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ahmad bassiouny
ahmad bassiouny

The document discusses technology assessment and forecasting. It covers topics such as managing technological forecasting methods, monitoring technological trends, conducting technology impact assessments, understanding the relationship between forecasting and technology management, stages of technological innovation, and competitive technology lifecycles. The document also discusses factors to consider when choosing techniques to capture expert opinions for technological forecasting purposes.

TechnologyBusiness
1 of 11
Technology Assessment Superfactory Excellence Program™ www.superfactory.com
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Result of Technology’s Increasing Significance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Product Life Cycle Commercial launch Years from Launch Innovation Growth Maturity Decline Profit Sales Volume Maximum Profit Maximum Sales Volume Withdrawn from market Sales Revenue (x1,000,000) Profit Revenue (x100,000) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Impact/Technology Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Forecasting-Technology Management Relationship ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Stages of Technological Innovation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Competitive Technology Lifecycle Critical Dimension Time Ex: Vacuum tubes v. transistors : Sail v. steamships Traditional technology Emergent technology
Fisher-Pry Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Technological Description/Foresight ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Choosing Experts Opinion Capture Technique ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Technology_sample

  • 1. Technology Assessment Superfactory Excellence Program™ www.superfactory.com
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Product Life Cycle Commercial launch Years from Launch Innovation Growth Maturity Decline Profit Sales Volume Maximum Profit Maximum Sales Volume Withdrawn from market Sales Revenue (x1,000,000) Profit Revenue (x100,000) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Competitive Technology Lifecycle Critical Dimension Time Ex: Vacuum tubes v. transistors : Sail v. steamships Traditional technology Emergent technology
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.