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LINES THAT ZIG BUT DON’T ZAG
1.
        LINES THAT ZIG
        BUT DON’T ZAG

Local empowerment means hyperpolarization
and people who know one another by their
party affiliations, their religious affiliations,
the nuance of their opinions. Thus, there’s
more voluntary segregation, although
independents will emerge to serve as model
crossovers and feed good ideas and
consensual thinking across lines.
BEWARE THE MOBMEDIA—THE NEW BULLIES
2.
BEWARE THE MOBMEDIA—
  THE NEW BULLIES

The new bullies might be virtual. People and
brands will need to watch for flash mobs that
pop up over controversial issues, especially
when they happen around an immediate
action and involve a well-known voice, be
that a celebrity or a political figure. The
attack-from-all-angles aspect could include
the bureaucracy and advertisers, spurred by
easy access to phone numbers, complaint
sites online, organizations’ e-mail subscriber
lists and all the social media platforms that
are available at the click of a link. Plus—
today the story transforms from one about
the issue to one about the mob.
A CHILDREN’S PLACE
3.
  A CHILDREN’S PLACE

The Octomom. Jon, Kate and their eight. The
Balloon Boy family. They all illustrate that
the American opportunist has gone from
empowered fringe to media freak show. What
does the Balloon Boy story, in particular,
really mean? And is it a purely American tale
of the quest for fame, or is this part of a new
normal that says children are prime-time
accessories? We’ll see a new recognition that
influence peddling starts at the youngest
ages, and that everyone is a brand, and has
influence. We are all media, and every
campaign begins with the influence of one
and my pass-along value; look what happened
to J. Crew’s ballet slippers when the Obama
girls wore them on their summer holiday.
OBAMACLOCK
4.
          OBAMACLOCK

Tick, tock: The world will continue in 2010
to count days, weeks and months in Obama
time, measuring accomplishments and
setbacks against the president’s tenure in
office and the slow hands of time (his
daughters coming of age) versus the rapid
pace of change (hourly inputs on the world
economy, the fragile quest for peace, etc.).
HEADING OFF ANGST
5.
   HEADING OFF ANGST

There will be increased awareness of possible
links between cell phones and brain cancer;
the hidden dangers of war and the impact of
traumatic brain injuries and post-traumatic
stress disorder on soldiers, their families and
the community; and everyday injuries to the
brain (so watch for lines of helmets to
become fashionable and for new rulings on
how kids can play). Also, spas and clubs will
play up the importance of brain health on an
aging population.
NO PIGGY IN THE BANK
6.
 NO PIGGY IN THE BANK

Fundraising will be more creative for
charities and startups in the near future,
with everything from peer-to-peer lending to
online benefits becoming fairly commonplace.
The genuine challenge in the United States
will be affording higher education with
the loss of home equity. So look for new
instruments and schemes to pay for it, and
for private liberal arts colleges to become
extreme marketers to attract those who can
fund a full tuition.
IN-YOUR-FACE HONESTY
7.
IN-YOUR-FACE HONESTY

David Letterman’s straight-up
acknowledgment of his sexual activities was
a game-changer for public figures with
something to hide. As Americans focus their
worries on basics such as jobs and debts
and their anger on banker bonuses, they will
see sexual misconduct and frat-house antics
as minor issues in the greater scheme of
things. Watch out for big names playing
the honesty gambit.
GO COMMUNITY!
8.
       GO COMMUNITY!

The nation is too big and too diverse
to make sense of and to influence. The
individual is too small and too isolated to
count, and too vulnerable to feel safe. Watch
as people look for communities to
belong to, where they can feel at home,
understand the issues and make a difference.
And watch as more and more brands and
marketers connect to them there, with
hyperlocalization being the buzzword. Online
tools that can help people become more
connected and more effective in communities
will take the honors in 2010 and beyond.
THE SHADOW OF THE BOMB, AGAIN
9.
   THE SHADOW OF THE
      BOMB, AGAIN

Through the Cold War ’60s and ’70s and into
the ’80s, the world lived in the shadow of the
Bomb (remember Dr. Strangelove?) as the
two big powers played poker for global
stakes. That all went away for a generation
or so. Now it’s back, with more potential
players: Iran, North Korea, Pakistan and
maybe even terrorist groups. What’s the new
game, and how is it played? Crank up the
anxiety.
HANDS-ON ASPIRATIONS FOR INSOURCING
10.
HANDS-ON ASPIRATIONS
   FOR INSOURCING

Now that anybody can access theoretical
knowledge online, and so much employment
has shifted to the service sector and so much
activity involves intangibles, there will be
increased interest in mastering practical
skills that were previously outsourced:
growing things, making things, modifying
things and mending things. This goes from the
breakthrough high end of genetic engineering
and surgery right through to the basics of
fixing the plumbing, putting up shelves and
growing vegetables. In anxious times, the
watchword for peace of mind is: Every day,
make something or mend something.
WHAT IT MEANS

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Trends for 2010

  • 1.
  • 2. LINES THAT ZIG BUT DON’T ZAG
  • 3. 1. LINES THAT ZIG BUT DON’T ZAG Local empowerment means hyperpolarization and people who know one another by their party affiliations, their religious affiliations, the nuance of their opinions. Thus, there’s more voluntary segregation, although independents will emerge to serve as model crossovers and feed good ideas and consensual thinking across lines.
  • 5. 2. BEWARE THE MOBMEDIA— THE NEW BULLIES The new bullies might be virtual. People and brands will need to watch for flash mobs that pop up over controversial issues, especially when they happen around an immediate action and involve a well-known voice, be that a celebrity or a political figure. The attack-from-all-angles aspect could include the bureaucracy and advertisers, spurred by easy access to phone numbers, complaint sites online, organizations’ e-mail subscriber lists and all the social media platforms that are available at the click of a link. Plus— today the story transforms from one about the issue to one about the mob.
  • 7. 3. A CHILDREN’S PLACE The Octomom. Jon, Kate and their eight. The Balloon Boy family. They all illustrate that the American opportunist has gone from empowered fringe to media freak show. What does the Balloon Boy story, in particular, really mean? And is it a purely American tale of the quest for fame, or is this part of a new normal that says children are prime-time accessories? We’ll see a new recognition that influence peddling starts at the youngest ages, and that everyone is a brand, and has influence. We are all media, and every campaign begins with the influence of one and my pass-along value; look what happened to J. Crew’s ballet slippers when the Obama girls wore them on their summer holiday.
  • 9. 4. OBAMACLOCK Tick, tock: The world will continue in 2010 to count days, weeks and months in Obama time, measuring accomplishments and setbacks against the president’s tenure in office and the slow hands of time (his daughters coming of age) versus the rapid pace of change (hourly inputs on the world economy, the fragile quest for peace, etc.).
  • 11. 5. HEADING OFF ANGST There will be increased awareness of possible links between cell phones and brain cancer; the hidden dangers of war and the impact of traumatic brain injuries and post-traumatic stress disorder on soldiers, their families and the community; and everyday injuries to the brain (so watch for lines of helmets to become fashionable and for new rulings on how kids can play). Also, spas and clubs will play up the importance of brain health on an aging population.
  • 12. NO PIGGY IN THE BANK
  • 13. 6. NO PIGGY IN THE BANK Fundraising will be more creative for charities and startups in the near future, with everything from peer-to-peer lending to online benefits becoming fairly commonplace. The genuine challenge in the United States will be affording higher education with the loss of home equity. So look for new instruments and schemes to pay for it, and for private liberal arts colleges to become extreme marketers to attract those who can fund a full tuition.
  • 15. 7. IN-YOUR-FACE HONESTY David Letterman’s straight-up acknowledgment of his sexual activities was a game-changer for public figures with something to hide. As Americans focus their worries on basics such as jobs and debts and their anger on banker bonuses, they will see sexual misconduct and frat-house antics as minor issues in the greater scheme of things. Watch out for big names playing the honesty gambit.
  • 17. 8. GO COMMUNITY! The nation is too big and too diverse to make sense of and to influence. The individual is too small and too isolated to count, and too vulnerable to feel safe. Watch as people look for communities to belong to, where they can feel at home, understand the issues and make a difference. And watch as more and more brands and marketers connect to them there, with hyperlocalization being the buzzword. Online tools that can help people become more connected and more effective in communities will take the honors in 2010 and beyond.
  • 18. THE SHADOW OF THE BOMB, AGAIN
  • 19. 9. THE SHADOW OF THE BOMB, AGAIN Through the Cold War ’60s and ’70s and into the ’80s, the world lived in the shadow of the Bomb (remember Dr. Strangelove?) as the two big powers played poker for global stakes. That all went away for a generation or so. Now it’s back, with more potential players: Iran, North Korea, Pakistan and maybe even terrorist groups. What’s the new game, and how is it played? Crank up the anxiety.
  • 21. 10. HANDS-ON ASPIRATIONS FOR INSOURCING Now that anybody can access theoretical knowledge online, and so much employment has shifted to the service sector and so much activity involves intangibles, there will be increased interest in mastering practical skills that were previously outsourced: growing things, making things, modifying things and mending things. This goes from the breakthrough high end of genetic engineering and surgery right through to the basics of fixing the plumbing, putting up shelves and growing vegetables. In anxious times, the watchword for peace of mind is: Every day, make something or mend something.