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The Future
Competitive
Environment for
Ceramic Tiles
Donato Grosser
Presentation Topics
2
U.S. Ceramic Tile Consumption & Imports
U.S. Ceramic Tile Distribution
Competitive Environment
Future Environment
U.S. Ceramic Tile
Consumption & Imports
3
U.S. Ceramic Tile Consumption, 2002-2015 (Million sq. ft.)
4
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce and TCNA data
2,649
2,815
3,148
3,258 3,315
2,675
2,268
1,959
2,057 2,082
2,194
2,478 2,490
2,737
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
5
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce and TCNA data
$2,469
$2,599
$2,998
$3,083
$3,314
$2,714
$2,586
$2,062 $2,185
$2,268
$2,415
$2,802
$2,974
$3,265
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
U.S. Ceramic Tile Consumption, 2002-2015 (Million of $)
6
U.S. Ceramic Tile Market: Main Suppliers in 2015
Country Million sq. ft. % of Total
USA 857 31.3%
China 546 19.9%
Mexico 508 18.6%
Italy 348 12.7%
Spain 136 5.0%
Turkey 86 3.1%
Brasil 85 3.1%
Others 171 6.2%
Total 2737 100.0%
7
U.S. Ceramic Tile Imports: Main Suppliers in 2015
Country Million sq. ft. % of Total
China 546 29.0%
Mexico 508 27.0%
Italy 348 18.5%
Spain 136 7.2%
Turkey 86 4.6%
Brasil 85 4.5%
Others 171 9.1%
Total 1880 100.0%
Competitive Environment
8
Landed prices of ceramic tile by country of origin
(2015)
9
Country
Quantity
(million sq.ft.)
Landed cost of
import (million $)
Average landed
prices ($/sq.ft.)
Italy 348 695 2.00
US* 857 1259 1.46
Spain 136 194 1.43
Turkey 86 95.3 1.11
China 546 521 0.95
Brasil 85 60.5 0.71
Mexico 508 287.8 0.57
(*) Average price of shipments for U.S. customers
Competitors in U.S Tile Distribution
10
U.S. Tile Manufacturers
34%
Production
Foreign Tile Manufacturers
66%
U.S. Manufacturers’
Showrooms
Tile Distributors
Flooring
Distributors
Home CentersTile RetailersFlooring Retailers
Wholesale
Retail
Largest U.S. Ceramic Tile
Manufacturers
11
Crossville-1
Dal Tile-7+2 (one plant opening in 2016)
Del Conca-1
Florida Tile-1
Florim-1
Marazzi-3
Stonepeak-1
Atlas Concorde-1 (plant opening in 2016)
Wonderful Group-1 (projected in 2018)
U.S. manufacturers are also large importers
They distribute about 50% of all tiles sold in the country
through:
25% of all wholesale showrooms in the U.S.
Home Centers
Independent distributors
12
U.S. Tile Manufacturers
Ceramic Tile Distributors in the U.S.
13
1,353
1,346
1,376
1,370
1,374
1,392
1,320
1,330
1,340
1,350
1,360
1,370
1,380
1,390
1,400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ceramic Tile Distributors in the US: by State, 2016
14
276
129
96
77 71
48 48 38 32 32
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
About 800 importers (Distributors and Retailers) handle
35/40% of tiles sold in the country
The largest importers are M.S.I., Emser, Bedrosians
that control 15% of all imports
They sell to builders, contractors and retailers
15
Tile Importers
Their share of ceramic tile rose during the recession
Home Depot, Lowe’s and Menard handle 30%+ of
tile sold to D.I.Y., builders and remodelers
16
Home Centers
Flooring retailers (about 15,000) handle 14/16% of
tile sold to consumers
Ceramic retailers (about 3,000) handle 14/16% of tile
sold to consumers and remodelers
17
Flooring and Tile Retailers
21,725
16,630
18,334
17,558
18,258
1,713 1,353 1,370 1,374
1,392
6,986 7,226 7,805 7,685
7,659
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2008 2011 2014 2015 2016
Tile contractors & Dealers Tile Distributors Home Centers
18
Home Centers, Tile Distributors &
Dealers
Future Environment
Housing starts
U.S. Manufacturers’ competition
Professional tile installers
20
Factors Affecting the Future of the US
Ceramic Tile Market
21
Housing Starts and U.S. Tile
Consumption
22
U.S. Tile Consumption Forecast 2016-2017
Year Housing Starts %
Tile Consumption
[Million sq. ft.] %
2017* 1,435 18.3% 295-312 9-12%
2016* 1,213 9.6% 271-279 7-10%
2015 1,106 10.4% 254 9.9%
2014 1,001 7.9% 231 0.4%
2013 928 18.4% 230 18.5%
2012 784 194
Three new factories being built
Danger of excessive capacity if market doesn’t
expand at the same pace
Weaker companies may suffer
Effect of imports
Increase of company owned showrooms
23
Manufacturers’ competition
The number of contractors went down
The decline is worrisome
It could create a bottleneck that might favor
competitive flooring products
24
Professional Tile Installers
Ceramic Tile Contractors and Dealers in the U.S.
25
21,725
16,630
17,447 18,863
18,334
17,558
18,258
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2008 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Thank you for
attending!
Any questions?
26

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Slides grosser 2016 coverings

  • 2. Presentation Topics 2 U.S. Ceramic Tile Consumption & Imports U.S. Ceramic Tile Distribution Competitive Environment Future Environment
  • 4. U.S. Ceramic Tile Consumption, 2002-2015 (Million sq. ft.) 4 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce and TCNA data 2,649 2,815 3,148 3,258 3,315 2,675 2,268 1,959 2,057 2,082 2,194 2,478 2,490 2,737 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
  • 5. 5 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce and TCNA data $2,469 $2,599 $2,998 $3,083 $3,314 $2,714 $2,586 $2,062 $2,185 $2,268 $2,415 $2,802 $2,974 $3,265 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 U.S. Ceramic Tile Consumption, 2002-2015 (Million of $)
  • 6. 6 U.S. Ceramic Tile Market: Main Suppliers in 2015 Country Million sq. ft. % of Total USA 857 31.3% China 546 19.9% Mexico 508 18.6% Italy 348 12.7% Spain 136 5.0% Turkey 86 3.1% Brasil 85 3.1% Others 171 6.2% Total 2737 100.0%
  • 7. 7 U.S. Ceramic Tile Imports: Main Suppliers in 2015 Country Million sq. ft. % of Total China 546 29.0% Mexico 508 27.0% Italy 348 18.5% Spain 136 7.2% Turkey 86 4.6% Brasil 85 4.5% Others 171 9.1% Total 1880 100.0%
  • 9. Landed prices of ceramic tile by country of origin (2015) 9 Country Quantity (million sq.ft.) Landed cost of import (million $) Average landed prices ($/sq.ft.) Italy 348 695 2.00 US* 857 1259 1.46 Spain 136 194 1.43 Turkey 86 95.3 1.11 China 546 521 0.95 Brasil 85 60.5 0.71 Mexico 508 287.8 0.57 (*) Average price of shipments for U.S. customers
  • 10. Competitors in U.S Tile Distribution 10 U.S. Tile Manufacturers 34% Production Foreign Tile Manufacturers 66% U.S. Manufacturers’ Showrooms Tile Distributors Flooring Distributors Home CentersTile RetailersFlooring Retailers Wholesale Retail
  • 11. Largest U.S. Ceramic Tile Manufacturers 11 Crossville-1 Dal Tile-7+2 (one plant opening in 2016) Del Conca-1 Florida Tile-1 Florim-1 Marazzi-3 Stonepeak-1 Atlas Concorde-1 (plant opening in 2016) Wonderful Group-1 (projected in 2018)
  • 12. U.S. manufacturers are also large importers They distribute about 50% of all tiles sold in the country through: 25% of all wholesale showrooms in the U.S. Home Centers Independent distributors 12 U.S. Tile Manufacturers
  • 13. Ceramic Tile Distributors in the U.S. 13 1,353 1,346 1,376 1,370 1,374 1,392 1,320 1,330 1,340 1,350 1,360 1,370 1,380 1,390 1,400 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 14. Ceramic Tile Distributors in the US: by State, 2016 14 276 129 96 77 71 48 48 38 32 32 0 50 100 150 200 250 300
  • 15. About 800 importers (Distributors and Retailers) handle 35/40% of tiles sold in the country The largest importers are M.S.I., Emser, Bedrosians that control 15% of all imports They sell to builders, contractors and retailers 15 Tile Importers
  • 16. Their share of ceramic tile rose during the recession Home Depot, Lowe’s and Menard handle 30%+ of tile sold to D.I.Y., builders and remodelers 16 Home Centers
  • 17. Flooring retailers (about 15,000) handle 14/16% of tile sold to consumers Ceramic retailers (about 3,000) handle 14/16% of tile sold to consumers and remodelers 17 Flooring and Tile Retailers
  • 18. 21,725 16,630 18,334 17,558 18,258 1,713 1,353 1,370 1,374 1,392 6,986 7,226 7,805 7,685 7,659 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2008 2011 2014 2015 2016 Tile contractors & Dealers Tile Distributors Home Centers 18 Home Centers, Tile Distributors & Dealers
  • 20. Housing starts U.S. Manufacturers’ competition Professional tile installers 20 Factors Affecting the Future of the US Ceramic Tile Market
  • 21. 21 Housing Starts and U.S. Tile Consumption
  • 22. 22 U.S. Tile Consumption Forecast 2016-2017 Year Housing Starts % Tile Consumption [Million sq. ft.] % 2017* 1,435 18.3% 295-312 9-12% 2016* 1,213 9.6% 271-279 7-10% 2015 1,106 10.4% 254 9.9% 2014 1,001 7.9% 231 0.4% 2013 928 18.4% 230 18.5% 2012 784 194
  • 23. Three new factories being built Danger of excessive capacity if market doesn’t expand at the same pace Weaker companies may suffer Effect of imports Increase of company owned showrooms 23 Manufacturers’ competition
  • 24. The number of contractors went down The decline is worrisome It could create a bottleneck that might favor competitive flooring products 24 Professional Tile Installers
  • 25. Ceramic Tile Contractors and Dealers in the U.S. 25 21,725 16,630 17,447 18,863 18,334 17,558 18,258 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2008 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016