This document summarizes activities related to integrated drought management in Central and Eastern Europe conducted by the Global Water Partnership Central and Eastern Europe. It describes the development of guidelines for drought management plans, national consultation dialogues in various countries, and pilot projects focused on improving agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine and Moldova through updated models and risk maps. The overall goal is to move from reactive, crisis-based drought management to proactive approaches based on drought risk reduction.

1. IDMP - GWP
project in CEE
Andreja Sušnik, ARSO – DMCSEE
Sabina Bokal, GWP
Tetiana Adamenko, Ukraine
Training course on the use of satellite products for drought monitoring and agro-meteorological applications, 16-20 May, 2016

2. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20162 www.gwpcee.org
The Global Water Partnership's
vision is for a water secure world
Our mission is to
support the
sustainable
development and
management of
water resources at
all levels
13 Regional Water Partnerships
85 Country Water Partnerships
3000+ Partners in 178 countries

3. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20163 www.gwpcee.org
FoodEcosystems Transboundary
Energy Climate Change Urbanisation
GWP Thematic Approach

4. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20164 www.gwpcee.org
• Population of 152 million people, a quarter
of all Europeans
• Total area of over 2.03 million km2
• 12 countries in Baltic and Danube regions,
160 Partner organizations
• Founded in 1998
• Baltic region: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and
Poland
• Danube region: Bulgaria, Hungary, the
Czech Republic, Moldova, Romania,
Slovakia, Slovenia and Ukraine
Facts and figures

5. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20165 www.gwpcee.org
Integrated Drought Management Programme
Increase the capacity of the CEE region to adapt to
climatic variability by enhancing resilience to drought.
variability and change in precipitation
increased frequency of extreme weather
events in the future
well developed meteorological and
hydrological monitoring but not as a support
for decision makers
limited sharing of information among
countries
lack of political will to solve the problem –
drought was not considered a relevant issue

6. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20166 www.gwpcee.org

7. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20167 www.gwpcee.org
Cooperation with national governments
Solutions:
cooperation with national governments to
help them to incorporate drought
management issues into their national
programs, policies and plans
Preparation of the guidance document
Main challenges:
Lack of political will to solve the problem
– drought was not considered as a
relevant issue.
Gaps in the implementation of the EU
Water Framework Directive (WFD).
National Consultation Dialogues
– acceptance at the policy level
Guidelines for preparation of the
Drought Management Plans
within RBMP

8. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20168 www.gwpcee.org
National Consultation Dialogues
 1st round – setting the stage
review of the current status
 2nd round – how to overcome gaps in the current
drought management; developing Guidelines;
national experiences and examples
 3rd round – action plan/update for preparation of
the Drought Management Plan
Parts of the Drought Management Plan
Process of preparation of the Guidelines

9. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 20169 www.gwpcee.org
Step-by-step guidance towards
Drought Management Plan
From crisis management
to drought risk reduction

10. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201610 www.gwpcee.org
Translation of the Guidelines into 7 national languages
Hungarian, Lithuanian, Romania, Ukrainian
Slovakian, Slovenian and Poland version – in progress

11. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201611 www.gwpcee.org
• Natural Small Water Retention
Measures
• Increasing soil water holding capacity
• Drought impact on forest ecosystems
• Remote sensing agricultural drought
monitoring methods
• Updating agricultural drought
monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine
& Moldova
Testing and describing new approaches towards proactive
drought management
focusing on agricultural sector as one of the most vulnerable ones in the region

12. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201612 www.gwpcee.org
Natural Small Water Retention Measures
adaptive measure which serves to adjust to extreme
climate variability
it helps retain water in the land during wet periods and
make this water more available for ecosystems,
agriculture and forestry during drought periods
&
slows down flood waves during flood periods
• improve the water conditions in the river basin
• increase landscape resilience against the effects of
climate
• preserve biodiversity of habitats that are strongly
related to water resources, including habitats and
species of a great natural value

13. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201613 www.gwpcee.org
Guidelines on Natural Small Water Retention Measures
• What are technical and non-technical measures to
increase water retention?
• How to choose the catchment for the retention
measures?
• How can we evaluate the results of
NSWRM in terms of flood protection,
drought mitigation, and biodiversity
increase?
• How can we incorporate the natural
water retention measures in the
RBMP, FPMP and DMP?
GIS based tool for identifying the
areas which
are most suitable for the NSWRMs

14. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201614 www.gwpcee.org
Guidelines on Natural Small Water Retention Measures
CASE STUDIES
Lessons learnt from implemented projects in Poland,
Slovakia, Hungary, and Slovenia including best
examples of combined effects and involvement of
stakeholders

15. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201615 www.gwpcee.org
Agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in
Ukraine and Moldova
• Working with rural authorities, farmers, local stakeholders
• Upgrading of forecasting models for identification of crop yield
losses caused by droughts
• Guide on best practices on soil conservation

16. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201616 www.gwpcee.org
Regional cooperation – continuation of the IDMP CEE
DRiDanube
Drought Risk in the Danube Region
• 3 November 2015 – Submitted
Expression of Interest
• 547 EoI submitted & assessed
• March 2016 accepted for 2nd step
(80 projects)
• Waiting for results

17. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201617 www.gwpcee.org
www.gwp.org/GWP-CEE/IDMPCEE
www.gwp.org/GWP-CEE
http://www.droughtmanagement.info/

18. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201618 www.gwpcee.org
Agricultural drought monitoring and
forecasting in Ukraine and Moldova
IDMP CEE
Experience from demo projects
Tetiana Ademenko
Chief of agrometeorological dept.
UHMC

19. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201619 www.gwpcee.org
Yields of main agricultural crops in Ukraine during the severe droughts of the 21st
century (2003, 2007) and in the wet years (2008, 2013, 2014).
The heaviest losses from droughts are from 30% up to total loss of the crop. In 2003 and 2007 (spring drought)s
losses in grain production in Ukraine amounted to more than 3 bln. Euro.

20. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201620 www.gwpcee.org
Monitoring of droughts in Ukraine is carried out by hydrometeorological
stations
Collection and automated processing of information
Generalization, systematization, analysis, use in drought models
Preparing expert opinions and recommendations
Informing consumers of different levels

21. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201621 www.gwpcee.org
Collection and processing of agrometeorological information in
Ukraine
Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center
Control synthesis, the use of service
Meteorological station area (188/135)
Meteorological, phenological observations,
identification of stocks of productive moisture in the soil, the transfer
to a Regional Hydrometeorological Centre
Regional Hydrometeorological Centre (25)
Control, synthesis, transfer to Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center
, the use of service

22. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201622 www.gwpcee.org
Calculation on the model of a possible reduction in yield,%
May-June 2012
Wheat Barley

23. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201623 www.gwpcee.org
Agroclimatic zones
From the total number of 189 weather stations
135 stations provide the constant monitoring of the main
agricultural crops
Marshy-over norm moisture zone
Forest-steppe-normal moiture zone
Steppe- lower moisture zone
Marshy-over norm moisture
zone
Forest-steppe-normal moiture
zone;
Steppe- lower moisture zone

24. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201624 www.gwpcee.org
Intensification of aridity
Exceeding of the absolute maximums of air temperatures
(42)

25. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201625 www.gwpcee.org
Increasing the number of days since a very high temperature (above 30 ° C) during
the period 2006-2015

26. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201626 www.gwpcee.org
The annual rainfall in Ukraine, mm
Оptimum – 700 мм
Norm - 578 мм
2011-2015 - 544 мм

27. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201627 www.gwpcee.org
Drought 2007. May-June Drought 2010. July-August

28. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201628 www.gwpcee.org
Drought 2015. June-August

29. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201629 www.gwpcee.org
As part of the pilot project of the Integrated Drought Management Programme in
Central and Eastern Europe:
• The agroclimatic zoning of the territory of Ukraine and the Dniester Basin was
updated, drought increasing risk maps were made.
• The guidelines for drought management plans was adapted and published in the
Ukrainian language.
• The drought indices were reviewed. The calculation of the SPI was introduced in
operational practice.
• The "automated assessment of drought in Ukraine" model was upgraded, which
increased the accuracy of the estimates of losses of winter wheat and spring barley.
Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове

30. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201630 www.gwpcee.org
HTCs (ГТК) Aridity
<0.7 very arid
0.71-1 moderately arid
1.01-1.2 slightly humid
1.21-1.8 sufficiently humid
> 1.81 humid
New agroclimatic zoning

31. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201631 www.gwpcee.org
SPI June-August 2015

32. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201632 www.gwpcee.org
SPI November 2015 - April 2016

33. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201633 www.gwpcee.org
The main elements of the
Drought Management Plan -
indicators and
thresholds of droughts; early
warning system; measures to
mitigate climate change;
organisational arrangements

34. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201634 www.gwpcee.org
Updating data estimates and forecasting tools to support the management and monitoring of droughts
• Drought risk maps for the agro-sector of Ukraine and the Dniester River
basin
Agroclimatic zoning for May- September
(1961-2013) according to Selyaninov's
hydrothermal coefficients
Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове

35. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201635 www.gwpcee.org
The problem – guiding approach to drought management
Reactive, crisis management based - events and actions after oncoming of
drought
our task at the present stage is to go to
Proactive, based on the drought risk reduction management - Measures to
prevent and reduce the impact of drought developed in advance in the
Plan of drought management (PDM)

36. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201636 www.gwpcee.org
Сотрудничество с национальными
правительствами Decisions::
Cooperation with Governments in the implementation
of drought management plans in a national planning
Подготовка Руководств по Планам управления засухами
Main challenges::
Lack of political will - the drought is not
considered as a problem..
Problems with implementation of the Framework
Water Directive.
National Dialogues - acceptability on the
level of politicians
Drought management plans as part of the
river basin management plan
Cooperation with national governments

37. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201637 www.gwpcee.org

38. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201638 www.gwpcee.org
Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове
• Work with rural athorities, farmers, local stakeholders
• Updating predictive models for the identification of crop losses caused by
drought
• Guidance on best practice of soil conservation
Мonitoring and forecast droughts in agriculture

39. Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe
May 201639 www.gwpcee.org
Дякую за увагу !
СПАСИБО! Thank you