1. The document discusses the history and development of New Zealand from Maori settlement to modern times, covering key events, policies, and trends.
2. It examines drivers of change and challenges facing New Zealand, such as climate change, population shifts, resource management, and globalization.
3. The Sustainable Future Institute is presented as developing long-term strategic planning through Project 2058, which includes research, scenario modeling, and recommendations to guide New Zealand's sustainable development over the next 50 years.
This document discusses foresight activities in New Zealand including:
1) A series of reports published from 2007-2011 that explored topics like sustainable development strategies, Māori representation, and the future of various industries.
2) Online videos and conversations from 2008-2010 that discussed ideas about the future.
3) Four possible futures scenarios for New Zealand in 2058 published in a 2008 report.
4) The intention to create a National Sustainable Development Strategy for New Zealand.
The document discusses New Zealand's history and drivers of change that will impact its future development. It outlines several primary drivers, including climate change, population trends, ecosystems/biodiversity, energy, resources, values and beliefs, and public voice. It then discusses four possible scenarios for New Zealand's future in 2058 based on how these drivers may unfold. The document argues that developing a national sustainable development strategy can help optimize New Zealand's future by aligning industry and reinforcing its national brand.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute as a Design Studies Keynote Lecture, Otago University. 17 August 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the World Futures Conference, Chicago. 20 July 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at Massey University's Agriculture Address series. 7 April 2009
This talk was given by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute to visiting International Honours Progam Students, Massey University. 11 February 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at a New Zealand Planning Institute lecture. 24 September 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the 7X7 Ideas Exchange: 7 Imaginations. 26 August 2008
This document discusses foresight activities in New Zealand including:
1) A series of reports published from 2007-2011 that explored topics like sustainable development strategies, Māori representation, and the future of various industries.
2) Online videos and conversations from 2008-2010 that discussed ideas about the future.
3) Four possible futures scenarios for New Zealand in 2058 published in a 2008 report.
4) The intention to create a National Sustainable Development Strategy for New Zealand.
The document discusses New Zealand's history and drivers of change that will impact its future development. It outlines several primary drivers, including climate change, population trends, ecosystems/biodiversity, energy, resources, values and beliefs, and public voice. It then discusses four possible scenarios for New Zealand's future in 2058 based on how these drivers may unfold. The document argues that developing a national sustainable development strategy can help optimize New Zealand's future by aligning industry and reinforcing its national brand.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute as a Design Studies Keynote Lecture, Otago University. 17 August 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the World Futures Conference, Chicago. 20 July 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at Massey University's Agriculture Address series. 7 April 2009
This talk was given by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute to visiting International Honours Progam Students, Massey University. 11 February 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at a New Zealand Planning Institute lecture. 24 September 2009
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the 7X7 Ideas Exchange: 7 Imaginations. 26 August 2008
The document discusses futures studies and scenario planning for long-term national strategic development in New Zealand. It outlines key drivers of global change, possible futures for New Zealand in 2058 under different scenarios, and the need for a national sustainable development strategy to optimize New Zealand's future and align its industry. Past initiatives exploring New Zealand's strategic development and possible futures are also summarized.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at a Futures Thinking Aotearoa Forum. 29 October 2008
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the SANZ UNDESD Future Dialogues. 17 November 2008
The document provides an overview of investment in Uganda, highlighting key facts and opportunities. It discusses Uganda's investment climate, trends, sources of foreign direct investment, and ownership patterns. Several sectors are identified as priorities for investment, including agriculture, tourism, mining, ICT, and energy. Constraints to investment like infrastructure and access to finance are also outlined. The presentation aims to promote Uganda as an attractive destination for investors.
This document provides an overview of future studies and implications for local government in New Zealand. It discusses the history of future studies, from initially focusing on problems with two variables to recognizing that all variables are interrelated. It outlines several tools used in future studies, including scenarios and assumptions mapping. The document then discusses two ongoing "emergencies" - COVID-19 and climate change - that require long-term planning and challenges assumptions of return to normalcy. Exercises are presented to explore implications and uncertainties of different climate change scenarios for business strategy and policymaking. The complexities of multiple overlapping governance boundaries in New Zealand are also noted.
TCFD Workshop: Practical steps for implementation – Wendy McGuinnessMcGuinness Institute
Across Wednesday 16 October and Thursday 17 October 2019, the McGuinness Institute partnered with Simpson Grierson to host two workshops exploring the Recommendations of the TCFD in Auckland and Wellington. This presentation was given by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the McGuinness Institute.
The document discusses foresight initiatives in Korea and New Zealand. It provides context on the two countries, including differences in land area, population size, and resources. It then outlines three aspects of foresight: hindsight which examines history, insight which analyzes current trends, and foresight which considers possible and preferred futures. The document uses New Zealand's foresight strategy project as an example, outlining its goals and methods including scenario planning and strategic foresight research.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the NZ Risk Management Soceity Conference. 6 November 2008
Wendy McGuinness gives a speech about passion and pragmatism in philanthropy. She discusses founding the Sustainable Future Institute think tank to explore long term issues in New Zealand like economic, environmental, and social problems. She argues think tanks are important to identify complex issues, inform the public, and ask new questions. Sustainable Future is currently examining implications of the economic downturn, like increased focus on family and safety, and opportunities it presents. McGuinness hopes the think tank can help develop a national strategy to guide New Zealand to a better future.
This document is a handover report for the refurbishment of a computer lab for Siyabonga Africa. It summarizes the scope of work, which included painting walls and ceilings, installing a new main switch, networking cables and a data cabinet, ceiling fans and lights, computer desks, chairs and a round table, and blinds. It also describes variation orders to rehabilitate dry walls and fix roof leaks. The report documents the work completed through photos and provides weekly progress updates and an acknowledgment of project handover.
Connected Devices
- Nearly 60% of internet users would rather give up sweets than the internet. One in two own a smartphone and more than one in three access the internet with it.
- Users expect the same mobile content as on computers. Only 8% currently use tablets but 56% are interested.
- 22% own internet-enabled TVs but only 10% use the function. 85% go online while watching TV, with the TV in the background for two-thirds.
Nachwuchsmedizner gesucht! Eine Kampagne der KV HessenKV Hessen
Erfahren Sie mehr zur Weiterbildung und Praxisgründung im Bundesland Hessen! Die Kassenärztliche Vereinigung Hessen unterstützt und berät motivierte Jungmediziner rund ums Thema "Arzt in Hessen". Denn jetzt gilt's: Sei Arzt, in Praxis, leb' Hessen!
LOS METODOS DE ENSEÑANZA POR: YOJANI SIMONSYOJANI SIMONS
A tecnologia educativa oferece novas maneiras de ensinar através de métodos inovadores que usam a tecnologia. Estes métodos podem incluir o uso de computadores, tablets, realidade virtual e aumentada para enriquecer o aprendizado dos alunos de maneiras interativas. A tecnologia educativa tem o potencial de tornar o processo de ensino e aprendizagem mais envolvente e eficaz.
The document summarizes insights from a global patient-centricity survey conducted by The Aurora Project. The top 5 insights are:
1) Patient centricity is becoming important to the pharmaceutical industry's future but confidence in delivering is lagging, especially among patients.
2) Most pharmaceutical leaders want to learn more about how to be patient-focused.
3) The industry believes being patient-focused improves business outcomes like trust, engagement, and revenues.
4) When asked how to better focus on patients, common themes were engaging patients, allocating more resources, improving measurement, training, and ensuring all departments are responsible.
5) The survey provides a benchmark for where the industry is now on
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the Wellington Regional Strategy (WRS) Summit. 14 November 2008
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at a Futures Thinking Aotearoa Forum. 26 February 200
This document provides a summary of a report on the future state of New Zealand that was prepared for a world conference. It identifies 21 global drivers of change that could impact New Zealand's future, including climate change, population growth, energy supply, and ecosystems/biodiversity. It analyzes obstacles and opportunities for New Zealand presented by each driver, such as the need for international cooperation on climate change but also the ability to quickly adopt new green technologies. The report aims to help New Zealand pursue its preferred sustainable future by addressing or leveraging these global trends.
This document provides a summary of a report on the future state of New Zealand that was prepared for a world conference. It identifies 21 global drivers of change that could impact New Zealand's future and groups them into primary and secondary change agents as well as wild cards. For each driver, it outlines potential obstacles and opportunities for New Zealand, noting issues like climate change, population growth, ecosystem vulnerability, and energy supply challenges but also opportunities in technology adoption, agricultural productivity, and protecting biodiversity. The full report will analyze how these drivers may influence New Zealand's future context in more detail.
The document compares various metrics between countries including Olympic medals, GDP, GNI per capita, income inequality, levels of democracy, and military spending. It provides data on these metrics for countries like the US, Germany, and others. It also lists sources for international development, economic, and democracy indicators.
The document provides background information on Oceania and its subregions, including details about Australasia. It then discusses Australia and New Zealand, outlining each country's geography, climate, population, government, and economy. Key facts are given about bilateral relations between Australia, New Zealand, and India.
The document discusses futures studies and scenario planning for long-term national strategic development in New Zealand. It outlines key drivers of global change, possible futures for New Zealand in 2058 under different scenarios, and the need for a national sustainable development strategy to optimize New Zealand's future and align its industry. Past initiatives exploring New Zealand's strategic development and possible futures are also summarized.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at a Futures Thinking Aotearoa Forum. 29 October 2008
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the SANZ UNDESD Future Dialogues. 17 November 2008
The document provides an overview of investment in Uganda, highlighting key facts and opportunities. It discusses Uganda's investment climate, trends, sources of foreign direct investment, and ownership patterns. Several sectors are identified as priorities for investment, including agriculture, tourism, mining, ICT, and energy. Constraints to investment like infrastructure and access to finance are also outlined. The presentation aims to promote Uganda as an attractive destination for investors.
This document provides an overview of future studies and implications for local government in New Zealand. It discusses the history of future studies, from initially focusing on problems with two variables to recognizing that all variables are interrelated. It outlines several tools used in future studies, including scenarios and assumptions mapping. The document then discusses two ongoing "emergencies" - COVID-19 and climate change - that require long-term planning and challenges assumptions of return to normalcy. Exercises are presented to explore implications and uncertainties of different climate change scenarios for business strategy and policymaking. The complexities of multiple overlapping governance boundaries in New Zealand are also noted.
TCFD Workshop: Practical steps for implementation – Wendy McGuinnessMcGuinness Institute
Across Wednesday 16 October and Thursday 17 October 2019, the McGuinness Institute partnered with Simpson Grierson to host two workshops exploring the Recommendations of the TCFD in Auckland and Wellington. This presentation was given by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the McGuinness Institute.
The document discusses foresight initiatives in Korea and New Zealand. It provides context on the two countries, including differences in land area, population size, and resources. It then outlines three aspects of foresight: hindsight which examines history, insight which analyzes current trends, and foresight which considers possible and preferred futures. The document uses New Zealand's foresight strategy project as an example, outlining its goals and methods including scenario planning and strategic foresight research.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the NZ Risk Management Soceity Conference. 6 November 2008
Wendy McGuinness gives a speech about passion and pragmatism in philanthropy. She discusses founding the Sustainable Future Institute think tank to explore long term issues in New Zealand like economic, environmental, and social problems. She argues think tanks are important to identify complex issues, inform the public, and ask new questions. Sustainable Future is currently examining implications of the economic downturn, like increased focus on family and safety, and opportunities it presents. McGuinness hopes the think tank can help develop a national strategy to guide New Zealand to a better future.
This document is a handover report for the refurbishment of a computer lab for Siyabonga Africa. It summarizes the scope of work, which included painting walls and ceilings, installing a new main switch, networking cables and a data cabinet, ceiling fans and lights, computer desks, chairs and a round table, and blinds. It also describes variation orders to rehabilitate dry walls and fix roof leaks. The report documents the work completed through photos and provides weekly progress updates and an acknowledgment of project handover.
Connected Devices
- Nearly 60% of internet users would rather give up sweets than the internet. One in two own a smartphone and more than one in three access the internet with it.
- Users expect the same mobile content as on computers. Only 8% currently use tablets but 56% are interested.
- 22% own internet-enabled TVs but only 10% use the function. 85% go online while watching TV, with the TV in the background for two-thirds.
Nachwuchsmedizner gesucht! Eine Kampagne der KV HessenKV Hessen
Erfahren Sie mehr zur Weiterbildung und Praxisgründung im Bundesland Hessen! Die Kassenärztliche Vereinigung Hessen unterstützt und berät motivierte Jungmediziner rund ums Thema "Arzt in Hessen". Denn jetzt gilt's: Sei Arzt, in Praxis, leb' Hessen!
LOS METODOS DE ENSEÑANZA POR: YOJANI SIMONSYOJANI SIMONS
A tecnologia educativa oferece novas maneiras de ensinar através de métodos inovadores que usam a tecnologia. Estes métodos podem incluir o uso de computadores, tablets, realidade virtual e aumentada para enriquecer o aprendizado dos alunos de maneiras interativas. A tecnologia educativa tem o potencial de tornar o processo de ensino e aprendizagem mais envolvente e eficaz.
The document summarizes insights from a global patient-centricity survey conducted by The Aurora Project. The top 5 insights are:
1) Patient centricity is becoming important to the pharmaceutical industry's future but confidence in delivering is lagging, especially among patients.
2) Most pharmaceutical leaders want to learn more about how to be patient-focused.
3) The industry believes being patient-focused improves business outcomes like trust, engagement, and revenues.
4) When asked how to better focus on patients, common themes were engaging patients, allocating more resources, improving measurement, training, and ensuring all departments are responsible.
5) The survey provides a benchmark for where the industry is now on
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at the Wellington Regional Strategy (WRS) Summit. 14 November 2008
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute at a Futures Thinking Aotearoa Forum. 26 February 200
This document provides a summary of a report on the future state of New Zealand that was prepared for a world conference. It identifies 21 global drivers of change that could impact New Zealand's future, including climate change, population growth, energy supply, and ecosystems/biodiversity. It analyzes obstacles and opportunities for New Zealand presented by each driver, such as the need for international cooperation on climate change but also the ability to quickly adopt new green technologies. The report aims to help New Zealand pursue its preferred sustainable future by addressing or leveraging these global trends.
This document provides a summary of a report on the future state of New Zealand that was prepared for a world conference. It identifies 21 global drivers of change that could impact New Zealand's future and groups them into primary and secondary change agents as well as wild cards. For each driver, it outlines potential obstacles and opportunities for New Zealand, noting issues like climate change, population growth, ecosystem vulnerability, and energy supply challenges but also opportunities in technology adoption, agricultural productivity, and protecting biodiversity. The full report will analyze how these drivers may influence New Zealand's future context in more detail.
The document compares various metrics between countries including Olympic medals, GDP, GNI per capita, income inequality, levels of democracy, and military spending. It provides data on these metrics for countries like the US, Germany, and others. It also lists sources for international development, economic, and democracy indicators.
The document provides background information on Oceania and its subregions, including details about Australasia. It then discusses Australia and New Zealand, outlining each country's geography, climate, population, government, and economy. Key facts are given about bilateral relations between Australia, New Zealand, and India.
Australia Presentation, Ambassador Gerald Thomson and David CampbellBusiness Finland
Australia provides opportunities for investment and business growth in a stable, well-regulated economy with strong long-term fundamentals. Key points:
1) Australia has experienced over two decades of continuous economic growth with a diverse $1.5 trillion economy and positive long-term outlook for continued expansion, creating opportunities for investors.
2) Major infrastructure investments and opportunities exist across several industries including resources, oil and gas, infrastructure, and information and communications technology, supported by a large skilled workforce.
3) Australia is a leading digital economy with high rates of technology adoption and investment in innovation, and the new National Broadband Network will further accelerate growth of the digital sector.
Indonesia has a large and growing population and economy. The food and beverage industry is an important sector that has seen steady growth in recent years. It is dominated by small businesses but larger companies are growing. Food trends show increasing demand for convenient, healthy, and branded products. Foreign investment in the food industry has increased and Indonesia is considered an attractive location for foreign direct investment in Asia. Key challenges for the industry include developing modern retail channels, understanding changing consumer preferences, ensuring food safety, and navigating regulations and trade issues.
Virtual Water Trade Networks and Sustainability of the Food SystemSamir Suweis
Talk given at the European geophysics Union Conference (EGU) in 2014 on my paper published in PNAS, Vol. 110 no. 11 4230-4233 (2013): Water Controlled Wealth of Nations.
The document provides an overview of the Australian economy, including its strong performance over the past decade driven by demand for commodities and ties with China. It notes that Australia has a stable, prosperous and competitive economy that has attracted global business, though it will need to adapt to challenges around demographic shifts, climate change and global economic changes.
This document provides an overview of the UK's political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental landscape. Politically, the UK has a multi-party system dominated by the Conservative and Labour parties. Economically, it has the 6th largest nominal GDP and relies heavily on sectors like services, construction, and agriculture. Socially, the UK has a history of class structure and underwent changes in the 20th century. Technologically, the UK has contributed important inventions and focuses on research and development. It also has distinct legal systems in England/Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. Environmentally, the UK faces issues like air pollution, climate change, and unequal exposure to hazards.
Irish Efforts at Sustainability: A Green Island?"Jon Ernstberger
Designed for LaGrange College's 3D Journeys series, this discussion relates many of the energy and lifestyle practices of the Irish people in relation to practices that we often refer to as "sustainable".
Australians pay for, rely on and use satellites in everyday life: weather reports, surf reports, GPS, ATMs/banking, earth observation for farmers, bushfire monitoring, coastal monitoring, ocean protection, outback communication, many apps in your phone, live news, live sport on TV. All of this is space.
Yet Australia remains the only developed country without a national Space Agency, which could leverage partnerships with other space agencies to drastically lower the cost of satellite data access and create a new industry in Australia that would be sustained into the far future.
Watch the full presentation at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlUjg-xtbes
More info at: https://quokkaspace.wordpress.com/
The document provides an introduction to Calos Herbal Venture, an Indian company established in 2010 that exports various flavored teas to countries like the United States, United Kingdom, European Union, and is planning to enter the Australian market. It describes Calos' ayurvedic herbal tea and masala tea product lines, packaging, and the finance and resource requirements to market the products in Australia.
Millennium Project Planning Committee Meeting: Agenda, some accomplishments, ...Jerome Glenn
The Millennium Project Planning Committee met in the Woodrow Wilson Center to review previous work and next steps. I will add a separate powerpoint for next steps
Conference on the knowledge base for research and innovation policy by Andrew...innovationoecd
The document summarizes key findings from the OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Outlook 2016 report. It discusses major global challenges like climate change, inequality, and jobs that STI can help address. Emerging technologies like AI, IoT, and biotech are described that could provide solutions but also disruptions. The summary outlines concerns that public R&D funding is declining while tax incentives increasingly support business R&D over fundamental research. International cooperation on STI and mobility of researchers is increasing in importance for knowledge sharing.
Presentation on Emerging Technologies.pptxahmadsabeh727
The document discusses research and development in primary industries in Western Australia. It defines wicked problems as complex issues that are difficult to define and address. Addressing wicked problems like food security and sustainability requires cross-disciplinary research and collaboration between researchers, industry, and policymakers. The document also outlines how government departments, rural research and development corporations, private enterprises, and producers all contribute to innovation in WA's primary industries through research and development efforts.
Global Trends & the Next 25 Years of Sustainable AgricultureLandcareAustralia
CSIRO Principal Scientist Dr Stefan Hajkowicz's presents at the 2014 National Landcare Conference, looking at global trends and its impact on the next 25 years of sustainable agriculture.
Similar to Sfi presentation julyboston2010towfs(2) (20)
Learning lessons from early adopters of Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standard...McGuinness Institute
The document provides an overview of climate-related disclosure requirements in New Zealand. It summarizes the initial results of analyzing climate statements from 111 annual reports of listed companies. Key findings include: 5 companies fully disclosed according to climate standards, 26 disclosed partially, and 34 expressed intent to disclose fully in the future. Disclosures provided insight into long-term climate scenarios and risks. Recommendations include improving accessibility of climate statements.
The document provides a timeline of 857 historical events that have contributed to the development of Aotearoa New Zealand from 1769 to present day. The timeline is organized into different domains and threads and can be read chronologically or filtered by domain, thread, or index entries. Some of the earliest events included are Cook's arrival in 1769 and claiming of New Zealand for Britain, the introduction of diseases that significantly impacted Māori populations, and other first contact between Māori and Europeans in the late 18th century.
Foresight tools help us brainstorm ideas about the future so we are better prepared for the opportunities and challenges that may arise. It provides the ability to forward engage, interacting early before issues become difficult to manage.
This booklet – the first of three in the series – outlines 20 foresight tools to throw into the mix, while you walk forward into the future.
This document provides an overview of the role of aquaculture in New Zealand's marine space, with a focus on salmon farming in the Marlborough Sounds and Cook Strait. It discusses the lack of scientific data on ocean flora and fauna, and how this allows commercial interests to trump environmental protection. Seven infographics are included to illustrate current ocean management challenges, such as many outdated permits, poor baseline data collection, and the discharge of farmed salmon waste. The document argues for improved governance and decision-making to better protect New Zealand's marine environment and meet international conservation commitments.
This document provides 7 infographics summarizing the current state of ocean management in the Marlborough Sounds and Cook Strait of New Zealand. It finds a lack of scientific data on ocean flora and fauna, with commercial interests often prioritized over environmental protection. The infographics examine issues like protected species, aquaculture regulations, the impacts of climate change on salmon farming, and future strategic options for the industry. The document concludes with recommendations for improving ocean governance and management.
The document outlines the agenda for a BIG Ideas Briefing to the Incoming Government event on February 22, 2023. The agenda includes an introduction by Wendy McGuinness, a discussion led by Professor Girol Karacaoglu, and a Q&A session. Refreshments will be provided. The briefing will discuss cross-cutting themes identified in research and provide an implementation checklist for BIG policy actions. The goal is to share insights with new government patrons on developing shared narratives, establishing supportive governance, stakeholder engagement, and effective implementation of anticipatory policies.
20221007 3pm McGuinness 3Waters Oral Powerpoint FINAL -plus 5.pdfMcGuinness Institute
The document provides an oral submission on the Water Services Entities Bill from Wendy McGuinness, CEO of the McGuinness Institute. It identifies several errors and inconsistencies in the bill and explanatory note. It recommends strategic and operational improvements to governance, including establishing a Minister of Water, a single water services entity modelled after Scottish Water, and aligning the entities with climate change policy and reporting requirements. It emphasizes concepts like public accountability, foresight in planning for climate shocks, and the need for flexible policy given increasing climate impacts on water systems. Questions are posed for discussion.
This document provides an overview of how futurists think compared to strategists. It discusses that futurists focus on possible futures by looking for weak signals and patterns, while strategists focus on a preferred future. It also notes that futurists consider a wide range of data, even data they have low confidence in, to develop foresight, while strategists focus on known information. The document recommends separating foresight and strategy tasks but also thinking like a futurist before acting like a strategist.
The document proposes reclassifying stewardship land on the West Coast of New Zealand to increase conservation and create ecological corridors. It summarizes three myths about current conservation efforts and outlines eight recommendations, including increasing national park areas, creating biodiversity corridors, restoring native forests, and establishing metrics to measure conservation outcomes. The rationale provided is the urgent need to address the biodiversity crisis as species decline and face increased threats from climate change and associated extreme weather. Reclassifying stewardship land is presented as a strategic solution that can both protect biodiversity and help mitigate climate change impacts through carbon sequestration.
The document proposes reclassifying stewardship land on the West Coast of New Zealand to increase conservation and create ecological corridors. It summarizes three myths about current conservation efforts and outlines eight recommendations, including increasing national park areas, creating biodiversity corridors, restoring native forests, and establishing metrics to measure conservation outcomes. The rationale provided is the urgent need to address the biodiversity crisis as species decline and face increased threats from climate change and associated extreme weather. Reclassifying stewardship land is presented as a strategic solution that can both protect biodiversity and help mitigate climate change impacts through carbon sequestration.
The document summarizes concerns about errors and inconsistencies in the Water Services Entities Bill and explanatory note. It provides strategic recommendations to improve the bill's governance, including establishing a Minister of Water, creating a single water services entity instead of four regional ones, and transferring water service assets to either a new type of local authority or a Crown entity similar to the Scottish model. The recommendations also address pricing of water usage, broadening the purpose of regulation, including access and risk management in law, and improving accountability through public registers and extending oversight bodies' jurisdiction to water services entities.
The document provides a summary of concerns and recommendations regarding the Water Services Entities Bill presented to the Finance and Expenditure Committee in New Zealand Parliament. Key points include:
- There are errors and inconsistencies in how the bill and explanatory note describe the proposed water services entities and their ownership and governance structure.
- The proposed model differs from the Scottish model, where water services are provided by a Crown entity with independent regulation.
- Strategic recommendations include establishing a Minister of Water, creating a single national water entity instead of four regional ones, and placing water services assets under a new type of local authority or Crown entity to improve governance and accountability.
- Operational recommendations focus on improving transparency, accountability
This document provides an overview and analysis of government department strategies (GDSs) in New Zealand. It notes that as of December 2021 there were 221 operational GDSs across government departments. It then provides key statistics on GDSs such as length, number of strategy maps, climate change mentions, and more. The preface discusses the purpose of GDSs and this handbook. Finally, it outlines four major recommendations: 1) Improving communication of government priorities 2) Reassessing all GDSs to consider climate change 3) Establishing a central GDS register 4) Guidance for departments on improving GDS content.
2021 Government Department Strategies Index Handbook – He Puna RautakiMcGuinness Institute
This document provides an overview and analysis of Government Department Strategies (GDSs) in New Zealand. It notes that as of December 2021 there were 221 GDSs in operation. Some key findings include: the Ministry of Health holds the most GDSs at 48; the average length of a GDS is 34 pages; 77 GDSs include a strategy map while 144 do not; and 61% of GDSs were published in the last four years. The document aims to support understanding and use of GDSs through providing relevant information, analysis and resources.
This document provides an agenda and summary of a workshop on climate-related disclosures presented by Wendy McGuinness. The agenda includes sections on why climate intelligence is important, what is happening nationally and globally regarding climate policy and regulations, and how companies can make climate-related disclosures. Under the "What" section, recent developments in New Zealand and globally are summarized, including new standards from the XRB, NZX, FMA, and initiatives like the ISSB and GFANZ. The "How" section outlines what organizations are required to disclose based on size, and provides examples of frameworks and scenarios that can be used to guide disclosures.
The document summarizes a workshop report on future scenarios for local government presented by Wendy McGuinness of the McGuinness Institute. It discusses global drivers of change and maps issues around climate change, democracy, technology, connection to land, and wellbeing. It also briefly summarizes an article on ancient supervolcanic eruptions in New Zealand, and references additional resources on societal contracts, future pathways, empathy versus compassion, and the shortest serving New Zealand Prime Minister.
This document is an application to establish a new salmon farm within a 1,000 hectare site located approximately 5 kilometres due north of Cape Lambert. It was submitted by Wendy McGuinness. The majority of the document discusses climate-related financial reporting requirements that the applicant would need to comply with if the farm was approved, including disclosure according to the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures framework. It also addresses potential climate change risks to the proposed salmon farm operation.
20211101 9am presented draft future of local govt review presentationMcGuinness Institute
This document provides a history of foresight initiatives in New Zealand from 1936 to 2010. It discusses how even relatively simple structures like bridges can fail unexpectedly, demonstrating the difficulty of predicting political changes. Major volcanic eruptions have significant climate impacts globally through sulfate aerosols. The document outlines four-step models for planning future initiatives and recaps foresight work since 1976. It discusses the Long-term Insights Briefings produced for the Australian Government and Prime Minister Helen Clark's vision for New Zealand. Various local councils created scenarios and the document proposes creating a national reference scenarios framework to help organizations prepare for uncertain futures.
20211029 5pm presented draft future of local govt review presentationMcGuinness Institute
This document provides a history of foresight initiatives in New Zealand from 1936 to 2010. It discusses how even relatively simple structures like bridges can fail unexpectedly, demonstrating the difficulty of predicting political changes. It also summarizes the impacts of major volcanic eruptions on climate and agriculture. The document then outlines four-step models for planning future initiatives and recaps some key New Zealand foresight projects from the 1980s onward. It provides examples of long-term insights briefings and scenarios developed by local councils and government agencies on topics like poverty, civic engagement, and climate change.
3. Land Use 20 40 100 60 0 80 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Alpine zone Tussock Scrub, wetlands and dunes Exotic grassland Settlements and crops Exotic forest Native forest Total land area (%) Main period of Maori expansion Main period of European expansion
4. Treaty of Waitangi 1840 On 6 February 1840, the Treaty was signed between representatives of Queen Victoria and approx 500 Māori, (13 were women).
6. Julius Vogel (1835-1899 ) Vogel implemented an immigration and works scheme designed to revive the economy. “ We considered it very desirable, in a young country, that wealth should not be in the hands of a few capitalists [who]…would leave the country, and enjoy elsewhere the wealth so accumulated. ” Prime Minister 1873
7. 1976-1982 Commission for the Future 2009 National Job Summit 2008 One Goal Project 1991 Porter analysis – Upgrading New Zealand’s Competitive Advantage 2001 Knowledge Wave Conference 2007- 2010 Sustainable Future Project 2058 - Aims to develop a National Sustainable Development Strategy (NSDS) The New Zealand Experience 2010 2000 1990 1980
8.
9. Project 2058 – The Method (c) Future Thinkers Online Video Interviews: World Futures (July 2008 and July 2009) Online Video Conversations: Ideas about the Future (December 2008) James Duncan Reference Library (October 2009) A History of Future Thinkers in New Zealand The Future of Infrastructure in New Zealand* Report 9 Government-funded Science Under the Microscope* Report 10 The State of New Zealand’s Resources* The Future of Food and Agriculture* The State Sector: Looking Forward* (b) New Zealand’s National Assets Report 7 Exploring the Shared Goals of Māori (2010) Report 8 Effective Māori Representation in Parliament, (2010) A History of Future Thinkers in New Zealand* Online Video Interviews: World Futures (2008 and 2009) Online Video Conversations: Ideas about the Future (2008) James Duncan Reference Library (2009) (c) Future Thinkers Part I: Research Part II: Scenarios Part III: Strategy (d) State of New Zealand’s Future* Report 1 A National Sustainable Development Strategy (2007) (a) New Zealand’s Government Report 2 New Zealand Central Government Strategies (2007) Report 3 Supporting Local Government (2008) Report 4 Institutions for Sustainable Development (2008) Report 5 The Common Elements of an NSDS (2008) National Sustainable Development Strategy for New Zealand* Report 6 Four Possible Futures for New Zealand in 2058 (2008)
14. Ecosystems and Biodiversity 11% National Park Year Est. Area (km2) Abel Tasman 1942 225 Mount Cook 1953 707 Arthur's Pass 1929 1144 Egmont 1900 335 Fiordland 1952 12519 Kahurangi 1996 4520 Mount Aspiring 1964 3555 Nelson Lakes 1956 1018 Paparoa 1987 306 Raikiura 2002 1500 Te Urewera 1954 2127 Tongariro 1887 796 Westland Tai Poutini 1960 1175 Whanganui 1986 742 Total Area in Parks 30669
26. Benchmarking: Human Development Total Human Development Index Includes Education Index Disparity of income ( ratio of richest 10% to poorest 10%) Includes RST expenditure (% GDP) Includes GDP (per capita) (UNDP Human Development Report, 2007/2008) (UNDP Human Development Report, 2007/2008) (UNDP Human Development Report, 2009) (UNDP Human Development Report, 2007/2008) (UNDP Human Development Report, 2007/2008) 1. Iceland (0.968) 1= Australia (0.993) 1. Azerbaijan (2.9) 1. Israel (4.46) 1. Luxembourg (60 228) 3. Australia (0.962) 1= New Zealand (0.993) 2. Japan (4.5) 20. Australia (1.70) 16. Australia (31 794) 16. United Kingdom (0.946) 6. Norway (0.991) 34. India (8.6) 25. Russia (1.17) 27. UAE (25 514) 19. New Zealand (0.943) 12. Iceland (0.978) 72. New Zealand (12.5) 26. New Zealand (1.16) 28. New Zealand (24 996) 20. Italy (0.941) 18. UK (0.970) 94. United States (15.9) 27. Ukraine (1.16) 29. Greece (23 381) 177. Sierra Leone (0.336) 177. Burkina Faso (0.255) 142. Namibia (106.6) 91. Peru (0.10) 174. Malawi (667)
27. Part II: Scenarios 1 3 2030 2058 Scenarios Possible Probable Possible 2009 2 4
32. New Zealand will never be the puppeteer… … but we can be part of the audience, and that means we can decide to give a standing ovation or boo the performance.
33. We can show global players how changes should be made – not because they have to listen to us… … but because small countries have put in place something that powerful countries want.
34. New Zealand needs a ‘National Strategy’ to optimise our future, to align our industry, to reinforce our national brand and to be an example of what is possible - not because we have to, but because we want what it can deliver Part III: Strategy
35.
36.
Editor's Notes
Foresight - what will happen or what is needed in the future. http:// en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Foresight Strategy - a plan of action designed to achieve a goal in the future http:// en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Strategy
Notes to Audience: 94% of NZ is under water …..Not just the land, but the sea Calculation: Land area – 267,710 km 2 - CIA Marine Exclusive Economic Zone – 4,101,633 km 2 - Sea Around Us Project Total Area – 4,369,343 km 2 Percentage of total land – 267,710 / 4,369,343 * 100 = 6.13% Area of New Zealand underwater – 93.87% Sea Around Us Project - http://www.seaaroundus.org/eez/554.aspx CIA - https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/nz.html Note: In the presentation at the WFS Conference we used 96%. This was the figure from the ‘State of the Future Report’, prepared by the Institute of Policy Studies (2010, 17). World’s fourth largest exclusive economic zone See http://www.onepetro.org/mslib/servlet/onepetropreview?id=OTC-6326-MS&soc=OTC Not just three islands – a lot to manage, many assets Source (map): Adapted from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:NZ_Realm_of_New_Zealand.png See also http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Realm_of_New_Zealand_Exclusive_Economic_Zones.png See also http://www.linz.govt.nz/hydro/projects-programmes/continental-shelf/undersea-image/index.aspx
Notes to Audience: NEW country Source (graph): ‘The state of New Zealand’s Environment 1997’, MfE, retrieved 06 April from http://www.mfe.govt.nz/publications/ser/ser1997/html/figures/figure8.3.html
Notes to Audience: Source (images): Portrait: Alexander Turnbull Library Reference No. PA1-o-423-11-6, Whare: Alexander Turnbull Library, Reference: PA7-36-24 “ Tāwhiao was born at Orongokoekoea Pā (near Taumarunui) during the Musket Wars. His father, Pōtatau Te Wherowhero, was the leader of the Waikato people. In 1858 Pōtatau was installed as the first Māori King, his purpose being to promote unity among the Māori people in the face of Pākehā encroachment. Pōtatau died in 1860 and was succeeded by Tāwhiao who reigned for thirty-four years during one of the most difficult and discouraging periods of Māori history. During this period there were de jure two governments; English law and governance prevailed within the British settlements and Māori law or custom over the rest of the country. However the Pākehā population was increasing rapidly while the Māori population was either static or declining. This was also the period when the British felt they had a manifest destiny to rule the world. The presence of an independent native state was seen by many as intolerable particularly as it occupied most of the territory of the North Island and thus had the potential to undermine the colonial government's sovereignty. In 1863 on very slim pretexts and in defiance of the Treaty of Waitangi the Colonial Government, backed by some fourteen thousand Imperial troops, invaded the Waikato, King Tāwhiao's territory. The Waikato people put up a strong defence but inevitably were forced to retreat. The conquered land was confiscated, altogether about a million acres (4,000 km²).Tāwhiao and his people moved southwards, into the territory of the Ngāti Maniapoto, the area of New Zealand that is still known as the King Country.” Retrieved July 2009: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tāwhiao
Notes to Audience: Sir Julius Vogel, was the 8th Prime Minister of New Zealand. First – page 104, Went to England to float two of the required loans - http://www.adb.online.anu.edu.au/biogs/A060356b.htm Second – page 113, He was responsible for the establishment of the Government Life Insurance Office and the Public Trust, thus launching a tradition of state involvement for which New Zealand is noted. http://www.encyclopedia.com/doc/1O48-VogelSirJulius.html Third – Page 16 Also first NZ minister to make an official visit to the United States – in this case to establish a regular steamer between NZ and San Franscio – page 116 Source (text): Dalziel, Vogel.
Notes to Audience: SFI is not alone…..See Sustainable Future’s Think Piece 10, Lost in Space for more initiatives. 1982: Commission for the Future Over 20 publications 6 years 1990-91: Porter Project 2000 participants 2 years 2001: Knowledge Wave 450 participants 3 days 2008: One Measurable Goal 112 comments 3 months 2009: National Job Summit 210 participants 1 day 2007-2010: Project 2058 19 publications 4 years Source (timeline): Sustainable Future (2009).
Note to Audience: No mandate to speak on behalf of NZ
Notes to Audience: Started with 75, took down to 21 – see page 51 Distinguish between primary and secondary change agents. Source (figure): Sustainable Future (2008). Four Futures for New Zealand in 2058 . Sustainable Future: Wellington.
Notes to Audience: Franz Joseph glacier. The area surrounding the two glaciers are designated a World Heritage Site. “ The glacier is currently 12 km long and terminates 19 km from the Tasman Sea. Fed by a 20 sqm large snowfield[5] at high altitude, it exhibits a cyclic pattern of advance and retreat, driven by differences between the volume of meltwater at the foot of the glacier and volume of snowfall feeding the névé. Due to strong snowfall it is one of the few glaciers in New Zealand which is still growing as of 2007, while others, mostly on the eastern side of the Southern Alps, have been shrinking heavily, a process attributed to global warming.[6] “ See http:// en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franz_Josef_Glacier “ Initially there will be some beneficial effects for agriculture; such as enhanced growing conditions, longer growing seasons and less frost risk (provided adequate water is available)…But by 2050, agriculture and forest production is likely to be reduced. There is likely to be increased risks of droughts and fire over parts of eastern NZ and increased risks of floods over parts of western NZ. Water security and pest management will increasingly be an issue. Land use will need to change. Also reduced demand for energy, as winters will not be as cold – and flows in western rivers are likely to increase, benefiting hydroelectric generation and irrigation supply. Coastal development and infrastructure will be challenged. This may impact on transportation, drainage and sewage systems. Global demand for food is also likely to increase, and so is global population. Source (figure): National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), retrieved 6 April 2009 from http://www.maf.govt.nz/mafnet/rural-nz/statistics-and-forecasts/sonzaf/2008/page-02.htm Source (image): Geoff Spearpoint Global demand for food is also likely to increase, and so is global population. Source (figure): National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), retrieved 6 April 2009 from http://www.maf.govt.nz/mafnet/rural-nz/statistics-and-forecasts/sonzaf/2008/page-02.htm Source (image): Geoff Spearpoint
Notes to Audience: 1. No big changes 2. Overseas Experience (OE) 3. It is about composition – by 2058; see Sustainable Future Think Piece 5: Hard Work. Source (graph): Wikimedia Commons, using figures from Statistics New Zealand, retrieved 6 April 2009 from http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:New_Zealand_population_over_time.png
Notes to Audience 11% ethnically a New Zealander in 2006 census – See Report 8, Effective Maori Representation in Parliament; working towards a National Sustainable Development Strategy (2010) Source (data): Statistics New Zealand (2009a). Demographic trends report 2007. Wellington: Statistics New Zealand. Retrieved June 30, 2009 from http:/www.stats.govt.nz/analytical-reports/dem-trends-07/downloadable-excel-tables.htm Years are not spaced regularly. Note: the graph has been adjusted to take into consideration the population estimates in 1840 (Belich, 1996:178) Māori people are the tangata whenua (indigenous people) of New Zealand. A Māori is a person who identifies with or feels they belong to the Māori ethnic group (Population and Sustainable Development, 2009). Statistics NZ (2009a). Demographic trends: 2009. Tables: Part 1. Retrieved May 5, 2010 from http://www.stats.govt.nz/Publications/PopulationStatistics/demographic-t rends-2009.aspx Belich, J. (1996). Making peoples: A history of New Zealanders from Polynesian settlement to the end of the nineteenth century. Auckland: Penguin . https:// remote.sustainablefuture.info/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL = http://www.stats.govt.nz/Publications/PopulationStatistics/demographic-t
Notes to Audience: Preservation part of our genetic makeup Source (image): Geoff Spearpoint . C amp at tarn under Mt Zampa, Spenser Mountains, Lewis end 4/07. Total Area of National Parks in New Zealand: 30669 square kilometres / total square area 270467 (United Nations Pocket Book, World Statistics 2008)
Source: ( Adapted from MED, 2010: 11) This graph indicates that New Zealand’s primary energy supply has grown substantially over the past 35 years, almost doubling in total petajoules. For the most part this growth has occurred across the range of energy supply options. Gas and geothermal have seen the greatest growth whilst hydro has remained relatively static and coal has shrunk. Petajoules - The joule is the Système International (SI) derived unit of energy and heat. Its consistent use simplifies comparisons between different forms of energy and between energy supplied or consumed in New Zealand and overseas. A joule is the energy required to heat 1 cubic centimetre of water by about a quarter (0.239) of a degree Celsius, or the energy needed to lift a kilogram about 102 millimetres. A PJ is 1015 (1,000,000,000,000,000) joules (MED, 2010: 168). Primary energy supply - The amount of energy available for use in New Zealand for energy transformation and end use. It includes energy as it is first obtained from natural sources, which means that coal is accounted for as it is mined, indigenous oil and natural gas as they are extracted from wells, imported oil and oil products as they are imported, and hydro as it is used for electricity generation (assuming efficiency of 100%). Geothermal is accounted for on the basis of its use as an input to electricity generation including cogeneration, plus an estimate of losses, own use and geothermal used directly as a heat source. It accounts for imports and exports, and makes allowance for any stock change. By convention, fuels used for international transport are excluded from total primary energy supply. Thus, total primary energy supply is calculated as indigenous production, plus imports, less exports, less stock change, less international transport. (ibid) Ministry of Economic Development (MED) (2010). New Zealand Energy Data File 2010. Retrieved July 14, 2010 from http://www.med.govt.nz/upload/73585/EDF%202010.pdf Note: This slide is different from the pie charts used on the 9 th July 2010 at the World Future Society Conference. Unlike the pie charts (which showed the mix), this graph also shows the overall change in volume over time, and is therefore considered more useful.
Notes to Audience 1. One Big Farm – four issues emissions, water, hooves and nitrates Source (images): Phillip Capper, available as part of the Creative Commons from http://www.flickr.com/photos/flissphil/2494725635/ Source (graph): Sustainable Future (2008). Think Piece 6: While AgResearch Fiddled. Data a dapted from: FAO, CIA, Statistics New Zealand, Dept. for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (UK) & Australian Bureau of Statistics. See ‘Workings for Figure 1’, available for from http://www.sustainablefuture.info/Site/Publications/Think_Pieces.aspx
Notes to Audience Infusion over last 200 years Kau-pa-pa K ye-tee-ah-kee-t ah n-gah Source (image): Wendy Schotsmans, available on Flickr as part of the Creative Commons, http://www.flickr.com/photos/wendyschotsmans/135002051/sizes/o/ This is Tane Mahuta, Maori for "lord of the Forest" . It is the largest Kauri tree (pronounced cow-ree) in existence. Although there are taller kauris and stouter kauris around, this one wins overall. It is hard to accurately estimate the age of Tane Mahuta, but it may be that Tane Mahuta sprang from a seed around 2000 years ago during the lifetime of Jesus Christ. Trunk girth 13.77 m (45.18 ft), Trunk height 17.68 m (58 ft), Total height 51.2 m (167.98 ft), Trunk volume 244.5 m³, Total volume including the crown 516.7 m³ Source: http:// images.google.co.nz/imgres?imgurl =http://i1.treknature.com/photos/567/oct_27_05_156.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.treknature.com/gallery/photo32418.htm&usg=__UhH6O2M2zs7PeZsK83cT3NwlZic=&h=800&w=540&sz=167&hl= en&start =7&sig2=oTRB6oNPJXg57q0IFCcP1Q&um=1&tbnid=7E-DAtcxb-PWjM:&tbnh=143&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3DNZ%2Bnotes%26hl%3Den%26rlz%3D1T4ADBR_enNZ240NZ240%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1&ei=93rWSYLkOZuwtAOWoJGwCg
Note to Audience I have been trying to think of the earth as a kind of organism, but it is no go. I cannot think of it this way. It is too big, too complex, with too many working parts lacking visible connections. The other night, driving through a hilly, wooded part of southern New England, I wondered about this. If not like an organism, what is it like, what is it most like? Then, satisfactorily for that moment, it came to me: it is most like a single cell. – Lewis Thomas http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewis_Thomas
Note to Audience Foreshore and Seabed GE Free
Notes to Audience 1. Aluminium smelter 2. The Save Manapouri campaign later used it to stop the level of Lake Manapouri from being raised - 1973.
Notes to Audience: Exports critical and Imports related to exports Source (exports data): Retrieved 2009 from http://www.stats.govt.nz/products-and-services/global-new-zealand/2008/key-points-july08.htm Exp Dairy 22% $8.8 billion and Imp Fuels and oils $7.1 billion (16%) Source (imports data): Retrieved 2009 from http://www.stats.govt.nz/products-and-services/global-new-zealand/2008/key-points-july08.htm Source (image): Retrieved 2009 from http://www.odt.co.nz/files/story/2008/11/forecasts_are_for_a_much_reduced_export_lamb_crop__5346824854.JPG
Notes to Audience 1. Negative effects – increased diary farms
Notes to Audience 1. Globalisation is critical for NZ's future Source (data): Adapted from Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (1997). New Zealand Consolidated Treaty List As At December 1996 . (Part 1: Multilateral Treaties, and Part 2: Bilateral Treaties). Wellington: Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade. First Free Trade agreement with China Created refrigerated transport – 1880s
Notes to Audience 1. ANZUS treaty 1951 - 1984 Source (image): Available under Creative Commons at http://www.flickr.com/people/111emergency/
Notes to Audience 1. Early adapters, love gadgets Source (graph): http://www.digitalstrategy.govt.nz/Resources/Publications/digital-strategy-2-draft/Introduction/Progress-since-2005/
Sources: Columns 1, 2, 4 and 5 adapted from UNDP, Human Development Report 2007/2008. Fighting climate change: Human solidarity in a dived world. Retrieved 6 July 2010 from http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/HDR_20072008_EN_Complete.pdf Column 3 adapted from UNDP, Human Development Report 2009. Overcoming barriers: Human mobility and development. Retrieved July 6, 2010 from http://hdr.undp.org/en/reports/global/hdr2009/
Source: Sustainable Future (2009). Project 2058 Methodology version 3 . Sustainable Future: Wellington. Adapted from C. Ilbury & C. Sunter (2001). The Mind of a Fox: Scenario planning in action . Cape Town: Human and Rousseau Tafelberg.
Notes to Audience: 1. Workshop Source (images): Sustainable Future. Scenario Workshop, Waikanae April 2008
Source: Report 6: Four Futures for New Zealand (2008)
Notes to Audience Source: Report 6: Four Futures for New Zealand (2008) Which future is likely to prevail? p46 What should we be looking for? p47 How can we shape our future? p47 Implications p48-49 United Nations? What is Acceptable? What is Possible? What are the Obstacles? What should we Focus on? Watch for: Fortress Mentality Disparities Leadership/Complacency Privacy/Transparency
Photo by Nelson Minar and available on Flickr as part of Creative Commons http://www.flickr.com/photos/nelsonminar/
Photo by Danny Williams. Available on Flickr as part of the Creative Commons. Retrieved July 2009 from http:// www.flickr.com/photos/pressthebuttononthetop / / CC BY 2.0
Photo taken by Lana (Solyanka) and available on Flickr as part of Creative Commons. http://www.flickr.com/photos/solyanka/
NEXT STEP – finish the Rese ar ch reports and then write the strategy Source (photo): Getfrank, retrieved 06 April 2009 from http://www.getfrank.co.nz/assets/images/Halfwidth/NewFolder/_resampled/ResizedImage429295-nz.jpg ======================================================================================================================
Notes to Audience Three questions still to explore
Source (photo): retrieved 6 April 2009 from http://farm1.static.flickr.com/52/108605088_71856b2fb7.jpg?v=0