The document provides an equity market outlook and analysis for the period of Diwali to Diwali (October 2016 to October 2017). It notes that large caps underperformed with returns of 5-6% last year while midcaps saw stronger returns of 19-20%. For the current year, it expects lower double digit returns for large caps and 15-20% returns for mid and small caps. It recommends focusing on sectors with good private demand like financials, automobiles, and consumer durables. Large caps are seen as providing stability but lower returns compared to midcaps where returns of 15% are expected over the next year for those with a higher risk appetite and 2-3 year investment horizon.
Dear Investors,
The month of July has seen the heavens literally open their doors and shower their blessings on us. After a late start in June, the monsoon picked up
smartly and the country as a whole received abundant rainfall, bringing cheer to one and all and definitely a sense of relief. The same good cheer
seems to have percolated to the global equity markets as well. Having brushed off the Brexit issue, markets have continued their upward move
relentlessly through the month of July. The US benchmark index, the S&P 500 hit a new lifetime high earlier in the month on the back of good jobs
data and an optimistic view of growth in the US economy. Not wanting to be left out in any way, the Nifty set a new 52-week high and the Sensex
scaled 28,000.
The quarterly results have been a mixed bag so far. While there have been more hits than misses, the IT sector as a whole and some pharma
companies have been the major pockets of underperformance. Most of the private sector retail banks and NBFCs have shown a stellar performance,
while growth in public sector banks was stagnant due to liquidity and NPA issues. In the consumer space, lower costs have added to the profits of
several companies, but revenue growth and volume growth were disappointing. There is hope that these will see a significant pick up in the second
half of the financial year once the benefits of the 7th Pay Commission and a good monsoon kick in.
Dear Investors,
The month of July has seen the heavens literally open their doors and shower their blessings on us. After a late start in June, the monsoon picked up
smartly and the country as a whole received abundant rainfall, bringing cheer to one and all and definitely a sense of relief. The same good cheer
seems to have percolated to the global equity markets as well. Having brushed off the Brexit issue, markets have continued their upward move
relentlessly through the month of July. The US benchmark index, the S&P 500 hit a new lifetime high earlier in the month on the back of good jobs
data and an optimistic view of growth in the US economy. Not wanting to be left out in any way, the Nifty set a new 52-week high and the Sensex
scaled 28,000.
The quarterly results have been a mixed bag so far. While there have been more hits than misses, the IT sector as a whole and some pharma
companies have been the major pockets of underperformance. Most of the private sector retail banks and NBFCs have shown a stellar performance,
while growth in public sector banks was stagnant due to liquidity and NPA issues. In the consumer space, lower costs have added to the profits of
several companies, but revenue growth and volume growth were disappointing. There is hope that these will see a significant pick up in the second
half of the financial year once the benefits of the 7th Pay Commission and a good monsoon kick in.
Introduction of GST in the Rajya Sabha has significance because it could have been passed in the Lok Sabha also. However, Rajya Sabha is where the government does not have majority and since it’s a constitutional amendment that requires two thirds majority, convincing all the parties is a key milestone and to that extent, introduction and subsequent passage of the bill in the Rajya Sabha will be important.
•Earnings Data for 8 core industries including mining, infrastructure and electricity was received which indicated a growth by 5.2% which augers well. However, one needs to see if this is a onetime occurrence or will it continue. Also, since rainfall was moderate, by the end of July, rural consumption is expected to be strong. To that extent, GDP is likely to grow anywhere between 7.5-8% this year. The government’s earlier projections in the budget carry an upward bias.
Global bond yields are at historical lows which mean global bond prices have rallied across developed markets while S&P 500 is close to its historical high. This by itself is a dichotomy as bond prices and equity prices are not expected to rally together at the same point. Either of the two has to be true.
•Bond prices and yields are inversely related therefore, bond prices rally when yields and interest rates are expected to be low. Interest rates are expected to be low because growth prospects are low. This would entail the central banks to cut rates and because the demand for credits will be low due to the low growth prospects, the yields are expected to be low which explains the rally in bond prices. Considering this, the rally in the equity markets is not possible as there is no expectation for growth. This is the dichotomy that the global world is at particularly in the developed markets. In the light of the current scenario, either of the two has to give in i.e. either bond prices correct leading to normalcy in yields or equity markets give in.
Karvy wealth - Advice for the Wise Report, November 2016sneha thakur
Advice for the Wise is a Karvy Private Wealth report of November 2016. This report is provided by Karvy wealth, this report will help you understand key investment components and thus will help you to take good decision in investment choices. For more information about this presentation log on to our website http://karvywealth.com
Introduction of GST in the Rajya Sabha has significance because it could have been passed in the Lok Sabha also. However, Rajya Sabha is where the government does not have majority and since it’s a constitutional amendment that requires two thirds majority, convincing all the parties is a key milestone and to that extent, introduction and subsequent passage of the bill in the Rajya Sabha will be important.
•Earnings Data for 8 core industries including mining, infrastructure and electricity was received which indicated a growth by 5.2% which augers well. However, one needs to see if this is a onetime occurrence or will it continue. Also, since rainfall was moderate, by the end of July, rural consumption is expected to be strong. To that extent, GDP is likely to grow anywhere between 7.5-8% this year. The government’s earlier projections in the budget carry an upward bias.
Global bond yields are at historical lows which mean global bond prices have rallied across developed markets while S&P 500 is close to its historical high. This by itself is a dichotomy as bond prices and equity prices are not expected to rally together at the same point. Either of the two has to be true.
•Bond prices and yields are inversely related therefore, bond prices rally when yields and interest rates are expected to be low. Interest rates are expected to be low because growth prospects are low. This would entail the central banks to cut rates and because the demand for credits will be low due to the low growth prospects, the yields are expected to be low which explains the rally in bond prices. Considering this, the rally in the equity markets is not possible as there is no expectation for growth. This is the dichotomy that the global world is at particularly in the developed markets. In the light of the current scenario, either of the two has to give in i.e. either bond prices correct leading to normalcy in yields or equity markets give in.
Karvy wealth - Advice for the Wise Report, November 2016sneha thakur
Advice for the Wise is a Karvy Private Wealth report of November 2016. This report is provided by Karvy wealth, this report will help you understand key investment components and thus will help you to take good decision in investment choices. For more information about this presentation log on to our website http://karvywealth.com
Weekly News: The government cancels approvals of nine SEZ - SMCIndiaNotes.com
The government has cancelled approvals of nine special economic zones, including that of Hindalco Industries, Essar and Adani as no "satisfactory" progress was made to execute the projects.
This week RBI policy will be announced expectation for the same has been muted; mostly RBI would maintain the
status quo right before onset of the monsoon. RBI would not cut rate primarily because CPI has started inching up
both ways in absolute terms and in its contribution to WPI, RBI’s decision will be impending until how monsoon
and CPI panes out . So the policy would remain flat.
Earnings have been marginally better than expectation, Certain quarters people expected good results from PSU
banks but it did not happen, apart from this results specially from IT, FMCG, Consumer durable and Auto was
surprising and expectations are that this trend would continue for some time.
Dear Investors,
Billionaire investor Wilbur Ross said "Ultimately, I think it will be the world's most expensive divorce. But like most divorces, it's probably going to take a lot longer than it should." The Brexit vote to leave the European Union sent shock waves across the globe. Though the pre-poll surveys had indicated a close call, it was largely expected that sanity would prevail on referendum day and the British populace would vote to Remain. The ramifications of an eventual Brexit are likely to be long-drawn and far-reaching. Apart from the impact it has had on the currency markets, there is an imminent danger of other countries wanting to follow suit. This may lead to the ultimate breakdown of the EU, causing geo-political chaos with the danger of recession.
The equity markets seemed to have temporarily shrugged off the event. While the Sensex tanked by over 1000 points when the Brexit result was declared, it has since recovered all its losses and closed the month of June at a YTD high of almost 27,000. Though there may be individual stocks and sectors where revenues are likely to be directly impacted, the market as a whole has shown significant resilience, waiting as it were for Britain to formally initiate the process of exit before assessing its overall impact.
After the uncertainty of the Brexit verdict got over, the market rallied in the last week. The market got off on the
wrong foot on the day of the Referendum results and corrected by almost 1000 points. But the market soon
realized that the renewal in trade agreement between UK and Euro is not going to happen anytime soon and it will
take around 1-2 years. India being an emerging nation, the impact of this event is quite limited. After this the
market resumed its upt uptrend. Since budget, the nifty is up by 1000 points, and in percentage terms it has gained
22%. We should remember that it is still 10% off of the it’s all time high, which was achieved in March 2015.
• Despite the fact that the PE multiple of the Indian Markets is 17 – 18 times, the FIIs continue to invest in India on
account of better growth prospects, better earning visibility. India is the only trillion dollar economy which is
growing on 7.5%, which makes it a lucrative long term story.
BREXIT
What is Brexit?
-Brexit is a combination of the words, ‘Britain’ and ‘exit’
-It refers to the EU referendum, a vote that took place on June 23, 2016 to decide Britain’s membership with the European Union
-The official question voters were asked was: ‘Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?’
The EU Referendum Verdict
Factors responsible for Brexit
-High unemployment
-Increased migration
-Threat of terrorism
-2008 financial cash
-High EU membership fees
Immediate impacts of Brexit
- Fall in bond markets
- Crude oil tumbled to 5%
- Gold jumped to around 5%
-Sharp fall in Pound to $1.3229
- High volatility in JPY and EUR
-Major equity indices lost 2-10%
Why India will survive Brexit?
-Lower crude oil prices
-Enviable macro environment
-Overhauling in banking sector
-Favourable monsoon forecasts
-Stable government focussed on reforms
Aftermath of Brexit
- Divide in EU countries
- Exports likely to be hit
- Second referendum in Scotland
- Slower economic growth in long term
- Border control issues with Northern Ireland
- Increase in populist movements seeking referendums
In an unexpected move, Britain chose to Exit out of the EU on Friday. After the exit from EU, Britain has two options from a policy perspective; one is to deflate and second is to devalue. Due to this separation, Britain has lost their single market for British goods.
•The basic reason for Brexit apart from the concerns of immigrants outnumbering the locals was that, a lot of euro nations have a large amount of debt in government’s balance sheet. For the past 400 years, Europe fought lot of internal battles. After Second World War wisdom dawned upon them that there should be collaborations instead of battles, so eventually after 30-35 years, it led to the formation of the European Union. But after the Second World War incumbent governments in Europe realized that after the 400 years of war and keeping their population in to eternal stress and debt, they have to provide them more prosperous future. So apart from the all the fruits of industrial revolution that they have meaningfully enjoyed, they made lot of social welfare promises to their illiterate. Most of those people are retired today and at their old age, the government is legally bound to provide these benefits to them such as healthcare benefits, social security benefit and pension benefits etc.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
Resume
• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYCDOT TECH
Pi coins is not launched yet in any exchange 💱 this means it's not swappable, the current pi displaying on coin market cap is the iou version of pi. And you can learn all about that on my previous post.
RIGHT NOW THE ONLY WAY you can sell pi coins is through verified pi merchants. A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges and crypto whales. Looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale or ico offerings, the only way to get my coins is from buying from miners. So a merchant facilitates the transactions between the miners and these exchanges holding pi.
I and my friends has sold more than 6000 pi coins successfully with this method. I will be happy to share the contact of my personal pi merchant. The one i trade with, if you have your own merchant you can trade with them. For those who are new.
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram.
I wouldn't advise you selling all percentage of the pi coins. Leave at least a before so its a win win during open mainnet. Have a nice day pioneers ♥️
#kyc #mainnet #picoins #pi #sellpi #piwallet
#pinetwork
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
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Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
3. EQUITY VIEW
• A year back i.e. diwali to diwali large cap had remained pretty subdued. Large cap indices whether Nifty or Sensex
gave about 5-6% returns that too on the back of 6 monthly returns of 10%. Therefore, very clearly returns in the
first half of the year were not great then they were better and for the last one month returns remained subdued.
• Midcaps were pretty strong with returns of about 19-20%. Small cap returns were also in double digits. The six
monthly returns were nearly 18-20% and YTD 2016 is also good. Thus if we see from new year to new year
midcaps have shown great numbers unlike the large caps.
• Large caps will continue to underperform in comparison to midcaps. However the expected return this year will not
be 5-6%. We can expect at least lower double digit returns because in the two quarterly earnings season that we
have seen so far results have been positive and hence valuations have come down. This gives hope that large cap
indices should at least give 10-12% returns for the year down the line.
.
4. EQUITY VIEW
• The growth rate for midcaps has been strong which is actually giving a good earnings growth rate and keeping
PEG ratio in momentum. Midcaps should also give about 15-20% compounded returns. Over the next one year
also 15% returns is expected. There is expectation for 10-12% returns for large cap and 15-20% for mid and small
cap indices. This is the sort of broad outlook one can have diwali to diwali.
• In the past month large caps have been negative mainly because of the impending US elections. A debate is going
on with respect to the results of the elections. Initially Hilary had a good lead but recently Donald is making up
quite well which is creating some sort of a panic in the market that if Donald wins, the markets would crash
globally. This would also affect certain sectors like IT and Pharmaceutical in India.
• Domestic macros core sector data has been surprising showing a growth of 5% against 3.2%. This data is very
volatile so one month gives no indication whether the recovery has begun or not. However, if such a number
remains steady for the next couple of months and if inflation remains benign then these two things can lead to a
massive benefit for the Indian economy.
5. EQUITY VIEW
• Auto numbers will release today which will continue to be strong. In October i.e. the diwali month there was lot of
inventory build up. November might be disappointing but it is too early to discuss. October numbers were very
good. Some of the leading players like Maruti and Hero Motor Corp should come out with fantastic numbers. Thus
we continue to remain bullish on auto and other segments like consumer durables and quasi infra segment.
• The sectors with good private demand and consumption should be focused on rather than aiming for early or• The sectors with good private demand and consumption should be focused on rather than aiming for early or
bottom up stock picking. Financial, Automobile and Consumer Durable sectors should be focused on while
investing. Investment horizon should at least be 2-3 years and focus should be on midcaps.
• Large caps will continue to give safety and stability to the portfolio but returns will continue to be around 10-12%.
Thus if one has a risk appetite for staying invested for 2-3 years, focus should be on midcaps.
7. DOMESTIC MACRO
• Gold prices stayed firm on Wednesday (i.e. 26th October) as stronger physical demand for the precious metal,
ahead of India's late-October festival season, offset a steady U.S. dollar. Demand for bullion is expected to pick up
ahead of festivals such as Dhanteras and Diwali, which is also a time when gold is traditionally given as a gift. A
recovery in physical demand provided the foundation for the rally that carried over into later trading," HSBC
analyst James Steel said in a note.analyst James Steel said in a note.
• The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) relaxed guidelines on what domestic interest rate futures can be offered on
Friday (i.e. 28th October), allowing banks to hedge their short-term interest rate exposure. Until now, banks could
not hedge their interest rate risk on active government bond benchmarks other than 91-day treasury bills.
Registered exchanges can select the underlying instrument or interest rate of new contracts, subject to RBI
approval, the central bank said in a circular.
8. GLOBAL MACRO
• With a more than trillion euro fuel injection and no interest rates worthy of the name, the
euro zone economy is stirring, more data confirmed on Friday (i.e. 28th October), leaving
policymakers hunting for signs the nascent recovery is sustainable.
• The European Central Bank will provide stimulus until a sustained inflation rebound, even
as its unprecedented measures come with side effects and face constraints, two
EURO
policymakers said on Friday (i.e. 28th October), just as the bank is contemplating more
easing. Facing stubbornly low inflation, the ECB will decide in December whether to
extend its 80 billion euro per month asset buys beyond its scheduled end next March,
having to balance diminishing costs with increasing side effects.
9. GLOBAL MACRO
• U.S. labor costs maintained a steady pace of increase in the third quarter, showing
little signs of a significant pickup in wage inflation. The Employment Cost Index, the
broadest measure of labor costs, increased 0.6 percent after a similar gain in the
second quarter, the Labor Department said on Friday (i.e. 28th October). That left
the year-on-year rate of increase at 2.3 percent.
• New orders for U.S. manufactured capital goods unexpectedly fell in September
UNITED STATES
• New orders for U.S. manufactured capital goods unexpectedly fell in September
amid weak demand for computers and electronic products, which could temper
expectations for an acceleration in business spending in the fourth quarter. The
Commerce Department said on Thursday (i.e. 27th October) that non-defense
capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business
spending plans, fell 1.2 percent after three straight months of strong gains. The so-
called core capital goods orders increased by an upwardly revised 1.2 percent in
August.
10. GLOBAL MACRO
• Activity in China's manufacturing sector expanded at the fastest pace in more than
two years in October, adding to views that the world's second-largest economy is
stabilising thanks to a construction boom. The official Purchasing Managers' Index
(PMI) stood at 51.2 in October, compared with the previous month's 50.4 and
above the 50-point mark that separates growth from contraction on a monthly
basis.
CHINA
basis.
• China's new home prices rose in September at the fastest rate on record as buyers
rushed to close contracts before new restrictive measures took effect in October.
The property market, accounting for around 15 percent of gross domestic product,
contributed handsomely to third quarter economic expansion of 6.7 percent.
15. DISCLAIMER
The information and views presented here are prepared by Karvy Private Wealth (a division of Karvy Stock Broking Limited) or other Karvy Group companies. The information contained herein is based on
our analysis and upon sources that we consider reliable. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. This material is for personal information and we are not responsible for
any loss incurred based upon it.
The investments discussed or recommended here may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial
position and using such independent advice, as they believe necessary. While acting upon any information or analysis mentioned here, investors may please note that neither Karvy nor any person
connected with any associated companies of Karvy accepts any liability arising from the use of this information and views mentioned here.
The author, directors and other employees of Karvy and its affiliates may hold long or short positions in the above-mentioned companies from time to time. Every employee of Karvy and its associated
companies are required to disclose their individual stock holdings and details of trades, if any, that they undertake. The team rendering corporate analysis and investment recommendations are restricted in
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only through Karvy Stock Broking Ltd.only through Karvy Stock Broking Ltd.
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incidence applicable to them. We also expect significant changes in the tax laws once the new Direct Tax Code is in force – this could change the applicability and incidence of tax on investments
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