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The Future of
Agriculture
Steve Collender/Shutterstock.com
The Future of
Agriculture
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PART I GENETIC EDITING:
AVOIDING THE GMO CONTROVERSY
Brave New World
Skirting the GMO Label
The U.S. Advantage in Agriculture
PART II U.S.: HOW FUTURE FARMERS WILL
USE TECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE AGRICULTURE
Necessity and Invention in Agriculture
Immigration and Labor Costs
New Technological Tools
PART III ONLY SO MUCH FOOD TO GO AROUND:
HOW GMOS WILL AFFECT FOOD SECURITY
Changing the Way China Thinks About Agriculture
The EU: A Deceptively Bleak Picture
PART IV HOW TECHNOLOGY MIGHT
CHANGE CHINA’S FUTURE
A Behemoth in Need of Better Technology
Genetics and Geopolitics
This report cannot be shared or copied without express permission from Stratfor.
3STRATFOR •
PART I
GENETIC EDITING:
AVOIDING THE GMO
CONTROVERSY
I
n geopolitics, we often take the wide-lens view,
looking at the impersonal, sweeping factors that
limit the influence of individuals. Yet the mi-
croscopic — genes and their manipulations — and
the deeply personal still have the potential to affect
the behaviors of nations in the years and decades to
come. As gene-editing techniques continue to improve
and new gene functions are uncovered, a wide swath
of economic sectors will adjust to and incorporate
these new discoveries. While healthcare implications
may be the most obvious, they will not be the most
immediate. Industrial biotechnology methods are
likely to improve, but it is the agricultural industry
that is poised to see the largest benefits from new
gene-editing techniques.
As children, we find that some people can roll their
tongues and others cannot. We learn that some pea
A lab worker sorts hybrid cherry tomato seeds. (DAVID SILVERMAN/GETTY IMAGES)
Research Note: This report considers the implications of the scientific revolution in agricul-
ture relying on 20 years of Stratfor’s collective experience in providing geopolitical intelligence.
Curated by our Research Analytics Department, it brings us up to 2016, taking into account
the latest developments.

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The Future of Agriculture: A Stratfor Report

  • 1. The Future of Agriculture Steve Collender/Shutterstock.com
  • 2. The Future of Agriculture 3 4 6 6 8 8 9 11 13 14 15 18 18 19 PART I GENETIC EDITING: AVOIDING THE GMO CONTROVERSY Brave New World Skirting the GMO Label The U.S. Advantage in Agriculture PART II U.S.: HOW FUTURE FARMERS WILL USE TECHNOLOGY TO IMPROVE AGRICULTURE Necessity and Invention in Agriculture Immigration and Labor Costs New Technological Tools PART III ONLY SO MUCH FOOD TO GO AROUND: HOW GMOS WILL AFFECT FOOD SECURITY Changing the Way China Thinks About Agriculture The EU: A Deceptively Bleak Picture PART IV HOW TECHNOLOGY MIGHT CHANGE CHINA’S FUTURE A Behemoth in Need of Better Technology Genetics and Geopolitics This report cannot be shared or copied without express permission from Stratfor.
  • 3. 3STRATFOR • PART I GENETIC EDITING: AVOIDING THE GMO CONTROVERSY I n geopolitics, we often take the wide-lens view, looking at the impersonal, sweeping factors that limit the influence of individuals. Yet the mi- croscopic — genes and their manipulations — and the deeply personal still have the potential to affect the behaviors of nations in the years and decades to come. As gene-editing techniques continue to improve and new gene functions are uncovered, a wide swath of economic sectors will adjust to and incorporate these new discoveries. While healthcare implications may be the most obvious, they will not be the most immediate. Industrial biotechnology methods are likely to improve, but it is the agricultural industry that is poised to see the largest benefits from new gene-editing techniques. As children, we find that some people can roll their tongues and others cannot. We learn that some pea A lab worker sorts hybrid cherry tomato seeds. (DAVID SILVERMAN/GETTY IMAGES) Research Note: This report considers the implications of the scientific revolution in agricul- ture relying on 20 years of Stratfor’s collective experience in providing geopolitical intelligence. Curated by our Research Analytics Department, it brings us up to 2016, taking into account the latest developments.