The Economics of Space and Cyber - Presentation by Dr. Usman W. Chohan, Director, Economics & National Affairs, Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies (CASS)

1. Space & Cyber
Economic Frontiers
Dr. Usman W. Chohan
Director, Economics &
National Development
CASS

2. Outline
Space
Current State / Uses /
Benefits / Way Forward
Cyber
Current State / Uses /
Benefits / Bottlenecks / Risks

3. Space
Space
Current State / Uses /
Benefits / Way Forward

4. Space: Current State
900,000 Jobs
$380B2018 → $1,100B2040
Economic Contribution
72 Countries with a
“Space Program”
14 Countries with a
Space Program

6. +Socioeconomic
Distance Education Telemedicine Weather
Monitoring
Navigation
communicatio
n
Crime MappingMigration,
Cross-Border
Movement
Infrastructure
oversight
Resource
mapping

7. +Agricultur
e
Forest MappingFlood MappingCrop Conditions
& Disease
Industrial Effluent
Weather
Monitoring
Precision Farming

8. Dr. Meir, NASA
4.00% of US Budget (1960)
0.04% of US Budget (2017)
Only 1 Country can send people
at short notice to space

9. ULA - $400 million vs. Space X - $80
million ($40 million target)
Focuses on: Satellite Array,
Integrated Supply Chain, Rocket re-
use, Getting to Mars
Criticisms:
• “Private” Solution still depends on
government contracting
• Cult of the individual savior
• Overpromises + Exploitative
SpaceX private

10. Space
Mining
Asteroid Belt
$700,000 TRILLION (0.7 QUINTILLION)
Rare Earth Elements in Abundance

11. Lunar
Newsflow
Propaganda
Value
Distracts from
the Police State

12. Way
Forward
Collaboration
- Partnerships
- Focus on Strengths (ground
stations)
- Less initial investment
requirements
- Less Soft Power Dividends
Indigenous
- Expensive Initially
- Removes Reliance
- Realization of Scale
- More Soft Power Dividends
- Requires
Commercialization

13. “Планета есть
колыбель разума, но
нельзя вечно жить в
колыбели”
Циолковский

14. Cyber
Cyber
Current State / Uses /
Benefits / Bottlenecks / Risks

15. Cyber: Current State
Economic Contribution
E-Commerce 29 TRILLION
36% of World GDP, 13% annual growth
ICT Service Exports
$175 billion2005 → 568 billion2018
9% CAGR
ICT Jobs
34 million2010 → 39 million2015

16. Cyber: Current State

17. A Vast Industry

18. Top 10 Countries by Type

19. Bottlenecks

20. Online Creation is Unequal

21. WEF Competitiveness
Index

22. Google on Pakistan
Source: Lars Anthonisen, head of large customer marketing, South Asia, Google
Population Urban
CPEC - 820km
of fiber-optic
broadband
Cheap Data
Internet penetration
30%
62m broadband users
YouTube watch
time, >60%
growth last 3
years
Pakistan
becoming a
“digital first”
country

23. Producer vs. Consumer
Quality of life
Access + Connectivity
Information
Entertainment + Enjoyment
Power + Influence
Leadership
Employment
Profits

24. Risks to Cybereconomy
Cybercrime
(Losses)
Privacy Sabotage
Surveillance AML/CFT
($10Bn)
Labor Markets
(Losses)

26. Thank you
Questions?
Dr. Usman W. Chohan
Director, Economics &
National Development
CASS