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The Economics of Sanitation Initiative
   Phase 2: Economic Evaluation
                         Guy Hutton
                 Senior Economist, Consultant
                 Water and Sanitation Program
Why Economic Evaluation?

 Compares both the costs and
  benefits of at least two alternative                Decision makers:
  policy options, in this case                         • Line Ministries
  sanitation interventions                             • Decentralized
 Enables decision makers to make                        government
  an informed choice based on                          • Communities
  objective and explicit comparison                    • Households
  •   Advocacy: Is the investment worthwhile?          • Commercial operators
  •   Selection: Which option performs ‘better’?
  •   Budgeting: What are initial & running costs?    Types of analysis:
  •   Financing: Who pays, who could pay?              •   Cost-benefit
  •   Programming: How to improve performance?
                                                       •   Cost-effectiveness
 Ideally, economic evaluation                         •   Cost-utility
  feeds into a formal decision                         •   Cost-minimization
  making process such as multi-
  criteria analysis
What Variables Make Up the Cost-Benefit Analysis?
Cost breakdowns                 Community Benefits
  •   Investment/recurrent
                                 Benefit            $   Non-
  •   Hardware/software                                  $
  •   On-site/program costs      Health         ✔        ✔
  •   Household/external agent   Water          ✔        ✔
  •   Ingredients                (house)
  •   Cash payment/in-kind       Access time    ✔        ✔
      contribution
                                 Reuse          ✔        ✔
Other benefits                  Intangibles             ✔
  •   School performance         National Benefits
                                  Environment      ✔
  •   Broader water impacts       • Tourism
  •   Property value              • Businesses
  •   Public toilet fee           • Water quality
How Can Efficiency Measures Enable Better
Decision Making?
Economic = full, social impacts Options versus OD:
                                Efficiency of raising households
Financial = monetary impact     out of OD, or of preventing those
                                              with sanitation from falling back to
  • Benefit-cost ratios (BCR)
                                              OD
    Benefit per currency unit invested
  • Internal rate of return (IRR)             Options versus each other:
    Annual rate of return on investment
                                              Efficiency of moving from one
                                              option to another before the end
  • Payback period                            of life of existing option (e.g.
    Years to recover costs (break even)       upgrade)
  • Net present value (NPV)
     Discounted future benefits – costs
  • Cost-effectiveness ratios
    Cost to avoid 1 death or disease case
    or Cost of reducing 1 polluting unit
  • Benefit-cost incidence
    Population groups the Cs and Bs fall on
SELECTED FINDINGS FROM 40 SITES in ASIA
        … Relative Performance Varies Among Options
                     Indonesia - rural

                     8

                     7

                     6
Benefit-Cost Ratio




                     5
                                                                              Access time
                     4
                                                                              Water treatment
                     3                                                        Water access

                     2                                                        Health mortality
                                                                              Health productivity
                     1
                                                                              Health care
                     0
                          Public    Shared   Dry pit   Wet pit Septic / WWM


                     Dry pit outperforms wet pit
SELECTED FINDINGS
      Higher Ladder Options – Higher Benefits…
          China - rural
                           300


                           250
 Annual economic benefit




                           200
     per household




                           150
                                                                    Reuse
                                                                    Access time
                           100
                                                                    Water access
                                                                    Health mortality
                            50
                                                                    Health productivity
                                                                    Health care
                            0
                                 Pit latrine   UDDT   Septic tank
SELECTED FINDINGS
…but at What Cost? Annualized Cost per Household
                   70
                   60
                   50
                   40
  China -          30
  rural            20
                   10
                    0
                            Shared                Pit            UDDT            Biogas           Septic tank
                    US$
                   (2009)               Program          Maintenance       Operation          Investment
                  140
                  120
                  100
  Philippines -   80
  rural           60
                  40
                  20
                   0
                              Dry pit                   EcoSan          Septic tank       Septic tank with STF
SELECTED FINDINGS
Impact on Resources/Environment Undervalued
 With and without wastewater management

  6


  5


  4


  3


  2


  1
                                                                                 Access time
                                                                                 Water treatment
  0                                                                              Water access
       Wet pit   Septic   Septic   Septic   Septic   Septic   Wet pit   Septic   Health mortality
                 WWM               WWM               WWM                WWM      Health productivity
                                                                                 Health care
          Indonesia         Philippines         Vietnam       China (Yunnan)



      If environmental benefits are not monetized, the cost-
      benefit performance of WWM is lower than other options
SELECTED FINDINGS
  Use What is There More Efficiently
  Percentage loss in efficiency under actual
  program conditions


 45%

 40%

 35%

 30%

 25%

 20%

 15%

 10%

  5%

  0%
To
               i   le
                        tp
                     os




                                          0.5
                                                              1.5
                                                                        2.5
                                                                                  3.5




                                  0
                                                     1
                                                                    2
                                                                              3
                                                                                        4
                   Cl    it
                   ea ion
                     nl
                        in
                           es
                              s
                       St
                          at
                     Vi us
               M sit
                  ai or
                    nt s
                      ai
Co Co                     ni
  n v n fl                  ng
     en ict He
 Co ien a vo alth
                                                                                                                                                     SELECTED FINDINGS




    n v c e id a
       en for nc
          ie
            nc c h i e
                       l
        Ni e fo dre
           gh r              n
              t u e ld
                 s e er
                    of ly
                        t
                  Av oile
                     oi t
      Da               d
         ng Sh rain
            e r ow
                                                                                                                                                       Don’t Forget Non-Quantified Benefits!




               ou e
                  s a r in
                     ni g
                        m
                           al
                              s
                                                                                            China: Average satisfaction with current toilet option




                                                   Improved
                                      Unimproved
Key Messages


• Sanitation is a socially profitable investment
• Economic performance varies substantially between
  technology options
• You can’t copy and paste – significant inter-country
  differences of costs and benefits
• Choices must be made on level of benefits required - higher
  benefits usually cost more: what is the willingness to pay?
• Use what is there better - optimal versus actual economic
  performance
• Non-quantified and environmental benefits of sanitation
  require better understanding as they are crucial to consider in
  decision making
What Next for Africa?

• What overall evidence gaps remain – which once filled – would
  make you more comfortable in selecting sanitation
  interventions?
• Which costs and benefits would you specifically like to know
  more about in your decision making context?
• What is the need to conduct economic research in all African
  countries? How do you feel about using research results from a
  neighboring country?
• What rural and urban sanitation options need the greatest
  focus for the next five years of policy making?
• How can messaging of the results be better refined to have
  the desired impacts?
• What links need to be made to financing evidence and the
  private sector communities, and how?
www.wsp.org


Acknowledgements
With special thanks to funding agencies, staff of WSP,
consultant teams and their institutes:

- Cambodia: Sok Heng Sam, EIC
- Indonesia: Asep Winara, MLD
- Philippines: U-Primo Rodriguez, UP
- Vietnam: Viet Anh Nguyen, IESE
- Yunnan: Liang Chuan, YASS

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The Economics of Sanitation Initiative Phase 2: Economic Evaluation

  • 1. The Economics of Sanitation Initiative Phase 2: Economic Evaluation Guy Hutton Senior Economist, Consultant Water and Sanitation Program
  • 2. Why Economic Evaluation?  Compares both the costs and benefits of at least two alternative  Decision makers: policy options, in this case • Line Ministries sanitation interventions • Decentralized  Enables decision makers to make government an informed choice based on • Communities objective and explicit comparison • Households • Advocacy: Is the investment worthwhile? • Commercial operators • Selection: Which option performs ‘better’? • Budgeting: What are initial & running costs?  Types of analysis: • Financing: Who pays, who could pay? • Cost-benefit • Programming: How to improve performance? • Cost-effectiveness  Ideally, economic evaluation • Cost-utility feeds into a formal decision • Cost-minimization making process such as multi- criteria analysis
  • 3. What Variables Make Up the Cost-Benefit Analysis? Cost breakdowns Community Benefits • Investment/recurrent Benefit $ Non- • Hardware/software $ • On-site/program costs Health ✔ ✔ • Household/external agent Water ✔ ✔ • Ingredients (house) • Cash payment/in-kind Access time ✔ ✔ contribution Reuse ✔ ✔ Other benefits Intangibles ✔ • School performance National Benefits Environment ✔ • Broader water impacts • Tourism • Property value • Businesses • Public toilet fee • Water quality
  • 4. How Can Efficiency Measures Enable Better Decision Making? Economic = full, social impacts Options versus OD: Efficiency of raising households Financial = monetary impact out of OD, or of preventing those with sanitation from falling back to • Benefit-cost ratios (BCR) OD Benefit per currency unit invested • Internal rate of return (IRR) Options versus each other: Annual rate of return on investment Efficiency of moving from one option to another before the end • Payback period of life of existing option (e.g. Years to recover costs (break even) upgrade) • Net present value (NPV) Discounted future benefits – costs • Cost-effectiveness ratios Cost to avoid 1 death or disease case or Cost of reducing 1 polluting unit • Benefit-cost incidence Population groups the Cs and Bs fall on
  • 5. SELECTED FINDINGS FROM 40 SITES in ASIA … Relative Performance Varies Among Options Indonesia - rural 8 7 6 Benefit-Cost Ratio 5 Access time 4 Water treatment 3 Water access 2 Health mortality Health productivity 1 Health care 0 Public Shared Dry pit Wet pit Septic / WWM Dry pit outperforms wet pit
  • 6. SELECTED FINDINGS Higher Ladder Options – Higher Benefits… China - rural 300 250 Annual economic benefit 200 per household 150 Reuse Access time 100 Water access Health mortality 50 Health productivity Health care 0 Pit latrine UDDT Septic tank
  • 7. SELECTED FINDINGS …but at What Cost? Annualized Cost per Household 70 60 50 40 China - 30 rural 20 10 0 Shared Pit UDDT Biogas Septic tank US$ (2009) Program Maintenance Operation Investment 140 120 100 Philippines - 80 rural 60 40 20 0 Dry pit EcoSan Septic tank Septic tank with STF
  • 8. SELECTED FINDINGS Impact on Resources/Environment Undervalued With and without wastewater management 6 5 4 3 2 1 Access time Water treatment 0 Water access Wet pit Septic Septic Septic Septic Septic Wet pit Septic Health mortality WWM WWM WWM WWM Health productivity Health care Indonesia Philippines Vietnam China (Yunnan) If environmental benefits are not monetized, the cost- benefit performance of WWM is lower than other options
  • 9. SELECTED FINDINGS Use What is There More Efficiently Percentage loss in efficiency under actual program conditions 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
  • 10. To i le tp os 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 0 1 2 3 4 Cl it ea ion nl in es s St at Vi us M sit ai or nt s ai Co Co ni n v n fl ng en ict He Co ien a vo alth SELECTED FINDINGS n v c e id a en for nc ie nc c h i e l Ni e fo dre gh r n t u e ld s e er of ly t Av oile oi t Da d ng Sh rain e r ow Don’t Forget Non-Quantified Benefits! ou e s a r in ni g m al s China: Average satisfaction with current toilet option Improved Unimproved
  • 11. Key Messages • Sanitation is a socially profitable investment • Economic performance varies substantially between technology options • You can’t copy and paste – significant inter-country differences of costs and benefits • Choices must be made on level of benefits required - higher benefits usually cost more: what is the willingness to pay? • Use what is there better - optimal versus actual economic performance • Non-quantified and environmental benefits of sanitation require better understanding as they are crucial to consider in decision making
  • 12. What Next for Africa? • What overall evidence gaps remain – which once filled – would make you more comfortable in selecting sanitation interventions? • Which costs and benefits would you specifically like to know more about in your decision making context? • What is the need to conduct economic research in all African countries? How do you feel about using research results from a neighboring country? • What rural and urban sanitation options need the greatest focus for the next five years of policy making? • How can messaging of the results be better refined to have the desired impacts? • What links need to be made to financing evidence and the private sector communities, and how?
  • 13. www.wsp.org Acknowledgements With special thanks to funding agencies, staff of WSP, consultant teams and their institutes: - Cambodia: Sok Heng Sam, EIC - Indonesia: Asep Winara, MLD - Philippines: U-Primo Rodriguez, UP - Vietnam: Viet Anh Nguyen, IESE - Yunnan: Liang Chuan, YASS