1
Roofing and Asphalt
Brian Chambers
President, Roofing and Asphalt
Roofing and Asphalt
Highlights
 A leading brand within a $10 billion market expected to strengthen
 A Roofing Components business that we are growing at attractive
margins
 A track record of financial performance despite weaker market conditions
 A strong market position expected to continue generating mid-teen
operating margins on average
2
Source: Owens Corning management estimates based upon Principia Partners (2014) Residential Roofing Study.
Source: Owens Corning management estimates based upon Principia Partners (2014) Residential Roofing Study, RS Means (2014). Regional materials and labor for residential roofing.
Average roof size of 30 squares.
$10 Billion Residential Roofing Market
U.S. Steep-Slope Roofing Market
$9
$16
$18 $18
$21
$29
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
Asphalt Tile Metal Wood Composite Slate
Installed Cost of a Typical Roof
Asphalt
Shingles
55%
Metal 13%
Tile 4%
Other 3%
Components 20%
Slate 5%
In
Thousands
of
Dollars
Asphalt Shingles – the Product of Choice
Materials Represent
30-50% of Installed Cost
3
U.S. Asphalt Shingle Market
Recent Market Volumes have Lagged Expectations
Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association - Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments, National Association of Realtors, and management estimates assuming market
volumes are flat in Q4 2015.
MM Sq.
136
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15E
New Construction Repair & Remodeling
145
155
120
108
122 118
111 107 107
143
154 161
173
129
135
4
U.S. Asphalt Shingle Re-Roof Demand Drivers
Replacement age
 Average replacement age increased driven by technological
advances
Major storms & other weather events
 Weather events drive demand and create early replacement of roofs
 Weather-related demand estimated based on NOAA data and
insurance claims information
Economic factors
 Existing home sales, consumer income, and borrowing capacity
affect consumer decisions on timing of re-roof
Impact
5
Low
High
U.S. Asphalt Shingle Market
Expect Modest Growth with Weather-Driven Upside Potential
Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association - Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments. Management estimates based on data provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), National Association of Realtors, EIA, Moody’s Analytics, Oxford Economics reports, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
MM Sq.
6
Total 136 143 145 154 161 173 155 129 135 120 108 122 118 111 107 107
30 31 32 34 37 39 35 26 17 11 11 11 14 17 18 19
71 75 81 86 87 95
77
75
73
71 63 61 59 58 60 60
32 34 30 27 28
21
35
25
23
21 28 31 34 30 23 23
3
3 2
7
8
18
8
3
22
17
6
19 11 6 6 5
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15E
New Construction Age Related/Economic Other Weather Events Major Storms
26%
35%
23%
29%
26%
33%
27%
23% 28%
18% 16% 16%
'07-'11
Avg
'12-'14
Avg
2015
Fcst
Seasonal Industry Shipment Profile
 Historically, about 25% of full-year
manufacturer volumes shipped in Q1
 In 2012–2014, heavy winter discounts
drove distributor channel stocking and
pulled disproportional volume into Q1
 Healthier 2015 shipment pattern more in
line with seasonal contractor demand
Seasonal Demand Pattern Returning to Historical Norms
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2015 Forecast based on Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association data and management estimates assuming a flat full-year market.
Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association - Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments. 7
The Total Protection Roofing System
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 Owens Corning® Hip & Ridge Shingles
VentSure® Exhaust Ventilation Products
Owens Corning® Shingles
Owens Corning® Starter Shingles
ProArmor® Synthetic
Underlayment Products
WeatherLock® Self-Sealing Ice
& Water Barrier Products
VentSure® Soffit in InFlow®
Intake Ventilation Products
Components Enhance Roof Performance and Deliver Strong Margins
8
Expanding Our Components Portfolio
Providing Total Roofing Solutions and Enabling Adjacent Growth
ProArmor ® Ice & Water Shield
9
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E
A Growing Business
Roofing Components Revenue Growing Double Digits
Components Revenue
10
Source: Owens Corning management estimates.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2012 2013 2014 LTM
Averaging 16% EBIT Margins Since 2012
EBIT as % of Sales
Sales – Millions of $
Roofing and Asphalt
Financial Performance
11
LTM reflects actual results Q4 2014 - Q3 2015.
Source: Owens Corning SEC filings.
Asphalt Deflation
12
Rapid Decline in Oil Prices Delays Asphalt Return to Parity
Source: Poten & Partners average flux price (Selling Prices Roofing Flux); U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) average WTI Spot Price FOB Cushing, OK.
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Roofing Flux Selling Price / 90-Day Lagged WTI
Average
Product Line
National Footprint
Brand Preference
Material Science
13
Roofing and Asphalt
Sources of Differentiation
Leading Brand & Strong Market Position
Owens Corning is Well Positioned to Service Contractors
& Builders with Partners in All Channels
Roofing Distribution
(1-Step)
Building Materials
Distribution
(2-Step)
Home Centers
Pro Chain
Lumberyard
14
Unique High-Performance Products
Duration® Shingles
Differentiated Product in the Market
15
Creating Value Through Material Science
Chopped
Glass
Mat
Asphalt
Laminate Shingle
Driving Cost Advantage, Product Quality, Supply Flexibility
 Blending science
 Oxidization capability
 Refinery
relationships
 Shingle composition improvement
 Joint product innovation & testing
16
Facility
Roofing
Components
Asphalt
Portland
Compton
Denver
Irving
Houston
Minneapolis
Kearny
Savannah
Jacksonville
Oklahoma City
Summit
Atlanta
Medina
Brookville
Memphis
Brentwood
West
Midwest
Southwest
Northeast
Southeast
Strong Manufacturing Network
A Flexible National Network to Serve Regional Demand
17
Delivering Strong Returns
 Expect modest mid-term shingle demand growth with upside potential
from weather-driven demand
 Expanding our Components business with value-added products for our
distributors and contractors
 Investing in key differentiators to maintain our strong market position
 Confident in sustaining mid-teen operating margins on average
Strong Business Performance in an Improving Market
18
19
Questions and Discussion
Brian Chambers
President, Roofing and Asphalt

2-ID-2015-Roofing-Asphalt.pdf

  • 1.
    1 Roofing and Asphalt BrianChambers President, Roofing and Asphalt
  • 2.
    Roofing and Asphalt Highlights A leading brand within a $10 billion market expected to strengthen  A Roofing Components business that we are growing at attractive margins  A track record of financial performance despite weaker market conditions  A strong market position expected to continue generating mid-teen operating margins on average 2 Source: Owens Corning management estimates based upon Principia Partners (2014) Residential Roofing Study.
  • 3.
    Source: Owens Corningmanagement estimates based upon Principia Partners (2014) Residential Roofing Study, RS Means (2014). Regional materials and labor for residential roofing. Average roof size of 30 squares. $10 Billion Residential Roofing Market U.S. Steep-Slope Roofing Market $9 $16 $18 $18 $21 $29 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 Asphalt Tile Metal Wood Composite Slate Installed Cost of a Typical Roof Asphalt Shingles 55% Metal 13% Tile 4% Other 3% Components 20% Slate 5% In Thousands of Dollars Asphalt Shingles – the Product of Choice Materials Represent 30-50% of Installed Cost 3
  • 4.
    U.S. Asphalt ShingleMarket Recent Market Volumes have Lagged Expectations Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association - Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments, National Association of Realtors, and management estimates assuming market volumes are flat in Q4 2015. MM Sq. 136 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15E New Construction Repair & Remodeling 145 155 120 108 122 118 111 107 107 143 154 161 173 129 135 4
  • 5.
    U.S. Asphalt ShingleRe-Roof Demand Drivers Replacement age  Average replacement age increased driven by technological advances Major storms & other weather events  Weather events drive demand and create early replacement of roofs  Weather-related demand estimated based on NOAA data and insurance claims information Economic factors  Existing home sales, consumer income, and borrowing capacity affect consumer decisions on timing of re-roof Impact 5 Low High
  • 6.
    U.S. Asphalt ShingleMarket Expect Modest Growth with Weather-Driven Upside Potential Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association - Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments. Management estimates based on data provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Association of Realtors, EIA, Moody’s Analytics, Oxford Economics reports, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. MM Sq. 6 Total 136 143 145 154 161 173 155 129 135 120 108 122 118 111 107 107 30 31 32 34 37 39 35 26 17 11 11 11 14 17 18 19 71 75 81 86 87 95 77 75 73 71 63 61 59 58 60 60 32 34 30 27 28 21 35 25 23 21 28 31 34 30 23 23 3 3 2 7 8 18 8 3 22 17 6 19 11 6 6 5 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15E New Construction Age Related/Economic Other Weather Events Major Storms
  • 7.
    26% 35% 23% 29% 26% 33% 27% 23% 28% 18% 16%16% '07-'11 Avg '12-'14 Avg 2015 Fcst Seasonal Industry Shipment Profile  Historically, about 25% of full-year manufacturer volumes shipped in Q1  In 2012–2014, heavy winter discounts drove distributor channel stocking and pulled disproportional volume into Q1  Healthier 2015 shipment pattern more in line with seasonal contractor demand Seasonal Demand Pattern Returning to Historical Norms Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 Forecast based on Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association data and management estimates assuming a flat full-year market. Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association - Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments. 7
  • 8.
    The Total ProtectionRoofing System 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Owens Corning® Hip & Ridge Shingles VentSure® Exhaust Ventilation Products Owens Corning® Shingles Owens Corning® Starter Shingles ProArmor® Synthetic Underlayment Products WeatherLock® Self-Sealing Ice & Water Barrier Products VentSure® Soffit in InFlow® Intake Ventilation Products Components Enhance Roof Performance and Deliver Strong Margins 8
  • 9.
    Expanding Our ComponentsPortfolio Providing Total Roofing Solutions and Enabling Adjacent Growth ProArmor ® Ice & Water Shield 9
  • 10.
    2009 2010 20112012 2013 2014 2015E A Growing Business Roofing Components Revenue Growing Double Digits Components Revenue 10 Source: Owens Corning management estimates.
  • 11.
    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2012 2013 2014LTM Averaging 16% EBIT Margins Since 2012 EBIT as % of Sales Sales – Millions of $ Roofing and Asphalt Financial Performance 11 LTM reflects actual results Q4 2014 - Q3 2015. Source: Owens Corning SEC filings.
  • 12.
    Asphalt Deflation 12 Rapid Declinein Oil Prices Delays Asphalt Return to Parity Source: Poten & Partners average flux price (Selling Prices Roofing Flux); U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) average WTI Spot Price FOB Cushing, OK. 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% Roofing Flux Selling Price / 90-Day Lagged WTI Average
  • 13.
    Product Line National Footprint BrandPreference Material Science 13 Roofing and Asphalt Sources of Differentiation
  • 14.
    Leading Brand &Strong Market Position Owens Corning is Well Positioned to Service Contractors & Builders with Partners in All Channels Roofing Distribution (1-Step) Building Materials Distribution (2-Step) Home Centers Pro Chain Lumberyard 14
  • 15.
    Unique High-Performance Products Duration®Shingles Differentiated Product in the Market 15
  • 16.
    Creating Value ThroughMaterial Science Chopped Glass Mat Asphalt Laminate Shingle Driving Cost Advantage, Product Quality, Supply Flexibility  Blending science  Oxidization capability  Refinery relationships  Shingle composition improvement  Joint product innovation & testing 16
  • 17.
  • 18.
    Delivering Strong Returns Expect modest mid-term shingle demand growth with upside potential from weather-driven demand  Expanding our Components business with value-added products for our distributors and contractors  Investing in key differentiators to maintain our strong market position  Confident in sustaining mid-teen operating margins on average Strong Business Performance in an Improving Market 18
  • 19.
    19 Questions and Discussion BrianChambers President, Roofing and Asphalt