Lecture on maternal obesity and neonatal outcomes 12 April 2017, held at the 17th Annual Saudi Neonatology Society Conference, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
4. Gold Mines of Data
• All Swedes get a personal id number at birth
enabling linkage of data
• National registers:
– Medical Birth Register
– Patient Register
– Population Register
– Multi-generation Register
7. Why are family relations important?
• Families share conditions related
to health and disease
– environment
– genes
• Reduce confounding due to (unmeasured)
factors shared by families
8.
9. Global epidemic of obesity
• 2 billion adults are overweight (BMI≥25), of
which 600 million are obese (BMI ≥30)
• Associated diseases are major causes of death
• Obesity is preventable
10. Obesity and child-bearing
• Maternal obesity increases risks of
preeclampsia and diabetes
• Research unconclusive on neonatal outcomes
– preterm birth
– birth asphyxia
– infant mortality
11.
12. Our approach
• National data on mothers and infants,
from 1992 and onwards:
– antenatal care
– obstetric care
– neonatal care
• Depending on study design, we used data from
150.000 – 1.800.000 women and their infants
15. Maternal BMI and preterm birth
% extremely, very and moderately preterm births
among 1.8 million mothers in Sweden
BMI 22-27 wks 28-31 wks 32-36 wks
18.5 - 24.9 0.17 0.40 4.0
25.0 - 29.9 0.21 0.44 4.2
30.0 - 34.5 0.27 0.57 4.7
35.0 - 39.9 0.35 0.71 5.4
40.0 - 0.52 0.94 6.0
16. Maternal BMI and preterm birth
Maternal BMI ≥25 increased risks of
both extremely and very preterm birth
* Odds ratios were adjusted for maternal age, parity, smoking, education, maternal height, maternal country of
birth, and year of delivery.
17. Maternal BMI and preterm birth
• Obesity increased risks of
– medically induced deliveries
– spontaneous deliveries
19. Maternal BMI and infant mortality
• Among 1.8 million, infant mortality rates
increased with maternal BMI:
– 2.4/1000 among normal weight (BMI 18.5–24.9)
– 5.8/1000 among obese grade 3 (BMI ≥40.0)
20. Maternal BMI and infant mortality
BMI <18.5 18.5-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-
* Odds ratios were adjusted for maternal age, parity, smoking, education, height,
country of birth, and year of delivery.
21. Causes of infant deaths
• Increased risk of infant mortality was due to
– more prevalent preterm births
– increased risk of birth asphyxia
• 11% of all infant deaths were attributed to
maternal overweight/obesity
(PAF; population attributable fraction)
22. Case-control study of sisters
• Is association between BMI and infant mortality
explained (confounded) by familial factors?
• In a case-control study design, we included
primiparous women with singleton births who
also had a sister who also had given birth
23. Case-control study of sisters
Singleton Live Births Occurring at 22 Weeks’
Gestation or Later (n = 203,021)
Cases of Infant
Mortality (n = 558)
Population Controls
(n = 201,905)
Sister Controls
(n = 558)
• BMI-related infant mortality risks similar,
regardless if we used population or sister controls
• Confounding by shared familial factors unlikely
25. Birth asphyxia-related disease
1
1.6
1.8
2.3
3.6
1
1.3
1.6
1.8
3.4
18.5-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-
Apgar 0-3 at 5' Apgar 0-3 at 10'
1
1.6
1.9
2.9 2.9
1
1.4
1.7
2.2
4.1
18.5-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-
Meconium aspiration Seizures
* Odds ratios were adjusted for maternal age, parity, smoking, education, maternal
height, maternal country of birth, and year of delivery.
26. Inter-pregnancy weight change
• Comparison of two consecutive pregnancies,
and risks related to BMI-change
outcome odds ratio per +1 BMI-unit
Apgar score 0-6 at 5' 1.07 (1.04-1.09)
neonatal seizures 1.05 (1.01-1.09)
meconium aspiration 1.11 (1.06-1.17)
* Odds ratios were adjusted for BMI at first pregnancy, maternal age at 2nd
delivery, smoking, education, mother´s country of birth, and year of 2nd delivery.
27. Maternal BMI and cerebral palsy
• Birth asphyxia increase risk of cerebral palsy
• But also… cerebral palsy is commonly
considered NOT due to by birth asphyxia
• Our hypothesis:
maternal obesity is associated with cerebral
palsy, and the risk is mediated by birth asphyxia
28. Maternal BMI and cerebral palsy
• 1.400.000 children, followed on average 8 years
• 3.000 were diagnosed with cerebral palsy
BMI mothers (%) CP (nb) rate (/10k) risk (adj HR)
18.5-24 62 1487 2.4 1.00 (ref)
25-29 25 728 2.9 1.22 (1.11-1.33)
30-34 8 239 3.2 1.28 (1.11-1.47)
35-39 3 88 4.0 1.54 (1.24-1.93)
≥40 1 38 5.2 2.02 (1.46-2.79)
* Hazard ratios were adjusted for maternal age, country of origin, education,
cohabitation with a partner, height, smoking, and year of delivery.
29. Maternal BMI and cerebral palsy
• Gestational length modified the association
between BMI and cerebral palsy.
• Stratified analyses showed a significant
association only among children born at term,
comprising 71% of all cases of cerebral palsy.
• Birth asphyxia-complications mediated 45% of
the risk
30.
31. Findings suggest causation
• Maternal BMI ≥ 25 increased risks of adverse
pregnancy and neonatal outcomes
• Risks increased with increasing BMI
• Women with inter-pregnancy weight increase
faced higher risks
32. What could explain associations?
• socioeconomy
• monitoring during antenatal care
• inflammation
• preeclampsia and gestational diabetes
• fetal growth disorders (SGA / LGA)
• malformations
• preterm births
• more complicated term deliveries
33. What can we do about this?
• Guidelines for antenatal and obstetric care
• Think big, think public health
– politicians and authorities need to set the agenda
– we all can learn to live a more healthy life
– particular focus on children, the adults of the future
34. And not to forget…
• Ensure all women, regardless of BMI, that they
will probably have a healthy baby, as absolute
risks (rates) are low for adverse outcomes
• The public health context is different
from councelling of parents-to-be
35. Conclusions
• Maternal obesity increase risks of preterm
birth, birth asphyxia, and infant mortality
• Observational findings suggest causality
• Normalisation of BMI in the young could
improve health in their children
• We should try do something about the global
epidemic of obesity!