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D. SEAN BARNETT, Ph.D.
Senior Engineer
RAND Corporation
1200 South Hayes Street
Arlington, VA 22202-5050
Office Phone: 703-413-1100 x5545
Office Fax: 703-413-8111
E-mail: sbarnett@rand.org
Sean Barnett is a defense analyst, nuclear engineer, and attorney, with 25 years of experience in solving
analytical problems and analyzing policy in the fields of national security, energy, and law. His most
recent work has focused on strategic planning and risk management. Over the course of his career, he
has also gained extensive experience in project management and communication.
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE
RAND Corporation, Arlington, Virginia
Senior Engineer in Engineering and Applied Sciences Department (2015-present) Performs research
and leads research efforts on a range of subjects for the Department of Defense and other federal
agencies.
Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, Virginia
Research Staff Member in Strategy, Forces, and Resources Division (2006-2015) Performed research
and led research efforts for the Departments of Defense, Homeland Security, and Energy. Work
focused in the areas of strategic planning and risk management, military force structure and basing,
strategic materials, defense against nuclear attack, infrastructure protection, and operations research.
Developed research and plans and supervised work of other analysts.
● Led efforts for Defense Logistics Agency-Strategic Materials in managing risk arising from
threats to U.S. supplies of strategic and critical materials, including rare earth elements.
 Developed and implemented risk management process for materials evaluated for the
National Defense Stockpile. The process assesses material shortfall risks facing the
United States and develops, characterizes, and evaluates the cost-effectiveness of
measures for mitigating risks. The process significantly reduced the requirements for
materials in the stockpile at an acceptable level of risk.
 Extended risk management process to include modeling of downstream strategic
material supply chains and managing risks associated with them.
 Performed an in-depth assessment of the potential for material substitutes to reduce U.S.
needs for strategic and critical materials. Evaluated the potential for using substitutes in
response to material shortages and the enabling capabilities (e.g., product designs, design
certifications, production facilities) needed to implement their use. Assessment reduced
National Defense Stockpile requirements by about 40 percent.
 Co-led assessment of potential for DoD to recycle rare earth elements from defense
applications.
 Conducted other studies of materials and programs of interest to DLA-SM.
1
● Performed analyses to support Global Nuclear Detection Architecture (GNDA) Capability
Based Assessment for DHS Domestic Nuclear Detection Office. Supported the
development of strategic-level Capability Objectives for the GNDA and helped identify and
prioritize capability gaps in the GNDA, including need for effective national strategic-level
management processes and decision authorities within DHS and elsewhere in the Executive
Branch.
● Led task for DHS Domestic Nuclear Detection Office on development of strategies for
employment of radiation detectors to interdict movement of radioactive material in the
United States. Assessment included urban road network analysis, Monte Carlo modeling of
urban area radiation detection system performance, and life-cycle cost modeling of detector
systems.
● Supported the Homeland Defense Coordinator of the Office of the Undersecretary of
Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics in improving U.S. defenses against
weapons of mass destruction.
 Performed interagency and DoD organizational analyses to facilitate the U.S.
government’s development of defenses against attack with weapons of mass destruction.
 Supported the assessment of the DoD and U.S. government nuclear defense enterprise
and its capabilities to prevent a nuclear attack on the U.S. homeland. Assisted with
planning to integrate and improve our nuclear defense capabilities.
 Prepared report of Joint Analysis Team on nuclear defense documenting and providing
guidance on the future development of DoD nuclear defense capabilities.
● Led efforts to support the Joint Staff J5 and J8 and the Office for the Undersecretary of
Defense for Policy in managing U.S. global defense posture.
 Supported the development of a regular posture planning and programming cycle that
conforms to the DoD Planning, Programming, Budgeting and Execution system, enables
OUSD(Policy) and the Joint Staff to oversee and provide strategic direction to posture
changes, and facilitates the implementation by the Services of posture initiatives
proposed by the Combatant Commands and evaluated and recommended by OSD and
the Joint Staff.
 Supported the Joint Staff J8 in assessing global defense posture for the 2010 Quadrennial
Defense Review. Designed a risk-based framework for assessing the adequacy of U.S.
posture to accomplish global and regional strategic objectives. Supported
OUSD(Policy) in evaluating Theater Posture Plan posture initiatives submitted by
regional Combatant Commands.
● Developed risk management methodologies and analyzed risk to critical infrastructure and
key resources for the DHS Office of Infrastructure Protection.
 Assisted with development of IDA Common Risk Model, which allows analysis, on a
common basis across industry sectors, of risk to critical infrastructure assets and systems
presented by a wide range of potential terrorist threats.
 Designed and helped Oak Ridge National Laboratory build and demonstrate a decision
support system that could be used by DHS managers in managing risk associated with
critical infrastructure.
● Supported the DHS Office of Policy Development’s Nuclear Response and Short Term
Recovery Requirements Planning Team in assessing the consequences of a nuclear attack
2
on the United States, developing requirements for capabilities to mitigate an attack, and
making recommendations for the DHS Integrated Planning Guidance.
● Assessed potential alternative future U.S. national security asset structures for the DoD
Office of Program Analysis and Evaluation.
 Assessed capabilities across the U.S. government for conducting strategic
communication, to include public diplomacy, international broadcasting, and
psychological operations. Assessed the output and costs of operations and proposed
options for potential future force structures.
 Supported assessment of current and potential future interagency capabilities to provide
homeland security and manage the consequences of disasters and terrorist attacks.
● Analyzed the effectiveness of anti-terrorism technologies seeking SAFETY Act liability
protection for the IDA Office of SAFETY Act Implementation.
Homeland Security Institute, Arlington, Virginia
Principal Analyst in Programs Division (2005-2006) Performed risk management for Department of
Homeland Security. Evaluated, for Science & Technology Directorate, risk mitigation provided by
potential science and technology investment programs. Assessed risks from homeland security
National Planning Scenarios and potential program benefits in terms of threat, vulnerability, and
consequence reduction for multiple research portfolios. Focused on nuclear and radiological attack
scenarios and assessed and developed strategies to minimize the likelihood of attacks and their
consequences. Project leader; developed research and planned and supervised work of junior analysts.
Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman, LLP, Washington, D.C.
Senior Associate in Energy Group (1997-2005) Practiced primarily in the area of nuclear energy
regulation before the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the federal courts. Most work involved
litigation of NRC licensing matters, including environmental issues under the National Environmental
Policy Act, for new facilities and expansion of existing facilities. Other work involved regulatory
counseling matters, including licensing strategies and facilitating client interaction with NRC. Advised
clients on legislation and agency rulemaking efforts. Conducted all aspects of litigation, including
examining witnesses, oral argument, writing briefs, and conducting discovery. Worked extensively
with expert witnesses on technical matters. Formulated legal, technical, and political strategies to solve
client problems. Planned and supervised work of junior associates. Participated in pro bono programs.
 Licensed before NRC Private Fuel Storage, L.L.C. independent spent nuclear fuel storage
installation in Tooele County, Utah. Performed probabilistic risk assessment of F-16
aircraft crash impact hazard.
 Licensed before NRC expansion of Nuclear Fuel Services, Inc. nuclear fuel cycle facilities
to downblend highly enriched uranium for Department of Energy. Principal issue
concerned the environmental significance of accident risk associated with the expanded
facilities.
 Counseled clients and prepared and presented several papers on nuclear power plant
security, radioactive materials transportation, and issues of federal indemnification for
accident liability under the Price-Anderson Act and other federal indemnification statutes.
 Litigated veterans benefit cases before Court of Appeals for Veterans’ Claims. Principal
issue involved veterans’ exposure to radiation from participation in nuclear weapons tests.
3
Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, Virginia
Research Staff Member in Strategy, Forces, and Resources Division (1989-1996) Performed research
and led research efforts directed at a wide range of problems related to United States national defense
policy. Focused on military force structure planning, strategic materials assessments and mobilization
planning, nuclear weapon security and arms control, environmental R&D planning, and defense
acquisition reform.
 Supported military force structure planning and combat modeling.
 Modified theater-level combat model to optimize attacker and defender force
employment choices and to account for additional weapon system types and tactics.
 Examined the utility of advanced tactical battlefield sensors in peacekeeping missions
through the simulation of squad-level engagements.
 Planned military force deployments and force logistics for potential regional conflicts.
Used theater-level combat models to assess effectiveness of alternative military force
packages.
 Developed Army theater-level logistics planning factors based on analysis of historical
combat intensity as a function of space and time.
 Assessed how to provide overseas military presence and perform the functions of peacetime
engagement, deterrence, and crisis response in the post-Cold War environment.
 Examined effects of Navy force structure on ability to provide presence in overseas
theater areas of responsibility. Developed Monte Carlo model of naval crisis response to
examine effects of force structure on crisis response times.
 Assessed the ability of the United States to mobilize military forces to fight large-scale
conflicts with the Soviet Union or other major regional threats.
 Led Defense Department analysis of requirements for U.S. to maintain stockpiles of
strategic and critical materials with special applications for wartime military needs.
 Assessed ability of U.S. shipyards to rapidly increase production in the event of the
emergence of a new global security competitor.
 Assessed efficacy of U.S. nuclear weapon security and use control.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
Graduate Research Assistant (1985-1989) Studied nuclear fusion reactor engineering, focusing on
heat transfer and materials science. Thesis topic was the chemical reactions of lithium with steam-air
mixtures; research involved computer modeling of nuclear reactor accidents (large lithium spills and
fires) and experimental measurements of chemical reaction rates. In addition to fusion reactor
engineering, course work included nuclear engineering and plasma physics, energy policy and
economics, and a minor in government (defense planning and nuclear strategy).
EDUCATION
 J.D. Georgetown University Law Center, cum laude, 1997
 Ph.D. Nuclear Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1989
 B.S. Nuclear Engineering, Purdue University, 1985
BAR ADMISSIONS: Virginia, District of Columbia, U.S. Patent and Trademark Office
PUBLICATIONS: 64 professional publications, 1 outside publication; list attached
4
PROFESSIONAL PUBLICATIONS D. SEAN BARNETT
Sean Barnett and Mujid S. Kazimi, "Consequences of a Lithium Spill inside the
Containment and Vacuum Torus of a Fusion Reactor", MIT Plasma Fusion Center,
PFC/RR-87-9, June 1987.
D.S. Barnett et al., "LITFIRE User's Guide", Second Edition, MIT Plasma Fusion
Center, PFC/RR-87-11, August 1987.
Sean Barnett and Mujid Kazimi, "Modeling Lithium Reactions with Steam-Air
Mixtures", Fusion Engineering and Design, Vol. 11, 1989.
D.S. Barnett et al., "Lithium-Mixed Gas Reactions", Fusion Technology, April 1989.
D.S. Barnett and M.S. Kazimi, "The Consequences of Lithium Fires in the Presence of
Steam", Fusion Technology, April 1989.
David Sean Barnett, "The Chemical Kinetics of the Reactions of Lithium with Steam-
Air Mixtures", Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, April 1989.
D.S. Barnett and M.S. Kazimi, "The Chemical Kinetics of the Reactions of Lithium with
Steam-Air Mixtures", MIT Plasma Fusion Center, PFC/RR-89-3, April 1989.
D.S. Barnett, "LITFIRE User's Guide", Third Edition, MIT Plasma Fusion Center,
PFC/RR-89-4, April 1989.
J.H. Grotte, D.S. Barnett, Julia K. Burr, and Leonard Wainstein, Assessment of Nuclear
Use Control, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2294, 1989.
J.H. Grotte and D.S. Barnett, Assessment of Nuclear Use Control, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA P-2434, October 1990.
Donald A. Fink and D. Sean Barnett, Depleted Uranium Requirements for National
Security, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2571, April 1991.
Richard White and D. Sean Barnett, Environmental Factors in Weapon System
Conception, Design and Testing, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2465, July 1991.
Stephen D. Biddle, David Gray, Stuart Kaufman, Dennis DeRiggi, and D. Sean Barnett,
Defense at Low Force Levels: The Effect of Force to Space Ratios on Conventional
Combat Dynamics, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2380, August 1991.
Stephen D. Biddle, D. Sean Barnett, and David Gray, Stabilizing and Destabilizing
Weapons, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2548, September 1991.
D. Sean Barnett and David Gray, A Study of the Effects of Terrain on Mechanized
Combat Using the Janus System, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2621,
September 1991.
Karen Richter, D. Sean Barnett, and Earl A. Alluisi, Research and Development
Strategies for Human Centered and Group Support Technologies, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA P-2630, May 1992.
D. Sean Barnett, Contingency Force Sizing, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-
1228, September 1992.
D. Sean Barnett, Advanced Materials for the National Defense Stockpile, Institute for
Defense Analyses, IDA P-2838, September 1993.
5
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Tara E. Santmire, Eleanor L. Schwartz, An-Jen
Tai, and Richard H. White, National Defense Stockpile Program Phase II: Assessments
and Methodological Enhancements, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2885,
October 1993.
D. Sean Barnett, 1993 Advanced Materials Assessment for the National Defense
Stockpile, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2900, October 1993.
D. Sean Barnett, National Defense Stockpile Rhenium Analysis, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA D-1198, March 1994.
D. Sean Barnett, Gallium Stockpile Analysis, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-
1199, March 1994.
James S. Thomason, Eleanor L. Schwartz, An-Jen Tai, D. Sean Barnett, and David R.
Graham, IDA Analyses for the Naval Logistics 2001 Wargame '94, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA P-2954, March 1994.
D. Sean Barnett, Barbara A. Bicksler, Theophilos C. Gemelas, and Kenneth Kessel,
National Security Requirements for Jewel Bearings, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA
P-2880, April 1994.
Dennis F. DeRiggi, D. Sean Barnett, and Matthew Hersh, SIMNET Applications to
Peacekeeping Missions, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1593, September 1994.
Joel E. Tumarkin, Rebecca R. Rubin, and D. Sean Barnett, An Assessment of the FY92
Department of Defense Environmental Quality Research and Development Program,
Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2936, September 1994.
D. Sean Barnett, National Defense Stockpile Requirements for Beryllium, Institute for
Defense Analyses, IDA P-2970, October 1994.
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Theophilos C. Gemelas, Robert P. Hilton, Stanley
A. Horowitz, Jack L. Kangas, Herschel E. Kanter, James L. Lacy, Karl H. Lowe,
Gayden E. Thompson, John C. Tillson, Karen W. Tyson, Johnathan A. Wallis, with
Barry M. Blechman and John P. Keefe, James A. Winnefeld, Presence Analyses for the
Commission on Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces: A White Paper, Institute for
Defense Analyses, April 1995.
James S. Thomason and D. Sean Barnett, IDA Analyses of Overseas Presence for the
Commission on Roles and Missions: Annotated Briefing, Institute for Defense Analyses,
IDA D-1725, June 1995.
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Stanley A. Horowitz, Jack L. Kangas, Karen W.
Tyson, Johnathan A. Wallis, with Barry M. Blechman and Paul M. Cole, Evolving
Service Roles in Presence Missions, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-3146, August
1995.
Dennis F. DeRiggi and D. Sean Barnett, Applications of Advanced Sensor Technology to
Peacekeeping Missions, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1750, September 1995.
John C. F. Tillson, Lexi Alexander, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, John R. Brinkerhoff,
Jeffrey H. Grotte, and Jonathan Wallis, Review of the Army Process for Determining
Force Structure Requirements, Volume 1, Main Briefing, Institute for Defense Analyses,
IDA P-3189, May 1996.
6
D. Sean Barnett, Lexi Alexander, John C. F. Tillson, Review of the Army Process for
Determining Force Structure Requirements, Volume 2, Appendix F, Comparison of
TAA03 Combat Modeling with Other DOD Combat Models, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA P-3189-VOL-2-APP-F, May 1996.
James S. Thomason, Eleanor L. Schwartz, D. Sean Barnett, and An-Jen Tai, Strategic
and Critical Non-Fuel Materials and the National Defense Stockpile, Institute for
Defense Analyses, IDA D-1878, September 1996.
D.S. Barnett, 1995 Advanced Materials Assessments for the National Defense Stockpile,
Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1851, 1996.
Christi Alexander, Robert J. Atwell, D.S. Barnett, Karl H. Lowe, and Robert A. Zirkle,
Flexible Force Mix Alternatives. Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-3316, Vol. I,
1997.
Sean Barnett and Jim Thomason, Flexible Presence: A Concept for the 21st Century,
Military Operations Research Society Symposium Proceedings, June 1997.
D. Sean Barnett and James S. Thomason, “Flexible Presence in the 21st Century,” Joint
Force Quarterly, No. 20, Autumn/Winter 1998-99.
Sean Barnett, “Legal Aspects of the Transportation of Nuclear Materials,” PATRAM
2001, Proceedings of the International Symposium on Packaging and Transportation of
Radioactive Materials, September 2001.
Paul Gaukler, D. Sean Barnett, Douglas J. Rosinski, “Nuclear Energy and Terrorism,”
Natural Resources & Environment, Vol. 16, No. 3, Winter 2002.
Sean Barnett and Paul Gaukler, “A Response to Legislative Proposals to Improve
Security at U.S. Nuclear Power Plants,” Proceedings of the 43rd Annual Meeting of the
Institute for Nuclear Materials Management, June 2002.
Sean Barnett and Robert Haemer, “State Law Limits on the Use of Deadly Force by
Facility Security Forces,” Institute for Nuclear Materials Management Workshop on
Safeguards and Security, April-May 2003.
Sean Barnett, “A Study Proposal for Supplemental Security Forces at U.S. Nuclear
Facilities,” Institute for Nuclear Materials Management Workshop on Safeguards and
Security, April-May 2003.
Paul A. Gaukler and D. Sean Barnett, “The Private Fuel Storage Facility: Poised to
Become an Away-From-Reactor Alternative for Interim Spent Fuel Storage,”
Proceedings of the 46th Annual Meeting of the Institute for Nuclear Materials
Management, Summer 2005.
D. Sean Barnett and Edward E. Alexander, Providing Assistance to State and Local
Governments to Implement the Securing the Cities Initiative, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA D-3282, Draft Final, January 2007.
Lowell Bruce Anderson, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, and Robert L. Bovey,
“Application of the Maximum Flow Problem to Sensor Placement on Urban Road
Networks for Homeland Security,” Homeland Security Affairs III, no. 3, September
2007.
7
D. Sean Barnett and Robert J. Atwell, Analysis of the Placement of Radiation Detectors
on Urban Road Networks for Homeland Security, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA
D-3653, Draft Final, August 2008.
Report of the Nuclear Defense Joint Analysis Team, Institute for Defense Analyses for
the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics,
May 2009.
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Mark E. Tillman, Michael F. Niles, and Theresa
K. Mitchell, Global Defense Posture Analysis and Planning for the Quadrennial
Defense Review, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4536, December 2009.
James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, Ylli Bajraktari, James P. Bell, D. Sean Barnett,
Nicholas S. J. Karvonides, Michael F. Niles, Eleanor L. Schwartz, From National
Defense Stockpile (NDS) to Strategic Materials Security Program (SMSP): Evidence
and Analytic Support, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4593, Vols. I and II, May
2010.
James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Nicholas S.J.
Karvonides, Michael F. Niles, Whitney C. Picard, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Analyses for the
2011 National Defense Stockpile Requirements Report to Congress on Strategic
Materials, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4695, Vols. I and II, March 2011.
James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Nicholas S.J.
Karvonides, Michael F. Niles, Whitney C. Picard, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Steven B.
Walser, Assessment of and Plan for Critical Rare Earth Materials in Defense
Applications, Final Report, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS D-4577, October
2011.
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Nicholas S.J. Karvonides, James P. Bell, Michael
F. Niles, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Robert J. Atwell, Whitney C. Picard, Assessment of
Feasibility and Advisability of Establishment of Rare Earth Material Inventory, Institute
for Defense Analyses, IDA NS P-4877, May 2012.
M. Anthony Fainberg, Robert L. Bovey, D. Sean Barnett, John R. Brinkerhoff, Joan F.
Cartier, Frederic S. Celec, Rachel D. Dubin, Samuel C. Heady, Anthony C. Hermes,
Theresa K. Mitchell, Gene H. Porter, Alan H. Shaw, A Capabilities-Based Assessment of
the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture: Functional Needs Analysis of the Interior
and Trans-border Layers, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4863, Vol. I, July 2012.
M. Anthony Fainberg, Robert L. Bovey, D. Sean Barnett, John R. Brinkerhoff, Joan F.
Cartier, Frederic S. Celec, Rachel D. Dubin, Samuel C. Heady, Anthony C. Hermes,
Theresa K. Mitchell, Gene H. Porter, Alan H. Shaw, A Capabilities-Based Assessment of
the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture: Functional Needs Analysis of the Interior
and Trans-border Layers - Appendix B - Prioritizing Gaps, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA P-4863, Vol. II, July 2012.
James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Michael F.
Fitzsimmons, Nicholas S. J. Karvonides, Julie C. Kelly, Drew Miller, J. Darrell
Morgeson, Michael F. Niles, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Strategic and Critical Materials 2013
Report on Stockpile Requirements, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS P-4901,
January 2013.
8
D. Sean Barnett, Robert L. Bovey, Linton F. Brooks, Joan F. Cartier, Frederick S. Celec,
Rachel D. Dubin, Samuel C. Heady, Anthony C. Hermes, Theresa K. Mitchell, Richard
L. Wagner, Countering Nuclear Threats: Portfolio Management and Strategic and
Capability Frameworks, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-4766, March 2013.
D. Sean Barnett, IDA Support to the Joint Staff (J8) and OUSD(Policy) on Global
Defense Posture for the 2010 QDR and Beyond, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS
D-4886, May 2013.
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Jerome Bracken, Eleanor L.
Schwartz, Strategic Material Shortfall Risk Mitigation Optimization Model (OPTIM-
SM), Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-4811, June 2013.
James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Kevin E. Burns, Nicholas S.J. Karvonides, Jay
Mandelbaum, Brandon A. Shapiro, Christopher K. Trengove, Report to Congress on
Diversification of Supply and Reclamation Activities Related to Rare Earth Activities,
Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS P-5098, Draft Final, July 2014.
D. Sean Barnett and Jerome Bracken, Supply Chain Modeling: Downstream Risk
Assessment Methodology (DRAM) Demonstration of Capability, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA D-5347, April 2015.
D. Sean Barnett and Jerome Bracken, Supply Chain Modeling for Fluorspar and
Hydrofluoric Acid and Implications for Further Analyses, Institute for Defense
Analyses, IDA D-5379, April 2015.
D. Sean Barnett and Jerome Bracken, Supply Chain Modeling: Downstream Risk
Assessment Methodology (DRAM) Summary of Development and Application, Institute
for Defense Analyses, IDA D-5429, April 2015.
James S. Thomason et al. Analyses for the 2015 National Defense Stockpile
Requirements Report to Congress on Strategic and Critical Materials, Institute for
Defense Analyses, IDA P-5190, 2015.
OUTSIDE PUBLICATION
Sean Barnett, Villers-Bocage, Britain’s Lost Opportunity, Skirmish Campaigns, 2013.

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Sean Barnett CV 11-12-15

  • 1. 1 D. SEAN BARNETT, Ph.D. Senior Engineer RAND Corporation 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington, VA 22202-5050 Office Phone: 703-413-1100 x5545 Office Fax: 703-413-8111 E-mail: sbarnett@rand.org Sean Barnett is a defense analyst, nuclear engineer, and attorney, with 25 years of experience in solving analytical problems and analyzing policy in the fields of national security, energy, and law. His most recent work has focused on strategic planning and risk management. Over the course of his career, he has also gained extensive experience in project management and communication. PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE RAND Corporation, Arlington, Virginia Senior Engineer in Engineering and Applied Sciences Department (2015-present) Performs research and leads research efforts on a range of subjects for the Department of Defense and other federal agencies. Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, Virginia Research Staff Member in Strategy, Forces, and Resources Division (2006-2015) Performed research and led research efforts for the Departments of Defense, Homeland Security, and Energy. Work focused in the areas of strategic planning and risk management, military force structure and basing, strategic materials, defense against nuclear attack, infrastructure protection, and operations research. Developed research and plans and supervised work of other analysts. ● Led efforts for Defense Logistics Agency-Strategic Materials in managing risk arising from threats to U.S. supplies of strategic and critical materials, including rare earth elements.  Developed and implemented risk management process for materials evaluated for the National Defense Stockpile. The process assesses material shortfall risks facing the United States and develops, characterizes, and evaluates the cost-effectiveness of measures for mitigating risks. The process significantly reduced the requirements for materials in the stockpile at an acceptable level of risk.  Extended risk management process to include modeling of downstream strategic material supply chains and managing risks associated with them.  Performed an in-depth assessment of the potential for material substitutes to reduce U.S. needs for strategic and critical materials. Evaluated the potential for using substitutes in response to material shortages and the enabling capabilities (e.g., product designs, design certifications, production facilities) needed to implement their use. Assessment reduced National Defense Stockpile requirements by about 40 percent.  Co-led assessment of potential for DoD to recycle rare earth elements from defense applications.  Conducted other studies of materials and programs of interest to DLA-SM.
  • 2. 1 ● Performed analyses to support Global Nuclear Detection Architecture (GNDA) Capability Based Assessment for DHS Domestic Nuclear Detection Office. Supported the development of strategic-level Capability Objectives for the GNDA and helped identify and prioritize capability gaps in the GNDA, including need for effective national strategic-level management processes and decision authorities within DHS and elsewhere in the Executive Branch. ● Led task for DHS Domestic Nuclear Detection Office on development of strategies for employment of radiation detectors to interdict movement of radioactive material in the United States. Assessment included urban road network analysis, Monte Carlo modeling of urban area radiation detection system performance, and life-cycle cost modeling of detector systems. ● Supported the Homeland Defense Coordinator of the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics in improving U.S. defenses against weapons of mass destruction.  Performed interagency and DoD organizational analyses to facilitate the U.S. government’s development of defenses against attack with weapons of mass destruction.  Supported the assessment of the DoD and U.S. government nuclear defense enterprise and its capabilities to prevent a nuclear attack on the U.S. homeland. Assisted with planning to integrate and improve our nuclear defense capabilities.  Prepared report of Joint Analysis Team on nuclear defense documenting and providing guidance on the future development of DoD nuclear defense capabilities. ● Led efforts to support the Joint Staff J5 and J8 and the Office for the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy in managing U.S. global defense posture.  Supported the development of a regular posture planning and programming cycle that conforms to the DoD Planning, Programming, Budgeting and Execution system, enables OUSD(Policy) and the Joint Staff to oversee and provide strategic direction to posture changes, and facilitates the implementation by the Services of posture initiatives proposed by the Combatant Commands and evaluated and recommended by OSD and the Joint Staff.  Supported the Joint Staff J8 in assessing global defense posture for the 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review. Designed a risk-based framework for assessing the adequacy of U.S. posture to accomplish global and regional strategic objectives. Supported OUSD(Policy) in evaluating Theater Posture Plan posture initiatives submitted by regional Combatant Commands. ● Developed risk management methodologies and analyzed risk to critical infrastructure and key resources for the DHS Office of Infrastructure Protection.  Assisted with development of IDA Common Risk Model, which allows analysis, on a common basis across industry sectors, of risk to critical infrastructure assets and systems presented by a wide range of potential terrorist threats.  Designed and helped Oak Ridge National Laboratory build and demonstrate a decision support system that could be used by DHS managers in managing risk associated with critical infrastructure. ● Supported the DHS Office of Policy Development’s Nuclear Response and Short Term Recovery Requirements Planning Team in assessing the consequences of a nuclear attack
  • 3. 2 on the United States, developing requirements for capabilities to mitigate an attack, and making recommendations for the DHS Integrated Planning Guidance. ● Assessed potential alternative future U.S. national security asset structures for the DoD Office of Program Analysis and Evaluation.  Assessed capabilities across the U.S. government for conducting strategic communication, to include public diplomacy, international broadcasting, and psychological operations. Assessed the output and costs of operations and proposed options for potential future force structures.  Supported assessment of current and potential future interagency capabilities to provide homeland security and manage the consequences of disasters and terrorist attacks. ● Analyzed the effectiveness of anti-terrorism technologies seeking SAFETY Act liability protection for the IDA Office of SAFETY Act Implementation. Homeland Security Institute, Arlington, Virginia Principal Analyst in Programs Division (2005-2006) Performed risk management for Department of Homeland Security. Evaluated, for Science & Technology Directorate, risk mitigation provided by potential science and technology investment programs. Assessed risks from homeland security National Planning Scenarios and potential program benefits in terms of threat, vulnerability, and consequence reduction for multiple research portfolios. Focused on nuclear and radiological attack scenarios and assessed and developed strategies to minimize the likelihood of attacks and their consequences. Project leader; developed research and planned and supervised work of junior analysts. Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman, LLP, Washington, D.C. Senior Associate in Energy Group (1997-2005) Practiced primarily in the area of nuclear energy regulation before the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the federal courts. Most work involved litigation of NRC licensing matters, including environmental issues under the National Environmental Policy Act, for new facilities and expansion of existing facilities. Other work involved regulatory counseling matters, including licensing strategies and facilitating client interaction with NRC. Advised clients on legislation and agency rulemaking efforts. Conducted all aspects of litigation, including examining witnesses, oral argument, writing briefs, and conducting discovery. Worked extensively with expert witnesses on technical matters. Formulated legal, technical, and political strategies to solve client problems. Planned and supervised work of junior associates. Participated in pro bono programs.  Licensed before NRC Private Fuel Storage, L.L.C. independent spent nuclear fuel storage installation in Tooele County, Utah. Performed probabilistic risk assessment of F-16 aircraft crash impact hazard.  Licensed before NRC expansion of Nuclear Fuel Services, Inc. nuclear fuel cycle facilities to downblend highly enriched uranium for Department of Energy. Principal issue concerned the environmental significance of accident risk associated with the expanded facilities.  Counseled clients and prepared and presented several papers on nuclear power plant security, radioactive materials transportation, and issues of federal indemnification for accident liability under the Price-Anderson Act and other federal indemnification statutes.  Litigated veterans benefit cases before Court of Appeals for Veterans’ Claims. Principal issue involved veterans’ exposure to radiation from participation in nuclear weapons tests.
  • 4. 3 Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, Virginia Research Staff Member in Strategy, Forces, and Resources Division (1989-1996) Performed research and led research efforts directed at a wide range of problems related to United States national defense policy. Focused on military force structure planning, strategic materials assessments and mobilization planning, nuclear weapon security and arms control, environmental R&D planning, and defense acquisition reform.  Supported military force structure planning and combat modeling.  Modified theater-level combat model to optimize attacker and defender force employment choices and to account for additional weapon system types and tactics.  Examined the utility of advanced tactical battlefield sensors in peacekeeping missions through the simulation of squad-level engagements.  Planned military force deployments and force logistics for potential regional conflicts. Used theater-level combat models to assess effectiveness of alternative military force packages.  Developed Army theater-level logistics planning factors based on analysis of historical combat intensity as a function of space and time.  Assessed how to provide overseas military presence and perform the functions of peacetime engagement, deterrence, and crisis response in the post-Cold War environment.  Examined effects of Navy force structure on ability to provide presence in overseas theater areas of responsibility. Developed Monte Carlo model of naval crisis response to examine effects of force structure on crisis response times.  Assessed the ability of the United States to mobilize military forces to fight large-scale conflicts with the Soviet Union or other major regional threats.  Led Defense Department analysis of requirements for U.S. to maintain stockpiles of strategic and critical materials with special applications for wartime military needs.  Assessed ability of U.S. shipyards to rapidly increase production in the event of the emergence of a new global security competitor.  Assessed efficacy of U.S. nuclear weapon security and use control. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts Graduate Research Assistant (1985-1989) Studied nuclear fusion reactor engineering, focusing on heat transfer and materials science. Thesis topic was the chemical reactions of lithium with steam-air mixtures; research involved computer modeling of nuclear reactor accidents (large lithium spills and fires) and experimental measurements of chemical reaction rates. In addition to fusion reactor engineering, course work included nuclear engineering and plasma physics, energy policy and economics, and a minor in government (defense planning and nuclear strategy). EDUCATION  J.D. Georgetown University Law Center, cum laude, 1997  Ph.D. Nuclear Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1989  B.S. Nuclear Engineering, Purdue University, 1985 BAR ADMISSIONS: Virginia, District of Columbia, U.S. Patent and Trademark Office PUBLICATIONS: 64 professional publications, 1 outside publication; list attached
  • 5. 4 PROFESSIONAL PUBLICATIONS D. SEAN BARNETT Sean Barnett and Mujid S. Kazimi, "Consequences of a Lithium Spill inside the Containment and Vacuum Torus of a Fusion Reactor", MIT Plasma Fusion Center, PFC/RR-87-9, June 1987. D.S. Barnett et al., "LITFIRE User's Guide", Second Edition, MIT Plasma Fusion Center, PFC/RR-87-11, August 1987. Sean Barnett and Mujid Kazimi, "Modeling Lithium Reactions with Steam-Air Mixtures", Fusion Engineering and Design, Vol. 11, 1989. D.S. Barnett et al., "Lithium-Mixed Gas Reactions", Fusion Technology, April 1989. D.S. Barnett and M.S. Kazimi, "The Consequences of Lithium Fires in the Presence of Steam", Fusion Technology, April 1989. David Sean Barnett, "The Chemical Kinetics of the Reactions of Lithium with Steam- Air Mixtures", Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, April 1989. D.S. Barnett and M.S. Kazimi, "The Chemical Kinetics of the Reactions of Lithium with Steam-Air Mixtures", MIT Plasma Fusion Center, PFC/RR-89-3, April 1989. D.S. Barnett, "LITFIRE User's Guide", Third Edition, MIT Plasma Fusion Center, PFC/RR-89-4, April 1989. J.H. Grotte, D.S. Barnett, Julia K. Burr, and Leonard Wainstein, Assessment of Nuclear Use Control, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2294, 1989. J.H. Grotte and D.S. Barnett, Assessment of Nuclear Use Control, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2434, October 1990. Donald A. Fink and D. Sean Barnett, Depleted Uranium Requirements for National Security, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2571, April 1991. Richard White and D. Sean Barnett, Environmental Factors in Weapon System Conception, Design and Testing, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2465, July 1991. Stephen D. Biddle, David Gray, Stuart Kaufman, Dennis DeRiggi, and D. Sean Barnett, Defense at Low Force Levels: The Effect of Force to Space Ratios on Conventional Combat Dynamics, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2380, August 1991. Stephen D. Biddle, D. Sean Barnett, and David Gray, Stabilizing and Destabilizing Weapons, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2548, September 1991. D. Sean Barnett and David Gray, A Study of the Effects of Terrain on Mechanized Combat Using the Janus System, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2621, September 1991. Karen Richter, D. Sean Barnett, and Earl A. Alluisi, Research and Development Strategies for Human Centered and Group Support Technologies, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2630, May 1992. D. Sean Barnett, Contingency Force Sizing, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D- 1228, September 1992. D. Sean Barnett, Advanced Materials for the National Defense Stockpile, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2838, September 1993.
  • 6. 5 James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Tara E. Santmire, Eleanor L. Schwartz, An-Jen Tai, and Richard H. White, National Defense Stockpile Program Phase II: Assessments and Methodological Enhancements, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2885, October 1993. D. Sean Barnett, 1993 Advanced Materials Assessment for the National Defense Stockpile, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2900, October 1993. D. Sean Barnett, National Defense Stockpile Rhenium Analysis, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1198, March 1994. D. Sean Barnett, Gallium Stockpile Analysis, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D- 1199, March 1994. James S. Thomason, Eleanor L. Schwartz, An-Jen Tai, D. Sean Barnett, and David R. Graham, IDA Analyses for the Naval Logistics 2001 Wargame '94, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2954, March 1994. D. Sean Barnett, Barbara A. Bicksler, Theophilos C. Gemelas, and Kenneth Kessel, National Security Requirements for Jewel Bearings, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2880, April 1994. Dennis F. DeRiggi, D. Sean Barnett, and Matthew Hersh, SIMNET Applications to Peacekeeping Missions, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1593, September 1994. Joel E. Tumarkin, Rebecca R. Rubin, and D. Sean Barnett, An Assessment of the FY92 Department of Defense Environmental Quality Research and Development Program, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2936, September 1994. D. Sean Barnett, National Defense Stockpile Requirements for Beryllium, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-2970, October 1994. James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Theophilos C. Gemelas, Robert P. Hilton, Stanley A. Horowitz, Jack L. Kangas, Herschel E. Kanter, James L. Lacy, Karl H. Lowe, Gayden E. Thompson, John C. Tillson, Karen W. Tyson, Johnathan A. Wallis, with Barry M. Blechman and John P. Keefe, James A. Winnefeld, Presence Analyses for the Commission on Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces: A White Paper, Institute for Defense Analyses, April 1995. James S. Thomason and D. Sean Barnett, IDA Analyses of Overseas Presence for the Commission on Roles and Missions: Annotated Briefing, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1725, June 1995. James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Stanley A. Horowitz, Jack L. Kangas, Karen W. Tyson, Johnathan A. Wallis, with Barry M. Blechman and Paul M. Cole, Evolving Service Roles in Presence Missions, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-3146, August 1995. Dennis F. DeRiggi and D. Sean Barnett, Applications of Advanced Sensor Technology to Peacekeeping Missions, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1750, September 1995. John C. F. Tillson, Lexi Alexander, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, John R. Brinkerhoff, Jeffrey H. Grotte, and Jonathan Wallis, Review of the Army Process for Determining Force Structure Requirements, Volume 1, Main Briefing, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-3189, May 1996.
  • 7. 6 D. Sean Barnett, Lexi Alexander, John C. F. Tillson, Review of the Army Process for Determining Force Structure Requirements, Volume 2, Appendix F, Comparison of TAA03 Combat Modeling with Other DOD Combat Models, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-3189-VOL-2-APP-F, May 1996. James S. Thomason, Eleanor L. Schwartz, D. Sean Barnett, and An-Jen Tai, Strategic and Critical Non-Fuel Materials and the National Defense Stockpile, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1878, September 1996. D.S. Barnett, 1995 Advanced Materials Assessments for the National Defense Stockpile, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-1851, 1996. Christi Alexander, Robert J. Atwell, D.S. Barnett, Karl H. Lowe, and Robert A. Zirkle, Flexible Force Mix Alternatives. Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-3316, Vol. I, 1997. Sean Barnett and Jim Thomason, Flexible Presence: A Concept for the 21st Century, Military Operations Research Society Symposium Proceedings, June 1997. D. Sean Barnett and James S. Thomason, “Flexible Presence in the 21st Century,” Joint Force Quarterly, No. 20, Autumn/Winter 1998-99. Sean Barnett, “Legal Aspects of the Transportation of Nuclear Materials,” PATRAM 2001, Proceedings of the International Symposium on Packaging and Transportation of Radioactive Materials, September 2001. Paul Gaukler, D. Sean Barnett, Douglas J. Rosinski, “Nuclear Energy and Terrorism,” Natural Resources & Environment, Vol. 16, No. 3, Winter 2002. Sean Barnett and Paul Gaukler, “A Response to Legislative Proposals to Improve Security at U.S. Nuclear Power Plants,” Proceedings of the 43rd Annual Meeting of the Institute for Nuclear Materials Management, June 2002. Sean Barnett and Robert Haemer, “State Law Limits on the Use of Deadly Force by Facility Security Forces,” Institute for Nuclear Materials Management Workshop on Safeguards and Security, April-May 2003. Sean Barnett, “A Study Proposal for Supplemental Security Forces at U.S. Nuclear Facilities,” Institute for Nuclear Materials Management Workshop on Safeguards and Security, April-May 2003. Paul A. Gaukler and D. Sean Barnett, “The Private Fuel Storage Facility: Poised to Become an Away-From-Reactor Alternative for Interim Spent Fuel Storage,” Proceedings of the 46th Annual Meeting of the Institute for Nuclear Materials Management, Summer 2005. D. Sean Barnett and Edward E. Alexander, Providing Assistance to State and Local Governments to Implement the Securing the Cities Initiative, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-3282, Draft Final, January 2007. Lowell Bruce Anderson, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, and Robert L. Bovey, “Application of the Maximum Flow Problem to Sensor Placement on Urban Road Networks for Homeland Security,” Homeland Security Affairs III, no. 3, September 2007.
  • 8. 7 D. Sean Barnett and Robert J. Atwell, Analysis of the Placement of Radiation Detectors on Urban Road Networks for Homeland Security, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-3653, Draft Final, August 2008. Report of the Nuclear Defense Joint Analysis Team, Institute for Defense Analyses for the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics, May 2009. James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Mark E. Tillman, Michael F. Niles, and Theresa K. Mitchell, Global Defense Posture Analysis and Planning for the Quadrennial Defense Review, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4536, December 2009. James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, Ylli Bajraktari, James P. Bell, D. Sean Barnett, Nicholas S. J. Karvonides, Michael F. Niles, Eleanor L. Schwartz, From National Defense Stockpile (NDS) to Strategic Materials Security Program (SMSP): Evidence and Analytic Support, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4593, Vols. I and II, May 2010. James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Nicholas S.J. Karvonides, Michael F. Niles, Whitney C. Picard, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Analyses for the 2011 National Defense Stockpile Requirements Report to Congress on Strategic Materials, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4695, Vols. I and II, March 2011. James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Nicholas S.J. Karvonides, Michael F. Niles, Whitney C. Picard, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Steven B. Walser, Assessment of and Plan for Critical Rare Earth Materials in Defense Applications, Final Report, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS D-4577, October 2011. James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Nicholas S.J. Karvonides, James P. Bell, Michael F. Niles, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Robert J. Atwell, Whitney C. Picard, Assessment of Feasibility and Advisability of Establishment of Rare Earth Material Inventory, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS P-4877, May 2012. M. Anthony Fainberg, Robert L. Bovey, D. Sean Barnett, John R. Brinkerhoff, Joan F. Cartier, Frederic S. Celec, Rachel D. Dubin, Samuel C. Heady, Anthony C. Hermes, Theresa K. Mitchell, Gene H. Porter, Alan H. Shaw, A Capabilities-Based Assessment of the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture: Functional Needs Analysis of the Interior and Trans-border Layers, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4863, Vol. I, July 2012. M. Anthony Fainberg, Robert L. Bovey, D. Sean Barnett, John R. Brinkerhoff, Joan F. Cartier, Frederic S. Celec, Rachel D. Dubin, Samuel C. Heady, Anthony C. Hermes, Theresa K. Mitchell, Gene H. Porter, Alan H. Shaw, A Capabilities-Based Assessment of the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture: Functional Needs Analysis of the Interior and Trans-border Layers - Appendix B - Prioritizing Gaps, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-4863, Vol. II, July 2012. James S. Thomason, Robert J. Atwell, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Michael F. Fitzsimmons, Nicholas S. J. Karvonides, Julie C. Kelly, Drew Miller, J. Darrell Morgeson, Michael F. Niles, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Strategic and Critical Materials 2013 Report on Stockpile Requirements, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS P-4901, January 2013.
  • 9. 8 D. Sean Barnett, Robert L. Bovey, Linton F. Brooks, Joan F. Cartier, Frederick S. Celec, Rachel D. Dubin, Samuel C. Heady, Anthony C. Hermes, Theresa K. Mitchell, Richard L. Wagner, Countering Nuclear Threats: Portfolio Management and Strategic and Capability Frameworks, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-4766, March 2013. D. Sean Barnett, IDA Support to the Joint Staff (J8) and OUSD(Policy) on Global Defense Posture for the 2010 QDR and Beyond, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS D-4886, May 2013. James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, James P. Bell, Jerome Bracken, Eleanor L. Schwartz, Strategic Material Shortfall Risk Mitigation Optimization Model (OPTIM- SM), Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-4811, June 2013. James S. Thomason, D. Sean Barnett, Kevin E. Burns, Nicholas S.J. Karvonides, Jay Mandelbaum, Brandon A. Shapiro, Christopher K. Trengove, Report to Congress on Diversification of Supply and Reclamation Activities Related to Rare Earth Activities, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA NS P-5098, Draft Final, July 2014. D. Sean Barnett and Jerome Bracken, Supply Chain Modeling: Downstream Risk Assessment Methodology (DRAM) Demonstration of Capability, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-5347, April 2015. D. Sean Barnett and Jerome Bracken, Supply Chain Modeling for Fluorspar and Hydrofluoric Acid and Implications for Further Analyses, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-5379, April 2015. D. Sean Barnett and Jerome Bracken, Supply Chain Modeling: Downstream Risk Assessment Methodology (DRAM) Summary of Development and Application, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA D-5429, April 2015. James S. Thomason et al. Analyses for the 2015 National Defense Stockpile Requirements Report to Congress on Strategic and Critical Materials, Institute for Defense Analyses, IDA P-5190, 2015. OUTSIDE PUBLICATION Sean Barnett, Villers-Bocage, Britain’s Lost Opportunity, Skirmish Campaigns, 2013.