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THE RISK OF ASSUMING FOREIGN
COST-EFFECTIVENESS RATIOS
THE CASE OF PALIVIZUMAB IN COLOMBIA AND NORTHERN CANADA


           Anna Banerji 1, Diego Rosselli 2, Juan David Rueda 2, 3
   1 University   of Toronto, 2 Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, 3 Cochrane Collaboration
                                         Toronto - Bogota


                                                                              diego.rosselli@gmail.com
The problem

                                                               2/10



              Sincitial Respiratory Virus (SRV)

   Important cause of respiratory disease in children
          Life threatening in pre-term babies
                  Predisposes to asthma
   Incidence varies with seasons and genetic factors
              From 2-4% in tropical countries
               to 17-52% in the Arctic winter
                                                  diego.rosselli@gmail.com
The intervention

                                                             3/10



                   Palivizumab (Synagis ®)


   Monoclonal antibody against fusion protein of RSV
                      Licensed in 1998
     One clinical trial (IMpact Study, Pediatrics 1998)
          55% reduction in hospitalization rates
          Non-significant reduction in mortality
                                                diego.rosselli@gmail.com
The context




              Inuit territory
The context
The context

                                                  6/10



                           Inuit    Colombia


 Population               100,000   46 million
 Newborns per year         2,000    900,000
 Pre-term (<35 weeks)       180      80,000
 Urban (cities > 100 k)      0%         75%


                                     diego.rosselli@gmail.com
The costs

                                                 7/10



                        Canada     Colombia


 Palivizumab (per mg)    € 11.48     € 10.97
       per 50 mg vial    € 574       € 549
       per child        € 2,755    € 2,635

 RSV infection          € 21,575     € 777

                                    diego.rosselli@gmail.com
The analysis

                            8/10




               diego.rosselli@gmail.com
The results

                                                               9/10



 In Northern Canada Palivizumab is cost-saving.
 Even in the best-case scenario, palivizumab in Colombia is
     NOT cost-effective.
 Cost per QALY almost 5 times per capita GDP
     € 275,000 per asthma case averted
     € 850,000 per death averted

                                                  diego.rosselli@gmail.com
Conclusions

                                                            10/10



Cost-effectiveness “does not travel”
Despite similar basic assumptions and similar price
Great variations due to local epidemiology of disease
    and cost of complications
Budget impact would also support different decisions



                                                 diego.rosselli@gmail.com
Conclusions

                                     11/10




              ¡Gracias!


                          diego.rosselli@gmail.com

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THE RISK OF ASSUMING FOREIGN COST-EFFECTIVENESS RATIOS THE CASE OF PALIVIZUMAB IN COLOMBIA AND NORTHERN CANADA

  • 1. 1/10 THE RISK OF ASSUMING FOREIGN COST-EFFECTIVENESS RATIOS THE CASE OF PALIVIZUMAB IN COLOMBIA AND NORTHERN CANADA Anna Banerji 1, Diego Rosselli 2, Juan David Rueda 2, 3 1 University of Toronto, 2 Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, 3 Cochrane Collaboration Toronto - Bogota diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 2. The problem 2/10 Sincitial Respiratory Virus (SRV) Important cause of respiratory disease in children Life threatening in pre-term babies Predisposes to asthma Incidence varies with seasons and genetic factors From 2-4% in tropical countries to 17-52% in the Arctic winter diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 3. The intervention 3/10 Palivizumab (Synagis ®) Monoclonal antibody against fusion protein of RSV Licensed in 1998 One clinical trial (IMpact Study, Pediatrics 1998) 55% reduction in hospitalization rates Non-significant reduction in mortality diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 4. The context Inuit territory
  • 6. The context 6/10 Inuit Colombia Population 100,000 46 million Newborns per year 2,000 900,000 Pre-term (<35 weeks) 180 80,000 Urban (cities > 100 k) 0% 75% diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 7. The costs 7/10 Canada Colombia Palivizumab (per mg) € 11.48 € 10.97 per 50 mg vial € 574 € 549 per child € 2,755 € 2,635 RSV infection € 21,575 € 777 diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 8. The analysis 8/10 diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 9. The results 9/10 In Northern Canada Palivizumab is cost-saving. Even in the best-case scenario, palivizumab in Colombia is NOT cost-effective. Cost per QALY almost 5 times per capita GDP € 275,000 per asthma case averted € 850,000 per death averted diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 10. Conclusions 10/10 Cost-effectiveness “does not travel” Despite similar basic assumptions and similar price Great variations due to local epidemiology of disease and cost of complications Budget impact would also support different decisions diego.rosselli@gmail.com
  • 11. Conclusions 11/10 ¡Gracias! diego.rosselli@gmail.com