The document discusses technology forecasting, including defining it as predicting future characteristics of machines and processes. It outlines stages in a technology's innovation chain from basic research to widespread adoption. Forecasting is necessary for planning and identifying emerging technologies. Forecasts should specify time periods, technologies, characteristics, and probabilities. While forecasts cannot determine the future, they are useful for decision-making by informing planning and identifying alternatives.
2Technology Acquisition and Technology ForecastingSelvaKumar679440
This document discusses technology acquisition and forecasting. It begins with an overview of the module and syllabus, which covers topics like acquiring new technologies, technology forecasting methods, and technology development. It then provides details on different aspects of technology acquisition, including motivations for acquisition, sources for acquiring technology, and the stages of the technology innovation chain. The document also discusses technology forecasting, including its definition, use, difficulties, techniques and methods like brainstorming and trend extrapolation. It describes how forecasts can inform the planning process and outlines the role forecasts play. Finally, it introduces the concept of a hype curve for technologies.
This document provides an overview of technology forecasting. It discusses the introduction and need for technology forecasting, as well as the benefits and elements involved. Technology forecasting aims to predict the direction, rate, and effects of technological change. It helps with planning and decision making. The document also outlines various exploratory and normative methods used for technology forecasting, including intuitive methods like brainstorming and the Delphi technique. Overall, the document provides a high-level introduction to the concepts and process of technology forecasting.
Assistive Technology 5; Technological Innovation and Dessemination.pptxzartashar
The document discusses the stages of technological development and progress. It outlines four main stages of technology development: 1) research and development, 2) scientific verification and demonstration, 3) system deployment or system evaluation, and 4) implementation, maintenance, and operations. It also discusses three phases of technological progress: 1) invention, 2) innovation, and 3) diffusion. Finally, it provides ten steps for selecting and using technology appropriately, including defining business goals, developing requirements interactively, conducting demonstrations and trials of potential technologies.
The document discusses technology assessment and readiness levels (TRLs). It defines TRLs and the related concept of Advancement Degree of Difficulty (AD2). The key points are:
- TRLs describe the maturity of a technology, with level 1 being lowest and level 9 being highest.
- AD2 assesses what is required to advance a technology from its current TRL to the level required for a program/project.
- Technology assessments should be conducted iteratively throughout a program/project to understand technology needs and ensure requirements can be met.
The document discusses technology assessment and forecasting. It covers topics such as managing technological forecasting methods, monitoring technological trends, conducting technology impact assessments, understanding the relationship between forecasting and technology management, stages of technological innovation, and competitive technology lifecycles. The document also discusses factors to consider when choosing techniques to capture expert opinions for technological forecasting purposes.
The document discusses technology assessment and forecasting. It covers topics such as managing technological forecasting methods, monitoring technological trends, conducting technology impact assessments, understanding the relationship between forecasting and technology management, stages of technological innovation, and competitive technology lifecycles. The document also discusses factors to consider when choosing techniques to capture expert opinions for technological forecasting purposes.
A suite of tools for technology assessmentNitish Mahajan
This document discusses tools for technology assessment, beginning with definitions of technology and why technology assessment is important. It describes Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs) which rate the maturity of a technology from 1 to 9 based on what has been demonstrated. It also discusses determining the Advancement Degree of Difficulty (AD2) which evaluates what is required to advance technologies from their current TRL to the level needed. The document provides examples of lessons learned from past programs where technology issues impacted cost and schedule. It emphasizes the importance of conducting technology assessments early and periodically to align requirements and resources.
This document summarizes a seminar on technology transfer. It discusses various ways that technology is transferred, such as through consulting, collaborations, and licensing. It also describes different types of technology like emerging, innovative, and established technologies. Additionally, it outlines the constituents of the technology transfer process, including promotion, deployment, development, and commercialization. It provides examples of technology transfer, such as a process for manufacturing L-phenylalanine using enzymes.
2Technology Acquisition and Technology ForecastingSelvaKumar679440
This document discusses technology acquisition and forecasting. It begins with an overview of the module and syllabus, which covers topics like acquiring new technologies, technology forecasting methods, and technology development. It then provides details on different aspects of technology acquisition, including motivations for acquisition, sources for acquiring technology, and the stages of the technology innovation chain. The document also discusses technology forecasting, including its definition, use, difficulties, techniques and methods like brainstorming and trend extrapolation. It describes how forecasts can inform the planning process and outlines the role forecasts play. Finally, it introduces the concept of a hype curve for technologies.
This document provides an overview of technology forecasting. It discusses the introduction and need for technology forecasting, as well as the benefits and elements involved. Technology forecasting aims to predict the direction, rate, and effects of technological change. It helps with planning and decision making. The document also outlines various exploratory and normative methods used for technology forecasting, including intuitive methods like brainstorming and the Delphi technique. Overall, the document provides a high-level introduction to the concepts and process of technology forecasting.
Assistive Technology 5; Technological Innovation and Dessemination.pptxzartashar
The document discusses the stages of technological development and progress. It outlines four main stages of technology development: 1) research and development, 2) scientific verification and demonstration, 3) system deployment or system evaluation, and 4) implementation, maintenance, and operations. It also discusses three phases of technological progress: 1) invention, 2) innovation, and 3) diffusion. Finally, it provides ten steps for selecting and using technology appropriately, including defining business goals, developing requirements interactively, conducting demonstrations and trials of potential technologies.
The document discusses technology assessment and readiness levels (TRLs). It defines TRLs and the related concept of Advancement Degree of Difficulty (AD2). The key points are:
- TRLs describe the maturity of a technology, with level 1 being lowest and level 9 being highest.
- AD2 assesses what is required to advance a technology from its current TRL to the level required for a program/project.
- Technology assessments should be conducted iteratively throughout a program/project to understand technology needs and ensure requirements can be met.
The document discusses technology assessment and forecasting. It covers topics such as managing technological forecasting methods, monitoring technological trends, conducting technology impact assessments, understanding the relationship between forecasting and technology management, stages of technological innovation, and competitive technology lifecycles. The document also discusses factors to consider when choosing techniques to capture expert opinions for technological forecasting purposes.
The document discusses technology assessment and forecasting. It covers topics such as managing technological forecasting methods, monitoring technological trends, conducting technology impact assessments, understanding the relationship between forecasting and technology management, stages of technological innovation, and competitive technology lifecycles. The document also discusses factors to consider when choosing techniques to capture expert opinions for technological forecasting purposes.
A suite of tools for technology assessmentNitish Mahajan
This document discusses tools for technology assessment, beginning with definitions of technology and why technology assessment is important. It describes Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs) which rate the maturity of a technology from 1 to 9 based on what has been demonstrated. It also discusses determining the Advancement Degree of Difficulty (AD2) which evaluates what is required to advance technologies from their current TRL to the level needed. The document provides examples of lessons learned from past programs where technology issues impacted cost and schedule. It emphasizes the importance of conducting technology assessments early and periodically to align requirements and resources.
This document summarizes a seminar on technology transfer. It discusses various ways that technology is transferred, such as through consulting, collaborations, and licensing. It also describes different types of technology like emerging, innovative, and established technologies. Additionally, it outlines the constituents of the technology transfer process, including promotion, deployment, development, and commercialization. It provides examples of technology transfer, such as a process for manufacturing L-phenylalanine using enzymes.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
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Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
help.mbaassignments@gmail.com
or
call us at : 08263069601
This document provides guidelines for managing innovation projects using a stage-gate process. It describes the stage-gate model used by the Industrial Technologies Program, which includes 5 stages of project development from preliminary investigation through commercialization. Each stage involves certain research activities, and gates are decision points where projects are evaluated against criteria to determine if they should progress to the next stage or be halted. The guidelines are intended to increase the likelihood of successfully developing and deploying new energy technologies.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
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Call us at : 08263069601
(Prefer mailing. Call in emergency )
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
“ help.mbaassignments@gmail.com ”
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Call us at : 08263069601
The previous chapters pointed out that technological innovation can come from many sources and take many forms. Different types of technological innovations offer different opportunities for organizations and society, and they pose different demands upon producers, users, and regulators. While there is no single agreed-upon taxonomy to describe different kinds of technological innovations, in this chapter we will review several dimensions that are often used to categorize technologies. These dimensions are useful for understanding some key ways that one innovation may differ from another. The path a technology follows through time is termed its technology trajectory. Technology trajectories are most often used to represent the technology’s rate of performance improvement or its rate of adoption in the marketplace. Though many factors can influence these technology trajectories (as discussed in both this chapter and the following chapters), some patterns have been consistently identified in technology trajectories across many industry contexts and over many periods. Understanding these patterns of technological innovation provides a useful foundation that we will build upon in the later chapters on formulating technology strategy. The chapter begins by reviewing the dimensions used to distinguish types of innovations. It then describes the s-curve patterns so often observed in both the rate of technology improvement and the rate of technology diffusion to the market. In the last section, the chapter describes research suggesting that technological innovation follows a cyclical pattern composed of distinct and reliably occurring phases.
.
The document discusses the advantages of advanced technology in domestic and global markets. It outlines how technological advancement leads to economic growth and a wealthier nation by making organizations more efficient, competitive, and profitable. It also describes technology life cycles and strategies, including scanning the environment, strategic planning, forecasting, and analyzing strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. The technology policy aims to promote scientific temper, skills, careers in science and research, infrastructure for R&D, private sector participation, and innovations that create wealth.
Technology intelligence aims to help companies identify technological opportunities and threats that could impact their future growth. It involves capturing and analyzing information on market, product and technology changes from internal and external sources. This helps companies in strategic planning and decision making. Technology mapping is the process of gathering external technological data and analyzing it to derive intelligence for strategic decisions. It involves scanning the environment, monitoring trends, forecasting future technological changes, and assessing implications. Technology forecasting uses expert opinions and scenarios to estimate the capabilities and probabilities of future technological developments. It helps companies maximize gains and minimize losses from external events, offset competitors' actions, and develop plans.
The document discusses various theories and methods related to technology forecasting. It defines technology and discusses theories on the process of technological change proposed by various scholars. It also outlines some limitations of these theories. Additionally, it describes various quantitative and qualitative methods used for technology forecasting like trend extrapolation, growth curves, Delphi method, relevance trees, and morphological analysis. It provides details on how these methods are applied and discusses their relevance and limitations.
TEV Study (Techno Economic Viability) - A GuidanceSapient Services
Explore the transformative role of Techno Economic Viability (TEV) Study in shaping India's project landscape. Learn about its key features, benefits, and how TEV Study guides stakeholders in making informed decisions for economically viable and sustainable projects.
Technology Transfer in Pharma Industry, Technology Transfer in Pharmaceutical Industry, Pharmaceutical Technology Transfer, Pharma Tech Transfer, Naseeb basha, Pharmaceutical Tech Transfer, Naseeb basha Technology Transfer in Pharma Industry, Naseeb basha Pharmaceutical Technology Transfer
This document provides information about getting fully solved assignments for the Fall 2015 semester. Students are instructed to send their semester and specialization name to the provided email address or call the given phone number. It then provides details of an assignment for the BBA601 - Technology Management subject, including the credit hours, BK ID, maximum marks, and instructions to answer all questions. The questions cover topics like the positive and negative impacts of technology, technology acquisition methods, technology life cycles, technology transfer models, environmental impact assessment guidelines and reports, and tools developed for specific organizational functions.
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER PROCESS IN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES ( IP-2/ UNIT 2)JAYACHANDRA AKUTHOTA
The document discusses the process of technology transfer in the pharmaceutical industry, which refers to the progression of a drug from discovery to commercialization through development, clinical trials, and manufacturing. It covers the various facets, constituents, and steps of technology transfer including development, documentation, validation, and optimization required to successfully transfer a technology from research to production. Proper planning and documentation of every step of the technology transfer process is important to ensure quality and regulatory compliance.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
help.mbaassignments@gmail.com
or
call us at : 08263069601
Chapter 3 types and patterns of innovationMuhammad Anang
The path a technology follows through time is termed its technology trajectory. Technology trajectories are most often used to represent the technology’s rate of performance improvement or its rate of adoption in the marketplace.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
“ help.mbaassignments@gmail.com ”
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Call us at : 08263069601
Technological innovations are often described using dimensions such as “radical” versus “incremental.” Different types of innovation require different kinds of underlying knowledge and have different impacts on the industry’s competitors and customers. Four of the dimensions most commonly used to categorize innovations are described here: product versus process innovation, radical versus incremental, competence enhancing versus competence destroying, and architectural versus component.
Transferring of details related to formulation and analytical strategies from one area to another area i.e. from R&D to production department and transferring of resulting product from lab scale to production scale. It’s a organized procedure including documented information and knowledge gained throughout the development. In pharmaceutical industry technology transfer includes steps from drug discovery to product development, clinical trials and full scale commercialization. According to WHO it’s a logical procedure that controls the transfer of any method along with its documentation and professional expertise between development and manufacturer.
This document provides an overview of emerging technologies. It defines emerging technologies as innovations that are currently developing or will develop over the next 5-10 years and could significantly change business and society. Emerging technologies are characterized by radical novelty, relatively fast growth, coherence, prominent impact, and uncertainty/ambiguity. Some examples of emerging technologies mentioned are artificial intelligence, virtual reality, blockchain, and quantum computing. The document outlines learning objectives and contents that will examine the characteristics of emerging technologies and how they are transforming industries and lives.
The path a technology follows through time is termed its technology trajectory. Technology trajectories are most often used to represent the technology’s rate of performance improvement or its rate of adoption in the marketplace. Though many factors can influence these technology trajectories (as discussed in both this chapter and the following chapters), some patterns have been consistently identified in technology trajectories across many industry contexts and over many periods. Understanding these patterns of technological innovation provides a useful foundation that we will build upon in the later chapters on formulating technology strategy.
KuberTENes Birthday Bash Guadalajara - K8sGPT first impressionsVictor Morales
K8sGPT is a tool that analyzes and diagnoses Kubernetes clusters. This presentation was used to share the requirements and dependencies to deploy K8sGPT in a local environment.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
help.mbaassignments@gmail.com
or
call us at : 08263069601
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
help.mbaassignments@gmail.com
or
call us at : 08263069601
This document provides guidelines for managing innovation projects using a stage-gate process. It describes the stage-gate model used by the Industrial Technologies Program, which includes 5 stages of project development from preliminary investigation through commercialization. Each stage involves certain research activities, and gates are decision points where projects are evaluated against criteria to determine if they should progress to the next stage or be halted. The guidelines are intended to increase the likelihood of successfully developing and deploying new energy technologies.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
“ help.mbaassignments@gmail.com ”
or
Call us at : 08263069601
(Prefer mailing. Call in emergency )
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
“ help.mbaassignments@gmail.com ”
or
Call us at : 08263069601
The previous chapters pointed out that technological innovation can come from many sources and take many forms. Different types of technological innovations offer different opportunities for organizations and society, and they pose different demands upon producers, users, and regulators. While there is no single agreed-upon taxonomy to describe different kinds of technological innovations, in this chapter we will review several dimensions that are often used to categorize technologies. These dimensions are useful for understanding some key ways that one innovation may differ from another. The path a technology follows through time is termed its technology trajectory. Technology trajectories are most often used to represent the technology’s rate of performance improvement or its rate of adoption in the marketplace. Though many factors can influence these technology trajectories (as discussed in both this chapter and the following chapters), some patterns have been consistently identified in technology trajectories across many industry contexts and over many periods. Understanding these patterns of technological innovation provides a useful foundation that we will build upon in the later chapters on formulating technology strategy. The chapter begins by reviewing the dimensions used to distinguish types of innovations. It then describes the s-curve patterns so often observed in both the rate of technology improvement and the rate of technology diffusion to the market. In the last section, the chapter describes research suggesting that technological innovation follows a cyclical pattern composed of distinct and reliably occurring phases.
.
The document discusses the advantages of advanced technology in domestic and global markets. It outlines how technological advancement leads to economic growth and a wealthier nation by making organizations more efficient, competitive, and profitable. It also describes technology life cycles and strategies, including scanning the environment, strategic planning, forecasting, and analyzing strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. The technology policy aims to promote scientific temper, skills, careers in science and research, infrastructure for R&D, private sector participation, and innovations that create wealth.
Technology intelligence aims to help companies identify technological opportunities and threats that could impact their future growth. It involves capturing and analyzing information on market, product and technology changes from internal and external sources. This helps companies in strategic planning and decision making. Technology mapping is the process of gathering external technological data and analyzing it to derive intelligence for strategic decisions. It involves scanning the environment, monitoring trends, forecasting future technological changes, and assessing implications. Technology forecasting uses expert opinions and scenarios to estimate the capabilities and probabilities of future technological developments. It helps companies maximize gains and minimize losses from external events, offset competitors' actions, and develop plans.
The document discusses various theories and methods related to technology forecasting. It defines technology and discusses theories on the process of technological change proposed by various scholars. It also outlines some limitations of these theories. Additionally, it describes various quantitative and qualitative methods used for technology forecasting like trend extrapolation, growth curves, Delphi method, relevance trees, and morphological analysis. It provides details on how these methods are applied and discusses their relevance and limitations.
TEV Study (Techno Economic Viability) - A GuidanceSapient Services
Explore the transformative role of Techno Economic Viability (TEV) Study in shaping India's project landscape. Learn about its key features, benefits, and how TEV Study guides stakeholders in making informed decisions for economically viable and sustainable projects.
Technology Transfer in Pharma Industry, Technology Transfer in Pharmaceutical Industry, Pharmaceutical Technology Transfer, Pharma Tech Transfer, Naseeb basha, Pharmaceutical Tech Transfer, Naseeb basha Technology Transfer in Pharma Industry, Naseeb basha Pharmaceutical Technology Transfer
This document provides information about getting fully solved assignments for the Fall 2015 semester. Students are instructed to send their semester and specialization name to the provided email address or call the given phone number. It then provides details of an assignment for the BBA601 - Technology Management subject, including the credit hours, BK ID, maximum marks, and instructions to answer all questions. The questions cover topics like the positive and negative impacts of technology, technology acquisition methods, technology life cycles, technology transfer models, environmental impact assessment guidelines and reports, and tools developed for specific organizational functions.
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER PROCESS IN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES ( IP-2/ UNIT 2)JAYACHANDRA AKUTHOTA
The document discusses the process of technology transfer in the pharmaceutical industry, which refers to the progression of a drug from discovery to commercialization through development, clinical trials, and manufacturing. It covers the various facets, constituents, and steps of technology transfer including development, documentation, validation, and optimization required to successfully transfer a technology from research to production. Proper planning and documentation of every step of the technology transfer process is important to ensure quality and regulatory compliance.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
help.mbaassignments@gmail.com
or
call us at : 08263069601
Chapter 3 types and patterns of innovationMuhammad Anang
The path a technology follows through time is termed its technology trajectory. Technology trajectories are most often used to represent the technology’s rate of performance improvement or its rate of adoption in the marketplace.
Dear students get fully solved assignments
Send your semester & Specialization name to our mail id :
“ help.mbaassignments@gmail.com ”
or
Call us at : 08263069601
Technological innovations are often described using dimensions such as “radical” versus “incremental.” Different types of innovation require different kinds of underlying knowledge and have different impacts on the industry’s competitors and customers. Four of the dimensions most commonly used to categorize innovations are described here: product versus process innovation, radical versus incremental, competence enhancing versus competence destroying, and architectural versus component.
Transferring of details related to formulation and analytical strategies from one area to another area i.e. from R&D to production department and transferring of resulting product from lab scale to production scale. It’s a organized procedure including documented information and knowledge gained throughout the development. In pharmaceutical industry technology transfer includes steps from drug discovery to product development, clinical trials and full scale commercialization. According to WHO it’s a logical procedure that controls the transfer of any method along with its documentation and professional expertise between development and manufacturer.
This document provides an overview of emerging technologies. It defines emerging technologies as innovations that are currently developing or will develop over the next 5-10 years and could significantly change business and society. Emerging technologies are characterized by radical novelty, relatively fast growth, coherence, prominent impact, and uncertainty/ambiguity. Some examples of emerging technologies mentioned are artificial intelligence, virtual reality, blockchain, and quantum computing. The document outlines learning objectives and contents that will examine the characteristics of emerging technologies and how they are transforming industries and lives.
The path a technology follows through time is termed its technology trajectory. Technology trajectories are most often used to represent the technology’s rate of performance improvement or its rate of adoption in the marketplace. Though many factors can influence these technology trajectories (as discussed in both this chapter and the following chapters), some patterns have been consistently identified in technology trajectories across many industry contexts and over many periods. Understanding these patterns of technological innovation provides a useful foundation that we will build upon in the later chapters on formulating technology strategy.
KuberTENes Birthday Bash Guadalajara - K8sGPT first impressionsVictor Morales
K8sGPT is a tool that analyzes and diagnoses Kubernetes clusters. This presentation was used to share the requirements and dependencies to deploy K8sGPT in a local environment.
ACEP Magazine edition 4th launched on 05.06.2024Rahul
This document provides information about the third edition of the magazine "Sthapatya" published by the Association of Civil Engineers (Practicing) Aurangabad. It includes messages from current and past presidents of ACEP, memories and photos from past ACEP events, information on life time achievement awards given by ACEP, and a technical article on concrete maintenance, repairs and strengthening. The document highlights activities of ACEP and provides a technical educational article for members.
CHINA’S GEO-ECONOMIC OUTREACH IN CENTRAL ASIAN COUNTRIES AND FUTURE PROSPECTjpsjournal1
The rivalry between prominent international actors for dominance over Central Asia's hydrocarbon
reserves and the ancient silk trade route, along with China's diplomatic endeavours in the area, has been
referred to as the "New Great Game." This research centres on the power struggle, considering
geopolitical, geostrategic, and geoeconomic variables. Topics including trade, political hegemony, oil
politics, and conventional and nontraditional security are all explored and explained by the researcher.
Using Mackinder's Heartland, Spykman Rimland, and Hegemonic Stability theories, examines China's role
in Central Asia. This study adheres to the empirical epistemological method and has taken care of
objectivity. This study analyze primary and secondary research documents critically to elaborate role of
china’s geo economic outreach in central Asian countries and its future prospect. China is thriving in trade,
pipeline politics, and winning states, according to this study, thanks to important instruments like the
Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and the Belt and Road Economic Initiative. According to this study,
China is seeing significant success in commerce, pipeline politics, and gaining influence on other
governments. This success may be attributed to the effective utilisation of key tools such as the Shanghai
Cooperation Organisation and the Belt and Road Economic Initiative.
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming PipelinesChristina Lin
Traditionally, dealing with real-time data pipelines has involved significant overhead, even for straightforward tasks like data transformation or masking. However, in this talk, we’ll venture into the dynamic realm of WebAssembly (WASM) and discover how it can revolutionize the creation of stateless streaming pipelines within a Kafka (Redpanda) broker. These pipelines are adept at managing low-latency, high-data-volume scenarios.
Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptxDr Ramhari Poudyal
Three-day training on academic research focuses on analytical tools at United Technical College, supported by the University Grant Commission, Nepal. 24-26 May 2024
TIME DIVISION MULTIPLEXING TECHNIQUE FOR COMMUNICATION SYSTEMHODECEDSIET
Time Division Multiplexing (TDM) is a method of transmitting multiple signals over a single communication channel by dividing the signal into many segments, each having a very short duration of time. These time slots are then allocated to different data streams, allowing multiple signals to share the same transmission medium efficiently. TDM is widely used in telecommunications and data communication systems.
### How TDM Works
1. **Time Slots Allocation**: The core principle of TDM is to assign distinct time slots to each signal. During each time slot, the respective signal is transmitted, and then the process repeats cyclically. For example, if there are four signals to be transmitted, the TDM cycle will divide time into four slots, each assigned to one signal.
2. **Synchronization**: Synchronization is crucial in TDM systems to ensure that the signals are correctly aligned with their respective time slots. Both the transmitter and receiver must be synchronized to avoid any overlap or loss of data. This synchronization is typically maintained by a clock signal that ensures time slots are accurately aligned.
3. **Frame Structure**: TDM data is organized into frames, where each frame consists of a set of time slots. Each frame is repeated at regular intervals, ensuring continuous transmission of data streams. The frame structure helps in managing the data streams and maintaining the synchronization between the transmitter and receiver.
4. **Multiplexer and Demultiplexer**: At the transmitting end, a multiplexer combines multiple input signals into a single composite signal by assigning each signal to a specific time slot. At the receiving end, a demultiplexer separates the composite signal back into individual signals based on their respective time slots.
### Types of TDM
1. **Synchronous TDM**: In synchronous TDM, time slots are pre-assigned to each signal, regardless of whether the signal has data to transmit or not. This can lead to inefficiencies if some time slots remain empty due to the absence of data.
2. **Asynchronous TDM (or Statistical TDM)**: Asynchronous TDM addresses the inefficiencies of synchronous TDM by allocating time slots dynamically based on the presence of data. Time slots are assigned only when there is data to transmit, which optimizes the use of the communication channel.
### Applications of TDM
- **Telecommunications**: TDM is extensively used in telecommunication systems, such as in T1 and E1 lines, where multiple telephone calls are transmitted over a single line by assigning each call to a specific time slot.
- **Digital Audio and Video Broadcasting**: TDM is used in broadcasting systems to transmit multiple audio or video streams over a single channel, ensuring efficient use of bandwidth.
- **Computer Networks**: TDM is used in network protocols and systems to manage the transmission of data from multiple sources over a single network medium.
### Advantages of TDM
- **Efficient Use of Bandwidth**: TDM all
A SYSTEMATIC RISK ASSESSMENT APPROACH FOR SECURING THE SMART IRRIGATION SYSTEMSIJNSA Journal
The smart irrigation system represents an innovative approach to optimize water usage in agricultural and landscaping practices. The integration of cutting-edge technologies, including sensors, actuators, and data analysis, empowers this system to provide accurate monitoring and control of irrigation processes by leveraging real-time environmental conditions. The main objective of a smart irrigation system is to optimize water efficiency, minimize expenses, and foster the adoption of sustainable water management methods. This paper conducts a systematic risk assessment by exploring the key components/assets and their functionalities in the smart irrigation system. The crucial role of sensors in gathering data on soil moisture, weather patterns, and plant well-being is emphasized in this system. These sensors enable intelligent decision-making in irrigation scheduling and water distribution, leading to enhanced water efficiency and sustainable water management practices. Actuators enable automated control of irrigation devices, ensuring precise and targeted water delivery to plants. Additionally, the paper addresses the potential threat and vulnerabilities associated with smart irrigation systems. It discusses limitations of the system, such as power constraints and computational capabilities, and calculates the potential security risks. The paper suggests possible risk treatment methods for effective secure system operation. In conclusion, the paper emphasizes the significant benefits of implementing smart irrigation systems, including improved water conservation, increased crop yield, and reduced environmental impact. Additionally, based on the security analysis conducted, the paper recommends the implementation of countermeasures and security approaches to address vulnerabilities and ensure the integrity and reliability of the system. By incorporating these measures, smart irrigation technology can revolutionize water management practices in agriculture, promoting sustainability, resource efficiency, and safeguarding against potential security threats.
International Conference on NLP, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning an...gerogepatton
International Conference on NLP, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Applications (NLAIM 2024) offers a premier global platform for exchanging insights and findings in the theory, methodology, and applications of NLP, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and their applications. The conference seeks substantial contributions across all key domains of NLP, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and their practical applications, aiming to foster both theoretical advancements and real-world implementations. With a focus on facilitating collaboration between researchers and practitioners from academia and industry, the conference serves as a nexus for sharing the latest developments in the field.
1. Technological forecast is a prediction of the future
characteristics of useful machines, 'products,
processes, procedures or techniques.
TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING
2. There are two important points implied
in this statement, viz.:
a) A technological forecast deals with certain
characteristics such as levels of technical performance
(e.g., technical specifications including energy efficiency,
emission levels, speed, power, safety, temperature, etc.), rate
of technological advances (introduction of paperless office,
picture phone, new materials, costs, etc.).The forecaster
need not state how these characteristics will be achieved. His
forecast may even predict characteristics which are beyond
the present means of performing some of these functions.
However, it is not within his scope to suggest how these
limitations will be overcome. Find the pefect HR
softwarevendor.
3. b)Technological forecasting also deals with useful
machines, procedures, or techniques. In particular,
this is intended to exclude from the domain of technological
forecasting those items intended for pleasure or amusement
since they depend more on personal fads, foibles or tastes
rather than on technological capability. Such items do not
seem to be capable of rational prediction and thus the
technology forecaster generally does not concern
himself/herself with them.
4. Anticipating technological change is an important
management function. One must do so to plan new products
and new businesses. One must also avoid being
technologically blind-sided by competitors with
technologically superior products.Yet this is not easy to do
because often technological progress cannot be anticipated.
However, it can also be planned.Technological forecasting
tries to put as much planning as is possible into technological
change. Incremental innovations have often been planned or,
at least, sought after.The seeking of or anticipation of
technological innovation has been called "technology
forecasting".
5. Technological forecasting, in the formal sense, has not been widely
practised in our country, as it has been used elsewhere, more
especially, in industrially developed market economies.This is
because commercial success in such economies is dependent, to a
large extent, on the ability of a firm or an organisation to identify
emerging/future technologies well ahead of time so that
appropriate decisions or advance action could be taken to
meet/deal with the likely challenges of the future. Recognising the
importance of forecasting in the technological planning process,
the Government of India has established a Technology
Information Forecasting and Assessment Council
(TIFAC) under the Ministry of Science &Technology, to promote
action oriented studies and forecasting in selected areas.
7. TECHNOLOGY FORECAST AND
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION CHAIN
To understand the ramifications of technological forecasting
in its entirety, we need to further understand the various stages
of technological innovation. The forecaster must state clearly the
stage for which he is forecasting. For instance, when he
makes use of historical data on a number of devices, he must
be clear about the stage of innovation represented by each of
his data points.
8. Mixing of data representing several stages may lead to errors
and confusion. Selecting past data consistently, so that all
points represent a single stage of innovation, is thus very
important. Since innovation is usually a continuous process,
breaking it or subdividing it into various stages, is done for
the convenience of the forecaster.The essential point for you
to understand is that the stages chosen on the continuum of
progress must be capable of unambiguous definition, so that
there is no mixing up of the data and there is no occasion to
raise a question whether an innovation has reached a certain
stage or not.
9. Generally, one may use the following
stages to describe the progress of an
innovation throughout its life, from
beginning till end
Basic scientific findings/discovery of a principle
b) Laboratory or bench level feasibility
c) Operating prototype/pilot plant
d) Commercial introduction or operational use
e)Widespread adoption
f) Diffusion to other areas
g) Social and economic impact
Each of these stages has a specific role to play and 'contribute to
the innovation of a technology
10. a) Basic Scientific findings/discovery : This establishes
the minimum knowledge base on the basis of sound scientific
principles from which a solution to a specific problem could
be found.
b) Laboratory or bench level feasibility : At this stage,
depending on the identified problem, a laboratory workable
model could be fabricated without violating any natural or
physical laws.This would generally be able to work in
the desired way only in the laboratory environment, under
controlled conditions and supervision of trained scientists,
technologists or technicians.
11. c) Operating Prototype/Pilot plant : On reaching this stage,
it would be possible to obtain design/engineering parameters to
construct a device/system which would be capable of working in
an operational environment using commercially available inputs.
d) Commercial introduction or operational use :This
stage represents not only technical and design adequacy, but also
economic feasibility. Generally, the first production model is the
benchmark of completion of this stage.
e)Widespread adoption : At this stage having demonstrated
the technical and/or economic and/or environmental superiority,
the technology is now poised to supersede and replace the prior
devices, procedures etc. on a wide scale.
12. f) Diffusion to other areas : At this stage, the new
technology not only replaces the old one, but is also adopted
to perform such functions as were not being performed by
the earlier., devices and techniques.
g) Social and economic impact : At this stage, the
innovation will affect the behaviour of the society and its use
may reach a point where its impact will be felt on the
economy.
13. Every innovation does not go through all these stages. Some
may reach a particular stage and go no further. In other cases,
two or more stages may be combined. For instance, there
may be innovations where the first production model also
serves as a prototype.This practice of combining or
telescoping stages of innovation is fraught with danger.There
are many instances where the first production or operational
model of some innovation contained serious flaws which
could have been discovered while testing the prototype had it
been done separately. Once the production design is fixed,
the defects/shortcomings cannot be eliminated at reasonable
cost and the device may be unacceptable as it is.
14. Finally, it must not be assumed that all innovations are based on
scientific findings, Most of the innovations have a certain degree of
empirical content, and many, especially in the past, have been
based on sheer empiricism. Hence it is quite possible that a device
might not pass through the first stage of our list of stages of
innovation, but might start at the second or even the third stage.
However,. it may be pointed out that the practice of skipping any
stage in general increases the risk of failure. Nonetheless, there are
many illustrations of innovations which have successfully skipped
one or more of the early stages, more specially these days, when
mathematical modelling is
used to simulate the operation of a prototype/pilot plant.
15. With the use of the concept of stages of innovation, it is possible
to question more precisely just what is meant by a particular
technological forecast. One can ask whether the forecast is stating
that a certain capability will be technically feasible or whether it
will be commercially successful or whether it will be superior to
all other approaches to performing the same function, etc. It is
important that a forecast concerning one stage is not
misinterpreted to apply to a later stage.A forecast of technical
feasibility, for instance, must not be confused with a forecast of
commercial success.The former does not always imply the latter.
16. We suggest that you familiarise yourself with these concepts
by referring to literature and read widely to match your
practical experience Having briefly discussed the
preliminaries of technology forecasting and technology
innovation chain, we now turn our attention to why
technology forecasting is necessary.
17. NECESSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
FORECASTING
Historically, the U.S. Navy was one of the major institutions
which started formal technological forecasting to support the
preparation of a fifteen year plan to identify the likely
opportunities and threats, and to develop a technological
setting for the future.Technology forecasting has now
assumed importance in India due to the structural reforms
introduced in our economic system with a view to creating a
market driven economy.
18. Essentially, technology forecasting is
used for the purpose of :
A) Scanning the technological environment,
b)Anticipating emerging technological changes,
c) Identifying suitable technologies by evaluating, various
alternatives,
d) Planning for technologies for future needs.
19. We can identify four elements of a
forecast which can be specified and/or
estimated. These are
(a) the time period,
(b) the nature of technology,
(c) the characteristics to be exhibited by the technology, and
(d) the probability associated with the characteristics.
20. The time period may be stated generally, or it may be given
precisely.The technology being forecast may be narrowly
defined, or it may encompass a very broad range.The
characteristics may be stated only in general terms, or may
be given precise quantitative values.The probability
associated with the characteristics may be given only
generally, as high or low, or it may be stated in precise
quantitative terms.
21. And for each of these elements of the forecast, the degree of
precision may vary anywhere between the two endpoints
of generality and precision.The precision associated with
each element of a forecast should be determined by the use
to which the forecast will be put.The forecast should thus be
tailored to the decision making situation, and the precision
associated with each of the elements should be appropriate to
this situation.
22. Martino has shown that there is really no
alternative to forecasting. He considered
various possible alternative scenarios like-
(a) regimes of no forecast (tacitly assuming there would be
no change in the environs in future),
(b) future is a total gamble and it could be met without any
anticipation,
(c) resting on laurels of the glorious past presuming that it
would bring a glorious future,
(d) dependence on limited forecasting without taking into
consideration all round changes in the environs, and
(e) taking crisis action to meet the situation.
23. All of these, he showed, may spell disaster for a firm or an
organization. On the other hand if a decision maker has
several alternatives open to him, he will choose the one
which provides him with the most desirable outcome.Thus,
his decision is invariably based on a forecast.The decision
maker does not have a choice as to whether or not he will
make use of a forecast; his only choice is whether the forecast
is obtained by rational and explicit methods or by intuitive
means.
24. The virtue of the use of rational methods is that they are
teachable and learnable; they can be described and explained.
They provide a procedure which can be followed by anyone
who has been able to undergo the necessary training. In some
cases, in fact, the methods are even guaranteed to produce
the same forecast regardless of who makes it.The virtue of
the use of explicit methods is that they can be reviewed by
others. In particular, the forecast can be reviewed by several
people prior to its acceptance by the decision maker.
25. All these discussions basically highlight one very important
aspect that we are dealing with a probabilistic situation and
we should gear ourselves to meet it with a certain degree of
confidence and with all elements of surprise anticipated.A
logical question that 'follows is: How good is the
forecast?Will it come true?
26. To answer these questions, let us classify situations according
to the degree of control the decision maker can exercise.
There may be three types of situations:
a)Absolutely no control
b) Partial control
c) Full control
27. We would attempt to analyse the efficacy of forecasting in these situations.
a) Absolutely no control : Consider a commuter seeking a forecast of the
commercial availability of a solar-powered car, say by the year 2018.While he
might seek the forecast out of simple curiosity, more likely he wants to make
plans for some activity which will be affected by this forecast, say whether to
buy a petrol-driven car or not. Naturally, he wants to plan correctly, for if he
bases his plans on a forecast of a solar car becoming available and it does not
materialise, the forecast has been useless to him or, worse, it has misled him
into foregoing his buying a petrol-car. It appears, then, that such a forecast has
to be correct to be useful.When a decision maker has absolutely no control
over the outcome of a particular situation (that is, when none of the actions
open to him can alter the outcome), he wants to tailor his actions to the
eventual outcome. He wants to maximize the benefits from a favourable, or
minimize the impacts of an unfavourable outcome. In this situation, if the
forecast does not come true, it is of no utility to him.
28. b) Partial Control : Most day-to-day decisions fall in the area of
partial control over the outcome.The decision maker is interested
in influencing the outcome of a situation in a way as favourable as
possible to him, If he is presented with a forecast which he
considers desirable, he will exert such control as he possesses to
ensure that the forecast is realized, thus influencing either the
reliability or the time frame of the forecast, Likewise, if he is
presented with a forecast he considers undesirable, he will exert
his control to forestall it.Thus, there will be a certain element of
self-fulfilment or "self-defeat in the outcome of the forecast.
c) Full control : At the other extreme, when the decision maker
has complete control over the outcome, he does not even need a
forecast.The outcome will be what he wants it to be. Someone
else may perhaps find a forecast of his decision useful, but he
himself does not need a forecast of what he is going to do.
29. This means that the goodness of a forecast cannot be measured in terms of
whether it came true. Suppose that a decision maker is presented with a
forecast of an undesirable outcome.As a result of the forecast, he acts to
forestall the undesirable outcome, and is successful in doing so. He thereby
negates the forecast. But can it be said that the forecast was wrong and,
therefore, worthless? On the contrary, it must be recognized that it was highly
useful to the decision maker. Had it not been made, he might not have acted as
he did, and would, therefore, have been faced with an undesirable outcome.The
same situation can arise where the decision maker acts to achieve a favourable
outcome on the basis of a forecast that such an outcome is possible.This forecast
was useful, not because it automatically came out true, but because it caused
the decision maker to take appropriate action.At the moment, however, we will
only note that the measure of the value of a forecast is not its validity,
in terms of whether or not it comes out true, but its utility in
helping the decision maker make a correct and timely decision.
30. It is essential to recognise that a forecast does not put anything
into the future. Instead, it tells only of the implications of available
information about the past.These implications are connected with
the future through a logical framework. Hence, the utility of a
forecast for decision making purposes depends on the validity of
the logical framework it uses and the extent to which it extracts
all the implications which are contained in the body of available
information.This ability to evaluate the utility of rational and
explicit forecasts is, of course, one more reason to prefer this type
of forecast. However, it may be emphasised that following a
certain procedure may not guarantee the forecaster against error;
it may only reduce the likelihood of error. Hence, the forecaster is
never absolutely certain that he has prepared the most useful
possible forecast with the available data he has and the resources
he has employed.
31. ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING
The forecast serves as an input to the process of making plans
and decisions. Martino has described the role of the forecast
in planning as follows :
a)The forecast identifies limits beyond which it is not
possible to go,
b) It establishes feasible rates of progress, so that the plan can
be made to take full advantage of such rates; conversely it
does not demand an impossible rate of progress,
c) It describes the alternatives which are open and can be
chosen from,
32. d) It indicates possibilities which might be achieved, if desired,
e) It provides a reference standard for the plan.The plan can thus be
compared with the forecast at any point in time, to determine
whether it can still be fulfilled, or whether, because of changes in
the forecast, it has to be changed, and
f) It furnishes warning signals, which can alert the decision maker
that it will not be possible to continue present activities.
If the forecast makes a decision maker aware of alternatives which
he might not have discovered otherwise, it has increased his degree
of freedom.The important point is that the purpose of the forecast
is to improve the quality of his decisions and not to force him to
accept a particular decision.