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MODERATOR:
Alexander B. Kasdan, Managing Director, DelMorgan & Co.
EXPERT PANEL:
Keith Zakarin, Partner, Chair of Education Practice, Group Duane Morris LLP
Robert S. Lytle, Partner, Co-Head of Education Practice, The Parthenon Group
Neil Morganbesser, President and CEO, DelMorgan & Co.
TRENDS AND TRANSACTIONS IN
PRIVATE POST-SECONDARY EDUCATION
June 5, 2014
1
Alexander B. Kasdan, Managing Director, DelMorgan & Co., has more than twenty
years of investment banking, real estate, corporate law and corporate strategy
experience. Mr. Kasdan has executed over 100 domestic and cross-border transactions
totaling more than $10 billion in overall volume in a variety of industries. Prior to
joining DelMorgan, Mr. Kasdan founded Convergence Capital Partners, LLC, a
boutique investment banking advisory and real estate investment firm and was an
investment banker at Peter J. Solomon Company, Credit Suisse First Boston and
Merrill Lynch, in New York and Moscow, Russia.
Mr. Kasdan practiced law with O’Melveny & Myers LLP (formerly O’Sullivan Graev
& Karabell LLP) and Paul, Hastings, Janofsky & Walker LLP (formerly Battle Fowler
LLP), where he specialized in mergers and acquisitions, private equity and corporate
finance transactions. In addition, Mr. Kasdan served as Corporate Counsel in charge of
business development at Schlumberger Ltd., a global oilfield and information services
company.
Mr. Kasdan graduated magna cum laude from Middlebury College with a B.A. degree
in Economics and Italian and was elected to Phi Beta Kappa during his junior year. In
addition, he holds a J.D. degree from Columbia University Law School and has studied
at the University of Florence in Italy. Mr. Kasdan is admitted to the Bar in the State of
New York.
Mr. Kasdan is a Senior Advisor to Governance and Transactions LLC, an advisory firm
established in 2003 by Mr. James L. Gunderson, former Secretary and General Counsel
of Schlumberger Limited, to assist boards, management and owners with corporate
governance, compliance, structuring and strategic transactions.
100 Wilshire Blvd.
Suite 750
Santa Monica, CA 90401
+1 (310) 980-1718
ak@delmorganco.com
www.delmorganco.com
2
Keith Zakarin is the chair of Duane Morris' Education
Practice Group and is a member of the firm's Partners
Board. Mr. Zakarin exclusively represents private
postsecondary schools and colleges. His representation of
these schools nationwide includes such diverse areas of law as
student and employee litigation, regulatory and administrative
counseling and litigation, mergers and acquisitions,
accreditation counseling and advocacy, employment
counseling and risk management.
Mr. Zakarin is not just a lawyer representing colleges; he owns
and operates an accredited private college.
Mr. Zakarin is a 1986 graduate of the University of California,
Berkeley, Boalt Hall School of Law, and a summa cum laude
graduate of the University of California at San Diego.
750 B Street, Suite 2900
San Diego, CA 92101-4681
+1 (619) 744-2278
Kzakarin@duanemorris.com
www.duanemorris.com
3
Robert S. Lytle is a partner and Co-Head of The
Parthenon Group’s Education Practice. For more than 15
years, he has led client engagements on general strategy,
performance improvement, and investment due diligence
across a broad spectrum educational organizations. Robert’s
clients include high-growth companies, publicly listed Global
100 companies, non-profit institutions, financial investors, and
international governments. In addition, Robert has
participated in numerous high-profile corporate turnarounds,
mergers, divestitures, and privatizations in Europe, North
America, Latin America, the Middle East, and Asia.
Robert is a frequent speaker at leading global forums in the
education sector. Prior to joining Parthenon, Robert was with
Bain & Company and served as a U.S. Army aviator.
He holds a B.S.E. in Economics from the Wharton School of
Business and an M.B.A., with high distinction, from the Tuck
School of Business at Dartmouth.
50 Rowes Wharf
Boston, MA 02110
+1 (617) 478-7096
RobL@Parthenon.com
www.Parthenon.com
4
Neil Morganbesser is co-Founder and President & CEO of DelMorgan & Co. where he provides
senior leadership within the firm and helps oversee all client engagements. Mr. Morganbesser is also
CEO of Globalist Capital LLC, DelMorgan’s broker-dealer affiliate. Mr. Morganbesser has over 20
years of experience providing financial and strategic advice to a full range of clients, including
entrepreneurs, large corporations, governments, family businesses, private equity funds, and special
committees of public companies.
Mr. Morganbesser has been affiliated with some of the leading institutions in the world, and his
experience ranges from representing the offshore owners in the sale of a small, private U.S. company
for $10 million to representing the special committee of a large, public company in a $9 billion
negotiated management buyout with a highly complex financial structure.
Mr. Morganbesser has truly global experience with the most sophisticated transactions, across a broad
range of industries and in a large number of jurisdictions, as the lead banker on a wide variety of
transactional and other advisory assignments, including domestic and cross-border mergers,
acquisitions, joint ventures, sales and divestitures, restructurings, special committee assignments,
unsolicited acquisitions and hostile defense. With transactional experience in over 30 countries, Mr.
Morganbesser has successfully advised on over 75 transactions.
Until May 2008, Mr. Morganbesser was the head of West Coast and Asia Mergers & Acquisitions at
Bear Stearns & Co., as a Senior Managing Director based in Los Angeles. Prior to joining Bear
Stearns in May 2001, Mr. Morganbesser was an investment banker in the Mergers, Acquisitions and
Restructuring Department at Morgan Stanley (in New York from 1993-1998 and in Los Angeles from
1998-2001). From 1990-1993, Mr. Morganbesser was a corporate and M&A attorney at the
preeminent New York law firm of Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz.
Mr. Morganbesser graduated with an A.B. magna cum laude in Applied Mathematics / Economics
from Harvard University (Phi Beta Kappa) in 1986 and received his J.D. and M.B.A. degrees (Order
of the Coif, with honors) from Stanford University in 1990.
100 Wilshire Blvd.
Suite 750
Santa Monica, CA 90401
+1 (310) 319-2000
nm@delmorganco.com
www.delmorganco.com
5
ORGANIZER & HOST:
Anna Spektor is the Founder and host of Expert Webcast,
a sophisticated digital source of expertise for the professional
and the business communities domestically and internationally.
Producing the industry’s leading webcast panels covering
corporate, M&A, restructuring and finance topics, Expert
Webcast addresses timely and relevant issues faced by general
counsel, C-level executives, boards of directors, business
owners and their advisors, as well as institutional investors.
100 Wilshire Blvd.
Suite 750
Santa Monica, CA 90401
+1 (310) 995-6579
anna@expertpresence.com
www.expertpresence.com
6
MAJOR TOPICS
•  Current investment climate and market in private post-secondary
education
•  Key federal and state regulatory issues that affect risk, pricing
and structure
•  Student and employee litigation and risk management
•  Identification of risk indicia and risk assessment
•  Trends in auction activity and related purchase and sale strategies
•  Case studies
7
OVERVIEW OF THE POST-SECONDARY SPACE
•  Enrollments
o  Macro-economic cycle
o  Difference between two and four year schools
o  Online competition from traditional schools
•  Deal activity
o  Exiting PE players too long in the tooth
o  Smaller schools with exiting owners
o  Some large (5,000 students +) that won’t wait any longer
o  Regulatory issues driven deals, especially 90-10
8
OVERVIEW OF THE POST-SECONDARY SPACE
•  Key federal issues driving deals
o  Gainful employment considerations; expensive degree
programs in particular – 90-10 plays, especially training
schools
o  Overall nastiness in the space by the feds causing owner
fatigue
o  Composite-score driven deals
•  Accreditation environment and its affect on deals
o  Regionals not willing to play ball on for-profit conversions
(Thunderbird)
o  Push at the ED level to federalize accreditation has created a
reactionary climate as the accreditors, particularly the nationals.
This creates instability
o  Diligence on placement outcomes important
9
TRANSACTIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE POST-
SECONDARY SPACE
•  Range of deal pricing
o  Auction activity still highest, except in troubled school deals
o  Small schools trade at 3-5x EBITDA
o  90-10 plays at significant premiums to EBITDA
o  Regulatory clarity has substantial impact on pricing
•  Successful deals
•  Emphasis on regulatory basics, especially outcomes
•  More exotic 90-10 situations pre-cleared with ED more often
•  More modeling on GE
•  Deep evaluation of student ROI – both good for the overall
value proposition and good for metric compliance
10
WHERE IS THE SECTOR HEADING?
•  Differentiation increasingly important
•  Persistence, persistence, persistence
•  Deeper channel partnerships (e.g., uniformed services and
corporate)
•  Innovation toward competency-based degrees
•  Price battles
THE PARTHENON GROUP
Key Issues and Trends in For-Profit
Higher Education
Parthenon Perspectives
June 2014
THE PARTHENON GROUP
2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5M
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
5%
15%
('99-'12)
CAGR
-5%
0%
('12-'19)
CAGR
2 Year For-Profit
4 Year For-Profit
0
5
10
15M
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2 Year For-Profit
4 Year For-Profit
2 Year
Not-For-Profit
4 Year
Not-For-Profit
2%
2%
15%
5%
('99-'12)
3%
CAGR
0%
-2%
0%
-5%
('12-'19)
-1%
CAGR
Enrollments: Macro Economics
Enrollments across all institution types are expected to
flatten or decline slightly over the next 5-7 years
H F
Post-Secondary Enrollments, 1999-2019F
Source: Parthenon HED Enrollment Forecast
H F
For-Profit Institution Enrollments, 1999-2019F
THE PARTHENON GROUP
3
Enrollments: Macro Economics
Parthenon models post-secondary enrollments using a
number of independent market drivers
Source: Parthenon Analysis
4-Year Not-for-Profit
Enrollment Model
Drivers
4-Year Student
Age-Weighted
Population
Unemployment &
Mean Weeks
Unemployed
Trend Towards
Higher Education
4-Year For-Profit
Enrollment Model
Drivers
Unemployment &
Mean Weeks
Unemployed
For-Profit
Enrollment Trend
Private Sector
Real SG&A
(Marketing spend)
2-Year Not-for-Profit
Enrollment Model
Drivers
2-Year Student
Age-Weighted
Population
Unemployment &
Mean Weeks
Unemployed
Trend Towards
2-Year Education
2-Year For-Profit
Enrollment Model
Drivers
Unemployment &
Mean Weeks
Unemployed
Share of
Enrollment Online
Lower 2 Income
Quintile Access to
Higher Education
2-Year
Undergraduate
Tuition
Not-for-Profit Enrollment For-Profit Enrollment
Private Sector
Real SG&A
(Marketing spend)
4-Year Student
Age-Weighted
Population
2-Year Student
Age-Weighted
Population
THE PARTHENON GROUP
4
Enrollments: Macro Economics
Enrollment drivers are fairly common across sub-sectors
and consider underlying factors and recent trends
• Population weighted by age groups relevant to 2-year, 4-year
and post-secondary institutions; more potential students
leads to higher enrollments
• Represents the duration for which workers remain
unemployed; less confidence in job prospects after
prolonged unemployment lowers interest in education
• Unemployed workers traditionally return to school to improve
job prospects
Higher Education Enrollment Drivers
Driver Impact Description/Rationale Models
Weighted Population of
Student Demographic
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
Unemployment
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
Average Weeks of
Unemployment
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
Private Sector Real SG&A • Metric for marketing spend by for-profit institutions; marketing
has a positive impact on enrollment in for-profit institutions
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
Positive Industry Penetration of
For-Profit Education
• Increasing trend towards attaining post-secondary education
that that impacts for-profits; impact has since started to taper
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
Share of Enrollment Online • Captures the shift to online learning which benefits
enrollment of for-profit institutions, which over-index online
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
2-Year Undergraduate
Tuition
• Higher tuition levels discourage enrollment
4NFP 2NFP
4FP 2FP
THE PARTHENON GROUP
5
Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing
Strong traditional brands are now targeting the same
students as the for-profit sector
0
20
40
60
80
100%
All
Universities
Programs
Offered
Online/
Hybrid
Tier-I
Universities
Programs
Offered
Online/
Hybrid
Programs
Not Offered
Online
Programs Not
Offered Online
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Institutions' Online/
Hybrid Status
Not Online/Hybrid
Offerings
Offer
Online Courses
(But No Online
Programs)
Online/ Hybrid
Degree Program
3.6K
Percent of Completions Where
Online/Hybrid Programs are
Offered in Program Area, 2011
Public and Not-for-Profit
Institutions, Percent Offering
Online/Hybrid, 2011
Note:    “Traditional  Institutions”    excludes  private  sector institutions; Fully online programs denote programs in which there are zero on-campus course requirements for completion; Hybrid program
requirements vary but hybrid programs typically have greater than 60% of coursework offered online; Academic Professionals include Chief Academic Professionals such as Deans or Provosts
Source:    Peterson’s  Distance  Learning  Database;;  IPEDS;;  Deutsche  Bank;;  School  Websites;;  Barron’s  Ranking  of  Post-Secondary Schools
Babson  Group’s  Annual  
Survey: Going the Distance:
Online Education in the
United States, 2011:
• 65% of institutions said
online learning is,  “a  critical  
part of their long-term
strategy”
• 67% of academic
professionals rated online
education courses as the
same or superior to face-
to-face instruction
• 70% of academic
professionals believe
students are as satisfied
with online courses as they
are with face-to-face
THE PARTHENON GROUP
6
0
2
4
6K
0.3K
2012
Purely
Online
5.5K
107%
2008
('08-'12)
CAGR
$115MEst. Revenue
0
20
40
60
80
100K
2008
27.6K
2012
Purely
Online
82.6K
32%
('08-'12)
CAGR
$523MEst. Revenue
Southern New Hampshire University
Enrollment
University of Southern California
Enrollment
Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing
Traditional institutions are coming online and when they
act commercially, they tend to thrive…
Arizona State University
Enrollment
Liberty University
Enrollment
0
4
8
12K
2007
2.7K
2012
Purely Online
20.0K
49%
('07-'12)
CAGR
$106MEst. Revenue
0
2
4
6
8K
2010
2.5K
2012
Purely Online
6.5K
61%
('10-'12)
CAGR
$46MEst. Revenue
Source: University financial statements, university websites, Fast Company, Deutsche Bank Report, NYT, Parthenon analysis
THE PARTHENON GROUP
7
Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing
…their  brands  are  powerful…
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
6/2007
6/2008
6/2009
6/2010
6/2011
6/2012
6/2013
Not for Profit
For Profit
Index of Google Searches for Top For-Profit and Not-For-Profit Institutions,
2007-2014
Note:  For  profit  index  consists  of  “University  of  Phoenix”,  “Ashford  University”,  and  “Kaplan  University”;;  Not  for  profit  index consists  of  “Liberty  Online  University”,  “Western  Governors  
University”,  and  “SNHU”.    Indices  are  indexed  to  one  for  the  beginning  period  and  represent  a  rolling  6-week average.
Source: Google Trends
(Liberty, WGU, SNHU)
(U of P, Ashford, Kaplan)
THE PARTHENON GROUP
8
Company Select Partners
Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing
...and they often partner with third party online enablers
THE PARTHENON GROUP
9
Regulatory Issues
While all regulatory issues require monitoring, Gainful
Employment (GE) is the primary current issue
Higher Education
Act
Gainful Employment
(as proposed)
Cohort Default Rate
90/10 Revenue
Percentage
Accreditation
Reform
Title IV
Safe Harbors
Regulatory
Status
• HEA is
reauthorized every
few years by
Congress, and is
set to expire this
year
• Unlikely to be acted
on until after the
November midterm
elections
• Limitations
(repayment rates
>45% and/or debt
burdens <8% of
total income) struck
down in 2012
• DoE released new
draft in Dec. 2013;
final draft to be
released in March
before public
comment period
• Three-year CDRs
will be enforced
starting in 2014
• Schools with a
three-year CDR
>30% for three
years will face
sanctions; the 40%
one-year threshold
was unchanged
• No pending
changes
• VA benefits are
included in the 10%
– possibly up for
debate
• Possibility of just
including Title IV
eligible students in
calculations
• Under Sen. Lee’s  
(R-Utah) proposal,
states could opt to
set up their own
accreditation
organizations
• New York already
follows this model
• Obama endorses
tying performance
metrics to fed aid
• DOE eliminated 12
“safe  harbors”  in  
2010
• For-Profits
attempting to have
several of those
safe harbors
restored
• Action unlikely in
2014
Commentary
• “I  highly  doubt  
congress will deal
with this in 2014,
even though it is
set to expire.
They’ll  wait  for  after  
the elections and
probably just keep
things  the  same”  –
Senior VP, Inifilaw
• “They  came  back  
with round 2 and
came back that
they want stricter
rules because of
the language they
got.  This  won’t  be  
good at all for the
for-profits”  –
Principal, Ritzert
Leyton
• “They  are  easy  to  
manipulate, our
overall takeaway is
don’t  be  that  
concerned, only the
bad schools and
programs will be
affected”  – Senior
VP, EDMC
• “The  for-profit
graduate schools
have a large
number of students
who  don’t  take  Title  
IV funding, so
they’re  not  really  at  
risk  here”  – Former
Federal Regulatory
Affairs Manager,
Kaplan
• “I  don’t  think  
anything will
happen here until
2015, probably
2016  at  the  earliest”  
– Veterans of
Foreign Wars of
The United States,
Legislative
Associate
“I  don’t  see  any  
change here in the
near future. They
can’t  enforce  them  
anyway”  – Former
Higher Ed Legal and
Regulatory
Consultant, Apollo
Group
Threat to
For-Profits
Source: DOE, PBS, US News and World Report, Inside HigherEd, FinAid, Parthenon Interviews
High Low
THE PARTHENON GROUP
10
Regulatory Issues
The current draft of GE regulations place aggressive
thresholds on debt-to-earnings and cohort default rates
Metrics
Annual Debt-to-Earnings (aDTE)
Discretionary Debt-to-Earnings (dDTE)
Program Cohort
Default Rate (CDR)
Population Measured Completers Completers & Non-Completers
Categories and Thresholds Pass:  Annual  DTE≤8%  OR  Discretionary  DTE≤20%
Zone:
• 8%<Annual  DTE≤12%  
OR
• 20%<  Discretionary  DTE≤30%
Fail: Annual DTE>12% AND Discretionary
DTE>30%
Note: 10-Year Amortization Period
Pass: Program CDR<30%
Fail:  Program  CDR≥30%
Ineligibility Rules
(metrics operate
independently of each other)
A program becomes Title IV ineligible for 3 years if:
• It fails in any 2 out of 3 years, OR
• Does not pass in any 1 out of 4 years (time for
zone programs to improve before ineligibility)
A program becomes Title IV ineligible for 3 years if:
• The 3-year default rate of 3 consecutive cohorts
of students is greater than or equal to 30%
Restrictions • Written warnings to students if a program could
become ineligible for Title IV funds for the next
award year (applies to zone & failing programs)
• Title  IV  enrollment  limited  to  previous  year’s  level  
for failing programs (or after third year of being in
zone)
• Written warnings to students if a program could
become ineligible for Title IV funds for the next
award year
• Title  IV  enrollment  limited  to  previous  year’s  level  
if program could become ineligible at the end of
the year
Source: DoE
Must Pass One Metric from Each Column to Pass GE
THE PARTHENON GROUP
11
Reasserting Growth
How does the sector get back on a growth trajectory?
Persistence, Persistence, Persistence
1
Focus on the Adult Learner
2
Consolidate and Drive Efficiencies
3
Redeploy Capital
4
Look Towards Services Markets
5
THE PARTHENON GROUP
12
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Reasserting Growth: Persistence, Persistence, Persistence
Overall outcomes (for-profit, non-profit, public) are
disappointing and persistence has compelling economics
Sources: IPEDS
0
20
40
60
80
100%
80%+
50%-79%
20%-49%
Less than 20%
3,898
Percent of Institutions with
Given Graduation Rate
Lifetime Cohort Revenue
PercentofLifetimeRevenue
Percent of Starters
Attract More
Increase the
persistence and
graduation rate
Should we start
them?
THE PARTHENON GROUP
13
Reasserting Growth: Focus on the Adult Learner
Distinct student groups with different sets of needs can
be reached through innovative course offerings
OnlineOfferings
“Traditional”  Students Career Enhancers Self-Directed Learners
Online/hybrid courses for
campus-based first-time
full-time students
Fully-online and
competency-based
degree programs for
adults looking to enhance
their employment prospects
Open-Access Options
(MOOCs, OER, OCW, etc.)
for a wide age range of
students seeking to
accelerate credit
accumulation at a
very low cost
Requirementsfor
Success
• Tight coordination with
onsite courses
• Supplemental student
supports to drive student
engagement
• Continuous starts,
competency options
• Close alignment with
labor market needs
• Quality evaluation
frameworks and testing
policies to allow for
awarding of credits
THE PARTHENON GROUP
14
Reasserting Growth: Focus on the Adult Learner
Pushing innovation in competency-based programs while
leveraging channel partners can combat traditional brands
Why a Competency Orientation? Why Channel Partners?
• Supports students desire for a
practical employment focused
education
• Aligns with employer needs while still
providing  the  “certification”  of  a  degree
• Can support a lower cost structure
• Leverages the channel partners brand
• Long term better student acquisition
model
• Keeps institution attuned to shifting
employer needs and forces a
responsive curriculum and pedagogy
THE PARTHENON GROUP
15
Reasserting Growth: Consolidate and Drive Efficiencies
The market is highly fragmented, utilization is low, and
business processes are becoming more crucial
Program
Design
Inquiry Admission Fin Aid Onboarding
Instruction
& Student
Support
Exit
Processes
Accounts
Receivable
Collection
THE PARTHENON GROUP
16
Reasserting Growth: Redeploy Capital
Global education markets are fueled, primarily, by rising
household wealth…
Threshold For Private Schooling
90’s 00’s 10’s
PercentofHouseholds
Household Income
Households which
can afford higher
quality education
(primary, secondary,
or tertiary) for their
children
Distribution of Household Income
The relationship between
household income and
attainment of higher quality
education (private schooling)
is not a 1:1. Instead, as HH
income rises over time, the
number of families that are
able to send their children to
private schools increases in
a greater proportion than
household income
As average household income rises, the number of households above
the private education affordability threshold rises more quickly
THE PARTHENON GROUP
17
Redeploy Capital
Wherever income is rising, so too is the demand for
post-secondary education
100%
1999
1999
1999
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19991999
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2007
2007
PPP adjusted GNI per Capita
$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000
EnrollmentRatio
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Tertiary Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) vs. Income, 1999 and 2007
(80 countries from around the world)
Note:  UNESCO’s  Gross  Enrolment  ratio  ISCED  5  and  6.  This  ratio  is  calculated  using  the  number  of  pupils  enrolled  in  International Standard Classification of Education (ISCED) level 5 and 6
representing stages of tertiary education, regardless of age, expressed as a percentage of the population in the five-year age group following on from the secondary school leaving age
Source: BMO Capital Report (2009); UNESCO; World Bank
THE PARTHENON GROUP
18
Reasserting Growth: Look Towards Services Markets
Higher education institutions are increasingly embracing
business processes
Note: *Aramark was founded in 1936 and AVI Food Systems in 1961 but it is not known when they started servicing universities
**Bisk was founded in 1971 as a test prep company but did not enter online program development until 1998
Spectrum of University Functions That Have Been Managed by Vendors
(Representative, not Comprehensive)
Document &
Data Storage
Finance &
Accounting
Human
Resources
Financial Aid
& Student
Loans
Information
Systems
Management
Dormitories
Food Service
IT Support Institutional & Operational Support
Enrollment
Management
Academics
Online
Platform
Instruction
Course
Development
Back End Front End Academic Core
ExampleVendors
• XACT Telesolutions (1976)
• Infosys (1981)
• Affiliated Computer Systems (1988)
• Sallie Mae
(1972)
• Nelnet (1977)
• Royall & Co
(1989)
• ESM (1995)
• QuinStreet
(1999)
• InsideTrack
(2001)
• Embanet-Compass
(1995)
• Deltak (1996)
• Bisk (1998*)
• Learning House (2001)
• Academic Partnerships
(2007)
• 2Tor (2008)
• Educational
Housing
Services
(1987)
• Aramark*
• AVI Food
Systems*
1970s-80s 1990s-Today
Inception of
Outsourcing:
?
UniversityFunctions
Marketing &
Recruitment
Student
Coaching
Market Penetration
of Outsourcing:
THE PARTHENON GROUP
19
Reasserting Growth: Look Towards Services Markets
There is significant institutional spending in areas that
could benefit from partnerships
Source: Parthenon analysis
Back End Front End
0
20
40
60
80
100%
IT Support
Currently Partner-Supplied
$15B
Finance and
Accounting
$7B
HR
$3B $2B $2B
Admissions
$11B
Development and
Alumni Affairs
$6B
Financial Aid and Student Loans
Endowment Management
$1B
Marketing and Recruitment
Total = $47B
Institutional Support Student Services
Relevant Categories of Post-Secondary Institutional Expenditure
THE PARTHENON GROUP
20
What Informs Our Perspective?
Parthenon teams have completed over 900 education
projects in more than 60 countries
Pre-Kindergarten K-12 University
Vocational
and Other
Career and
Professional
Education Sector Projects
Completed by Parthenon
Parthenon Offices
THE PARTHENON GROUP
21
What Informs Our Perspective?
Public and private sector work provides a strong
sense  of  what  is  happening  “on  the  front  lines”
We advise
leading education
institutions…
• Federal, state, and local
educational authorities
• Charter schools, private K-
12 schools, and other
innovative education
providers
• Global post-secondary
institutions
• Foundations on the
forefront of education
reform
…work  with  the  organizations  
that  help  meet  their  needs…
• Educational publishing
• Testing and assessments
• Tutoring
• Intervention
• Special Education
• Technology providers
• Consumer education
products
…and  cover  almost  every  
large and mid-sized
transaction in global markets
• North America
• Latin America
• Europe
• Gulf Cooperative Countries
• Africa
• Asia, Southeast Asia, and
Asia-Pacific
THE PARTHENON GROUP
22
About The Parthenon Group and our advisory services
for investing in education
About The
Parthenon
Group
The Parthenon Group is a leading advisory firm focused on strategy consulting, with offices in Boston, London, Mumbai,
San Francisco, and Shanghai. Since its inception in 1991, the firm has embraced a unique approach to strategic advisory
services built on long-term client relationships, a willingness to share risk, an entrepreneurial spirit, and customized insights.
This unique approach has established the firm as the strategic advisor of choice for CEOs and business leaders of Global 1000
corporations, high-potential growth companies, private equity firms, educational institutions, and healthcare organizations.
The Parthenon Group advises clients in all stages of investing in education companies, including target identification and
screening, strategic due diligence, portfolio company strategy and operational improvement, and sell-side support. The
combination  of  Parthenon’s  Private  Equity  Practice,  which  has  advised  clients  on  more than 1,000 transactions, and our
Education Practice, which has worked across all aspects of for-profit and non-profit education, make The Parthenon Group the
preeminent advisor to private equity firms considering investments in the education industry.
Learn more about us at www.parthenon.com.
Robert Lytle
Partner, Co-Head of Education Practice
robl@parthenon.com
617.478.7096
Executive Assistant:
Deb Spitzley
deborahs@parthenon.com
617.478.6312
Follow Us
for Regular
Updates
Twitter | @Parthenon_Group
Facebook | www.facebook.com/ParthenonGroup
LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/the-parthenon-group
Advisory
Services for
Investing in
Education
Twitter | @Robert_S_Lytle

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Trends and Transactions in Private Post-Secondary Education

  • 1. MODERATOR: Alexander B. Kasdan, Managing Director, DelMorgan & Co. EXPERT PANEL: Keith Zakarin, Partner, Chair of Education Practice, Group Duane Morris LLP Robert S. Lytle, Partner, Co-Head of Education Practice, The Parthenon Group Neil Morganbesser, President and CEO, DelMorgan & Co. TRENDS AND TRANSACTIONS IN PRIVATE POST-SECONDARY EDUCATION June 5, 2014
  • 2. 1 Alexander B. Kasdan, Managing Director, DelMorgan & Co., has more than twenty years of investment banking, real estate, corporate law and corporate strategy experience. Mr. Kasdan has executed over 100 domestic and cross-border transactions totaling more than $10 billion in overall volume in a variety of industries. Prior to joining DelMorgan, Mr. Kasdan founded Convergence Capital Partners, LLC, a boutique investment banking advisory and real estate investment firm and was an investment banker at Peter J. Solomon Company, Credit Suisse First Boston and Merrill Lynch, in New York and Moscow, Russia. Mr. Kasdan practiced law with O’Melveny & Myers LLP (formerly O’Sullivan Graev & Karabell LLP) and Paul, Hastings, Janofsky & Walker LLP (formerly Battle Fowler LLP), where he specialized in mergers and acquisitions, private equity and corporate finance transactions. In addition, Mr. Kasdan served as Corporate Counsel in charge of business development at Schlumberger Ltd., a global oilfield and information services company. Mr. Kasdan graduated magna cum laude from Middlebury College with a B.A. degree in Economics and Italian and was elected to Phi Beta Kappa during his junior year. In addition, he holds a J.D. degree from Columbia University Law School and has studied at the University of Florence in Italy. Mr. Kasdan is admitted to the Bar in the State of New York. Mr. Kasdan is a Senior Advisor to Governance and Transactions LLC, an advisory firm established in 2003 by Mr. James L. Gunderson, former Secretary and General Counsel of Schlumberger Limited, to assist boards, management and owners with corporate governance, compliance, structuring and strategic transactions. 100 Wilshire Blvd. Suite 750 Santa Monica, CA 90401 +1 (310) 980-1718 ak@delmorganco.com www.delmorganco.com
  • 3. 2 Keith Zakarin is the chair of Duane Morris' Education Practice Group and is a member of the firm's Partners Board. Mr. Zakarin exclusively represents private postsecondary schools and colleges. His representation of these schools nationwide includes such diverse areas of law as student and employee litigation, regulatory and administrative counseling and litigation, mergers and acquisitions, accreditation counseling and advocacy, employment counseling and risk management. Mr. Zakarin is not just a lawyer representing colleges; he owns and operates an accredited private college. Mr. Zakarin is a 1986 graduate of the University of California, Berkeley, Boalt Hall School of Law, and a summa cum laude graduate of the University of California at San Diego. 750 B Street, Suite 2900 San Diego, CA 92101-4681 +1 (619) 744-2278 Kzakarin@duanemorris.com www.duanemorris.com
  • 4. 3 Robert S. Lytle is a partner and Co-Head of The Parthenon Group’s Education Practice. For more than 15 years, he has led client engagements on general strategy, performance improvement, and investment due diligence across a broad spectrum educational organizations. Robert’s clients include high-growth companies, publicly listed Global 100 companies, non-profit institutions, financial investors, and international governments. In addition, Robert has participated in numerous high-profile corporate turnarounds, mergers, divestitures, and privatizations in Europe, North America, Latin America, the Middle East, and Asia. Robert is a frequent speaker at leading global forums in the education sector. Prior to joining Parthenon, Robert was with Bain & Company and served as a U.S. Army aviator. He holds a B.S.E. in Economics from the Wharton School of Business and an M.B.A., with high distinction, from the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth. 50 Rowes Wharf Boston, MA 02110 +1 (617) 478-7096 RobL@Parthenon.com www.Parthenon.com
  • 5. 4 Neil Morganbesser is co-Founder and President & CEO of DelMorgan & Co. where he provides senior leadership within the firm and helps oversee all client engagements. Mr. Morganbesser is also CEO of Globalist Capital LLC, DelMorgan’s broker-dealer affiliate. Mr. Morganbesser has over 20 years of experience providing financial and strategic advice to a full range of clients, including entrepreneurs, large corporations, governments, family businesses, private equity funds, and special committees of public companies. Mr. Morganbesser has been affiliated with some of the leading institutions in the world, and his experience ranges from representing the offshore owners in the sale of a small, private U.S. company for $10 million to representing the special committee of a large, public company in a $9 billion negotiated management buyout with a highly complex financial structure. Mr. Morganbesser has truly global experience with the most sophisticated transactions, across a broad range of industries and in a large number of jurisdictions, as the lead banker on a wide variety of transactional and other advisory assignments, including domestic and cross-border mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures, sales and divestitures, restructurings, special committee assignments, unsolicited acquisitions and hostile defense. With transactional experience in over 30 countries, Mr. Morganbesser has successfully advised on over 75 transactions. Until May 2008, Mr. Morganbesser was the head of West Coast and Asia Mergers & Acquisitions at Bear Stearns & Co., as a Senior Managing Director based in Los Angeles. Prior to joining Bear Stearns in May 2001, Mr. Morganbesser was an investment banker in the Mergers, Acquisitions and Restructuring Department at Morgan Stanley (in New York from 1993-1998 and in Los Angeles from 1998-2001). From 1990-1993, Mr. Morganbesser was a corporate and M&A attorney at the preeminent New York law firm of Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz. Mr. Morganbesser graduated with an A.B. magna cum laude in Applied Mathematics / Economics from Harvard University (Phi Beta Kappa) in 1986 and received his J.D. and M.B.A. degrees (Order of the Coif, with honors) from Stanford University in 1990. 100 Wilshire Blvd. Suite 750 Santa Monica, CA 90401 +1 (310) 319-2000 nm@delmorganco.com www.delmorganco.com
  • 6. 5 ORGANIZER & HOST: Anna Spektor is the Founder and host of Expert Webcast, a sophisticated digital source of expertise for the professional and the business communities domestically and internationally. Producing the industry’s leading webcast panels covering corporate, M&A, restructuring and finance topics, Expert Webcast addresses timely and relevant issues faced by general counsel, C-level executives, boards of directors, business owners and their advisors, as well as institutional investors. 100 Wilshire Blvd. Suite 750 Santa Monica, CA 90401 +1 (310) 995-6579 anna@expertpresence.com www.expertpresence.com
  • 7. 6 MAJOR TOPICS •  Current investment climate and market in private post-secondary education •  Key federal and state regulatory issues that affect risk, pricing and structure •  Student and employee litigation and risk management •  Identification of risk indicia and risk assessment •  Trends in auction activity and related purchase and sale strategies •  Case studies
  • 8. 7 OVERVIEW OF THE POST-SECONDARY SPACE •  Enrollments o  Macro-economic cycle o  Difference between two and four year schools o  Online competition from traditional schools •  Deal activity o  Exiting PE players too long in the tooth o  Smaller schools with exiting owners o  Some large (5,000 students +) that won’t wait any longer o  Regulatory issues driven deals, especially 90-10
  • 9. 8 OVERVIEW OF THE POST-SECONDARY SPACE •  Key federal issues driving deals o  Gainful employment considerations; expensive degree programs in particular – 90-10 plays, especially training schools o  Overall nastiness in the space by the feds causing owner fatigue o  Composite-score driven deals •  Accreditation environment and its affect on deals o  Regionals not willing to play ball on for-profit conversions (Thunderbird) o  Push at the ED level to federalize accreditation has created a reactionary climate as the accreditors, particularly the nationals. This creates instability o  Diligence on placement outcomes important
  • 10. 9 TRANSACTIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE POST- SECONDARY SPACE •  Range of deal pricing o  Auction activity still highest, except in troubled school deals o  Small schools trade at 3-5x EBITDA o  90-10 plays at significant premiums to EBITDA o  Regulatory clarity has substantial impact on pricing •  Successful deals •  Emphasis on regulatory basics, especially outcomes •  More exotic 90-10 situations pre-cleared with ED more often •  More modeling on GE •  Deep evaluation of student ROI – both good for the overall value proposition and good for metric compliance
  • 11. 10 WHERE IS THE SECTOR HEADING? •  Differentiation increasingly important •  Persistence, persistence, persistence •  Deeper channel partnerships (e.g., uniformed services and corporate) •  Innovation toward competency-based degrees •  Price battles
  • 12. THE PARTHENON GROUP Key Issues and Trends in For-Profit Higher Education Parthenon Perspectives June 2014
  • 13. THE PARTHENON GROUP 2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5M 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 5% 15% ('99-'12) CAGR -5% 0% ('12-'19) CAGR 2 Year For-Profit 4 Year For-Profit 0 5 10 15M 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2 Year For-Profit 4 Year For-Profit 2 Year Not-For-Profit 4 Year Not-For-Profit 2% 2% 15% 5% ('99-'12) 3% CAGR 0% -2% 0% -5% ('12-'19) -1% CAGR Enrollments: Macro Economics Enrollments across all institution types are expected to flatten or decline slightly over the next 5-7 years H F Post-Secondary Enrollments, 1999-2019F Source: Parthenon HED Enrollment Forecast H F For-Profit Institution Enrollments, 1999-2019F
  • 14. THE PARTHENON GROUP 3 Enrollments: Macro Economics Parthenon models post-secondary enrollments using a number of independent market drivers Source: Parthenon Analysis 4-Year Not-for-Profit Enrollment Model Drivers 4-Year Student Age-Weighted Population Unemployment & Mean Weeks Unemployed Trend Towards Higher Education 4-Year For-Profit Enrollment Model Drivers Unemployment & Mean Weeks Unemployed For-Profit Enrollment Trend Private Sector Real SG&A (Marketing spend) 2-Year Not-for-Profit Enrollment Model Drivers 2-Year Student Age-Weighted Population Unemployment & Mean Weeks Unemployed Trend Towards 2-Year Education 2-Year For-Profit Enrollment Model Drivers Unemployment & Mean Weeks Unemployed Share of Enrollment Online Lower 2 Income Quintile Access to Higher Education 2-Year Undergraduate Tuition Not-for-Profit Enrollment For-Profit Enrollment Private Sector Real SG&A (Marketing spend) 4-Year Student Age-Weighted Population 2-Year Student Age-Weighted Population
  • 15. THE PARTHENON GROUP 4 Enrollments: Macro Economics Enrollment drivers are fairly common across sub-sectors and consider underlying factors and recent trends • Population weighted by age groups relevant to 2-year, 4-year and post-secondary institutions; more potential students leads to higher enrollments • Represents the duration for which workers remain unemployed; less confidence in job prospects after prolonged unemployment lowers interest in education • Unemployed workers traditionally return to school to improve job prospects Higher Education Enrollment Drivers Driver Impact Description/Rationale Models Weighted Population of Student Demographic 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP Unemployment 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP Average Weeks of Unemployment 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP Private Sector Real SG&A • Metric for marketing spend by for-profit institutions; marketing has a positive impact on enrollment in for-profit institutions 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP Positive Industry Penetration of For-Profit Education • Increasing trend towards attaining post-secondary education that that impacts for-profits; impact has since started to taper 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP Share of Enrollment Online • Captures the shift to online learning which benefits enrollment of for-profit institutions, which over-index online 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP 2-Year Undergraduate Tuition • Higher tuition levels discourage enrollment 4NFP 2NFP 4FP 2FP
  • 16. THE PARTHENON GROUP 5 Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing Strong traditional brands are now targeting the same students as the for-profit sector 0 20 40 60 80 100% All Universities Programs Offered Online/ Hybrid Tier-I Universities Programs Offered Online/ Hybrid Programs Not Offered Online Programs Not Offered Online 0 20 40 60 80 100% Institutions' Online/ Hybrid Status Not Online/Hybrid Offerings Offer Online Courses (But No Online Programs) Online/ Hybrid Degree Program 3.6K Percent of Completions Where Online/Hybrid Programs are Offered in Program Area, 2011 Public and Not-for-Profit Institutions, Percent Offering Online/Hybrid, 2011 Note:    “Traditional  Institutions”    excludes  private  sector institutions; Fully online programs denote programs in which there are zero on-campus course requirements for completion; Hybrid program requirements vary but hybrid programs typically have greater than 60% of coursework offered online; Academic Professionals include Chief Academic Professionals such as Deans or Provosts Source:    Peterson’s  Distance  Learning  Database;Íľ  IPEDS;Íľ  Deutsche  Bank;Íľ  School  Websites;Íľ  Barron’s  Ranking  of  Post-Secondary Schools Babson  Group’s  Annual   Survey: Going the Distance: Online Education in the United States, 2011: • 65% of institutions said online learning is,  “a  critical   part of their long-term strategy” • 67% of academic professionals rated online education courses as the same or superior to face- to-face instruction • 70% of academic professionals believe students are as satisfied with online courses as they are with face-to-face
  • 17. THE PARTHENON GROUP 6 0 2 4 6K 0.3K 2012 Purely Online 5.5K 107% 2008 ('08-'12) CAGR $115MEst. Revenue 0 20 40 60 80 100K 2008 27.6K 2012 Purely Online 82.6K 32% ('08-'12) CAGR $523MEst. Revenue Southern New Hampshire University Enrollment University of Southern California Enrollment Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing Traditional institutions are coming online and when they act commercially, they tend to thrive… Arizona State University Enrollment Liberty University Enrollment 0 4 8 12K 2007 2.7K 2012 Purely Online 20.0K 49% ('07-'12) CAGR $106MEst. Revenue 0 2 4 6 8K 2010 2.5K 2012 Purely Online 6.5K 61% ('10-'12) CAGR $46MEst. Revenue Source: University financial statements, university websites, Fast Company, Deutsche Bank Report, NYT, Parthenon analysis
  • 18. THE PARTHENON GROUP 7 Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing …their  brands  are  powerful… 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 6/2007 6/2008 6/2009 6/2010 6/2011 6/2012 6/2013 Not for Profit For Profit Index of Google Searches for Top For-Profit and Not-For-Profit Institutions, 2007-2014 Note:  For  profit  index  consists  of  “University  of  Phoenix”,  “Ashford  University”,  and  “Kaplan  University”;Íľ  Not  for  profit  index consists  of  “Liberty  Online  University”,  “Western  Governors   University”,  and  “SNHU”.    Indices  are  indexed  to  one  for  the  beginning  period  and  represent  a  rolling  6-week average. Source: Google Trends (Liberty, WGU, SNHU) (U of P, Ashford, Kaplan)
  • 19. THE PARTHENON GROUP 8 Company Select Partners Enrollments: Traditional Sector Competing ...and they often partner with third party online enablers
  • 20. THE PARTHENON GROUP 9 Regulatory Issues While all regulatory issues require monitoring, Gainful Employment (GE) is the primary current issue Higher Education Act Gainful Employment (as proposed) Cohort Default Rate 90/10 Revenue Percentage Accreditation Reform Title IV Safe Harbors Regulatory Status • HEA is reauthorized every few years by Congress, and is set to expire this year • Unlikely to be acted on until after the November midterm elections • Limitations (repayment rates >45% and/or debt burdens <8% of total income) struck down in 2012 • DoE released new draft in Dec. 2013; final draft to be released in March before public comment period • Three-year CDRs will be enforced starting in 2014 • Schools with a three-year CDR >30% for three years will face sanctions; the 40% one-year threshold was unchanged • No pending changes • VA benefits are included in the 10% – possibly up for debate • Possibility of just including Title IV eligible students in calculations • Under Sen. Lee’s   (R-Utah) proposal, states could opt to set up their own accreditation organizations • New York already follows this model • Obama endorses tying performance metrics to fed aid • DOE eliminated 12 “safe  harbors”  in   2010 • For-Profits attempting to have several of those safe harbors restored • Action unlikely in 2014 Commentary • “I  highly  doubt   congress will deal with this in 2014, even though it is set to expire. They’ll  wait  for  after   the elections and probably just keep things  the  same”  – Senior VP, Inifilaw • “They  came  back   with round 2 and came back that they want stricter rules because of the language they got.  This  won’t  be   good at all for the for-profits”  – Principal, Ritzert Leyton • “They  are  easy  to   manipulate, our overall takeaway is don’t  be  that   concerned, only the bad schools and programs will be affected”  – Senior VP, EDMC • “The  for-profit graduate schools have a large number of students who  don’t  take  Title   IV funding, so they’re  not  really  at   risk  here”  – Former Federal Regulatory Affairs Manager, Kaplan • “I  don’t  think   anything will happen here until 2015, probably 2016  at  the  earliest”   – Veterans of Foreign Wars of The United States, Legislative Associate “I  don’t  see  any   change here in the near future. They can’t  enforce  them   anyway”  – Former Higher Ed Legal and Regulatory Consultant, Apollo Group Threat to For-Profits Source: DOE, PBS, US News and World Report, Inside HigherEd, FinAid, Parthenon Interviews High Low
  • 21. THE PARTHENON GROUP 10 Regulatory Issues The current draft of GE regulations place aggressive thresholds on debt-to-earnings and cohort default rates Metrics Annual Debt-to-Earnings (aDTE) Discretionary Debt-to-Earnings (dDTE) Program Cohort Default Rate (CDR) Population Measured Completers Completers & Non-Completers Categories and Thresholds Pass:  Annual  DTE≤8%  OR  Discretionary  DTE≤20% Zone: • 8%<Annual  DTE≤12%   OR • 20%<  Discretionary  DTE≤30% Fail: Annual DTE>12% AND Discretionary DTE>30% Note: 10-Year Amortization Period Pass: Program CDR<30% Fail:  Program  CDR≥30% Ineligibility Rules (metrics operate independently of each other) A program becomes Title IV ineligible for 3 years if: • It fails in any 2 out of 3 years, OR • Does not pass in any 1 out of 4 years (time for zone programs to improve before ineligibility) A program becomes Title IV ineligible for 3 years if: • The 3-year default rate of 3 consecutive cohorts of students is greater than or equal to 30% Restrictions • Written warnings to students if a program could become ineligible for Title IV funds for the next award year (applies to zone & failing programs) • Title  IV  enrollment  limited  to  previous  year’s  level   for failing programs (or after third year of being in zone) • Written warnings to students if a program could become ineligible for Title IV funds for the next award year • Title  IV  enrollment  limited  to  previous  year’s  level   if program could become ineligible at the end of the year Source: DoE Must Pass One Metric from Each Column to Pass GE
  • 22. THE PARTHENON GROUP 11 Reasserting Growth How does the sector get back on a growth trajectory? Persistence, Persistence, Persistence 1 Focus on the Adult Learner 2 Consolidate and Drive Efficiencies 3 Redeploy Capital 4 Look Towards Services Markets 5
  • 23. THE PARTHENON GROUP 12 0 20 40 60 80 100% Reasserting Growth: Persistence, Persistence, Persistence Overall outcomes (for-profit, non-profit, public) are disappointing and persistence has compelling economics Sources: IPEDS 0 20 40 60 80 100% 80%+ 50%-79% 20%-49% Less than 20% 3,898 Percent of Institutions with Given Graduation Rate Lifetime Cohort Revenue PercentofLifetimeRevenue Percent of Starters Attract More Increase the persistence and graduation rate Should we start them?
  • 24. THE PARTHENON GROUP 13 Reasserting Growth: Focus on the Adult Learner Distinct student groups with different sets of needs can be reached through innovative course offerings OnlineOfferings “Traditional”  Students Career Enhancers Self-Directed Learners Online/hybrid courses for campus-based first-time full-time students Fully-online and competency-based degree programs for adults looking to enhance their employment prospects Open-Access Options (MOOCs, OER, OCW, etc.) for a wide age range of students seeking to accelerate credit accumulation at a very low cost Requirementsfor Success • Tight coordination with onsite courses • Supplemental student supports to drive student engagement • Continuous starts, competency options • Close alignment with labor market needs • Quality evaluation frameworks and testing policies to allow for awarding of credits
  • 25. THE PARTHENON GROUP 14 Reasserting Growth: Focus on the Adult Learner Pushing innovation in competency-based programs while leveraging channel partners can combat traditional brands Why a Competency Orientation? Why Channel Partners? • Supports students desire for a practical employment focused education • Aligns with employer needs while still providing  the  “certification”  of  a  degree • Can support a lower cost structure • Leverages the channel partners brand • Long term better student acquisition model • Keeps institution attuned to shifting employer needs and forces a responsive curriculum and pedagogy
  • 26. THE PARTHENON GROUP 15 Reasserting Growth: Consolidate and Drive Efficiencies The market is highly fragmented, utilization is low, and business processes are becoming more crucial Program Design Inquiry Admission Fin Aid Onboarding Instruction & Student Support Exit Processes Accounts Receivable Collection
  • 27. THE PARTHENON GROUP 16 Reasserting Growth: Redeploy Capital Global education markets are fueled, primarily, by rising household wealth… Threshold For Private Schooling 90’s 00’s 10’s PercentofHouseholds Household Income Households which can afford higher quality education (primary, secondary, or tertiary) for their children Distribution of Household Income The relationship between household income and attainment of higher quality education (private schooling) is not a 1:1. Instead, as HH income rises over time, the number of families that are able to send their children to private schools increases in a greater proportion than household income As average household income rises, the number of households above the private education affordability threshold rises more quickly
  • 28. THE PARTHENON GROUP 17 Redeploy Capital Wherever income is rising, so too is the demand for post-secondary education 100% 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 2003 1999 1999 19991999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 2000 1999 1999 1999 2003 2002 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 PPP adjusted GNI per Capita $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 EnrollmentRatio 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Tertiary Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) vs. Income, 1999 and 2007 (80 countries from around the world) Note:  UNESCO’s  Gross  Enrolment  ratio  ISCED  5  and  6.  This  ratio  is  calculated  using  the  number  of  pupils  enrolled  in  International Standard Classification of Education (ISCED) level 5 and 6 representing stages of tertiary education, regardless of age, expressed as a percentage of the population in the five-year age group following on from the secondary school leaving age Source: BMO Capital Report (2009); UNESCO; World Bank
  • 29. THE PARTHENON GROUP 18 Reasserting Growth: Look Towards Services Markets Higher education institutions are increasingly embracing business processes Note: *Aramark was founded in 1936 and AVI Food Systems in 1961 but it is not known when they started servicing universities **Bisk was founded in 1971 as a test prep company but did not enter online program development until 1998 Spectrum of University Functions That Have Been Managed by Vendors (Representative, not Comprehensive) Document & Data Storage Finance & Accounting Human Resources Financial Aid & Student Loans Information Systems Management Dormitories Food Service IT Support Institutional & Operational Support Enrollment Management Academics Online Platform Instruction Course Development Back End Front End Academic Core ExampleVendors • XACT Telesolutions (1976) • Infosys (1981) • Affiliated Computer Systems (1988) • Sallie Mae (1972) • Nelnet (1977) • Royall & Co (1989) • ESM (1995) • QuinStreet (1999) • InsideTrack (2001) • Embanet-Compass (1995) • Deltak (1996) • Bisk (1998*) • Learning House (2001) • Academic Partnerships (2007) • 2Tor (2008) • Educational Housing Services (1987) • Aramark* • AVI Food Systems* 1970s-80s 1990s-Today Inception of Outsourcing: ? UniversityFunctions Marketing & Recruitment Student Coaching Market Penetration of Outsourcing:
  • 30. THE PARTHENON GROUP 19 Reasserting Growth: Look Towards Services Markets There is significant institutional spending in areas that could benefit from partnerships Source: Parthenon analysis Back End Front End 0 20 40 60 80 100% IT Support Currently Partner-Supplied $15B Finance and Accounting $7B HR $3B $2B $2B Admissions $11B Development and Alumni Affairs $6B Financial Aid and Student Loans Endowment Management $1B Marketing and Recruitment Total = $47B Institutional Support Student Services Relevant Categories of Post-Secondary Institutional Expenditure
  • 31. THE PARTHENON GROUP 20 What Informs Our Perspective? Parthenon teams have completed over 900 education projects in more than 60 countries Pre-Kindergarten K-12 University Vocational and Other Career and Professional Education Sector Projects Completed by Parthenon Parthenon Offices
  • 32. THE PARTHENON GROUP 21 What Informs Our Perspective? Public and private sector work provides a strong sense  of  what  is  happening  “on  the  front  lines” We advise leading education institutions… • Federal, state, and local educational authorities • Charter schools, private K- 12 schools, and other innovative education providers • Global post-secondary institutions • Foundations on the forefront of education reform …work  with  the  organizations   that  help  meet  their  needs… • Educational publishing • Testing and assessments • Tutoring • Intervention • Special Education • Technology providers • Consumer education products …and  cover  almost  every   large and mid-sized transaction in global markets • North America • Latin America • Europe • Gulf Cooperative Countries • Africa • Asia, Southeast Asia, and Asia-Pacific
  • 33. THE PARTHENON GROUP 22 About The Parthenon Group and our advisory services for investing in education About The Parthenon Group The Parthenon Group is a leading advisory firm focused on strategy consulting, with offices in Boston, London, Mumbai, San Francisco, and Shanghai. Since its inception in 1991, the firm has embraced a unique approach to strategic advisory services built on long-term client relationships, a willingness to share risk, an entrepreneurial spirit, and customized insights. This unique approach has established the firm as the strategic advisor of choice for CEOs and business leaders of Global 1000 corporations, high-potential growth companies, private equity firms, educational institutions, and healthcare organizations. The Parthenon Group advises clients in all stages of investing in education companies, including target identification and screening, strategic due diligence, portfolio company strategy and operational improvement, and sell-side support. The combination  of  Parthenon’s  Private  Equity  Practice,  which  has  advised  clients  on  more than 1,000 transactions, and our Education Practice, which has worked across all aspects of for-profit and non-profit education, make The Parthenon Group the preeminent advisor to private equity firms considering investments in the education industry. Learn more about us at www.parthenon.com. Robert Lytle Partner, Co-Head of Education Practice robl@parthenon.com 617.478.7096 Executive Assistant: Deb Spitzley deborahs@parthenon.com 617.478.6312 Follow Us for Regular Updates Twitter | @Parthenon_Group Facebook | www.facebook.com/ParthenonGroup LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/the-parthenon-group Advisory Services for Investing in Education Twitter | @Robert_S_Lytle