2. U.S. National Security
... AND THE RISING CHINESE THREAT
Elias Lopez

3. Rising Threats

4. • Measuring the Size of
China’s Economy
• Purchasing Power & GDP
Size
• Implications for China
and U.S. – China
Economic Ties
• U.S. – Chinese
Economies: Will China
overtake the U.S.
Economy?
• Chinese Takeovers of
U.S. Companies

5. COMPREHENSIVE • Modernization preparing for conflict in
Taiwan Straight, including possibility of U.S.
TRANSFORMATION intervention
• Enhancing China’s Strategic Strike Capabilities
NUCLEAR FORCE
MODERNIZATION
• Anti-access/Area Denial Capabilities Video No Longer
• Direct-ascent Anti-Satellite weapon
Functional
BALLISTIC AND • Advanced Technology Acquisition
CRUISE • Land attack, Supersonic – Anti-ship, & guided
missile destroyers
MISSILES
THE PEOPLES LIBERATION
• PRC Computer Network Intrusions ARMY
CYBERWARFARE • Gathering political, military, corporate-
CAPABILITIES strategic & scientific information to close
technological gaps
ADVANCED • ICE Initiated 400 + Investigations between
2000 – 2006 for illicit export of arms and
TECHNOLOGIES technologies
ACQUISITIONS • ICE Identified PRC as leading espionage threat

6. Nuclear and Missile Technology Sales
Chemical Sales to Iran
North Korea’s Missile and Nuclear
Weapons Program

7. 11 JANUARY 2007: 5:25PM EST

8. Increase Risk to
PRC Intentional
Increased Space U.S. Satellites &
Satellite
Debris in LEO over 700
Destruction
Spacecrafts
Tracking & DoD Est. by 2010
Targeting ASAT production
Capability to attack
Capabilities by able to destroy
U.S. satellites
Military & Intel most U.S. satellites
Satellites in LEO
Develop Unilateral
Satellite
Stealth Agreement to
Defense
Satellite Space
Systems
Technology Weaponization

9. POSSIBLE “SELF CONFIDENCE” TEST
• Countering U.S. Forces in possible Taiwan dispute
• Weapons challenge U.S. Space Dominance
2006 U.S. NATIONAL SPACE POLICY RESPONSE
• Denial of space to adversaries “hostile” to U.S. Interests
• Before U.S. Space Policy PRC conducted 3 ASAT test and ground based
laser to illuminate a U.S. satellite in “blinding” tests
PRODING THE UNITED STATES IN ARMS CONTROL?
• Analysts cited PRC’s “peaceful motive was to prompt U.S. to engage in
space arms control
• In Dec 2006, U.S. solely voted against UN Res. on “Prevention of Arms
Race In Outer Space” - PAROS

10. Sovereignty Over Taiwan
PRC Use of Force Against Taiwan
Democracy versus Independence

11. Economic Security
WMD Proliferation
Rising Military Power
Anti-Satellite Weapons
China – U.S. Relations
One China Policy

12. Questions?