Here's the slide deck for the MAFN DC Workshop set for January 31, 2014. Participants of this workshop will be able to facilitate various group activities calling for decision-making and/or forecasting in the following three broad categories: Trend Analyses, Expert Judgment, and Multi-Option Analyses. MAFN is a community of professionals dedicated to advancing excellence in facilitation. Supporting facilitators in Washington, DC, Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and around the globe.

1. F A C I L I TA T I N G D E C I S I O N - M A K I N G M E E T I N G S F O R
A N U N C E R TA I N F U T U R E
Presented by John Lesko, CPF, at the MAFN DC series workshop held on January 31, 2014.

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3. F A C I L I TAT I N G D E C I S I O N - M A K I N G
M E E T I N G S I N T H R E E B R O A D C AT E G O R I E S
W I T H AT L E A S T
TWO TOOLS OR
TECHNIQUES
D E M O N S T R AT E D
FOR EACH
C AT E G O R Y.
• Trend Analyses
• Expert Judgment
• Multi-Option Analyses
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4. TREND
A N A LY S E S
• Data Mining
• S-Curves
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9. Why outlaw social media? Harness its power.
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12. !
"I haven't failed.
I've just found
10,000 ways that
won't work."
!
- Thomas Edison
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14. EXPERT
JUDGMENT
• Interviews & Polling
• Idea Generation &
Nominal Group Technique
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27. M U LT I - O P T I O N
A N A LY S E S
• Explore Future Scenarios
• Role Playing Simulations
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34. IN ROLE PLAYING & SIMULATION
ASSUME
THE
BEGINNER'S
MIND
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35. “Prediction is very difficult,
especially if it's about the future.”
–NIELS BOHR, NOBEL PRIZE IN PHYSICS 1922
“The way to get good ideas is to get lots of ideas,
and throw the bad ones away.”
– L I N U S PA U L I N G , N O B E L P R I Z E I N C H E M I S T R Y 1 9 5 4
NOBEL PEACE PRIZE 1962
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36. “We learn best during
moments of enjoyment.”
–RALPH SMEDLEY
“I have fun with ideas;
I play with them.”
– R AY B R A D B U R Y
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37. “The best way to predict the future is to create it.”
–PETER DRUCKER
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39. F O R M O R E I N F O R M AT I O N
• Keeping Abreast of Science and Technology by Bradford Ashton and
Richard Klaven's (Battelle Press, 1997)
• The Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn (University of
Chicago Press,1970)
• Technology Exchange in the Information Age by John Lesko, Phil Nicolai,
and Michael Steve (Battelle Press, 1998)
• A Managers Guide to Technology Forecasting and Strategy Analysis
Methods, Stephen Millett and Edward Honton (Battelle Press, 1991)
• The Art of the Long View by Peter Schwartz (Doubleday,1997)
• Visit www.JohnLesko.Biz and find my blog to download these slides.
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40. JOHN@JOHNLESKO.BIZ
!
571-229-3246
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