1. StartupSniffer
Transform
gut-­‐driven
to
data-­‐driven
investment
Wei
Zhang
Insight
Data
Science
Fellow
2013
Sunday, July 7, 13

2. My
journey
from
Indiana
to
California
Sunday, July 7, 13

3. FantasDc
Startup
Community
Sunday, July 7, 13

4. Problem:
which
startup
to
invest?
Sunday, July 7, 13

5. Gut-­‐driven
Venture
Capital
Investment
Sunday, July 7, 13

6. www.startupsniffer.com
Make
quanDtaDve
investment
possible
Sunday, July 7, 13

7. PredicDng
Startup
Outcome
(IPO/AcquisiDon)
•
Data:
crunchbase.com
•
Feature
Engineering:
Curated
13
features
for
each
company
about
company
profile,
founder
profile
and
VC
profile
•
Build
Random
Forest
binary
classificaDon
model
on
historical
data
Sunday, July 7, 13

8. Startup
Leaderboard
Ranking
API APIAPI
Tracking
>1,000
early
stage
startups
Data
is
updated
every
day
Sunday, July 7, 13

9. Sunday, July 7, 13

10. I
am
Wei
Zhang
COG3603
COG7891
COG3178COG2177COG6642
COG11152
COG1192
COG9157
COG16157
COG12615
COG3054
COG3400
COG2342
COG2796
COG2574
COG2201
COG1879
COG2347
COG1050COG14193
COG15506
COG4694
COG18624
COG18649
COG18656
COG16123
COG14158
COG1977
COG2077
COG5065
COG2740
COG5215
COG4354
COG2308
COG1940
COG2141
COG2511
COG2359
COG2063
COG1854
COG1561
COG1026
COG3530
COG1842
COG1799
COG1069
COG3450
COG3036
COG1797 COG3596
COG4656
COG4022
COG9641
COG1926
COG2113
COG16048
COG4592
COG2666COG1574
COG1103
COG1039
COG1001
COG1031
COG2311
COG4039
COG4224
COG2458
COG1233
COG1153
COG2508
COG2979
COG2271
COG2461
COG2916
COG1284
COG1410
COG1206
COG2561
COG2360
COG1681
COG1849
COG1077
COG4046
COG2097
COG2080
COG1757
COG1846
COG2538
COG4546
COG2304
COG1170
COG3250
COG1417
COG1779COG2074
COG2206
COG2678
COG2425
COG2451COG1231
COG1137
COG1150
COG1647
COG1726
COG2370
COG1048
COG1020
COG2157
COG1694
COG2124
COG1788
COG2708
COG2885
COG1072
COG1055
COG1054
COG1021
COG2118
COG1923
COG1560
COG1994
COG1886
COG2148
COG1509
COG1241
COG2601
COG1371
COG5390
COG1389
COG1027
COG1016
COG1912COG1071
COG2555
COG2710
COG1049
COG2309
COG2856
COG2701
COG3280
COG2140
COG2517
COG1114
COG1985
COG2203COG1525
COG1702
COG1163COG1692
COG2426
COG1100
COG2332COG1945
COG1901
COG2075
COG1200
COG1010
COG2234
COG2223
COG1040
COG1938
COG2450
COG2940
COG1485
COG1513
COG2184
COG2179
COG1373
COG1776
COG2313
COG1649
COG1573
COG19289
COG27440
COG10927
COG18438
COG16217
COG10924
COG13619
COG15344
COG2639
COG1965
COG1850
COG1988
COG1541
COG1698 COG1420COG1619 COG1929COG1435COG1464 COG1543COG1865COG3744COG1812 COG1928 COG1620COG1941 COG1632COG1621COG1675COG2674COG2417COG3321COG2685 COG2524COG2460 COG8303COG2875COG1018 COG2564COG2761
COG1569
COG1589
COG2395
COG1083
COG5297
COG1732
COG1686
COG1558
COG1638
COG3038
COG3467
COG1088
COG2473
COG1709
COG2165
COG2420COG1764
COG1609
COG1013
COG2855
COG2484
COG1138
COG2647
COG1614
COG1140
COG2346
COG1060
COG1715
COG2403
COG1472
COG1747
COG1672
COG1868 COG2037 COG1956
COG1158
COG2160COG1869
COG3255
COG1725
COG1644
COG2434
COG2012
COG1037
COG1109
COG1750
COG1053
COG2660
COG1571
COG3043
COG2092COG2183
COG1822
COG1102
COG1703
COG3203
COG1908
COG1650
COG1412
COG1248
COG2449
COG1599
COG1951
COG1130
COG1019
COG1684
COG1643
COG1496COG2608
COG29400
COG2645 COG1853
COG2040COG1052
COG1063
COG8997
COG3077
COG15667
COG1203
COG1080
COG1046
COG1128
COG1169
COG1959
COG1372
COG1815
COG4202
COG2399
COG1775
COG1000
COG1597
COG1990
COG2375
COG1935
COG1202
COG1518
COG1588
COG3187
COG1583
COG2274
COG2355
COG1566
COG1092
COG2031
COG2170
COG4034
COG1120
COG1898COG2849
COG2754
COG1585
COG1582
COG3338
COG4590
COG2405
COG2241
COG2890
COG2556
COG3165
COG2984
COG2763COG1695 COG1636
COG1126
COG1594COG3076
COG2778
COG3289
COG3100
COG1821
COG1510
COG1800
COG3223
COG1615
COG1637COG1160
COG2154
COG1395
COG2067
COG2724
COG1305
COG1471
COG3592
COG9087
COG1157
COG14937
COG14941
COG16971COG14929
COG13871
COG18000
COG4005
COG3438
COG2281
COG2938
COG1547
COG2198
COG11124
COG2009
COG1260
COG16980
COG1538
COG4333
COG1889
COG4355
COG1824
COG1991
COG1652COG1578
COG2116
COG2283
COG1535
COG2171
COG2335
COG2893
COG2314
COG2133
COG2056
COG1906
COG2470
COG2302
COG1185
COG1259
COG3127
COG1667
COG2235
COG1033
COG1028
COG1682
COG1154
COG1374
COG1880
COG1937
COG2237
COG2264
COG2297
COG2217
COG1785
COG1642
COG2503
COG3577
COG2131COG1736
COG1961COG4553
COG1722
COG1907COG2211
COG2300
COG3212
COG2707
COG2753
COG2430
COG1819
COG1825
COG1008
COG1117
COG3386
COG1061
COG1523
COG1267
COG2186
COG1817
COG1268
COG1038
COG1012
COG1152
COG2292
COG8000
COG2041
COG5790
COG2697
COG5953
COG1243
COG2913
COG2392
COG2008
COG2193
COG1630
COG2169
COG1753COG1751
COG1911
COG1198
COG1009
COG1586
COG1943
COG1036
COG1007
COG1439
COG1606
COG2851
COG1107
COG1022
COG1841
COG1735
COG1584
COG1888
COG1704COG2454
COG1973
COG2994
COG3074
COG1963
COG1598
COG1079
COG3857
COG2197
COG1193
COG2644
COG1414
COG2456
COG3559
COG3717
COG3047
COG2821
COG3106
COG2605
COG1671
COG2015
COG1795
COG1807
COG2033
COG1617
COG3785
COG1025
COG1454
COG1713
COG1165
COG2606
COG3021
COG1864
COG1003
COG16990
COG3157
COG5661
COG1915
COG2617
COG2191
COG1044
COG2466
COG2161
COG1810
COG2231
COG2932
COG1124
COG20845
COG9243
COG2039
COG23857
COG1628 COG7081
COG7659
COG1756
COG2256
COG2174
COG9796 COG2158
COG1075
COG1645
COG2066
COG1481
COG2095
COG1527
COG1004
COG6548
COG21174
COG1852
COG1861
COG1816
COG2229
COG1382
COG1144
COG15983
COG8376
COG27224
COG3126
COG2621
COG4573COG14146
COG1131
COG1616COG1997
COG22601
COG37062
COG3202
COG12075
COG1434COG2397
COG4674
COG1112 COG3900 COG2669
COG10725COG3234
COG14239COG16300
COG18105
COG4539
COG6394
COG5770
COG5181
COG2128
COG1723
COG2089
COG3267
COG3762
COG1624
COG15389
COG1968
COG1866
COG3040
COG12076
COG2030COG2373
COG2257
COG1379
COG3012
COG7143COG2243COG2437
COG2042
COG2429
COG1579COG1793 COG2072
COG1159
COG1827COG1276
COG2227
COG17580
COG2315
COG1564 COG3024
COG2672
COG2202
COG1074
COG2059
COG2034
COG1570
COG2200
COG3605
COG2529
COG2032
COG1087
COG1881
COG1565
COG2078
COG2088
COG1897
COG1476
COG2143
COG1147
COG1924
COG1034
COG4851COG4551COG36484
COG2104
COG1738 COG1011
COG1105
COG1559
COG2419
COG1665
COG2107
COG2152
COG2622
COG2658
COG8985
COG3049
COG4878
COG2025
COG1658
COG2581
COG1955
COG1622COG3372 COG2808
COG3146
COG2232
COG2317
Computer
Science
PhD,
University
of
Notre
Dame
What
I
do
for
fun:
My
research:
-­‐Data
Mining
-­‐BioinformaDcs
Sunday, July 7, 13

11. Average
accuracy:
75%
Average
precision:
80%
Average
recall:
75%
ValidaDon:
5-­‐fold
cross
validaDon
Sunday, July 7, 13

12. Feature
importance
Sunday, July 7, 13