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Testing of a cost-effective leak localisation method
12 September 2022
M. Bakker PhD
Leakage detection & localization benefits
Case KNT20
Case study: SES Water (UK)
Burst of 3 l/s (initially) at KNT20
1. Detection runtime = 24 hours
2. Location runtime = 42 Hours
3. Repair runtime = 77 Hours
4. Total leak runtime = 143 hours
5. Total leak volume 1.9Ml lost
Goals:
1. 24/7 surveillance
2. Awareness before client call
3. Reduce non-revenue water
Leak break out
19/9 14:30
MNF analyses
20/9 14:10
Leak Located
22/09 08:00
Leak
Repaired
25/9 13:00
Total Leak Volume = 1.9Ml
Contents
• Introduction
• Overview leakage reduction methods
• On-line leak localisation method
• Correction for deviations in non-leak situation
• Testing the method in 10 different DMAs
• Results of leak tests
• Conclusions
Introduction
• Leakage and burst large problem for
water companies
• Existing leaks
• New leaks and bursts:
• Detect
• Locate
• Repair
• UK water company SES Water deployed
Aquasuite BURST Alert in all DMAs
• Development leak localisation method
Overview leakage reduction methods
Each leak generates a specific profile / fingerprint, e.g.
1. Transient ((milli) seconds to minutes)
2. Deviation in noise (continuous)
3. Deviation in flow / pressure (minutes to hours)
4. Deviation in temperature (minutes to hours)
5. Deviation in sound reflections of/in the pipe
(continuous)
6. Deviation in light (fiber optic) reflections in the pipe
(continuous)
7. Deviation in visual images (by camera) in the pipe
(continuous)
8. Deviation in soil characteristics in satellite images
(days to weeks)
Overview leakage reduction methods
Each leak generates a specific profile / fingerprint, e.g.
1. Transient ((milli) seconds to minutes)
2. Deviation in noise (continuous)
3. Deviation in flow / pressure (minutes to hours)
4. Deviation in temperature (minutes to hours)
5. Deviation in sound reflections of/in the pipe
(continuous)
6. Deviation in light (fiber optic) reflections in the pipe
(continuous)
7. Deviation in visual images (by camera) in the pipe
(continuous)
8. Deviation in soil characteristics in satellite images
(days to weeks)
Requires:
1. Cheap sensors
2. Available hydraulic models
But also:
1. DMA infrastructure (small areas of ± 1,000
connections)
2. Well dimensioned networks
•API calls to data source
•Every 15 minutes update
BURST steps
1. Collect data
2. Predict
3. Filter and compute limits
4. Detect and Alert
5. Locate
•Self-learning
•“Normal” and “Special” days / periods
•Flow and pressure
BURST steps
1. Collect data
2. Predict
3. Filter and compute limits
4. Detect and Alert
5. Locate
6. Integrate
•Signals filtered: 1 minute to 4 hours
•Dynamic limits based on prediction accuracy
•Result: large event quick, smaller events slightly
delayed
BURST steps
1. Collect data
2. Predict
3. Filter and compute limits
4. Detect and Alert
5. Locate
•Alarm triggered when limit is exceeded
•E-mail notification
•Medium, High and Critical Alarms
•Add Label, Action, Comment
BURST steps
1. Collect data
2. Predict
3. Filter and compute limits
4. Detect and Alert
5. Locate
•6-10 pressure sensors per DMA
•Analyse leak impact in hydraulic model
•Estimated leak flow form Alert
•Show probable leak search area on the map
BURST steps
1. Collect data
2. Predict
3. Filter and compute limits
4. Detect and Alert
5. Locate
On-line leak localisation method
Characteristics:
• Applied on DMA level (500-1,500 conn.)
• Using hydraulic model
• Install 6-10 pressure sensors at relevant
locations
• Analyses every 5 of 15 minutes, when new
sensor data is received
• Analyse additional head loss caused by leak
• Localisation of leaks > 1.0 l/s (3.6 m3/h)
• Highest probability plotted on a map
Correction for deviations in non-leak situation
• Hydraulic models are not perfect: always deviation between model and measurement:
• Static offset  error in elevation in model or sensor
• Flow dependent deviation  resistance different (due to e.g. pipe roughness or closed valve)
• Can we predict (or “model”) this deviation?
blue: sensor data
orange: model data
green: difference (error)
grey: mean value
Correction for deviations in non-leak situations
• Dh = (hmeasured - hmodel) = C1 + C2 * Flow2
• Determine C1 + C2 based on previous 72 hours of data
• Apply correction:
hmodel, cor = hmodel + (C1 + C2 * Flow2)
• Results:
• Most sensors have a good fit after correction (R2 > 85%)
• Some sensors have a bad fit after correction (R2 < 85%)
• Exclude “bad sensors” from leak localisation
Testing the method in 10 different DMAs
Localisation method is based on:
• Analysing additional head loss due to leak
• Analyses is done with hydraulic model
Goal of SES Water: locate leaks of 1 l/s (3.6 m3/h) and larger
The expected accuracy determined by:
• Additional head loss due to a leak of 1 l/s  additional head loss must be sufficiently large
• Accuracy of pressure sensors  sensors must be sufficiently accurate
• Accuracy of the hydraulic model  model must be sufficiently accurate
Testing the method in 10 different DMAs
Evaluation suitability:
• High: additional head loss > 0.5 m
• Medium 0.25 m ≤ additional head loss ≤ 0.5 m
• Low: additional head loss < 0.25 m
High suitability
Good results expected
Low suitability
No good results expected
Medium suitability
Expected results unclear
Results of leak tests
• Executed by SES Water, Jack Nicol (https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-nicol-540012162/)
• 12 DMA’s. 6-8 Technolog Cello pressure sensors. Every minute 1 data point
• Leak simulation: 1.5 hour at 0.8 l/s (3 m3/h); 1 hour at 1.5 l/s (5,5 m3/h)
18
Results of leak tests
19
Leak simulation: results examples
20
Results of leak tests
Score: false-positive rate = percentage of nodes with higher probability than real leak node
0,00
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
0,50
0,60
0,70
0,80
0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50
False
Positive
Rate
Additional head loss [m]
Performance of localisation method
Leakage detection & localization benefits
Case KNT20
Case study: SES Water (UK)
Burst of 3 l/s (initially) at KNT20
1. Detection runtime = 24 hours
2. Location runtime = 42 Hours
3. Repair runtime = 77 Hours
4. Total leak runtime = 143 hours
5. Total leak volume 1.9Ml lost
Goals:
1. 24/7 surveillance
2. Awareness before client call
3. Reduce non-revenue water
Leak break out
19/9 14:30
MNF analyses
–20/9 14:10
Leak
Located
22/09 08:00
Leak
Repaired
25/9 13:00
Total Leak Volume = 1.9Ml
Leak break
out
19/9 @14:30
Leak Located
20/09 @00:00
Burst detected
20/9 @16:00
Leak
Repaired
23/9 @13:00
Total Saved
Volume = 1.0
Ml
53% reduction water
loss
Leakage detection & localization benefits
Case KNT20, with detection and localization
Case study: SES Water (UK)
Burst of 3 l/s (initially) at KNT20
1. Detection runtime = 1.5 hours
2. Location runtime = 4 Hours
3. Repair runtime = 77 Hours
4. Total leak runtime = 82 hours
5. Total leak volume 1.0 Ml lost
Result
1. 53% water loss reduced
Total Leak Volume = 0.9
Ml (900 m3)
Conclusions
1. Leak localisation method able to reduce search area by 81%
2. Combination of detection + localisation may reduce leakage by 53%
3. Additional head loss due to leak fair indicator for expected accuracy of localisation
method
Acknowledgements
SES Water:
Daniel Woodworth
Jack Nicol
Sian Evans
Tanya Dady
Royal HaskoningDHV:
Maria Wünsch de Alvarenga
Martijn Deenen
Zixi Meng

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Cost-effective leak localization testing

  • 1. Testing of a cost-effective leak localisation method 12 September 2022 M. Bakker PhD
  • 2.
  • 3. Leakage detection & localization benefits Case KNT20 Case study: SES Water (UK) Burst of 3 l/s (initially) at KNT20 1. Detection runtime = 24 hours 2. Location runtime = 42 Hours 3. Repair runtime = 77 Hours 4. Total leak runtime = 143 hours 5. Total leak volume 1.9Ml lost Goals: 1. 24/7 surveillance 2. Awareness before client call 3. Reduce non-revenue water Leak break out 19/9 14:30 MNF analyses 20/9 14:10 Leak Located 22/09 08:00 Leak Repaired 25/9 13:00 Total Leak Volume = 1.9Ml
  • 4. Contents • Introduction • Overview leakage reduction methods • On-line leak localisation method • Correction for deviations in non-leak situation • Testing the method in 10 different DMAs • Results of leak tests • Conclusions
  • 5. Introduction • Leakage and burst large problem for water companies • Existing leaks • New leaks and bursts: • Detect • Locate • Repair • UK water company SES Water deployed Aquasuite BURST Alert in all DMAs • Development leak localisation method
  • 6. Overview leakage reduction methods Each leak generates a specific profile / fingerprint, e.g. 1. Transient ((milli) seconds to minutes) 2. Deviation in noise (continuous) 3. Deviation in flow / pressure (minutes to hours) 4. Deviation in temperature (minutes to hours) 5. Deviation in sound reflections of/in the pipe (continuous) 6. Deviation in light (fiber optic) reflections in the pipe (continuous) 7. Deviation in visual images (by camera) in the pipe (continuous) 8. Deviation in soil characteristics in satellite images (days to weeks)
  • 7. Overview leakage reduction methods Each leak generates a specific profile / fingerprint, e.g. 1. Transient ((milli) seconds to minutes) 2. Deviation in noise (continuous) 3. Deviation in flow / pressure (minutes to hours) 4. Deviation in temperature (minutes to hours) 5. Deviation in sound reflections of/in the pipe (continuous) 6. Deviation in light (fiber optic) reflections in the pipe (continuous) 7. Deviation in visual images (by camera) in the pipe (continuous) 8. Deviation in soil characteristics in satellite images (days to weeks) Requires: 1. Cheap sensors 2. Available hydraulic models But also: 1. DMA infrastructure (small areas of ± 1,000 connections) 2. Well dimensioned networks
  • 8. •API calls to data source •Every 15 minutes update BURST steps 1. Collect data 2. Predict 3. Filter and compute limits 4. Detect and Alert 5. Locate
  • 9. •Self-learning •“Normal” and “Special” days / periods •Flow and pressure BURST steps 1. Collect data 2. Predict 3. Filter and compute limits 4. Detect and Alert 5. Locate 6. Integrate
  • 10. •Signals filtered: 1 minute to 4 hours •Dynamic limits based on prediction accuracy •Result: large event quick, smaller events slightly delayed BURST steps 1. Collect data 2. Predict 3. Filter and compute limits 4. Detect and Alert 5. Locate
  • 11. •Alarm triggered when limit is exceeded •E-mail notification •Medium, High and Critical Alarms •Add Label, Action, Comment BURST steps 1. Collect data 2. Predict 3. Filter and compute limits 4. Detect and Alert 5. Locate
  • 12. •6-10 pressure sensors per DMA •Analyse leak impact in hydraulic model •Estimated leak flow form Alert •Show probable leak search area on the map BURST steps 1. Collect data 2. Predict 3. Filter and compute limits 4. Detect and Alert 5. Locate
  • 13. On-line leak localisation method Characteristics: • Applied on DMA level (500-1,500 conn.) • Using hydraulic model • Install 6-10 pressure sensors at relevant locations • Analyses every 5 of 15 minutes, when new sensor data is received • Analyse additional head loss caused by leak • Localisation of leaks > 1.0 l/s (3.6 m3/h) • Highest probability plotted on a map
  • 14. Correction for deviations in non-leak situation • Hydraulic models are not perfect: always deviation between model and measurement: • Static offset  error in elevation in model or sensor • Flow dependent deviation  resistance different (due to e.g. pipe roughness or closed valve) • Can we predict (or “model”) this deviation? blue: sensor data orange: model data green: difference (error) grey: mean value
  • 15. Correction for deviations in non-leak situations • Dh = (hmeasured - hmodel) = C1 + C2 * Flow2 • Determine C1 + C2 based on previous 72 hours of data • Apply correction: hmodel, cor = hmodel + (C1 + C2 * Flow2) • Results: • Most sensors have a good fit after correction (R2 > 85%) • Some sensors have a bad fit after correction (R2 < 85%) • Exclude “bad sensors” from leak localisation
  • 16. Testing the method in 10 different DMAs Localisation method is based on: • Analysing additional head loss due to leak • Analyses is done with hydraulic model Goal of SES Water: locate leaks of 1 l/s (3.6 m3/h) and larger The expected accuracy determined by: • Additional head loss due to a leak of 1 l/s  additional head loss must be sufficiently large • Accuracy of pressure sensors  sensors must be sufficiently accurate • Accuracy of the hydraulic model  model must be sufficiently accurate
  • 17. Testing the method in 10 different DMAs Evaluation suitability: • High: additional head loss > 0.5 m • Medium 0.25 m ≤ additional head loss ≤ 0.5 m • Low: additional head loss < 0.25 m High suitability Good results expected Low suitability No good results expected Medium suitability Expected results unclear
  • 18. Results of leak tests • Executed by SES Water, Jack Nicol (https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-nicol-540012162/) • 12 DMA’s. 6-8 Technolog Cello pressure sensors. Every minute 1 data point • Leak simulation: 1.5 hour at 0.8 l/s (3 m3/h); 1 hour at 1.5 l/s (5,5 m3/h) 18
  • 19. Results of leak tests 19
  • 21. Results of leak tests Score: false-positive rate = percentage of nodes with higher probability than real leak node 0,00 0,10 0,20 0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70 0,80 0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50 False Positive Rate Additional head loss [m] Performance of localisation method
  • 22. Leakage detection & localization benefits Case KNT20 Case study: SES Water (UK) Burst of 3 l/s (initially) at KNT20 1. Detection runtime = 24 hours 2. Location runtime = 42 Hours 3. Repair runtime = 77 Hours 4. Total leak runtime = 143 hours 5. Total leak volume 1.9Ml lost Goals: 1. 24/7 surveillance 2. Awareness before client call 3. Reduce non-revenue water Leak break out 19/9 14:30 MNF analyses –20/9 14:10 Leak Located 22/09 08:00 Leak Repaired 25/9 13:00 Total Leak Volume = 1.9Ml
  • 23. Leak break out 19/9 @14:30 Leak Located 20/09 @00:00 Burst detected 20/9 @16:00 Leak Repaired 23/9 @13:00 Total Saved Volume = 1.0 Ml 53% reduction water loss Leakage detection & localization benefits Case KNT20, with detection and localization Case study: SES Water (UK) Burst of 3 l/s (initially) at KNT20 1. Detection runtime = 1.5 hours 2. Location runtime = 4 Hours 3. Repair runtime = 77 Hours 4. Total leak runtime = 82 hours 5. Total leak volume 1.0 Ml lost Result 1. 53% water loss reduced Total Leak Volume = 0.9 Ml (900 m3)
  • 24. Conclusions 1. Leak localisation method able to reduce search area by 81% 2. Combination of detection + localisation may reduce leakage by 53% 3. Additional head loss due to leak fair indicator for expected accuracy of localisation method
  • 25. Acknowledgements SES Water: Daniel Woodworth Jack Nicol Sian Evans Tanya Dady Royal HaskoningDHV: Maria Wünsch de Alvarenga Martijn Deenen Zixi Meng