriate solutions for their short term investment needs.



                     The ICAP Plc group, being the largest inter-dealer broker for financial

                     instruments in the world, offers large growth potential to executives like myself,

                     giving the chance for executives to understand the behavioral patterns of the

                     different markets within the financial industry before entering into a multi tasking

                     sales and broking arena where appropriate investment advisory and trade

                     executing skills are highly required and expected. My entire experience

                     throughout the Masters program has deeply engaged with my professional

                     objectives in the sense that I have been able to inter-relate with many different

                     individuals within same and different industries in different global markets who

                     are acting, as well as me, as analysts initially to gain strong knowledge and

                     experience to be able to act as advisors and managers. In essence the entire

                     program helped me refine my communication and inter-personal skills with

                     different cultures and understand different business procedures, ethics and

                     opinions. In terms of the dissertation, many other objectives have been achieved

                     as well, most importantly; decision making, data analysis and interpretation. For

                     more professional development information about the author please review the

                     “Background” section of this dissertation.




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                     The following steps and implementation plan taking place now as I find myself

                     concluding the Master in Business Administration program, will be firstly to gain

                     an extra qualification / certification from the Financial Services Authority that will

                     allow me to participate with clients on an investment advisory role and in short

                     term to be able to advise, plan and execute short term investment deals on their

                     behalf, monitoring and controlling short term investment portfolios as well as

                     monitoring the asset allocation process on their behalf. Once I correctly apply all

                     the knowledge and experience gained from the Masters program I will be able to

                     develop deeply into the vaster and global asset management industry.




                     3.2        INTRODUCTION TO RESEARCH


                     I will research a number of hypotheses, which have been highlighted as general

                     trends in the literature review conducted above. The hypotheses to be

                     investigated will be the following:


                           The investment in money market funds has increased, and this has occurred

                           because of the security and yield offered by such investments.



                           Changes in legislation, such as the Capital Requirements Directive and the

                           Markets in Financial Instruments Directive will encourage corporate

                           treasurers to invest in money market mutual funds.



                           The recent liquidity issues in the banking sector have encouraged

                           investments in money market funds. However, asset backed commercial

                           paper provide more risk than originally perceived by UK corporate treasurers.

                           For this reason the amount of asset backed commercial paper outstanding

                           will fall.




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                     3.3       DATA COLLECTION METHODS & SAMPLING


                     The primary research will be qualitative, for this we have adopted a survey

                     research design as this allows us to investigate answers from the participants in

                     an expanded context by letting the interviewee explain his/her thoughts in a more

                     comfortable and non space limited way. However, quantitative analysis will be

                     used to highlight patterns and make the analysis more robust using documentary

                     analysis extracted from documentary sources from within the industry such as

                     surveys, reports and publications. The findings will be compared to the theory in

                     context in order to describe the existing & future patterns. I will use a Snowball

                     Sampling Technique (Salhanik et al, 2004), which relies on initial subjects to

                     identify and reach additional subjects, this sampling technique is identified as

                     cost effective and ideal for difficult or cost prohibitive location of respondents.




                     I will perform research in my own organisation ICAP Plc, as being part of the

                     FTSE 100, along with another 8 Treasury /short-term investment managers

                     representing 8 different FTSE 100 companies; 6 face to face structured

                     interviews and 3 on-line interviews giving a total sample of 9 subjects from a

                     statistical universe of 100 companies (study based on FTSE 100, sample = 9%).

                     I have been granted authorisation to access figures and carry out the above

                     mentioned interviews & research.                The structured interviews will contain 9 open

                     questions.




                     The industry cases and publications to be studied will all involve the same

                     characteristics; alternatives on short-term cash management, best investment

                     sources and their relationship with investors and industry dynamics. The method

                     of selection of these surveys, studies and interviews was through personal

                     networking and industry reference.



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                     Data Collection Methods – Interview Structure & Description



                     As mentioned previously the interview structure will be built upon 9 open

                     questions, taking the first question as warm-up and introductory opening on the

                     role of a FTSE 100 corporate cash manager, following with the core interview

                     questions until the last question n.9 which will look more into the future of cash

                     management and short term investments. Also it is noteworthy that following the

                     pilot interviews, which were carried out before executing the real interviews, as

                     outlined on the task scheduled outlined on page 32, and the time constrains and

                     accessibility with our sample participants, the time target set out for each

                     interview was established at 45 minutes for a face to face interview and 30

                     minutes for interviews carried out on-line.               The interviewees took in average 39

                     minutes for a face to face meeting and 26.5 minutes for an on-line meeting.



                     The interviews (for both means of communication) involve an opening with

                     greetings to the participant(s) and a brief introduction on the purposes of the

                     research project followed by a brief description on my profession and academic

                     background and intended outcomes of the dissertation to be used as ice-

                     breakers. Finally there will be a detailed explanation of the research ethics and

                     organisation and personal data privacy statement which are necessary to

                     reinforce the relevance and professionalism of this research.



                     The first question of the interview will be used as an introductory question to the

                     theme to be discussed and will involve a brief discussion from the interviewee on

                     how over the last years the treasury manager’s role has expanded with much

                     more involvement in executing investments to secure competitive returns for the

                     organisation.




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                     The question in context is – How would you say your position as cash manager

                     of a FTSE 100 company is characterized now? This question will intend to

                     discuss how the interviewee feels about the expansion of his/her role.



                     Following, the second question, which will lead to entering the core part of the

                     interview will involve mentioning and discussing how generally treasury

                     managers utilize pooled investments and bank deposits for their cash

                     movements and, a small percentage (according to the latest Global Cash

                     Management Survey by JPMorgan) access direct investments, this will lead to

                     the question; what is your position on this and what are the main differences for

                     you? The main purpose of this question is to investigate broadly which kind of

                     investment is the participant involved in and which are his/her views in regards to

                     this type of investments.



                     The third question will involve asking the interviewee about the category

                     selections and with so many options in the market of short term investments how

                     do the cash manager notices the most competitive investment tools in the

                     market, which monitoring tools they utilize and how is the industry communication

                     helping or not.



                     The fourth question is straight-forward and asks the interviewee, which are the

                     main investment vehicles used by your organisation to manage short term cash?

                     Which are your preferences? The objectives of this question are obvious in the

                     sense that it attempts to research on the main investments options and

                     preferences. Just as above, the fifth question is also very straight-forward and

                     intends to investigate which are the main attributes that the cash manager

                     consider first before using the above mentioned investment vehicle(s).




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                     The sixth question attempts to investigate the relevance of liquidity for the

                     participant and intends also to research on the importance of the banking

                     relationships of the participant and its organisation. The question itself asks what

                     liquidity represents for your investments and how important is for you to retain

                     and/or create strong banking relationships with your investment providers (funds,

                     banks, etc)



                     The seventh question is again straight-forward and it asks the participant about

                     the treasury management and execution (trading) is structured in general.

                     Following, the penultimate question, entering the closing and conclusions part of

                     the interview intends to reflect upon the current economic climate and investigate

                     how this has affected the financial decision making for the short term investments

                     and indeed the entire investment risk management.



                     The ninth and last question of the interview attempts mainly to conclude the

                     interview and investigate, following the current economic climate discussed

                     previously with the interviewee and taking in account the dynamics of the

                     financial industry in the UK, to how would the participant say the future of cash

                     management is looking and which investment options would you say will prevail

                     as the most competitive ones and why. The idea of this last question is to close

                     the interview which will help me build up on my final dissertation conclusions and

                     recommendations as in which direction is this industry heading and to finalize the

                     investigation with the participant in a less formal way with a less core

                     investigative question. This will let the participant and me converse and discuss

                     about the future of the industry and perhaps the roles of the cash manager

                     involving technology and new ways to enhance security on short term

                     investments.




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                     Research Ethics and Internal Validity & Reliability



                     It is important to state that the individuals/organisations involved in the research

                     of this project will be given a clear description of the purpose and intended

                     outcomes of the research stating the purposes of this dissertation. The type of

                     information required for the research will be stated as the policy for anonymity

                     and confidentiality.          It is stated that we will disclose the names of the

                     organisations participating on this research but no personal data of the

                     interviewees such as names, positions or contact details.

                               Internal Research Validity: Enhanced internal validity y performing

                               semi-structured interviews with open questions supported by the

                               literature theory and pilot interviews to ensure accuracy and relevance.

                               External Research Validity:                  High degree on external validity by

                               analysing multiple studies and surveys with real impact on future trends

                               and preferences.

                               Research Reliability: Reliability of the research will be controlled by

                               using inter-rater or Inter-Observer reliability which will assess the degree

                               to which different investors (observers) agree when measuring the same

                               research (Bazovsky, 2004) by using industry surveys plus supported by

                               the interviews.




                     Project Target Timescale

                     The literature review was performed as a background literature search to help me

                     formulate research ideas and support the models to be implemented. All

                     interviews and meetings were confirmed during Apr - 2008. The data analysis

                     will help me construct the dissertation drafts during Jul - 2008.




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                     It is relevant to mention that I have been involved in the research of this industry

                     since Dec - 2007 and involved in the analysis of the dynamics on investor’s

                     decisions as part of my role since my employment with the above mentioned

                     organisation in Oct - 2007. Below, the task chart for the project:


                                Figure 3. Project development and task time scale:




                     3.4       ANALYSIS OF DATA


                     As outlined before, the documentary research and analysis will also be

                     qualitative, although the trends highlighted by this qualitative analysis will be

                     compared with quantitative data obtained from a number of sources. The most

                     significant amount of data will be taken from the JP Morgan Asset Management

                     Global Cash Surveys. These have been conducted since 1998, and thus provide

                     a range of date which can be used to assess the hypotheses and to analyse

                     trends in decisions made by corporate treasurers.


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                     In the most recently published survey from 2007 339 responses were received

                     from treasurers across the globe. Half of these came from companies with a

                     market cap of over US$5 billion (http://www.treasurers.org/gcmsurvey).


                     This is an increase from the 61 responses offered in 2001 and the 206

                     respondents in 2006. The largest percentage of respondents was from the UK

                     (23%) (http://www.treasurers.org/gcmsurvey). This offers an additional rationale

                     for the survey forming a significant secondary source in this project.


                     Note that the majority of surveys in 2007 (290 out of 339) were conducted online.

                     The surveys were not anonymous, and therefore it is necessary to be aware that

                     the cash managers who responded may lean towards hedging any criticism. It is

                     important to note also that the survey may have further limitations. By its very

                     nature it simply takes the opinions of corporate treasurers and cash managers,

                     and thus may not highlight potential future trends if they are not commonly

                     thought to be likely to occur by treasurers. In other words, it is likely that the

                     survey can be a useful source in ascertaining what investments treasurers

                     believe will be attractive, but this may not be decisive in showing what the most

                     appealing investments actually will be.


                     Also as previously outlined and for the reasons mentioned above I will also use a

                     range of other sources in my research. Data has been obtained from my own

                     company, ICAP Plc, a FTSE 100 company. This information can be found at

                     www.icap.com. I have also obtained statistics about European money market

                     funds from the Institutional Money Market Fund Association (IMMFA), in order to

                     compare the trends highlighted in the surveys. This will be compared with data

                     from a number of rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor’s and Fitch’s. I will

                     also use statistics from iMoneyNet (www.imoneynet.com), a leading provider of

                     money market fund information and analysis.




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                     Chapter 4: Background



                     4.1        INDUSTRY BACKGROUND


                     As previously outlined this project will involve analysing the UK’s top corporate

                     treasury cash management and their preferences on short-term investment

                     alternatives such as the money market fund industry, its growth opportunities and

                     an overview on the effects on investors and future trends. As corporate investors

                     constantly seek to enhance their cash management procedures and to place

                     their available cash as investments on these instruments analysing yield, risk and

                     liquidity in comparison to other short term investment alternatives it is very

                     important for us to understand the complexities, structure and general

                     background of this industry and its key player or decision maker such as the

                     corporate treasurer or corporate cash manager.


                     There are a range of aspects to the role of a corporate treasurer. Cash

                     management is typically seen as its most important area for a treasury

                     department; and indeed in the JP Morgan Asset Management Global Cash

                     Survey 2007 over 50% of respondents claimed that it was the most important

                     part of a corporate treasurer’s job. Cash management involves predicting the

                     company’s needs to in order for the successful day to day running of the

                     business. The corporate treasury department would be responsible for the short

                     term borrowings and investments the company make in order to meet those

                     requirements. Indeed Pike and Neale (2003) explain how “Cash management is

                     the art—and increasingly the science—of managing a company’s short-term

                     resources to sustain its ongoing activities, mobilise funds, and optimise liquidity

                     by efficiently utilising the organisation’s surplus cash and minimising risk at the

                     same time”




                                                           - 41 -
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Cash management itself can be separated into a variety of particular

                     responsibilities. A cash manager would need to manage bank accounts and bank

                     documentation. Furthermore they would need to be aware of techniques to

                     concentrate cash, such as notional pooling and zero balancing. A cash manager

                     is also responsible “for responsible for regulatory, tax, legal and other cash

                     concentration/transfer issues such as exchange controls, insolvency, central

                     bank reporting, withholding tax, transfer pricing” (Association of Corporate

                     Treasurers, http://www.treasurers.org, 2008). The role of the cash manager, in

                     each case, is to ensure that there are sufficient funds for the company to

                     continue in business until the completion of the cash flow cycle. However, each

                     cash manager will perform a very different role, face different challenges, and

                     employ different cash management techniques to assure their company’s

                     ongoing operation and liquidity. Liquidity should not be confused with profitability

                     or net worth. It is possible for a company that is profitable and that has significant

                     assets to go bankrupt from lack of operating (or working) capital.



                     Other important parts of a corporate treasurer’s job are forecasting cash flow and

                     risk management. Risk management involves understanding the business and

                     financial risk a company is exposed to. In particular, when making an investment

                     a treasurer must be sure that the returns that the investments offer must be

                     considerable enough as to make the risks worth taking. They may need to

                     assess the risk of different money market securities, such as commercial paper,

                     asset backed commercial paper and repurchase agreements. These risks can be

                     managed in order to limit them in a way best suited to the investor’s financial

                     objectives. Cash flow forecasting involves predicting the cash available to a

                     company, and may involve both long and short term forecasts (Association of

                     Corporate Treasurers, http://www.treasurers.org).




                                                           - 42 -
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     My own background in short term investments has been in working for ICAP, a

                     FTSE 100 company. ICAP describes itself as world’s premier voice and

                     electronic interdealer broker (www.icap.com). The group provides a range of

                     financial products, as well as date, commentary and indices.



                     ICAP’s electronic broking and asset management businesses felt the positive

                     impact of higher levels of the recent market volatility. Specifically, the group

                     revenue rose by 18% to £1,304.4m and the electronic revenue increased by 38%

                     to £273.9m, the group continues to invest in technology, particularly further

                     upgrades to the group's electronic broking platforms due to the recent

                     investigations and opportunities such as money market fund investment

                     platforms for more secure and liquid options. (www.icap.com, 2008). ICAP

                     recently launched a multi lateral trading platform for corporate treasurers offering

                     multi-bank and multi-currency access to corporate treasurers for cash

                     management; where I work as short term investment solution sales and junior

                     broker.


                     For more information about my (the author’s) personal and professional

                     background please review the section “Personal Development Review” within the

                     Methodology chapter.




                                                           - 43 -
Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives




                     Chapter 5: Findings & Discussion



                     5.1        INTRODUCTION TO FINDINGS


                     I will discuss the results of my research as follows. I will describe the findings

                     following the interviews which were part of my primary research. I will proceed to

                     explain the general findings per question with an overview of the findings and

                     general response; in addition I follow up that response overview quotes taken

                     from the interviewees to be used to reinforce the general findings of the

                     questions. After that I will assess the amount of investment in money market

                     funds over the past ten years, using a range of sources. I will then discuss the

                     possible reasons for the trends, and compare them with the reasons suggested

                     in the literature review. I will proceed to consider the shorter term trends in

                     investment in money market funds and different money market securities, and

                     will assess whether the recent liquidity crisis has had any effects in investment in

                     money market funds.




                     5.2        KEY FINDINGS ON PRIMARY RESEARCH


                     Interview Question 1: The changing role of treasury managers

                     The first question’s objective was to discuss and find out how over the last years

                     the treasury manager’s role has expanded significantly with much more

                     involvement in monitoring and executing investments to secure competitive

                     returns for the organisation. The question was how would you say your position

                     as cash manager of a FTSE 100 company is characterized now?




                                                           - 44 -
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©
Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©

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Final MBA dissertation (published): "Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short and mid-term investment alternatives" ©

  • 1. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives ANTONIO SANCHEZ MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION DISSERTATION 2008
  • 2. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives UNIVERSITY OF LONDON - The School of Management and Organizational Psychology - MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION - DISSERTATION - Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives. MBA Candidate - Dissertation Author: Antonio Sanchez Student ID: 079089849 Module Code: ITG M02 Program: University of London and University of Sunderland - MBA 2008 Approximate Word Count: 21, 201 London, United Kingdom September, 2008 -2-
  • 3. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives “The rational man adapts himself to the world; the irrational man persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all progress depends on the irrational man” George Bernard Shaw -3-
  • 4. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives UNIVERSITY OF LONDON - BUSINESS SCHOOL DISSERTATION DECLARATION. MBA Statement of Originality and Authenticity I confirm that the dissertation I am submitting is an original and authentic piece of work written by myself that satisfies the University rules and regulations with respect to Plagiarism and Collusion. I further confirm that I have fully referenced and acknowledged all material incorporated as secondary resources in accordance with the Harvard system. I also certify that I have taken a copy of the dissertation, which I will retain until after the Board of Examiners has published the results, and which I will make available on request in pursuance of any appropriate aspect of the marking and moderation of the work within the University Regulations. Name: Registration Number: Course: Date: Signed ……………………………….. Please note that Dissertations will not be assessed without the inclusion of this declaration by the student. Supervisors Signature: …………………………………. Date: …………………………… -4-
  • 5. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Abstract Globally funds available to corporate treasurers have increased vastly over the past two decades as one of the most obvious trends in decisions made by the top UK corporate treasurers has been an increased investment in money market funds as there has been a rapid increase in sums allocated to these short term investments in Europe and the UK. Indeed by far the largest percentage of pooled investments in the UK is allocated to money market funds according to the latest JPMorgan Global Cash Management Survey There are a number of potential reasons for this increase in investments in money market funds. One answer is that money market funds provide the best possible yield of any short term investment and indeed according to Ellerback (2003) “when it comes to cash balances with a time horizon of less than three months, there is little to rival money market funds”. In addition to this, one of the most important recent pieces of legislation in the field of corporate treasury has been Basel II. The Basel Accords are a set of agreements, providing recommendations with regards to banking regulations with regards to capital, market and operational risk. These new set of regulations have definitely favoured these kind of low risk and competitive yield investments for UK corporate treasury. Basel II along with the Capital Requirements Directive and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive new legislations are and will make investments in money market funds considerably more appealing taking in account that the amount of investment in money market funds in the US is considerably greater than in the UK and thus it is the case that there is large room for growth in money market funds in the UK. -5-
  • 6. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives However not all money market funds have been successful, partly due to the fact there are funds which are not completely free of risk, despite a Triple A rating. Therefore a lesson of the sub prime mortgage crisis is that still some money market funds may offer risk which treasurers should avoid. In fact one of the more striking trends in recent decisions made by UK corporate treasurers with regards to short term investments has been the continuing increase in investments in money market funds, despite the current economic climate. Indeed the Institutional Money Market Fund Association reported in May 2008 that funds under management in Europe rose to new levels to over £317 billion, an increase of 35% over the last year (http://www.immfa.org). This is perhaps especially true in light of the subprime mortgage crisis, since liquidity issues may encourage cash managers to avoid making riskier investments. However, Poole (2008) warns corporate treasurers of the risks of money market funds, and that simply because it has a Triple A rating it does not follow that it is immune from risk. Finally there appears to be two separate trends in the financial decision making of corporate treasurers in light of the recent liquidity issues in the banking sector. One is the increased investment in money market funds occurred due to the liquidity and security that such investments provide. However it is not the case that investment has increased in all money market instruments. Indeed it seems to be the case that the asset backed commercial paper market has suffered, with those issuing such papers not matching investor’s demands. This has resulted in decreased investment in asset backed commercial paper and it appears to be the case that corporate treasurers did not originally realise the risk involved with investing in this market which could have indeed exacerbated the latest credit crisis. -6-
  • 7. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Table of Contents Abstract ……………………………………………………………… Page 5 Chapter 1: Introduction & Summary - 1.1 Introduction to Dissertation .….….………………………… Page 9 - 1.2 Aims and Objectives ...…………………………………….. Page 12 - 1.3 Chapter Summary……………………………………………Page 12 Chapter 2: Literature Review - 2.1 Short Term financial decision making …………………….. Page 14 - 2.2 Attainment of Objectives ……………………………………. Page 28 - 2.3 Summary and Conclusion….……………………………….. Page 29 Chapter 3: Methodology - 3.1 Personal Development Review ……………………………. Page 31 - 3.2 Introduction to Research …………………………………… Page 33 - 3.3 Data Collection Methods & Sampling .………………….… Page 34 - 3.4 Analysis of Data ………………….………………………….. Page 39 Chapter 4: Background - 4.1 Industry Background......................................................... Page 41 Chapter 5: Findings & Discussion - 5.1 Introduction to Findings………………………………………Page 44 - 5.2 Key Findings on Primary Research ……………………….. Page 44 - 5.3 Key Findings on Documentary Analysis ………………….. Page 57 - 5.4 Description and Discussion……………………………….…Page 63 Chapter 6: Conclusions - 6.1 Dissertation Conclusions…………………………………… Page 66 - 6.2 Future and Recommendations…………………………….. Page 68 References & Bibliography…………………………………….. Page 70 Appendices……………………………………………….…… Page 72 -7-
  • 8. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Table of Figures Figure 1. Calculation of the regulatory capital before Basel II...... Page 21 Figure 2. Credit rating and risk weighting criteria….………......... Page 21 Figure 3. Project development and task time scales.................... Page 39 Figure 4. European money market fund growth chart…………….Page 57 Figure 5. Variety of pooled investments used by location………..Page 58 Figure 6. Criteria for investment instrument selection...................Page 60 Figure 7. Criteria for rejection of pooled investments………… …Page 61 Figure 8. Growth in money market fund investments - 2007…….Page 63 -8-
  • 9. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Chapter 1: Introduction & Summary 1.1 INTRODUCTION This dissertation will revolve around short term investment alternatives available to UK corporate treasurers, and will discuss and analyse the decisions made by treasury management with regards to these options. Treasury in a company is responsible for ensuring that there is the necessary cash and liquidity available to meet the company’s requirements. In particular treasury gives advice on businesses to be invested in, organises funding for such investments and manages risk within an organisation. UK corporate treasurers have a range of potential options in which to make short term investments. Globally funds available to corporate treasurers have increased vastly over the past two decades, with the cash on Standard and Poor’s company balance sheet growing six fold between 1996 and 2006 (Cited in Ellerbeck, 2008), rising to £600 billion. With these considerable surplus funds it is important to understand the trends that underlie the industry, which can aid analysis of decisions corporate treasurers have made and can inform future investments and risk management. The types of investments made by UK corporate treasurers can broadly be divided into two categories, namely bank deposits and pooled investments. A pooled investment is one which involves a variety of investors placing their placing money in a fund in order to make investments. A third category of investment, direct investments, consisted of only 2% of investments made by corporate treasurers in the UK in 2007 (JP Morgan Global Cash Management Survey 2007), and for this reason will be largely ignored in what follows. -9-
  • 10. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives By far the largest percentage of pooled investments in the UK is allocated to money market funds (71% in 2007, JP Morgan Global Cash Management Survey 2007). A money market fund is intended to provide short term, low risk investments which provides easily accessible cash funds. The fact that money market paper can be bought or sold at any time, and that yields provided are generally seen to be competitive and secure encourage investment in them. These funds pool their resources in order to obtain money market securities. The money market involves borrowing and lending periods which are generally a year or less (Cook and Laroche, 1993) There are a variety of money market securities issued by governmental departments, financial institutions and also by large corporations. There are a range of possible securities in which investments can be made. The most prevalent possible money market instruments which can be used for investment are as follows: Commercial paper – A short-term unsecured promissory note issued by companies and by governments. Maturity can occur any time from the day after being issued to 270 days after issuance. (Hahn, 1993) Asset-backed commercial paper – Commercial paper issued by a company backed with assets, which are usually some form of receivable. (Hahn, 1993) Certificates of Deposit (Time Deposit) – Fixed term bank deposits, which normally pay a fixed amount upon maturity. (Morris and Walter in Cook and Laroche 1993) Government paper (also known as treasury bills) - Short term securities issued by governments, sold at auctions to finance governmental deficits (Cook and Laroche 1993) - 10 -
  • 11. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Repurchase agreements – “A type of transaction in which a money market participant acquires immediately available funds by selling securities and simultaneously agreeing to the same or similar securities after a specified time at a specific price” (Lumpkin in Cook and Laroche, 1993 p59) Floating rate notes - Notes with variable interest rates, which also offer a return of their face value at maturity. They are issued by banks and corporations. The importance of money market funds for corporate treasurers and the fact that such a large percentage of pooled investments in the UK are allocated to this instrument are central factors in my focusing on them in this dissertation. A further motivation comes from my work in the asset management division of the ICAP plc Group, through which I have seen the importance of short term investments in ensuring sufficient liquidity in running a company’s everyday operations. Short term investments are also of particular interest due to the notable changes in decisions made by corporate treasurers. This includes the general trend towards allocating funds to pooled investments, and I will discuss the extent to which this is the result of the appeal of low risk funds, as opposed to decreasing quality of bank deposits. In the shorter term other factors have altered general trends, notably the introduction of Basel II and recent liquidity issues in the global banking system, as a result of the subprime mortgage crisis. I will discuss the extent to which these features have determined recent decision making by corporate treasurers and the extent to which these decisions have been successful. This will be used to assist analysis of the potential future trends in short term investments by corporate treasurers. - 11 -
  • 12. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives 1.2 AIMS & OBJECTIVES The aim of this project is to explore and analyse decisions made by FTSE 100 firms with regards to short term investments, focused in particular on money market funds and the money market securities which can be invested in. I will attempt to provide reasons for and analyse the success of general and short term trends in investments. I will also look to discuss the circumstances under which certain securities are appealing investments, and use this to assist the analysis of the decisions made by corporate treasurers. With these aims in mind I have established a range of objectives: To understand the alternatives available to corporate treasurers, and the circumstances and economic climates in which an alternative is preferable to another, and how these factors have determined decisions made by UK corporate treasurers. Be able to point to future trends in short-term investments and how these trends could and will affect further treasury decision making. Be able to appreciate the role of cash managers or corporate treasures in a company and to understand their role in guaranteeing that there is sufficient cash to ensure the successful operation of the company. 1.3 CHAPTER SUMMARY In the next chapter I will conduct a literature review, focussed on the reasons that decisions might be made by corporate treasurers. I will highlight the general trend towards increased short term investment in the money markets by UK treasury departments, and will also assess the reasons that certain money market securities are seen as preferable to others. - 12 -
  • 13. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives I will also discuss views on the relative importance of Basel II in making recent corporate treasury decisions and assess the extent to which corporate treasurers did not take sufficient account of risk in light of recent liquidity problems facing companies listed in the FTSE 100 index. Chapter 3 will involve outlining my methodology in conducting the research. This will be followed by an outline of the industry background against which the research can be assessed. I will start this chapter by discussing my personal development review and following; I will outline the data collection methods and will also present the primary research design and secondary research sources. Chapter 4 will involve a brief outline of the industry background and the key roles involved in the industry such as cash managers and indeed discussing briefly the background and responsibilities of a treasurer in an organisation. On chapter 5 I will present and analyse my findings, attempting to relate this to the views and academic thinking presented in the literature review. On this section I will outline the key findings for both the primary and secondary investigation. On the final chapter of this dissertation I will conclude on the trends discovered in my research, and will point to potential future trends and suggest which decisions that should be taken by corporate treasurers. - 13 -
  • 14. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Chapter 2: Literature Review 2.1 SHORT TERM FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING The literature review will be conducted as follows. At first I will discuss the longer term trends in decisions made by corporate treasurers with regards to short term investment alternatives and decision making. This will be focused on the increase in investment in money markets and will discuss trends in investments in certain money market securities. In particular I will highlight the increased commercial paper market, and also the more recent increased investment in asset backed commercial paper and floating rate notes. I will then proceed to investigate two more recent circumstances which may have affected corporate treasurer’s decision making, Basel II and recent liquidity problems following the subprime mortgage crisis. The increase in investments in money market funds One of the more notable general trends in short term investments has been the rapid increase in sums allocated to money market funds. One way to illustrate this would be to point to the fact that European offshore funds have grown from US$70 billion in 2000 to US$496 billion dollars in 2007 (Offshore Money Fund Report™ May 2007, see http://www.immfa.org). The trend is also highlighted by pointing out that European money market assets increased from US$7 billion in 1997 to US$153 billion in 2003 (Moneyfund Vision 1998 and ICI statistical release as of 27/03/2003, cited in Ellerbeck 2003). There are a number of potential reasons for this increase in investment. One possible answer is that money market funds provide the best possible yield of any short term investment. Indeed Ellerback (2003) has claimed that when it “comes to cash balances with a time horizon of less than three months, there is little to rival money market funds.” - 14 -
  • 15. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Clearly assessing the potential yield is an important process when a corporate treasurer is deciding whether to make a certain short term investment. This is highlighted by the fact that yield was perceived in the JP Morgan Global Cash Management Survey as the second most important factor in determining which AAA-rated money market fund a corporate treasurer or cash manager chooses to invest in (JP Morgan Global Cash Survey 2007, p17). Note that money market instruments are rated by firms such as Standard and Poor’s or Moody, with a AAA rating requiring the average weighted maturity of instruments not to exceed 60 days (Ellerback 2003). The fact that money market allows corporate treasurers to pool investments means that a greater range of instruments can be invested in, and those with the highest potential yields can be added to the portfolio. It is perhaps not surprising that yield should be seen as such an important factor in encouraging investment in money market funds. The yield that such returns provide are undoubtedly essential to providing the cash needed for the successful running of a company, and Pike and Neale have described such cash as “the lifeblood of the business” (2006, p7). High yields enable corporate treasurers to be able to optimise liquidity, which allows the treasurer to mobilise funds as necessary. Yet yield is not the only determining factor in the increased investment in money market mutual funds. Cook and Laroche (1993, p1) call attention to the fact that money market instruments are “characterised by a high degree of safety of principal.” It is this security provided by money market mutual funds which is essential to its appeal to corporate treasurers. Indeed Ellerback (2003) claims that “security within a fund is also enhanced through robust credit research ability, efficient administration and custody.” - 15 -
  • 16. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Mackenzie (2000) highlights the fact that money market funds are frequently assigned a Triple A rating, whereas banks in Europe often only achieve a rating of AA. The large sums of cash involved in money market funds allow investors the opportunity in diversifying into a number of money market instruments, which should increase the security of these investments. It is difficult to emphasise one factor over the other. In fact it is likely to be the case that it is a combination of the two aspects of a money market mutual fund that have made them such appealing investments for UK corporate treasurers. This is the view of Mackenzie (2000), who claims that the appeal of money market mutual funds derives from the fact that they offer “a better mixture of security and return than a bank may be able to offer, but without compromising liquidity.” Trends in investment in differing money market instruments and reasons for investment in differing money market securities In exploring the UK corporate treasurer’s choices of short term investments it is important to understand the variety of potential money market instruments that can be invested in. It may be the case that investments in money market funds increase, and yet the portfolio of such instruments change. For instance money market funds with a higher percentage of assets in bank deposits may become more attractive, whilst funds with a high proportion of assets in commercial paper are less appealing. In this section I will discuss trends in investments in certain money market instruments. The largest percentage of short term investments made by UK corporate treasurers is in bank deposits. - 16 -
  • 17. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives This involves the market arranging a deposit for some period of time, allowing a bank which is short of funds to borrow funds in from a bank which has a surplus amount of funds. These have continued to be attractive, along with certificates of deposit, which have been issued by banks since 1968. Ellerbeck (2008) argues that since certificates of deposits are issued by both banks and building societies, they can appear more secure than commercial paper, which might well be issued by a company which comes under less regulatory scrutiny. However since the late 1980s the removal of regulatory barriers allowed participants to deal with each other using financial institutions such as banks as traders (as opposed to deposit traders). This along with the decline in quality of banks’ credit has led to it being possible for reputable companies to obtain cheaper finance in capital markets. Because of this there has been a vast increase in the amount of commercial paper issued. Commercial paper is a promissory note that must mature in less than 270 days, with the majority of paper issued maturing in less than 40 days. The investor will purchase notes at less than the face value and receive the face value on maturity. Hahn (1993) has highlighted the importance of high interest rates and security of commercial paper in encouraging the growth of the commercial paper market in the US in the latter part of the last century. The commercial paper market in the US experienced rapid growth, with the amount of commercial paper outstanding increasing from US$47.7 billion to US$528.1 billion. Commercial paper became a more significant part of money market fund assets, having been 11% in 1975 to 42% in 1991 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, cited in Hahn 1993). - 17 -
  • 18. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives This growth was not immediately mirrored in Europe, with growth not appearing until the late 1980s (a German commercial paper market only appeared in 1991). Nonetheless the commercial paper market has responded in Europe. The growth has continued into this decade, with the European commercial paper market growing by 68% in the two year period ending in June 2003 (Euroclear, cited in Bedford 2003). The reasons emphasised by Hahn are undoubtedly important factors in encouraging growth in Europe. Bedford (2003) agrees with Hahn, claiming that investor’s interest in commercial paper is driven by “appetite for fairly priced, good quality paper.” Ellerbeck (2008) also argues that one of the major advantages of investing in commercial paper is the fact that the markets are highly developed in Europe and in the US, which allows for geographic diversification. More recently there has been UK corporate treasurers have increasingly invested in money market funds with a larger percentage of asset backed commercial paper constituting their portfolio mix. The risk of commercial paper is tied exclusively to the issuing firms commercial and operational risk, whereas “with asset backed commercial paper the paper's risk is instead tied directly to the creditworthiness of specific financial assets” (Hahn in Cook and Laroche 1993, p121). Ellerbeck (2008) argues that these instruments offer more security than standard commercial paper, being protected by a form of credit enhancement. This advantage of asset backed commercial paper can be added to the advantages of commercial paper mentioned above, namely the flexibility and liquidity of these money market instruments. Note however that asset backed commercial paper have a more complex structure, and which in times of liquidity uncertainty may mean that the amount of investment in asset backed commercial paper may decrease. - 18 -
  • 19. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives It is also worth noting that asset backed commercial paper has some distinct advantages over other money market instruments which corporate treasurers may choose to invest in. Negotiating repurchase agreements will incur costs, and require considerable work to obtain a fair price. Ellerbeck (2008) points out that Floating Rate Notes take over a year to mature (and thus do not provide the same flexibility as asset backed commercial paper), and also require considerable minimum denominations in order for a corporate treasurer to make an investment. Despite this it is worth noting that growth may occur in these money market securities also. This is particularly true of repurchase agreements, where the pre-budget report of 2007 attempted to simplify the corporation tax treatment of repurchase agreements (Deloitte industry release on the pre-Budget Report, 2007). Hence there are two notable trends in the decisions UK corporate treasurers have made in particular money market instruments. One is the increased investment in commercial paper, which despite happening later than in the US has occurred because of the security and liquidity offered by such investments. More recently there has been increased investment in asset backed commercial paper, in part a result of the increased security such instruments are supposed to provide. However, below I will discuss the extent to which the complexity of these instruments has obscured some of the risk involved. The effect of Basel II and other regulations One of the most important recent pieces of legislation in the field of corporate treasury has been Basel II. The Basel Accords are a set of agreements, providing recommendations with regards to banking regulations with regards to capital, market and operational risk. - 19 -
  • 20. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Basel II focuses on three aspects of that affect the success of regulations in ensuring financial institutions have sufficient resources to reach obligations, namely market discipline, supervisory review and minimum capital requirements. In Europe it was implemented by the European Union through the Capital Requirements Directive, approved by both the European Council and the st European Parliament. It came into effect on the January 1 2007. Note however that its implementation is a gradual process. As an example 100% capital floor for the Internal Ratings Based (IRB) Advanced Approach will not come into effect until 2010 (Rose, 2007). It is worth noting that Basel II initially faced a certain amount of criticism. In Danielsson et al (2001), written by a selection of noted academics at the London School of Economics, it was argued that Basel II argued that Basel II left for “considerable scope for underestimation of financial risk” (2001, p3), which could lead to “complacency on the part of policy makers and insufficient understanding of the likelihood of a systematic crisis” (2001, p3). They also argue that the fact Basel II encourages an ‘internal ratings based approach’ to credit risk, which forces homogeneity amongst market participants that can deepen a crisis. They claim that if a banking system is overly homogeneous then there may not be sufficient variety in the system to cope with liquidity issues. The implementation of Basel II could have a number of consequences for the amount of investment by corporate treasurers in money market funds. Before Basel II the capital adequacy rules made money market funds relatively expensive to hold. For instance 100% risk weighting was assigned to money market funds when making regulatory capital calculations, in comparison to risk weighting for traditional bank deposits and repurchase agreements, at about 20% (Parry-Wingfield, 2006). - 20 -
  • 21. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Instead the regulatory capital required before Basel II can be calculated as follows: Figure 1. Calculation of the regulatory capital before Basel II: Capital = exposure × risk weight × 8%. Thus an investment of US$100 million in an AAA-rated money market mutual fund (having a risk weight of 100%) will require a capital of US$8 million before the Capital Requirements Directive. This can be compared with an identical amount invested directly in a money market security (such as a bank deposit or repurchase agreements) will require a capital of US$1.6 million (at 20%). Thus an investment in a money market fund could require five times as much capital as that needed for direct investment in a bank (Parry- Wingfield, 2006). With Basel II, the weightings that are applied by a bank are decided by whether is the rating used is the standardised approach or the internal ratings based approach, which was criticised as shown above by Danielsson et al (2001). Some indicative ratings are given in the table below: Figure 2. Credit rating and risk weighting criteria: Credit quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 step Possible AAA to BBB+ to BB+ to Below A+ to A- Unrated criteria AA- BBB- BB- BB- Risk weight 20% 50% 100% 100% 150% Basel Committee on Banking Supervision convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards June 2004 (Parry-Wingfield, 2006) - 21 -
  • 22. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Using an internal ratings based approach the risk weighting percentage attached to an investment may be even lower. Thus the capital required in order to make investments in a money market fund would be no greater than that required to make direct investments in bank deposits or in money market securities. It seems clear that these regulatory changes would encourage increased investment in AAA-rated money market funds as opposed to bank deposits and repurchase agreements, due to the decreased capital required to make such investments. Thompson (2006) also argues that the new regulations introduced by the Capital Requirements Directive should also be placed alongside ‘the new breed of Triple A funds’ which he claims are now emerging. These are money market funds which maintain their Triple A rating but adopt more market risk in order to be able to offer increased returns. However two points should be taken into account in assessing the relative impact of the Capital Requirements Directive. The first is the comparatively recent introduction of the legislation, and the fact the implementation is not yet fully complete. Thus it is unlikely that Basel II has had its full impact of yet. Indeed Rose (2007) claims that banks are “starting to investigate money market funds, but it will require a change of investment behaviour driven by the balance sheet management area before funds can expect to see significant inflows from Banks.” Nonetheless it could well be argued that the decreased capital required in order to invest in money market funds following the Capital Requirements Directive will have a considerable impact in investment by UK corporate treasurers in money market funds in years to come. The second point to consider can be placed in context by the complaints of Danielsson et al, especially in light of recent liquidity issues amongst companies listed in the FTSE 100 index. - 22 -
  • 23. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives If they are correct in claiming that the Basel recommendations had “chosen poor quality measures of risk when better measures are available” (2001, p4), and that the mechanisms used to measure risk do not sufficiently emphasise the extent to which investment in money market funds are risky, then it is possible that corporate treasurers would shy away from allocating funds to pooled investments. This is perhaps especially true in light the subprime mortgage crisis, since liquidity issues may encourage cash managers to avoid making riskier investments. Poole (2008) similarly warns corporate treasurers of the risks of money market funds, and that simply because it has a Triple A rating it does not follow that it is immune from risk. Indeed this point can be used to explain the fact that UK corporate treasurers allocate a far lower percentage of funds to pooled investments than that allocated by US corporate treasurers. Indeed the JP Morgan Global Cash Survey 2007 shows that treasurers in the US allocate 63% of their surplus cash to pooled investments, compared to the 33% allocated by UK corporate treasurers (JP Morgan Global Cash Survey 2007). Yet this is perhaps explained more effectively by the comparatively recent introduction of money market funds in Europe, and the fact that the Basel II legislation has only recently been implemented. This point can be reinforced by pointing to the increased investments in money market funds since the subprime mortgage crisis. Indeed iMoneynet, the leading provider of money market mutual fund information and analysis, reported in December 2007 an increase of 23.1% in reported investments in money market mutual funds from the end of June 2007 (Money Fund Report, available at http://www.imoneynet.com). Thus it does not seem to be the case that corporate treasurers have avoided allocating funds to pooled investments as the risk in such investments is not properly weighted, contra Danielsson et al. - 23 -
  • 24. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives The regulatory climate beyond Basel II may also explain why there is greater investment in pooled funds by US corporate treasurers than UK corporate treasurers. In the US, Rule 2a-7 of the Investment Company Act of 1940 offers a “clear guiding regulatory framework” (Rose, 2007). In Europe investment in money market funds is governed by self-regulation, developing its own Code of Practice in February 2003 using the Institutional Money Market Fund Association (IMMFA). Rose argues that for the European money market fund to equal the success of the US money market fund it is necessary to “continue to work for a European Rule 2a-7 equivalent regulatory framework.” (Rose, 2007) This can help to explain why the impact of the Capital Requirements Directive may have been limited, and yet it does seem to be the case that the implementation of this legislation will encourage increased allocation of cash to money market funds. It is also worth noting one other regulatory change that may have a considerable impact on investment in money market funds. The European Commission published the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) in 2004 (directive 2004/39/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council). It was incorporated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority’s (FSA) handbook of rules and guidance and implemented in November 2007 (Traversa, 2008). MiFID allows banks to invest client money into Triple A rated funds, offering higher returns than typical bank deposits. Ellerbeck (2008) argues that MiFID will allow “institutions greater scope to use AAA-rated liquidity funds instead of deposits.” If this is the case then there is a further incentive for UK corporate treasurers to invest in money market funds with a high percentage of assets in money market instruments. - 24 -
  • 25. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives The effect of recent liquidity issues in the banking system following the subprime mortgage crisis One of the more striking trends in recent decisions made by UK corporate treasurers with regards to short term investments has been the continuing increase in investments in money market funds, despite the current economic climate. Indeed the Institutional Money Market Fund Association reported in May 2008 that funds under management in Europe rose to new levels to over £317 billion, an increase of 35% over the last year (http://www.immfa.org). Poole (2008) has argued that the popularity of money market funds has increased because of the liquidity they offer, clearly very important when there are liquidity issues in the banking sector, such as that caused by the subprime mortgage crisis. Indeed the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision chose to highlight ‘the crucial importance of market liquidity to the banking sector’ (2008, p7). This is coupled with the fact that money market funds are largely perceived as secure investments, as emphasised earlier. This security of money market funds, along with the liquidity they offer appear to make them ideal investments at a time when corporate treasurers place investment security as a high priority. In this way they represent a cautious investment when the outlook is hazardous. Despite the success of increased investments in money market funds, it is worth noting that some cash funds have been hit hard in the crisis. Furthermore there have been changes in the composition of portfolios offered by money market funds, with bank deposits increasing from 15% to 31% in the portfolio mix (http://www.immfa.org). This contradicts the predictions made by Thompson in 2006, that there would be an increased number of investors looking for alternative pooled investments. In particular he claimed that there would be increased investment in asset backed commercial paper. - 25 -
  • 26. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives However asset backed commercial paper market has been one of the hardest hit following the subprime mortgage crisis. In August 2007 the commercial paper market in Europe was worth US$840 billion, with US$300 billion of that asset backed commercial paper. The Times reported that in August 2007 HBOS was forced to offer facilities to its Grampian intermediary in order to repay maturing nd commercial paper (The Times, August 22 2007). HBOS refused to pay the higher costs demanded by investors, and instead chose to take the paper on its own balance sheet. This decline was mirrored globally, with the total amount of asset backed commercial paper in the US declining falling from almost US$1200 billion in June 2007 to below $800 billion in February 2008 (Financial Times, February 2008) To some extent this may appear surprising. Kashap et al (1993, cited in Atanasova and Wilson 2004) found that following a monetary shock the amount of US commercial paper issued increased, whereas bank deposits appeared to remain flat. Gertler and Gilchrist (1993, cited in Atanasova and Wilson 2004) suggested that this is because high grade borrowers (i.e. those with access to the commercial paper market) can obtain funds more easily. Thus the commercial paper outstanding would increase in relation to bank loans following a monetary shock. This clearly does not fit with the current trend, where the amount of commercial paper and asset backed commercial paper issued has decreased as a result of liquidity issues. The particular problem that asset backed commercial paper appears to provide is that increases the chances that a firm will be required to provide liquidity immediately (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, 2008). As an example, an agreement may exist whereupon firms agree to provide funding if certain pre-occurred conditions occur. - 26 -
  • 27. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Therefore it appears that investment in asset backed commercial paper is more risky than it had originally been perceived to be, and thus there is an extent to which corporate treasurers did not fully take into account the risks associated with investment in such money market securities. It could be argued that corporate treasurers presumed that since asset back commercial paper are sponsored by banks they are secure, but due to their off- balance nature banks had not taken into account the possibility of needing to refund these vehicles. This is in fact suggested by Richards (2007), who claims that asset backed securities “have proved not to be as sound, or as liquid, as they appeared.” He claims that the withdrawal of liquidity has led to some money market funds invested in asset backed securities have struggled to price their net asset values. Richards (2007) also highlights the fact that corporate treasurers have spread their resources more widely (as a result of securitisation). This has led to a decrease in transparency in the market, increasing uncertainty about losses and speculation in the market. Thus there appears to be two separate trends in the decision making of corporate treasurers in light of recent liquidity issues in the banking sector. One is the increased investment in money market funds. This has occurred due to the liquidity and security that such investments provide. However it is not the case that investment has increased in all money market instruments. Indeed it seems to be the case that the asset backed commercial paper market has suffered, with those issuing such papers not matching investor’s demands. This has resulted in decreased investment in asset backed commercial paper, as corporate treasurers have become aware of the risks such instruments provide. - 27 -
  • 28. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Indeed it is important to emphasise the fact that not all money market funds have been successful, partly due to the fact there are funds which are not free of risk, despite a Triple A rating. Therefore a lesson of the subprime mortgage crisis is that money market funds may offer risk which treasurers should avoid, and research is necessary to assess the risk in a portfolio. Furthermore there are some suggestions that the rating system for money market securities should be adjusted. Rating agencies such as Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch are all paid for awarding high credit ratings to the very debt obligations that they themselves helped to structure, suggesting conflict of interest (Richards, 2007). Furthermore, even if there is no conflict of interest it may be the case that the rating money market securities from AAA to BBB do not make clear all aspects of risk. This could be used to explain the failure of certain money market funds, and also the asset back commercial paper market. 2.2 ATTAINMENT OF OBJECTIVES In the introduction I set a number of objectives that I was attempting to achieve in the course of this project. Here I outline the extent to which they have been successfully realised in the course of my literature review. Firstly I have clear gained an understanding of the alternatives available to corporate treasurers. The literature review has required me to detail a number of the money market securities in which corporate treasurers can make short term investments, including commercial paper, asset backed commercial paper and repurchase agreements. I have also discussed the attractions of pooled investments, and in particular the role and appeal of money market funds. - 28 -
  • 29. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives I have also highlighted some of future trends that may exist in investment in money market funds. In particular I have emphasised the effect that regulatory changes may have in corporate treasurer’s decision making, especially the role of Basle II and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive. Achieving these two objectives has also allowed me to achieve the third, since throughout these discussions I have highlighted certain factors that a corporate treasurer must take into account in order to be successful. 2.3 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS One of the most obvious trends in decisions made by UK corporate treasurers has been an increased investment in money market funds. The academic literature appears to highlight two particular factors which have been essential in allowing this growth to occur. The first is the high yield offered by such money market instruments, which is often greater than that provided by a bank deposit. The second is the security such investments provide. The combination of these two features of money market funds, without compromising liquidity, have made them appealing investments for UK corporate treasurers. There are also trends in investment in particular money market securities. The commercial paper market has expanded massively in the last decade and a half, mirroring the growth that occurred in the US in the 1970s and 1980s. Again the crucial factors for this growth appear to be the security and yield that such investments provide. It has also been stressed that the comparatively late growth in Europe in this market is a result of the slow development of regulatory aspects of the market. More recently there has been increase in the amount of asset back commercial paper issued, largely a result of the perceived security of these money market instruments. - 29 -
  • 30. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives One of the major factors that could influence corporate treasurers’ decisions in coming years is the introduction of new legislation affecting money market instruments. One of the most important of these is Basel II. This imposes changes in the ratings system which should mean that less capital is required in order to make investments in money market funds, due to the lower risk weighting because of different rating systems. The Markets in Financial Instruments Directive also appears likely to encourage investment in money market funds, as it allows banks to invest client money in AAA rated funds. It is important to note that investment by UK corporate treasurers in money market funds still lags considerably behind investment by US cash managers. It seems unlikely that this is a result of the risks measures chosen by the Basel committee, since the same regulations have been implemented in the US. Instead it seems to be a result of the slow implementation of these regulations, which means that they have yet to have their full impact. Therefore Basel II, along with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive appears likely to encourage investment in money market funds in the long term. In the short term money market funds have grown despite liquidity issues in the banking sector. The academic literature appears to highlight the fact that this is a result of the security and liquidity of the market. However it is important to note that this success has not been uniform across the money market. The asset backed commercial paper market has particularly suffered, and this seems to be a result of treasurers becoming aware of the risk that such securities provide. Indeed it is likely that corporate treasurers did not sufficiently heed the risk of these securities. It has been argued that this is a result of the complexity of these instruments, along with the granular nature of the rating system, which does not take sufficiently into account all different risks that a money market security may provide. - 30 -
  • 31. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Chapter 3: Methodology 3.1 PERSONAL DEVELOPMENT REVIEW In this section I will reflect upon the development of my skills and competences derived from the experience of undertaking the dissertation and the entire Master of Business Administration program experience. I will begin by making a short critical review of my role and professional experience in the company and industry I am involved with and my overall knowledge prior to entering the Masters program, after that I will continue by assessing and discussing my experience throughout the program and dissertation. Finally I will discuss the extent to which my personal development objectives have been achieved and mention the skills acquired in achieving those objectives. I will then conclude by, briefly, mentioning the planning and implementation process for my own professional development after the MBA program and indeed steps to follow to be able to implement the knowledge and experience gained from this research project. As a short term investment solutions executive & junior broker within the asset management of ICAP Plc group I have been exposed to the many recent changes in the markets and indeed the impact on the ways to conduct business for both investment execution and risk management in the UK and European short term investment solutions market, as part of my experience I have been closely related to liquidity funds and global corporate cash solutions for the main UK and European corporate treasuries. It is noteworthy that my role in this company and industry began in November 2007 via the postgraduate student scheme and therefore it was of my particular interest to focus this final stage of the Masters program on the subject of exploring and short term options. - 31 -
  • 32. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Since I started working and analyzing funds in this industry in late 2007 my overall knowledge in financial decision making prior to entering ICAP Plc and concluding this dissertation was understandably limited in the sense that I needed to acquire skills and practical knowledge in terms of the diverse investment options, risks and market preferences and arrive to logical conclusions and recommendations which will let me gain enough industry knowledge and experience to act as advisor to investors and point them to the appropriate solutions for their short term investment needs. The ICAP Plc group, being the largest inter-dealer broker for financial instruments in the world, offers large growth potential to executives like myself, giving the chance for executives to understand the behavioral patterns of the different markets within the financial industry before entering into a multi tasking sales and broking arena where appropriate investment advisory and trade executing skills are highly required and expected. My entire experience throughout the Masters program has deeply engaged with my professional objectives in the sense that I have been able to inter-relate with many different individuals within same and different industries in different global markets who are acting, as well as me, as analysts initially to gain strong knowledge and experience to be able to act as advisors and managers. In essence the entire program helped me refine my communication and inter-personal skills with different cultures and understand different business procedures, ethics and opinions. In terms of the dissertation, many other objectives have been achieved as well, most importantly; decision making, data analysis and interpretation. For more professional development information about the author please review the “Background” section of this dissertation. - 32 -
  • 33. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives The following steps and implementation plan taking place now as I find myself concluding the Master in Business Administration program, will be firstly to gain an extra qualification / certification from the Financial Services Authority that will allow me to participate with clients on an investment advisory role and in short term to be able to advise, plan and execute short term investment deals on their behalf, monitoring and controlling short term investment portfolios as well as monitoring the asset allocation process on their behalf. Once I correctly apply all the knowledge and experience gained from the Masters program I will be able to develop deeply into the vaster and global asset management industry. 3.2 INTRODUCTION TO RESEARCH I will research a number of hypotheses, which have been highlighted as general trends in the literature review conducted above. The hypotheses to be investigated will be the following: The investment in money market funds has increased, and this has occurred because of the security and yield offered by such investments. Changes in legislation, such as the Capital Requirements Directive and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive will encourage corporate treasurers to invest in money market mutual funds. The recent liquidity issues in the banking sector have encouraged investments in money market funds. However, asset backed commercial paper provide more risk than originally perceived by UK corporate treasurers. For this reason the amount of asset backed commercial paper outstanding will fall. - 33 -
  • 34. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives 3.3 DATA COLLECTION METHODS & SAMPLING The primary research will be qualitative, for this we have adopted a survey research design as this allows us to investigate answers from the participants in an expanded context by letting the interviewee explain his/her thoughts in a more comfortable and non space limited way. However, quantitative analysis will be used to highlight patterns and make the analysis more robust using documentary analysis extracted from documentary sources from within the industry such as surveys, reports and publications. The findings will be compared to the theory in context in order to describe the existing & future patterns. I will use a Snowball Sampling Technique (Salhanik et al, 2004), which relies on initial subjects to identify and reach additional subjects, this sampling technique is identified as cost effective and ideal for difficult or cost prohibitive location of respondents. I will perform research in my own organisation ICAP Plc, as being part of the FTSE 100, along with another 8 Treasury /short-term investment managers representing 8 different FTSE 100 companies; 6 face to face structured interviews and 3 on-line interviews giving a total sample of 9 subjects from a statistical universe of 100 companies (study based on FTSE 100, sample = 9%). I have been granted authorisation to access figures and carry out the above mentioned interviews & research. The structured interviews will contain 9 open questions. The industry cases and publications to be studied will all involve the same characteristics; alternatives on short-term cash management, best investment sources and their relationship with investors and industry dynamics. The method of selection of these surveys, studies and interviews was through personal networking and industry reference. - 34 -
  • 35. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Data Collection Methods – Interview Structure & Description As mentioned previously the interview structure will be built upon 9 open questions, taking the first question as warm-up and introductory opening on the role of a FTSE 100 corporate cash manager, following with the core interview questions until the last question n.9 which will look more into the future of cash management and short term investments. Also it is noteworthy that following the pilot interviews, which were carried out before executing the real interviews, as outlined on the task scheduled outlined on page 32, and the time constrains and accessibility with our sample participants, the time target set out for each interview was established at 45 minutes for a face to face interview and 30 minutes for interviews carried out on-line. The interviewees took in average 39 minutes for a face to face meeting and 26.5 minutes for an on-line meeting. The interviews (for both means of communication) involve an opening with greetings to the participant(s) and a brief introduction on the purposes of the research project followed by a brief description on my profession and academic background and intended outcomes of the dissertation to be used as ice- breakers. Finally there will be a detailed explanation of the research ethics and organisation and personal data privacy statement which are necessary to reinforce the relevance and professionalism of this research. The first question of the interview will be used as an introductory question to the theme to be discussed and will involve a brief discussion from the interviewee on how over the last years the treasury manager’s role has expanded with much more involvement in executing investments to secure competitive returns for the organisation. - 35 -
  • 36. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives The question in context is – How would you say your position as cash manager of a FTSE 100 company is characterized now? This question will intend to discuss how the interviewee feels about the expansion of his/her role. Following, the second question, which will lead to entering the core part of the interview will involve mentioning and discussing how generally treasury managers utilize pooled investments and bank deposits for their cash movements and, a small percentage (according to the latest Global Cash Management Survey by JPMorgan) access direct investments, this will lead to the question; what is your position on this and what are the main differences for you? The main purpose of this question is to investigate broadly which kind of investment is the participant involved in and which are his/her views in regards to this type of investments. The third question will involve asking the interviewee about the category selections and with so many options in the market of short term investments how do the cash manager notices the most competitive investment tools in the market, which monitoring tools they utilize and how is the industry communication helping or not. The fourth question is straight-forward and asks the interviewee, which are the main investment vehicles used by your organisation to manage short term cash? Which are your preferences? The objectives of this question are obvious in the sense that it attempts to research on the main investments options and preferences. Just as above, the fifth question is also very straight-forward and intends to investigate which are the main attributes that the cash manager consider first before using the above mentioned investment vehicle(s). - 36 -
  • 37. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives The sixth question attempts to investigate the relevance of liquidity for the participant and intends also to research on the importance of the banking relationships of the participant and its organisation. The question itself asks what liquidity represents for your investments and how important is for you to retain and/or create strong banking relationships with your investment providers (funds, banks, etc) The seventh question is again straight-forward and it asks the participant about the treasury management and execution (trading) is structured in general. Following, the penultimate question, entering the closing and conclusions part of the interview intends to reflect upon the current economic climate and investigate how this has affected the financial decision making for the short term investments and indeed the entire investment risk management. The ninth and last question of the interview attempts mainly to conclude the interview and investigate, following the current economic climate discussed previously with the interviewee and taking in account the dynamics of the financial industry in the UK, to how would the participant say the future of cash management is looking and which investment options would you say will prevail as the most competitive ones and why. The idea of this last question is to close the interview which will help me build up on my final dissertation conclusions and recommendations as in which direction is this industry heading and to finalize the investigation with the participant in a less formal way with a less core investigative question. This will let the participant and me converse and discuss about the future of the industry and perhaps the roles of the cash manager involving technology and new ways to enhance security on short term investments. - 37 -
  • 38. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Research Ethics and Internal Validity & Reliability It is important to state that the individuals/organisations involved in the research of this project will be given a clear description of the purpose and intended outcomes of the research stating the purposes of this dissertation. The type of information required for the research will be stated as the policy for anonymity and confidentiality. It is stated that we will disclose the names of the organisations participating on this research but no personal data of the interviewees such as names, positions or contact details. Internal Research Validity: Enhanced internal validity y performing semi-structured interviews with open questions supported by the literature theory and pilot interviews to ensure accuracy and relevance. External Research Validity: High degree on external validity by analysing multiple studies and surveys with real impact on future trends and preferences. Research Reliability: Reliability of the research will be controlled by using inter-rater or Inter-Observer reliability which will assess the degree to which different investors (observers) agree when measuring the same research (Bazovsky, 2004) by using industry surveys plus supported by the interviews. Project Target Timescale The literature review was performed as a background literature search to help me formulate research ideas and support the models to be implemented. All interviews and meetings were confirmed during Apr - 2008. The data analysis will help me construct the dissertation drafts during Jul - 2008. - 38 -
  • 39. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives It is relevant to mention that I have been involved in the research of this industry since Dec - 2007 and involved in the analysis of the dynamics on investor’s decisions as part of my role since my employment with the above mentioned organisation in Oct - 2007. Below, the task chart for the project: Figure 3. Project development and task time scale: 3.4 ANALYSIS OF DATA As outlined before, the documentary research and analysis will also be qualitative, although the trends highlighted by this qualitative analysis will be compared with quantitative data obtained from a number of sources. The most significant amount of data will be taken from the JP Morgan Asset Management Global Cash Surveys. These have been conducted since 1998, and thus provide a range of date which can be used to assess the hypotheses and to analyse trends in decisions made by corporate treasurers. - 39 -
  • 40. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives In the most recently published survey from 2007 339 responses were received from treasurers across the globe. Half of these came from companies with a market cap of over US$5 billion (http://www.treasurers.org/gcmsurvey). This is an increase from the 61 responses offered in 2001 and the 206 respondents in 2006. The largest percentage of respondents was from the UK (23%) (http://www.treasurers.org/gcmsurvey). This offers an additional rationale for the survey forming a significant secondary source in this project. Note that the majority of surveys in 2007 (290 out of 339) were conducted online. The surveys were not anonymous, and therefore it is necessary to be aware that the cash managers who responded may lean towards hedging any criticism. It is important to note also that the survey may have further limitations. By its very nature it simply takes the opinions of corporate treasurers and cash managers, and thus may not highlight potential future trends if they are not commonly thought to be likely to occur by treasurers. In other words, it is likely that the survey can be a useful source in ascertaining what investments treasurers believe will be attractive, but this may not be decisive in showing what the most appealing investments actually will be. Also as previously outlined and for the reasons mentioned above I will also use a range of other sources in my research. Data has been obtained from my own company, ICAP Plc, a FTSE 100 company. This information can be found at www.icap.com. I have also obtained statistics about European money market funds from the Institutional Money Market Fund Association (IMMFA), in order to compare the trends highlighted in the surveys. This will be compared with data from a number of rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor’s and Fitch’s. I will also use statistics from iMoneyNet (www.imoneynet.com), a leading provider of money market fund information and analysis. - 40 -
  • 41. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Chapter 4: Background 4.1 INDUSTRY BACKGROUND As previously outlined this project will involve analysing the UK’s top corporate treasury cash management and their preferences on short-term investment alternatives such as the money market fund industry, its growth opportunities and an overview on the effects on investors and future trends. As corporate investors constantly seek to enhance their cash management procedures and to place their available cash as investments on these instruments analysing yield, risk and liquidity in comparison to other short term investment alternatives it is very important for us to understand the complexities, structure and general background of this industry and its key player or decision maker such as the corporate treasurer or corporate cash manager. There are a range of aspects to the role of a corporate treasurer. Cash management is typically seen as its most important area for a treasury department; and indeed in the JP Morgan Asset Management Global Cash Survey 2007 over 50% of respondents claimed that it was the most important part of a corporate treasurer’s job. Cash management involves predicting the company’s needs to in order for the successful day to day running of the business. The corporate treasury department would be responsible for the short term borrowings and investments the company make in order to meet those requirements. Indeed Pike and Neale (2003) explain how “Cash management is the art—and increasingly the science—of managing a company’s short-term resources to sustain its ongoing activities, mobilise funds, and optimise liquidity by efficiently utilising the organisation’s surplus cash and minimising risk at the same time” - 41 -
  • 42. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Cash management itself can be separated into a variety of particular responsibilities. A cash manager would need to manage bank accounts and bank documentation. Furthermore they would need to be aware of techniques to concentrate cash, such as notional pooling and zero balancing. A cash manager is also responsible “for responsible for regulatory, tax, legal and other cash concentration/transfer issues such as exchange controls, insolvency, central bank reporting, withholding tax, transfer pricing” (Association of Corporate Treasurers, http://www.treasurers.org, 2008). The role of the cash manager, in each case, is to ensure that there are sufficient funds for the company to continue in business until the completion of the cash flow cycle. However, each cash manager will perform a very different role, face different challenges, and employ different cash management techniques to assure their company’s ongoing operation and liquidity. Liquidity should not be confused with profitability or net worth. It is possible for a company that is profitable and that has significant assets to go bankrupt from lack of operating (or working) capital. Other important parts of a corporate treasurer’s job are forecasting cash flow and risk management. Risk management involves understanding the business and financial risk a company is exposed to. In particular, when making an investment a treasurer must be sure that the returns that the investments offer must be considerable enough as to make the risks worth taking. They may need to assess the risk of different money market securities, such as commercial paper, asset backed commercial paper and repurchase agreements. These risks can be managed in order to limit them in a way best suited to the investor’s financial objectives. Cash flow forecasting involves predicting the cash available to a company, and may involve both long and short term forecasts (Association of Corporate Treasurers, http://www.treasurers.org). - 42 -
  • 43. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives My own background in short term investments has been in working for ICAP, a FTSE 100 company. ICAP describes itself as world’s premier voice and electronic interdealer broker (www.icap.com). The group provides a range of financial products, as well as date, commentary and indices. ICAP’s electronic broking and asset management businesses felt the positive impact of higher levels of the recent market volatility. Specifically, the group revenue rose by 18% to £1,304.4m and the electronic revenue increased by 38% to £273.9m, the group continues to invest in technology, particularly further upgrades to the group's electronic broking platforms due to the recent investigations and opportunities such as money market fund investment platforms for more secure and liquid options. (www.icap.com, 2008). ICAP recently launched a multi lateral trading platform for corporate treasurers offering multi-bank and multi-currency access to corporate treasurers for cash management; where I work as short term investment solution sales and junior broker. For more information about my (the author’s) personal and professional background please review the section “Personal Development Review” within the Methodology chapter. - 43 -
  • 44. Exploring the top European corporate treasury decisions on short-term investment alternatives Chapter 5: Findings & Discussion 5.1 INTRODUCTION TO FINDINGS I will discuss the results of my research as follows. I will describe the findings following the interviews which were part of my primary research. I will proceed to explain the general findings per question with an overview of the findings and general response; in addition I follow up that response overview quotes taken from the interviewees to be used to reinforce the general findings of the questions. After that I will assess the amount of investment in money market funds over the past ten years, using a range of sources. I will then discuss the possible reasons for the trends, and compare them with the reasons suggested in the literature review. I will proceed to consider the shorter term trends in investment in money market funds and different money market securities, and will assess whether the recent liquidity crisis has had any effects in investment in money market funds. 5.2 KEY FINDINGS ON PRIMARY RESEARCH Interview Question 1: The changing role of treasury managers The first question’s objective was to discuss and find out how over the last years the treasury manager’s role has expanded significantly with much more involvement in monitoring and executing investments to secure competitive returns for the organisation. The question was how would you say your position as cash manager of a FTSE 100 company is characterized now? - 44 -