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Statins for Primary Prevention
In Indians
Dr. Akshay Mehta
Nanavati Superspeciality Hospital
Asian Heart Institute
Holy Family Hospital
If CVD in Indians is a challenge !
• Two to four –fold more prone to MI and CV
death compared to Caucasians
• Increasing incidence…
• < 40 years of age
• Metabolic syndrome and
• Atherogenic dyslipidemia (small dense LDL,
high triglyceride, and low HDL)
• Lipoprotein (a) a potent atherogenic
lipoprotein
Statins are an opportunity !
• Cheap & freely available statins-many generics
• Effective at low doses in Indians-higher blood levels
• At young age, small reduction in LDLC, great lifetime
benefit
• Catching them young in their (plaque) formative years
is important !
ARIC study
PCSK9 mutation
Mr. Suresh T is a 42 year old executive. He is not
a smoker or a diabetic. Pursues a healthy
lifestyle including diet and exercise. His
grandfather had an MI at age 76.
• TC=220
• HDLC=35
• TG=150
• LDLC=155
• SBP of 130 on
medications.
His question:
“Should I take a statin ?”
Number of CVD Risk Scores in the
World……………ABOUT 70
• Examples:
• ACC/AHA
• ATP III/FRS
• INTERHEART
• SCORE
• QRISK2
• JBS3
• Reynolds
• MESA
• WHO………..etc etc
Problems with risk scores
• Heavily influenced by age
• Dangers of over treatment-esp >60 yrs age
• Dangers of under treatment-esp the young-very
important in India
• More than half IHD occurs in people at low to
moderate risk
• No randomized prospective studies of statin benefit
from young age (e.g. from age 30)
• No risk prediction models exclusively based on Indian
data or has been validated in Indians
CRUCIAL QUESTION: How to select the
high risk Indian?
How to separate wheat from the chaff ?
1. Select a risk score best applicable to
Indians-----JBS3
Comparative accuracy of different risk scores in assessing
cardiovascular risk in Indians: A study in patients with first
MI: Indian Heart J. 2014 myocardial infarction
• 149 patients with AMI
• 4r risk assessment models applied to estimate what would
have been their predicted 10-year risk of CV events if they had
presented just prior to suffering the acute MI.
• Framingham Risk score (RiskFRS),
• WHO risk prediction charts (RiskWHO),
• ACC/AHA pooled cohort equations (RiskACC/AHA) and
• 3rd Joint British Societies' risk calculator (RiskJBS)]
The estimated 10-year cardiovascular risk divided
into two risk categories as <20% and ≥20%.
2. ApoB
• Nearly 80% of heart disease occurs in developing
countries.
• Nine modifiable risk factors predict 90% of acute MI
• Current smoking and an abnormal ApoB/ApoA-1 ratio
predict 66% of global heart disease.
J Am Coll Cardiol 2016; 67:193–201
A multicenter, longitudinal, population-based cohort of
3,036 aged 18 to 30 years at Year 0 (1985 to 1986)with
measurements for apoB at baseline
who also underwent CAC measurement at Year 25
A dose–response association between apoB in young
adults and the presence of midlife CAC independent of
baseline traditional CVD risk factors
3. CAC- The Great Discriminator !
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2015;66(15):1643-1653
10-Year Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Using
CAC and Traditional Risk Factors: MESA
CAC--- the power of zero !
A 15-Year Warranty Period for Asymptomatic Individuals
Without CAC: A Prospective Follow-Up of 9,715 Individuals
2015;8(8):900-909.
CAC- Cheaper than a life time of
statins !
50 % of statin recommended patients had zero CAC
with low CVD over 10 yrs
Implications of CAC Testing Among Statin Candidates According to ACC/AHA
Cholesterol Management Guidelines: MESA Analysis JACC 2015;66(15):1657-
1668
J Am Coll Cardiol 2016;67:630–40)
OBJECTIVES : This study aimed to assess whether statin therapy was associated
with a reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and mortality in
patients with asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease.
After a median duration of 3.6 years, statin therapy was found to cause a
reduction in MACE and all-cause mortality among participants without clinical
CVD and low mean CVD risk, but with asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease.
4. ABI
5. Use Life time risk
score or FRS X 1.8
So, what do we tell Suresh T ?
• Choose the risk prediction algorithm most
applicable to Indians- ex JBS3
• Or recalibrate FRS/ATPIII by 1.8
• Or calculate lifetime risk
Start a conversation-
risk / benefit- use NNT/NNH
If he still wishes better definition of
risk..
Use:
CACS
ABI
ApoB
………………………………………..
hsCRP, CIMT, etc
Talking is important !

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Statins for primary prevention in Indians

  • 1. Statins for Primary Prevention In Indians Dr. Akshay Mehta Nanavati Superspeciality Hospital Asian Heart Institute Holy Family Hospital
  • 2. If CVD in Indians is a challenge ! • Two to four –fold more prone to MI and CV death compared to Caucasians • Increasing incidence… • < 40 years of age • Metabolic syndrome and • Atherogenic dyslipidemia (small dense LDL, high triglyceride, and low HDL) • Lipoprotein (a) a potent atherogenic lipoprotein
  • 3. Statins are an opportunity ! • Cheap & freely available statins-many generics • Effective at low doses in Indians-higher blood levels • At young age, small reduction in LDLC, great lifetime benefit • Catching them young in their (plaque) formative years is important ! ARIC study PCSK9 mutation
  • 4. Mr. Suresh T is a 42 year old executive. He is not a smoker or a diabetic. Pursues a healthy lifestyle including diet and exercise. His grandfather had an MI at age 76. • TC=220 • HDLC=35 • TG=150 • LDLC=155 • SBP of 130 on medications. His question: “Should I take a statin ?”
  • 5. Number of CVD Risk Scores in the World……………ABOUT 70 • Examples: • ACC/AHA • ATP III/FRS • INTERHEART • SCORE • QRISK2 • JBS3 • Reynolds • MESA • WHO………..etc etc
  • 6. Problems with risk scores • Heavily influenced by age • Dangers of over treatment-esp >60 yrs age • Dangers of under treatment-esp the young-very important in India • More than half IHD occurs in people at low to moderate risk • No randomized prospective studies of statin benefit from young age (e.g. from age 30) • No risk prediction models exclusively based on Indian data or has been validated in Indians
  • 7. CRUCIAL QUESTION: How to select the high risk Indian? How to separate wheat from the chaff ?
  • 8. 1. Select a risk score best applicable to Indians-----JBS3
  • 9. Comparative accuracy of different risk scores in assessing cardiovascular risk in Indians: A study in patients with first MI: Indian Heart J. 2014 myocardial infarction • 149 patients with AMI • 4r risk assessment models applied to estimate what would have been their predicted 10-year risk of CV events if they had presented just prior to suffering the acute MI. • Framingham Risk score (RiskFRS), • WHO risk prediction charts (RiskWHO), • ACC/AHA pooled cohort equations (RiskACC/AHA) and • 3rd Joint British Societies' risk calculator (RiskJBS)]
  • 10. The estimated 10-year cardiovascular risk divided into two risk categories as <20% and ≥20%.
  • 11. 2. ApoB • Nearly 80% of heart disease occurs in developing countries. • Nine modifiable risk factors predict 90% of acute MI • Current smoking and an abnormal ApoB/ApoA-1 ratio predict 66% of global heart disease.
  • 12. J Am Coll Cardiol 2016; 67:193–201 A multicenter, longitudinal, population-based cohort of 3,036 aged 18 to 30 years at Year 0 (1985 to 1986)with measurements for apoB at baseline who also underwent CAC measurement at Year 25 A dose–response association between apoB in young adults and the presence of midlife CAC independent of baseline traditional CVD risk factors
  • 13. 3. CAC- The Great Discriminator ! J Am Coll Cardiol. 2015;66(15):1643-1653 10-Year Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Using CAC and Traditional Risk Factors: MESA
  • 14. CAC--- the power of zero ! A 15-Year Warranty Period for Asymptomatic Individuals Without CAC: A Prospective Follow-Up of 9,715 Individuals 2015;8(8):900-909.
  • 15. CAC- Cheaper than a life time of statins ! 50 % of statin recommended patients had zero CAC with low CVD over 10 yrs Implications of CAC Testing Among Statin Candidates According to ACC/AHA Cholesterol Management Guidelines: MESA Analysis JACC 2015;66(15):1657- 1668
  • 16. J Am Coll Cardiol 2016;67:630–40) OBJECTIVES : This study aimed to assess whether statin therapy was associated with a reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and mortality in patients with asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease. After a median duration of 3.6 years, statin therapy was found to cause a reduction in MACE and all-cause mortality among participants without clinical CVD and low mean CVD risk, but with asymptomatic peripheral arterial disease. 4. ABI
  • 17. 5. Use Life time risk score or FRS X 1.8
  • 18. So, what do we tell Suresh T ? • Choose the risk prediction algorithm most applicable to Indians- ex JBS3 • Or recalibrate FRS/ATPIII by 1.8 • Or calculate lifetime risk
  • 19. Start a conversation- risk / benefit- use NNT/NNH
  • 20. If he still wishes better definition of risk.. Use: CACS ABI ApoB ……………………………………….. hsCRP, CIMT, etc

Editor's Notes

  1. 10 yr CD risk =11% by ATP risk score = 8 % by ASCVD risk score
  2. Risk JBS identified the highest proportion of the patients as being at high-risk