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Simple Predator-Prey Dynamics Using STELLA.




1.0 Introduction


         STELLA is a program computer that was created by Robert Webb of Australia. The
programs can be manipulated and altered in various ways. The STELLA software can be
use from isee systems to model dynamic systems. Dynamics systems are usually very
complex, having many components with involved relationships. STELLA offers a practical
way to dynamically visualize and communicate how complex systems and ideas really work.
For example, STELLA can be used to model competition among different species for limited
resources or the chemical reactions of enzyme kinetics.

       Moreover, thousands of educators and researchers have made STELLA to study
everything from economics to physics, literature to calculus, chemistry to public policy and
more interesting and unique STELLA has capabilities to stimulate learning. This is because
STELLA allows user to communicate how a system works, how the systems is impacted and
what are the outcomes. STELLA is a flexible computer modelling package with an easy,
intuitive interface that allows users to construct model and simulation. The model represents
the system itself whereas the simulation represents the operation of the system over time.

       In addition, STELLA also can give supports in diverse learning styles with a wide
range of storytelling features. Students have variety of learning style such as auditory
learners, visual learners, tactile learners and kinesthetic learners. Everybody learns in their
own way. So, for visual learners STELLA can help in making learning more awesome and
interesting because students with visual learners learning style can discover relationships
between variables in an equation by using diagrams, charts and animation that can be found
in STELLA software. Visual learners will be able to recall what they see because they mostly
learnt by observing and enjoy working with graphs, computer graphics, graphic organizers
and text with a lot of pictures. So, STELLA is the best choices for this kind student’s learning
style to generate them be active in learning, improve their grades and make study become
more enjoyable.

       Besides, STELLA auditory or verbal learner might surround visual models with words
or attach documents to explain the impact of a new environmental policy. STELLA also
suitable for student’s learning style kinesthetic and tactile learners. This is because STELLA
gives user an enormously powerful and flexible tool for creating environments that allow
people to learn by doing. Then, auditory learner also can use STELLA software in learning

                                               1
because it has multimedia supports for graphics, movies, sounds and text messages.
Overall, STELLA can be use to simulate a system over time, jump the gap between theory
and the real word because students can be able experience by their self to make experiment
and understand the theory by using STELLA.

        In addition, STELLA also enables students to creatively change systems and teach
them to look for relationships based on the diagrams or graphs that appear based on the
experiment they run. This is because STELLA can clearly communicate system inputs and
outputs and demonstrate the outcomes. So that students can more understand the variables
that influence their experiment and make learning become more effective. However,
STELLA not only used for run an experiment but STELLA has widely functioned such as
built-in functions to facilitate mathematical, statistical and logic operations.

        There are some benefits by using STELLA software which is the language increases
that accuracy and clarity of verbal descriptions, ambiguities diminish and communication
much more efficient and effective. Besides, the software provides a check on intuition and
also provides a vehicle for building an understanding of why. The tools facilitate putting
together in an organized and clear way the qualitative and quantitative approaches present
in the experiment. Moreover, the tool enablers an easier operation, demonstration serving as
the basis for analyzing different types of infrastructure.

        STELLA is one kind of simulation that useful in teaching strategy for illustrating a
complex and changing situation. Nowadays, simulation in education is widely become
recognized as an important tool in schools and being used as medium instructional.
Simulation is also used to gain insight into their functioning and show the eventual real
effects of alternative conditions and courses of action. Next, simulation also used when the
real system cannot be engaged because it may no be accessible or may dangerous and
unacceptable to engage. The main point using simulations include acquisition of valid
resource information about the relevant selection of characteristics, behaviours and validity
of the simulation’s outcomes.

        In additions, simulations promote student’s critical and evaluative thinking. This is
because STELLA simulations will encourages student think beyond of their mind and
generate analysis thinking. Besides, there are several benefits that students get by using
simulation of STELLA. For example, through simulation will include the participation of
students while using the software and promotes the constructivism learning. When students
directly involved the learning process will be more enjoyable and students acquire more
knowledge and understanding. Next, simulations are necessarily less complex compare to
present the real situations. This is because students are not necessarily to observe the

                                                 2
interaction between prey and predator for several days in the real situation. In contrast, by
using stimulation of STELLA, just need to run the experiment in more comfortable and safety
environment compared to the real situation that used more student efforts and put them in
danger condition.

       Furthermore, observe the interaction between prey and predator in the real situation
will cost more than running experiment using STELLA simulation. Sometimes, it is not
worthless and may cause waste of time and cost because the result students can get from
observe the real situation will end up to nothing and make them low in motivation and
disappointed in study. This is because is not easy to estimate and predict the interaction of
living thing which human cannot control their activity. In contrast, by using STELLA
simulation are often cheaper and low in cost needed. For example, install simulation
software is cheaper than buying parameters to measure the interaction between prey and
predator in the real situations.

       Besides, simulations can be paused meanwhile the real life cannot. Pausing allows
more time for students to assess what’s going on. So, the learning process will be more
effective to the students. The purpose simulation in teaching and learning is gives deep
learning. This is because by using simulation engage students in deep learning that
empowers understanding compared to the learning by using text book which only will
promote students commit to memorize without understand the content. Moreover, simulation
will stimulate learner’s curiosity and create their interest toward learning process.

       Most importance, simulations allow students to change parameter values and
observe the changes occurred after parameter is change. For example, size in one time lynx
harvest is the parameters change to see what happened in the hare population. Simulations
also teach students to think like scientist does. Next, simulations also help students
understand the scientific knowledge that rely on the acceptable hypothesis. Then, students
also can improve their understanding on probability and sampling theory by using simulation.
Interestingly, students can predict outcomes using simulations and make learning process
showed the progress.

   On the other hand, the curiosity of students will lead them to explore and satisfy their
curiosity. So their will self motivated to run an experiment and exposed themselves to
investigate the variables that influences the changes to occur in the experiment. Simulations
also can improve students’ ability to apply particular concepts in problem solving. When
students can solve the problem actually they already develops their creative thinking and
learning process will be more effective and beneficial.


                                                3
2.0 Content of STELLA (Simple Predator-Prey Dynamics).


         A predator is an organism that consumes another organism. While the prey is the
organism which predators eat. For example, in this simulation by using STELLA software,
the lynx is the predator and prey refer to the hare. Predator and prey are evolving together.
The prey is part of the predator’s environment and the predator will die if it does not
consume food. So, predator evolves whatever is necessary in order to eat the prey.
Likewise, the predator is part of the prey’s environment and the prey dies if it is eaten by
predator. So, it evolves whatever is necessary to avoid being eaten.

       A population is refers to the group of organism of the same species that live in the
same area at the same time. The predators tend to regulate the prey population or vice
versa. While populations ecology is study of how members of a population interact with their
environment. Moreover, population ecology considers the number of individuals of a
particular species that are found in an area and the dynamics of the population is study the
changes in population on how and why those numbers increase or decrease over time.

       However, population growth is a change in the number of individuals in a population.
Positive growth occurs when the number of individuals in a population increases. Whereas,
negative growth occurs when the number of individuals in a population decreases. Factors
that effect on the rate of population growth are birth rates, death rates, immigration and
emigration. Birth rates or known as natality is the addition of organism to the population
through reproduction that will cause the population growth to increase. While, death rates or
known as mortality is lose of organisms from the population due to death. This death rate will
cause the population growth to decrease.

       In addition, a population’s growth rate (per capita increase) equals birth rate minus
death rate. Zero population growth will occur when birth rate is equal to death rate. The
maximum number of offspring that an organism can produce under ideal conditions known
as biotic potential. The ideal condition allows a maximum birth rate and a minimum death
rate. Biotic potential cannot be sustained because some form of environmental resistance
will eventually limit further population growth. Biotic potential can determines the age
beginning of reproduction, how often reproduction occurs and how many offspring are born
at a time.

       Environmental resistance refer to the combination of biotic and abiotic factors that
limit the size of the population. When populations become large, they tend to run out of
some limiting resource such as food, water, light, oxygen and space. When this situation
occurred, it will limit further populations growth and pushes down on a growth curve. Thus,

                                              4
prevent populations from growing exponentially or achieving their biotic potential. The
balance between biotic potential and environmental resistance defines the carrying capacity
for a particular organism with a given set of environmental resources.

       The carrying capacity is the maximum population size that can be sustained over a
relatively long period of time by a particular environment. Once population growth slows and
maintains a nearly steady level the population is said to be at the carrying capacity for the
environment. The constant population rarely exist. Actually, population numbers fluctuate
because conditions within habitats constantly change due to predation, competition,
diseases and seasonal, climatic differences which affect the availability of light, water and
food. Moreover, carrying capacity often serves as the basis for sustainable development. If
carrying capacity exceeded, living organisms must adapt to new levels of consumption or
find alternative resources.

         Next, natural selection favors more effective predators and more evasive prey. This
mean predators such as lynx that have dominant characteristics like agile in hunting prey like
hare will survive longer than lynx that weak in hunting because they must have enough
resources to survive and breed. Prey that evasive means that hare which be able to avoid
from being killed by predator. The evasive hare will survive and breed for the continuous life
span. Based on the theory, when prey are numerous their predators increase in numbers.
While, reducing in prey population will cause the number of predator to decline. The prey
population eventually recovers, starting a new cycle.




                                              5
Results:




Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal zero the system
in stable condition with both lynx and hare in a balance such that for each population, births
is offset by deaths.




                                              6
Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal 90, the system in
unstable condition between lynx and hare in an imbalance such that for each population.
The population of hare have a little bit changes compare when the size of one lynx harvest
equal to zero. This is because predators (lynx) tend to regulate the prey (hare) population
and vice versa. So, by this simulation students can repeat anytime and can explore the
experiment to get information on how the changes will occur.




                                             7
Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal 380, the system
in unstable condition between lynx and hare in an imbalance such that for each population.
The graph showed that greater lynx consume hare compare graph before this. The number
of hares killed per lynx per year is assumed to depend on hare density. The greater density
of hares in the ecosystem, the larger the number of hares consumed per lynx per year.




                                            8
Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal 640, the system
in unstable condition between lynx and hare in an imbalance such that for each population.
The graph showed that greatest lynx consume hare compare other graph. However, at initial
of the graph showed lynx sudden drop and more lynx die. More precisely, some fraction of
the lynx populations dies each year. The fraction is determined by the density of the hare
population in the ecosystems. A higher density of hares means fatter, happier and longer-
lived lynx. On the other hand, as population density of hares declines, a larger portion of the
lynx population will die of malnutrition and starvation.




                                                9
Conclusion:

       Based on the experiment predator-prey dynamics, using STELLA simulation actually
allow students to change parameter values and observe the changes occurred after
parameter is change. Moreover, students understand the concepts when the number of
hares killed per lynx (per year) increases with the density of hares in the ecosystems.
According to understanding, the most important part is promotes student’s critical and
evaluative thinking and at the same time student be able to make prediction for the outcome.
For example, when density is zero means there is no hares, so kills per lynx per year must
be zero. Lastly, when students can make prediction they will feel happy to learn something
and make the learning process more effective.




                                            10

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Simple predator

  • 1. Simple Predator-Prey Dynamics Using STELLA. 1.0 Introduction STELLA is a program computer that was created by Robert Webb of Australia. The programs can be manipulated and altered in various ways. The STELLA software can be use from isee systems to model dynamic systems. Dynamics systems are usually very complex, having many components with involved relationships. STELLA offers a practical way to dynamically visualize and communicate how complex systems and ideas really work. For example, STELLA can be used to model competition among different species for limited resources or the chemical reactions of enzyme kinetics. Moreover, thousands of educators and researchers have made STELLA to study everything from economics to physics, literature to calculus, chemistry to public policy and more interesting and unique STELLA has capabilities to stimulate learning. This is because STELLA allows user to communicate how a system works, how the systems is impacted and what are the outcomes. STELLA is a flexible computer modelling package with an easy, intuitive interface that allows users to construct model and simulation. The model represents the system itself whereas the simulation represents the operation of the system over time. In addition, STELLA also can give supports in diverse learning styles with a wide range of storytelling features. Students have variety of learning style such as auditory learners, visual learners, tactile learners and kinesthetic learners. Everybody learns in their own way. So, for visual learners STELLA can help in making learning more awesome and interesting because students with visual learners learning style can discover relationships between variables in an equation by using diagrams, charts and animation that can be found in STELLA software. Visual learners will be able to recall what they see because they mostly learnt by observing and enjoy working with graphs, computer graphics, graphic organizers and text with a lot of pictures. So, STELLA is the best choices for this kind student’s learning style to generate them be active in learning, improve their grades and make study become more enjoyable. Besides, STELLA auditory or verbal learner might surround visual models with words or attach documents to explain the impact of a new environmental policy. STELLA also suitable for student’s learning style kinesthetic and tactile learners. This is because STELLA gives user an enormously powerful and flexible tool for creating environments that allow people to learn by doing. Then, auditory learner also can use STELLA software in learning 1
  • 2. because it has multimedia supports for graphics, movies, sounds and text messages. Overall, STELLA can be use to simulate a system over time, jump the gap between theory and the real word because students can be able experience by their self to make experiment and understand the theory by using STELLA. In addition, STELLA also enables students to creatively change systems and teach them to look for relationships based on the diagrams or graphs that appear based on the experiment they run. This is because STELLA can clearly communicate system inputs and outputs and demonstrate the outcomes. So that students can more understand the variables that influence their experiment and make learning become more effective. However, STELLA not only used for run an experiment but STELLA has widely functioned such as built-in functions to facilitate mathematical, statistical and logic operations. There are some benefits by using STELLA software which is the language increases that accuracy and clarity of verbal descriptions, ambiguities diminish and communication much more efficient and effective. Besides, the software provides a check on intuition and also provides a vehicle for building an understanding of why. The tools facilitate putting together in an organized and clear way the qualitative and quantitative approaches present in the experiment. Moreover, the tool enablers an easier operation, demonstration serving as the basis for analyzing different types of infrastructure. STELLA is one kind of simulation that useful in teaching strategy for illustrating a complex and changing situation. Nowadays, simulation in education is widely become recognized as an important tool in schools and being used as medium instructional. Simulation is also used to gain insight into their functioning and show the eventual real effects of alternative conditions and courses of action. Next, simulation also used when the real system cannot be engaged because it may no be accessible or may dangerous and unacceptable to engage. The main point using simulations include acquisition of valid resource information about the relevant selection of characteristics, behaviours and validity of the simulation’s outcomes. In additions, simulations promote student’s critical and evaluative thinking. This is because STELLA simulations will encourages student think beyond of their mind and generate analysis thinking. Besides, there are several benefits that students get by using simulation of STELLA. For example, through simulation will include the participation of students while using the software and promotes the constructivism learning. When students directly involved the learning process will be more enjoyable and students acquire more knowledge and understanding. Next, simulations are necessarily less complex compare to present the real situations. This is because students are not necessarily to observe the 2
  • 3. interaction between prey and predator for several days in the real situation. In contrast, by using stimulation of STELLA, just need to run the experiment in more comfortable and safety environment compared to the real situation that used more student efforts and put them in danger condition. Furthermore, observe the interaction between prey and predator in the real situation will cost more than running experiment using STELLA simulation. Sometimes, it is not worthless and may cause waste of time and cost because the result students can get from observe the real situation will end up to nothing and make them low in motivation and disappointed in study. This is because is not easy to estimate and predict the interaction of living thing which human cannot control their activity. In contrast, by using STELLA simulation are often cheaper and low in cost needed. For example, install simulation software is cheaper than buying parameters to measure the interaction between prey and predator in the real situations. Besides, simulations can be paused meanwhile the real life cannot. Pausing allows more time for students to assess what’s going on. So, the learning process will be more effective to the students. The purpose simulation in teaching and learning is gives deep learning. This is because by using simulation engage students in deep learning that empowers understanding compared to the learning by using text book which only will promote students commit to memorize without understand the content. Moreover, simulation will stimulate learner’s curiosity and create their interest toward learning process. Most importance, simulations allow students to change parameter values and observe the changes occurred after parameter is change. For example, size in one time lynx harvest is the parameters change to see what happened in the hare population. Simulations also teach students to think like scientist does. Next, simulations also help students understand the scientific knowledge that rely on the acceptable hypothesis. Then, students also can improve their understanding on probability and sampling theory by using simulation. Interestingly, students can predict outcomes using simulations and make learning process showed the progress. On the other hand, the curiosity of students will lead them to explore and satisfy their curiosity. So their will self motivated to run an experiment and exposed themselves to investigate the variables that influences the changes to occur in the experiment. Simulations also can improve students’ ability to apply particular concepts in problem solving. When students can solve the problem actually they already develops their creative thinking and learning process will be more effective and beneficial. 3
  • 4. 2.0 Content of STELLA (Simple Predator-Prey Dynamics). A predator is an organism that consumes another organism. While the prey is the organism which predators eat. For example, in this simulation by using STELLA software, the lynx is the predator and prey refer to the hare. Predator and prey are evolving together. The prey is part of the predator’s environment and the predator will die if it does not consume food. So, predator evolves whatever is necessary in order to eat the prey. Likewise, the predator is part of the prey’s environment and the prey dies if it is eaten by predator. So, it evolves whatever is necessary to avoid being eaten. A population is refers to the group of organism of the same species that live in the same area at the same time. The predators tend to regulate the prey population or vice versa. While populations ecology is study of how members of a population interact with their environment. Moreover, population ecology considers the number of individuals of a particular species that are found in an area and the dynamics of the population is study the changes in population on how and why those numbers increase or decrease over time. However, population growth is a change in the number of individuals in a population. Positive growth occurs when the number of individuals in a population increases. Whereas, negative growth occurs when the number of individuals in a population decreases. Factors that effect on the rate of population growth are birth rates, death rates, immigration and emigration. Birth rates or known as natality is the addition of organism to the population through reproduction that will cause the population growth to increase. While, death rates or known as mortality is lose of organisms from the population due to death. This death rate will cause the population growth to decrease. In addition, a population’s growth rate (per capita increase) equals birth rate minus death rate. Zero population growth will occur when birth rate is equal to death rate. The maximum number of offspring that an organism can produce under ideal conditions known as biotic potential. The ideal condition allows a maximum birth rate and a minimum death rate. Biotic potential cannot be sustained because some form of environmental resistance will eventually limit further population growth. Biotic potential can determines the age beginning of reproduction, how often reproduction occurs and how many offspring are born at a time. Environmental resistance refer to the combination of biotic and abiotic factors that limit the size of the population. When populations become large, they tend to run out of some limiting resource such as food, water, light, oxygen and space. When this situation occurred, it will limit further populations growth and pushes down on a growth curve. Thus, 4
  • 5. prevent populations from growing exponentially or achieving their biotic potential. The balance between biotic potential and environmental resistance defines the carrying capacity for a particular organism with a given set of environmental resources. The carrying capacity is the maximum population size that can be sustained over a relatively long period of time by a particular environment. Once population growth slows and maintains a nearly steady level the population is said to be at the carrying capacity for the environment. The constant population rarely exist. Actually, population numbers fluctuate because conditions within habitats constantly change due to predation, competition, diseases and seasonal, climatic differences which affect the availability of light, water and food. Moreover, carrying capacity often serves as the basis for sustainable development. If carrying capacity exceeded, living organisms must adapt to new levels of consumption or find alternative resources. Next, natural selection favors more effective predators and more evasive prey. This mean predators such as lynx that have dominant characteristics like agile in hunting prey like hare will survive longer than lynx that weak in hunting because they must have enough resources to survive and breed. Prey that evasive means that hare which be able to avoid from being killed by predator. The evasive hare will survive and breed for the continuous life span. Based on the theory, when prey are numerous their predators increase in numbers. While, reducing in prey population will cause the number of predator to decline. The prey population eventually recovers, starting a new cycle. 5
  • 6. Results: Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal zero the system in stable condition with both lynx and hare in a balance such that for each population, births is offset by deaths. 6
  • 7. Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal 90, the system in unstable condition between lynx and hare in an imbalance such that for each population. The population of hare have a little bit changes compare when the size of one lynx harvest equal to zero. This is because predators (lynx) tend to regulate the prey (hare) population and vice versa. So, by this simulation students can repeat anytime and can explore the experiment to get information on how the changes will occur. 7
  • 8. Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal 380, the system in unstable condition between lynx and hare in an imbalance such that for each population. The graph showed that greater lynx consume hare compare graph before this. The number of hares killed per lynx per year is assumed to depend on hare density. The greater density of hares in the ecosystem, the larger the number of hares consumed per lynx per year. 8
  • 9. Based on the graph above, when the size of one time lynx harvest is equal 640, the system in unstable condition between lynx and hare in an imbalance such that for each population. The graph showed that greatest lynx consume hare compare other graph. However, at initial of the graph showed lynx sudden drop and more lynx die. More precisely, some fraction of the lynx populations dies each year. The fraction is determined by the density of the hare population in the ecosystems. A higher density of hares means fatter, happier and longer- lived lynx. On the other hand, as population density of hares declines, a larger portion of the lynx population will die of malnutrition and starvation. 9
  • 10. Conclusion: Based on the experiment predator-prey dynamics, using STELLA simulation actually allow students to change parameter values and observe the changes occurred after parameter is change. Moreover, students understand the concepts when the number of hares killed per lynx (per year) increases with the density of hares in the ecosystems. According to understanding, the most important part is promotes student’s critical and evaluative thinking and at the same time student be able to make prediction for the outcome. For example, when density is zero means there is no hares, so kills per lynx per year must be zero. Lastly, when students can make prediction they will feel happy to learn something and make the learning process more effective. 10