This document summarizes the political impact of the 2004 and 2007 enlargements of the European Union. It discusses decision making within EU institutions, the new member states' compliance with EU law, cooperation on common foreign and security policy, and coordination on justice and home affairs issues. Overall, the integration of the new member states has proceeded smoothly, with fears of decision making gridlock or non-compliance largely unfounded. The new members have adapted well to EU processes and norms.
- The six Eastern Partnership countries of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine face a choice between integrating more closely with the EU through Association Agreements or joining the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union. Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine chose the EU while Armenia and Belarus joined the EAEU.
- Choosing one integration path has meant weaker trade ties with the other bloc. The EU and EAEU pursue fundamentally different models of economic integration that can undermine each other. Russia has also reacted strongly politically against countries allying more closely with the EU.
- In the long run, Association Agreements with the EU are projected to boost GDP more than joining the EAEU would. However,
The document criticizes a report by Transparency International Sweden on political corruption. It alleges that TIS and its researchers have failed to properly study Swedish political culture and practices, relying too heavily on global surveys. It argues their methodology is flawed and the report's conclusions are unreliable and contradicted by important studies they failed to consider. The document suggests political corruption is systemic in Sweden, especially regarding how civil servants implement policy regardless of laws. It aims to illustrate how TIS report is an example of this type of "vertical political corruption" in Sweden.
The paper briefly discusses the main economic developments in Poland since its accession to the EU in May 2004 and sees how they relate to the regulatory environment and policies which the EU imposes on the member states. Even though the paper concerns the recent period of 2004-2006 there are frequent references to developments that took place in Poland in the pre-accession period. This is because the country’s integration into the EU economy was a gradual and lengthy process which had formally been initiated in December 16, 1991 when Poland and the EU signed the Europe Agreement.
Authored by: Ewa Balcerowicz
Published in 2007
This document is a country assessment report on Serbia that examines the impact of the economic crisis and outlines policy responses. It finds that:
1) Serbia was significantly impacted by the global economic crisis, with real GDP declining by 3% in 2009, exports falling by 19%, and unemployment rising sharply.
2) The crisis led to major job losses and a rise in unemployment, hitting both formal and informal employment. Unemployment increased from 13.6% in 2008 to 16.1% in 2010, with long-term unemployment and youth unemployment particularly affected.
3) The government implemented stimulus policies including job retention schemes, public works programs, unemployment benefits, and tripartite social agreements between government, employers,
This document summarizes changes in the economic geography of Europe from 1995-2005 based on regional income data from 29 countries. It finds that domestic regional inequality increased substantially in eastern Europe, while central Europe saw little change or reductions in inequality. Darker shaded areas on the map indicate higher increases in regional disparities. The analysis focuses on exploring the east-west dimension of economic development on the continent and how international integration affects regions within countries.
The EU has been one of the largest trade partners for so called Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries, namely Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Commodity turnover of these countries with the EU vary between 30% and 50% of total, but their access to the EU market is less preferential than for many other neighboring countries. They trade with the EU on the basis of MFN regime, and five EaP countries, with exemption of Belarus, use privileges provided by Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) or the GSP+ or autonomous trade preferences (Moldova). With the launch of EaP initiative in 2009, relations between the EU and the Eastern European countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine) have received new impetus for development. The EaP offers upgrade of relations within three major dimensions, namely (a) the Association Agreement (AA), (b) Agreement on a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA), and (c) Visa Facilitation and Readmission agreements. The AA talks have been launched with all EaP countries expect for Belarus, and four of them have been involved in the DCFTA talks. Ukraine has progressed the most, as after five years of negotiations the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement with embedded DCFTA has been initialed in 2012.The aim of this study is to assess gains and losses that could arise from the DCFTA with the EU for the EaP countries, using information about EU-Ukraine DCFTA as model case for EaP regional trade cooperation.The focus of the paper is on non-tariff (regulatory) component of the EU DCFTA and potential implications of regulatory approximation. Also, current level of harmonization of EaP countries’regulatory framework with the EU acquis in the areas related to the DCFTA is analyzed.
Authored by: Veronika Movchan, Volodymyr Shportyuk
Published in 2012
Does European economic integration create more inequality between domestic regions, or is the opposite true? We show that a general answer to this question does not exist, and that the outcome depends on the liberalisation scenario. In order to examine the impact of European and international integration on the regions, the paper develops a numerical simulation model with nine countries and 90 regions. Eastward extension of European integration is beneficial for old as well as new member countries, but within countries the impact varies across regions. Reduction in distance-related trade costs is particularly good for the European peripheries. Each liberalisation scenario has a distinct impact on the spatial income distribution, and there is no general rule telling that integration causes more or less agglomeration.
Authored by Arne Melchior
Published in 2009
BRYNEN, David A Tale of Two Parties Assessing Similarities and Differences Be...David Brynen
This document provides a historical overview of the rise of far-right political parties in France and the UK, specifically focusing on the Front National (FN) in France and the UK Independence Party (UKIP). It details the emergence of the FN out of earlier far-right movements in France dating back to the 1940s. It also examines the historical development of far-right politics in the UK and the eventual founding of UKIP. The document then compares the ideological stances, trajectories, and political influence of the FN and UKIP.
- The six Eastern Partnership countries of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine face a choice between integrating more closely with the EU through Association Agreements or joining the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union. Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine chose the EU while Armenia and Belarus joined the EAEU.
- Choosing one integration path has meant weaker trade ties with the other bloc. The EU and EAEU pursue fundamentally different models of economic integration that can undermine each other. Russia has also reacted strongly politically against countries allying more closely with the EU.
- In the long run, Association Agreements with the EU are projected to boost GDP more than joining the EAEU would. However,
The document criticizes a report by Transparency International Sweden on political corruption. It alleges that TIS and its researchers have failed to properly study Swedish political culture and practices, relying too heavily on global surveys. It argues their methodology is flawed and the report's conclusions are unreliable and contradicted by important studies they failed to consider. The document suggests political corruption is systemic in Sweden, especially regarding how civil servants implement policy regardless of laws. It aims to illustrate how TIS report is an example of this type of "vertical political corruption" in Sweden.
The paper briefly discusses the main economic developments in Poland since its accession to the EU in May 2004 and sees how they relate to the regulatory environment and policies which the EU imposes on the member states. Even though the paper concerns the recent period of 2004-2006 there are frequent references to developments that took place in Poland in the pre-accession period. This is because the country’s integration into the EU economy was a gradual and lengthy process which had formally been initiated in December 16, 1991 when Poland and the EU signed the Europe Agreement.
Authored by: Ewa Balcerowicz
Published in 2007
This document is a country assessment report on Serbia that examines the impact of the economic crisis and outlines policy responses. It finds that:
1) Serbia was significantly impacted by the global economic crisis, with real GDP declining by 3% in 2009, exports falling by 19%, and unemployment rising sharply.
2) The crisis led to major job losses and a rise in unemployment, hitting both formal and informal employment. Unemployment increased from 13.6% in 2008 to 16.1% in 2010, with long-term unemployment and youth unemployment particularly affected.
3) The government implemented stimulus policies including job retention schemes, public works programs, unemployment benefits, and tripartite social agreements between government, employers,
This document summarizes changes in the economic geography of Europe from 1995-2005 based on regional income data from 29 countries. It finds that domestic regional inequality increased substantially in eastern Europe, while central Europe saw little change or reductions in inequality. Darker shaded areas on the map indicate higher increases in regional disparities. The analysis focuses on exploring the east-west dimension of economic development on the continent and how international integration affects regions within countries.
The EU has been one of the largest trade partners for so called Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries, namely Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Commodity turnover of these countries with the EU vary between 30% and 50% of total, but their access to the EU market is less preferential than for many other neighboring countries. They trade with the EU on the basis of MFN regime, and five EaP countries, with exemption of Belarus, use privileges provided by Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) or the GSP+ or autonomous trade preferences (Moldova). With the launch of EaP initiative in 2009, relations between the EU and the Eastern European countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine) have received new impetus for development. The EaP offers upgrade of relations within three major dimensions, namely (a) the Association Agreement (AA), (b) Agreement on a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA), and (c) Visa Facilitation and Readmission agreements. The AA talks have been launched with all EaP countries expect for Belarus, and four of them have been involved in the DCFTA talks. Ukraine has progressed the most, as after five years of negotiations the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement with embedded DCFTA has been initialed in 2012.The aim of this study is to assess gains and losses that could arise from the DCFTA with the EU for the EaP countries, using information about EU-Ukraine DCFTA as model case for EaP regional trade cooperation.The focus of the paper is on non-tariff (regulatory) component of the EU DCFTA and potential implications of regulatory approximation. Also, current level of harmonization of EaP countries’regulatory framework with the EU acquis in the areas related to the DCFTA is analyzed.
Authored by: Veronika Movchan, Volodymyr Shportyuk
Published in 2012
Does European economic integration create more inequality between domestic regions, or is the opposite true? We show that a general answer to this question does not exist, and that the outcome depends on the liberalisation scenario. In order to examine the impact of European and international integration on the regions, the paper develops a numerical simulation model with nine countries and 90 regions. Eastward extension of European integration is beneficial for old as well as new member countries, but within countries the impact varies across regions. Reduction in distance-related trade costs is particularly good for the European peripheries. Each liberalisation scenario has a distinct impact on the spatial income distribution, and there is no general rule telling that integration causes more or less agglomeration.
Authored by Arne Melchior
Published in 2009
BRYNEN, David A Tale of Two Parties Assessing Similarities and Differences Be...David Brynen
This document provides a historical overview of the rise of far-right political parties in France and the UK, specifically focusing on the Front National (FN) in France and the UK Independence Party (UKIP). It details the emergence of the FN out of earlier far-right movements in France dating back to the 1940s. It also examines the historical development of far-right politics in the UK and the eventual founding of UKIP. The document then compares the ideological stances, trajectories, and political influence of the FN and UKIP.
This document analyzes Poland's economic convergence towards euro area levels before and after joining the EU in 2004. It finds that Poland experienced strong economic growth averaging higher than the euro area. This led to steady increases in GDP per capita and price levels converging towards euro area averages. Inflation was largely kept under control after adopting an inflation targeting policy. However, public finances suffered from chronic deficits, though public debt remained moderate. The economic crisis that began in 2008 impacted Poland through falling stock prices, a depreciating currency, and slowing credit and GDP growth. Political debates around adopting the euro were ongoing.
Eurozone falling chickens choice internal or external devaluationMarkets Beyond
The political and economic backround in Europe is awful and no good choice is left to solve the huge imbalances between countries: external or internal devalutation.
Whatever the route followed it will translate into a fall in standard of living of Europeans. The path followed by European politicians for the past 4 years has led to a dead end and they will soon have to decide which of two tough routes to follow..
The Greek bail-out was highly controversial. An oft-heard assessment is that i) the bail-out was a mistake, ii) the political haggling over it was irrational and iii) the bail-out will create a moral hazard problem. Contrary to this view, our analysis suggests that, given EMU’s present political-economic set-up, i) the bail-out was unavoidable, ii) the lengthy process of political haggling leading to it was understandable, and iii) the bail-out does not have to be necessarily associated with a future moral hazard problem. Based on our analysis, we suggest that the EMU’s institutional design could be improved by establishing ‘exit rules’ and that bail-outs should be made rule-based. We have based our analysis on a politicaleconomic, game-theoretic model that helps to understand why and how the parties involved in the Greek crisis arrived at the bail-out and on what conditions the final solution depended. The model allows tracing analytically the dynamics of the negotiation processes as well as the conditions and parameters on which the scope and limits of fiscal redistribution in EMU depends. In doing so, we formally take account of the ‘negative externality’ problem that has been central to policy debates related to the EMU’s institutional design and has played an important role in the Greek crisis. However, contrary to the existing literature, we do not only focus on the economic aspects of such negative externality, but also look at where they emanate from and interact with political factors, in particular the dynamics of the political negotiation process within the EMU.
Authored by: Christian Fahrholz, Cezary Wojcik
Published in 2010
Demographic change (driven by the second demographic transition) led to an uncontrolled increase in scale of various social expenditure in the OECD area, especially in continental Europe. Costs of social transfers created fiscal pressure leading to the necessity of tax increases all over Europe, including the New Member States. Employment consequences of emerging higher tax wedge has become the topic of large body of research. However, surprisingly little evidence is known on distribution of that problem across workers. Is the effect of high tax wedge equally spread or certain groups of workers suffer more than others? More specifically, are low productivity workers exposed more to the problems caused by high tax wedge?
Authored by: Marek Gora, Artur Radziwill, Agnieszka Sowa, Mateusz Walewski
Published in 2006
What if...? The Consequences, challenges & opportunities facing Britain outsi...chmcorpp
E se...? As consequências , desafios e oportunidades que a Grã-Bretanha enfrentará fora da UE
Neste estudo, olharam principalmente o impacto econômico se a Grã-Bretanha deixar a UE. No entanto, dado que Brexit se resume em cálculos, as considerações não quantificáveis , tais como: perda de soberania e responsabilidade democrática podem ser o que determina se a Grã-Bretanha continua ou não a ser um membro da União Europeia.
In this study, we look primarily at the economic impact of Britain leaving the EU. However, given that Brexit comes down to a finely balanced calculation, unquantifiable considerations such as lost sovereignty and democratic accountability may be what in the end determines whether Britain remains a member.
This document summarizes research on home bias and European integration between 2010-2018. The research estimates home bias between 28 EU states using bilateral trade flows and estimates the border effect for trade between countries using a gravity model. It finds that home bias still exists within the EU but is decreasing over time, showing increased integration. Home bias also varies significantly between industries from 86.48 to 2.58 depending on ease of substitution between domestic and foreign goods.
(1) Ukraine faces economic challenges in integrating with the EU due to Russian aggression, weak reforms, and low institutional capacity.
(2) Key factors include the Russian invasion, slow reforms, oligarch influence in politics and economics, and lack of public awareness of EU integration opportunities.
(3) The document recommends that Ukraine focus on anti-corruption reforms, tax reform, export promotion, improving regulatory bodies, leveraging international aid, and raising public awareness of the EU agreement to help overcome challenges on the path to EU integration.
The document discusses Moldova's ongoing negotiations with the EU for a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA). It provides context on the EU's Eastern Partnership initiative and explains that a DCFTA goes beyond simply reducing tariffs to integrate countries across all trade-related areas like services, intellectual property, and regulations. For Moldova, the key benefits of a DCFTA would be increased foreign investment, technological upgrading, and more competitive exports internationally. The document notes that Moldova has made significant progress in its reforms and appears to be moving faster than Ukraine in DCFTA negotiations.
The document discusses the complex relationship between the EU and Russia over several decades. It notes that while Russia integrated more with Western structures in the 1990s, it has reasserted itself internationally since the mid-2000s. The EU has struggled to develop a unified policy towards Russia and balance strategic partnership with addressing issues like Russia's actions in Chechnya. Economic ties are significant but also complicated, especially regarding energy, and the EU seeks to reduce dependence on Russia while maintaining cooperation.
This document summarizes a report on EU-Russia relations. It discusses three perspectives on the realities of the complex relationship between the EU and Russia. The perspectives examined are a cultural view, an economic view, and an analysis of past initiatives between the EU and Russia. The cultural view explores differences between Russia and the EU and challenges with integrating Russia. The economic view analyzes trade and energy interdependence and tensions. Past EU-Russia initiatives are reviewed to explain ongoing frustrations. The overall assessment is that the relationship is more dense and complex for the EU than for other partners of Russia.
The International Conference on "Assessment of the economic reforms dynamics in the regions of Ukraine in terms of EU integration" was held on December 18, 2015 in Kyiv, Ukraine. The conference featured presentations from the International Center for Democratic Transition (ICDT) about their organization and the Association Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine. The ICDT is a non-profit organization based in Budapest, Hungary that collects experiences from democratic transitions and shares them with countries pursuing democratic reforms. The Association Agreement between the EU and Ukraine commits both parties to building democracy and market economies, cooperation on justice and security issues, and involving civil society organizations.
201308 Golden Growth - Restoring the lustre of the European Economic ModelFrancisco Calzado
This document provides an overview of restoring the lustre of the European economic model. It discusses three key aspects of the European model: 1) It created a distinctive social market economy model after World War II; 2) It fueled a powerful convergence machine that spread prosperity across Europe; and 3) It established Europe as a global brand for high living standards. However, the report notes Europe now faces challenges in remaining competitive against rising economic powers while addressing issues like an aging population, slowing productivity, and public debt levels. It argues Europe should build on its strengths like economic openness while modernizing to meet 21st century challenges.
Which way to choose - European Prosperity or Trade StabilityIBStudy
How students saw the integration opportunities for Ukraine. Ukraine's European integration vs. integration to customs union leaded by Russia. Findings of master`s level students at International Business English Language Program, National Technical University "Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute" 2013.
Doing business and investing in the Russian Federation, 2015PwC Russia
This guide has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this guide without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information contained in this guide, and, to the extent permitted by law, PwC, its members, employees and agents accept no liability, and disclaim all responsibility, for the consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information
contained in this guide or for any decision based on it.
Slovak reforms and EU integration provided lessons for Ukraine. Slovakia's EU membership was crucial but not sufficient for its economic success; comprehensive, bold economic reforms between 2002-2006 including tax, pension, healthcare, and labor market reforms were key. These reforms helped attract foreign direct investment and boost exports, particularly in the automotive industry, making Slovakia's economy one of the fastest growing in the EU. While EU funds financed infrastructure and 80% of public investments, Slovakia has underperformed in utilizing its allocated structural funds. Overall, Slovakia's experience shows that domestic reforms are critical to leverage the opportunities of EU integration.
Moldova unilaterally declares its EU membership aspirations and started the process of economic, legal and institutional approximation targeted at establishing free market economy, stable democratic institutions and sound legal system. In the paper the authors made an attempt to assess the competitive and institutional capacity of Moldova in the context of EU membership requirements. It presents Polish achievements in European integration process as a CEE successful way towards full membership. The paper is devoted to transfer know how on Polish experience in EU integration at first stages of the process, with the emphasis on assessment of fulfillment of Copenhagen criteria and the role of association stage in the integration process as a whole. Basing on Poland's example, it provides the recommendations for Moldova on possible ways of integration with the EU so that Moldovan economy and society would be able to benefit most from the process - in other words, to successfully conclude the transformation of economy and adjust law and state institutions to European standards.
The analysis does not cover the political aspects of Transdniestrian conflict as it is an important and broad issue that requires deep separate analysis. In the paper there is also no evaluation of cooperation within Stability Pact for South Eastern Europe since we consider Moldova as Eastern European country with clear geopolitical position neighboring Ukraine and Romania.
Authored by: Iurie Gotisan, Karina Kostrzewa, Eugen Osmochescu
Published in 2005
This document summarizes the experience with flat tax rates in several European countries. It shows that many Eastern European countries introduced flat taxes in the 1990s and 2000s, setting rates from 12-33%. More recent reforms in the 2000s set lower rates under 20%. Where introduced, flat taxes were often set equal to corporate tax rates. Most countries also increased personal allowances to limit the impact on progressivity when moving to a flat tax. The document provides an overview of flat tax rates and reforms in different European countries.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the geopolitical situation in the New Eastern Europe, which it defines as the six states of the Eastern Partnership - Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine. It finds that these states remain in a state of limbo between the EU/NATO to the west and Russia to the east. It recommends that Europe reject spheres of influence in the region, treat the states as sovereign partners, invest in the Eastern Partnership, address security concerns, engage in conflict resolution, develop energy infrastructure like Nabucco, and uphold principles of European security in interactions with Russia.
This document summarizes a webinar about optimizing websites for maximum lead generation. Mike Volpe of HubSpot discusses the changing landscape of marketing and emphasizes building online assets like blogs, social media followings, and email lists rather than relying on advertising. He recommends identifying buyer personas to inform content creation and publishing content in various forms rather than advertising. Specific tips include using keywords in blog post titles, including images, offering email and RSS subscriptions, and leveraging calls to action. The webinar also discusses making search engines happy by focusing on relevant context and authority.
This document summarizes a webinar about optimizing websites for maximum lead generation. It discusses how marketing is shifting from outbound tactics like TV ads to inbound strategies like content marketing and search engine optimization. It emphasizes building online assets like blogs, social media followings, and email lists rather than relying on paid advertising. Specific tips include identifying buyer personas to inform content creation and focusing content around 1-2 well-defined persona profiles rather than broad audiences.
This document analyzes Poland's economic convergence towards euro area levels before and after joining the EU in 2004. It finds that Poland experienced strong economic growth averaging higher than the euro area. This led to steady increases in GDP per capita and price levels converging towards euro area averages. Inflation was largely kept under control after adopting an inflation targeting policy. However, public finances suffered from chronic deficits, though public debt remained moderate. The economic crisis that began in 2008 impacted Poland through falling stock prices, a depreciating currency, and slowing credit and GDP growth. Political debates around adopting the euro were ongoing.
Eurozone falling chickens choice internal or external devaluationMarkets Beyond
The political and economic backround in Europe is awful and no good choice is left to solve the huge imbalances between countries: external or internal devalutation.
Whatever the route followed it will translate into a fall in standard of living of Europeans. The path followed by European politicians for the past 4 years has led to a dead end and they will soon have to decide which of two tough routes to follow..
The Greek bail-out was highly controversial. An oft-heard assessment is that i) the bail-out was a mistake, ii) the political haggling over it was irrational and iii) the bail-out will create a moral hazard problem. Contrary to this view, our analysis suggests that, given EMU’s present political-economic set-up, i) the bail-out was unavoidable, ii) the lengthy process of political haggling leading to it was understandable, and iii) the bail-out does not have to be necessarily associated with a future moral hazard problem. Based on our analysis, we suggest that the EMU’s institutional design could be improved by establishing ‘exit rules’ and that bail-outs should be made rule-based. We have based our analysis on a politicaleconomic, game-theoretic model that helps to understand why and how the parties involved in the Greek crisis arrived at the bail-out and on what conditions the final solution depended. The model allows tracing analytically the dynamics of the negotiation processes as well as the conditions and parameters on which the scope and limits of fiscal redistribution in EMU depends. In doing so, we formally take account of the ‘negative externality’ problem that has been central to policy debates related to the EMU’s institutional design and has played an important role in the Greek crisis. However, contrary to the existing literature, we do not only focus on the economic aspects of such negative externality, but also look at where they emanate from and interact with political factors, in particular the dynamics of the political negotiation process within the EMU.
Authored by: Christian Fahrholz, Cezary Wojcik
Published in 2010
Demographic change (driven by the second demographic transition) led to an uncontrolled increase in scale of various social expenditure in the OECD area, especially in continental Europe. Costs of social transfers created fiscal pressure leading to the necessity of tax increases all over Europe, including the New Member States. Employment consequences of emerging higher tax wedge has become the topic of large body of research. However, surprisingly little evidence is known on distribution of that problem across workers. Is the effect of high tax wedge equally spread or certain groups of workers suffer more than others? More specifically, are low productivity workers exposed more to the problems caused by high tax wedge?
Authored by: Marek Gora, Artur Radziwill, Agnieszka Sowa, Mateusz Walewski
Published in 2006
What if...? The Consequences, challenges & opportunities facing Britain outsi...chmcorpp
E se...? As consequências , desafios e oportunidades que a Grã-Bretanha enfrentará fora da UE
Neste estudo, olharam principalmente o impacto econômico se a Grã-Bretanha deixar a UE. No entanto, dado que Brexit se resume em cálculos, as considerações não quantificáveis , tais como: perda de soberania e responsabilidade democrática podem ser o que determina se a Grã-Bretanha continua ou não a ser um membro da União Europeia.
In this study, we look primarily at the economic impact of Britain leaving the EU. However, given that Brexit comes down to a finely balanced calculation, unquantifiable considerations such as lost sovereignty and democratic accountability may be what in the end determines whether Britain remains a member.
This document summarizes research on home bias and European integration between 2010-2018. The research estimates home bias between 28 EU states using bilateral trade flows and estimates the border effect for trade between countries using a gravity model. It finds that home bias still exists within the EU but is decreasing over time, showing increased integration. Home bias also varies significantly between industries from 86.48 to 2.58 depending on ease of substitution between domestic and foreign goods.
(1) Ukraine faces economic challenges in integrating with the EU due to Russian aggression, weak reforms, and low institutional capacity.
(2) Key factors include the Russian invasion, slow reforms, oligarch influence in politics and economics, and lack of public awareness of EU integration opportunities.
(3) The document recommends that Ukraine focus on anti-corruption reforms, tax reform, export promotion, improving regulatory bodies, leveraging international aid, and raising public awareness of the EU agreement to help overcome challenges on the path to EU integration.
The document discusses Moldova's ongoing negotiations with the EU for a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA). It provides context on the EU's Eastern Partnership initiative and explains that a DCFTA goes beyond simply reducing tariffs to integrate countries across all trade-related areas like services, intellectual property, and regulations. For Moldova, the key benefits of a DCFTA would be increased foreign investment, technological upgrading, and more competitive exports internationally. The document notes that Moldova has made significant progress in its reforms and appears to be moving faster than Ukraine in DCFTA negotiations.
The document discusses the complex relationship between the EU and Russia over several decades. It notes that while Russia integrated more with Western structures in the 1990s, it has reasserted itself internationally since the mid-2000s. The EU has struggled to develop a unified policy towards Russia and balance strategic partnership with addressing issues like Russia's actions in Chechnya. Economic ties are significant but also complicated, especially regarding energy, and the EU seeks to reduce dependence on Russia while maintaining cooperation.
This document summarizes a report on EU-Russia relations. It discusses three perspectives on the realities of the complex relationship between the EU and Russia. The perspectives examined are a cultural view, an economic view, and an analysis of past initiatives between the EU and Russia. The cultural view explores differences between Russia and the EU and challenges with integrating Russia. The economic view analyzes trade and energy interdependence and tensions. Past EU-Russia initiatives are reviewed to explain ongoing frustrations. The overall assessment is that the relationship is more dense and complex for the EU than for other partners of Russia.
The International Conference on "Assessment of the economic reforms dynamics in the regions of Ukraine in terms of EU integration" was held on December 18, 2015 in Kyiv, Ukraine. The conference featured presentations from the International Center for Democratic Transition (ICDT) about their organization and the Association Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine. The ICDT is a non-profit organization based in Budapest, Hungary that collects experiences from democratic transitions and shares them with countries pursuing democratic reforms. The Association Agreement between the EU and Ukraine commits both parties to building democracy and market economies, cooperation on justice and security issues, and involving civil society organizations.
201308 Golden Growth - Restoring the lustre of the European Economic ModelFrancisco Calzado
This document provides an overview of restoring the lustre of the European economic model. It discusses three key aspects of the European model: 1) It created a distinctive social market economy model after World War II; 2) It fueled a powerful convergence machine that spread prosperity across Europe; and 3) It established Europe as a global brand for high living standards. However, the report notes Europe now faces challenges in remaining competitive against rising economic powers while addressing issues like an aging population, slowing productivity, and public debt levels. It argues Europe should build on its strengths like economic openness while modernizing to meet 21st century challenges.
Which way to choose - European Prosperity or Trade StabilityIBStudy
How students saw the integration opportunities for Ukraine. Ukraine's European integration vs. integration to customs union leaded by Russia. Findings of master`s level students at International Business English Language Program, National Technical University "Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute" 2013.
Doing business and investing in the Russian Federation, 2015PwC Russia
This guide has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this guide without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information contained in this guide, and, to the extent permitted by law, PwC, its members, employees and agents accept no liability, and disclaim all responsibility, for the consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information
contained in this guide or for any decision based on it.
Slovak reforms and EU integration provided lessons for Ukraine. Slovakia's EU membership was crucial but not sufficient for its economic success; comprehensive, bold economic reforms between 2002-2006 including tax, pension, healthcare, and labor market reforms were key. These reforms helped attract foreign direct investment and boost exports, particularly in the automotive industry, making Slovakia's economy one of the fastest growing in the EU. While EU funds financed infrastructure and 80% of public investments, Slovakia has underperformed in utilizing its allocated structural funds. Overall, Slovakia's experience shows that domestic reforms are critical to leverage the opportunities of EU integration.
Moldova unilaterally declares its EU membership aspirations and started the process of economic, legal and institutional approximation targeted at establishing free market economy, stable democratic institutions and sound legal system. In the paper the authors made an attempt to assess the competitive and institutional capacity of Moldova in the context of EU membership requirements. It presents Polish achievements in European integration process as a CEE successful way towards full membership. The paper is devoted to transfer know how on Polish experience in EU integration at first stages of the process, with the emphasis on assessment of fulfillment of Copenhagen criteria and the role of association stage in the integration process as a whole. Basing on Poland's example, it provides the recommendations for Moldova on possible ways of integration with the EU so that Moldovan economy and society would be able to benefit most from the process - in other words, to successfully conclude the transformation of economy and adjust law and state institutions to European standards.
The analysis does not cover the political aspects of Transdniestrian conflict as it is an important and broad issue that requires deep separate analysis. In the paper there is also no evaluation of cooperation within Stability Pact for South Eastern Europe since we consider Moldova as Eastern European country with clear geopolitical position neighboring Ukraine and Romania.
Authored by: Iurie Gotisan, Karina Kostrzewa, Eugen Osmochescu
Published in 2005
This document summarizes the experience with flat tax rates in several European countries. It shows that many Eastern European countries introduced flat taxes in the 1990s and 2000s, setting rates from 12-33%. More recent reforms in the 2000s set lower rates under 20%. Where introduced, flat taxes were often set equal to corporate tax rates. Most countries also increased personal allowances to limit the impact on progressivity when moving to a flat tax. The document provides an overview of flat tax rates and reforms in different European countries.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the geopolitical situation in the New Eastern Europe, which it defines as the six states of the Eastern Partnership - Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine. It finds that these states remain in a state of limbo between the EU/NATO to the west and Russia to the east. It recommends that Europe reject spheres of influence in the region, treat the states as sovereign partners, invest in the Eastern Partnership, address security concerns, engage in conflict resolution, develop energy infrastructure like Nabucco, and uphold principles of European security in interactions with Russia.
This document summarizes a webinar about optimizing websites for maximum lead generation. Mike Volpe of HubSpot discusses the changing landscape of marketing and emphasizes building online assets like blogs, social media followings, and email lists rather than relying on advertising. He recommends identifying buyer personas to inform content creation and publishing content in various forms rather than advertising. Specific tips include using keywords in blog post titles, including images, offering email and RSS subscriptions, and leveraging calls to action. The webinar also discusses making search engines happy by focusing on relevant context and authority.
This document summarizes a webinar about optimizing websites for maximum lead generation. It discusses how marketing is shifting from outbound tactics like TV ads to inbound strategies like content marketing and search engine optimization. It emphasizes building online assets like blogs, social media followings, and email lists rather than relying on paid advertising. Specific tips include identifying buyer personas to inform content creation and focusing content around 1-2 well-defined persona profiles rather than broad audiences.
This document is the table of contents for a book titled "Move the Mouse & Make Millions: A non-technical guide for growing your business online". The book provides strategies for business owners to promote and grow their business using online tools and tactics. It is organized into 6 chapters that cover preparing an online strategy, publishing content, promoting the business online, participating in online communities, tracking results, and continuing to learn online skills. The document lists over 90 specific tactics that business owners can implement across websites, blogs, social media and more.
This document provides an overview of how to set up and optimize a blog for profitability. It discusses choosing a blogging platform like Blogger or WordPress and creating an initial blog post. The document then covers how to write engaging content, including adding personality and humor. It also provides tips for brainstorming fresh blog post topics on a regular basis. Finally, it introduces the concept of search engine optimization, including on-page techniques like keywords, tags and formatting to help readers and search engines find the blog's content. The overall document serves as an introductory guide for bloggers to set up their site and optimize it for traffic and potential profit.
This document discusses how to build a profitable blog empire. It explains that a blog empire consists of three main components: a supplier (the blogger), buyers (readers and advertisers), and products (opinions, advertising space, merchandise). It emphasizes that the blogger's expertise and interests should drive the content of the blog. Popular types of blogs include political, hobby, technology, and news/reference blogs, but the most successful blogs are run by experts who provide valuable information to readers. Choosing a focused topic or idea and consistently producing quality content is key to building an engaged audience and a profitable blog empire.
The paper discusses the role of regional public goods vs. global goods in influencing postcommunist transition in Central and Eastern Europe and former USSR with special attention given to three particular factors: (i) external anchoring of national reform process; (ii) international trade arrangements and (iii) international financial stability.
Authored by: Marek Dabrowski, Artur Radziwill
Published in 2007
The enlargement of the EU to include the ten new member states in Central and Eastern Europe and the two Mediterranean islands on 1 May 2004 and Bulgaria and Romania on 1 January 2007 was the result of a tremendous effort to reconfigure not only the frontiers of Europe, but also the concept of what Europe is. Enlargements in 2004 and 2007 did not end the debate about where Europe begins and ends, however. Rather it fuelled the discussion, as neighbouring countries continue to express interest in joining the EU. At the moment it seems that enlargement will continue in the short term to include the remaining Balkan states and Turkey. This process is expected to continue well into the second decade of this millennium. But what then? The borders of the EU have been highly unstable since its inception. The possibility, desirability or inevitability of enlargement has become part of the discourse of the EU. Certain practical and institutional problems, however, are increasingly apparent. Physically can the EU institutions cope with endless enlargement? Psychologically can we cope with a ‘Europe’ that is not constrained by any physically finite framework? Theoretically, is it possible to incorporate the inherently unstable into a constitutional framework?
Authored by: Elspeth Guild, Viktoriya Khasson, Miriam Mir
Published in 2007
This document summarizes a paper analyzing whether the European Union has lost its integration focus as it has expanded from 6 original members to 25. It finds that while enlargement has revealed institutional failures, the EU-25 is actually more integrated economically and politically than the original EU-6. The paper argues that widening and deepening the EU can be complementary rather than substitutes. It considers options for reforming decision-making processes to allow the large union to function effectively, such as establishing "pioneer clubs" or making EU law definitively agreed upon to encourage further integration.
The fifth enlargement of the EU has now brought together twenty five countries, a massive success. But success has its price: twenty-five countries do not cooperate as six used to. The result is a general impression that the undertaking is being diluted and that national interests prevail over the common good, which means less willingness to take the next integrative step. This paper argues that this perception is largely misguided. The EU-25 group is considerably more integrated than the EU-6 ever was. Dilution is not a necessary consequence of enlargement, rather enlargement is bringing to the fore a number of institutional failures that were present all along.
This paper takes a politico-economic view of the link between enlargement and deepening. After a broad review of the task allocation principles, it concludes that enlargement and deepening are not substitutes but complements. It produces evidence that enlargement is not increasing preference heterogeneities within the union, but that it leads national governments to preserve more forcefully their own powers, often against the wishes of their own citizens. The result is an inability to reform the decisionmaking process that has become unwieldy as the result of enlargement.
The issue, then, is how to restore the EU's ability to run its affairs. The European Constitutional Convention has made little headway. Other solutions that go beyond current debates are examined. "Pioneer clubs" raise many unresolved issues. More promising, maybe, is the idea that the acquis communautaires should be once and for all decisions. By lowering the stakes of both sovereignty transfers and qualified majority voting, allowing changes in both directions between shared and national competencies could encourage governments to accept more daring reforms. Strengthening the legitimacy of union-specific institutions (the European Parliament or the Commission Presidency) would create a counter-power to deal with national governments' natural tendency to defend their own prerogatives.
Authored by: Charles Wyplosz
Published in 2005
The document summarizes the reports from the LSE Commission on the Future of Britain in Europe. The Commission convened a series of hearings with experts, practitioners, politicians and representatives from different sectors to discuss various implications of a potential Brexit. Key topics discussed included the economic impacts, impacts on the labor market and financial regulation. While most economic studies find Brexit would negatively impact the UK economy, the implications are complex and there would likely be varying regional and sectoral effects. Brexit could also have constitutional impacts within the UK and changes to the relationships between the central government and devolved administrations.
This document provides a summary of a report titled "Business in Europe: Researching Reforms for Sustainable Growth". The report explores political, economic, socio-cultural, technological, environmental, and legal themes affecting the effectiveness of the UK-EU relationship through interviews with key influencers. On economic themes, the report finds that investors view European countries individually rather than as a single bloc. It also finds support for expanding the common market, particularly in services. While regulations are seen as necessary and sometimes enabling innovation, views on further harmonization are mixed.
European Integrative Processes of Albania and Mo.docxhumphrieskalyn
European Integrative Processes of Albania and Montenegro
FEEDBACK and things TO AMEND:
1) The Title has to be re-phrased
2) The Figure of the map is wrong
3) The English used needs to make sense
4) Some facts and statistics are wrong
5) Book to include: “The Europeanisation of the Western Balkans; a Failure of EU conditionality?” ISBN: 978-3-319-91412-1
6) Freedom House has a report on Albania and Montenegro and Check EU parliment resolutions.
7) Create your own opinion, argument and support it by facts.
ABSTRACT
This study is presenting the analysis and evaluation by the use of secondary data from the past researches. The data from the year 2013 to 2017 is utilized in this study to present discussions that are explaining the trends and narrative of the countries to join EU. The conducted study is supporting the discussion by exploring and explaining each aspect of the impact of joining of EU in Albania and Montenegro. This study is presenting the advantages that can be avail by Albania and Montenegro by availing the opportunities through the membership of NATO. The critical literature is presenting the changing trends along with the democratic rights avail by the member countries in Europe under the influence of EU regulations.
Table of Contents
ABSTRACT 2
Chapter 1: Introduction 8
1.1 Research Background 8
1.2 Problem Statement 10
1.3 Research Questions 10
1.4 Research Objectives 11
1.5 Significance of the Study 11
1.6 Project Outline 11
Chapter 2: Literature Review 13
2.1 Chapter Introduction 13
2.2 European Union, its Impacts and Process of Joining 13
2.3 Conceptual Framework 21
2.4 Research Gap 22
2.5 Chapter Summary 22
Chapter 3: Research Methodology 24
3.1 Chapter Introduction 24
3.2 Research Philosophy 24
3.3 Research Type 25
3.4 Research Design 27
3.5 Data Collection Technique 27
3.6 Sampling Technique and Sample Size 28
3.7 Data Analysis 28
3.8 Ethical Consideration 29
3.9 Chapter Summary 31
Chapter 4: Data Analysis and Discussions 32
4.1 Discussions 32
4.2 Chapter Summary 37
Chapter 5: Recommendations and Conclusion 39
5.1 Limitation of the Study 39
5.2 Future Scope 39
5.3 Recommendation 40
5.4 Conclusion 40
6.0 References 42
List of Acronyms
CSR: Corporate Social Responsibility
DPS: Democratic Party of Socialists
ECU: Eurasian Customs Union
EU: European Union
FDI: Foreign Direct Investment
IFDI: Inward Foreign Direct Investment
MNC: Multinational Corporations
NATO: North Atlantic Treaty Organization
SME: Small Medium Enterprise
WTO: World Trade Organization
List of Figures
Figure 1: Countries waiting to join EU13
Figure 2: NATO and EU Relations15
Figure 3: The Economic Impact of Brexit20
Chapter 1: Introduction1.1 Research Background
This thesis is going to prove a comparative analysis of the impact of the process of joining the European Union. As per the analysis of Featherstone and Kazamias (2014), it has been found that the European Union made a step by step improvements and changes in the relations o.
The paper discusses the current and potential role of the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) in anchoring economic reforms in the countries of the EU's Eastern Neighbourhood. It claims that it is too early to assess the success of the ENP in this sphere especially given that the actual progress of the ENP agenda has been limited. A review of the empirical evidence on external reform anchors confirms that the ENP shares some features with the EU accession process that has proven to be an effective mechanism supporting major economic, political and social changes in the countries concerned. The eventual ENP economic offer is meaningful and integration with the EU is getting stronger public support in several CIS countries and among their political elites. On the other hand several factors limit the reform anchoring potential of the ENP. This paper offers recommendations on policies that could strengthen this potential.
Authored by: Wojciech Paczynski
Published in 2009
The document provides an overview of regional economic integration efforts in Asia, North America, and Europe. It discusses several trade agreements and organizations, including the European Union, NAFTA, ASEAN, SAFTA, APEC, and SICA. The key points are:
1) The European Union has been the most developed model of regional integration but was shaken by the recent economic crisis.
2) Asia's existing free trade agreements are largely limited to tariff cuts and have barely addressed non-tariff barriers.
3) Asian regional integration is unlikely to come from top-down initiatives but from renewed unilateral liberalization beyond just border barriers.
1. The document discusses four potential scenarios for the future of European integration: "more Europe", "less Europe", "consolidation of Europe", and "flexible Europe".
2. The "less Europe" scenario would scale back EU integration by dismantling certain sectoral policies and reducing the regulatory role of the EU. However, this could exacerbate economic and migration crises and increase instability.
3. The "more Europe" scenario calls for greater centralization and a full political federation, but most EU countries are unwilling to cede sovereignty to supranational bodies.
4. The "consolidation of Europe" maintains the current level of integration but risks inertia that cannot address growing challenges
Harvard Kennedy School: Eurozone Study Jan. 2017 chaganomics
This document summarizes a paper that examines the resilience of the Eurozone in the face of crises. Deep financial integration created interdependence among Eurozone members, providing mechanisms to reallocate resources and absorb economic shocks. Global market pressures forced political leaders to reinforce the monetary union through fiscal and monetary backstops. Ongoing progress on banking supervision and regulation has further strengthened the currency union. While the Eurozone still falls short as an optimal currency area, financial integration may drive further integration through banking reforms, even amid populist opposition to other reforms.
This paper describes the general framework of the EU’s emerging relationship with its new neighbours and investigates the potential economic impact of the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP), both for the EU itself and for its neighbours. In particular, it seeks to develop an answer to the question of whether the ENP is sufficiently attractive so as to induce the governments in neighbourhood countries to adopt (or accelerate the adoption of) the types of economic and governance reforms that were implemented in the new member states during their accession processes. Although the specifics of the ENP are still being developed, the lack of incentives as regards to unclear accession to the EU is identified as the main weakness of the ENP.
Economically, the ENP seeks to ease trade restrictions through the implementation of legislative approximation and convergence with EU standards, before accessing the EU’s single market can become a reality. Positively though, is that the access to the single market could improve significantly under the ENP. As experienced by the Central European states, FDI is instrumental to transform the economies of the Western CIS and the Caucasus. The ENP can be a supportive framework for improving investor confidence. Likewise, the new European Neighbourhood Instrument can add more coherence in technical assistance, and provide more financial support for creating capacities for trade infrastructures and institutional and private sector development. Finally, measures to promote increased labour migration between the new neighbours and the enlarged EU may be worth to put on the agenda for the future development and impact of the ENP.
Authored by: Susanne Milcher, Ben Slay
Published in 2005
More than four in ten Europeans think that equal opportunities and access to the labour market, fair working conditions, access to quality health care and the standard of living of people in the EU are the most important elements for the EU’s economic and social development. Specifically, over four in ten respondents mention equal opportunities and access to the labour market as one of the most important elements, just ahead of fair working conditions. A similar proportion mention access to quality health care and the standard of living of people in the EU. Close to a third of respondents also mention social protection and inclusion as important.
This document summarizes a dissertation on Portuguese economic growth and government debt from 1986 to 2010. It analyzes how Portugal's adhesion to the European Union and later the Euro affected these indicators. The dissertation aims to assess if government debt and economic growth are interrelated in Portugal. It reviews literature on the costs and benefits of monetary unions, European integration, economic growth, debt structure, monetary policy, and the relationship between debt and growth. The methodology section analyzes Portugal's economic growth, debt issuance, debt ratio, deficit, and the correlation between debt and growth over three periods: pre-Maastricht Treaty, Maastricht to Euro introduction, and the Euro era. The findings are then discussed and conclusions are drawn
This document discusses the need for greater economic integration and coordination within the European Union to address issues revealed by the sovereign debt crisis. It argues that the EU needs more powers to enforce economic policy coordination and promote convergence between member states. It proposes giving the EU more authority to overrule national economic decisions that violate agreed targets. It also advocates developing an orderly default mechanism for member states and introducing European Debt Certificates. However, it acknowledges that increasing EU powers could exacerbate the democratic deficit, so it is important to also increase the legitimacy and accountability of EU decision-making.
The Prague Spring 2012 saw over 100,000 people gather in Wenceslas Square to protest insidious and asocial reforms, demand the government's resignation, and call for early elections. The large demonstration organized by trade unions and civil groups showed the power of social movements but did not result in changes to government policy or austerity measures. Most Czech citizens remain dissatisfied with the right-wing government and its neoliberal program, though there is no consensus on an alternative vision that could gain majority support.
The Danish flexicurity model combines high flexibility in the labor market through easy hiring and firing of employees, with a strong social safety net and active labor market policies. Collective bargaining between unions and employers plays a key role in providing both flexibility arrangements as well as security measures for workers. While the model has supported Denmark's competitiveness, critics argue it may undermine training investments and social responsibility of companies. Maintaining the delicate balance between flexibility and security requires ongoing cooperation between social partners and the political system.
This document provides background on the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the evolving relationship between the IMF and the European Union (EU). It discusses the IMF's origins, purpose, governance structure, core activities and recent changes resulting from the global financial crisis and European debt crisis. It notes that while the EU's formal representation within the IMF has not changed, the nature of the IMF-EU relationship has strengthened, particularly in the context of "Troika" programs in Eurozone countries. The increased IMF involvement in European affairs has raised questions about transparency, accountability and the future of EU-IMF relations. The document concludes by recommending ways the European Parliament can enhance oversight and dialogue regarding these issues.
This paper reports the progress of nominal and real convergence of Spain, Portugal and Greece during their accession to the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). When the EMU was designed, it was hoped that it would induce nominal convergence (convergence of interest rates and inflation rates) and stimulate investments and economic growth through its positive microeconomic effects. As had been expected, nominal interest rates have converged quite early during the accession, output has been growing fast, and the countries experienced an inflow of foreign direct investments (FDI) and an increase of domestic investment rates. However, once within the EMU, all three countries experienced persistently higher inflation rates, which may be consistent with the convergence of price levels, instead of inflation. While all the above phenomena can be related to the EMU accession, in an econometric estimation for Spain in which we control for macroeconomic policies, we are unable to detect significant microeconomic effects of the EMU. Therefore, we conclude that it is the policies induced by the necessity to satisfy the Maastricht criteria that matter primarily for the macroeconomic performance soon after accession. In any case, the experience of the SPG is encouraging for the new member states facing accession to the EMU in the future.
Authored by: Marek Jarocinski
Published in 2003
Does the European Union have an Institutional Problem with Democratic DeficiencyJames Peters
This document provides a 4,700 word analysis of whether the European Union suffers from a democratic deficiency. It begins by defining democratic deficiency as a lack of transparency in policymaking and an inability for citizens to reject policies. It then examines the European Parliament, Council of the European Union, Commission, European Council, and European Court of Justice based on four criteria: direct democratic election, accountability, adherence to the subsidiarity principle, and alternative accountability mechanisms. While some institutions are not directly elected, the document finds they are still accountable through elections and ability to censure poor performance. Overall, it argues the EU does not have a greater democratic deficit than nation states and policies unpopular with citizens are often supported by their own national governments.
Similar to Six Years after the 2004 enlargement: Taking Stock (20)
5. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
Table of Contents
Executive Summary............................................................. 5
1 Introduction....................................................................... 8
2 Political impact: institutions, legislation, policies ......... 9
2.1 Decision making: new Member States as softies
or troublemakers? ....................................................... 9
2.2 How do new Member States rate in compliance
with the acquis communautaire? .............................. 14
2.3 Common Foreign and Security Policy....................... 16
2.4 Justice and Home Affairs:
organised crime and trafficking versus
the coordination of law enforcement
and the judiciary ........................................................ 19
3 The economic impact..................................................... 20
3.1 New market opportunities
and competicion for EU funds .................................. 21
3.2 Fears of competition on the labour markets
through migration and delocalisations
(‘social dumping’) ...................................................... 22
3
6. 4 Integration and interconnectivity .................................. 29
4.1 The representation of the new Member States
in the EU institutions ................................................. 29
4.2 Integration of the new Member States
into various European networks................................ 30
5 The case of policy research........................................... 34
6 Convergence or divergence between
East and West? ............................................................... 36
6.1 From Nice to Lisbon: reluctance towards deeper
integration among the new Member States? ............ 36
6.2 Beyond Croatia: the future of enlargement ............... 38
6.3 Russia and the Eastern Neighbourhood ................... 41
7 Conclusions .................................................................... 43
References ......................................................................... 44
4
7. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
Executive Summary
There is no comprehensive assessment of the impact of the
2004 (and 2007) enlargement of the European Union (the
fifth enlargement) except the official documents of the
European Commission. The first one was approved and
published two years after (CEC 2006b), the second one five
years after (EC 2009a). The latter study provides three views
on the impact of enlargement: the perspective of the EU as a
whole, of the new Member States (NMS) and of the EU-15.
The purpose of this study is to address the question to
what extent the fears and expectations regarding the 2004
enlargement, felt on both sides, in the EU-15 as well as in
accession/candidate states, have come to fruition or
whether they have materialised at all. The key question of
this study is this: To what extent have the expectations and
fears in the old and new Member States been validated or
vindicated?
Among the declared objectives of the EU’s enlargement
policy were the following: to improve political stability in the
EU neighbourhood; to enhance geopolitical stability by
preventing dormant conflicts in Central and Eastern Europe
(CEE) from erupting; and to extend the zone of peace,
security and prosperity. Among its expected benefits were
the following: a stronger position in a globalised world by
increasing the size of the internal market; an increase in
internal trade and capital flows; and higher economic growth
through economies of scale. Opening up new markets was
expected to strengthen European competitiveness on a
global scale.
5
8. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
The enlargement policy had been driven mainly by the
candidate states but also by neighbouring EU-15 Member
States which were interested in political stability and
increased economic dynamism. Proximity mattered.
Enlargement was seen as a way to revitalise the economies
of borderlands, promote fair competition, facilitate cross-
border trade and improve transport networks through
community regional programmes. At the same time, there
were also concerns about the potentially negative
consequences of enlargement. Social dumping, immigration
and organised crime were listed as the most prominent risks.
The political class of the EU-15 also feared that enlargement
might slow down the process of European integration
(widening at the expense of deepening) and erode existing
common policies, be it agricultural policy, structural
cohesion or foreign policy. Transition periods in sensitive
areas such as the free movement of people, labour and
services were negotiated as necessary safeguards.
The main concerns among the candidate states were on
the one hand the weakening of recently regained
sovereignty, and on the other about ‘second-class
membership’ (different standards for new and old Member
States). The candidates also claimed transition measures to
protect sensitive sectors of their own (e.g., the purchase of
land by EU nationals etc.).
The citizens in the Member States have perceived the
enlargement process mostly in terms of gains and losses in
specific areas. A Eurobarometer (2009) poll done in February
showed overwhelming support (80%) for the notion that the
‘fall of the Iron Curtain provided good business opportunities
for western enterprises in the CEE region’. In terms of the
consequences of enlargement on employment there are
6
9. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
clear differences in perception: in some countries
enlargement was perceived as a cause of job losses (mostly
in Greece, Hungary, Cyprus, Portugal and Latvia) whereas in
others it was not (Sweden, the Netherlands and Finland).
Half of the respondents believed that enlargement had led to
an increased feeling of insecurity in the EU as a whole;
however, the majority of respondents (56% in the EU-15 and
65% in CEE) agreed that it had ‘increased European security
by allowing progress in the fight against organised crime and
illegal immigration’.
According to a majority of respondents the enlarged EU
has become more difficult to manage (66%), to some degree
because of the ‘divergent cultural traditions of the NMS’
(54%). However, measured by the overall experience of the
recent five to six years, gains have outweighed losses, fears
and concerns have proven to be unfounded and hopes have
been justified.
7
10. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
1 Introduction
In 2004 the European Union experienced the biggest single
enlargement in its history: the number of Member States
almost doubled and its population reached nearly a half
billion people. The enlargement put a symbolic end to the
Cold War division of Europe. A parallel process, the
deepening of European integration launched by the Laeken
Declaration in December 2001, led to the Lisbon Treaty that
was finally ratified almost eight years later. The EU has
radically changed in size and institutions, but has preserved
its core values and its principles remain unchanged. The
accession to the EU of the NMS has vindicated their long
period of transition and opened a historically unique chance
for them to take part in shaping a future for Europe.
This paper will explore some of the consequences of the
2004 enlargement by contrasting expectations and reality
against the backdrop of recent experience. The first section
will address the political and security aspects of
enlargement, the second section the economic aspects.
8
11. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
2 Political Impact:
Institutions, Legislation,
Policies
2.1 Decision making: new Member States
as softies or troublemakers?
Those who remember the European Communities as a ‘club’
of six distinguished, French-speaking prime ministers on
familiar terms with each other’s spouses and children would
be shocked by the atmosphere at the European Council of 27.
The College of the European Commission consists of
representatives of each Member State and the number of
Members of the European Parliament has reached almost
eight hundred. Many have feared for the EU’s ability to make
decisions after the enlargement. As the record of the recent
six years has convincingly shown, they were wrong.
The acceleration of the legislative process in the EU has
not been stopped or held back, neither in the struggle for
deep institutional reform, nor because of the participation of
representatives of the NMS. More decision-makers and their
increased heterogeneity have not considerably affected the
whole process (Thomson 2007).
Paradoxically, knowledge about the decision-making
process and the roles of national actors in the EU political
game has increased thanks to the political debate on new
competences for the EU (in energy, foreign or social policies)
and claims of a more flexible Europe by proponents of the
Constitutional and Lisbon Treaties. Both conservative and
ultra-left-wing opponents of the Lisbon Treaty used the
9
12. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
decision-making process to make their case to the citizens of
the NMS: behind the nice façade of the EU institutions there is
a hidden threat to national interests and sovereignty. Brussels
stays ‘Brussels’ even with national representatives involved as
MEPs, officers, ministers and commissioners. There are
several reasons given for why this fear is legitimate: an
ideology of ‘Europeanism’ (argued for by V. Klaus)1 or the
informal dominance (directoire) by big EU states, especially
France and Germany, fed by stereotypes and prejudices. Such
debate distorts the image of the EU in the NMS. On the other
hand it provides an opportunity for diplomats and politicians to
explain the decision-making process in the EU.
The role of the NMS in European legislative decision making
can be described as reluctant, inconsistent and mostly
reactive. In most of the NMS, concrete political considerations
for tackling specific EU policies have not been developed,
except in random cases such as hygienic norms,
environmental regulations, etc. Despite this record, some real
and justified concerns were acknowledged in the transition
arrangements (the free movement of capital and labour, waste-
treatment plants for municipalities up to 2,000 habitants etc.).
Hence, instead of arguing for more accommodating regulations
in problematic areas, NMS have chosen the strategy of
adaptation and asked for time to achieve the standards.
Finally, do NMS cooperate more closely as a sub-group
within the EU? V42 countries that are members of the EU
1
Klaus depicts Europeanism as a ‘substitute’ for or ‘a soft version’ of socialism: ‘It is
Europe where we witness the crowding out of democracy by post-democracy, where EU
dominance replaces democratic arrangements in the EU member countries, where [some
people] do not see the dangers of empty Europeanism and of a deep (and ever deeper) but
only bureaucratic unification of the whole European continent’ (Belien 2005).
2
The V4 or Visegrad Group consists of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia.
10
13. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
had been expected to pursue coherent policies. However,
the experience of the recent past has not reassuring. V4
countries pursue their own particular interests, they compete
for resources and prestige and they exploit historic,
geographic and political differences rather than seek optimal
results through cooperation. A pattern of competition may
be discerned also in the areas of infrastructure projects (see
the section below), access to EU structural funds or
attracting FDI.
Decision making in the Council of the EU. When it
comes to institutional matters and first-pillar policies, some
describe the European policies of the NMS as those of
troublemakers. It has been generally assumed that adding
new Member States would make decision making more
problematic. However, rhetorical positions and posturing have
rarely led to legislative action. There was a fear3 that the Nice
Treaty voting rules (applicable as of 1 November 2004) in the
Council would make decisions difficult to achieve. However,
the fear did not materialise, since most of the decisions have
been made by consensus (before 2004, 80% of decisions
were made by consensus and only 20% by qualified majority
voting). The empirical fact that decision making in the
enlarged EU (EU-25 and EU-27) has not been paralysed
reflects the theoretical finding that ‘group size has a
marginally diminishing negative effect on legislative output.
Adding members makes stronger differences for smaller
groups... group size matters most when linked to an increase
of group heterogeneity’ (Hertz and Leuffen 2008). The practice
of policy making has not changed as dramatically as some
3
‘The Nice Treaty rules cripple the EU’s ability to act since they make it very difficult to find
winning majorities’ (Baldwin and Widgrén 2004).
11
14. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
expected before enlargement. The number of legislative acts
adopted annually has actually increased since 2004.
Taking the example of Presidency programmes, one can
observe that there is no a priori division in policies between
new and old Member States. Issues such as energy security,
neighbourhood policy or liberalisation of the internal market
have been put on the EU agenda by NMS as they have been
seeking cross-European coalitions.
New Member States and the EU Presidency
The active political agenda of the NMS can be seen in the
Council Presidency programmes of those which have
already held the Presidency and those which are preparing
for it. The priorities of a Presidency express a general
political vision of European integration and the key
interests of the Member State, and therefore often reflect a
domestic political agenda.
Slovenia
Among the Slovenian Presidency’s priorities one can find
institutional issues (the Lisbon Treaty) and regional security
(Western Balkans EU integration), which both touch
closely on the country’s national interests, but also rather
general problems such economic and social progress (the
Lisbon Agenda), climate/energy and intercultural dialogue.
Czech Republic
The Czech Presidency, with the motto ‘Europe without
barriers,’ seemed to set quite an ambitious agenda.
12
15. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
However, due to both internal (political instability) and
external factors (the gas crisis, war in Gaza, the
financial/economic crisis), the results achieved were
limited.
Hungary
Hungary has announced that its Presidency in 2011 will
deal most probably with energy and the economic crisis,
which has deeply harmed the Hungarian economy: ‘by
2011 the EU will have managed to overcome the crisis,
but Hungary is likely to deal with issues related to the
crisis during its Presidency’ (Göncz 2009).
Poland
The Polish Presidency in the second half of 2011 might
be oriented to the Eastern dimension of the EU foreign
policy and to strengthening European defence
cooperation.
The European Parliament. According to the analysis of
voting patterns in the EP between July 2004 and December
2005 (Hix and Noury 2006), coalitions were formed
according to party lines, the Left–Right dimension and
ideological stances. MEPs voted more along party lines than
national ones, although the composition of the sixth EP was
more heterogeneous than that of the fifth EP. The most
cohesive factions were the Socialists and the Greens,
whereas UEN and IND/DEM were on the opposite end of the
spectrum. The Liberals (ALDE) witnessed a decline of
cohesiveness due to the increased heterogeneity of the
13
16. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
group. The group of European Conservatives and
Reformists, established in 2009 by the British, Czech and
Polish Conservatives and Eurosceptics, could not efficiently
block the legislative process leading towards more strict
regulation and deepening European integration. MEPs from
some NMS appeared more cohesive along national lines
than those from old Member States, however this could be
attributed to the fact that smaller states generally have more
cohesive national caucuses.
Six years after the enlargement there is less evidence of
common interests shared exclusively by NMS. Both the
increased number of Member States and the greater
geographic, political, economic and social diversity of the
EU countries give more opportunity for coalition building
between older and new Member States. As Thomson
states, ‘Member States which share the same position on
any given controversy take different positions on other
controversies. This is true of both old and new Member
States. Although we observe some clustering of the new
Member States on a minority of issues, the new members
are a diverse group’ (Thomson 2007, 17).
2.2 How do new Member States rate in
compliance with the acquis communautaire?
There are two possible definitions of what it means for a
legislative act to be ‘implemented’: it is the process of
‘translating policy into action’ (Barrett 2004, 251) or the
realisation of a political programme; or it refers to ‘what
happens after a bill becomes a law’ (Bardach 1977) when
we can measure the impact of political decisions. Problems
appeared in relation to the amount of legislation produced
by the European Union and often in language difficulties
14
17. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
when the act was elaborated and then implemented in
countries using, in total, twenty-three official languages.
According to Toshkov, especially before accession
‘compliance with EU law in CEE is embedded in the
domestic political context … Despite the short time and
little administrative resources that the candidate countries
had, political preferences and institutions have to some
extent exerted impact on the compliance outcomes’
(Toshkov 2009, 167). This attitude remained in the NMS,
even after enlargement.
The total amount of European legislation is increasing
every day. The eight years of the accession process
preceded by another six years of transition to democracy
were shaped by substantial legislative activity in the
parliaments of the NMS. Since the motivation to be a
member is now gone, there is no ongoing control of the
national legislative process as was the case during the
accession talks. Today the NMS often fail in their
obligations to comply with the acquis communautaire and
to implement it immediately into their legislation. The
possible legal sanctions of the European Commission for
non-implementation of legislation adopted by the EU
before the accession to the EU could easily be applied
against some NMS (e.g., Bulgaria and Romania have been
repeatedly cut off from some EU financial instruments
due to failure in the fight against corruption). The focus on
the NMS obscures similar failures in complying with
legislation in older EU Member States such as Greece or
Italy. For example, the EC has taken legal action over the
Energy Efficiency Directive of January 2009 against
all 10 NMS as well as two-thirds of the other EU countries
(IHS 2009).
15
18. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
Bulgaria, together with Latvia and Germany, is the
champion among all EU Member States, having transposed
99.41% of all EU directives. Among the top ten are seven of
the ten NMS; beside the above mentioned there are
Romania, Slovakia, Malta, Lithuania and Slovenia (EC 2009).
These figures confirm the hypothesis that a high percentage
of transposition of EU legislation (in the sense of ‘bill
becomes a law’) does not necessarily mean that the
legislative acts are translated into action (the case of Bulgaria
is significant). Law enforcement is still one of the most
important distinctions between ‘old’ and ‘new’ Member
States.
The NMS have not only the duty to comply with EU
legislation, but since 2004 they also have the opportunity to
shape it and to examine its interpretation and implementation
through the Court of Justice of the European Communities
(ECJ). Polish authorities report that Poland ‘actively defends
its interests wherever doubts or controversies appear as
regards the application of the Union legislation’ (Wisniewski
´
et al. 2008). The concrete consequence of this attitude is the
fact that Poland is one of the most active countries in pre-
judicial proceedings by the ECJ in which a country’s
interpretation of the Community law is presented.
2.3 Common Foreign and Security Policy
A weakening of common foreign policy was one of the pre-
accession fears among the EU-15. Except in individual
cases such as the Polish veto (see the box below) the NMS
have not blocked EU decision making.
16
19. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
The Polish veto
Poland vetoed the EU’s mandate to negotiate a new
partnership agreement with Russia before the Helsinki
Summit in November 2006, following a Russian ban on
imported meat and food products from Poland. Poland
unsuccessfully asked for EU solidarity to convince Russia
to lift the discriminatory ban on one of the Member
States. The veto sparked sharp criticism: Gernot Erler,
Deputy Foreign Minister of Germany, said that the Polish
government ‘is not doing itself any favours with this veto
... it is isolating Poland within the European Union.’ On
the other hand Carl Bildt, Foreign Minister of Sweden,
defended Poland’s right to raise the issue and be
supported ‘in the trade dispute’ (See Deutsche Welle
2006).
On the contrary, the mediating role played during the
Orange Revolution in Ukraine by Javier Solana, Alexander
Kwasniewski and Valdas Adamkus was proof that
enlargement has strengthened, not weakened, the Common
Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP).
Foreign policy (especially with regard to the Eastern
neighbourhood) was the policy area most influenced by the
NMS. Poland’s European policy is heavily influenced by
relations with the EU’s Eastern neighbours, especially in the
framework of the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) and
Black Sea Synergy. The NMS tried to counter-balance
French support for the Mediterranean dimension of the ENP
with the Swedish-Polish Eastern Partnership initiative. EU
enlargement has led to a shift towards the Eastern
17
20. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
dimension and the development of the Eastern Partnership
during the Czech Presidency.
It has been observed that despite the intrinsic differences
among national foreign policies, new and old Member States
negotiate on a daily basis to find consensus and implement
the objectives of the CFSP. However pro-US the NMS are
considered to be, on most policy issues they side with the
EU mainstream. The NMS are more suspicious of Russia
due to recent history; the ‘the legacies of the twentieth
century live on, not just in people’s memories but in practical
issues’ (Grabbe 2004, 74).
The example of energy policy
Energy policy has become one of the most important
functions of the EU. The lesson of the January 2009 gas
crisis for NMS has been that the EU has to strengthen its
negotiating position vis-à-vis external gas suppliers and
that it will not ‘speak with one voice’ without material
conditions of solidarity, that is, without further integration
of the internal energy market, infrastructure connectivity
and legal framework. The NMS—though sometimes keen
to maintain the intergovernmental character of the
CFSP—did not hesitate to support measures to increase
their common effectiveness during the energy dialogue
with Russia through streamlining the EU’s complex
decision-making mechanism, for example, the decision of
the March 2009 EU Council to decrease ‘the threshold for
deciding actions at Community level’ (EU Council 2009).
18
21. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
2.4 Justice and Home Affairs:
organised crime and trafficking versus
the coordination of law enforcement
and the judiciary
Contrary to the public outcry and fears, magnified by the
media, enlargement has not caused any serious problems
in internal security. In 2006, a representative of Europol
admitted that ‘the most important effects from a criminal
point of view happened before the end of 2004’.4
The accession of the NMS to the Schengen Area in
December 2007 was another test for managing overblown
fears. Prior to the abolition of internal border controls, the
majority of German and Austrian citizens expressed
concern regarding what could happen afterward: ‘60% of
Germans agreed that open borders were an invitation to
crime and more than 75% of Austrians opposed’ the
opening of the borders (Lungescu 2007).
Frequent German passenger controls of buses crossing
the common border even one year after the enlargement of
the Schengen Area became a point of dispute between the
Czech and German (especially Bavarian) Interior Ministries.
Although German authorities justified their activities
through proven results (detaining third-state nationals
without Schengen visas), the strictness and lack of
communication boosted the impressions of ‘second-class
membership’ among Czech society.
4
‘The intensity of trafficking has not worsened in a significant way during the last three
years in the EU’ (Antonio Saccone, head of the Crime Analysis Unit of Europol, during a
lecture at the Cicero Foundation, Paris, 14 December 2006).
19
22. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
According a the study carried out later (Atger 2008), it was
the view of Austrian, Czech, German and Polish authorities
that ‘there was no increase in the irregular migration figures
in the month following the removal of common borders’. In
the case of Poland, a 50% decrease of illegal migration flows
was even reported. The Czech Republic became the second
Schengen country (together with Luxembourg) having neither
an external border nor a sea border.
3 The Economic Impact
The bulk of the debate regarding the economic
consequences of enlargement has been about market
opportunities for trade and investment as well as the impact
of opening markets to the free movement of labour and
services. The financial and economic crisis of 2007–2008
has been another external shock that has tested the level of
integration of the economies of the NMS. Some NMS—
those which consolidated their financial sector during the
nineties (e.g., Poland, the Czech Republic)—have been
affected primarily by the economic downturn in the EU-15.
Other NMS that ran large current account deficits (e.g., the
Baltic states, Bulgaria, Romania and Hungary) have suffered
more immediate financial consequences. Yet a detailed
evaluation of the impact of the crisis would require deeper
analysis that is beyond the scope and purpose of this study.
20
23. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
3.1 New market opportunities
and competition for EU funds
According to the Commission’s data and analysis (EC 2009a),
the EU-15 (especially those with increased trade and
investment with the NMS) benefited from enlargement by a
cumulative increase in economic growth of around 0.5%.
Since 2004, the number of new jobs has grown by about 1.5%
annually in the NMS; in the EU-15 there has been an increase
of about 1% per year since enlargement.
The mutual benefits and opportunities are vividly
documented by the Commission’s data. In 2007, almost 80% of
all NMS exports went to the rest of the EU, and 19.5% went to
other NMS (compared with 13.25% in 1999). The EU-15 (the
‘old’ Member States) sells 7.5% of their exports to NMS, an
increase of almost 5% over the levels of a decade ago. In short,
economic integration between EU-15 and NMS has deepened.
‘If money was our main reason for joining the European
Union, we would have been better off applying for
membership to the United Arab Emirates’, said former Czech
Prime Minister Miloš Zeman. In winning the hearts and minds
of the people for the EU membership, the financial arguments
played a crucial role in the CEE countries, as did the emotional
appeal to re-establishing European unity. Approaching 2013,
the end of the current financial perspective, the differences
between NMS in terms of their future payer/beneficiary
position is becoming clearer. Slovenia and the Czech Republic
are closest to the net payer position if the current crisis does
not profoundly harm either country’s economy.
Transfers to Member States by the EU represent about
0.8% of EU GDP, of which 20% was allocated to the NMS in
21
24. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
2007. In the current EU Financial Perspective 2007–2013 this
should reach 35% annually on average (the NMS’ share of the
EU’s GDP is 7% and they represent 20% of the Union’s
population). Funding from the EU budget in 2007 was 2.1% of
the GDP of the NMS; this will rise to 3% in 2013. ‘When
transfers are taken into account, the NMS as a group are net
recipients from the EU budget to an amount of 1.3% of GDP in
2007 while, on average, the old Member States were net
contributors in 2007 with about 0.1% of GDP’ (EC 2009a).
Agriculture represents on average 2% of the GDP of the EU
but the CAP subsidies account for about 40% of the EU
budget. Among individual NMS there are striking differences—
from the relatively more rural countries such Bulgaria,
Romania, Hungary and Poland, to the Czech Republic or
Estonia where agriculture accounts for a small share of GDP.
Agenda 2000, the outcome of the 1997 German Presidency,
calculated for the first time the price of the enlargement,
especially concerning CAP direct subsidies to the NMS.
Resulting from accession negotiations, long-term transition
arrangements have been implemented on direct agriculture
subsidies from 2004 to 2013 for all NMS. In 2004 the NMS
received only 25% of the full subsidy (per hectare and farm);
by the end of the current financial perspective period this will
reach the same amount as for farmers in the EU-15. The NMS
obtained from the EC an agreement providing for the partial
compensation of subsidies from national budgets.
3.2 Fears of competition on the labour markets
through migration and delocalisations
(‘social dumping’)
The free movement of capital and goods established by the
Single European Act makes the enlarged EU the largest and
22
25. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
most integrated supranational market in the world
(accounting for more than 30% of the world’s GDP and 17%
of the world’s international trade). The free movement of
labour and services still has considerable limits, as was
shown by the debate about the Bolkenstein Directive in
2004–2005, which was largely responsible for the French
refusal of the Constitutional Treaty in May 2005. Fears and
concerns related to labour migration have never gone away.
When eight countries from CEE joined the EU in 2004,
most ‘old’ Member States opted to impose a transitional
period because of concerns about possible labour market
disturbances. The free movement of labour in an enlarged
EU proved to be particularly controversial among trade
unions.
Germany and Austria have restricted access to their
labour markets, whereas the UK and Ireland adopted a
liberal regime for workers from the NMS (interestingly, the
British and Irish trade union movements supported the
policy of their governments; there was agreement among the
social partners on the need for additional labour to sustain
economic growth).
Before 2004 the highest emigration flow from the NMS
went to Germany and Austria (about 60%). After
enlargement, Ireland and the UK were the destinations of
choice for those from CEE countries, and Spain and Italy for
those from Bulgaria and Romania (CEC 2009). In 2004–
2007, more than 680,000 NMS citizens arrived in the UK,
380,000 in Ireland. Germany issued around 350,000 work
permits for citizens from the NMS per year; in Austria the
number of permit-holders from the NMS increased from
48,000 in 2003 to 57,000 in 2005 (Tamas and Münz 2006).
23
26. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
However, in relative terms, the migration associated with the
enlargement of the EU—intra-EU mobility after accession—
has so far proved modest compared to migration flows from
outside the EU (see, e.g., Spain where the annual inflow of
foreign nationals from third countries has steadily increased
from 99,000 in 1999 to 646,000 in 2004).
The following table provides a snapshot of data from
2006–2007 (according to available national statistics):
Table 1: Change in the NMS population resident in selected EU-5 Countries
following EU enlargement May 2004 (Thousands)
Total % of
emigrant %of total working
Denmark Ireland Sweden UK Austria Germany Italy population population age pop.
Czech. Republic 0,2 2,5 0,1 13,5 0,3 6,1 2,2 24,8 0,24 0,34
Estonia 0,2 1,1 -0,1 3,0 0,0 0,8 0,3 5,2 0,39 0,57
Hungary 0,3 1,9 -0,3 8,0 0,3 6,0 2,2 18,4 0,18 0,27
Latvia 0,3 4,8 0,3 15,7 0,0 1,4 0,5 23,1 1,01 1,46
Lithuania 1,0 9,6 1,3 29,7 0,1 2,0 0,8 44,5 1,30 1,91
Poland 3,2 37,9 6,3 167,5 6,0 62,0 30,9 313,8 0,82 1,19
Slovakia 0,1 5,1 0,2 27,3 1,6 3,2 1,2 38,8 0,72 1,00
Slovenia 0,0 0,0 0,1 0,3 1,1 1,2 0,4 3,1 0,16 0,22
TOTAL NMS 5,4 62,8 8,0 265,0 9,3 82,7 38,5 471,7
% of total
population 0,10 1,49 0,09 0,45 0,11 0,10 0,07
% of working age
population 0,15 2,17 0,14 0,72 0,16 0,15 0,10
Note: The largest migrations from the NMS, relative to the population of the sending country,
have been from Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Slovakia.
24
27. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
In 2005, in the two countries with the highest share of
non-nationals in the working-age population, namely
Austria and Germany (at about 10% each), only a small
share (1.5% and 0.6%, respectively) came from the EU-10
(about 7% are non-EU nationals). The largest share of EU-
10 nationals (about 2% against a total of 8% for all
non-nationals) is in Ireland (Summa 2008).
According to available statistics and analysis (Doyle,
Hughes and Wadensjö 2006) there is only limited evidence
that recent labour migration from the NMS has had a
negative impact on the employment opportunities of native
workers in Britain and Ireland. There has been no
noticeable increase in unemployment anywhere (see the
table below). Taking into account that a large majority of
workers from the NMS have been employed in low-skill
occupations and far below their education profile (e.g.,
62% in the UK [Riley and Weale 2006]) they compete with
less-skilled workers who are mostly another immigrants.
The migration after the enlargement provoked changes on
both sides of the East-to-West flow. In the migrants’
countries of origin a brain drain has been observed
(Slovakia has been affected by a brain drain to the Czech
Republic since the mid-nineties). In receiving countries this
has led to a reduced price for labour, which stimulates
economic growth. Financial remittances of workers to their
home countries have increased household incomes
(substantially in Poland, by about 1.5% of GDP, and in
Bulgaria and Romania by 5.5% of GDP [Brücker et al.
2009]). The temporary nature of current labour migration
helps the economies of the NMS to bring back even more
qualified workers, generally speaking English, with life
experience from living abroad.
25
28. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
Table 2: EU enlargement and migration:
Impacts on unemployment (% point difference from base)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2015
Denmark 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00
Ireland 0.84 1.24 1.03 0.68 0.35 -0.29
Sweden 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 -0.02
UK 0.23 0.32 0.24 0.16 0.10 -0.04
Austria 0.04 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00
Germany 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 -0.01
Italy 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00
Czech Rep. -0.12 -0.18 -0.14 -0.08 -0.04 -0.03
Estonia -0.21 -0.29 -0.25 -0.21 -0.20 -0.18
Hungary -0.10 -0.14 -0.09 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02
Latvia -0.50 -0.74 -0.63 -0.53 -0.48 -0.47
Lithuania -0.65 -0.94 -0.81 -0.73 -0.68 -0.56
Poland -0.29 -0.45 -0.41 -0.32 -0.21 -0.16
Slovakia -0.34 -0.49 -0.41 -0.35 -0.33 -0.30
Slovenia -0.08 -0.12 -0.11 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10
Source: Barrell, Fitzgerald and Riley (2007)
The fear of cheap and socially less-protected labour from
the NMS was one of the strongest and most discussed
issues related to the 2004 EU enlargement. Since May 2004,
contrary to some predictions, ‘overall, the economic impact
of migration from the new EU member states has been
modest, but broadly positive’ (DWP 2006, 9) for Britain,
according to the official study prepared by Britain’s
Department for Work and Pensions. In the migrants’
countries of origin the impact was not unambiguously
26
29. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
positive. ‘The opening of the labour markets indirectly
influenced a decline in unemployment rate as well as an
increase in salary pressure in Poland. This resulted in
domestic employers raising salaries, as they were afraid of
losing their best-qualified staff’ (Wiśniewski et al. 2008).
The perception of immigrants-commuters from the NMS
has been generally more positive than that of long-term
residents from non-EU countries. The majority of workers
from the CEE countries do not intend to live in a foreign
country permanently; some do not bring their families with
them, which leads local people to perceive them more
positively, unlike the perception locals have of non-European
nationals. However, in a recent survey done during the time of
the economic crisis, 47% of British people answered that
there are ‘too many’ citizens of other EU countries living in the
United Kingdom (Transatlantic Trends: Immigration 2009, 13).
The most problematic case is the Romanian Roma
community in Italy, which first became the target of
xenophobic attacks and then—in 2007—unprecedented legal
measures (deportations of Romanians with criminal records)
on the part of Italian authorities (Lungescu 2007).
The first wave of labour migration had subsided even
before the financial crisis—which diminished job opportunities
for migrants—partly because of natural limits to demand and
partly due to the acceleration of the convergence in wages
and economic growth in the NMS. The EC expects labour
migration to double in the next 12 years (CEC 2009). Ahearne
et al. (2009) predict a more differentiated situation: the
‘economic crisis may slow down the catching-up process of
at least other six new member states [i.e., not the Czech
Republic, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia]. This could lead
eventually to higher migration from new Member States.’
27
30. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
‘Relocation’ instead of renationalisation:
Sarkozy and offshoring
In an interview with the French TV Channel TF1 on 5
February 2009 President Nicolas Sarkozy stated that ‘it is
justified to build a Renault factory in India to sell Renaults
to India. But building a factory in the Czech Republic to
sell cars in France, that is not justified... [it would be
good] to stop all this offshoring, and if possible bring
production back to France’ (The Economist 2009). His
remarks on the necessity of ‘relocalisation’ of offshored
industries provoked disagreements in Central Europe and
especially in the Czech Republic, which then held the
Council Presidency. Sarkozy’s economic policies can be
described as an eclectic combination of reform-liberal
rhetoric and a continuation of traditional French dirigiste
practices. When it comes to the EU—especially in a time
of crisis—the liberal approach is mostly represented
among CEE governments, whereas the state-centric
mindset is prominent among the French political elite.
Concerns of relocalisation in the auto industry have
been widely discussed also in Spain. A detailed study
(Bilbao-Ubillos and Camino-Beldarrain 2008) showed,
however, that there are no ‘weighty reasons for the final
car assemblers operating in Spain to relocate.’ The same
goes for component producers. Only systems
manufacturers might consider business relocation (for
them labour costs have a higher relative importance,
disinvestment costs are low).
28
31. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
4 Integration and
Interconnectivity
4.1 The representation
of the new Memeber States
in the EU institutions
Officially there are no quotas for the representation of
Member States in EU institutions. However, in the last round
of enlargement, there was a provision for EU institutions to
organise special competitions open exclusively to NMS
nationals. This exception is applicable untill 2010 (2011 for
Bulgaria and Romania) in order to stimulate the
representation of NMS nationals without any decrease in the
qualifications demanded. David Bearfield, Director of the
European Personnel Selection Office (EPSO), does not want
to ‘speak of quotas, but rather of orientation objectives for
employment of NMS nationals’ (‘David Bearfield’ 2009).
Due to the lack of qualified candidates with long-term
experience at the highest levels of national or supranational
administration, the NMS are still underrepresented in top
positions in European institutions. Those state employees
who are competent to fill directorial or managerial functions
in the EU are mostly those who were involved in the
accession talks on the side of candidate country and who
later joined the EU institutions. An official Polish paper
describes ‘the outflow of experienced employees from
Poland’s government administration’ (Wisniewski et al. 2008).
´
That there is a decreasing number of NMS nationals,
relative to their population, the higher up one goes in the
institutions, is reflected in the fact that the quota of jobs
29
32. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
allocated to Polish citizens in the EC was filled only at 75%
overall. Among directorial positions, only 44% of the
positions allocated were filled, and among junior managerial
positions, only 32%. In the first year and a half of
membership (until November 2005), only 10% of the
positions allocated were filled by Polish citizens.
4.2 Integration of the new Member States into
various European networks
One of the primary goals in the first years after accession was
the integration of the new Member States. It is useful therefore
to consider the degree of integration into the EU ‘material’
infrastructure as well as the ‘plug-in’ into virtual policy,
advocacy and knowledge networks. When considering the
level of infrastructure integration one would have to venture
into comprehensive analysis, the scope of which is beyond
this paper. Therefore we present here only two specific cases
that are indicative of the trend in the recent six years.
The case of infrastructure: transport and energy. It seems
quite significant that according to the strategic plan of
Trans-European Transit Networks (TEN-T) - (884/2004/EC),5
of 30 priority axes there are only five which have relevance
for NMS.6 Four of these are in the railway system:
Axis 6: Lyon–Trieste–Ljubljana–Budapest (with a
possible connection to the Ukrainian border)
5
884/2004/EC, 29 April 2009, available at
http://ec.europa.eu/ten/transport/priority_projects/index_en.htm
6
See the maps of the axes in EC (2005). available at
http://ec.europa.eu/transport/infrastructure/maps/doc/ten-t_pp_axes_projects_2005.pdf.
30
33. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
Axis 22: Athens–Sofia–Budapest–Vienna–Prague–
Nuremberg/Dresden
Axis 23: Gdansk–Warsaw–Brno/Bratislava–Vienna
Axis 27: Rail Baltica—Warsaw–Kaunas–Riga–
Tallinn–Helsinki
Only one axis of the motorway network has relevance for
NMS:
Axis 25: Gdansk–Brno/Bratislava–Vienna (interestingly,
there is no priority project in an East–West
direction).
The case of the Czech Republic’s road
and rail interconnections
Insufficient integration into a transport network that
crosses the former Iron Curtain can be illustrated by the
case of the Czech Republic, which is geographically the
closest of the NMS.
The Czech highway system: the D5 reached the German
border in 1997, only in 2006 were the systems connected,
the D8 from Dresden to Ústi nad Labem was finished only
in 2006, the connection to Austria (S10–A3) is still to be
built (the Czech Republic has been advocating for a
connection to the Austria–Czech border since 2001).
In terms of rail connections, the most ambitious goals for
modernising trans-border corridors aspire to reductions in
travel times: Nuremberg–Prague in 3 hours and 20
minutes, Berlin–Prague in 3 hours and Prague–Vienna in 3
hours and 30 minutes.
31
34. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
The total amount of EU financial resources allocated to
energy infrastructure projects was relatively low until the
2008 Second Strategic Energy Review (CEC 2008)
recognised that the ‘(TEN-E) instrument and its budget were
conceived and developed when the EU was considerably
smaller and faced energy challenges of a completely
different dimension compared to today,’ as illustrated below.
According to the list of TEN-E projects supported during
the years 1995–2009 (TEN-E financed projects 1995-2009,
2010),7 only a small minority of the projects as of 2004 were
relevant to NMS, which was disproportional to the needs of
the underdeveloped infrastructure of the CEE region:
2004: two projects (in Poland) out of 18 (representing 5%
of the annual TEN-E budget)
2005: three projects (Estonia, Hungary, Poland) out of 16
(representing 5% of the annual TEN-E budget)
2006: two projects (Hungary, Latvia) out of 13
(representing 9% of the annual TEN-E budget)
2007: three projects (two in Hungary, one in Lithuania)
out of 15 (representing 20% of the annual TEN-E
budget)
Most of the CEE projects included feasibility studies on
high-voltage grid interconnections, synchronisation with the
UCTE (Union for the Coordination of the Transmission of
Electricity) system or new gas storage facilities. It is however
debatable whether the low participation of NMS in TEN-E
projects between 2004 and 2007 was a consequence of low
7
TEN-E financed projects 1995-2009, European Commission, 3 March 2010, Brussels,
Available at
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/infrastructure/tent_e/doc/2009_ten_e_financed_projects_1995_
2009.pdf
32
35. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
preparedness for implementation or was due to the
institutional inertia of the programme from the pre-accession
period.
The framework was changed in 2008 in the wake of the
January 2008 gas crisis. SER 2 recommended six priorities
essential for the EU’s energy security (bolded priorities have
a high relevance for the NMS):
• the southern gas corridor,
• a diverse and adequate liquefied natural gas (LNG)
supply for Europe,
• the effective interconnection of the Baltic region,
• the Mediterranean Energy Ring,
• adequate North–South gas and electricity
interconnections within Central and Southeast
Europe,
• the North Sea Offshore Grid.
Moreover, the European Recovery Plan provided
an additional opportunity to allocate resources to
investments in interconnections, transit routes and
reservoirs in the NMS and thus to enhance the energy
security of the whole EU.
The importance of further infrastructure integration of
NMS cannot be overestimated. A detailed analysis of cases
in which supply has been cut shows that the reactions of
Member States are determined by the direct impact on the
individual state rather than by the damage done to the EU
as a whole. Even substantial harm to another Member
State elicits only rhetorical condemnation. Only further
integration of the internal energy market in terms of
infrastructure connectivity and a legal framework will
ensure that the EU ‘speaks with one voice.’
33
36. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
5 The Case of Policy
Research
Policy research networks have been establishing their
position and gaining respect in Brussels for decades. An
important part of their mission is to serve as the extension of
various national think tanks, universities or public affairs
groups; hence there are more and more European research
centres located in Brussels, working for the general or
‘European’ interest. For NMS the world of Brussels-based
think tanks was closed for a long time and civil society in
these countries was not strong enough to shape European
policies.
We can identify three weaknesses facing policy research
in the NMS: a depoliticised civil society, lack of funding from
domestic sources and a lack of experts proficient in both
academic research and public policy. After 1989, civic
advocacy groups in the NMS were mainly funded through
foreign donors, especially German and American
foundations and the embassies of a few other states (the
UK, the Netherlands and Canada). Since the enlargement
and progress in economic convergence, foreign donors have
started to redirect civil society funding towards non-EU
countries in the Balkans and Eastern Europe. The prospects
for national or private funding of highly specialised policy
research centres are limited and European funding is
possible mostly through transnational networks.
The Prague-based Policy Association for an Open Society
(PASOS 2005–2010) was established in 2004 in order to
‘promote and protect open society values, including
democracy, rule of law, good governance …’ PASOS is
34
37. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
working for a central role for civil society in the
transformation process. In recent years it has helped
research centres from CEE countries cooperate at the
European level through various research projects funded
mostly by Soros foundations (e.g., OSI) or directly by the
Sixth or Seventh Framework Programmes of the EU.
The European Partnership for Democracy (EPD 2009),
based in Brussels, represents one of the most successful
steps towards better representation of advocacy groups
from the NMS in European governance. ‘The EPD’s mission
is to advocate for a stronger presence of democracy support
on the EU’s agenda’, especially in the Eastern and Southern
neighbourhood. This democracy assistance could be
described as the original contribution of the NMS to the
CSFP. The synergy among the most influential Czech, Polish
and Slovak advocacy groups behind this initiative comes
from the EPD’s Board of Directors (which includes, e.g., the
leading Slovak human rights activist, Martin Bútora, Šimon
Pánek from Czech People in Need Foundation and Jacek
Kucharczyk from the Polish Institute of Public Affairs) and
the Council of Patrons (with Václav Havel, but also Jacques
Delors).
35
38. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
6 Convergence or
Divergence Between East
and West?
6.1 From Nice to Lisbon:
reluctance towards deeper integration
among the new Memeber States?
The process of adopting the deep institutional reform of the
EU has lasted almost the whole decade. At least since 2000
opinions about the future of the EU have begun to differ
among candidate countries/NMS. At the Nice EU Summit,
the debate about the re-weighting of votes in qualified
majority voting provoked the first open disagreement among
candidate countries when Poland broke ranks with other
countries, successfully insisted on obtaining an equal
number of votes with Spain and demanded to be considered
as one of the leading European countries.
Further disputes about the desirable progress towards
integration emerged at the Convention on the Future of
Europe, composed of EU institutional officials and
representatives of the national parliaments of 15 EU Member
States and 13 candidate countries (including Turkey). Two
major issues were raised: a mention of ‘God’ in the preamble
of the future EU Constitution (where Poland was very active),
and the new system of qualified majority voting (QMV) in the
Council. Both were considered as key elements of the
institutional change—in terms of symbolism and balance of
power—that re-emerged during the debate about the
Constitutional Treaty and later the Lisbon Treaty.
36
39. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
A bumpy road towards Lisbon Treaty ratification
in the Czech Republic
The Lisbon Treaty (LT) has been approved by both
houses of the Czech Parliament. During the process the
Senate asked the opinion of the Czech Constitutional
Court regarding the consistency of six provisions of the
LT with the Czech Constitution; after its decision (6
November 2008) that the specific provisions ‘are not
inconsistent with the constitutional order’, the Senate
approved the LT on 6 May 2009. The Chamber of
Deputies approved the LT on 18 February 2009 and
passed an accompanying resolution referring to the
Czech–German Declaration of 1997, which stated that
the ‘Charter of Fundamental Human Rights (CFHR)
applies exclusively to European law’ and ‘the legal status
of CFHR excludes retroactive applicability; i.e.,
questioning Czechoslovak legislation of 1940–46’. At the
initiative of the Czech government, the matter was
footnoted in the 19–20 March EU Council Conclusions.
Nevertheless, in September a group of senators
appealed to the Constitutional Court to rule on the
consistency of the Lisbon Treaty as a whole with the
Czech Constitution.
Vaclav Klaus and his world view
‘This is a victory for freedom and rationality over the
artificial projects of the elite and the European
bureaucracy.’ These were the comments of Czech
President Václav Klaus on the result of the first Irish
referendum on the Lisbon Treaty in June 2008. Even
37
40. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
though Klaus was Prime Minister in 1996 when the Czech
Republic applied to join the EU, he has made no secret of
his disagreement with the post-Maastricht development
of European integration and has responded with
statements such as ‘the EU costs more than the good it
does’.
While President Klaus expressed himself vaguely on the
Lisbon Treaty before the second Irish referendum (raising
the indistinct spectres of ‘loss of sovereignty’ and
‘threats to freedom’), since the positive result of the
second Irish vote in October 2009, he has presented
more specific reasons for rejecting the Treaty and has laid
down new conditions for ratifying the Treaty: he has
announced—without consulting the government—that he
would seek additional guarantees regarding the
application of fundamental rights; in fact, opting out of
the Charter (see Klaus 2009).
Interestingly, the main political parties (ČSSD, ODS) have
not challenged his request. At the European summit a
compromise solution was approved: adding the Czech
Republic to Poland and the UK in Protocol No.7 to the LT.
Finally on 3 November 2009, the Czech Constitutional
Court rejected the appeal of the senators, and the
President completed the ratification process with his
signature the following day.
6.2 Beyond Croatia: the future of enlargement
It has been generally expected that the NMS would be more
empathetic towards and hence supportive of any future EU
38
41. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
enlargement. The relative openness shown by NMS could be
demonstrated by the fact that most of them did not apply
restrictions on workers from Romania and Bulgaria after their
2007 accession. The Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia,
Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Sweden decided not to apply
any restrictions; in January 2008 Hungary together with
Greece, Spain and Portugal joined those that have lifted
restrictions.
According to the 2006 Eurobarometer survey
(Eurobarometer 2006) most of the 10 NMS have been
favourable to the future membership of the Western Balkan
countries—the only notable exception being a negative
opinion concerning the membership of Albania, not only in
EU-15 countries (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Greece, Italy
and Luxembourg) but also among some NMS (Czech
Republic, 62% opposed; Slovakia, 54%; and Hungary, 56%).
The above-mentioned survey has shown that respect for
human rights and minority rights together with a need for
reconciliation and cooperation with neighbouring countries
are considered the main prerequisites for future candidate
countries. ‘Respect for human and minority rights would
cause difficulties for aspiring countries especially according
to the French (62%), Luxembourgers (62%), Swedes (60%),
Finns (59%), Greek Cypriots (59%) and Greeks (57%). Greek
Cypriots (52%), Greeks (50%), Swedes (48%) and Slovenes
(47%) found reconciliation and cooperation with
neighbouring countries challenging for the countries in
question the most.’ (Eurobarometer 2006, 64)
39
42. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
The Croatia–Slovenia border dispute
The fact that an overwhelming majority of Slovenes (66%
against 29%) have been supportive of membership for
Croatia did not prevent the government of Slovenia from
exerting pressure on Croatia in order to resolve border
issues during accession talks. During the French EU
Presidency, Slovenia twice blocked the opening of
negotiation chapters as a direct result of the border
dispute. Slovenia required Croatia to guarantee that none
of the accession documents could prejudice a solution of
the border dispute. In December 2008, the Slovenian
government refused to give its consent to opening seven
negotiation chapters during the EU–Croatia
intergovernmental conference (Vutcheva 2008). This veto
by Slovenia was widely criticised by other Member States
and the Commission on the grounds that ‘bilateral issues
should be negotiated outside the EU accession
framework’.
Even beyond the Croatian–Slovenian dispute one has to
note that the suggested inclusion of the ‘Irish protocol’ into
Croatia’s accession treaty as the only legal procedure
ensuring pre-referendum guarantees to Ireland would
unnecessarily burden the next enlargement round.
As for opinions about Turkey’s membership in the EU,
citizens of the NMS are more positive (44% in support
versus 40% against) than those of the EU-15 (38% for
versus 49% against) although they too are divided—
Bulgaria, Poland, Romania and Slovenia are the most
supportive nations, whereas in the Baltic states, the Czech
40
43. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
Republic, Slovakia and Hungary more people are against the
accession of Turkey.
A recent Eurobarometer poll (2009) has shown that the
NMS do not form a homogeneous group in their opinion
about future enlargement: ‘EU respondents do not have
fundamentally different opinions about the factors to be
considered prior to further expansions ... the differences are
subtle at most.’ Hence, one cannot expect the NMS to
pursue a common pro-enlargement policy within the EU.
6.3 Russia and the Eastern Neighbourhood
The Eastern dimension of the ENP has been a focus of NMS
policy activities in the EU. In 2008 this led to the proposal for
the Eastern Partnership (EaP). It was conceived as a Polish–
Swedish initiative in May 2008, endorsed by the June 2008
Council (as a counterweight to the French proposal for the
Union for the Mediterranean), elaborated by the Commission
in the aftermath of the August war in Georgia and finalised in
the Commission’s communication of December 2008. The
EaP was approved in the conclusions of the March 2009
European Council under the Czech Presidency.
The EaP aims at projecting the EU’s normative power and
at facilitating the approximation of various sectors and civil
society in partner countries to EU standards. The main EaP
objectives are to promote stability, good governance and
institution building, the acceleration of reforms, legislative
conformity and the further economic development and
integration of the partner countries. In short, to provide a
framework for drawing the Eastern European neighbours
closer to the EU.
41
44. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
The Russian position on the EaP has been ambivalent. On
the one hand it keeps criticising the EaP as if the EaP were
intended to expand the EU’s ‘sphere of influence’. On the
other hand it is mocked and downplayed as irrelevant ‘paper
policy’. Similarly, EaP policy has been criticised from
opposing perspectives—for some it is too ambitious, for
others (including partner countries) it is insufficient, as it
does not explicitly provide a membership perspective.
During the past six years the NMS have again and again
realised (see the case of the Polish veto above) that their
position vis-à-vis Russia and also the EU interest in the
Eastern neighbourhood can best be asserted through
pursuing a common approach by the EU as a whole.
Although some NMS are still seen by others as ‘historically
prejudiced against Russia’, the way towards ‘speaking with
one voice’ leads through building mutual trust and solidarity
among all Member States. Russia will remain, for the
foreseeable future, a divisive factor and actor in the EU and
will hamper further ‘communitarisation’ of the NMS policies.
42
45. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
7 Conclusions
This study does not represent a comprehensive impact
assessment of the recent EU enlargement but only a
selected overview of existing research in relevant areas. We
have focused on the political consequences of enlargement
on decision making at EU level, particularly in foreign policy,
its socio-economic impact, and post-enlargement
developments in connecting infrastructure and the societies
of the NMS.
Contrary to pre-accession fears, the free movement of
NMS citizens has neither endangered social cohesion nor
the internal security of the EU-15. This has been due to the
relatively high absorption capacity of the old Member States
(EU-15) and to the ability of NMS to adapt their societies to
new conditions and to acquire necessary EU-related
administrative skills.
For all members, old and new alike, there has been a
double, simultaneous challenge: to ‘digest’ enlargement and
to adapt to a deepened integration model (the Constitutional
and then the Lisbon Treaty). Finally, one can conclude that
we have been able to overcome those challenges. All in all,
the recent enlargement has been a great success.
43
46. Six Years after the 2004 Enlargement
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56. Six years after the 2004 Enlargement
Jiří Schneider
Jiří Schneider, currently the Program Director of Prague
Security Studies Institute (PSSI), is the former Political
Director of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Czech
Republic. He is also the former Head of the Policy Planning
Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. In 2002, Mr.
Schneider served as an International Policy Fellow at the
Open Society Institute in Budapest. From 1995 until 1998,
Mr. Schneider served as the Ambassador of the Czech
Republic to Israel. He is also a part-time lecturer at Charles
University, at New York University in Prague, and to PSSI’s
Robinson-Martin Security Scholars Program.
Václav Nekvapil
Václav Nekvapil graduated in political science from the
Faculty of Philosophy of the Charles University in Prague
where he currently continues in postgraduate studies. In
2002-2003, he participated in the security scholars program
at the Prague Security Studies Institute, he also studied in
Institut d’études politiques in Grenoble, France. In 2008, he
studied diplomacy and international relations at the École
nationale d’administration. He has broad experience from
the public administration, academia and NGO sector. Mr
Nekvapil regularly publishes in books and magazines,
participates in international conferences and seminars in the
Czech Republic and abroad and comments on international
affairs for media.
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