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0
Since 2009/10...
+ 1.85m A&E attendances (9%)
+ 1.3m operations (8%)
+ 4.7m diagnostic tests (c. 30%)
1
Real terms expenditure change since 2008/09
-0.8%
+12.3%
2
Non-elective inpatient beddays per 1,000 population
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Non-elective beddays per 1,000 population
CCGs
Standardised rate
Non-standardised rate
3
Deaths from cardiovascular diseasefell by 44% in 10 years
0
200
400
600
800
Women
Mortality rate from cardiovascular disease per 100,000 population
-44.4%
-43.6%
Men
2001 2011 2001 2011
Note: rates are age standardised to the 2013 European StandardPopulation
Source: WHO Mortality Database; Townsendet al. Cardiovascular disease in Europe — epidemiological update 2015, European Heart Journal,2015
4
Dementia prevalence has fallen by a fifth
8.3%
6.5%
0
2
4
6
8
10
Prevalence(%)
1994 2011
-22%
Note: Prevalence standardised to UK 2011 censusby age and gender and adjusted for non-response and area deprivation. Year representslast year of wave 1 data collection in eachphase.
Source: CFAS I and II studies; Yu-Tzu Wu et al. Dementia in western Europe: epidemiological evidence andimplicationsfor policy making. Lancet Neurology 2015,(Table S2)
Prevalence of dementia in people aged 65+ in the UK
5
Under 18 conceptions fell by 40% in 14 years
0
10
20
30
40
50
2010
2012
2000
2005
1999
2001
2002
1998
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2011
-41%
Conceptionrateper1,000
Under 18 conception rate in England and Wales
Source: ConceptionStatistics, England and Wales, ONS, 2014
6
Life expectancy is improving
Gap in life expectancy due to deprivation has been narrowing
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Lifeexpectancy
Neighbourhood income deprivation
(population percentiles: 1 = most deprived, 100 = least deprived)
Marmot curves: life expectancy by percentiles of income deprivation
2006-2010 Marmot curve
1999-2003 Marmot curve
Source: Adapted from Inequalitiesin life expectancy, KingsFund, 2015
7
Variation in the early diagnosis of cancer
Stage of cancer diagnosis, by local authority, 2012
Source: Achieving World-ClassCancer Outcomes: A Strategy for England 2015-2020
8
5 million are at risk of developing type 2 diabetes
8.5 – 10.4%
10.4 – 11.2%
11.2 – 11.7%
11.7 – 12.1%
12.1 – 14.0%
Prevalence of non-
diabetic hyperglycaemia
Source: Adapted from NHS DiabetesPrevention Programme(NHS DPP) Non-diabetic hyperglycaemia report, PHE / National Cardiovascular Intelligence Network(NCVIN), 2015
Brighton and Hove: 8.5%
Harrow: 14%Average = 11.4%
Highest
Lowest
9
New care models – vanguard sites
Primary and acute care systems
Multispecialty community providers
Enhanced health in care homes
Urgent and emergency care
Source: NHSE England website

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Simon stevens presentation - future nhs stage, 12.00, 2 september 2015

  • 1. 0 Since 2009/10... + 1.85m A&E attendances (9%) + 1.3m operations (8%) + 4.7m diagnostic tests (c. 30%)
  • 2. 1 Real terms expenditure change since 2008/09 -0.8% +12.3%
  • 3. 2 Non-elective inpatient beddays per 1,000 population 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 Non-elective beddays per 1,000 population CCGs Standardised rate Non-standardised rate
  • 4. 3 Deaths from cardiovascular diseasefell by 44% in 10 years 0 200 400 600 800 Women Mortality rate from cardiovascular disease per 100,000 population -44.4% -43.6% Men 2001 2011 2001 2011 Note: rates are age standardised to the 2013 European StandardPopulation Source: WHO Mortality Database; Townsendet al. Cardiovascular disease in Europe — epidemiological update 2015, European Heart Journal,2015
  • 5. 4 Dementia prevalence has fallen by a fifth 8.3% 6.5% 0 2 4 6 8 10 Prevalence(%) 1994 2011 -22% Note: Prevalence standardised to UK 2011 censusby age and gender and adjusted for non-response and area deprivation. Year representslast year of wave 1 data collection in eachphase. Source: CFAS I and II studies; Yu-Tzu Wu et al. Dementia in western Europe: epidemiological evidence andimplicationsfor policy making. Lancet Neurology 2015,(Table S2) Prevalence of dementia in people aged 65+ in the UK
  • 6. 5 Under 18 conceptions fell by 40% in 14 years 0 10 20 30 40 50 2010 2012 2000 2005 1999 2001 2002 1998 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 -41% Conceptionrateper1,000 Under 18 conception rate in England and Wales Source: ConceptionStatistics, England and Wales, ONS, 2014
  • 7. 6 Life expectancy is improving Gap in life expectancy due to deprivation has been narrowing 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Lifeexpectancy Neighbourhood income deprivation (population percentiles: 1 = most deprived, 100 = least deprived) Marmot curves: life expectancy by percentiles of income deprivation 2006-2010 Marmot curve 1999-2003 Marmot curve Source: Adapted from Inequalitiesin life expectancy, KingsFund, 2015
  • 8. 7 Variation in the early diagnosis of cancer Stage of cancer diagnosis, by local authority, 2012 Source: Achieving World-ClassCancer Outcomes: A Strategy for England 2015-2020
  • 9. 8 5 million are at risk of developing type 2 diabetes 8.5 – 10.4% 10.4 – 11.2% 11.2 – 11.7% 11.7 – 12.1% 12.1 – 14.0% Prevalence of non- diabetic hyperglycaemia Source: Adapted from NHS DiabetesPrevention Programme(NHS DPP) Non-diabetic hyperglycaemia report, PHE / National Cardiovascular Intelligence Network(NCVIN), 2015 Brighton and Hove: 8.5% Harrow: 14%Average = 11.4% Highest Lowest
  • 10. 9 New care models – vanguard sites Primary and acute care systems Multispecialty community providers Enhanced health in care homes Urgent and emergency care Source: NHSE England website