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The Banking Industry Chessboard
September 9, 2013
Market Capitalization: $5.902 trillion
Assets managed: $89.85 trillion
Average leverage ratio: 6.2%
PHIMARK’s Global Index of banks rose by 1.6% during August. We saw declines in
countries like India and Indonesia in particular, while general improvement in European
banking, with increased market volatility - especially in emerging markets.
PHIMARK Global Index: 170(+1.6%)
Acquirers: 78 (+ 1)
Performers: 188 (-25)
Management Change: 71 (+17)
Acquisition Target: 217 (- 2)
Distressed: 14 (+ 3)
Total coverage: 569 (- 5)
Top 10 Acquirer Banks
There were no changes in the top Acquirer
rated banks, except for ranking changes
internal to the class.Acquirer
Allied Irish Banks
U.S. Bancorp
Bank Central Asia
Grupo Financiero Inbursa
HDFC Bank Limited
Hang Seng Bank Limited
Qatar National Bank SAQ
Grupo Financiero Santander México
Bank Rakyat Indonesia
Bank Mandiri
The market keeps selling off JP Morgan Chase on
weakness. Dimon is highly respected, but the
bank needs to produce resullts that removes the
question marks. Dimon has 3 more quarters
before his shareholders again ask themselves if he
is the best person to lead the bank.
Top 10 Performer Banks
Performer
Wells Fargo & Co
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
HSBC Holdings plc
China Construction Bank Corporation
Westpac Banking Corporation
Itau Unibanco Holding SA
Royal Bank of Canada
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group
Banco Bradesco SA
Top 10 Management Change Rated Banks
Citigroup was downgraded to Acquisition
Target rating, while JP Morgan Chase took
the top category position, being
downgraded from Performer rating.
Management
Change
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Agricultural Bank of China
Bank of China
Lloyds Banking Group PLC
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA
NORDEA BANK
Morgan Stanley
China Merchants Bank Co
PNC Financial Services Group
Top 10 Acquisition Target Rated Banks
Acquisition
Target
Citigroup Inc.
Bank of America Corp
Banco Santander, S.A.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
BNP Paribas
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Grp, Inc.
Bank of Communications Co Ltd
Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc
Mizuho Financial Group Inc.
Barclays PLC
Industrial Bank Co. Ltd was upgraded to
Performer rating. Citigroup is back as
markets view it exposed in a weaker
environment.
Top 10 Distressed Rated Banks
• Commerzbank was upgraded to
Acquisition Target rating, following
positive first half results.
• On August 9, 2013, Bank of
Wausau, Wausau, WI was closed by
the Wisconsin Department of
Financial Institutions, and the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)
was named Receiver.
• On August 23, 2013, Community
South Bank, Parsons, TN was closed
by the Tennessee Department of
Financial Institutions, and the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)
was named Receiver.
• On August 23, 2013, Sunrise Bank of
Arizona, Phoenix, AZ was closed by
the Arizona Department of Financial
Institutions, and the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was
named Receiver.
Distressed
Credit Agricole
Banca Monte dei Paschi e Siena
Federal National Mortgage Association
Federal Home Loan Corporation
Chiba Kogyo Bank Ltd
Sparebanken Vest
Banca Popolare dell'Etruria e del Lazio
SpareBank 1 Buskerud Vestfold
Banco di Sardegna (Gruppo BPER)
SpareBank 1 Notteroy Tonsberg
Watch-list:
Troubled banks that
could go into distress
CRCAM Nord de France
Bank of India
Deutsche Bank AG
Sandnes Sparebank
Indian Bank
Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31
Porter Bancorp
Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel de la Loire-Haute-Loire
Crédit Agricole d'Ille-et-Vilaine
Banca Carige
Commerzbank
Credit Agricole du Morbihan
Village Bank and Trust
Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Alpes Provence
Nes Prestegjelds Sparebank
Jimoto Holdings Inc
Banco Popolare
Trond Johannessen
Director
Phimark BV
+39 34 66 97 70 97
trond@blackwolfbv.com

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The banking chessboard 20130909

  • 1. The Banking Industry Chessboard September 9, 2013 Market Capitalization: $5.902 trillion Assets managed: $89.85 trillion Average leverage ratio: 6.2% PHIMARK’s Global Index of banks rose by 1.6% during August. We saw declines in countries like India and Indonesia in particular, while general improvement in European banking, with increased market volatility - especially in emerging markets. PHIMARK Global Index: 170(+1.6%) Acquirers: 78 (+ 1) Performers: 188 (-25) Management Change: 71 (+17) Acquisition Target: 217 (- 2) Distressed: 14 (+ 3) Total coverage: 569 (- 5)
  • 2. Top 10 Acquirer Banks There were no changes in the top Acquirer rated banks, except for ranking changes internal to the class.Acquirer Allied Irish Banks U.S. Bancorp Bank Central Asia Grupo Financiero Inbursa HDFC Bank Limited Hang Seng Bank Limited Qatar National Bank SAQ Grupo Financiero Santander México Bank Rakyat Indonesia Bank Mandiri
  • 3. The market keeps selling off JP Morgan Chase on weakness. Dimon is highly respected, but the bank needs to produce resullts that removes the question marks. Dimon has 3 more quarters before his shareholders again ask themselves if he is the best person to lead the bank. Top 10 Performer Banks Performer Wells Fargo & Co Commonwealth Bank of Australia Industrial and Commercial Bank of China HSBC Holdings plc China Construction Bank Corporation Westpac Banking Corporation Itau Unibanco Holding SA Royal Bank of Canada Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Banco Bradesco SA
  • 4. Top 10 Management Change Rated Banks Citigroup was downgraded to Acquisition Target rating, while JP Morgan Chase took the top category position, being downgraded from Performer rating. Management Change JPMorgan Chase & Co. Agricultural Bank of China Bank of China Lloyds Banking Group PLC Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA NORDEA BANK Morgan Stanley China Merchants Bank Co PNC Financial Services Group
  • 5. Top 10 Acquisition Target Rated Banks Acquisition Target Citigroup Inc. Bank of America Corp Banco Santander, S.A. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group BNP Paribas Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Grp, Inc. Bank of Communications Co Ltd Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc Mizuho Financial Group Inc. Barclays PLC Industrial Bank Co. Ltd was upgraded to Performer rating. Citigroup is back as markets view it exposed in a weaker environment.
  • 6. Top 10 Distressed Rated Banks • Commerzbank was upgraded to Acquisition Target rating, following positive first half results. • On August 9, 2013, Bank of Wausau, Wausau, WI was closed by the Wisconsin Department of Financial Institutions, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver. • On August 23, 2013, Community South Bank, Parsons, TN was closed by the Tennessee Department of Financial Institutions, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver. • On August 23, 2013, Sunrise Bank of Arizona, Phoenix, AZ was closed by the Arizona Department of Financial Institutions, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver. Distressed Credit Agricole Banca Monte dei Paschi e Siena Federal National Mortgage Association Federal Home Loan Corporation Chiba Kogyo Bank Ltd Sparebanken Vest Banca Popolare dell'Etruria e del Lazio SpareBank 1 Buskerud Vestfold Banco di Sardegna (Gruppo BPER) SpareBank 1 Notteroy Tonsberg
  • 7. Watch-list: Troubled banks that could go into distress CRCAM Nord de France Bank of India Deutsche Bank AG Sandnes Sparebank Indian Bank Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 Porter Bancorp Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel de la Loire-Haute-Loire Crédit Agricole d'Ille-et-Vilaine Banca Carige Commerzbank Credit Agricole du Morbihan Village Bank and Trust Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Alpes Provence Nes Prestegjelds Sparebank Jimoto Holdings Inc Banco Popolare
  • 8. Trond Johannessen Director Phimark BV +39 34 66 97 70 97 trond@blackwolfbv.com